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Radian Announces First Quarter 2021 Financial Results

Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported net income for the quarter ended March 31, 2021, of $125.6 million, or $0.64 per diluted share. This compares with net income for the quarter ended March 31, 2020, of $140.5 million, or $0.70 per diluted share.

Key Financial Highlights (dollars in millions, except per-share amounts)

Quarter ended

March 31, 2021

December 31, 2020

March 31, 2020

Net income (1)

$125.6

$148.0

$140.5

Diluted net income per share

$0.64

$0.76

$0.70

Consolidated pretax income

$161.2

$179.2

$181.3

Adjusted pretax operating income (2)

$167.3

$171.0

$204.6

Adjusted diluted net operating income per share (2)(3)

$0.68

$0.69

$0.80

Return on equity(1)(4)

11.8%

14.1%

14.2%

Adjusted net operating return on equity (2)(3)

12.4%

12.9%

16.3%

New Insurance Written (NIW) - mortgage insurance

$20,161

$29,781

$16,706

Net premiums earned - mortgage insurance (5)

$264.7

$286.8

$275.0

New defaults (6)

11,851

14,552

9,960

Provision for losses - mortgage insurance

$45.9

$56.3

$35.2

Book value per share (7)

$22.14

$22.36

$20.30

PMIERs Available Assets (8)

$4,909

$4,700

$4,061

PMIERs excess Available Assets (9)

$1,451

$1,338

$1,129

Total Holding Company Liquidity (10)

$1,292

$1,371

$916

Excess Available Resources to Support PMIERs (11)

$2,708

$2,674

$2,010

Total investments

$6,672

$6,788

$5,609

Primary mortgage insurance in force

$238,921

$246,144

$241,586

Percentage of primary loans in default (12)

4.9%

5.2%

1.8%

Mortgage insurance loss reserves

$883

$844

$415

(1)

Net income for the first quarter of 2021 includes a pretax net loss on investments and other financial instruments of $5.2 million, compared to a net gain on investments and other financial instruments of $17.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2020 and a net loss on investments and other financial instruments for the first quarter of 2020 of $22.0 million.

(2)

Adjusted results, including adjusted pretax operating income, adjusted diluted net operating income per share and adjusted net operating return on equity, are non-GAAP financial measures. For definitions and reconciliations of these measures to the comparable GAAP measures, see Exhibits F and G.

(3)

Calculated using the company’s statutory tax rate of 21 percent.

(4)

Calculated by dividing annualized net income by average stockholders' equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented.

(5)

The fourth quarter of 2020 includes an increase to premiums earned of $11.3 million related to changes in present value estimates for initial premiums on monthly policies that are deferred and not collected until cancellation. The impact of changes in this estimate in other periods is not material.

(6)

Represents the number of new defaults reported during the period on loans related to primary mortgage insurance policies.

(7)

Book value per share includes accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) of $0.61 as of March 31, 2021, $1.38 as of December 31, 2020 and $0.16 as of March 31, 2020.

(8)

Represents Radian Guaranty’s Available Assets, calculated in accordance with the Private Mortgage Insurer Eligibility Requirements (PMIERs) financial requirements in effect for each date shown.

(9)

Represents Radian Guaranty’s excess or "cushion" of Available Assets over its Minimum Required Assets, calculated in accordance with the PMIERs financial requirements in effect for each date shown.

(10)

Represents Radian Group's total liquidity, including the $35 million minimum liquidity requirement and available capacity under its unsecured revolving credit facility.

(11)

Represents the sum of: (1) PMIERs excess Available Assets and (2) Total Holding Company Liquidity, net of the $35 million minimum liquidity requirement under the unsecured revolving credit facility.

(12)

Represents the number of primary loans in default as a percentage of the total number of insured primary loans.

Adjusted pretax operating income for the quarter ended March 31, 2021, was $167.3 million, or $0.68 per diluted share. This compares with adjusted pretax operating income for the quarter ended March 31, 2020 of $204.6 million, or $0.80 per diluted share.

Book value as of March 31, 2021 was $4.2 billion, an increase of 10 percent compared to $3.9 billion as of March 31, 2020. Book value per share at March 31, 2021, was $22.14, an increase of 9 percent compared to $20.30 at March 31, 2020.

"While the unprecedented pandemic environment continued in the first quarter of 2021, year-over-year we successfully increased book value per share by 9%, grew PMIERs excess available assets to $1.5 billion, increased monthly premium mortgage insurance in force by 9% and increased our title revenues by 56%,” said Radian’s Chief Executive Officer Rick Thornberry. “We are encouraged by the continued signs of improvement in the overall economy, the positive momentum in the housing market and the favorable credit trends within our portfolio. Our results are a testament to the strength of our business model and the dedication of our team, who has shown commitment to our customers, our company and to each other as we have worked together to successfully navigate this challenging environment."

