DX 2012 10K
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, DC 20549
FORM 10-K
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R | Annual Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 |
For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2012
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£ | Transition Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 |
Commission File Number: 1-9819
DYNEX CAPITAL, INC.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
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Virginia | 52-1549373 |
(State or other jurisdiction of | (I.R.S. Employer |
incorporation or organization) | Identification No.) |
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4991 Lake Brook Drive, Suite 100, Glen Allen, Virginia | 23060-9245 |
(Address of principal executive offices) | (Zip Code) |
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(804) 217-5800 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code) |
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Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: |
Title of each class | Name of each exchange on which registered |
Common Stock, $.01 par value | New York Stock Exchange |
8.50% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock, par value $0.01 per share | New York Stock Exchange |
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act: None |
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.
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Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Act.
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Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
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Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).
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Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K (§229.405 of this chapter) is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrant's knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K. £
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
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Large accelerated filer | £ | Accelerated filer | R |
Non-accelerated filer | £ (Do not check if a smaller reporting company) | Smaller reporting company | £ |
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act).
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As of June 30, 2012, the aggregate market value of the voting stock held by non-affiliates of the registrant was approximately $524,083,698 based on the closing sales price on the New York Stock Exchange of $10.38.
On February 28, 2013, the registrant had 54,238,321 shares outstanding of common stock, $0.01 par value, which is the registrant’s only class of common stock.
DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE
Portions of the Definitive Proxy Statement for the registrant's 2013 annual meeting of shareholders, expected to be filed pursuant to Regulation 14A within 120 days from December 31, 2012, are incorporated by reference into Part III.
DYNEX CAPITAL, INC.
FORM 10-K
TABLE OF CONTENTS
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| Item 1. | Business | |
| Item 1A. | Risk Factors | |
| Item 1B. | Unresolved Staff Comments | |
| Item 2. | Properties | |
| Item 3. | Legal Proceedings | |
| Item 4. | Mine Safety Disclosures | |
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PART II. | | | |
| Item 5. | Market for Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities | |
| Item 6. | Selected Financial Data | |
| Item 7. | Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations | |
| Item 7A. | Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk | |
| Item 8. | Financial Statements and Supplementary Data | |
| Item 9. | Changes in and Disagreements with Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure | |
| Item 9A. | Controls and Procedures | |
| Item 9B. | Other Information | |
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PART III. | | | |
| Item 10. | Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance | |
| Item 11. | Executive Compensation | |
| Item 12. | Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related Stockholder Matters | |
| Item 13. | Certain Relationships and Related Transactions, and Director Independence | |
| Item 14. | Principal Accountant Fees and Services | |
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PART IV. | | | |
| Item 15. | Exhibits, Financial Statement Schedules | |
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SIGNATURES | | | |
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT – This Annual Report on Form 10-K may contain “forward-looking” statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (or “1933 Act”), and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (or “Exchange Act”). We caution that any such forward-looking statements made by us are not guarantees of future performance, and actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. Some of the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from estimates expressed or implied in our forward-looking statements are set forth in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2012. See Item 1A. “Risk Factors” as well as “Forward-Looking Statements” set forth in Item 7. “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
In this Annual Report on Form 10-K, we refer to Dynex Capital, Inc. and its subsidiaries as “the Company,” “we,” “us,” or “our,” unless we specifically state otherwise or the context indicates otherwise.
PART I
COMPANY OVERVIEW
Dynex Capital, Inc. is an internally managed mortgage real estate investment trust, or mortgage REIT, which invests in mortgage assets on a leveraged basis. Our common stock is traded on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") under the symbol "DX" and our 8.50% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock (the "Series A Preferred Stock") is traded on the NYSE under the symbol "DXPRA". Our objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to our shareholders over the long term that are reflective of a leveraged, high quality fixed income portfolio with a focus on capital preservation. We seek to provide returns to our shareholders through regular quarterly dividends and through capital appreciation.
We were formed in 1987 and commenced operations in 1988. Beginning with our inception through 2000, our operations largely consisted of originating and securitizing various types of loans, principally single-family and commercial mortgage loans and manufactured housing loans. Since 2000, we have been an investor in Agency and non-Agency mortgage-backed securities (“MBS”). Agency MBS consist of residential MBS (“RMBS”) and commercial MBS (“CMBS”), which come with a guaranty of principal payment by an agency of the U.S. government or a U.S. government-sponsored entity such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Non-Agency MBS (also consisting of RMBS and CMBS) have no such guaranty of payment.
Our primary source of income is net interest income, which is the excess of the interest income earned on our investments over the cost of financing these investments. We invest our capital pursuant to our Operating Policies as approved by our Board of Directors. Our diversified investment strategy permits investment in Agency MBS and investment grade non-Agency MBS, and since 2008 our investments have been in higher credit quality, shorter duration investments. Investments considered to be of higher credit quality have less or limited exposure to loss of principal while investments which have shorter durations have less or limited exposure to changes in interest rates. The target asset allocation for the Company is 60% in Agency MBS and 40% in non-Agency MBS though our actual progress toward these targets will vary based on available investment opportunities.
RMBS. The Company's RMBS investments currently consist predominantly of Agency RMBS but the Company has owned substantial amounts of non-Agency RMBS in the past. Agency RMBS include hybrid Agency adjustable-rate mortgage loans ("ARMs") and Agency ARMs. Hybrid Agency ARMs are MBS collateralized by hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage loans which are loans that have a fixed rate of interest for a specified period (typically three to ten years) and which then adjust their interest rate at least annually to an increment over a specified interest rate index as further discussed below. Agency ARMs are MBS collateralized by adjustable-rate mortgage loans which have interest rates that generally will adjust at least annually to an increment over a specified interest rate index. Agency ARMs also include hybrid Agency ARMs that are past their fixed-rate periods or within twelve months of their initial reset period. The Company may also invest in fixed-rate Agency RMBS from time to time. Additionally, the Company invests in non-Agency RMBS, the majority of which are rated as investment grade. These investments generally resemble similar types of Agency ARMs, but lack a guaranty of payment by an agency of the U.S. government or a U.S. government-sponsored entity.
Interest rates on the adjustable-rate mortgage loans collateralizing hybrid Agency ARMs, Agency ARMs, and non-Agency ARMs are based on specific index rates, such as the London Interbank Offered Rate, or LIBOR, the one-year constant maturity
treasury rate, or CMT, the Federal Reserve U.S. 12-month cumulative average one-year CMT, or MTA, or the 11th District Cost of Funds Index, or COFI. These loans will typically have interim and lifetime caps on interest rate adjustments, or interest rate caps, limiting the amount that the rates on these loans may reset in any given period.
CMBS. The Company's Agency and non-Agency CMBS are collateralized by first mortgage loans and are comprised of substantially fixed-rate securities. A substantial portion of the CMBS owned by the Company is collateralized by loans secured by multifamily properties. Typically these loans have some form of prepayment protection provisions (such as prepayment lock-out) or prepayment compensation provisions (such as yield maintenance or prepayment penalty). Yield maintenance and prepayment penalty requirements are intended to create an economic disincentive for the loans to prepay. Amounts required to be paid decline over time however, and as loans age, interest rates decline, or market values of the collateral supporting the loan increase, prepayment penalties may not serve as a meaningful economic disincentive to the borrower.
CMBS IO. A portion of the Company's Agency and non-Agency CMBS also include interest only securities ("IOs") which represent the right to receive excess interest payments (but not principal cash flows) based on the underlying unpaid principal balance of the underlying pool of mortgage loans. As these securities have no principal associated with them, the interest payments received are based on the unpaid principal balance (often referred to as the notional amount) of the underlying pool of mortgage loans. IO securities generally have prepayment protection in the form of lock-outs, prepayment penalties, or yield maintenance associated with the underlying loans.
Factors that Affect Our Results of Operations and Financial Condition
The performance of our investment portfolio will depend on many factors, many of which are beyond our control. These factors include, but are not limited to, interest rates, trends of interest rates, the relative steepness of interest rate curves, prepayment rates on our investments, competition for investments, and economic conditions and their impact on the credit performance of our investments. In addition, the performance of our investment portfolio and the availability of investments at acceptable return levels is influenced by actions taken by, and policy measures of, the U.S. government, including the Federal Housing Finance Administration and the U. S. Department of the Treasury (the "Treasury"), and actions taken by and policy measures of the U.S. Federal Reserve.
In addition, our business model may be impacted by other factors such as the availability and cost of financing and the state of the overall credit markets. Reductions in the availability of financing for our investments could significantly impact our business and force us to sell assets that we otherwise would not sell, potentially at losses or at amounts below their true fair value. Other factors also impacting our business include changes in regulatory requirements, including requirements to qualify for registration under the 1940 Act and REIT requirements.
Investing in mortgage-related securities on a leveraged basis subjects us to a number of risks including interest rate risk, prepayment and reinvestment risk, credit risk, market value risk and liquidity risk, which are discussed in Item 1A, "Risk Factors" of Part I and in Item 7,"Liquidity and Capital Resources" as well as in Item 7A, "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk" of Part II of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. Please see these Items for detailed discussion of these risks and the potential impact on our results of operations and financial condition.
Operating Policies and Restrictions
We operate our business pursuant to our Operating Policies as approved by our Board of Directors, which consist of our Investment Management and Investment Risk Policies. These policies set forth investment and risk limitations as they relate to the Company's investment activities and are reviewed annually by the Board. We also manage our operations and investments to comply with various REIT limitations (as discussed further below in “Federal Income Tax Considerations”) and to avoid qualifying as an investment company as such term is defined in the 1940 Act or as a commodity pool operator under the Commodity Exchange Act and the rules and regulations promulgated thereunder.
In implementing the Operating Policies with respect to non-Agency MBS, we limit our purchases to MBS which are rated investment-grade by at least one nationally recognized statistical ratings organization. We also conduct our own independent evaluation of the credit risk on any non-Agency MBS, such that we do not rely solely on the security’s credit rating.
The Operating Policies also limit the overall leverage of the Company to seven times our shareholders’ equity capital, up to ten times our equity capital invested in Agency MBS, and six times our equity capital invested in non-Agency MBS. In addition, among other things, there are limitations on interest rate and convexity risk, and our earnings at risk and our shareholders’ equity at risk due to changes in interest rates, prepayment rates, investment prices and spreads. The Operating Policies require us to perform a variety of stress tests on the investment portfolio value and liquidity from adverse market conditions.
Investment Philosophy and Strategy
Our investment philosophy is based on a top-down approach and forms the foundation of our investment strategy. We focus on the expected risk-adjusted outcome of any investment which, given our use of leverage, must include the terms of financing and the expected liquidity of the investment. Key points of our investment philosophy and strategy include the following:
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• | understanding macroeconomic conditions including the current state of the U.S. and global economies, the regulatory environment, competition for assets, and the availability of financing; |
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• | sector analysis including understanding absolute returns, relative returns and risk-adjusted returns; |
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• | security and financing analysis including sensitivity analysis on credit, interest rate volatility, and market value risk; and |
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• | managing performance and portfolio risks, including interest rate, credit, prepayment, and liquidity risks. |
In executing our investment strategy, we seek to balance the various risks of owning mortgage assets with the earnings opportunity on the investment. We believe our strategy of investing in Agency and non-Agency mortgage assets provides superior diversification of these risks across our investment portfolio and therefore provides ample opportunities to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns while preserving our shareholders’ capital. We also believe that our shorter duration strategy will provide less volatility in our results and our book value per common share than strategies which invest in longer duration assets with potentially more interest rate risk.
The performance of our investment portfolio will depend on many factors including interest rates, trends of interest rates, the steepness of interest rate curves, prepayment rates on our investments, competition for investments, economic conditions and their impact on the credit performance of our investments, and actions taken by the U.S. government, including the U.S. Federal Reserve and the United States Department of the Treasury (the “Treasury”). In addition, our business model may be impacted by other factors such as the state of the overall credit markets, which could impact the availability and costs of financing. See “Factors that Affect Our Results of Operations and Financial Condition” above and "Risk Factors-Risks Related to Our Business" in Item 1A of Part I of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for further discussion.
Financing and Hedging Strategy
We finance our investments primarily through the use of repurchase agreements, and to a lesser extent, non-recourse collateralized financing.
Repurchase Agreements. Repurchase agreement financing is uncommitted short-term financing in which we pledge our MBS as collateral to secure loans made by the repurchase agreement counterparty. Repurchase agreements generally have terms of 30-90 days, though in some instances longer terms may be available, and carry a rate of interest which is usually based on a spread to one-month LIBOR and fixed for the term of the agreement. The amount borrowed under a repurchase agreement is limited by the lender to a percentage of the estimated market value of the pledged collateral, which is generally up to 95% of the estimated market value for Agency MBS and up to 90% for higher credit quality non-Agency MBS. The difference between the market value of the pledged MBS collateral and the amount of the repurchase agreement is the amount of equity we have in the position and is intended to provide the lender some protection against fluctuations of value in the collateral and/or the failure by us to repay the borrowing at maturity.
If the fair value of the MBS pledged as collateral declines, lenders may require that we pledge additional assets to collateralize the outstanding repurchase agreement borrowings by initiating a margin call. Our pledged collateral fluctuates in value primarily as a result of principal payments and changes in market interest rates and spreads, prevailing market yields, actual or anticipated prepayment speeds and other market conditions. Lenders may also initiate margin calls during periods of market stress as a result of actual or expected volatility in asset prices. There is no minimum amount of collateral value decline required before the lender could initiate a margin call. If we fail to meet any margin call, our lenders have the right to terminate the repurchase
agreement and sell the collateral pledged. We attempt to maintain cash and other liquid securities in sufficient amounts to manage our exposure to margin calls by lenders.
Repurchase agreement financing is provided principally by major financial institutions and broker-dealers. A significant source of liquidity for the repurchase agreement market is money market funds which provide collateral-based lending to the financial institutions and broker-dealer community that, in turn, is provided to the repurchase agreement market. In order to reduce our exposure to counterparty-related risk, we generally seek to diversify our exposure by entering into repurchase agreements with multiple lenders.
For further discussion of repurchase agreement financing, please refer to "Liquidity and Capital Resources" in Item 7 of Part II of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Non-Recourse Collateralized Financing. We utilize securitization financing to finance securitized mortgage loans and certain MBS. Securitization financing is term financing collateralized by securitized mortgage loans and is non-recourse to us. Each series of securitization financing may consist of various classes of bonds at either fixed or variable rates of interest and having varying repayment terms. Payments received on securitized mortgage loans and reinvestment income earned thereon is used to make payments on the securitization financing bonds.
Hedging Strategy. Our hedging strategy is designed to reduce the impact on our income and shareholders’ equity caused by the adverse effects of changes in interest rates. Generally in a period of rising rates our net income may be negatively impacted from our borrowing costs increasing faster than income on our assets, and our shareholders’ equity may decline as a result of declining market values of our MBS. In hedging the risk of changes in interest rates, we principally utilize interest rate swap agreements, but may also utilize interest rate cap or floor agreements, futures contracts, put and call options on securities or securities underlying futures contracts, forward rate agreements, or swaptions. Unless the interpretation of rules established pursuant to the Dodd-Frank Act changes, we will have significant collateral posting requirements for swaps entered into subsequent to June 10, 2013. These posting requirements will make swaps significantly more expensive for the Company and may force us to utilize other strategies of hedging our interest rate risk. For further discussion, please refer to Item 1A, "Risk Factors" contained within Part I of the Annual Report on Form 10-K.
As of December 31, 2012, our hedging instruments consisted solely of interest rate swap agreements. Typically in an interest rate swap transaction, we will pay an agreed upon fixed rate of interest determined at the time of entering into the agreement for a period typically between two and seven years while receiving interest based on a floating rate such as LIBOR. We intend to comply with REIT and tax limitations on our hedging instruments and also intend to limit our use of hedging instruments to only those described above. We also intend to enter into hedging transactions only with counterparties that we believe have a strong credit rating to help mitigate the risk of counterparty default or insolvency.
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
The public mortgage REIT industry has grown significantly since the beginning of 2008 and includes approximately 33 companies with a total market capitalization of $59.0 billion as of December 31, 2012. Mortgage REITs provide liquidity to the U.S. real estate markets through the purchase of RMBS and CMBS and through the origination or purchase of mortgage loans. The business models of mortgage REITs range from investing only in Agency MBS to investing substantially in non-investment grade MBS and loans. Each mortgage REIT will assume risks in its investment strategy. Whereas we invest in shorter-duration and higher quality MBS in order to mitigate interest rate risk and credit risk, other mortgage REITs may be willing to accept more of these risks than we are and invest in longer-duration or lower-quality assets.
Given the need for private capital to replace the capital currently supporting mortgage finance (from governmental and quasi-governmental public entities such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, GNMA and the Federal Reserve), we believe that mortgage REITs will continue to increase in importance to the U.S. housing and mortgage finance industries. In addition, the uncertainty around regulation of financial institutions under the Dodd-Frank Act, minimum capital standards that may be implemented under the Basel III Accord, increased risk-weightings for certain types of mortgage loans held by depository institutions, and other potential regulatory changes, may further impact capital formation in the U.S. mortgage market which could favor mortgage REITs. There are potential consequences to increased regulation however, including increasing borrowing costs or reduced availability
of repurchase agreement financing and the requirement to post significant amounts of margin in order to enter into derivative transactions such as interest rate swaps as discussed above, among other things. In addition, as further discussed in Item 1A, "Risk Factors" below, the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") is reviewing the exemption currently used by most mortgage REITs under the 1940 Act. If the SEC ultimately restricts the use of such exemption, mortgage REIT business models will likely be severely restricted.
COMPETITION
The financial services industry in which we compete is a highly competitive market. In purchasing investments and obtaining financing, we compete with other mortgage REITs, broker dealers and investment banking firms, mutual funds, banks, hedge funds, mortgage bankers, insurance companies, governmental bodies, and other entities, many of which have greater financial resources and a lower cost of capital than we do. Increased competition in the market may reduce the available supply of investments and may drive prices of investments to unacceptable levels which would negatively impact our ability to earn an acceptable amount of income from these investments. Competition can also reduce the availability of borrowing capacity at our repurchase agreement counterparties as such capacity is not unlimited, and many of our repurchase agreement counterparties limit the amount of financing they offer to the mortgage REIT industry.
FEDERAL INCOME TAX CONSIDERATIONS
As a REIT, we are required to abide by certain requirements for qualification as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the “Code”). To retain our REIT status, the REIT rules generally require that we invest primarily in real estate-related assets, that our activities be passive rather than active and that we distribute annually to our shareholders substantially all of our taxable income, after certain deductions, including deductions for our tax net operating loss (“NOL”) carryforward. We could be subject to income tax if we failed to satisfy those requirements. We use the calendar year for both tax and financial reporting purposes.
We estimate that our NOL carryforward was approximately $135.9 million as of December 31, 2012, subject to the completion of our 2012 federal income tax return. The NOL expires substantially beginning in 2020. We can utilize our NOL carryforward to offset our taxable earnings after taking the REIT distribution requirements into account. As a result of our public offering of common stock in February 2012, we incurred an "ownership change" as such term is defined in Section 382 of the Code. Based on management's analysis and expert third-party advice, which necessarily includes certain assumptions regarding the characterization under Section 382 of our use of capital raised by us, we determined that the ownership change under Section 382 limits our ability to use our NOL carryforward to a maximum amount of $13.4 million per year. This annual limitation may effectively limit the cumulative amount of pre-ownership change losses, including certain recognized built-in losses, that we may utilize.
There may be differences between taxable income and income computed in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”). These differences primarily arise from timing differences in the recognition of revenue and expense for tax and GAAP purposes.
Failure to satisfy certain Code requirements could cause us to lose our status as a REIT. If we failed to qualify as a REIT for any taxable year, we may be subject to federal income tax (including any applicable alternative minimum tax) at regular corporate rates and would not receive deductions for dividends paid to shareholders. We could, however, utilize our NOL carryforward to offset any taxable income. In addition, given the size of our NOL carryforward, we could pursue a business plan in the future in which we would voluntarily forego our REIT status. If we lost or otherwise surrendered our status as a REIT, we could not elect REIT status again for five years. Several of our investments in securitized mortgage loans have ownership restrictions limiting their ownership to REITs. Therefore, if we chose to forego our REIT status, we would have to sell these investments or otherwise provide for REIT ownership of these investments. In addition, many of our repurchase agreement lenders require us to maintain our REIT status. If we lost our REIT status these lenders have the right to terminate any repurchase agreement borrowings at that time.
