ý | QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934. |
¨ | TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934. |
Federally chartered corporation | 8200 Jones Branch Drive McLean, Virginia 22102-3110 | 52-0904874 | (703) 903-2000 | |||
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Table of Contents |
Page | |
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS | |
INTRODUCTION | |
KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS | |
CONSOLIDATED RESULTS OF OPERATIONS | |
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS ANALYSIS | |
OUR BUSINESS SEGMENTS | |
RISK MANAGEMENT | |
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES | |
CONSERVATORSHIP AND RELATED MATTERS | |
REGULATION AND SUPERVISION | |
OFF-BALANCE SHEET ARRANGEMENTS | |
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS | |
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS | |
OTHER INFORMATION | |
LEGAL PROCEEDINGS | |
RISK FACTORS | |
UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS | |
EXHIBITS | |
CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES | |
SIGNATURES | |
FORM 10-Q INDEX | |
EXHIBIT INDEX |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | i |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Introduction |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 1 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Introduction |
• | $1.4 billion increase resulting from changes in interest rates during 3Q 2016 compared to 3Q 2015; and |
• | $1.2 billion increase resulting from spreads tightening during 3Q 2016 compared to spreads widening during 3Q 2015. |
• | Interest-Rate Volatility — We hold assets and liabilities that expose us to interest-rate risk. Through our use of derivatives, we manage our exposure to interest-rate risk on an economic basis to a low level as measured by our models. However, the way we account for our financial assets and liabilities (i.e., some are measured at amortized cost, while others are measured at fair value), including derivatives, creates volatility in our GAAP earnings when interest rates fluctuate. Based upon the composition of our financial assets and liabilities, including derivatives, at September 30, 2016, we generally recognize fair value losses in earnings when interest rates decline. This volatility generally is not indicative of the underlying economics of our business. For information about the sensitivity of our financial results to interest-rate volatility, see "Risk Management - Interest-Rate Risk and Other Market Risks." |
• | Spread Volatility — The volatility of spreads (i.e., credit spreads, liquidity spreads, risk premiums, etc.), or OAS, is the risk associated with changes in the excess of interest rates over benchmark rates. We hold assets and liabilities that expose us to spread volatility, which may contribute to significant earnings volatility. For financial assets measured at fair value, we generally recognize fair value losses when spreads widen. Conversely, for financial liabilities measured at fair value, we generally recognize fair value gains when spreads widen. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 2 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Introduction |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 3 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Key Economic Indicators | Single-family Home Prices |
• | Home prices continued to appreciate during 3Q 2016 and YTD 2016, increasing 0.9% and 6.5%, respectively, compared to an increase of 0.8% and 6.3%, respectively, during 3Q 2015 and YTD 2015, based on our own non-seasonally adjusted price index of single-family homes funded by loans owned or guaranteed by us or Fannie Mae. |
• | National home prices at September 30, 2016 surpassed their previous peak level of 167 reached in June 2006, based on our index. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 4 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Key Economic Indicators | Interest Rates |
• | Both ending and average mortgage interest rates, as indicated by the 30-year PMMS rate, decreased during 3Q 2016 and YTD 2016. |
• | The average 30-year PMMS rate was 3.45% and 3.59% during 3Q 2016 and YTD 2016, respectively, compared to 3.95% and 3.83% during 3Q 2015 and YTD 2015, respectively. |
• | Quarterly ending longer-term interest rates, as indicated by the 10-year LIBOR and the 10-year Treasury rates, increased during 3Q 2016, but still declined overall during YTD 2016. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 5 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Key Economic Indicators | Unemployment Rate |
• | An average of approximately 192,000 and 178,000 monthly net new jobs were added to the economy during 3Q 2016 and YTD 2016, respectively. The unemployment rate was relatively unchanged in 3Q 2016. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 6 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Comparison |
3Q 2016 | 3Q 2015 | Change | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | Change | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in millions) | $ | % | $ | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net interest income | $ | 3,646 | $ | 3,743 | $ | (97 | ) | (3 | )% | $ | 10,494 | $ | 11,359 | $ | (865 | ) | (8 | )% | ||||||||||||
Benefit (provision) for credit losses | (113 | ) | 528 | (641 | ) | (121 | )% | 1,129 | 1,884 | (755 | ) | (40 | )% | |||||||||||||||||
Net interest income after benefit (provision) for credit losses | 3,533 | 4,271 | (738 | ) | (17 | )% | 11,623 | 13,243 | (1,620 | ) | (12 | )% | ||||||||||||||||||
Non-interest income (loss): | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt | (92 | ) | 4 | (96 | ) | (2,400 | )% | (266 | ) | (155 | ) | (111 | ) | 72 | % | |||||||||||||||