FIRST QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS

  • NIW was $20.2 billion in the first quarter of 2021, compared to $29.8 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020 and $16.7 billion in the first quarter of 2020.
    • Of the $20.2 billion in NIW in the first quarter of 2021, 90.2 percent was written with monthly and other recurring premiums, compared to 91.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2020, and 81.1 percent in the first quarter of 2020.
    • Refinances accounted for 41 percent of total NIW in the first quarter of 2021, compared to 35 percent in the fourth quarter of 2020, and 34 percent in the first quarter of 2020.
  • Total primary mortgage insurance in force as of March 31, 2021, declined to $238.9 billion, a decrease of 2.9 percent compared to $246.1 billion as of December 31, 2020, and a decrease of 1.1 percent compared to $241.6 billion as of March 31, 2020. The year over year decrease included a 26.3 percent decline in single premium policy insurance in force, partially offset by a 8.7 percent increase in monthly premium policy insurance in force.
    • Persistency, which is the percentage of mortgage insurance that remains in force after a twelve-month period, was 57.2 percent for the twelve months ended March 31, 2021, compared to 61.2 percent for the twelve months ended December 31, 2020 and 75.4 percent for the twelve months ended March 31, 2020.
    • Annualized persistency for the three months ended March 31, 2021, was 62.5 percent, compared to 60.4 percent for the three months ended December 31, 2020, and 76.5 percent for the three months ended March 31, 2020.
  • Net mortgage insurance premiums earned were $264.7 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2021, compared to $286.8 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2020, and $275.0 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2020.
    • Mortgage insurance in force portfolio premium yield was 42.7 basis points in the first quarter of 2021, compared to 44.6 basis points in the fourth quarter of 2020 and 46.1 basis points in the first quarter of 2020. Net mortgage insurance premiums earned in the fourth quarter of 2020 included an increase of $11.3 million for the cumulative recognition of deferred initial premiums on monthly premium policies. Excluding the impact of this adjustment, in force premium yield was 42.8 basis points in the fourth quarter of 2020.
    • The impact of single premium policy cancellations before consideration of reinsurance represented 6.4 basis points of direct premium yield in the first quarter of 2021, 8.7 basis points in the fourth quarter of 2020, and 4.0 basis points in the first quarter of 2020.
    • Total net mortgage insurance premium yield, which includes the impact of ceded premiums and accrued profit commission, was 43.7 basis points in the first quarter of 2021, 46.7 basis points in the fourth quarter of 2020, or 44.8 basis points excluding the impact of the fourth quarter 2020 premium adjustment, and 45.6 basis points in the first quarter of 2020.
    • Additional details regarding premiums earned may be found in Exhibit D.
  • The mortgage insurance provision for losses was $45.9 million in the first quarter of 2021, compared to $56.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2020, and $35.2 million in the first quarter of 2020.
    • The number of primary delinquent loans was 50,106 as of March 31, 2021, compared to 55,537 as of December 31, 2020 and 19,781 as of March 31, 2020.
    • The loss ratio in the first quarter of 2021 was 17.3 percent, compared to 19.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2020 and 12.8 percent in the first quarter of 2020.
    • Total mortgage insurance claims paid were $10.5 million in the first quarter of 2021, compared to $40.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2020, and $23.4 million in the first quarter of 2020. Excluding the impact of commutations and settlements, claims paid were $6.5 million in the first quarter of 2021, compared to $8.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2020 and $23.4 million in the first quarter of 2020.
  • Radian's Real Estate segment offers a broad array of title, valuation, asset management and other real estate services to market participants across the real estate value chain.
    • Total Real Estate segment revenues for the first quarter of 2021 were $25.8 million, compared to $23.6 million for the fourth quarter of 2020, and $26.5 million for the first quarter of 2020.
    • Adjusted earnings before interest, income taxes, depreciation and amortization (Real Estate adjusted EBITDA) for the quarter ended March 31, 2021 was a loss of $5.9 million, compared to a loss of $7.0 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2020, and income of $0.9 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2020. Additional details regarding the non-GAAP measure Real Estate adjusted EBITDA may be found in Exhibits F and G.
    • The decrease in Real Estate adjusted EBITDA in the first quarter of 2021 compared to the first quarter of 2020 was primarily driven by declines in services revenue related to our asset management services and valuation services due to the continued negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the operating environment and continued strategic investments focused on our title and digital real estate businesses. Such investments contributed to an increase in total expenses, which was partially offset by increases in net premiums earned and services revenue attributable to our title services business.
  • Other operating expenses were $70.3 million in the first quarter of 2021, compared to $81.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2020, and $69.1 million in the first quarter of 2020.
    • The decrease in the first quarter of 2021 compared to the fourth quarter of 2020 was primarily related to a $6.9 million decrease in non-operating items as well as a decrease in share-based compensation expense, which was partially offset by a decrease in ceding commissions. The increase in the first quarter of 2021 compared to the first quarter of 2020 was driven primarily by an increase in compensation expense, which was partially offset by a decrease in travel and entertainment expense.

CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY UPDATE

  • At March 31, 2021, Excess Available Resources to Support Private Mortgage Insurer Eligibility Requirements (PMIERs) were $2.7 billion, or 79 percent, above Radian Guaranty's Minimum Required Assets.

Radian Group

  • As of March 31, 2021, Radian Group maintained $1.0 billion of available liquidity. Total liquidity, which includes the company’s $267.5 million unsecured revolving credit facility, was $1.3 billion as of March 31, 2021.
  • For the quarter ended March 31, 2021, the company repurchased 413 thousand shares of Radian Group common stock at a total cost of $8.6 million, including commissions. As of March 31, 2021, purchase authority of up to $190.2 million remained available under this program. The current share repurchase authorization expires on August 31, 2021.
  • On February 10, 2021, Radian Group's Board of Directors authorized a regular quarterly dividend on its common stock in the amount of $0.125 per share and paid the dividend on March 4, 2021.
  • On May 4, 2021, Radian Group’s Board of Directors authorized an increase to the Company’s quarterly dividend from $0.125 to $0.14 per share. The dividend is payable on June 4, 2021, to stockholders of record as of May 24, 2021.

Radian Guaranty

  • At March 31, 2021, Radian Guaranty’s Available Assets under PMIERs totaled approximately $4.9 billion, resulting in excess available resources or a “cushion” of $1.5 billion, or 42 percent, over its Minimum Required Assets.
  • As of March 31, 2021, 60 percent of Radian Guaranty's primary mortgage insurance risk in force is subject to some form of risk distribution, providing a $1.1 billion reduction of Minimum Required Assets under PMIERs.

Thornberry added, "We recently increased our quarterly dividend by 12% and resumed our share repurchase program based on continued signs of improvement in the overall economy, the positive momentum in the housing market and the favorable credit trends within our portfolio."

RECENT EVENTS

Insurance-Linked-Note

As previously announced, in April 2021, Radian Guaranty entered into its fifth fully collateralized mortgage insurance-linked-note (ILN) reinsurance transaction, in which the company obtained $497.7 million of credit-risk protection from Eagle Re 2021-1 Ltd. (Eagle Re) through the issuance by Eagle Re of ILNs to capital markets investors and Radian Group in the amounts of $452.3 million and $45.4 million, respectively, in an unregistered private offering. Eagle Re is a special purpose insurer domiciled in Bermuda and is not a subsidiary or affiliate of Radian Guaranty. Radian Guaranty's related PMIERs credit under this ILN transaction remains subject to GSE approval. As of March 31, 2021, after consideration of the April ILN transaction described above:

  • Radian Guaranty's Minimum Required Assets would have decreased by approximately $480 million, which would have resulted in an increase in PMIERs excess Available Assets or "cushion" to $1.9 billion, or 64 percent.
  • Radian Guaranty's primary mortgage insurance risk in force that is subject to some form of risk distribution would have increased to 78 percent, providing a $1.6 billion reduction of Minimum Required Assets under PMIERs.

Radian Guaranty Operating Statistics for April 2021

The information below includes total new primary defaults, which include defaults under forbearance programs in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as cures, claims paid and rescissions/denials. The information regarding new defaults and cures is reported to Radian Guaranty from loan servicers. We consider a loan to be in default for financial statement and internal tracking purposes upon receipt of notification by servicers that a borrower has missed two monthly payments. Default reporting, particularly on a monthly basis, may be affected by several factors, including the date on which the loan servicer’s report is generated and transmitted to Radian Guaranty, the impact of updated information submitted by servicers and the timing of servicing transfers.