We also have a taxable REIT subsidiary (“TRS”), which had an NOL carryforward of approximately $4.2 million as of December 31, 2012, subject to the completion of our 2012 federal income tax return. The TRS has limited operations, and, accordingly, we have established a full valuation allowance for the related deferred tax asset.
Qualification as a REIT
Qualification as a REIT requires that we satisfy a variety of tests relating to our income, assets, distributions and ownership. The significant tests are summarized below.
Sources of Income. To continue qualifying as a REIT, we must satisfy two distinct tests with respect to the sources of our income: the “75% income test” and the “95% income test.” The 75% income test requires that we derive at least 75% of our gross income (excluding gross income from prohibited transactions) from certain real estate-related sources. In order to satisfy the 95% income test, 95% of our gross income for the taxable year must consist of either income that qualifies under the 75% income test or certain other types of passive income.
If we fail to meet either the 75% income test or the 95% income test, or both, in a taxable year, we might nonetheless continue to qualify as a REIT, if our failure was due to reasonable cause and not willful neglect and the nature and amounts of our items of gross income were properly disclosed to the Internal Revenue Service. However, in such a case we would be required to pay a tax equal to 100% of any excess non-qualifying income.
Nature and Diversification of Assets. At the end of each calendar quarter, we must meet multiple asset tests. Under the “75% asset test”, at least 75% of the value of our total assets must represent cash or cash items (including receivables), government securities or real estate assets. Under the “10% asset test,” we may not own more than 10% of the outstanding voting power or value of securities of any single non-governmental issuer, provided such securities do not qualify under the 75% asset test or relate to taxable REIT subsidiaries. Under the “5% asset test,” ownership of any stocks or securities that do not qualify under the 75% asset test must be limited, in respect of any single non-governmental issuer, to an amount not greater than 5% of the value of our total assets (excluding ownership of any taxable REIT subsidiaries).
If we inadvertently fail to satisfy one or more of the asset tests at the end of a calendar quarter, such failure would not cause us to lose our REIT status, provided that (i) we satisfied all of the asset tests at the close of the preceding calendar quarter and (ii) the discrepancy between the values of our assets and the standards imposed by the asset tests either did not exist immediately after the acquisition of any particular asset or was not wholly or partially caused by such an acquisition. If the condition described in clause (ii) of the preceding sentence was not satisfied, we still could avoid disqualification by eliminating any discrepancy within 30 days after the close of the calendar quarter in which it arose.
Ownership. In order to maintain our REIT status, we must not be deemed to be closely held and must have more than 100 shareholders. The closely held prohibition requires that not more than 50% of the value of our outstanding shares be owned by five or fewer persons at any time during the last half of our taxable year. The "more than 100 shareholders" rule requires that we have at least 100 shareholders for 335 days of a twelve-month taxable year. In the event that we failed to satisfy the ownership requirements we would be subject to fines and be required to take curative action to meet the ownership requirements in order to maintain our REIT status.
EMPLOYEES
As of December 31, 2012, we have 17 employees and one corporate office in Glen Allen, Virginia. None of our employees are covered by any collective bargaining agreements, and we are not aware of any union organizing activity relating to our employees.
Executive Officers of the Registrant
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Name (Age) | | Current Title | | Business Experience |
Thomas B. Akin (60) | | Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer
| | Chief Executive Officer since February 2008; Chairman of the Board since 2003; managing general partner of Talkot Capital, LLC since 1995.
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Byron L. Boston (54) | | President, Chief Investment Officer and Director | | President and Director effective March 1, 2012; Chief Investment Officer since April 2008; President of Boston Consulting Group from November 2006 to April 2008; Vice Chairman and Executive Vice President of Sunset Financial Resources, Inc. from January 2004 to October 2006. |
Stephen J. Benedetti (50) | | Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer | | Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer since November 2005; Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer from September 2001 to November 2005 and beginning again in February 2008.
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AVAILABLE INFORMATION
We are subject to the reporting requirements of the Exchange Act and its rules and regulations. The Exchange Act requires us to file reports, proxy statements, and other information with the SEC. Copies of these reports, proxy statements, and other information can be read and copied at:
SEC Public Reference Room
100 F Street, N.E.
Washington, D.C. 20549
Information on the operation of the Public Reference Room may be obtained by calling the SEC at 1-800-SEC-0330. The SEC maintains a website that contains reports, proxy statements, and other information regarding issuers that file electronically with the SEC. These materials may be obtained electronically by accessing the SEC’s home page at www.sec.gov.
Our website can be found at www.dynexcapital.com. Our annual reports on Form 10-K, our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and our current reports on Form 8-K, and amendments to those reports, filed or furnished pursuant to Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Exchange Act, are made available free of charge through our website as soon as reasonably practicable after such material is electronically filed with or furnished to the SEC.
We have adopted a Code of Business Conduct and Ethics (“Code of Conduct”) that applies to all of our employees, officers and directors. Our Code of Conduct is also available free of charge on our website, along with our Audit Committee Charter, our Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee Charter, and our Compensation Committee Charter. We will post on our website amendments to the Code of Conduct or waivers from its provisions, if any, which are applicable to any of our directors or executive officers in accordance with SEC or NYSE requirements.
ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS
Our business is subject to various risks, including those described below. Our business, operating results, and financial condition could be materially and adversely affected by any of these risks. Please note that additional risks not presently known to us or that we currently deem immaterial could also impair our business, operating results, and financial condition.
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Risks Related to Our Business | 8 |
Risks Related to Regulatory and Legal Requirements | 20 |
Risks Related to Owning Our Stock | 24 |
Risks Related to Our Business
Our business model depends on our ability to access the credit markets to finance our investments. Our inability to access financing on reasonable terms could materially adversely affect our operations, financial condition and business which may, in turn, negatively affect the market price of our stock.
We depend heavily upon the availability of adequate funding for our investment activities, with such funding primarily consisting of repurchase agreement financing. Our access to financing depends upon a number of factors, over which we have little or no control, including:
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• | general market and economic conditions; |
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• | the actual or perceived financial condition of credit market participants including banks, broker-dealers, hedge funds, and money-market funds, among others; |
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• | the impact of governmental policies and/or regulations on institutions with respect to activities in the credit markets; |
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• | market perception of quality and liquidity of the type of assets in which we invest; and |
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• | market perception of our financial strength. |
Repurchase agreements are short-term commitments of capital. Disruptions or volatility in the credit and repurchase agreement markets can and do periodically occur and can result in diminished financing capacity for mortgage securities. These events can lead to adverse impacts on the values of mortgage securities. If a severe event were to occur, lenders may be unwilling or unable to provide financing for our investments or may be willing to provide financing only at much higher rates. This may impact our profitability by increasing our borrowing costs or by forcing us to sell assets. In an extreme case, this may also result in our inability to finance some or all of our securities which could force us to liquidate all or portions of our investment portfolio, potentially in an adverse market environment.
In addition, it is possible that the lenders that provide us with financing could experience changes in their ability or willingness to provide financing, independent of our performance or the value of our assets. Such changes could occur as a result of regulatory changes for our lenders, market conditions or their financial condition. If major market participants exit the financing markets or otherwise restrict their financing to us, it would increase the competition for available repurchase agreement financing, which could adversely affect the marketability and value of our securities and other financial assets in which we invest and could force us to sell assets potentially when asset prices are depressed. These actions would negatively impact our book value and our profitability.
The amount of financing we receive under our repurchase agreements will be directly related to the lenders' valuation of the assets that secure outstanding borrowings. Typically, repurchase agreements grant the respective lender the right to reevaluate the market value of the assets that secure outstanding borrowings at any time. If a lender determines that the value of the assets has decreased, it has the right to initiate a margin call. A margin call would require us to transfer additional assets to such lender or to repay a portion of the outstanding borrowings. Any such margin call could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition, business, liquidity and ability to make distributions to shareholders, and could cause the value of our common stock to decline. We may be forced to sell assets at significantly depressed prices to meet margin calls and to maintain adequate liquidity, which could cause us to incur losses. Moreover, to the extent that we are forced to sell assets because of changes in market conditions, other market participants may face similar pressures, which could exacerbate a difficult market environment, further depress market values of our assets and result in significantly greater losses on our sale of such assets. In an extreme case of market duress, a market may not exist for certain of our assets at any price.
In addition, if repurchase agreement financing were not available or if it were not available on reasonable terms, we could implement a strategy of reducing our leverage by selling assets or not replacing MBS as they amortize and/or prepay, thereby decreasing the outstanding amount of our related borrowings. Such an action would likely reduce interest income, interest expense and net income, the extent of which would depend on the level of reduction in assets and liabilities as well as the sale prices for which the assets were sold.
Repurchase agreements are generally uncommitted short-term financings and changes to terms of such financing may adversely affect our profitability.
Repurchase agreements are uncommitted financings from lenders with an average term of ninety days or less. Since we rely heavily on borrowings under repurchase agreements to finance certain of our investments, our ability to achieve our investment and profitability objectives depends on our ability to borrow in sufficient amounts and on favorable terms and to renew or replace maturing borrowings on a continuous basis. If the terms on which we borrow change in a meaningful way, our profitability may be impacted which could reduce distributions to our shareholders.
A decline in the market value of our assets may cause our book value to decline and may result in margin calls that could force us to sell assets under adverse market conditions.
The market value of our assets is generally determined by the marketplace on a spread to the Treasury and or LIBOR swap interest rate curves and generally will move inversely to changes in interest rates (i.e., as Treasury and/or LIBOR rates increase, the value of our investments will decrease). The movement of the Treasury and LIBOR swap curves can result from a variety of factors, including but not limited to factors such as Federal Reserve policy, market inflation expectations, and market perceptions of risk. In periods of high volatility, spreads on our investments to the respective interest rate curve may increase, which would have the same consequence for the value of our assets as if the underlying interest rate curve had increased. As most of our investments are considered available for sale under GAAP and are therefore carried at fair value in our financial statements, the decline in value would cause our shareholders’ equity to correspondingly decline.
Because we utilize recourse collateralized financing such as repurchase agreements, a decline in the market value of our investments may limit our ability to borrow against these assets or result in our lenders initiating margin calls and requiring a pledge of additional collateral or cash. Posting additional collateral or cash to support our borrowings would reduce our liquidity and limit our ability to leverage our assets, which could adversely affect our business. As a result, we could be forced to sell some of our assets in order to maintain liquidity. Forced sales typically result in lower sales prices than do market sales made in the normal course of business. If our investments were liquidated at prices below the amortized cost basis of such investments, we would incur losses, which could result in a rapid deterioration of our financial condition.
Our inability to meet certain covenants in our repurchase agreements and derivative instruments could adversely affect our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
In connection with certain of our repurchase agreements and derivative instruments, we are required to maintain certain financial and financial covenants. The most restrictive requires that, on any date, we have (i) a minimum of $30 million of liquidity; (ii) a minimum shareholders' equity of $100 million; and (iii) and a maximum debt-to-equity ratio of 9-to-1. In addition, virtually all of our repurchase agreements require us to maintain our status as a REIT and to be exempted from the provisions of the 1940 Act. Compliance with these covenants depends on market factors and the strength of our business and operating results. Various risks, uncertainties and events beyond our control could affect our ability to comply with these covenants. Failure to comply with these covenants could result in an event of default, termination of a repurchase agreement, acceleration of all amounts owing under the repurchase agreement, and generally gives the counterparty the right to exercise certain other remedies under the repurchase agreement, including the sale of the asset subject to repurchase at the time of default, unless we were able to negotiate a waiver in connection with any such default related to failure to comply with a covenant. Any such waiver could be conditioned on an amendment to the repurchase agreement and any related guaranty agreement on terms that may be unfavorable to us. If we are unable to negotiate a covenant waiver or replace or refinance our assets under a new repurchase facility on favorable terms or at all, our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows could be adversely affected. Further, certain of our repurchase agreements have cross-default, cross-acceleration or similar provisions, such that if we were to violate a covenant under one repurchase agreement, that violation could lead to defaults, accelerations or other adverse events under other repurchase agreements, as well.
We finance our non-Agency MBS with a limited number of repurchase agreement lenders. A withdrawal by one or more of these lenders could force us to sell our non-Agency MBS at potentially distressed prices which could impact our profitability. It could also cause other lenders to withdraw financing for our Agency MBS.
Non-Agency MBS historically have more price volatility than Agency MBS which limits the number of lenders willing to provide repurchase agreement financing for these securities. In a period of price volatility, we may be subject to margin calls which could adversely impact our liquidity. These margin calls could result from price volatility in the non-Agency MBS or from higher margin requirements by the lender in order to provide additional collateral as a result of the price volatility. In addition, lenders may no longer offer financing of non-Agency MBS which could force us to sell some or all of these investments if we could not find replacement financing. In either instance we may be required to sell assets which could negatively impact our profitability. In an extreme situation, if we lost significant amounts of financing or if we received a significant amount of margin calls on our non-Agency MBS, other lenders may also seek to reduce their financing of our Agency MBS. In such a case we would likely have to sell additional investments to maintain our liquidity.
Adverse developments involving major financial institutions or one of our lenders could also result in a rapid reduction in our ability to borrow and adversely affect our business and profitability.
Since 2008, events in the financial markets relating to major financial institutions have raised concerns that a material adverse development involving one or more major financial institutions could result in our lenders reducing our access to funds available under our repurchase agreements. Such a disruption could cause our lenders to reduce or terminate our access to future borrowings. In such a scenario, we may be forced to sell investments under adverse market conditions. We may also be unable to purchase additional investments without access to additional financing. Either of these events could adversely affect our business and profitability.
If a lender to us in a repurchase transaction defaults on its obligation to resell the underlying security back to us at the end of the transaction term, or if we default on our obligations under a repurchase agreement, we will incur losses.
Repurchase agreement transactions are legally structured as the sale of a security to a lender in return for cash from the lender. These transactions are accounted for as financing agreements because the lenders are obligated to resell the same securities back to us at the end of the transaction term. Because the cash we receive from the lender when we initially sell the securities to the lender is less than the value of those securities, if the lender defaults on its obligation to resell the same securities back to us, we would incur a loss on the transaction equal to the difference between the value of the securities sold and the amount borrowed from the lender. The lender may default on its obligation to resell if it experiences financial difficulty or if the lender has re-hypothecated the security to another party who fails to transfer the security to the lender. Additionally, if we default on one of our obligations under a repurchase agreement, the lender can terminate the transaction, sell the underlying collateral and cease entering into any other repurchase transactions with us. Any losses we incur on our repurchase transactions could adversely affect our earnings and reduce our ability to pay dividends to our shareholders.
A decrease or lack of liquidity in our investments may adversely affect our business, including our ability to value and sell our assets.
We invest in securities that are not publicly traded in liquid markets. Though Agency MBS are generally deemed to be a very liquid security, turbulent market conditions in the past have at times significantly and negatively impacted the liquidity of these assets. This has resulted in periods of reduced pricing for Agency MBS from our repurchase agreement lenders. In extreme cases, financing might not be available for certain Agency MBS. Generally, our lenders will value Agency MBS based on liquidation value in periods of significant market volatility.
With respect to non-Agency MBS, such securities typically experience greater price volatility than Agency MBS as there is no guaranty of payment by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and they can be more difficult to value. In addition, third-party pricing for non-Agency MBS may be more subjective than for Agency MBS. As such, non-Agency MBS are typically less liquid than Agency MBS and are subject to a greater risk of repurchase agreement financing not being available, market value reductions, and/or lower advance rates and higher costs from lenders.
Illiquidity in our investment portfolio may make it difficult for us to sell certain investment securities if the need or desire arises. In addition, if we are required to liquidate all or a portion of our portfolio quickly, we may realize significantly less than the value at which we have previously recorded certain of our investment securities. As a result, our ability to vary our portfolio in response to changes in economic and other conditions may be relatively limited, which could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.
The adoption of the Dodd-Frank Act and future regulations implementing this and other legislation that affects the mortgage industry and the RMBS markets may have an adverse impact on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
On July 21, 2010, the President signed into law major financial services reform legislation in the form of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, or the Dodd-Frank Act. The Dodd-Frank Act significantly changes the regulation of financial institutions and the financial services industry, including the mortgage industry. The Dodd-Frank Act tasks many agencies with issuing a variety of new regulations, including rules related to mortgage origination and servicing, securitization and derivatives. Because a number of regulations under the Dodd-Frank Act have yet to be proposed or adopted, it is not yet known how these additional regulations will ultimately affect the borrowing environment, the investing environment for RMBS, or interest rate swaps and other derivatives. Consequently, it is not possible for us to predict how additional regulation pursuant to the Dodd-Frank Act will affect our business, and there can be no assurance that the Dodd-Frank Act will not have an adverse impact on our results of operations and financial condition.
In addition to the Dodd-Frank Act, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision in 2009 published Basel III, a comprehensive set of reform measures to strengthen the regulation, supervision and risk management of the banking sector. In June 2012 the U.S. federal banking agencies proposed rules to implement the Basel III capital standards and implement changes to the risk-weighting standards for assets held by depository institutions. These measures aim to improve the banking sector's ability to absorb shocks arising from financial and economic stress, whatever the source, improve risk management and governance, and strengthen banks' transparency and disclosures. As of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K, the U.S. federal banking regulators have delayed implementation of the proposed Basel III capital standards, and related proposed changes to risk-weightings for assets held by depository institutions, to consider the significant volume of comments received on the proposed Basel III standards. While we will not be subject to Basel III, many of our lenders will be, and it is likely that Basel III in some manner will impact the cost and availability of repurchase agreement financing when adopted and implemented.
In response to the financial crisis in 2008, the Federal Reserve has eased monetary conditions by lowering the federal funds target rate and has actively sought to put downward pressure on interest rates through the purchase of longer-term Treasury securities and fixed-rate Agency MBS. The Federal Reserve through the open market operations of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York ("FRBNY") now owns substantial amounts of Treasury securities and fixed-rate Agency MBS as a result of these efforts. If the Federal Reserve begins tightening monetary policy or if the FRBNY were to sell these securities or even announce that it intends to sell these securities, longer-term interest rates are likely to increase dramatically which could negatively impact our reported results, our operations, our liquidity and our book value.
In response to the financial crisis, and in order to mitigate its implications for the U.S. economy and financial system, the Federal Reserve aggressively eased monetary policy throughout 2008 by reducing the target for the federal funds rate. By December of 2008, the Federal Open Market Committee (“FOMC”) had reduced its target federal funds rate to a range of between 0% and 0.25% which it still maintains as of the date of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. With the target federal funds rate at the effective lower bound, the FOMC sought to provide additional policy monetary stimulus by expanding the holdings of longer term securities in its portfolio, including large-scale purchases of Treasury securities and fixed-rate Agency RMBS (which the market has referred to as quantitative easing, or "QE"). The purchases were intended to lower longer-term interest rates in general and mortgage rates in particular, and contribute to an overall easing of monetary conditions. Open market operations (i.e., the purchase and sale of securities by the Federal Reserve) have historically been the primary means by which the Federal Reserve implements monetary policy. Open market operations are conducted by the FRBNY, in compliance with authorizations, policies, and procedures established by the FOMC.
The Agency MBS purchase program was announced in November 2008 and has continued in some fashion since that time. The FOMC announced in January 2013 that it will continue to purchase through the FRBNY Agency RMBS of $40 billion per month and will reinvest the proceeds from paydowns received on its existing Agency RMBS portfolio. The FOMC is also purchasing $45 billion per month in longer-term Treasury securities. Taken together, the FOMC has said that it expects these actions should maintain downward pressure on longer-term interest rates, support mortgage markets, and help to make broader financial conditions more accommodative. The FOMC has also indicated that it will closely monitor information on economic and financial developments in coming months. If the outlook for the U.S. labor market does not improve substantially, the FOMC has said that it will continue its purchases of Treasury and Agency MBS, and employ its other policy tools as appropriate, until
such improvement is achieved in a context of price stability. In determining the size, pace, and composition of its asset purchases, the FOMC has said that it will take appropriate account of the likely efficacy and costs of such purchases.
The actions of the Federal Reserve in the context of modern U.S. financial history is unprecedented. The potential market volatility from the Federal Reserve's future withdrawal of support via these asset purchases may be extreme. Further, the ultimate disposition of securities purchased by the Federal Reserve is not known and significant price volatility could occur. In such a case, it is likely that prices could decline which would cause a decline in our book value and also could result in margin calls by our lenders with respect to Agency MBS that are pledged as collateral for repurchase agreements. If declines in prices are substantial, this could force us to sell assets at a loss or at an otherwise inopportune time in order to meet margin calls or repay lenders.