Derivative gains (losses) | (36 | ) | (4,172 | ) | 4,136 | (99 | )% | (6,655 | ) | (3,440 | ) | (3,215 | ) | 93 | % | |||||||||||||||
Net impairment of available-for-sale securities recognized in earnings | (9 | ) | (54 | ) | 45 | (83 | )% | (138 | ) | (245 | ) | 107 | (44 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
Other gains on investment securities recognized in earnings | 309 | 256 | 53 | 21 | % | 1,062 | 825 | 237 | 29 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
Other income (loss) | 605 | 125 | 480 | 384 | % | 1,527 | (432 | ) | 1,959 | (453 | )% | |||||||||||||||||||
Total non-interest income (loss) | 777 | (3,841 | ) | 4,618 | (120 | )% | (4,470 | ) | (3,447 | ) | (1,023 | ) | 30 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Non-interest expense: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Administrative expense | (498 | ) | (465 | ) | (33 | ) | 7 | % | (1,421 | ) | (1,417 | ) | (4 | ) | — | % | ||||||||||||||
REO operations expense | (56 | ) | (116 | ) | 60 | (52 | )% | (169 | ) | (243 | ) | 74 | (30 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
Temporary Payroll Tax Cut Continuation Act of 2011 expense | (293 | ) | (248 | ) | (45 | ) | 18 | % | (845 | ) | (705 | ) | (140 | ) | 20 | % | ||||||||||||||
Other expense | (138 | ) | (270 | ) | 132 | (49 | )% | (442 | ) | (1,234 | ) | 792 | (64 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
Total non-interest expense | (985 | ) | (1,099 | ) | 114 | (10 | )% | (2,877 | ) | (3,599 | ) | 722 | (20 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
Income (loss) before income tax (expense) benefit | 3,325 | (669 | ) | 3,994 | (597 | )% | 4,276 | 6,197 | (1,921 | ) | (31 | )% | ||||||||||||||||||
Income tax (expense) benefit | (996 | ) | 194 | (1,190 | ) | (613 | )% | (1,308 | ) | (1,979 | ) | 671 | (34 | )% | ||||||||||||||||
Net income (loss) | 2,329 | (475 | ) | 2,804 | (590 | )% | 2,968 | 4,218 | (1,250 | ) | (30 | )% | ||||||||||||||||||
Total other comprehensive income (loss), net of taxes and reclassification adjustments | (19 | ) | (26 | ) | 7 | (27 | )% | 275 | (60 | ) | 335 | (558 | )% | |||||||||||||||||
Comprehensive income (loss) | $ | 2,310 | $ | (501 | ) | $ | 2,811 | (561 | )% | $ | 3,243 | $ | 4,158 | $ | (915 | ) | (22 | )% |
• | Gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt |
◦ | 3Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2015 and YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - Losses on extinguishment of debt increased primarily due to an increase in the amount of losses recognized from the extinguishment of certain fixed-rate debt securities of consolidated trusts. While our repurchase activity remained relatively flat during each comparative period, we recognized increased losses |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 7 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Comparison |
• | Other gains on investment securities recognized in earnings |
◦ | YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - increased primarily due to the recognition of greater gains on our agency mortgage-related securities classified as trading, as longer-term interest rates declined by a larger amount during YTD 2016 compared to YTD 2015, partially offset by a decrease in realized gains, as we sold fewer non-agency mortgage-related securities classified as available-for-sale during YTD 2016. Our sales of non-agency mortgage-related securities will continue to vary as our portfolio that is saleable, based on a variety of criteria, has decreased. |
• | Other income (loss) |
◦ | 3Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2015 - other income (loss) improved reflecting: |
* | Gains on multifamily loans and commitments for which we elected the fair value option due to higher spread-related fair value gains during 3Q 2016. Spread-related fair value gains increased due to tightening of the K Certificate benchmark spreads during 3Q 2016 compared to 3Q 2015 when the spreads widened; and |
* | Reduced lower-of-cost-or-fair-value adjustments as we reclassified fewer seriously delinquent single-family loans from held-for-investment to held-for-sale during 3Q 2016; partially offset by |
* | Losses on STACR debt notes carried at fair value driven by tightening spreads between STACR yields and LIBOR during 3Q 2016 compared to gains as a result of widening spreads during 3Q 2015. |
◦ | YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - other income (loss) improved reflecting: |
* | Reduced lower-of-cost-or-fair-value adjustments as we reclassified fewer seriously delinquent single-family loans from held-for-investment to held-for-sale during YTD 2016; and |
* | Gains on multifamily mortgage loans and commitments for which we elected the fair value option due to both increased interest rate-related and spread-related fair value gains. Interest rate-related fair value gains increased due to larger declines in longer-term interest rates during YTD 2016 compared to YTD 2015. Spread-related fair value gains increased due to K Certificate benchmark spreads tightening during YTD 2016 compared to the spreads widening during YTD 2015. |
• | Other expense |
◦ | 3Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2015 and YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - decreased primarily due to fewer reclassifications of seriously delinquent single-family loans from held-for-investment to held-for-sale. See "Loan Reclassifications" below for the effect of these loan reclassifications on pre-tax net income. This was partially offset by higher credit risk transfer ("CRT") expense which resulted from an increase in the outstanding cumulative volume of ACIS transactions. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 8 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Comparison |