April
2021

March
2021

February
2021

January
2021

Beginning primary default inventory (# of loans)

50,106

52,882

54,488

55,537

New defaults

2,751

3,314

3,873

4,664

Cures

(7,128

)

(6,043

)

(5,420

)

(5,674

)

Claims paid

(37

)

(45

)

(57

)

(41

)

Rescissions and Claim Denials, net (1)

(3

)

(2

)

(2

)

2

Ending primary default inventory

45,689

50,106

52,882

54,488

(1)

Net of any previous Rescissions and Claim Denials that were reinstated during the period. Such reinstated Rescissions and Claim Denials may ultimately result in a paid claim.

CONFERENCE CALL

Radian will discuss first quarter 2021 financial results in a conference call tomorrow, Wednesday, May 5, 2021, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern daylight time. The conference call will be broadcast live over the Internet at https://radian.com/who-we-are/for-investors/webcasts or at www.radian.com. The call may also be accessed by dialing 800.447.0521 inside the U.S., or 847.413.3238 for international callers, using passcode 50147770 by referencing Radian.

A digital replay of the webcast will be available on the Radian website approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of two weeks at https://radian.com/who-we-are/for-investors/webcasts using passcode 50147770.

In addition to the information provided in the company's earnings news release, other statistical and financial information, which is expected to be referred to during the conference call, will be available on Radian's website at www.radian.com, under Investors.

NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES

Radian believes that adjusted pretax operating income, adjusted diluted net operating income per share and adjusted net operating return on equity (non-GAAP measures) facilitate evaluation of the company’s fundamental financial performance and provide relevant and meaningful information to investors about the ongoing operating results of the company. On a consolidated basis, these measures are not recognized in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP) and should not be considered in isolation or viewed as substitutes for GAAP measures of performance. The measures described below have been established in order to increase transparency for the purpose of evaluating the company’s operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with Radian’s competitors.

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP consolidated pretax income (loss) excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments; (ii) loss on extinguishment of debt; (iii) amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets; and (iv) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, such as gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business and acquisition-related income and expenses. Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing (i) adjusted pretax operating income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by (ii) the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding. Adjusted net operating return on equity is calculated by dividing annualized adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the Company's statutory tax rate, by average stockholders' equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented.

In addition to the above non-GAAP measures for the consolidated company, we also have presented as supplemental information a non-GAAP measure for our Real Estate segment, representing a measure of earnings before interest, income tax provision (benefit), depreciation and amortization ("EBITDA"). We calculate Real Estate adjusted EBITDA by using adjusted pretax operating income as described above, further adjusted to remove the impact of depreciation and corporate allocations for interest and operating expenses. In addition, Real Estate adjusted EBITDA margin is calculated by dividing Real Estate adjusted EBITDA by GAAP total revenue for the Real Estate segment. Real Estate adjusted EBITDA and Real Estate adjusted EBITDA margin are used to facilitate comparisons with other services companies, since they are widely accepted measures of performance in the services industry and are used internally as supplemental measures to evaluate the performance of our Real Estate segment.

See Exhibit F or Radian’s website for a description of these items, as well as Exhibit G for reconciliations to the most comparable consolidated GAAP measures.

ABOUT RADIAN

Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) is ensuring the American dream of homeownership responsibly and sustainably through products and services that include industry-leading mortgage insurance and a comprehensive suite of mortgage, risk, title, valuation, asset management and other real estate services. We are powered by technology, informed by data and driven to deliver new and better ways to transact and manage risk. Visit www.radian.com to learn more about how Radian is shaping the future of mortgage and real estate services.

FINANCIAL RESULTS AND SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION CONTENTS (Unaudited)

Exhibit A:

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations Trend Schedule

Exhibit B:

Net Income (Loss) Per Share Trend Schedule

Exhibit C:

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

Exhibit D:

Net Premiums Earned

Exhibit E:

Segment Information

Exhibit F:

Definition of Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Exhibit G:

Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations

Exhibit H:

Mortgage Supplemental Information

New Insurance Written

Exhibit I:

Mortgage Supplemental Information

Primary Insurance in Force and Risk in Force

Exhibit J:

Mortgage Supplemental Information

Claims and Reserves

Exhibit K:

Mortgage Supplemental Information

Default Statistics

Exhibit L:

Mortgage Supplemental Information

Reinsurance Programs

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations Trend Schedule

Exhibit A

2021

2020

(In thousands, except per-share amounts)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Revenues:

Net premiums earned

$

271,872

$

302,140

(1

)

$

286,471

$

249,295

$

277,415

Services revenue

22,895

11,440

(1

)

33,943

28,075

31,927

Net investment income

38,251

38,115

36,255

38,723

40,944

Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments

(5,181

)

17,376

17,652

47,276

(22,027

)

Other income

976

790

913

1,072

822

Total revenues

328,813

369,861

375,234

364,441

329,081

Expenses:

Provision for losses

46,143

56,664

88,084

304,418

35,951

Policy acquisition costs

8,996

7,395

10,166

6,015

7,413

Cost of services

20,246

21,600

24,353

17,972

22,141

Other operating expenses

70,262

81,641

69,377

60,582

69,110

Interest expense

21,115

21,169

21,088

16,699

12,194

Amortization and impairment of other acquired intangible assets

862

2,225

961

979

979

Total expenses

167,624

190,694

214,029

406,665

147,788

Pretax income (loss)

161,189

179,167

161,205

(42,224

)

181,293

Income tax provision (benefit)

35,581

31,154

26,102

(12,273

)

40,832

Net income (loss)

$

125,608

$

148,013

$

135,103

$

(29,951

)

$

140,461

Diluted net income (loss) per share

$

0.64

$

0.76

$

0.70

$

(0.15

)

$

0.70

(1)

Includes the impact of a line item reclassification recorded in the fourth quarter to correct earlier periods in 2020, which increased net premiums earned and decreased services revenue by $7.8 million each. See Exhibit E for additional detail by period related to this out-of-period adjustment reflected in our All Other results.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Net Income (Loss) Per Share Trend Schedule

Exhibit B

The calculation of basic and diluted net income (loss) per share was as follows:

 

2021

2020

(In thousands, except per-share amounts)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Net income (loss) —basic and diluted

$

125,608

$

148,013

$

135,103

$

(29,951)

$

140,461

Average common shares outstanding—basic

193,439

193,248

193,176

193,299

200,161

Dilutive effect of stock-based compensation arrangements (1)

1,764

1,415

980

1,658

Adjusted average common shares outstanding—diluted

195,203

194,663

194,156

193,299

201,819

Basic net income (loss) per share

$

0.65

$

0.77

$

0.70

$

(0.15)

$

0.70

Diluted net income (loss) per share

$

0.64

$

0.76

$

0.70

$

(0.15)

$

0.70

(1)

There were no dilutive shares for the three months ended June 30, 2020, as a result of our net loss for the period. The following number of shares of our common stock equivalents issued under our share-based compensation arrangements were not included in the calculation of diluted net income (loss) per share because they were anti-dilutive:

2021

2020

(In thousands)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Shares of common stock equivalents

324

710

2,295

132

 

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

Exhibit C

March 31,

December 31,

September 30,

June 30,

March 31,

(In thousands, except per-share amounts)

2021

2020

2020

2020

2020

Assets:

Investments

$

6,671,874

$

6,788,442

$

6,584,577

$

6,431,350

$

5,608,627

Cash

102,776

87,915

82,020

68,387

54,108

Restricted cash

20,987

6,231

4,424

16,279

7,817

Accrued investment income

34,841

34,047

36,093

34,179

32,559

Accounts and notes receivable

134,075

121,294

145,164

110,722

123,381

Reinsurance recoverables

76,664

73,202

66,515

56,852

17,722

Deferred policy acquisition costs

15,652

18,305

17,926

21,774

20,855

Property and equipment, net

78,309

80,457

88,717

89,143

87,915

Goodwill and other acquired intangible assets, net

22,181

23,043

25,268

26,229

27,208

Other assets

763,502

715,085

726,641

714,394

710,240

Total assets

$

7,920,861

$

7,948,021

$

7,777,345

$

7,569,309

$

6,690,432

Liabilities and stockholders’ equity:

Unearned premiums

$

406,689

$

448,791

$

501,787

$

561,280

$

605,045

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expense

887,355

848,413

825,792

738,885

418,202

Senior notes

1,406,603

1,405,674

1,404,759

1,403,857

887,584

FHLB advances

138,833

176,483

141,058

175,122

173,760

Reinsurance funds withheld

282,345

278,555

318,773

312,350

302,551

Net deferred tax liability

210,571

213,897

166,136

126,883

90,500

Other liabilities

353,173

291,855

296,661

264,927

348,282

Total liabilities

3,685,569

3,663,668

3,654,966

3,583,304

2,825,924

Common stock

210

210

210

210

208

Treasury stock

(910,347

)

(910,115

)

(909,745

)

(909,738

)

(902,024

)

Additional paid-in capital

2,242,950

2,245,897

2,238,869

2,232,949

2,231,670

Retained earnings

2,785,744

2,684,636

2,561,076

2,450,423

2,504,853

Accumulated other comprehensive income

116,735

263,725

231,969

212,161

29,801

Total stockholders’ equity

4,235,292

4,284,353

4,122,379

3,986,005

3,864,508

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

$

7,920,861

$

7,948,021

$

7,777,345

$

7,569,309

$

6,690,432

Shares outstanding

191,311

191,606

191,556

191,492

190,387

Book value per share

$

22.14

$

22.36

$

21.52

$

20.82

$

20.30

 
Debt to capital ratio (1)