In addition, by keeping the effective targeted federal funds rate at the range of between 0% and 0.25%, the Federal Reserve has kept short-term interest rates low which has benefited our borrowing costs. Once the Federal Reserve announces a higher targeted range or if markets determine that the Federal Reserve is likely to announce a higher target range, our borrowing costs are likely to increase which will negatively impact our results of operations and could impact our financial condition and book value.
Fluctuations in interest rates may have various negative effects on us and could lead to reduced profitability and a lower book value.
Fluctuations in interest rates impact us in a number of ways. For example, in a period of rising rates, we may experience a decline in our profitability from borrowing rates increasing faster than our assets reset or from our investments adjusting less frequently or relative to a different index (e.g., one-year LIBOR) from our borrowings (which are typically based on one-month LIBOR). We may also experience a reduction in the market value of our Agency MBS and non-Agency MBS as a result of higher yield requirements for these types of securities by the market. In a period of declining interest rates, we may experience increasing prepayments resulting in reduced profitability and returns of our capital in lower yielding investments as discussed elsewhere. Although we cannot predict the occurrence or precise impact of future interest rate fluctuations, such fluctuations could negatively impact our results of operations, and could impact our financial condition and book value.
Many of our investments are financed with borrowings which have shorter maturity or interest-reset terms than the associated investment. In addition, both our Agency and non-Agency CMBS are fixed-rate, and a significant portion of our Agency RMBS have a fixed rate of interest for a certain period of time and then reset semi-annually or annually based on an index such as the six-month or one-year LIBOR or one-year CMT. These securities are financed with repurchase agreements which bear interest based predominantly on one-month LIBOR, and generally have initial maturities between 30 and 90 days. In a period of rising rates, rates on our borrowings will typically increase faster than rates on our assets reset, which may result in a reduction in our net interest income. The severity of any such decline would depend on our asset/liability composition at the time as well as the magnitude and period over which interest rates increase.
Additionally, increases in interest rates may negatively affect the market value of our securities. In some instances increases in short-term rates are rapid enough that short-term rates equal or exceed medium/long-term rates resulting in a flat or inverted yield curve. Any fixed-rate or hybrid ARM investments will generally be more negatively affected by these increases than securities whose interest-rate periodically adjusts. For those securities that we carry at estimated market value in our financial statements, we are required to reduce our shareholders’ equity, or book value, by the amount of any decrease in the market value of these securities. In addition, as mentioned elsewhere in these Risk Factors, reductions in market value of our securities could result in margin calls from our lenders and could result in our being forced to sell securities at a loss.
Interest rate caps on the ARMs collateralizing our investments may adversely affect our profitability if interest rates increase.
Because the interest rates on the mortgage loans collateralizing ARM securities are typically based on an interest rate index such as LIBOR, the coupons earned on ARM securities adjust over time. The level of adjustment on the interest rates on ARM securities is limited by contract and is based on the limitations of the underlying ARMs. Such mortgage loans typically have interim, or periodic, and lifetime interest rate caps which limit the amount by which the interest rates can adjust. Periodic interest rate caps limit the amount interest rates can adjust during any given period. Lifetime interest rate caps limit the amount interest rates can adjust from inception through maturity of a particular loan. In a sustained period of rising interest rates or a period in which interest rates rise rapidly, interest on our ARM securities could be limited due to the ARM securities reaching their periodic
or lifetime interest rate caps. We may experience price volatility as ARM securities approach their caps. We may also experience a decline in our profitability as the repurchase agreements which finance our ARM securities have no periodic or lifetime interest rate caps.
Our business model depends in part on the continued viability of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are currently under conservatorship by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (“FHFA”). As conservator, the FHFA has assumed all the powers of the shareholders, directors and officers of the GSEs with the goal of preserving and conserving their assets. Both Fannie Mae's and Freddie Mac's solvency is being supported by the Treasury through their committed purchases of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac preferred stock. The ultimate impact on the operations of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac from the conservatorships and the support they receive from the U.S. government is not determinable and could affect Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in such a way that our business, operations and financial condition may be adversely affected.
In 2008, the FHFA placed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac under federal conservatorship. As its conservator, the FHFA has broad regulatory powers over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and has entered into Preferred Stock Purchase Agreements, as amended, (“PSPAs”) pursuant to which the Treasury ensures that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will separately maintain a positive net worth by committing to purchase preferred stock of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
The problems faced by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which resulted in their placement into federal conservatorship and receipt of significant U.S. government support, have sparked debate among federal policy makers regarding the continued role of the U.S. government in providing liquidity for mortgage loans and Agency MBS. On February 21, 2012, the FHFA released its Strategic Plan for Enterprise Conservatorships, which set forth three goals for the next phase of the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac conservatorships. These three goals are to (i) build a new infrastructure for the secondary mortgage market, (ii) gradually contract Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's presence in the marketplace while simplifying and shrinking their operations, and (iii) maintain foreclosure prevention activities and credit availability for new and refinanced mortgages. On October 4, 2012, the FHFA released its white paper entitled Building a New Infrastructure for the Secondary Mortgage Market, which proposes a new infrastructure for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that has two basic goals. The first goal is to replace the current, outdated infrastructures of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac with a common, more efficient infrastructure that aligns the standards and practices of the two entities, beginning with core functions performed by both entities such as issuance, master servicing, bond administration, collateral management and data integration. The second goal is to establish an operating framework for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that is consistent with the progress of housing finance reform and encourages and accommodates the increased participation of private capital in assuming credit risk associated with the secondary mortgage market.
The FHFA recognizes that there are a number of impediments to their goals which may or may not be surmountable, such as the absence of any significant secondary mortgage market mechanisms beyond Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and that its proposals are in the formative stages. As a result, it is unclear if the proposals will be enacted in any form and, if enacted, how closely what is enacted will resemble the original proposals from the FHFA White Paper.
With Fannie Mae's and Freddie Mac's future under debate, the nature of their future guarantee obligations could be considerably limited. Any changes to the nature of their guarantee obligations could redefine what constitutes an Agency MBS and could have broad adverse implications for the market and our business, operations and financial condition. If Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac are eliminated, or their structures change significantly (e.g., limitation or removal of the guarantee obligation), we may be unable to acquire additional Agency MBS. This would remove a material component of our investment strategy and would make it more difficult for us to comply with the provisions of the 1940 Act (see further discussion below regarding the 1940 Act).
Although the Treasury has committed to the solvency of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, there can be no assurance that these actions will be adequate for their needs. If these actions are inadequate, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could fail to honor their guarantees and other obligations. If Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were unwilling or unable to honor the guarantee of payment on Agency MBS, or were perceived to be less likely to honor fully such guarantees, we could potentially incur substantial losses on such securities and experience extreme market price volatility. We rely on our Agency MBS as collateral for our financings under our repurchase agreements. Any decline in their value, or perceived market uncertainty about their value, would make it more difficult for us to obtain financing on acceptable terms or at all, or to maintain our compliance with the terms of any financing transactions.
Future policies that change the relationship between Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the U.S. government, including those that result in their winding down, nationalization, privatization, or elimination, may create market uncertainty and have the effect of reducing the actual or perceived credit quality of securities issued or guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. As a result, such policies could increase the risk of loss on investments in Agency MBS guaranteed by Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac. It also is possible that such policies could adversely impact the market for such securities and spreads at which they trade. All of the foregoing could materially and adversely affect our business, operations and financial condition.
Global sovereign credit risk could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and liquidity.
Sovereign credit in the United States and Europe is currently under pressure as a result of large budget deficits, fiscal imbalances and below trend growth or negative growth. While we do not borrow directly from any sovereign, global risk appetite is impacted by changes in actual or perceived credit risk of the United States, Europe and Asia. Adverse changes in sovereign credit ratings could have a material adverse impact on financial markets and economic conditions in the United States and worldwide, and on the availability of financing as well as the price of securities that we own. Any such adverse impact could have a material adverse effect on our liquidity, financial condition and results of operations.
In addition, since Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are under conservatorship of the U.S. government which is supporting their solvency, it is unclear if any downgrade in the credit of the U.S. government would impact its ability to maintain the solvency of these entities. In such a case, the ability of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to perform pursuant to their guarantees on Agency MBS may be severely limited which could have a material adverse effect on our liquidity, financial condition and results of operations.
Changes in prepayment rates on the mortgage loans underlying our investments may adversely affect our profitability and the market value of our investments. Changes in prepayment rates also subject us to reinvestment risk.
Our investments subject us to prepayment risk to the extent that we own them at premiums to their par value. We use the effective yield method of accounting for amortization of premiums which is impacted by actual and projected borrower prepayments of principal on the loans (whether on a voluntary or involuntary basis) underlying our investments. If we experience actual prepayments in excess of forecasts or increase our expectations of future prepayment activity, we will amortize premiums on investments on an accelerated basis which may adversely affect our profitability.
Prepayments occur on both a voluntary or involuntary basis. Voluntary prepayments tend to increase when interest rates are declining or, in the case of ARMs or hybrid ARMs, based on the shape of the yield curve. CMBS in which we invest generally are protected in the case of voluntary prepayments either from absolute prepayment lock-out on the loan or compensation for future lost interest income on the loan through yield maintenance payments or prepayment penalties. The actual level of prepayments will be impacted by economic and market conditions, including new loan underwriting requirements. Involuntary prepayments tend to increase in periods of economic stress. Involuntary prepayments occur for all of our investment types, including Agency RMBS and CMBS and non-Agency RMBS and CMBS.
The value of our RMBS assets is affected by prepayment rates on the mortgage loans underlying the RMBS, and our investment strategy includes making investments based on our expectations regarding prepayment rates. Prepayment rates that are faster than anticipated may increase or decrease the value of a security, depending on the type of security and the price paid to acquire the security, and will impact the yield on the security. Prepayment rates may be affected by a number of factors including the availability of mortgage credit, the relative economic vitality of the area in which the related properties are located, the average remaining life of the loans, the average size of the remaining loans, the servicing of the mortgage loans, possible changes in tax laws, other opportunities for investment, homeowner mobility and other economic, social, geographic, demographic and legal factors. Consequently, such prepayment rates cannot be predicted with any certainty. In making investment decisions, we depend on certain assumptions based upon historical trends with respect to the relationship between interest rates and prepayments under normal market conditions. If regulatory changes, dislocations in the residential mortgage market, or other developments change the way that prepayment trends have historically responded to interest rate changes, our ability to (1) predict or make assumptions regarding prepayment rates, (2) assess the market value of target assets, (3) implement hedging strategies and (4) implement techniques to hedge prepayment risks would be significantly affected, which could materially adversely affect our financial position and results of operations. If we make erroneous assumptions regarding prepayment rates, we may experience significant investment losses.
If we receive increased prepayments of our principal in a declining or low interest rate environment, we may earn a lower return on our new investments as compared to the MBS that prepay given the declining interest rate environment. If we reinvest our capital in lower yielding investments, we will likely have lower net interest income and reduced profitability unless the cost of financing these investments declines faster than the rate at which we may reinvest.
The Treasury and Congress continue to seek ways to support the U.S. housing market and the overall U.S. economy, including seeking ways to make it easier to refinance loans owned or guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac where the borrower may have negative equity. In addition, mortgage loan modification programs and future legislative action may adversely affect the value of and the return on Agency RMBS securities in which we invest. Since we own our Agency RMBS at premiums to their par balance, we could incur substantial losses on our Agency RMBS if mortgage loan refinancings increased.
The Treasury and the Department of Housing and Urban Development ("HUD") have implemented the Home Affordable Refinance Program (or "HARP"), which allows borrowers who are current on their mortgage payments to refinance loans originated on or before May 31, 2009, with current loan-to-value ratios exceeding 80%, in order to reduce their monthly mortgage payments. HARP specifically targets borrowers that are current on their mortgage payment but who have negative equity in their home and, as a result, have been unable to refinance into a lower cost mortgage (given the decline in current mortgage rates compared to pre-May 31, 2009). HARP currently is set to expire on December 31, 2013. Many of our Agency RMBS that are collateralized by mortgage loans whose coupons exceed current mortgage interest rates are owned at premiums to their par balance. HARP initially was not as successful as intended, and recent changes to the program, particularly with respect to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's implementation of HARP, have led to increased participation in HARP and generally increased prepayment activity on Agency RMBS. If refinance activity continues to increase for Agency RMBS or if we increase forecasted prepayments on our Agency RMBS, our net interest income would be negatively impacted by the additional amortization of premium on our Agency RMBS. In addition, we may experience significant volatility in the market value of Agency RMBS as the market resets prepayment expectations on Agency RMBS. Such volatility could lead to margin calls from our repurchase agreement lenders and could force us to sell these securities under unfavorable conditions and possibly at a loss.
The Treasury and HUD have also created a number of different programs intended to assist borrowers that are struggling to make their mortgage payment that may involve, among other things, the modification of mortgage loans to reduce the principal amount of the loans (through forbearance and/or forgiveness) and/or the rate of interest payable on the loans, or to extend the payment terms of the loans. Loan modifications such as these could result in our ultimately receiving less than we are contractually due on certain of our investments. A significant number of loan modifications with respect to a given security could negatively impact the realized yields and cash flows on such security. These loan modification programs, future legislative or regulatory actions, including new mortgage loan modification programs and possible amendments to the bankruptcy laws, which result in the modification of outstanding residential mortgage loans, as well as changes in the requirements necessary to qualify for refinancing mortgage loans with Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae, may adversely affect the value of, and the returns on, our securitized single-family mortgage loans and Agency RMBS.
We invest in interest only ("IO") derivative securities issued by CMBS securitization trusts which are backed principally by multifamily mortgage loans. We could lose some or all of our investment in CMBS IO securities if the loans in the CMBS securitization trusts unexpectedly prepay.
IO securities have no principal amounts outstanding and consist only of the right to receive excess interest payments on the underlying CMBS loans included in the securitization trust. We could lose some or all of our investment in our IO securities if the underlying loans in the CMBS default and are liquidated, restructured or are otherwise repaid or refinanced prior to their expected repayment date. Such an event would cause our net income to decline and could also result in declines in market prices on our CMBS IO securities, thereby reducing our book value, resulting in margin calls from repurchase agreement lenders, and adversely affecting our financial condition. In addition, loans underlying the CMBS may be protected from voluntary prepayment through lock-out, yield maintenance, or prepayment penalty provisions. In certain IO securities, yield maintenance or prepayment penalties may not be sufficient to compensate us for the loss of future excess interest as a result of the prepayment thereby adversely affecting our results of operations.
Provisions requiring yield maintenance charges, prepayment penalties, defeasance or lock-outs in CMBS IO securities may not be enforceable
Provisions in loan documents for mortgages in CMBS IO securities in which we invest requiring yield maintenance charges, prepayment penalties, defeasance or lock-out periods may not be enforceable in some states and under federal bankruptcy law. Provisions in the loan documents requiring yield maintenance charges and prepayment penalties may also be interpreted as constituting the collection of interest for usury purposes. Accordingly, we cannot be assured that the obligation of a borrower to pay any yield maintenance charge or prepayment penalty under a loan document in a CMBS IO security will be enforceable. Also, we cannot be assured that foreclosure proceeds under a loan document in a CMBS IO security will be sufficient to pay an enforceable yield maintenance charge. If yield maintenance charges and prepayment penalties are not collected, or if a lock-out period is not enforced, we may incur losses to write-down the value of the CMBS IO security for the present value of the amounts not collected. This would also likely cause margin calls from any lender on the CMBS IO impacted.
We invest in commercial mortgage loans and CMBS collateralized by commercial mortgage loans which are secured by income producing properties. Such loans are typically made to single-asset entities, and the repayment of the loan is dependent principally on the net operating income from performance and value of the underlying property. The volatility of income performance results and property values may adversely affect our commercial mortgage loans and CMBS.
Our commercial mortgage loans and CMBS are secured by multifamily and commercial property and are subject to risks of delinquency, foreclosure, and loss. Commercial mortgage loans generally have a higher principal balance and the ability of a borrower to repay a loan secured by an income-producing property typically is dependent upon the successful operation of the property rather than upon the existence of independent income or assets of the borrower. If the net operating income of the property is reduced, the borrower's ability to repay the loan may be impaired. Net operating income of an income-producing property can be affected by, among other things: tenant mix, success of tenant businesses, property management decisions, property location and condition, competition from comparable types of properties, changes in laws that increase operating expenses or limit rents that may be charged, any need to address environmental contamination at the property, changes in national, regional or local economic conditions and/or specific industry segments, declines in regional or local real estate values and declines in regional or local rental or occupancy rates, increases in interest rates, real estate tax rates and other operating expenses, changes in governmental rules, regulations and fiscal policies, including environmental legislation, and acts of God, terrorism, social unrest and civil disturbances.
Commercial and multifamily property values and net operating income derived from them are subject to volatility and may be affected adversely by a number of factors, including, but not limited to, national, regional and local economic conditions; local real estate conditions; changes or continued weakness in specific industry segments; perceptions by prospective tenants, retailers and shoppers of the safety, convenience, services and attractiveness of the property; the willingness and ability of the property's owner to provide capable management and adequate maintenance; construction quality, age and design; demographic factors; retroactive changes to building or similar codes; and increases in operating expenses (such as energy costs).
Declines in the borrowers' net operating income and/or declines in property values of collateral securing commercial mortgage loans could result in defaults on such loans, declines in our book value from reduced earnings and/or reductions to the market value of the investment.
Credit ratings assigned to debt securities by the credit rating agencies may not accurately reflect the risks associated with those securities. Changes in credit ratings for securities we own or for similar securities might negatively impact the market value of these securities.
Rating agencies rate securities based upon their assessment of the safety of the receipt of principal and interest payments on the securities. Rating agencies do not consider the risks of fluctuations in fair value or other factors that may influence the value of securities and, therefore, the assigned credit rating may not fully reflect the true risks of an investment in securities. Also, rating agencies may fail to make timely adjustments to credit ratings based on available data or changes in economic outlook or may otherwise fail to make changes in credit ratings in response to subsequent events, so our investments may be better or worse than the ratings indicate. We attempt to reduce the impact of the risk that a credit rating may not accurately reflect the risks associated with a particular debt security by not relying solely on credit ratings as the indicator of the quality of an investment. We make our acquisition decisions after factoring in other information that we have obtained about the loans underlying the security and the
credit subordination structure of the security. Despite these efforts, our assessment of the quality of an investment may also prove to be inaccurate and we may incur credit losses in excess of our initial expectations.
Credit rating agencies may change their methods of evaluating credit risk and determining ratings on securities backed by real estate loans and securities. These changes may occur quickly and often. The market’s ability to understand and absorb these changes, and the impact to the securitization market in general, are difficult to predict. Such changes may have a negative impact on the value of securities that we own.
Our ownership of securitized mortgage loans subjects us to credit risk and, although we provide for an allowance for loan losses on these loans as required under GAAP, the loss reserves are based on estimates. As a result, actual losses incurred may be larger than our reserves, requiring us to provide additional reserves, which would impact our financial position and results of operations.
We are subject to credit risk as a result of our ownership of securitized mortgage loans. Credit risk is the risk of loss to us from the failure by a borrower (or the proceeds from the liquidation of the underlying collateral) to fully repay the principal balance and interest due on a mortgage loan. A borrower’s ability to repay the loan and the value of the underlying collateral could be negatively impacted by economic and market conditions. These conditions could be global, national, regional or local in nature.
We provide reserves for losses on securitized mortgage loans based on the current performance of the respective pool or on an individual loan basis. If losses are experienced more rapidly due to declining property performance, market conditions or other factors, than we have provided for in our reserves, we may be required to provide additional reserves for these losses. In addition, our allowance for loan losses is based on estimates and to the extent that proceeds from the liquidation of the underlying collateral are less than our estimates, we will record a reduction in our profitability for that period equal to the shortfall.
Our efforts to manage credit risk may not be successful in limiting delinquencies and defaults in underlying loans or losses on our investments. If we experience higher than anticipated delinquencies and defaults, our earnings, our book value and our cash flow may be negatively impacted.
There are many aspects of credit performance for our investments that we cannot control. Third party servicers provide for the primary and special servicing of our single-family and commercial mortgage loans and non-Agency securities and CMBS. In that capacity these service providers control all aspects of loan collection, loss mitigation, default management and ultimate resolution of a defaulted loan. We have a risk management function which oversees the performance of these servicers and provides limited asset management services. Loan servicing companies may not cooperate with our risk management efforts, or such efforts may be ineffective. We have no contractual rights with respect to these servicers and our risk management operations may not be successful in limiting future delinquencies, defaults, and losses.