(in millions) | 3Q 2016 | 3Q 2015 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | ||||||||||||
Benefit for credit losses | $ | 59 | $ | 485 | $ | 632 | $ | 1,977 | ||||||||
Other income (loss) - lower-of-cost-or-fair-value adjustment | (65 | ) | (403 | ) | (799 | ) | (1,616 | ) | ||||||||
Other expense - property taxes and insurance associated with these loans | (10 | ) | (241 | ) | (150 | ) | (1,037 | ) | ||||||||
Effect on income before income tax (expense) benefit | $ | (16 | ) | $ | (159 | ) | $ | (317 | ) | $ | (676 | ) |
(in billions) | 3Q 2016 | 3Q 2015 | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | |||||||||||
Components of derivative gains (losses) | |||||||||||||||
Derivative gains (losses) | $ | — | $ | (4.1 | ) | $ | (6.6 | ) | $ | (3.4 | ) | ||||
Less: Accrual of periodic cash settlements | (0.4 | ) | (0.5 | ) | (1.3 | ) | (1.6 | ) | |||||||
Derivative fair value changes | $ | 0.4 | $ | (3.6 | ) | $ | (5.3 | ) | $ | (1.8 | ) | ||||
Estimated Net Interest Rate Effect | |||||||||||||||
Interest rate effect on derivative fair values | $ | 0.5 | $ | (3.6 | ) | $ | (5.2 | ) | $ | (1.7 | ) | ||||
Estimate of offsetting interest rate effect related to financial instruments measured at fair value | (0.5 | ) | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1.0 | ||||||||||
Income tax benefit (expense) | — | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | |||||||||||
Estimated Net Interest Rate Effect on Comprehensive income | $ | — | $ | (1.4 | ) | $ | (1.8 | ) | $ | (0.5 | ) |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 9 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Comparison |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 10 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Net Interest Income |
3Q 2016 | 3Q 2015 | |||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in millions) | Average Balance | Interest Income (Expense)(1) | Average Rate | Average Balance | Interest Income (Expense)(1) | Average Rate | ||||||||||||||||
Interest-earning assets: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents | $ | 21,664 | $ | 15 | 0.28 | % | $ | 11,849 | $ | 1 | 0.04 | % | ||||||||||
Securities purchased under agreements to resell | 62,735 | 59 | 0.38 | 53,046 | 18 | 0.13 | ||||||||||||||||
Mortgage-related securities: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage-related securities | 185,235 | 1,779 | 3.84 | 217,830 | 2,092 | 3.84 | ||||||||||||||||
Extinguishment of PCs held by Freddie Mac | (88,066 | ) | (829 | ) | (3.76 | ) | (105,709 | ) | (951 | ) | (3.60 | ) | ||||||||||
Total mortgage-related securities, net | 97,169 | 950 | 3.91 | 112,121 | 1,141 | 4.07 | ||||||||||||||||
Non-mortgage-related securities | 15,671 | 26 | 0.67 | 8,738 | 4 | 0.17 | ||||||||||||||||
Loans held by consolidated trusts(1) | 1,654,288 | 13,602 | 3.29 | 1,601,069 | 14,032 | 3.51 | ||||||||||||||||
Loans held by Freddie Mac(1) | 131,945 | 1,395 | 4.23 | 156,248 | 1,563 | 4.00 | ||||||||||||||||
Total interest-earning assets | $ | 1,983,472 | $ | 16,047 | 3.24 | $ | 1,943,071 | $ | 16,759 | 3.45 | ||||||||||||
Interest-bearing liabilities: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Debt securities of consolidated trusts including PCs held by Freddie Mac | $ | 1,680,388 | $ | (11,716 | ) | (2.79 | ) | $ | 1,621,197 | $ | (12,315 | ) | (3.04 | ) | ||||||||
Extinguishment of PCs held by Freddie Mac | (88,066 | ) | 829 | 3.76 | (105,709 | ) | 951 | 3.60 | ||||||||||||||
Total debt securities of consolidated trusts held by third parties | 1,592,322 | (10,887 | ) | (2.73 | ) | 1,515,488 | (11,364 | ) | (3.00 | ) | ||||||||||||
Other debt: | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Short-term debt | 81,057 | (83 | ) | (0.40 | ) | 99,050 | (40 | ) | (0.16 | ) | ||||||||||||
Long-term debt | 302,062 | (1,384 | ) | (1.82 | ) | 310,204 | (1,559 | ) | (2.01 | ) | ||||||||||||
Total other debt | 383,119 | (1,467 | ) | (1.53 | ) | 409,254 | (1,599 | ) | (1.56 | ) | ||||||||||||
Total interest-bearing liabilities | 1,975,441 | (12,354 | ) | (2.50 | ) | 1,924,742 | (12,963 | ) | (2.70 | ) | ||||||||||||
Expense related to derivatives | — | (47 | ) | (0.01 | ) | — | (53 | ) | (0.01 | ) | ||||||||||||
Impact of net non-interest-bearing funding | 8,031 | — | 0.01 | 18,329 | — | 0.03 | ||||||||||||||||
Total funding of interest-earning assets | $ | 1,983,472 | $ | (12,401 | ) | (2.50 | ) | $ | 1,943,071 | $ | (13,016 | ) | (2.68 | ) | ||||||||
Net interest income/yield | $ | 3,646 | 0.74 | $ | 3,743 | 0.77 | ||||||||||||||||
(1) Loan fees, primarily consisting of amortization of delivery fees, included in interest income were $737 million and $500 million for loans held by consolidated trusts and were $53 million and $80 million for loans held by Freddie Mac during 3Q 2016 and 3Q 2015, respectively. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 11 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Net Interest Income |
YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | ||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in millions) | Average Balance | Interest Income (Expense)(1) | Average Rate | Average Balance | Interest Income (Expense)(1) | Average Rate | |||||||||||||||
Interest-earning assets: | |||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents | $ | 16,112 | $ | 31 | 0.26 | % | $ | 12,458 | $ | 6 | 0.06 | % | |||||||||
Securities purchased under agreements to resell | 57,767 | 156 | 0.36 | 50,278 | 39 | 0.11 | |||||||||||||||
Mortgage-related securities: | |||||||||||||||||||||
Mortgage-related securities | 193,492 | 5,546 | 3.82 | 231,969 | 6,728 | 3.87 | |||||||||||||||