24.9

%

24.7

%

25.4

%

26.0

%

18.7

%

Risk to capital ratio-Radian Guaranty only

11.9:1

12.7:1

13.2:1

13.3:1

13.8:1

(1)

Calculated as senior notes divided by senior notes and stockholders' equity.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Net Premiums Earned

Exhibit D

2021

2020

(In thousands)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Premiums earned:

Direct - Mortgage:

Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations (1)

$

256,905

$

272,331

$

259,889

$

263,468

$

274,647

Single Premium Policy cancellations

38,510

53,526

65,667

50,023

24,133

Total direct - Mortgage (1)

295,415

325,857

325,556

313,491

298,780

Assumed - Mortgage: (2)

2,298

2,615

2,946

3,197

3,456

Ceded - Mortgage:

Premiums earned, excluding revenue from cancellations

(25,373

)

(27,229

)

(25,120

)

(26,493

)

(28,609

)

Single Premium Policy cancellations (3)

(11,109

)

(15,197

)

(18,679

)

(14,424

)

(7,183

)

Profit commission - other (4)

3,433

770

(1,347

)

(28,175

)

8,555

Total ceded premiums, net of profit commission - Mortgage (5)

(33,049

)

(41,656

)

(45,146

)

(69,092

)

(27,237

)

Net premiums earned - Mortgage (1)

264,664

286,816

283,356

247,596

274,999

Net premiums earned - Real Estate (6)

7,208

7,572

7,099

4,734

3,149

Net premiums earned - All Other (6)

7,752

(3,984

)

(3,035

)

(733

)

Net premiums earned (1)

$

271,872

$

302,140

$

286,471

$

249,295

$

277,415

(1)

The fourth quarter of 2020 includes an increase to premiums earned of $11.3 million related to changes in present value estimates for initial premiums on monthly policies that are deferred and not collected until cancellation. The impact of changes in this estimate in other periods is not material.

(2)

Relates primarily to premiums earned from our participation in certain credit risk transfer programs.

(3)

Includes the impact of related profit commissions.

(4)

The amounts represent the profit commission on the Single Premium QSR Program, excluding the impact of Single Premium Policy cancellations.

(5)

See Exhibit L for additional information on ceded premiums for our various reinsurance programs.

(6)

See Exhibit E for additional information on changes that impacted our reported segment results for all periods.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Exhibit E (page 1 of 4)

Summarized financial information concerning our operating segments as of and for the periods indicated is as follows. For a definition of adjusted pretax operating income and Services adjusted EBITDA, along with reconciliations to consolidated GAAP measures, see Exhibits F and G.

Three Months Ended March 31, 2021

(In thousands)

Mortgage

Real Estate

All Other

Inter-
segment

Consolidated

Net premiums written

$

246,874

$

7,208

$

$

$

254,082

(Increase) decrease in unearned premiums

17,790

17,790

Net premiums earned

264,664

7,208

271,872

Services revenue

4,351

18,550

53

(59

)

22,895

Net investment income

34,013

37

4,201

38,251

Other income

769

207

976

Total

303,797

25,795

4,461

(59

)

333,994

Provision for losses

45,869

296

(22

)

46,143

Policy acquisition costs

8,996

8,996

Cost of services

3,192

17,028

28

(2

)

20,246

Other operating expenses before allocated corporate operating expenses

22,454

14,928

951

(35

)

38,298

Interest expense

21,115

21,115

Total

101,626

32,252

979

(59

)

134,798

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) before allocated corporate operating expenses

202,171

(6,457

)

3,482

199,196

Allocation of corporate operating expenses

27,884

3,996

31,880

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss)

$

174,287

$

(10,453

)

$

3,482

$

$

167,316

Three Months Ended March 31, 2020

(In thousands)

Mortgage

Real Estate

All Other

Inter-
segment

Consolidated

Net premiums written

$

260,974

$

3,149

$

(733

)

$

$

263,390

(Increase) decrease in unearned premiums

14,025

14,025

Net premiums earned

274,999

3,149

(733

)

277,415

Services revenue

3,216

23,251

5,652

(192

)

31,927

Net investment income

36,198

125

4,621

40,944

Other income

671

151

822

Total

315,084

26,525

9,691

(192

)

351,108

Provision for losses

35,246

743

(38

)