The securitizations in which we have invested may not receive funds that we believe are due from mortgage insurance companies and other counterparties. Service providers to securitizations, such as trustees, bond insurance providers, guarantors and custodians, may not perform in a manner that promotes our interests or may default on their obligation to the securitization trust. The value of the properties collateralizing the loans may decline causing higher losses than anticipated on the liquidation of the property. The frequency of default and the loss severity on loans that do default may be greater than we anticipated. If loans become “real estate owned” (“REO”), servicing companies will have to manage these properties and may not be able to sell them. Changes in consumer behavior, bankruptcy laws, tax laws, and other laws may exacerbate loan losses. In some states and circumstances, the securitizations in which we invest have recourse, as the owner of the loan, against the borrower’s other assets and income in the event of loan default; however, in most cases, the value of the underlying property will be the sole source of funds for any recoveries.
Guarantors may fail to perform on their obligations to our securitization trusts, which could result in additional losses to us.
In certain instances we have guaranty of payment on commercial and single-family mortgage loans pledged to securitization trusts (see Item 7A, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk”). These guarantors have reported substantial losses since 2007, eroding their respective capital bases and potentially adversely impacting their ability to make payments where required. Generally the guarantors will only make payment in the event of the default and liquidation of the
collateral supporting the loan. If these guarantors fail to make payment, we may experience losses on the loans that we otherwise would not have experienced.
We may be subject to the risks associated with inadequate or untimely services from third-party service providers, which may harm our results of operations. We also rely on corporate trustees to act on behalf of us and other holders of securities in enforcing our rights.
Our loans and loans underlying non-Agency MBS we own are serviced by third-party service providers. Should a servicer experience financial difficulties, it may not be able to perform these obligations. Due to application of provisions of bankruptcy law, servicers who have sought bankruptcy protection may not be required to make advance payments to us of amounts due from loan borrowers. Even if a servicer were able to advance amounts in respect of delinquent loans, its obligation to make the advances may be limited to the extent that is does not expect to recover the advances due to the deteriorating credit of the delinquent loans. In addition, as with any external service provider, we are subject to the risks associated with inadequate or untimely services for other reasons. Servicers may not advance funds to us that would ordinarily be due because of errors, miscalculations, or other reasons. Many borrowers require notices and reminders to keep their loans current and to prevent delinquencies and foreclosures, which our servicers may fail to provide. In the current economic environment, many servicers are experiencing higher volumes of delinquent loans than they have in the past and, as a result, there is a risk that their operational infrastructures cannot properly process this increased volume. A substantial increase in our delinquency rate resulting from improper servicing or loan performance in general may result in credit losses.
We also rely on corporate trustees to act on behalf of us and other holders of securities in enforcing our rights. Under the terms of most securities we hold we do not have the right to directly enforce remedies against the issuer of the security, but instead must rely on a trustee to act on behalf of us and other security holders. Should a trustee not be required to take action under the terms of the securities, or fail to take action, we could experience losses.
Our use of hedging strategies to mitigate our interest rate exposure may not be effective, may adversely affect our income, may expose us to counterparty risks, and may increase our contingent liabilities.
We may pursue various types of hedging strategies, including interest rate swap agreements, interest rate caps and other derivative transactions (collectively, “hedging instruments”). We expect hedging to assist us in mitigating and reducing our exposure to higher interest expenses, and to a lesser extent, losses in book value, from adverse changes in interest rates. Our hedging activity will vary in scope based on the level and volatility of interest rates, the type of assets in our investment portfolio and financing sources used. No hedging strategy, however, can completely insulate us from the interest rate risks to which we are exposed, and there is no assurance that the implementation of any hedging strategy will have the desired impact on our results of operations or financial condition. Certain of the U.S. federal income tax requirements that we must satisfy in order to qualify as a REIT, and certain Commodity Futures Trading Commission rules, regulations and guidance we must satisfy in order not to be required to register as a commodity pool operator, may limit our ability to hedge against such risks. In addition, these hedging strategies may adversely affect us because hedging activities involve an expense that we will incur regardless of the effectiveness of the hedging activity.
Interest rate hedging may fail to protect or could adversely affect us because, among other things:
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• | interest rate hedging can be expensive, particularly during periods of rising and volatile interest rates; |
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• | available interest rate hedges may not correspond directly with the interest rate risk from which we seek protection; |
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• | the duration of the hedge may not match the duration of the related liability; |
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• | the amount of income that a REIT may earn from hedging transactions (other than through taxable REIT subsidiaries) to offset interest rate losses may be limited by U.S. federal income tax provisions governing REITs; |
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• | the credit quality of the party owing money on the hedge may be downgraded to such an extent that it impairs our ability to sell or assign our side of the hedging transaction; |
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• | the party owing money in the hedging transaction may default on its obligation to pay; |
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• | the value of derivatives used for hedging may be adjusted from time to time in accordance with GAAP to reflect changes in fair value, and downward adjustments, or “mark-to-market losses,” would reduce our shareholders’ equity and book value; and |
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• | hedge accounting under GAAP is extremely complex and any ineffectiveness of our hedges under GAAP will impact our statement of operations. |
We expect to primarily use interest rate swap agreements to hedge against anticipated future increases in interest expense from our repurchase agreements. Should an interest rate swap agreement counterparty be unable to make required payments pursuant to the agreement, the hedged liability would cease to be hedged for the remaining term of the interest rate swap agreement. In addition, we may be at risk of loss of any collateral held by a hedging counterparty to an interest rate swap agreement, should the counterparty become insolvent or file for bankruptcy. Our hedging transactions, which are intended to limit losses, may actually adversely affect our earnings, which could reduce our ability to pay dividends to our shareholders.
Hedging instruments involve risk since they often are not traded on regulated exchanges, guaranteed by an exchange or its clearing house, or regulated by any U.S. or foreign governmental authorities. Consequently, there may be no requirements with respect to record keeping, financial responsibility or segregation of customer funds and positions. Furthermore, the enforceability of hedging instruments may depend on compliance with applicable statutory, commodity and other regulatory requirements and, depending on the identity of the counterparty, applicable international requirements. The business failure of a hedging counterparty with whom we enter into a hedging transaction will most likely result in its default. Default by a party with whom we enter into a hedging transaction may result in the loss of unrealized profits and force us to cover our commitments, if any, at the then current market price. Although generally we will seek to reserve the right to terminate our hedging positions, it may not always be possible to dispose of or close out a hedging position without the consent of the hedging counterparty, and we may not be able to enter into an offsetting contract in order to cover our risk. In certain circumstances a liquid secondary market may not exist for hedging instruments purchased or sold, and we may be required to maintain a position until exercise or expiration, which could result in losses.
Hedging instruments could also require us to fund cash payments in certain circumstances (such as the early termination of a hedging instrument caused by an event of default or other voluntary or involuntary termination event or the decision by a hedging counterparty to request the posting of collateral it is contractually owed under the terms of the hedging instrument). With respect to the termination of an existing interest rate swap agreement, the amount due would generally be equal to the unrealized loss of the open interest rate swap agreement position with the hedging counterparty and could also include other fees and charges. These economic losses would be reflected in our results of operations, and our ability to fund these obligations will depend on the liquidity of our assets and access to capital at the time. Any losses we incur on our hedging instruments could adversely affect our earnings and reduce our ability to pay dividends to our shareholders.
We may change our investment strategy, operating policies, dividend policy and/or asset allocations without shareholder consent.
We may change our investment strategy, operating policies, dividend policy and/or asset allocation with respect to investments, acquisitions, leverage, growth, operations, indebtedness, capitalization and distributions at any time without the consent of our shareholders. A change in our investment strategy may increase our exposure to interest rate and/or credit risk, default risk and real estate market fluctuations. Furthermore, a change in our asset allocation could result in our making investments in asset categories different from our historical investments. These changes could adversely affect our financial condition, results of operations, the market price of our common stock or our ability to pay dividends to our shareholders.
Competition may prevent us from acquiring new investments at favorable yields, and we may not be able to achieve our investment objectives which may potentially have a negative impact on our profitability.
Our net income will largely depend on our ability to acquire mortgage-related assets at favorable spreads over our borrowing costs. The availability of mortgage-related assets meeting our investment criteria depends upon, among other things, the level of activity in the real estate market and the quality of and demand for securities in the mortgage securitization and secondary markets. The size and level of activity in the residential real estate lending market depends on various factors, including interest rates, regional and national economic conditions and real estate values. In acquiring investments, we may compete with other purchasers of these types of investments, including but not limited to other mortgage REITs, broker-dealers, hedge funds, banks, savings and loans, insurance companies, mutual funds, and other entities that purchase assets similar to ours, many of which have greater financial resources than we do. As a result of all of these factors, we may not be able to acquire sufficient assets at acceptable spreads to our borrowing costs, which would adversely affect our profitability.
New assets we acquire may not generate yields as attractive as yields on our current assets, resulting in a decline in our earnings per share over time.
In order to maintain our portfolio size and our earnings, we must reinvest the cash flows we receive from our existing investment portfolio including monthly principal and interest payments, and proceeds from sales. If the assets we acquire in the future earn lower yields than the assets we currently own, our reported earnings per share will likely decline over time as the older assets pay down or are sold. The risk that newly-acquired investments will not generate yields as attractive as yields on our current assets has been exacerbated in recent quarters due to the very low interest rate environment, Federal Reserve monetary policy and open market purchases of assets, and increased competition for investment securities.
Our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer devotes a portion of his time to another company in a capacity that could create conflicts of interest that may harm our investment opportunities; this lack of a full-time commitment could also harm our operating results.
Our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Thomas Akin, is the managing general partner of Talkot Capital, LLC, to which he devotes a portion of his time. Talkot Capital invests in both private and public companies, including investments in common and preferred stocks of other public mortgage REITs. Mr. Akin’s activities with respect to Talkot Capital result in his spending only a portion of his time and effort on managing our activities, as he is under no contractual obligation which mandates that he devote a minimum amount of time to our company. Since he is not fully focused on us at all times, this may harm our overall management and operating results. In addition, though the investment strategy and activities of Talkot Capital are not directly related to us, Mr. Akin’s activities with respect to Talkot Capital may create conflicts. Our corporate governance policies include formal notification policies with respect to potential issues of conflict of interest for competing business opportunities. Compliance by Mr. Akin, and all employees, is closely monitored by our Chief Financial Officer and Board of Directors. Nonetheless, Mr. Akin’s activities with respect to Talkot Capital could create conflicts of interest.
Risks Related to Regulatory and Legal Requirements
Risks Specific to Our REIT Status
Qualifying as a REIT involves highly technical and complex provisions of the Code, and a technical or inadvertent violation could jeopardize our REIT qualification. Maintaining our REIT status may reduce our flexibility to manage our operations.
Qualification as a REIT involves the application of highly technical and complex Code provisions for which only limited judicial and administrative authorities exist. Even a technical or inadvertent violation could jeopardize our REIT qualification. Our qualification as a REIT will depend on our satisfaction of certain asset, income, organizational, distribution, stockholder ownership and other requirements on a continuing basis. Our operations and use of leverage also subjects us to interpretations of the Code, and technical or inadvertent violations of the relevant requirements under the Code could cause us to lose our REIT status or to pay significant penalties and interest. In addition, our ability to satisfy the requirements to qualify as a REIT depends in part on the actions of third parties over which we have no control or only limited influence, including in cases where we own an equity interest in an entity that is classified as a partnership for U.S. federal income tax purposes.
Maintaining our REIT status may limit flexibility in managing our operations. For instance:
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• | If we make frequent asset sales from our REIT entities to persons deemed customers, we could be viewed as a “dealer,” and thus subject to 100% prohibited transaction taxes or other entity level taxes on income from such transactions. |
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• | Compliance with the REIT income and asset requirements may limit the type or extent of hedging that we can undertake. |
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• | Our ability to own non-real estate related assets and earn non-real estate related income is limited. Our ability to own equity interests in other entities is limited. If we fail to comply with these limits, we may be forced to liquidate attractive assets on short notice on unfavorable terms in order to maintain our REIT status. |
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• | Our ability to invest in taxable subsidiaries is limited under the REIT rules. Maintaining compliance with this limitation could require us to constrain the growth of future taxable REIT affiliates. |
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• | Notwithstanding our NOL carryforward, meeting minimum REIT dividend distribution requirements could reduce our liquidity. Earning non-cash REIT taxable income could necessitate our selling assets, incurring debt, or raising new equity in order to fund dividend distributions. |
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• | Stock ownership tests may limit our ability to raise significant amounts of equity capital from one source. |
If we do not qualify as a REIT or fail to remain qualified as a REIT, we may be subject to tax as a regular corporation and could face a tax liability, which would reduce the amount of cash available for distribution to our shareholders.
We intend to operate in a manner that will allow us to qualify as a REIT for federal income tax purposes. Our qualification as a REIT will depend on our satisfaction of certain asset, income, organizational, distribution, stockholder ownership and other requirements on a continuing basis. Our ability to satisfy the asset tests depends upon our analysis of the characterization and fair market values of our assets, some of which are not susceptible to a precise determination, and for which we will not obtain independent appraisals. Our compliance with the REIT income and quarterly asset requirements also depends upon our ability to successfully manage the composition of our income and assets on an ongoing basis.
If we were to fail to qualify as a REIT in any taxable year, we would be subject to federal income tax, after consideration of our NOL carryforward but not considering any dividends paid to our shareholders during the respective tax year. If we could not otherwise offset this taxable income with our NOL carryforward, the resulting corporate tax liability could be material to our results and would reduce the amount of cash available for distribution to our shareholders, which in turn could have an adverse impact on the value of our common stock. Unless we were entitled to relief under certain Code provisions, we also would be disqualified from taxation as a REIT until the fifth taxable year following the year for which we failed to qualify as a REIT.
Our future use of our tax NOL carryforward is limited under Section 382 of the Code, which could result in higher taxable income and greater distribution requirements in order to maintain our REIT status. Further, if we unknowingly undergo another ownership change pursuant to Section 382, or miscalculate the limitations imposed by a known ownership change, and utilize an impermissible amount of the NOL, we may fail to meet the distribution requirements of a REIT and therefore we could lose our REIT status.
We can use our tax NOL carryforward to offset our taxable earnings after taking the REIT distribution requirements into account. Section 382 of the Code limits the amount of NOL that could be used to offset taxable earnings after an “ownership change” occurs. A Section 382 ownership change generally occurs if one or more shareholders who own at least 5% of our stock, or certain groups of shareholders, increase their aggregate ownership by more than 50 percentage points over their lowest ownership percentage within a rolling three-year period.
Our public offering of common stock in February 2012 resulted in an ownership change under Section 382. Based on management's analysis and expert third-party advice, which necessarily includes certain assumptions regarding the characterization under Section 382 of our use of capital raised by us, we determined that the ownership change under Section 382 will limit our ability to use our NOL carryforward to offset our taxable income to an estimated maximum amount of $13.5 million per year. Because NOLs generally may be carried forward for up to 20 years, this annual limitation may effectively limit the cumulative amount of pre-ownership change losses, including certain recognized built-in losses, that we may utilize. This would result in higher taxable income and greater distribution requirements in order to maintain REIT qualification than if such limitation were not in effect.
We may incur additional ownership changes under Section 382 in the future, in which case the use of our NOL could be further limited. Future issuances or sales of our stock (including transactions involving our stock that are out of our control) could result in an ownership change under Section 382. If further ownership changes occur, Section 382 would impose stricter annual limits on the amount of pre-ownership change NOLs and other losses we could use to reduce our taxable income.
If we unknowingly undergo another ownership change under Section 382, or miscalculate the limitations imposed by a known ownership change, the use of the NOL could be limited more than we have determined and we may utilize (or may have utilized) more of the NOL than we otherwise may have been allowed. In such an instance we may be required to pay taxes, penalties and interest on the excess amount of NOL used, or we may be required to declare a deficiency dividend to our shareholders for the excess amount. In addition, if any impermissible use of the NOL led to a failure to comply with the REIT distribution requirements, we could fail to qualify as a REIT.
The failure of investments subject to repurchase agreements to qualify as real estate assets could adversely affect our ability to qualify as a REIT.
Repurchase agreement financing arrangements are structured legally as a sale and repurchase whereby we sell certain of our investments to a counterparty and simultaneously enter into an agreement to repurchase these securities at a later date in exchange for a purchase price. Economically, these agreements are financings which are secured by the investments sold pursuant thereto. We believe that we would be treated for REIT asset and income test purposes as the owner of the securities that are the subject of any such sale and repurchase agreement, notwithstanding that such agreements may legally transfer record ownership of the securities to the counterparty during the term of the agreement. It is possible, however, that the IRS could assert that we did not own the securities during the term of the sale and repurchase agreement, in which case we could fail to qualify as a REIT.
Even if we remain qualified as a REIT, we may face other tax liabilities that reduce our cash flow and our profitability.
Even if we remain qualified for taxation as a REIT, we may be subject to certain federal, state and local taxes on our income and assets, including taxes on any undistributed income, tax on income from some activities conducted as a result of a foreclosure or considered prohibited transactions under the Code, and state or local income taxes. Any of these taxes would decrease cash available for distribution to our shareholders. In addition, in order to meet the REIT qualification requirements, or to avert the imposition of a 100% tax that applies to certain gains derived by a REIT from prohibited transactions, we may hold some of our assets through a taxable REIT subsidiary (“TRS”) or other subsidiary corporations that will be subject to corporate-level income tax at regular rates to the extent that such TRS does not have an NOL carryforward. Any of these taxes would decrease cash available for distribution to our shareholders.
If we fail to maintain our REIT status, our ability to utilize repurchase agreements as a source of financing and to enter into interest rate swap agreements may be impacted.
Most of our repurchase agreements and the agreements governing our interest rate swaps require that we maintain our REIT status as a condition to engaging in a transaction with us. Even though repurchase agreements generally are not committed facilities with our lenders, if we failed to maintain our REIT status our ability to enter into new repurchase agreement transactions or renew existing, maturing repurchase agreements will likely be limited. Some of our repurchase agreements and swap agreements have cross-default provisions which provide for lenders to terminate these agreements if we default under any of our repurchase agreements or swap agreements. As such, we may be required to sell investments, potentially under adverse circumstances, that were previously financed with repurchase agreements and we may be forced to terminate our interest rate swap agreements.
Certain of our securitization trusts that qualify as “taxable mortgage pools” require us to maintain equity interests in the securitization trusts. If we do not, our profitability and cash flow may be reduced.
Certain of our securitization trusts are considered taxable mortgage pools for federal income tax purposes. These securitization trusts are exempt from taxes so long as we, or another REIT, own 100% of the equity interests in the trusts. If we fail to maintain sufficient equity interest in these securitization trusts or if we fail to maintain our REIT status, then the trusts may be considered separate taxable entities. If the trusts are considered separate taxable entities, they will be required to compute taxable income and pay tax on such income. Our profitability and cash flow will be impacted by the amount of taxes paid. Moreover, we may be precluded from selling equity interests, including debt securities issued in connection with these trusts that might be considered to be equity interests for tax purposes, to certain outside investors.
Risks Related to the Investment Company Act of 1940 (the "1940 Act")
If we fail to properly conduct our operations we could become subject to regulation under the 1940 Act. Conducting our business in a manner so that we are exempt from registration under and compliance with the 1940 Act may reduce our flexibility and could limit our ability to pursue certain opportunities.
We seek to conduct our operations so as to avoid falling under the definition of an investment company pursuant to the 1940 Act. Specifically, we seek to conduct our operations under the exemption provided under Section 3(c)(5)(C) of the 1940 Act, a provision available to companies primarily engaged in the business of purchasing and otherwise acquiring mortgages and
other liens on and interests in real estate. According to SEC no-action letters, companies relying on this exemption must ensure that at least 55% of their assets are mortgage loans and other qualifying assets, and at least 80% of their assets are real estate-related. The 1940 Act requires that we and each of our subsidiaries evaluate our qualification for exemption under the Act. Our subsidiaries will rely either on Section 3(c)(5)(C) or other sections that provide exemptions from registering under the 1940 Act, including Sections 3(a)(1)(C) and 3(c)(7). The SEC is currently reviewing the Section 3(c)(5)(C) exemption as further discussed below. We believe that we are operating our business in accordance with the exemption requirements of Section 3(c)(5)(C).
Under the 1940 Act, an investment company is required to register with the SEC and is subject to extensive restrictive and potentially adverse regulations relating to, among other things, operating methods, management, capital structure, dividends, and transactions with affiliates. If we were determined to be an investment company, our ability to use leverage and conduct business as we do today would be substantially impaired.