Extinguishment of PCs held by Freddie Mac | (96,388 | ) | (2,679 | ) | (3.71 | ) | (109,167 | ) | (3,002 | ) | (3.67 | ) | |||||||||
Total mortgage-related securities, net | 97,104 | 2,867 | 3.94 | 122,802 | 3,726 | 4.05 | |||||||||||||||
Non-mortgage-related securities | 14,219 | 56 | 0.53 | 9,965 | 10 | 0.12 | |||||||||||||||
Loans held by consolidated trusts(1) | 1,640,997 | 41,735 | 3.39 | 1,579,720 | 41,641 | 3.51 | |||||||||||||||
Loans held by Freddie Mac(1) | 138,648 | 4,318 | 4.15 | 161,628 | 4,792 | 3.95 | |||||||||||||||
Total interest-earning assets | $ | 1,964,847 | $ | 49,163 | 3.33 | $ | 1,936,851 | $ | 50,214 | 3.46 | |||||||||||
Interest-bearing liabilities: | |||||||||||||||||||||
Debt securities of consolidated trusts including PCs held by Freddie Mac | $ | 1,665,226 | $ | (36,606 | ) | (2.93 | ) | $ | 1,600,556 | $ | (36,858 | ) | (3.07 | ) | |||||||
Extinguishment of PCs held by Freddie Mac | (96,388 | ) | 2,679 | 3.71 | (109,167 | ) | 3,002 | 3.67 | |||||||||||||
Total debt securities of consolidated trusts held by third parties | 1,568,838 | (33,927 | ) | (2.88 | ) | 1,491,389 | (33,856 | ) | (3.03 | ) | |||||||||||
Other debt: | |||||||||||||||||||||
Short-term debt | 85,995 | (258 | ) | (0.39 | ) | 107,941 | (114 | ) | (0.14 | ) | |||||||||||
Long-term debt | 301,791 | (4,338 | ) | (1.91 | ) | 320,506 | (4,709 | ) | (1.96 | ) | |||||||||||
Total other debt | 387,786 | (4,596 | ) | (1.58 | ) | 428,447 | (4,823 | ) | (1.50 | ) | |||||||||||
Total interest-bearing liabilities | 1,956,624 | (38,523 | ) | (2.62 | ) | 1,919,836 | (38,679 | ) | (2.69 | ) | |||||||||||
Expense related to derivatives | — | (146 | ) | (0.01 | ) | — | (176 | ) | (0.01 | ) | |||||||||||
Impact of net non-interest-bearing funding | 8,223 | — | 0.01 | 17,015 | — | 0.02 | |||||||||||||||
Total funding of interest-earning assets | $ | 1,964,847 | $ | (38,669 | ) | (2.62 | ) | $ | 1,936,851 | $ | (38,855 | ) | (2.68 | ) | |||||||
Net interest income/yield | $ | 10,494 | 0.71 | $ | 11,359 | 0.78 |
(1) | Loan fees, primarily consisting of amortization of delivery fees, included in interest income were $1.9 billion and $1.6 billion for loans held by consolidated trusts and were $184 million and $289 million for loans held by Freddie Mac during YTD 2016 and YTD 2015, respectively. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 12 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Net Interest Income |
3Q 2016 | 3Q 2015 | Change | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | Change | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in millions) | $ | % | $ | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Contractual net interest income: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Guarantee fee income | $ | 822 | $ | 663 | $ | 159 | 24 | % | $ | 2,212 | $ | 1,899 | $ | 313 | 16 | % | |||||||||||||
Guarantee fee income related to the Temporary Payroll Tax Cut Continuation Act of 2011 | 292 | 246 | 46 | 19 | % | 838 | 693 | 145 | 21 | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Other contractual net interest income | 1,635 | 1,944 | (309 | ) | (16 | )% | 5,219 | 6,336 | (1,117 | ) | (18 | )% | |||||||||||||||||
Total contractual net interest income | 2,749 | 2,853 | (104 | ) | (4 | )% | 8,269 | 8,928 | (659 | ) | (7 | )% | |||||||||||||||||
Net amortization - loans and debt securities of consolidated trusts | 884 | 808 | 76 | 9 | % | 2,191 | 2,190 | 1 | — | % | |||||||||||||||||||
Net amortization - other assets and debt | 60 | 135 | (75 | ) | (56 | )% | 180 | 417 | (237 | ) | (57 | )% | |||||||||||||||||
Expense related to derivatives | (47 | ) | (53 | ) | 6 | (11 | )% | (146 | ) | (176 | ) | 30 | (17 | )% | |||||||||||||||
Net interest income | $ | 3,646 | $ | 3,743 | $ | (97 | ) | (3 | )% | $ | 10,494 | $ | 11,359 | $ | (865 | ) | (8 | )% |
• | Guarantee fee income (contractual) |
◦ | 3Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2015 and YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - increased during the 2016 periods due to higher average contractual guarantee fee rates, reflecting the continued growth in the size of the Core single-family book, and a larger overall single-family credit guarantee portfolio. Average contractual guarantee fees are generally higher on mortgage loans in our Core single-family book compared to those in our Legacy single-family book. |
• | Other contractual net interest income |
◦ | 3Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2015 and YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - decreased during the 2016 periods primarily due to the continued reduction in the balance of our mortgage-related investments portfolio pursuant to the portfolio limits established by the Purchase Agreement and FHFA. See "Conservatorship and Related Matters - Reducing Our Mortgage-Related Investments Portfolio Over Time" for a discussion of the key drivers of the decline in our mortgage-related investments portfolio. |
• | Net amortization of other assets and debt |
◦ | 3Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2015 and YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - decreased during the 2016 periods primarily due to less accretion of previously recognized other-than-temporary impairment. The decrease in accretion during the 2016 periods is due to a decline in the population of impaired securities as a result of our active disposition of these securities and the recognition of less other-than-temporary impairment due to stabilized collateral performance. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 13 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Provision for Credit Losses |