35,951

Policy acquisition costs

7,413

7,413

Cost of services

1,757

14,989

5,500

(105

)

22,141

Other operating expenses before allocated corporate operating expenses

23,593

10,579

2,106

(49

)

36,229

Interest expense

12,194

12,194

Total

80,203

26,311

7,606

(192

)

113,928

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) before allocated corporate operating expenses

234,881

214

2,085

237,180

Allocation of corporate operating expenses

29,214

3,367

32,581

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss)

$

205,667

$

(3,153

)

$

2,085

$

$

204,599

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Exhibit E (page 2 of 4)

Mortgage

2021

2020

(In thousands)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Net premiums written (1) (2)

$

246,874

$

261,244

$

259,278

$

229,458

$

260,974

(Increase) decrease in unearned premiums

17,790

25,572

24,078

18,138

14,025

Net premiums earned

264,664

286,816

283,356

247,596

274,999

Services revenue

4,351

3,717

3,914

3,918

3,216

Net investment income

34,013

34,235

32,054

34,708

36,198

Other income

769

735

689

721

671

Total

303,797

325,503

320,013

286,943

315,084

Provision for losses

45,869

56,312

87,753

304,021

35,246

Policy acquisition costs

8,996

7,395

10,166

6,015

7,413

Cost of services

3,192

3,245

2,908

2,133

1,757

Other operating expenses before allocated corporate operating expenses (3)

22,454

21,974

21,635

18,537

23,593

Interest expense (4) (5)

21,115

21,169

21,088

16,699

12,194

Total (6)

101,626

110,095

143,550

347,405

80,203

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) before allocated corporate operating expenses

202,171

215,408

176,463

(60,462)

234,881

Allocation of corporate operating expenses

27,884

31,102

29,127

25,359

29,214

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss)

$

174,287

$

184,306

$

147,336

$

(85,821)

$

205,667

Real Estate (5)

2021

2020

(In thousands)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Net premiums earned (7)

$

7,208

$

7,572

$

7,099

$

4,734

$

3,149

Services revenue (6) (7)

18,550

15,958

22,627

17,688

23,251

Net investment income

37

43

67

126

125

Total

25,795

23,573

29,793

22,548

26,525

Provision for losses

296

392

370

426

743

Cost of services

17,028

15,706

18,085

12,681

14,989

Other operating expenses before allocated corporate operating expenses (3)

14,928

15,238

13,136

10,527

10,579

Total

32,252

31,336

31,591

23,634

26,311

Adjusted pretax operating income before allocated corporate operating expenses (8)

(6,457)

(7,763)

(1,798)

(1,086)

214

Allocation of corporate operating expenses

3,996

3,369

3,248

2,823

3,367

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss)

$

(10,453)

$

(11,132)

$

(5,046)

$

(3,909)

$

(3,153)

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Exhibit E (page 3 of 4)

All Other (5) (9)

2021

2020

(In thousands)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Net premiums earned (7)

$

$

7,752

$

(3,984)

$

(3,035)

$

(733)

Services revenue (6) (7)

53

(7,963)

8,267

6,579

5,652

Net investment income

4,201

3,837

4,134

3,889

4,621

Other income

207

55

224

104

151

Total

4,461

3,681

8,641

7,537

9,691

Cost of services

28

2,835

4,127

3,177

5,500

Other operating expenses (3)

951

3,033

1,824

3,129

2,106

Total

979

5,868

5,951

6,306

7,606

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss)

$

3,482

$

(2,187)

$

2,690

$

1,231

$

2,085

(1)

Net of ceded premiums written under the QSR Programs and the Excess-of-Loss Program. See Exhibit L for additional information.

(2)

The fourth quarter of 2020 includes an increase to premiums earned of $11.3 million, related to changes in present value estimates for initial premiums on monthly policies that are deferred and not collected until cancellation. The impact of changes in this estimate in other periods is not material.

(3)

Does not include impairment of long-lived assets and other non-operating items, which are not considered components of adjusted pretax operating income (loss).

(4)

Relates to interest on our borrowing and financing activities including our Senior Notes issued by our holding company and FHLB borrowings made by our mortgage insurance subsidiaries.

(5)

The wind-down of our traditional appraisal business announced in the fourth quarter of 2020 caused the composition of our reportable segments to change, including all activity related to that business and certain other adjustments to services revenue now being reflected in All Other activities. In addition, there were certain other immaterial reclassifications to net investment income and interest expense. These changes to our reportable segments have been reflected in our segment operating results for all periods presented.