In August 2011, the SEC initiated a review of Section 3(c)(5)(C) of the 1940 Act and the regulations and regulatory interpretations promulgated thereunder. We rely on Section 3(c)(5)(C) as an exemption from registration and regulation under the 1940 Act and any regulatory changes as a result of this SEC review could require us to change our business and operations.
On August 31, 2011, the SEC issued a concept release relating to the exclusion from registration as an investment company provided to mortgage companies by Section 3(c)(5)(C) of the 1940 Act. This release raises concerns regarding the ability of mortgage REITs to continue to rely on the exclusion in the future. In particular, the release states the SEC is concerned that certain types of mortgage-related pools today appear to resemble in many respects investment companies such as closed-end funds and may not be the kinds of companies that were intended to be excluded from regulation under the 1940 Act by Section 3(c)(5)(C).
Although we believe that we are properly relying on Section 3(c)(5)(C) to exempt us from regulation under the 1940 Act (which belief in large part is based on no-action letters issued by the SEC with respect to operations of other mortgage REITs), the SEC review could eventually affect our ability to rely on that exemption or could eventually require us to change our business and operations in order for us to continue to rely on that exemption. If the SEC changes or narrows this exemption, we could be required to sell a substantial amount of our MBS under potentially adverse market conditions, which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations. We could also be forced to materially alter our business model and investment strategies which could materially and adversely affect our profitability.
The outcome of the review by the SEC at this time is not determinable, and the SEC may take no action as a result of its review of the Section 3(c)(5)(C) exemption from the 1940 Act. It is also possible that the SEC issues interpretative guidance for mortgage REITs as to how their operations must be structured in order to avoid being considered an investment company, and compliance with any such guidance could limit our operations and our profitability as indicated above. Finally, it is possible that the SEC requires mortgage REITs to be considered investment companies and to register under the 1940 Act which would severely limit our operations and profitability and likely have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
Other Regulatory Risks
In the event of bankruptcy either by ourselves or one or more of our third party lenders, under the U.S. Bankruptcy Code, assets pledged as collateral under repurchase agreements may not be recoverable by us. We may incur losses equal to the excess of the collateral pledged over the amount of the associated repurchase agreement borrowing.
In the event that one of our lenders under a repurchase agreement files for bankruptcy, it may be difficult for us to recover our assets pledged as collateral to such lender. In addition, if we ever file for bankruptcy, lenders under our repurchase agreements may be able to avoid the automatic stay provisions of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code and take possession of and liquidate our collateral under our repurchase agreements without delay. In the event of a bankruptcy by one of our lenders, or us, we may incur losses in amounts equal to the excess of our collateral pledged over the amount of repurchase agreement borrowing due to the lender.
If we fail to abide by certain Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”) rules and regulations, we may be subject enforcement action by the CFTC.
On December 7, 2012, the CFTC’s Division of Swap Dealer and Intermediary Oversight (the “Division”) issued no-action relief from commodity pool operator (“CPO”) registration to mortgage REITs that use CFTC-regulated products
(“commodity interests”) and that satisfy certain enumerated criteria. Pursuant to such no-action letter, the Division will not recommend that the CFTC take enforcement action against a mortgage REIT if its operator fails to register as a CPO, provided that the mortgage REIT (i) submits a claim to take advantage of the relief and (ii) the mortgage REIT: (a) limits the initial margin and premiums required to establish its commodity interest positions to no greater than 5 percent of the fair market value of the mortgage REIT’s total assets; (b) limits the net income derived annually from its commodity interest positions, excluding the income from commodity interest positions that are “qualifying hedging transactions,” to less than 5 percent of its annual gross income; (c) does not market interests in the mortgage REIT to the public as interests in a commodity pool or otherwise in a vehicle for trading in the commodity futures, commodity options or swaps markets; and (d) either: (A) identified itself as a “mortgage REIT” in Item G of its last U.S. income tax return on Form 1120-REIT; or (B) if it has not yet filed its first U.S. income tax return on Form 1120-REIT, it discloses to its shareholders that it intends to identify itself as a “mortgage REIT” in its first U.S. income tax return on Form 1120-REIT.
We submitted our claim to the Division on December 19, 2012 and intend to satisfy the criteria set forth above. If we do not satisfy the criteria set forth above, we may become subject to CFTC regulation or enforcement action, the consequences of which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations.
Risks Related to Accounting and Reporting Requirements
Estimates are inherent in the process of applying GAAP, and management may not always be able to make estimates which accurately reflect actual results, which may lead to adverse changes in our reported GAAP results.
Interest income on our assets and interest expense on our liabilities is partially based on estimates of future events. These estimates can change in a manner that negatively impacts our results or can demonstrate, in retrospect, that revenue recognition in prior periods was too high or too low. For example, we use the effective yield method of accounting for many of our investments which involves calculating projected cash flows for each of our assets. Calculating projected cash flows involves making assumptions about the amount and timing of credit losses, loan prepayment rates, and other factors. The yield we recognize for GAAP purposes generally equals the discount rate that produces a net present value for actual and projected cash flows that equals our GAAP basis in that asset. We update the yield recognized on these assets based on actual performance and as we change our estimates of future cash flows. The assumptions that underlie our projected cash flows and effective yield analysis may prove to be overly optimistic, or conversely, overly conservative. In these cases, our GAAP yield on the asset or cost of the liability may change, leading to changes in our reported GAAP results.
Risks Related to Owning Our Stock
The stock ownership limit imposed by the Code for REITs and our Articles of Incorporation may restrict our business combination opportunities. The stock ownership limitation may also result in reduced liquidity in our stock and may result in losses to an acquiring shareholder.
To qualify as a REIT under the Code, not more than 50% in value of our outstanding stock may be owned, directly or indirectly, by five or fewer individuals (as defined in the Code to include certain entities) at any time during the last half of each taxable year after our first year in which we qualify as a REIT. Our Articles of Incorporation, with certain exceptions, authorize our Board of Directors to take the actions that are necessary and desirable to qualify as a REIT. Pursuant to our Articles of Incorporation, no person may beneficially or constructively own more than 9.8% of our capital stock (including our common stock and Series A Preferred Stock). Our Board of Directors may grant an exemption from this 9.8% stock ownership limitation, in its sole discretion, subject to such conditions, representations and undertakings as it may determine are reasonably necessary.
The ownership limits imposed by the tax law are based upon direct or indirect ownership by “individuals,” but only during the last half of a tax year. The ownership limits contained in our Articles of Incorporation apply to the ownership at any time by any “person,” which includes entities, and are intended to assist us in complying with the tax law requirements and to minimize administrative burdens. However, these ownership limits might also delay or prevent a transaction or a change in our control that might involve a premium price for our stock or otherwise be in the best interest of our shareholders.
Whether we would waive the ownership limitation for any other shareholder will be determined by our Board of Directors on a case by case basis. Our Articles of Incorporation’s constructive ownership rules are complex and may cause the outstanding
stock owned by a group of related individuals or entities to be deemed to be constructively owned by one individual or entity. As a result, the acquisition of less than these percentages of the outstanding stock by an individual or entity could cause that individual or entity to own constructively in excess of these percentages of the outstanding stock and thus be subject to the ownership limit. The Board of Directors has the right to refuse to transfer any shares of our capital stock in a transaction that would result in ownership in excess of the ownership limit. In addition, we have the right to redeem shares of our capital stock held in excess of the ownership limit.
The stock ownership limit imposed by the Code for REITs and our Articles of Incorporation may impair the ability of holders to convert shares of our Series A Preferred Stock into shares of our common stock upon a change of control.
The terms of our Series A Preferred Stock provide that, upon occurrence of a change of control (as defined in the Articles of Incorporation), each holder of Series A Preferred Stock will have the right (unless, prior to the Change of Control Conversion Date (as defined herein), we provide notice of our election to redeem the Series A Preferred Stock) to convert all or part of the Series A Preferred Stock held by such holder on the Change of Control Conversion Date into a number of shares of our common stock per share of Series A preferred Stock based on a formula set forth in our Articles of Incorporation. However, the stock ownership restrictions in our Articles of Incorporation also restrict ownership of shares of our Series A Preferred Stock. As a result, no holder of Series A Preferred Stock will be entitled to convert such stock into our common stock to the extent that receipt of our common stock would cause the holder to exceed the ownership limitations contained in our Articles of Incorporation, endanger the tax status of one or more REMICs in which we have or plan to have an interest, or result in the imposition of a direct or indirect penalty tax on us. These provisions may limit the ability of a holder of Series A Preferred Stock to convert shares of Series A Preferred Stock into our common stock upon a change of control, which could adversely affect the market price of shares of our Series A Preferred Stock.
Dividends payable by REITs do not qualify for the reduced tax rates available for some dividends.
The maximum tax rate applicable to income from “qualified dividends” payable to domestic shareholders that are individuals, trusts and estates may be either15% or 20%, depending on whether the taxpayer's income exceeds the threshold for the newly enacted 39.6% income tax bracket. Dividends payable by REITs, however, generally are not eligible for the reduced rates. Although this legislation does not adversely affect the taxation of REITs or dividends payable by REITs, the more favorable rates applicable to regular corporate qualified dividends could cause investors who are individuals, trusts and estates to perceive investments in REITs to be relatively less attractive than investments in the stocks of non-REIT corporations that pay dividends, which could adversely affect the value of the stock of REITs, including our common stock.
Recognition of excess inclusion income by us could have adverse consequences to us or our shareholders.
Certain of our securities have historically generated excess inclusion income and may continue to do so in the future. Certain categories of shareholders, such as foreign shareholders eligible for treaty or other benefits, shareholders with NOLs, and certain tax-exempt shareholders that are subject to unrelated business income tax, could be subject to increased taxes on a portion of their dividend income from us that is attributable to excess inclusion income. In addition, to the extent that our stock is owned by tax-exempt “disqualified organizations,” such as certain government-related entities and charitable remainder trusts that are not subject to tax on unrelated business income, we may incur a corporate level tax on a portion of our income. In that case, we may reduce the amount of our distributions to any disqualified organization whose stock ownership gave rise to the tax.
| |
Item 1B. | UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS |
There are no unresolved comments from the SEC Staff.
We lease one facility located at 4991 Lake Brook Drive, Suite 100, Glen Allen, Virginia 23060 under two separate leases which provides a total of 9,280 square feet of office space for our executive officers and administrative staff. The term of the first lease for 7,068 square feet expires in March 2014, but may be renewed at our option for one additional five-year period at a rental
rate 3% greater than the rate in effect during the preceding 12-month period. The term of the second lease for 2,212 square feet expires in January 2017 and is not subject to a renewal option. We believe that our property is maintained in good operating condition and is suitable and adequate for our purposes.
The Company records accruals for certain outstanding legal proceedings, investigations or claims when it is probable that a liability will be incurred and the amount of the loss can be reasonably estimated. The Company evaluates, on a quarterly basis, developments in legal proceedings, investigations and claims that could affect the amount of any accrual, as well as any developments that would make a loss contingency both probable and reasonably estimable. When a loss contingency is not both probable and reasonably estimable, the Company does not accrue the loss. However, if the loss (or an additional loss in excess of the accrual) is at least a reasonable possibility and material, then the Company discloses a reasonable estimate of the possible loss or range of loss, if such reasonable estimate can be made. If the Company cannot make a reasonable estimate of the possible material loss, or range of loss, then that fact is disclosed.
The Company and its subsidiaries are parties to various legal proceedings, including those as described below. Although the ultimate outcome of these legal proceedings cannot be ascertained at this time, and the results of legal proceedings cannot be predicted with certainty, the Company believes, based on current knowledge, that the resolution of any of these proceedings will not have a material adverse effect on the Company’s consolidated financial condition or liquidity. However, the resolution of any of the proceedings described below could have a material impact on consolidated results of operations or cash flows in a given future reporting period as the proceedings are resolved.
One of the Company's subsidiaries, GLS Capital, Inc. (“GLS”), and the County of Allegheny, Pennsylvania ("Allegheny County") are defendants in a class action lawsuit filed in 1997 in the Court of Common Pleas of Allegheny County, Pennsylvania (the “Court”). Between 1995 and 1997, GLS purchased from Allegheny County delinquent property tax lien receivables for properties located in the county. The plaintiffs in this matter alleged that GLS improperly recovered or sought recovery for certain fees, costs, interest, and attorneys' fees and expenses in connection with GLS' collection of the property tax lien receivables. The Court granted class action status and defined the class to include only owners of real estate in Allegheny County who paid an attorneys' fee between 1996 and 2003 in connection with the forced collection of delinquent property tax receivables by GLS (generally through the initiation of a foreclosure action). Amendments to the statute that governs the collection of delinquent tax lien receivables in Pennsylvania, related case law, and GLS' filing of one or more successful motions for summary judgment resulted in the dismissal of certain claims against GLS and narrowed the issues being litigated to whether attorneys' fees and related expenses charged by GLS in connection with the collection of the receivables were reasonable. Such attorneys' fees and lien costs were assessed by GLS in its collection efforts pursuant to the prevailing Allegheny County ordinance. On April 23, 2012, as a result of a petition to discontinue filed by the plaintiffs, the Court dismissed the remaining claims against GLS. Plaintiffs subsequently appealed the dismissal to the Pennsylvania Commonwealth Court of Appeals. The claims made by plaintiffs on appeal include only the legality of charging and recovering attorneys' fees and tax lien revival and assignment costs from the class members. Plaintiffs have not enumerated their damages in this matter.
The Company, GLS, and Allegheny County are named defendants in a putative class action lawsuit filed in June 2012 in the Court of Common Pleas of Allegheny County, Pennsylvania. The lawsuit relates to the activities of GLS in Allegheny County related to the purchase and collection of delinquent property tax lien receivables discussed above. The purported class in this action consists of owners of real estate in Allegheny County whose property is or has been subject to a tax lien filed by Allegheny County that Allegheny County either retained or sold to GLS and who were billed by Allegheny County or GLS for attorneys' fees, interest, and certain other fees and who sustained economic damages on and after August 14, 2003. The putative class allegations are that Allegheny County, GLS, and the Company violated the class's constitutional due process rights in connection with delinquent tax collection efforts. There are also allegations that amounts recovered from the class by GLS and / or Allegheny County are an unconstitutional taking of private property. The claims against the Company are solely based upon its ownership of GLS. The complaint requests that the Court order GLS to account for amounts alleged to have been collected in violation of the putative class members' rights and create a constructive trust for the return of such amounts to members of the purported class. The same class previously filed substantially the same lawsuit in 2004 against GLS and Allegheny County (ACORN v. County of Allegheny and GLS Capital, Inc.), and GLS's Motion for Summary Judgment is pending in that action. The Company believes the claims are without merit and intends to defend against them vigorously in this matter.
The Company and DCI Commercial, Inc. ("DCI"), a former affiliate of the Company and formerly known as Dynex Commercial, Inc., are appellees (or respondents) in the matter of Basic Capital Management, Inc. et al. (collectively, “BCM” or the “Plaintiffs”) versus DCI et al. currently pending in state court in Dallas, Texas. The matter was initially filed in the state court in Dallas County, Texas in April 1999 against DCI, and in March 2000, BCM amended the complaint and added the Company as a defendant. Following a trial court decision in favor of both the Company and DCI, Plaintiffs appealed, seeking reversal of the trial court's judgment and rendition of judgment against the Company for alleged breach of loan agreements for tenant improvements in the amount of $0.3 million. Plaintiffs also sought reversal of the trial court's judgment and rendition of judgment against DCI in favor of BCM under two mutually exclusive damage models, for $2.2 million and $25.6 million, respectively, related to the alleged breach by DCI of a $160 million “master” loan commitment. Plaintiffs also sought reversal and rendition of a judgment in their favor for attorneys' fees in the amount of $2.1 million. Alternatively, Plaintiffs sought a new trial. On February 13, 2013, the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals in Dallas, Texas (the “Fifth Circuit”) ruled on Plaintiff's appeal, affirming the previous decision of no liability with respect to the Company, and reversing the previous decision of no liability with respect to DCI relating to the $160 million “master” loan commitment. The Fifth Circuit ordered a new trial to determine the amount of attorneys' fees and prejudgment and post-judgment interest due to Plaintiffs and reinstated the $25.6 million damage award against DCI. The Fifth Circuit's decision appears to permit Plaintiffs to recover the costs of their appeal from both the Company and DCI. The Company and DCI currently intend to file a motion for rehearing with the Fifth Circuit on the issue of the costs. As part of the motion for rehearing, DCI may also challenge the $25.6 million damage award and the decision regarding attorneys' fees. Management believes the Company will not be obligated for any amounts that may ultimately be awarded against DCI.
ITEM 4. MINE SAFETY DISCLOSURES
None.
PART II
ITEM 5. MARKET FOR REGISTRANT'S COMMON EQUITY, RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS, AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES
Our common stock is traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the trading symbol “DX”. The common stock was held by approximately 25,728 holders of record as of February 28, 2013. On that date, the closing price of our common stock on the New York Stock Exchange was $10.83 per share. The high and low stock prices and cash dividends declared on our common stock for each quarter during the last two years were as follows:
|
| | | | | |
| High | | Low | | Common Stock Dividends Declared |
2012: | | | | | |
First quarter | $9.64 | | $9.04 | | $0.28 |
Second quarter | $10.49 | | $8.94 | | $0.29 |
Third quarter | $10.98 | | $9.92 | | $0.29 |
Fourth quarter | $10.90 | | $8.66 | | $0.29 |
2011: | | | | | |
First quarter | $10.98 | | $9.93 | | $0.27 |
Second quarter | $10.14 | | $9.40 | | $0.27 |
Third quarter | $9.87 | | $8.06 | | $0.27 |
Fourth quarter | $9.65 | | $7.25 | | $0.28 |
Any dividends declared by the Board of Directors have generally been for the purpose of maintaining our REIT status and maintaining compliance with dividend requirements of the Series A Preferred Stock. The Series A Preferred Stock has a stated quarterly dividend of $0.53125 per share and was declared and paid in full for the last two quarters of the 2012 fiscal period, taking into account a proportional adjustment to the third quarter 2012 dividend because the Series A Preferred was issued during the third quarter of 2012.
The following graph is a five year comparison of cumulative total returns for the shares of our common stock, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index (“S&P 500”), the Bloomberg Mortgage REIT Index, and the SNL U.S. Finance REIT Index. The table below assumes $100 was invested at the close of trading on December 31, 2007 in each of our common stock, the S&P 500, the Bloomberg Mortgage REIT Index, and the SNL U.S. Finance REIT Index and assumes reinvestment of dividends.
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Cumulative Total Stockholder Returns as of December 31, |
Index | 2007 |
| 2008 |
| 2009 |
| 2010 |
| 2011 |
| 2012 |
|
Dynex Capital, Inc. Common Stock | $ | 100.00 |
| $ | 80.60 |
| $ | 120.22 |
| $ | 165.68 |
| $ | 155.65 |
| $ | 180.61 |
|
S&P 500 | $ | 100.00 |
| $ | 63.00 |
| $ | 79.68 |
| $ | 91.68 |
| $ | 93.61 |
| $ | 108.59 |
|
Bloomberg Mortgage REIT Index | $ | 100.00 |
| $ | 58.75 |
| $ | 74.67 |
| $ | 93.19 |
| $ | 91.47 |
| $ | 108.30 |
|
SNL U.S. Finance REIT Index | $ | 100.00 |
| $ | 53.64 |
| $ | 67.25 |
| $ | 83.71 |
| $ | 82.01 |
| $ | 98.48 |
|
The sources of this information are Bloomberg, SNL Financial, and Standard & Poor’s, which management believes to be reliable sources. The historical information set forth above is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Accordingly, we do not make or endorse any predictions as to future share performance.
On November 7, 2012, the Company's Board of Directors authorized a common stock repurchase program under which the Company may purchase up to $50 million of its outstanding shares of common stock through December 31, 2014. Subject to applicable securities laws and the terms of the Series A Preferred Stock designation, which is contained in our Articles of Incorporation, future repurchases of common stock will be made at times and in amounts as the Company deems appropriate, provided that the repurchase price per share is less than the Company's estimate of the current net book value of a share of common stock. Repurchases may be suspended or discontinued at any time. The following table provides common stock repurchases made by or on behalf of the Company during the three months ended December 31, 2012:
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Total Number of Shares Purchased | | Average Price Paid per Share | | Total Number of Shares Purchased as Part of Publicly Announced Plans or Programs | | Maximum Approximate Dollar Value of Shares that May Yet Be Purchased under the Plans or Programs |
| | | | | | | ($ in thousands) |
October 1, 2012 - October 31, 2012 | — |
| | $ | — |
| | — |
| | $ | — |
|
November 1, 2012 - November 30, 2012 | 104,000 |
| | 8.86 |
| | 104,000 |
| | 49,079 |
|
December 1, 2012 - December 31, 2012 | — |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
|
Total | 104,000 |
| | $ | 8.86 |
| | 104,000 |
| | $ | 49,079 |
|
ITEM 6. SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA
The following selected financial information should be read in conjunction with the audited consolidated financial statements of the Company and notes contained in Item 8 of the Annual Report on Form 10-K.