3Q 2016 | 3Q 2015 | Change | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | Change | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in billions) | $ | % | $ | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Provision for newly impaired loans | $ | (0.2 | ) | $ | (0.2 | ) | $ | — | — | % | $ | (0.6 | ) | $ | (0.8 | ) | $ | 0.2 | (25 | )% | ||||||||||
Amortization of interest rate concessions | 0.2 | 0.3 | (0.1 | ) | (33 | )% | 0.7 | 0.9 | (0.2 | ) | (22 | )% | ||||||||||||||||||
Reclassifications of held-for-investment loans to held-for-sale loans | — | 0.5 | (0.5 | ) | (100 | )% | 0.6 | 2.0 | (1.4 | ) | (70 | )% | ||||||||||||||||||
Other, including changes in estimated default probability and loss severity | (0.1 | ) | (0.1 | ) | — | — | % | 0.4 | (0.2 | ) | 0.6 | (300 | )% | |||||||||||||||||
Benefit (provision) for credit losses | $ | (0.1 | ) | $ | 0.5 | $ | (0.6 | ) | (120 | )% | $ | 1.1 | $ | 1.9 | $ | (0.8 | ) | (42 | )% |
• | 3Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2015 - Benefit (provision) for credit losses changed to a provision in 3Q 2016 compared to a benefit in 3Q 2015 primarily because: |
◦ | Fewer seriously delinquent single-family loans were reclassified from held-for-investment to held-for-sale in 3Q 2016. During 3Q 2016, $0.3 billion in UPB of seriously delinquent single-family loans were reclassified to held-for-sale, compared to $2.5 billion during 3Q 2015. See "Loan Reclassifications" for the effect of these loan reclassifications on benefit (provision) for credit losses and pre-tax net income. |
◦ | Management qualitatively increased the modeled estimate of incurred losses for mortgage loans during 3Q 2016 due to several factors. Sales prices of foreclosed properties have not improved over the last few years as much as national home price appreciation. Additionally, we have observed rising delinquency rates and increases in loan loss reserves at several large financial institutions for certain consumer financing receivables, such as credit card receivables and auto loans, which can be indicators for increases in mortgage loan defaults. |
• | YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - Benefit for credit losses declined in YTD 2016 compared to YTD 2015 primarily because fewer seriously delinquent single-family loans were reclassified from held-for-investment to held-for-sale in YTD 2016. During YTD 2016, $3.8 billion in UPB of seriously delinquent single-family loans were reclassified to held-for-sale, compared to $10.6 billion during YTD 2015. The smaller benefit for credit losses from the reclassifications of loans was partially offset by improvements in estimated loss severity and probability of default during YTD 2016 compared to YTD 2015. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 14 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Derivative Gains (Losses) |
3Q 2016 | 3Q 2015 | Change | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | Change | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in millions) | $ | % | $ | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fair value change in interest-rate swaps | $ | 541 | $ | (4,693 | ) | $ | 5,234 | (112 | )% | $ | (7,513 | ) | $ | (2,514 | ) | $ | (4,999 | ) | 199 | % | |||||||||
Fair value change in option-based derivatives | (235 | ) | 1,171 | (1,406 | ) | (120 | )% | 2,841 | 722 | 2,119 | 293 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Accrual of periodic cash settlements | (416 | ) | (536 | ) | 120 | (22 | )% | (1,326 | ) | (1,639 | ) | 313 | (19 | )% | |||||||||||||||
Fair value change in other derivatives | 74 | (114 | ) | 188 | (165 | )% | (657 | ) | (9 | ) | (648 | ) | 7,200 | % | |||||||||||||||
Derivative gains (losses) | $ | (36 | ) | $ | (4,172 | ) | $ | 4,136 | (99 | )% | $ | (6,655 | ) | $ | (3,440 | ) | $ | (3,215 | ) | 93 | % |
• | 3Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2015 - Derivative fair value losses declined during 3Q 2016 compared to 3Q 2015 primarily due to an increase in longer-term interest rates during 3Q 2016, compared to a decrease in longer-term interest rates during 3Q 2015. The improvement in fair value was partially offset by losses in our receive-fixed swaps and option-based derivatives. The 10-year par swap rate increased 6 basis points during 3Q 2016, while the 10-year par swap rate declined 44 basis points during 3Q 2015. |
• | YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - We recognized derivative fair value losses during YTD 2016 and YTD 2015 primarily due to declines in interest rates in both periods. The decline in fair value was partially offset by gains in our receive-fixed swaps and option-based derivatives. The 10-year par swap rate declined 74 basis points and 28 basis points during YTD 2016 and YTD 2015, respectively. |
• | See "Our Business Segments - Investments - Market Conditions" for more information about par swap rates. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 15 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Results of Operations | Other Comprehensive Income |
3Q 2016 | 3Q 2015 | Change | YTD 2016 | YTD 2015 | Change | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(in millions) | $ | % | $ | % | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Other comprehensive income, excluding accretion and reclassifications | $ | 336 | $ | 217 | $ | 119 | 55 | % | $ | 948 | $ | 754 | $ | 194 | 26 | % | |||||||||||||
Accretion due to significant increases in expected cash flows on previously impaired available-for-sale securities | (66 | ) | (108 | ) | 42 | (39 | )% | (235 | ) | (354 | ) | 119 | (34 | )% | |||||||||||||||
Reclassifications from AOCI | (289 | ) | (135 | ) | (154 | ) | 114 | % | (438 | ) | (460 | ) | 22 | (5 | )% | ||||||||||||||
