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Builders FirstSource (BLDR): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q3 Earnings?

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Builders FirstSource has been treading water for the past six months, recording a small loss of 3.6% while holding steady at $124.18. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 8.6% gain during that period.

Is now the time to buy Builders FirstSource, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Get the full stock story straight from our expert analysts, it’s free.

Why Is Builders FirstSource Not Exciting?

We're cautious about Builders FirstSource. Here are three reasons there are better opportunities than BLDR and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Revenue Tumbling Downwards

Long-term growth is the most important, but within industrials, a stretched historical view may miss new industry trends or demand cycles. Builders FirstSource’s recent performance marks a sharp pivot from its five-year trend as its revenue has shown annualized declines of 4.9% over the last two years. Builders FirstSource Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

2. EPS Took a Dip Over the Last Two Years

While long-term earnings trends give us the big picture, we also track EPS over a shorter period because it can provide insight into an emerging theme or development for the business.

Sadly for Builders FirstSource, its EPS declined by more than its revenue over the last two years, dropping 24.8%. This tells us the company struggled to adjust to shrinking demand.

Builders FirstSource Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

3. New Investments Fail to Bear Fruit as ROIC Declines

A company’s ROIC, or return on invested capital, shows how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Over the last few years, Builders FirstSource’s ROIC has unfortunately decreased significantly. We like what management has done in the past, but its declining returns are perhaps a symptom of fewer profitable growth opportunities.

Builders FirstSource Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

Final Judgment

Builders FirstSource isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our quality test. With its shares lagging the market recently, the stock trades at 20.7× forward P/E (or $124.18 per share). While this valuation is reasonable, we don’t really see a big opportunity at the moment. We're fairly confident there are better investments elsewhere. We’d recommend looking at one of our all-time favorite software stocks.

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