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| For the Year Ended December 31, |
($ in thousands except per share data) | 2012 | | 2011 | | 2010 | | 2009 | | 2008 |
Net interest income | $ | 78,401 |
| | $ | 59,295 |
| | $ | 34,424 |
| | $ | 24,558 |
| | $ | 10,547 |
|
Net interest income after provision for loan losses | 78,209 |
| | 58,424 |
| | 33,045 |
| | 23,776 |
| | 9,556 |
|
Gain on sale of investments | 8,461 |
| | 2,096 |
| | 2,891 |
| | 171 |
| | 2,316 |
|
Fair value adjustments, net | (173 | ) | | (676 | ) | | 294 |
| | 205 |
| | 7,147 |
|
Other income, net | 281 |
| | 134 |
| | 1,498 |
| | 145 |
| | 1,734 |
|
General and administrative expenses | (12,736 | ) | | (9,956 | ) | | (8,817 | ) | | (6,716 | ) | | (5,632 | ) |
Net income | 74,042 |
| | 39,812 |
| | 29,472 |
| | 17,581 |
| | 15,121 |
|
Net income to common shareholders | 72,006 |
| | 39,812 |
| | 26,411 |
| | 13,571 |
| | 11,111 |
|
Net income per common share: | | | | | | | | | |
Basic | $ | 1.35 |
| | $ | 1.03 |
| | $ | 1.50 |
| | $ | 1.04 |
| | $ | 0.91 |
|
Diluted | $ | 1.35 |
| | $ | 1.03 |
| | $ | 1.41 |
| | $ | 1.02 |
| | $ | 0.91 |
|
Dividends declared per share: | | | | | | | | | |
Common | $ | 1.15 |
| | $ | 1.09 |
| | $ | 0.98 |
| | $ | 0.92 |
| | $ | 0.71 |
|
Series A Preferred | $ | 0.97 |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
|
Series D Preferred | $ | — |
| | $ | — |
| | $ | 0.71 |
| | $ | 0.95 |
| | $ | 0.95 |
|
| | | | | | | | | |
Average interest earning assets (1) | $ | 3,492,158 |
| | $ | 2,283,440 |
| | $ | 1,012,520 |
| | $ | 740,640 |
| | $ | 421,796 |
|
Average interest bearing liabilities (1) | (3,069,348 | ) | | (2,002,981 | ) | | (865,920 | ) | | (627,848 | ) | | (327,687 | ) |
Average effective yield earned on assets(2) | 3.25 | % | | 3.64 | % | | 4.81 | % | | 5.29 | % | | 6.79 | % |
Average effective rate on liabilities(2) | (1.12 | )% | | (1.19 | )% | | (1.64 | )% | | (2.06 | )% | | (5.28 | )% |
Net interest spread (2) | 2.13 | % | | 2.45 | % | | 3.17 | % | | 3.23 | % | | 1.51 | % |
| |
(1) | Average balances are calculated as a simple average of the daily balances and exclude unrealized gains and losses on available-for-sale securities. Average balances also exclude funds held by trustees except proceeds from defeased loans held by trustees. |
| |
(2) | Effective yields (rates) are based on annualized income (expense) amounts. Recalculation of effective yields and rates may not be possible using data provided because certain income and expense items of a one-time nature are not annualized for the calculation of effective yields or rates. An example of such a one-time item is the retrospective adjustments of discount and premium amortizations arising from adjustments of effective interest rates. |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| As of December 31, |
(amounts in thousands except share and per share data) | 2012 | | 2011 | | 2010 | | 2009 | | 2008 |
Investments | $ | 4,175,662 |
| | $ | 2,500,976 |
| | $ | 1,614,126 |
| | $ | 914,421 |
| | $ | 572,876 |
|
Total assets | 4,280,229 |
| | 2,582,193 |
| | 1,649,584 |
| | 958,062 |
| | 607,191 |
|
Repurchase agreements | 3,564,128 |
| | 2,093,793 |
| | 1,234,183 |
| | 638,329 |
| | 274,217 |
|
Non-recourse collateralized financing | 30,504 |
| | 70,895 |
| | 107,105 |
| | 143,081 |
| | 177,157 |
|
Total liabilities | 3,663,519 |
| | 2,210,844 |
| | 1,357,227 |
| | 789,309 |
| | 466,782 |
|
Shareholders’ equity | $ | 616,710 |
| | $ | 371,349 |
| | $ | 292,357 |
| | $ | 168,753 |
| | $ | 140,409 |
|
Common shares outstanding | 54,268,915 |
| | 40,382,530 |
| | 30,342,897 |
| | 13,931,512 |
| | 12,169,762 |
|
Book value per common share (1) | $ | 10.30 |
| | $ | 9.20 |
| | $ | 9.64 |
| | $ | 9.08 |
| | $ | 8.07 |
|
| |
(1) | The calculation of book value per common share as of December 31, 2012, December 31, 2009, and December 31, 2008 excludes the aggregate liquidation value of the preferred stock outstanding as of those dates which was $57.5 million, $42.2 million, and $42.2 million, respectively. |
| |
ITEM 7. | MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS |
The following discussion should be read in conjunction with our financial statements and the related notes included in Item 8. “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data” in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. This discussion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Our actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements as a result of various factors including, but not limited to, those disclosed in Item 1A. “Risk Factors” elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K and in other documents filed with the SEC and otherwise publicly disclosed. Please refer to “Forward-Looking Statements” contained within this Item 7 for additional information.
EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW
We believe that the outlook for our business model is favorable given the economic backdrop, despite the uncertainty regarding government policy and its potential effects on prepayments of our investments, the impact on our portfolio from asset purchases by the Federal Reserve in a third round of quantitative easing, or "QE3", and the uncertainty in Europe (in particular, uncertainty regarding the European Union's political, economic and monetary future) and its potential impact on the U.S. credit markets. During 2012 we significantly expanded our investment in Agency CMBS IO and non-Agency CMBS and CMBS IO given the attractive risk-adjusted return and prepayment protection profile of these investments. With respect to non-Agency CMBS and CMBS IO, we have purchased higher quality securities (A-rated and AAA-rated, respectively) which will have higher yields than Agency CMBS and CMBS IO, but which carry higher financing risks and costs and can exhibit more price volatility. We also added longer-to-reset Agency Hybrid ARMs as we expect interest rates overall to remain range-bound for the foreseeable future.
Highlights of the Fourth Quarter
During the fourth quarter of 2012, we reported net income of $18.3 million, or $0.34 per common share versus $18.4 million, or $0.34 per common share for the third quarter of 2012. Our net interest income increased to $21.1 million for the fourth quarter of 2012 compared to $19.1 million for the third quarter of 2012 due to the higher average balance of our investment portfolio
of $4,117.5 million during the fourth quarter of 2012 versus $3,729.1 million for the third quarter of 2012. Although our average interest earning assets increased, our weighted average net interest spread declined to 1.93% for the fourth quarter of 2012 from 2.00% for the third quarter of 2012. Our net interest spread is declining as a result of purchasing lower spread assets and also from interest-rate resets on our Agency ARM portfolio.
The following table summarizes the average annualized yield by type of MBS investment for the fourth quarter of 2012 and for each of the preceding four quarters:
|
| | | | | | | | | |
| Three Months Ended |
| December 31, 2012 | | September 30, 2012 | | June 30, 2012 | | March 31, 2012 | | December 31, 2011 |
Average annualized yields: | | | | | | | | | |
Agency RMBS | 2.08% | | 2.15% | | 2.33% | | 2.70% | | 2.83% |
Agency CMBS (includes IOs) | 4.29% | | 4.35% | | 4.32% | | 4.05% | | 4.49% |
Non-Agency RMBS | 5.55% | | 5.63% | | 5.60% | | 5.69% | | 6.27% |
Non-Agency CMBS (includes IOs) | 5.47% | | 5.68% | | 6.07% | | 6.52% | | 6.37% |
All other investments | 5.08% | | 5.31% | | 4.97% | | 4.13% | | 5.74% |
Costs of financing | (1.11)% | | (1.12)% | | (1.11)% | | (1.17)% | | (1.20)% |
Net interest spread | 1.93% | | 2.00% | | 2.18% | | 2.41% | | 2.56% |
Although we have targeted a 60%/40% allocation between Agency MBS and non-Agency MBS/loans, our Agency MBS allocation in recent quarters has increased outside of this range due to attractive investment opportunities in Agency CMBS IO. The following table provides our asset allocation as of December 31, 2012 and as of the end of each of the four preceding quarters:
|
| | | | | | | | | |
| December 31, 2012 | | September 30, 2012 | | June 30, 2012 | | March 31, 2012 | | December 31, 2011 |
Agency MBS | 83.6% | | 84.6% | | 82.1% | | 81.1% | | 78.6% |
Non-Agency MBS | 14.7% | | 13.6% | | 15.4% | | 14.2% | | 16.8% |
Other investments | 1.7% | | 1.8% | | 2.5% | | 4.7% | | 4.6% |
Our shareholders' equity decreased to $616.7 million as of December 31, 2012, or $10.30 per common share, from $617.9 million, or $10.31 per common share as of September 30, 2012. The decrease in shareholders' equity since September 30, 2012 resulted from a net decrease in accumulated other comprehensive income of $3.4 million, partially offset by our net income in excess of dividends declared. The decrease in accumulated other comprehensive income was due to a net decrease in the fair value of available for sale investments due to decreases in the fair value of Agency RMBS caused by increased prepayment concerns.
As of December 31, 2012, we had an estimated net operating loss ("NOL") carryfoward of $135.9 million. As a result of our common stock offering in February 2012, we underwent an "ownership change" under Section 382 of the Code ("Section 382"). In general, if a company undergoes an ownership change under Section 382, the company's ability to utilize an NOL carryforward to offset its taxable income (and, in our case, after taking the REIT distribution requirements into account), becomes limited to a certain amount per year. For purposes of Section 382, an ownership change occurs if over a rolling three-year period, the percentage of the company stock owned by 5% or greater shareholders has increased by more than 50 percentage points over the lowest percentage of common stock owned by such shareholders during the three-year period. Based on management's analysis and expert third-party advice, which necessarily includes certain assumptions regarding the characterization under Section 382 of our use of capital raised by us, we determined that the ownership change under Section 382 will limit our ability to use our NOL carryforward to offset our taxable income to an estimated maximum amount of $13.4 million per year. The NOL carryforward expires substantially beginning in 2020.
Trends and Recent Market Impacts
The following marketplace conditions and prospective trends have impacted and may continue to impact our future results of operations and our financial condition. For additional information about risks that may be posed by these trends, please refer
to Part I, Item 1A, "Risk Factors" and Part II, Item 7A, "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk" contained within this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy and the Effects on Agency RMBS and Prepayments
In September 2012, the Federal Open Market Committee ("FOMC") announced QE3 by indicating that it will purchase $40 billion per month in fixed-rate Agency RMBS, continue to reinvest principal repayments on its existing Agency RMBS portfolio, and extend the average maturity of its holdings of securities. These actions are expected to increase the FOMC's holdings of longer-term securities by about $85 billion each month.. The Federal Reserve expects these measures to put downward pressure on long-term interest rates. While the Federal Reserve hopes that QE3 will expedite an economic recovery, stabilize prices, reduce unemployment and restart business and household spending, there is no way of knowing what impact QE3 or any future actions by the Federal Reserve will have on the prices and liquidity of Agency RMBS or other securities in which we invest. The Federal Reserve indicated in January 2013 that QE3 would continue in 2013 and until improvements in economic conditions and labor markets are achieved.
During the fourth quarter of 2012, we received principal payments on our Agency RMBS of $214.9 million. Our average constant prepayment rate, or CPR, for our Agency RMBS during the fourth quarter of 2012 was 24.3% versus 23.4% for the third quarter of 2012, 20.8% for the second quarter of 2012 and 21.4% for the first quarter of 2012. As of December 31, 2012, the weighted average coupon on the mortgage loans underlying our Agency RMBS was approximately 4.16%, while the monthly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate and the 5-year hybrid ARM mortgage rate as of that date, as published by Freddie Mac, were 3.66% and 2.78%, respectively.
Generally, the lower coupons available on new mortgage loans, the actions by the Federal Reserve and the low interest rate environment should entice borrowers to refinance their mortgage loans at lower rates. Today, however, many obstacles exist to refinancing, including but not limited to, tighter lender underwriting standards, the lack of borrower’s equity in the underlying real estate and the lack of an acceptable level of income. These obstacles are currently contributing to limited refinancing of loans in our Agency RMBS portfolio and are keeping prepayment speeds low relative to expectations and to historic prepayment rates in such a low interest rate environment. In an effort to increase refinancing of Agency RMBS, the U.S. Treasury created the Home Affordable Refinance Program, or HARP, which seeks to ease refinancing restrictions for high loan-to-value borrowers. The HARP program eases underwriting requirements for lenders and qualification conditions for borrows to extend loans which qualify for inclusion in Agency RMBS. HARP is currently set to expire on December 31, 2013.
Given the continued low interest rate environment, the changes to HARP, and the commitment by the Federal Reserve to keep long-term interest rates low, including the Federal Reserve's actions through QE3, we continue to expect somewhat elevated prepayment speeds on our Agency RMBS into 2013. As explained more fully in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, increased prepayments impact our net interest income by increasing the amortization expense on any investments we own at premiums to their par balance and lowers security yields.
Asset Spreads and Competition for Assets
Over the past few years, credit markets in the United States have generally experienced tightening credit spreads (where credit spreads are defined as the difference between yields on securities with credit risk and yields on benchmark U.S. Treasury securities). In particular, spreads on MBS have tightened over the past several quarters from increased competition for these assets from lack of supply, from favorable market conditions in large part due to the Federal Reserve's involvement in the markets (as discussed above and below) and from substantial amounts of capital raised by mortgage REITs and other market participants in 2012. Reductions in credit spreads will generally result in increased asset prices (assuming no corresponding increase in the benchmark Treasury rate) which increases our book value. However, when credit spreads tighten and asset prices increase, yields on potential new investment opportunities will decrease. On balance, we saw declining new investment yields during 2012 from tighter credit spreads and from declining benchmark Treasury rates. In the first two months of 2013, credit spreads have continued to tighten.
Government Policy Initiatives
The U.S. government is actively seeking to support the U.S. housing market and has introduced programs such as the HARP program noted above. Changes in the HARP program initiated in 2012 represent continued efforts to spur refinance activity. In addition, Senators Barbara Boxer and Robert Menendez have reintroduced a bill in February 2013 that would streamline refinancing of loans currently guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and extend the expiration date of HARP by one year. The U.S. government has also introduced the Home Affordable Mortgage Program, or HAMP, which seeks to assist borrowers through the modification of mortgage loans to reduce the principal amount of the loan, the rate on the loan, or to extend the payment terms of the loan. We expect that the U.S. government will continue to introduce and experiment with housing programs and policies to assist the recovery of the housing market. These programs could increase prepayment rates which would result in lower yields on our Agency RMBS.
Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve continues to maintain a very accommodative monetary policy. The FOMC in January 2013 reiterated its target range for the federal funds rate (the rate at which U.S. banks may borrow from each other) at 0%-0.25%. The FOMC continues to emphasize that economic growth might not be strong enough to generate sustained improvement in labor market conditions and that strains in global financial markets continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook. The FOMC also indicated that it currently anticipates that the exceptionally low range for the federal funds rate will be appropriate at least as long as the unemployment rate remains above 6.50%, inflation between one and two years ahead is projected to be no more than a half percentage point above the 2% longer-run goal, and longer-term inflation expectations continue to be well anchored. In determining how long to maintain a highly accommodative stance of monetary policy, the FOMC indicated that it will also consider other information, including additional measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial developments. Finally, the FOMC indicated that when it decides to begin to remove policy accommodation, it will take a balanced approach consistent with its longer-run goals of maximum employment and inflation of 2%.
The actions by the FOMC noted above have continued to keep overall interest rates low and the Treasury yield curve relatively flat (as measured by the difference of 1.53% between the two year Treasury rate and the ten year Treasury rate as of December 31, 2012 versus 1.64% as of December 31, 2011). Asset credit spreads also remain tight despite continued economic uncertainty both domestically and abroad, in our judgment primarily due to the extraordinary involvement by the Federal Reserve in the markets. While our borrowing costs are based on short-term market rates such as LIBOR and the Federal Funds Target Rate, our asset yields more closely correlate with longer-term Treasury rates and longer-term swap rates. In general, a flat yield curve will result in reduced net interest spreads for new investments and will impact our ability to reinvest our capital on an accretive basis.
A negative impact of a flattening yield curve is the prospective reduction of our net interest spread (and the related return on our invested capital) for new investments. Since the first quarter of 2012, we have seen declining net interest spreads on our new investment purchases in part as a result of the flattening yield curve and in part as a result of reduced credit spreads discussed further below.
Financing
Our business model requires that we have access to leverage, principally through the repurchase agreement market. We access the repurchase agreement markets through relationships with broker-dealers and financial institutions. Repurchase agreement financing is generally uncommitted financing and as such, there can be no guarantee that we will always have access to this financing. During periods of sustained volatility in the credit markets, such as was experienced in 2008, or other disruptions to the credit and financing markets, access to repurchase agreement financing may be limited as liquidity providers reduce their exposure to the short-term funding credit markets. Repurchase agreement markets also fund many different types of assets for many different types of borrowers including MBS, asset-backed securities, commercial paper and government securities. Recent activities by the Federal Reserve, including Operation Twist, have increased the supply of these other types of assets which has increased competition for repurchase agreement financing. Consequently, we have seen a modest increase in our repurchase agreement financing costs during most of 2012.
Regulatory Reform
In July 2010 the Dodd-Frank Act was enacted into law. This legislation aims to restore responsibility and accountability to the financial system. It remains unclear how this legislation may ultimately impact the Company , credit markets and the market for repurchase agreements or other borrowing facilities, the investing environment for Agency and non-Agency MBS, or interest rate swaps and other derivatives, since the rules and regulations under the Dodd-Frank Act continue to be promulgated, implemented and interpreted by the CFTC.
On August 31, 2011, the SEC issued a concept release relating to the exclusion from registration as an investment company provided to mortgage companies by Section 3(c)(5)(C) of the 1940 Act. This release raises concerns regarding the ability of mortgage REITs to continue to rely on the exclusion in the future. In particular, the release states the SEC is concerned that certain types of mortgage-related pools today appear to resemble in many respects investment companies such as closed-end funds and may not be the kinds of companies that were intended to be excluded from regulation under the 1940 Act by Section 3(c)(5)(C). The outcome of the review by the SEC at this time is not determinable. For a discussion of the uncertainties and risks related to the SEC's review, please refer to "Risk Factors" contained within Part I, Item 1A of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
GSE Reform
On February 11, 2011, the Treasury released proposals to limit or potentially wind down the role that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac play in the mortgage market. Similar proposals to limit or wind down the role of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have been proposed by a number of other parties. Any such proposals, if enacted, may have broad adverse implications for the MBS market and our business, results of operations, and financial condition. We expect such proposals to be the subject of significant discussion, and it is not yet possible to determine whether such proposals will be enacted. We do not believe the ultimate reform of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will occur in 2013. However, it is possible that new types of Agency MBS could be proposed and sold by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that are structured differently from current Agency MBS. This may have the effect of reducing the amount of available investment opportunities for the Company. No such new structures have as yet been proposed. For further discussion of the uncertainties and risks related to GSE reform, please refer to "Risk Factors" contained within Part I, Item 1A of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES
Critical accounting policies are defined as those that require management's most difficult, subjective or complex judgments, and which may result in materially different results under different assumptions and conditions. The following discussion provides more information on the accounting policies management believes include the most significant judgments, estimates or uncertainties.