Total other comprehensive income (loss) | $ | (19 | ) | $ | (26 | ) | $ | 7 | (27 | )% | $ | 275 | $ | (60 | ) | $ | 335 | (558 | )% |
• | Other comprehensive income, excluding accretion and reclassifications |
◦ | 3Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2015 - increased primarily due to unrealized gains from spreads tightening for our agency and non-agency mortgage-related securities during 3Q 2016 compared to unrealized losses from spreads widening for these securities during 3Q 2015. The increase attributable to spread changes was partially offset by unrealized losses due to an increase in longer-term interest rates during 3Q 2016 compared to unrealized gains due to a decrease in longer-term interest rates during 3Q 2015. |
◦ | YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - increased primarily due to a larger decline in longer-term interest rates during YTD 2016 compared to YTD 2015, which resulted in greater unrealized gains on our available-for-sale mortgage-related securities. The increase attributable to interest rate changes was partially offset by less spread tightening for our agency and non-agency mortgage-related securities during YTD 2016 compared to YTD 2015. |
• | Accretion due to significant increases in expected cash flows on previously impaired available-for-sale securities |
◦ | 3Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2015 and YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - decreased during the 2016 periods primarily due to a decline in the population of impaired securities as a result of our active dispositions of these securities, coupled with less new other-than-temporary impairment due to stabilized collateral performance. |
• | Reclassifications from AOCI |
◦ | 3Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2015 - increased due to greater sales of agency and non-agency mortgage-related securities in an unrealized gain position. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 16 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Balance Sheets Analysis |
September 30, 2016 | December 31, 2015 | Change | |||||||||||||
(dollars in millions) | $ | % | |||||||||||||
Assets: | |||||||||||||||
Cash and cash equivalents | $ | 3,940 | $ | 5,595 | $ | (1,655 | ) | (30 | )% | ||||||
Restricted cash and cash equivalents | 19,131 | 14,533 | 4,598 | 32 | % | ||||||||||
Securities purchased under agreements to resell | 55,673 | 63,644 | (7,971 | ) | (13 | )% | |||||||||
Subtotal | 78,744 | 83,772 | (5,028 | ) | (6 | )% | |||||||||
Investments in securities | 115,393 | 114,215 | 1,178 | 1 | % | ||||||||||
Mortgage loans, net | 1,782,436 | 1,754,193 | 28,243 | 2 | % | ||||||||||
Accrued interest receivable | 6,103 | 6,074 | 29 | — | % | ||||||||||
Derivative assets, net | 1,499 | 395 | 1,104 | 279 | % | ||||||||||
Real estate owned, net | 1,272 | 1,725 | (453 | ) | (26 | )% | |||||||||
Deferred tax assets, net | 18,730 | 18,205 | 525 | 3 | % | ||||||||||
Other assets | 11,085 | 7,313 | 3,772 | 52 | % | ||||||||||
Total assets | $ | 2,015,262 | $ | 1,985,892 | $ | 29,370 | 1 | % | |||||||
Liabilities and Equity: | |||||||||||||||
Liabilities: | |||||||||||||||
Accrued interest payable | $ | 5,890 | $ | 6,183 | $ | (293 | ) | (5 | )% | ||||||
Debt, net | 1,999,841 | 1,970,269 | 29,572 | 2 | % | ||||||||||
Derivative liabilities, net | 1,178 | 1,254 | (76 | ) | (6 | )% | |||||||||
Other liabilities | 4,843 | 5,246 | (403 | ) | (8 | )% | |||||||||
Total liabilities | 2,011,752 | 1,982,952 | 28,800 | 1 | % | ||||||||||
Total equity | 3,510 | 2,940 | 570 | 19 | % | ||||||||||
Total liabilities and equity | $ | 2,015,262 | $ | 1,985,892 | $ | 29,370 | 1 | % |
• | Cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash and cash equivalents, and securities purchased under agreements to resell affect one another, so the changes in the balances should be viewed together. The combined balance as of September 30, 2016 decreased due to higher near term cash needs at December 31, 2015 for upcoming maturities and anticipated calls of other debt. However, the amounts held by consolidated trusts increased primarily due to an increase in prepayment proceeds. Our use of these proceeds is restricted by the provisions of the Master Trust Agreement as the proceeds are trust assets that will be distributed to the holders of our debt securities of consolidated trusts shortly following receipt. |
• | Derivative assets, net increased primarily due to an increase in non-cash collateral posted by our derivative counterparties. While we generally offset the obligation to return cash collateral against the fair value of our derivative assets on our consolidated balance sheets, we do not offset non-cash collateral received against the fair value of our derivative assets. |
• | Real estate owned, net continued to decline as we continued to sell our existing inventory. In addition, REO acquisitions continue to decline due to fewer seriously delinquent loans (see "Our |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 17 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Consolidated Balance Sheets Analysis |
• | Other assets increased primarily because of receivables from servicers. Lower mortgage interest rates during YTD 2016 caused an increase in prepayments, and thus, an increase in receivables from servicers. When a borrower prepays, there is a brief delay before the servicer remits the payoff proceeds to us. |
• | Total equity increased as a result of higher comprehensive income in 3Q 2016 than in the fourth quarter of 2015. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 18 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Segment Earnings |