Amortization of Investment Premiums. We amortize premiums and accrete discounts associated with the purchase of our investment securities into interest income over the projected lives of our securities, including contractual payments and estimated prepayments, using the effective yield method in accordance with ASC Topic 310-20. Estimates and judgments related to future levels of mortgage prepayments are critical to this determination, and they are difficult for management to predict. Mortgage prepayment expectations can change based on how changes in current and projected interest rates impact a borrower's likelihood of refinancing as well as other factors, including but not limited to real estate prices, borrowers' credit quality, changes in the stringency of loan underwriting practices, and lending industry capacity constraints. In addition, further modifications to existing programs such as HARP, or the implementation of new programs can have a significant impact on the rate of prepayments. Further GSE buyouts of loans in imminent risk of default, loans that have been modified, or loans that have defaulted will generally be reflected as prepayments on our securities and increase the uncertainty around management's estimates.
We estimate long-term prepayment rates on our investments using a third-party service and market data. The third-party service estimates prepayment rates using models that incorporate the forward yield curve, current mortgage rates and characteristics of the outstanding loans, such as loan age and current interest rates. We review the third-party service estimates and compare the results to any available market consensus prepayment speeds. We also consider historical prepayment rates and current market conditions to validate the reasonableness of the prepayment rates estimated by the third-party service and, based on management's judgment, we may make adjustments if deemed necessary. Actual and anticipated prepayment experience is reviewed quarterly and effective yields are recalculated when differences arise between the previously estimated future prepayments and the amounts actually received plus current anticipated future prepayments.
Other-than-Temporary Impairments. When the fair value of an available-for-sale security is less than its amortized cost as of the reporting date, the security is considered impaired. We assess our securities for impairment on at least a quarterly basis and determine if the impairments are either temporary or "other-than-temporary" in accordance with ASC Topic 320-10. Accounting literature does not define what it considers an other-than-temporary impairment ("OTTI") to be; however, it does state that an OTTI does not mean permanent impairment. The literature does provide some examples of factors which may be indicative of an OTTI, such as: (a) the length of time and extent to which market value has been less than cost; (b) the financial condition and near-term prospects of the issuer; and (c) the intent and ability of the holder to retain its investment in the issuer for a period of time sufficient to allow for any anticipated recovery in market value.
We assess our ability to hold any Agency MBS or non-Agency MBS with an unrealized loss until the recovery in its value. Our ability to hold any such MBS is based on the amount of the unrealized loss and significance of the related investment as well as our current leverage and anticipated liquidity. Although Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are not explicitly backed by the full faith and credit of the United States, given their guarantee and commitments for support received from the Treasury as well as the credit quality inherent in Agency MBS, we do not typically consider any of the unrealized losses on our Agency MBS to be credit-related. For our non-Agency MBS, we review the credit ratings of these MBS and the seasoning of the mortgage loans collateralizing these securities as well as the estimated future cash flows which include any projected losses in order to evaluate whether we believe any portion of the unrealized loss at the reporting date is related to credit losses.
The determination as to whether an OTTI exists as well as its amount is subjective, as such determinations are based not only on factual information available at the time of assessment but also on management’s estimates of future performance and cash flow projections. As a result, the timing and amount of any OTTI may constitute a material estimate that is susceptible to significant change. Our expectations with respect to our securities in an unrealized loss position may change over time, given, among other things, the dynamic nature of markets and other variables. For example, although we believe that the conservatorship of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac has further strengthened their creditworthiness, there can be no assurance that these actions will be adequate for their needs. Accordingly, if these government actions are inadequate and the GSEs continue to suffer losses or cease to exist, our view of the credit worthiness of our Agency MBS could materially change, which may affect our assessment of OTTI for Agency MBS in future periods. Future sales or changes in our expectations with respect to Agency or non-Agency securities in an unrealized loss position could result in us recognizing other-than-temporary impairment charges or realizing losses on sales of MBS in the future.
Fair Value Measurements. As defined in ASC Topic 820, the fair value of a financial instrument is the exchange price in an orderly transaction between market participants to sell an asset or transfer a liability in the market in which the reporting entity would transact for the asset or liability, that is, the principal or most advantageous market for the asset or liability. The transaction to sell the asset or transfer the liability is a hypothetical transaction at the measurement date, considered from the perspective of a market participant that holds the asset or liability. ASC Topic 820 provides a consistent definition of fair value which focuses on exit price and prioritizes, within a measurement of fair value, the use of market-based inputs over entity-specific inputs. In addition, ASC Topic 820 provides a framework for measuring fair value and establishes a three-level hierarchy for fair value measurements based upon the transparency of inputs to the valuation of an asset or liability as of the measurement date. Please refer to Note 10 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements contained in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for a description of this hierarchy.
The Company’s Agency MBS, as well a majority of its non-Agency MBS, are substantially similar to securities that either are currently actively traded or have been recently traded in their respective market. Their fair values are derived from an average of multiple dealer quotes and thus are considered level 2 fair value measurements.
Less than 20% of the Company’s non-Agency MBS are comprised of securities for which there are not substantially similar securities that trade frequently, and therefore, estimates of fair value for those level 3 securities are based primarily on management's judgment. The Company determines the fair value of those securities by discounting the estimated future cash flows derived from cash flow models using assumptions that are confirmed to the extent possible by third party dealers or other pricing indicators. Significant inputs into those pricing models are level 3 in nature due to the lack of readily available market quotes. Information utilized in those pricing models include the security’s credit rating, coupon rate, estimated prepayment speeds, expected weighted average life, collateral composition, estimated future interest rates, expected credit losses, and credit enhancement as well as certain other relevant information. Generally, level 3 assets are most sensitive to the default rate and severity assumptions. Significant changes in any of these inputs in isolation would result in a significantly different fair value measurement, and accordingly, there is no assurance that our estimates of fair value are indicative of the amounts that would be realized on the ultimate sale or exchange of these assets.
FINANCIAL CONDITION
The following discussion addresses items from our Consolidated Balance Sheet that had significant activity during the past year and should be read in conjunction with the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements contained within Item 8 of Part II of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Agency MBS
Activity related to our Agency MBS for the year ended December 31, 2012 is as follows:
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(amounts in thousands) | RMBS | | CMBS | | CMBS IO | | Total |
Beginning balance as of January 1, 2012 | $ | 1,577,250 |
| | $ | 302,244 |
| | $ | 85,665 |
| | $ | 1,965,159 |
|
Purchases | 1,721,284 |
| | 49,826 |
| | 532,454 |
| | 2,303,564 |
|
Principal payments | (638,069 | ) | | (4,785 | ) | | — |
| | (642,854 | ) |
Sales | (61,534 | ) | | — |
| | (23,940 | ) | | (85,474 | ) |
Change in net unrealized gain | 4,958 |
| | 10,447 |
| | 17,822 |
| | 33,227 |
|
Net amortization | (32,552 | ) | | (3,590 | ) | | (44,821 | ) | | (80,963 | ) |
Ending balance as of December 31, 2012 | $ | 2,571,337 |
| | $ | 354,142 |
| | $ | 567,180 |
| | $ | 3,492,659 |
|
Par/notional value as of December 31, 2012 | $ | 2,425,826 |
| | $ | 306,527 |
| | $ | 10,059,495 |
| | |
We utilized the majority of the proceeds from our equity capital raises during 2012 to purchase Agency RMBS and expand our investments in Agency CMBS IO. We focused our purchases on shorter-duration Agency RMBS to minimize our exposure to extension risk if interest rates were to increase in future periods, and we purchased CMBS IO in order to diversify prepayment risk exposure in our portfolio. Agency CMBS IO are less prepayment sensitive than Agency RMBS given the prepayment protection features of the loans underlying those securities. This helps to minimize the prepayment volatility of the investment portfolio.
As of December 31, 2012, 65% of our Agency portfolio was comprised of Fannie Mae investments with the balance being comprised of 29% Freddie Mac investments and 6% Ginnie Mae investments compared to 67% Fannie Mae investments and 33% Freddie Mac investments as of December 31, 2011. As of December 31, 2012, 73% of our Agency MBS investments are variable-rate MBS with the remainder fixed-rate MBS.
The following table presents the weighted average coupon (“WAC”) by weighted average months-to-reset (“MTR”) for the variable-rate portion of our Agency RMBS portfolio based on par value as of December 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011: |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| December 31, 2012 | | December 31, 2011 |
(amounts in thousands) | Par Value | | WAC (1) | | Par Value | | WAC (2) |
0-12 MTR | $ | 523,711 |
| | 3.94 | % | | $ | 321,942 |
| | 4.32 | % |
13-24 MTR | 105,372 |
| | 4.41 | % | | 384,184 |
| | 5.09 | % |
25-36 MTR | 194,814 |
| | 3.82 | % | | 142,321 |
| | 4.78 | % |
Over 36 MTR | 1,582,017 |
| | 3.54 | % | | 618,318 |
| | 4.33 | % |
| $ | 2,405,914 |
| | 3.69 | % | | $ | 1,466,765 |
| | 4.57 | % |
| |
(1) | As of December 31, 2012, approximately 1% of our Agency ARMs and hybrid ARMs reset based upon the level of six month LIBOR, 95% reset based on the level of one-year LIBOR and 4% reset based on the level of one-year CMT. |
| |
(2) | As of December 31, 2011, approximately 2% of our Agency ARMs and hybrid ARMs reset based upon the level of six month LIBOR, 89% reset based on the level of one-year LIBOR and 9% reset based on the level of one-year CMT. |
As of December 31, 2012, approximately 95% of our variable-rate Agency RMBS portfolio resets based on one-year LIBOR plus a weighted average rate of 1.81%. Because we typically finance these investments using 30-day repurchase agreement financing for which we pay interest expense based on one-month LIBOR plus a spread, our net interest income is sensitive to changes in the interest rate environment. This sensitivity is discussed further in Item 7A "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk" of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Non-Agency MBS
Activity related to our non-Agency MBS for the year ended December 31, 2012 is as follows:
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
(amounts in thousands) | RMBS | | CMBS | | CMBS IO | | Total |
Beginning balance as of January 1, 2012 | $ | 15,270 |
| | $ | 354,070 |
| | $ | 51,756 |
| | $ | 421,096 |
|
Purchases | 7,500 |
| | 165,466 |
| | 68,315 |
| | 241,281 |
|
Principal payments | (13,206 | ) | | (21,084 | ) | | — |
| | (34,290 | ) |
Sales | — |
| | (34,315 | ) | | — |
| | (34,315 | ) |
Change in net unrealized gain | 1,314 |
| | 22,232 |
| | 4,523 |
| | 28,069 |
|
Net accretion (amortization) | 160 |
| | (27 | ) | | (10,652 | ) | | (10,519 | ) |
Ending balance as of December 31, 2012 | $ | 11,038 |
| | $ | 486,342 |
| | $ | 113,942 |
| | $ | 611,322 |
|
The combined notional balance of our investment in non-Agency CMBS IO securities as of December 31, 2012 was $2.4 billion. The weighted average months to maturity for all of our non-Agency CMBS (including IO securities) as of December 31, 2012 was 68 months with 72% having origination dates of 2009 or later, 11% between 2000 and 2005, and the remainder prior to 2000.
During 2012, the Company expanded its investments in non-Agency CMBS and CMBS IO based on the favorable risk-return profile of these investments. Our non-Agency CMBS investments consist principally of securities rated 'A' or higher and are primarily Freddie Mac Multifamily K Certificates on pools of recently originated multifamily mortgage loans. These certificates are not guaranteed by Freddie Mac and therefore, repayment is based solely on the performance of the underlying pool of loans. These loans have prepayment lock-out provisions which reduce the risk of early repayment of our investment.
The following table presents ratings information on our non-Agency CMBS and CMBS IO investments as of December 31, 2012 as an indication of the overall credit risk of these investments:
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Non-Agency CMBS | | Non-Agency CMBS IO |
(amounts in thousands) | Fair Value | | Net Unrealized Gain | | Related Borrowings | | Fair Value | | Net Unrealized Gain | | Related Borrowings |
AAA | $ | 156,180 |
| | $ | 8,934 |
| | $ | 134,678 |
| | $ | 112,106 |
| | $ | 4,935 |
| | $ | 86,731 |
|
AA | 46,967 |
| | 3,600 |
| | 37,207 |
| | 1,836 |
| | 79 |
| | 1,490 |
|
A | 275,310 |
| | 26,786 |
| | 222,873 |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
|
Below A/Not Rated | 7,885 |
| | 588 |
| | 2,401 |
| | — |
| | — |
| | — |
|
| $ | 486,342 |
| | $ | 39,908 |
| | $ | 397,159 |
| | $ | 113,942 |
| | $ | 5,014 |
| | $ | 88,221 |
|
The following table presents the geographic diversification of the collateral underlying our non-Agency CMBS by the top 5 states as of December 31, 2012:
|
| | | | | | |
(amounts in thousands) | Market Value of Collateral | | Percentage |
Florida | $ | 75,001 |
| | 12.8 | % |
California | 74,723 |
| | 12.7 | % |
Texas | 71,964 |
| | 12.2 | % |
New York | 38,943 |
| | 6.6 | % |
North Carolina | 30,734 |
| | 5.2 | % |
Remaining states (not exceeding 4.7% individually) | 296,743 |
| | 50.5 | % |
| $ | 588,108 |
| | 100.0 | % |
Securitized Mortgage Loans and Allowance for Loan Losses
Our securitized mortgage loans, net of allowance for loan losses decreased almost 38% from December 31, 2011 to December 31, 2012. This is primarily due to our receipt of $40.8 million in principal payments, which includes unscheduled prepayments arising from increased refinancing activity during 2012.
During the year ended December 31, 2012, one of our securitized commercial mortgage loans with an amortized cost of $3.6 million was liquidated, resulting in a recognized gain of $2.1 million. In addition, the terms for one of our securitized commercial mortgage loans were modified during the year ended December 31, 2012. This loan is secured by a mixed-use property located in the Midwest which has an appraised value in excess of the contractual payments due on the modified loan. The modification resulted in an effective yield as favorable to the Company as the effective yield of the original loan. In accordance with ASC 310-20, the Company accounted for this modified loan as a new loan which has an amortized cost basis of $8.2 million as of December 31, 2012.
Our allowance for loan losses decreased approximately 82% during the year ended December 31, 2012 as we have experienced a significant decrease in our seriously delinquent mortgage loans. During the year ended December 31, 2012, we incurred charge offs of $2.3 million for securitized mortgage loans previously identified as impaired while increasing our provision $0.2 million for newly impaired mortgage loans identified during the year.
Derivative Assets and Liabilities
As of December 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011, we have entered into interest rate swap agreements in which we pay monthly an agreed upon fixed rate of interest and receive a variable rate of interest based on 1-month and 3-month LIBOR. Our primary use for interest rate swap agreements is to hedge our exposure to increases in interest rates on the repurchase agreements we use to fund our investment purchases. As such, we increased our volume of interest rate swap activity to compensate for the growth in our repurchase agreement borrowings used to fund our investment portfolio. As the duration of our portfolio increases, we will generally add additional hedging instruments such as interest rate swaps to lower our portfolio duration and to hedge the uncertainty of interest expense cash flows on repurchase agreements anticipated for the future.
The notional amount outstanding for our interest rate swap agreements as of December 31, 2012 is $1,462.0 million with a weighted average fixed rate swapped of 1.53% compared to a notional amount outstanding of $1,092.0 million with a weighted average fixed rate swapped of 1.58% as of December 31, 2011. Since December 31, 2011, we have entered into fifteen additional interest rate swaps with a combined notional amount of $495.0 million, a weighted average pay-fixed rate of 1.33%, and a weighted average term until maturity of approximately 66 months. Included in the balance as of December 31, 2012 are seven interest rate swaps which are not effective until 2013. We utilized forward-starting interest rate swaps in this instance in response to statements by the Federal Reserve that the federal funds target rate will remain low for an extended period of time as discussed earlier within this Item 7 in the "Executive Overview" section. The table below provides additional information related to these forward-starting interest rate swaps:
|
| | | | | | |
(amounts in thousands) | Notional Amount | | Weighted-Average Fixed Rate Swapped |
Forward-start date: | | | |
January 8, 2013 | $ | 150,000 |
| | 1.42 | % |
March 25, 2013 | 100,000 |
| | 1.89 | % |
April 15, 2013 | 25,000 |
| | 1.70 | % |
| $ | 275,000 |
| | 1.62 | % |
Our derivative liabilities designated as cash flow hedges had a net fair value of $39.8 million as of December 31, 2012 compared to $25.5 million as of December 31, 2011. For the year ended December 31, 2012, our interest rate swap expense from cash flow hedges recognized in our consolidated statement of income was $14.4 million compared to $11.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2011, and this increase in expense is primarily related to the increase in the notional amount of our derivative instruments outstanding during the year ended December 31, 2012 compared the year ended December 31, 2011.
Three of our interest rate swaps included within derivative liabilities on our consolidated balance sheets are designated as trading instruments and had a fair value of $2.7 million as of December 31, 2012 compared to $2.5 million as of December 31, 2011. For the year ended December 31, 2012, we recognized in our consolidated statement of income a loss of $(0.9) million related to these trading swaps, which includes the change in their fair value as well as the net interest payments made on these trading swaps, compared to a loss of $(2.8) million for the year ended December 31, 2011. The Company entered into these interest rate swaps as trading instruments during the year ended December 31, 2011.
Repurchase Agreements
Repurchase agreements increased a net $1,470.3 million from December 31, 2011 to December 31, 2012 primarily due to additional borrowings to finance our purchases of investments during the year ended December 31, 2012, and principally 2012 purchases of Agency RMBS and CMBS IO. During 2012, the Company entered into a $200 million two-year committed facility to finance a portion of its investments in CMBS IO securities. The Company will continue to seek longer-term or committed repurchase agreement financing when management believes that reasonable terms are available. Please refer to Note 8 of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements contained within Item 8 of Part II of this Annual Report on Form 10-K as well as “Liquidity and Capital Resources” contained within this Item 7 for additional information relating to our repurchase agreements.
A portion of our repurchase agreement financing is collateralized by securitization financing bonds that were issued in the past by one of our wholly-owned subsidiaries and then were subsequently repurchased ("redeemed") by us through a different wholly-owned subsidiary. Although these bonds are legally outstanding, the balances are eliminated on a consolidated basis in accordance with GAAP and are therefore not included in the "non-recourse collateralized financing" balances shown on our consolidated balance sheet. The additional repurchase agreement borrowings collateralized by these redeemed bonds were used to finance the bond redemption as well as to purchase additional investments. The following tables summarize the par and fair values of these redeemed bonds used as collateral for repurchase agreement financing as of the periods presented:
|
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| December 31, 2012 |
(amounts in thousands) | Par Value Outstanding | | Fair Value | | Repurchase Agreement Balance |
Collateral Type: | | | | | |
Single-family mortgage loans | $ | 18,095 |
| | $ | 17,331 |
| | $ | 15,986 |
|
Commercial mortgage loans | 14,160 |
| | 14,152 |
| | 12,127 |
|
| $ | 32,255 |
| | $ | 31,483 |
| | $ | 28,113 |
|
|
| | | | | | | | | | | |
| December 31, 2011 |
(amounts in thousands) | Par Value Outstanding | | Fair Value | | Repurchase Agreement Balance |
Collateral Type: | | | | | |
Single-family mortgage loans | $ | 21,477 |
| | $ | 18,616 |
| | $ | 16,980 |
|
Commercial mortgage loans | 49,220 |
| | 49,256 |
| | 43,482 |
|
| $ | 70,697 |
| | $ | 67,872 |
| | $ | 60,462 |
|
Non-recourse Collateralized Financing
Our non-recourse collateralized financing decreased from December 31, 2011 to December 31, 2012 primarily because we paid off the balance of our TALF financing, which had a fixed interest rate of 2.7% and a remaining balance as of December 31, 2011 of $37.6 million, and replaced it with repurchase agreement financing.
Supplemental Information
The tables below present the allocation of our shareholders' equity to our assets and liabilities. The allocation of shareholders' equity is determined by subtracting the associated financing for each asset from that asset's carrying basis. During 2012, we allocated a substantial portion of our available investment capital to CMBS and CMBS IO investments because of their superior risk-adjusted return profiles as well as their prepayment protected profiles which offset our prepayment risk from our RMBS assets.
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| As of December 31, 2012 |
(amounts in thousands) | Asset Carrying Basis | | Associated Financing(1)/ Liability Carrying Basis | | Allocated Shareholders’ Equity | | % of Shareholders’ Equity |
Agency RMBS | $ | 2,571,337 |
| | $ | 2,365,982 |
| | $ | 205,355 |
| | 33.3 | % |
Agency CMBS | 354,142 |
| | 248,771 |
| | 105,371 |
| | 17.1 | % |
Agency CMBS IO | 567,180 |
| | 442,881 |
| | 124,299 |
| | 20.2 | % |
Non-Agency RMBS | 11,038 |
| | 7,808 |
| | 3,230 |
| | 0.5 | % |
Non-Agency CMBS | 486,342 |
| | 397,159 |
| | 89,183 |
| | 14.5 | % |
Non-Agency CMBS IO | 113,942 |
| | 88,221 |
| | 25,721 |
| | 4.2 | % |
Securitized mortgage loans | 70,823 |
| | 43,810 |
| | 27,013 |
| | 4.4 | % |
Other investments | 858 |
| | — |
| | 858 |
| | 0.1 | % |
Derivative assets (liabilities) | — |
| | 42,537 |
| | (42,537 | ) | | (6.9 | )% |
Cash and cash equivalents | 55,809 |
| | — |
| | 55,809 |
| | 9.0 | % |
Other assets/other liabilities | 48,758 |
| | 26,350 |
| | 22,408 |
| | 3.6 | % |
| $ | 4,280,229 |
| | $ | 3,663,519 |
| | $ | 616,710 |
| | 100.0 | % |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| As of December 31, 2011 |
(amounts in thousands) | Asset Carrying Basis | | Associated Financing(1)/ Liability Carrying Basis | | Allocated Shareholders’ Equity | | % of Shareholders’ Equity |
Agency RMBS | $ | 1,577,250 |
| | $ | 1,447,508 |
| | $ | 129,742 |
| | 34.9 | % |
Agency CMBS | 302,244 |
| | 222,921 |
| | 79,323 |
| | 21.4 | % |
Agency CMBS IO | 85,665 |
| | 67,441 |
| | 18,224 |
| | 4.9 | % |
Non-Agency RMBS | 15,270 |
| | 12,195 |
| | 3,075 |
| | 0.8 | % |
Non-Agency CMBS | 354,070 |
| | 296,739 |
| | 57,331 |
| | 15.4 | % |
Non-Agency CMBS IO | 51,756 |
| | 38,883 |
| | 12,873 |
| | 3.5 | % |
Securitized mortgage loans | 113,703 |
| | 79,001 |
| | 34,702 |
| | 9.3 | % |
Other investments | 1,018 |
| | — |
| | 1,018 |
| | 0.3 | % |
Derivative assets (liabilities) | — |
| | 27,997 |
| | (27,997 | ) | | (7.5 | )% |
Cash and cash equivalents | 48,776 |
| | — |
| | 48,776 |
| | 13.1 | % |
Other assets/other liabilities | 32,441 |
| | 18,159 |
| | 14,282 |
| | 3.9 | % |
| $ | 2,582,193 |
| | $ | 2,210,844 |
| | $ | 371,349 |
| | 100.0 | % |
| |
(1) | Associated financing related to investments includes repurchase agreements as well as payables pending for unsettled trades as of the reporting period, and non-recourse collateralized financing. Associated financing for derivative instruments represents the fair value of the interest rate swap agreements in a liability position. |
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following discussion addresses significant activity in our Consolidated Statements of Income for the years ended December 31, 2012, December 31, 2011, and December 31, 2010 and should be read in conjunction with the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements contained within Item 8 of Part II to this Annual Report on Form 10-K and the Executive Overview contained within this Item 7.
Year Ended December 31, 2012 Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2011
During 2012, continued monetary easing initiatives instituted by the Federal Reserve and general economic weakness led to declining interest rates with the 5-year to 10-year portion of the U.S. Treasury curve declining by 0.11%-0.17%. This low rate environment impacted our results of operations by increasing actual and estimated prepayment speeds on our Agency RMBS and by reducing returns on new investments that we added to the investment portfolio. During 2012 we also saw increased repurchase agreement costs on our Agency RMBS versus 2011 as lenders began to pass through increased regulatory compliance costs and also due to competition for financing and temporary increases in costs from the Federal Reserve's sale of short-term Treasury securities pursuant to Operation Twist. The sale of short-term Treasury securities by the Federal Reserve reduces the amount of repurchase agreement available as buyers of these securities typically finance them through the repurchase agreement markets.
Net Interest Income - Agency MBS
The following table provides a summary of the results of our Agency MBS investments and related financings by type of collateral for the periods indicated:
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| For the Year Ended |
| December 31, |
| 2012 | | 2011 |
(amounts in thousands) | Income (Expense) (1) | | Average Balance(2) | | Effective Yield (Rate)(3) | | Income (Expense) (1) | | Average Balance(2) | | Effective Yield (Rate)(3) |
Agency RMBS | $ | 50,319 |
| | $ | 2,250,477 |
| | 2.24 | % | | $ | 45,013 |
| | $ | 1,567,408 |
| | 2.87 | % |
Financing | (15,016 | ) | | (2,081,370 | ) | | (0.71 | )% | | (9,595 | ) | | (1,451,790 | ) | | (0.66 | )% |
Net interest income/spread | $ | 35,303 |
| | | | 1.53 | % | | $ | 35,418 |
| | | | 2.21 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Agency CMBS | $ | 11,601 |
| | $ | 307,691 |
| | 3.69 | % | | $ | 9,711 |
| | $ | 250,333 |
| | 3.81 | % |
Financing | (5,335 | ) | | (259,632 | ) | | (2.02 | )% | | (3,946 | ) | | (183,868 | ) | | (2.12 | )% |
Net interest income/spread | $ | 6,266 |
| | | | 1.67 | % | | $ | 5,765 |
| | | | 1.69 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Agency CMBS IO | $ | 15,841 |
| | $ | 328,541 |
| | 5.02 | % | | $ | 2,090 |
| | $ | 28,203 |
| | 7.71 | % |
Financing | (3,411 | ) | | (258,955 | ) | | (1.30 | )% | | (245 | ) | | (20,056 | ) | | (1.21 | )% |
Net interest income/spread | $ | 12,430 |
| | | | 3.72 | % | | $ | 1,845 |
| | | | 6.50 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Total Agency MBS | $ | 77,761 |
| | $ | 2,886,709 |
| | 2.71 | % | | $ | 56,814 |
| | $ | 1,845,944 |
| | 3.07 | % |
Total financing | (23,762 | ) | | (2,599,957 | ) | | (0.90 | )% | | (13,786 | ) | | (1,655,714 | ) | | (0.82 | )% |
Total net interest income/spread: Agency MBS | $ | 53,999 |
| | | | 1.81 | % | | $ | 43,028 |
| | | | 2.25 | % |
| |
(1) | Expense amounts and financing rates include allocated interest rate expense on interest rate swaps designated as hedges. |
| |
(2) | Average balances are calculated as a simple average of the daily amortized cost basis and exclude unrealized gains and losses. |
| |
(3) | Effective yields (rates) are based on annualized income (expense) amounts. Recalculation of effective yields and rates may not be possible using data provided because certain income and expense items of a one-time nature are not annualized for the calculation of effective yields or rates. An example of such a one-time item is the retrospective adjustments of discount and premium amortizations arising from adjustments of effective interest rates. |
The majority of the increase in our interest income from Agency MBS for the year ended December 31, 2012 compared to the year ended December 31, 2011 is due to the growth of our Agency MBS portfolio. During the year ended December 31, 2012, we purchased $2,303.6 million in Agency MBS which increased our average interest earnings assets to $2,886.7 million from $1,845.9 million for the year ended December 31, 2011. The increase in average interest earning assets helped offset a decline in the weighted average yield during 2012 of 0.36% to 2.71%.
Decreases in weighted average coupons on our Agency RMBS and Agency CMBS negatively impacted our interest income and effective yields on Agency MBS during the year ended December 31, 2012. The weighted average coupons for the year ended December 31, 2012 were 3.89% and 5.19% for Agency RMBS and Agency CMBS, respectively, compared to 4.51% and 5.36% for the year ended December 31, 2011, respectively. The decline in weighted average coupon for Agency RMBS is the result of purchases of newer issue Hybrid ARMs and resets in the coupon rates over the last twelve months in our Agency ARMs. The decline in weighted average coupon for Agency CMBS is primarily the result of purchases of investments with lower coupons over the last twelve months.
Our Agency CMBS IO investments positively impacted our Agency MBS effective yield by 0.30% for the year ended December 31, 2012 even though yields on Agency CMBS IO declined in 2012 relative to 2011. We were able to buy Agency CMBS IO investments at better yields than Agency RMBS as demand for the Agency CMBS IO products was not as strong relative to the demand for Agency RMBS.
Net premium amortization on Agency MBS increased $53.0 million to $81.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2012 compared to $28.0 million for the year ended December 31, 2011. This increase in net premium amortization is due primarily to the purchases of higher-priced Agency CMBS IO and Agency RMBS during 2012. To a lesser extent, our net premium amortization also increased due to actual prepayment activity as well as an increase in our forecasted prepayment speed during the second quarter of 2012 in response to declining mortgage rates and the HARP refinance program. We estimate that $1.0 million of our net premium amortization of $81.0 million was due to actual prepayments exceeding forecasted prepayments during the year as well as changes to expected future prepayment activity on our Agency RMBS.
Excluding interest rate swap expense, our financing cost for Agency MBS increased $7.9 million to $12.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2012 from $4.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2011. This increase is primarily due to the additional repurchase agreement borrowings we used to finance our Agency MBS purchases over the past 12 months. In addition, the average rate on the repurchase agreements increased to 0.48% for the year ended December 31, 2012 from 0.29% for the year ended December 31, 2011. This higher cost of financing is indicative of the higher costs of financing Agency CMBS IO investments and generally increased costs for repurchase agreements during the year as discussed above.
Our financing costs for Agency MBS shown in the table above for the year ended December 31, 2012 includes $11.1 million of interest expense related to interest rate swaps compared to $9.0 million of interest rate swap expense for the year ended December 31, 2011. Interest rate swap expense increased our borrowing costs for Agency MBS by 0.42% for the year ended December 31, 2012 compared to an increase of 0.53% for the year ended December 31, 2011.
Net Interest Income – Non-Agency MBS
The following table provides a summary of the results of our non-Agency MBS investments and related financings by type of collateral for the periods indicated:
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| For the Year Ended |
| December 31, |
| 2012 | | 2011 |
(amounts in thousands) | Income (Expense) (1) | | Average Balance(2) | | Effective Yield/Rate(3) | | Income (Expense) (1) | | Average Balance(2) | | Effective Yield/Rate(3) |
Non-Agency RMBS | $ | 884 |
| | $ | 15,401 |
| | 5.74 | % | | $ | 795 |
| | $ | 13,086 |
| | 6.08 | % |
Financing | (216 | ) | | (11,577 | ) | | (1.83 | )% | | (133 | ) | | (9,715 | ) | | (1.36 | )% |
Net interest income/spread | $ | 668 |
| | | | 3.91 | % | | $ | 662 |
| | | | 4.72 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-Agency CMBS | $ | 24,568 |
| | $ | 406,918 |
| | 6.06 | % | | $ | 16,668 |
| | $ | 275,469 |
| | 6.05 | % |
Financing | (9,335 | ) | | (331,036 | ) | | (2.77 | )% | | (7,233 | ) | | (235,498 | ) | | (3.04 | )% |
Net interest income/spread | $ | 15,233 |
| | | | 3.29 | % | | $ | 9,435 |
| | | | 3.01 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Non-Agency CMBS IO | $ | 4,515 |
| | $ | 71,882 |
| | 5.39 | % | | $ | 1,362 |
| | $ | 14,647 |
| | 9.30 | % |
Financing | (933 | ) | | (55,864 | ) | | (1.64 | )% | | (252 | ) | | (11,082 | ) | | (1.49 | )% |
Net interest income/spread | $ | 3,582 |
| | | | 3.75 | % | | $ | 1,110 |
| | | | 7.81 | % |
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Total non-Agency MBS | $ | 29,967 |
| | $ | 494,201 |
| | 5.95 | % | | $ | 18,825 |
| | $ | 303,202 |
| | 6.21 | % |
Total financing | (10,484 | ) | | (398,477 | ) | | (2.59 | )% | | (7,618 | ) | | (256,295 | ) | | (2.91 | )% |
Total net interest income/spread: non-Agency MBS | $ | 19,483 |
| | | | 3.36 | % | | $ | 11,207 |
| | | | 3.30 | % |
| |
(1) | Expense amounts and financing rates include allocated interest rate expense on interest rate swaps designated as hedges. |
| |
(2) | Average balances are calculated as a simple average of the daily amortized cost basis and exclude unrealized gains and losses. |
| |
(3) | Effective yields (rates) are based on annualized income (expense) amounts. Recalculation of effective yields and rates may not be possible using data provided because certain income and expense items of a one-time nature are not annualized for the calculation of effective yields or rates. An example of such a one-time item is the retrospective adjustments of discount and premium amortizations arising from adjustments of effective interest rates. |
Our interest income from non-Agency MBS increased over 59% for the year ended December 31, 2012 compared to the year ended December 31, 2011. The increase is due to a higher average balance resulting from purchases of $241.3 million of these investments subsequent to December 31, 2011 as well as a favorable increase in interest income for the year ended December 31, 2012 for those investments held as of December 31, 2011.
As shown in the table above, the effective yield on our non-Agency MBS portfolio decreased for the year ended December 31, 2012 compared to the year ended December 31, 2011. We added non-Agency CMBS IO investments at higher premiums during 2012 and lower yields as the demand for those investments increased our purchase prices. The higher premiums on our non-Agency CMBS IO increased our premium amortization expense for the year ended December 31, 2012 compared to the year ended December 31, 2011.
Our interest expense from repurchase agreements collateralized by non-Agency MBS increased to $7.1 million (excluding interest rate swap expense) for the year ended December 31, 2012 compared to $2.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2011, an increase driven by the increased volume of repurchase agreement borrowings used to finance our non-Agency MBS purchases. In addition to the increased average balance, the average rate on these repurchase agreements increased to 1.53% for the year ended December 31, 2012 from 1.27% for the year ended December 31, 2011. This higher cost of financing is indicative of the higher cost of financing for non-Agency CMBS IO as well as general increases in repurchase agreement costs discussed above.
Our financing costs shown in the table above for non-Agency CMBS include interest rate swap expense of $3.4 million and $2.6 million for the years ended December 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011. Overall, the financing costs (including interest rate swap expense) for non-Agency MBS decreased 32 basis points for the year ended December 31, 2012 from the year ended December 31, 2011 because our interest rate swap expense impacted our borrowing costs for non-Agency MBS by only 1.06% for the year ended December 31, 2012 compared to 1.64% for the year ended December 31, 2011.
Net Interest Income - Securitized Mortgage Loans
The following table provides a summary of the results of our securitized mortgage loans and related financing for the periods indicated:
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| For the Year Ended |
| December 31, |
| 2012 | | 2011 |
(amounts in thousands) | Income (Expense) | | Average Balance (1) | | Effective Yield/Rate(2) | | Income (Expense) | | Average Balance (1) | | Effective Yield/Rate(2) |
Securitized mortgage loans | $ | 5,395 |
| | $ | 91,873 |
| | 5.86 | % | | $ | 7,615 |
| | $ | 133,198 |
| | 5.70 | % |
Financing | (864 | ) | | (58,921 | ) | | (1.44 | )% | | (2,678 | ) | | (90,972 | ) | | (2.94 | )% |
Net interest income/spread | $ | 4,531 |
| | | | 4.42 | % | | $ | 4,937 |
| | | | 2.76 | % |
Provision for loan losses | (192 | ) | | | | | | (871 | ) | | | | |
| $ | 4,339 |
| | | | | | $ | 4,066 |
| | | | |
| |
(1) | Average balance excludes funds held by trustees except proceeds from defeased loans held by trustees. |
| |
(2) | Effective yields (rates) are based on annualized income (expense) amounts. Recalculation of effective yields and rates may not be possible using data provided in the table because certain income and expense items of a one-time nature are not annualized for the calculation of effective yields or rates. An example of such a one-time item is the retrospective adjustments of discount and premium amortizations arising from adjustments of effective interest rates. |
The decrease in interest income on securitized mortgage loans is the result of the lower average balance outstanding for the year ended December 31, 2012 compared to the year ended December 31, 2011. These balances have decreased year over year because we are no longer adding securitized mortgage loans to our investment portfolio. Principal payments, including unscheduled payments, were $40.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2012 compared to $37.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2011.
The decrease in interest expense associated with securitized mortgage loans is related to a decline in the average balance of outstanding financing, which declined due to the principal payments on the mortgage loan collateral that are discussed above (as these payments received are used to pay down the principal on the related bonds). In addition, our interest expense associated with securitized mortgage loans was favorably impacted by our redemption of $23.7 million of our non-recourse collateralized financing at the end of the third quarter of 2011. This redemption, which consisted of a portion of our securitization financing bond issued in 1998 with a coupon of 7.16% that is collateralized by our securitized commercial mortgage loans, was financed using variable-rate repurchase agreement financing at a significantly lower effective interest rate than the previously outstanding portion of the securitization financing bond.
Provision for Loan Losses. During the year ended December 31, 2012, we added $0.2 million of reserves for estimated losses on our securitized mortgage loan portfolio compared to an addition of $0.9 million of reserves for the year ended December 31, 2011. The majority of this additional reserve was related to our single-family securitized mortgage loans.
Other Revenues and Expenses
Gain on sale of investments, net. The following table summarizes information related to our gain on sale of investments, net for the years ended December 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011.
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| For the Year Ended December 31, |
| 2012 | | 2011 |
(amounts in thousands) | Amortized cost basis sold | | Gain on sale, net | | Amortized cost basis sold | | Gain on sale, net |
Type of Investment | | | | | | | |
Agency RMBS | $ | 61,534 |
| | $ | 2,112 |
| | $ | 152,165 |
| | $ | 1,240 |
|
Agency CMBS | — |
| | — |
| | 26,662 |
| | 856 |
|
Agency CMBS IO | 23,939 |
| | 194 |
| | — |
| | — |
|
Non-Agency CMBS | 34,315 |
| | 3,013 |
| | — |
| | — |
|
Securitized mortgage loan liquidation | 3,612 |
| | 2,072 |
| | — |
| | — |
|
Freddie Mac Senior Unsecured Reference Notes | 99,966 |
| | 1,070 |
| | — |
| | — |
|
| $ | 223,366 |
| | $ | 8,461 |
| | $ | 178,827 |
| | $ | 2,096 |
|
The increased gain on sale reflects price appreciation during 2012. We purchased the Freddie Mac Senior Unsecured Reference Notes during 2012 with proceeds from our capital raise in February 2012 as a temporary investment and subsequently sold these notes in favor of Agency MBS. We sold the MBS securities during 2012 as a result of portfolio rebalancing and to reduce our exposure to prepayment risk in the case of the Agency RMBS.
Fair value adjustments, net. For the year ended December 31, 2012, our fair value adjustments, net of $(0.2) million consist of unrealized losses of $(0.9) million related to the changes in fair value of our derivative instruments designated as trading securities partially offset by unrealized gains of $0.7 million related to changes in fair value of our Agency CMBS designated as trading securities. For the year ended December 31, 2011, our fair value adjustments, net consisted primarily of an unrealized gain of $1.9 million related to the changes in fair value of our Agency CMBS designated as trading securities and an unrealized loss of ($2.8) million related to the changes in fair value of our derivative instruments designated as trading securities.
General and Administrative Expenses
General and administrative expenses for the year ended December 31, 2012 increased approximately $2.8 million compared to the year ended December 31, 2011. The majority of this increase is due to increased incentive compensation expenses as well as an increase in our number of employees. General and administrative expenses as a percentage of shareholder's equity decreased to 2.3% for the year ended December 31, 2012 compared to 2.8% for the year ended December 31, 2011 as we grew our equity capital during 2012 without incurring significant additional overhead expenses.
Year Ended December 31, 2011 Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2010
Net Interest Income – Agency MBS
The following table provides a summary of the results of our Agency MBS investments and related financings by type of collateral for the periods indicated:
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| For the Year Ended |
| December 31, |
| 2011 | | 2010 |
(amounts in thousands) | Income (Expense) (1) | | Average Balance(2) | | Effective Yield (Rate)(3) | | Income (Expense) (1) | | Average Balance(2) | | Effective Yield (Rate)(3) |
Agency RMBS | $ | 45,013 |
| | $ | 1,567,408 |
| | 2.87 | % | | $ | 20,404 |
| | $ | 566,288 |
| | 3.60 | % |
Financing | (9,595 | ) | | (1,451,790 | ) | | (0.66 | )% | | (3,614 | ) | | (523,260 | ) | | (0.67 | )% |
|