• | Single-family Guarantee - reflects results from our purchase, securitization, and guarantee of single-family loans and the management of single-family mortgage credit risk. |
• | Multifamily - reflects results from our purchase, securitization, and guarantee of multifamily loans and securities, our investments in those loans and securities, and the management of multifamily mortgage credit risk. |
• | Investments - reflects results from managing the company’s mortgage-related investments portfolio (excluding multifamily investments, single-family seriously delinquent loans, and the credit risk of single-family performing loans), treasury function, and interest-rate risk. |
• | All Other - consists of material corporate-level activities that are infrequent in nature and based on decisions outside the control of the management of our reportable segments. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 19 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Segment Earnings |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 20 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
• | Single-family loan origination volumes: |
◦ | 3Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2015 - increased to $580 billion in 3Q 2016 compared to $455 billion in 3Q 2015, driven by an increase in refinancing activity due to continued low mortgage interest rates and continued home price appreciation. Mortgage origination data from Inside Mortgage Finance as of October 28, 2016. |
◦ | YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - increased to $1,470 billion in YTD 2016 compared to $1,350 billion in YTD 2015. |
• | Single-family serious delinquency (SDQ) rates in the U.S. continued to decline due to macroeconomic factors, such as a stable labor market and continued home price appreciation. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 21 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 22 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
• | Our loan purchase and guarantee activity: |
◦ | 3Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2015 - increased due to higher refinance loan purchase volume as quarterly average mortgage interest rates were lower in 3Q 2016 as compared to 3Q 2015. |
• | On August 25, 2016, FHFA announced that Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae would be implementing a new refinance offering aimed at borrowers with high LTV ratios. The new offering will not be available until October 2017. In the interim, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have been directed to extend HARP through September 30, 2017. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 23 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
• | The Core single-family book grew to 71% of the single-family credit guarantee portfolio at September 30, 2016 compared to 66% at December 31, 2015. The Core single-family book consists of loans that were originated since 2008, excluding HARP and other relief refinance loans. |
• | The HARP and other relief refinance book represented 16% of the single-family credit guarantee portfolio at September 30, 2016 compared to 18% at December 31, 2015. |
• | The Legacy single-family book declined to 13% of the single-family credit guarantee portfolio at September 30, 2016 compared to 16% at December 31, 2015, primarily as a result of liquidations. |
• | We had 10.7 million loans in our single-family credit guarantee portfolio at both September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 24 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
• | Average portfolio Segment Earnings guarantee fee rates: |
◦ | 3Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2015 and YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - increased primarily due to higher amortization of upfront fees resulting from increased loan liquidations. Higher average contractual guarantee fees, reflecting the continued growth in the size of the Core single-family book in our single-family credit guarantee portfolio, also contributed. Average contractual guarantee fees are generally higher on mortgage loans in our Core single-family book compared to those in our Legacy single-family book. |
• | Average guarantee fee rate charged on new acquisitions: |
◦ | 3Q 2016 vs. 3Q 2015 and YTD 2016 vs. YTD 2015 - increased primarily due to changes in the product mix of our single-family new business purchases as new acquisitions have included a relatively higher proportion of 30-year fixed-rate mortgages which generally have higher guarantee fee rates. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 25 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
(In billions) | ||||||||||
Senior | Freddie Mac $38.4 | Reference Pool $40.6 | ||||||||
Mezzanine | Freddie Mac $0.5 | ACIS $0.0 | STACR Debt Notes $1.2 | |||||||
First Loss | Freddie Mac $0.4 | ACIS $0.0 | STACR Debt Notes $0.1 |
(In billions) | ||||||||||
Senior | Freddie Mac $537.0 | Reference Pool $565.1 | ||||||||
Mezzanine | Freddie Mac $1.7 | ACIS $4.8 | STACR Debt Notes $16.8 | |||||||
First Loss | Freddie Mac $3.2 | ACIS $0.5 | STACR Debt Notes $0.9 |
(1) | The amounts represent the UPB upon issuance of STACR debt notes and execution of ACIS transactions. |
• | We continued to transfer a portion of expected credit losses and a significant portion of stress credit losses to third-party investors, insurers, and selected sellers through CRT transactions. During YTD 2016, we transferred a portion of the expected credit losses and a significant portion of stress credit losses associated with $181.8 billion in UPB of loans in our Core single-family book through STACR debt note, ACIS, seller indemnification, whole loan security and Deep Mortgage Insurance CRT, or Deep MI, transactions. Deep MI transactions are described below. |
• | The interest and premiums we pay on our issued STACR debt note and ACIS transactions effectively reduce the guarantee fee income we earn on the PCs within the respective reference pools. Our expected guarantee fee income on the PCs within the STACR and ACIS reference pools has been effectively reduced by approximately 33%, on average, for all transactions executed through September 30, 2016. The amount of the effective reduction to our overall guarantee fee income could change over time as we continue our credit risk transfer activities or if there are changes in the economic or regulatory environment that affect the cost of executing these transactions. We expect that the aggregate cost of our credit risk transfer activity will continue to increase as we enter into additional transactions. |
• | Due to differences in accounting, there could be a significant lag in time between when we recognize a provision for credit losses and when we recognize the related recovery from our actual loss STACR debt note transactions. A credit expense on a loan in a reference pool related to these transactions is |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 26 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
• | As of September 30, 2016, there has not been a significant number of loans in our STACR debt note reference pools that have experienced a credit event. As a result, we experienced minimal write-downs on our STACR debt notes and filed minimal claims for reimbursement of losses under our ACIS transactions. |
• | In 3Q 2016, we announced a pilot of a new credit risk transfer offering called Deep MI, which is a credit enhancement purchased by us that takes effect immediately upon the sale of the mortgage loan to Freddie Mac. The pilot transaction provides additional coverage beyond primary mortgage insurance on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with LTV ratios between 80% and 95%. The pilot has a 6-month loan aggregation period which ends in the first quarter of 2017. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 27 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
As of September 30, 2016 | |||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in millions) | Total Current UPB | Total Protected UPB(1) | Coverage Remaining(2) | Collateralized Coverage Remaining(3) | Percentage of Coverage Remaining Provided By Credit Risk Transfer Transactions(4) | ||||||||||||||
Core single-family book | $ | 1,228,915 | $ | 567,381 | $ | 82,484 | $ | 17,049 | 25 | % | |||||||||
HARP and other relief refinance book | 275,857 | 29,967 | 8,208 | — | — | % | |||||||||||||
Legacy single-family book | 228,029 | 30,042 | 9,309 | — | — | % | |||||||||||||
Total | $ | 1,732,801 | $ | 627,390 | $ | 100,001 | $ | 17,049 | 21 | % |
(1) | Represents the UPB for which credit enhancements exist. |
(2) | Represents the amounts available for us to recover under the credit enhancements. |
(3) | Collateralized coverage includes cash received by Freddie Mac upon issuance of STACR debt notes and unguaranteed whole loan securities, as well as cash and securities pledged for our benefit primarily related to ACIS transactions. |
(4) | Credit risk transfer transactions include STACR debt notes, ACIS insurance policies, seller indemnification agreements, whole loan securities, and Deep MI. The substantial majority of single-family loans covered by these transactions were acquired after 2012. |
• | The Core single-family book had credit protection on 46% of total current UPB as of September 30, 2016 compared to 39% as of December 31, 2015. Credit protection increased primarily as a result of our ongoing credit risk transfer transactions. |
• | At September 30, 2016, as noted above, credit risk transfer transactions provided 25% of the coverage remaining on our Core single-family book, an increase from 23% at December 31, 2015. The increase reflects additional CRT transactions during 2016. |
Freddie Mac Form 10-Q | 28 |
Management's Discussion and Analysis | Our Business Segments | Single-Family Guarantee |
September 30, 2016 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CLTV ≤ 80 | CLTV > 80 to 100 | CLTV > 100 | All Loans | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(credit score) | % Portfolio | SDQ Rate | % Portfolio | SDQ Rate | % Portfolio | SDQ Rate | % Portfolio | SDQ Rate | % Modified | ||||||||||||||||||
Core single-family book: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
< 620 | 0.2 | % | 1.96 | % | — | % | 3.74 | % | — | % | 14.77 | % | 0.2 | % | 2.28 | % | 3.1 | % | |||||||||
620 to 659 | 1.5 | 0.92 | % | 0.2 | 1.20 | % | — | 5.88 | % | 1.7 | 0.97 | % | 1.3 | % | |||||||||||||
≥ 660 | 59.3 | 0.14 | % | 9.6 | 0.22 | % | 0.1 | 1.58 | % | 69.0 | 0.15 | % | 0.2 | % | |||||||||||||
Not available | — | 1.62 | % | 0.1 | 3.28 | % | — | 6.89 | % | 0.1 | 2.83 | % | 3.8 | % | |||||||||||||
Total | 61.0 | % | 0.17 | % | 9.9 | % | 0.27 | % | 0.1 | % | 2.94 | % | 71.0 | % | 0.19 | % | 0.2 | % | |||||||||
Relief refinance book: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
< 620 | 0.6 | % | 1.61 | % | 0.2 | % | 2.91 | % | 0.1 | % | 4.53 | % | 0.9 | % | 2.18 | % | 4.1 | % | |||||||||
620 to 659 | 0.8 | 1.03 | % | 0.3 | 2.05 | % | 0.1 | 3.36 | % | 1.2 | 1.49 | % | 2.4 | % | |||||||||||||
≥ 660 | 10.2 | 0.30 | % | 2.5 | 1.02 | % | 1.1 | 1.79 | % | 13.8 | 0.51 | % | 0.7 | % | |||||||||||||
Not available | — | 0.54 | % | — | — | % | — | — | % | — | 0.38 | % | 1.2 | % | |||||||||||||
Total | 11.6 | % | 0.41 | % | 3.0 | % | 1.26 | % | 1.3 | % | 2.18 | % | 15.9 | % | 0.67 | % | 1.0 | % | |||||||||
Legacy single-family book: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
< 620 | 0.7 | % | 5.86 | % | 0.2 | % | 11.84 | % | 0.2 | % | 19.03 | % |