(6)

Inter-segment information:

2021

2020

(In thousands)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Inter-segment revenue included in:

Mortgage

$

$

$

$

$

83

Real Estate

59

86

98

91

87

All Other

186

767

19

22

Total inter-segment revenue

$

59

$

272

$

865

$

110

$

192

Inter-segment expense included in:

Mortgage

$

59

$

86

$

98

$

91

$

87

Real Estate

186

767

19

22

All Other

83

Total inter-segment expense

$

59

$

272

$

865

$

110

$

192

 

See notes continued on next page.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Exhibit E (page 4 of 4)

Notes continued from prior page.

(7)

In the fourth quarter of 2020, we reclassified certain revenue previously reflected in the Real Estate segment results as services revenue to net premiums earned. As a result, for all periods presented in 2020, on the Real Estate segment, net premiums earned has been increased and services revenue has been decreased, with offsetting adjustments reflected in All Other activities.

(8)

Supplemental information for Real Estate adjusted EBITDA (see definition in Exhibit F):

2021

2020

(In thousands)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) before corporate allocations

$

(6,457)

$

(7,763)

$

(1,798)

$

(1,086)

$

214

Depreciation and amortization

578

744

679

771

663

Real Estate adjusted EBITDA

$

(5,879)

$

(7,019)

$

(1,119)

$

(315)

$

877

 

(9)

All Other activities include: (i) income (losses) from assets held by our holding company; (ii) related general corporate operating expenses not attributable or allocated to our reportable segments; (iii) for all periods prior to its sale in the first quarter of 2020, income and expenses related to Clayton; (iv) for all periods presented, the income and expenses related to our traditional appraisal services; and (v) certain other immaterial revenue and expense items.

Selected Mortgage Key Ratios

2021

2020

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Loss ratio (1)

17.3

%

19.6

%

31.0

%

122.8

%

12.8

%

Expense ratio (1)

22.4

%

21.1

%

21.5

%

20.2

%

21.9

%

(1)

Calculated on a GAAP basis using net premiums earned.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Definition of Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Exhibit F (page 1 of 2)

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

In addition to the traditional GAAP financial measures, we have presented “adjusted pretax operating income (loss),” “adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share” and adjusted net operating return on equity,which are non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, among our key performance indicators to evaluate our fundamental financial performance. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way the Company’s business performance is evaluated by both management and the board of directors. These measures have been established in order to increase transparency for the purposes of evaluating our operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with our peers. Although on a consolidated basis “adjusted pretax operating income (loss),” “adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share” and “adjusted net operating return on equity” are non-GAAP financial measures, we believe these measures aid in understanding the underlying performance of our operations. Our senior management, including our Chief Executive Officer (Radian’s chief operating decision maker), uses adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as our primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of the Company’s business segments and to allocate resources to the segments.

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss) is defined as GAAP consolidated pretax income (loss) excluding the effects of: (i) net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments; (ii) loss on extinguishment of debt; (iii) amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets; and (iv) impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items, such as gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business and acquisition-related income and expenses. Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share is calculated by dividing (i) adjusted pretax operating income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by (ii) the sum of the weighted average number of common shares outstanding and all dilutive potential common shares outstanding. Adjusted net operating return on equity is calculated by dividing annualized adjusted pretax operating income (loss), net of taxes computed using the Company’s statutory tax rate, by average stockholders’ equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented.

Although adjusted pretax operating income (loss) excludes certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items represent those that are: (i) not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities or (ii) not expected to result in an economic impact equal to the amount reflected in pretax income (loss). These adjustments, along with the reasons for their treatment, are described below.

(1)

Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments. The recognition of realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods as the activity is highly discretionary based on the timing of individual securities sales due to such factors as market opportunities, our tax and capital profile and overall market cycles. Unrealized gains and losses arise primarily from changes in the market value of our investments that are classified as trading or equity securities. These valuation adjustments may not necessarily result in realized economic gains or losses.

Trends in the profitability of our fundamental operating activities can be more clearly identified without the fluctuations of these realized and unrealized gains or losses and changes in fair value of other financial instruments. We do not view them to be indicative of our fundamental operating activities.

(2)

Loss on extinguishment of debt. Gains or losses on early extinguishment of debt and losses incurred to purchase our debt prior to maturity are discretionary activities that are undertaken in order to take advantage of market opportunities to strengthen our financial and capital positions; therefore, we do not view these activities as part of our operating performance. Such transactions do not reflect expected future operations and do not provide meaningful insight regarding our current or past operating trends.

(3)

Amortization and impairment of goodwill and other acquired intangible assets. Amortization of acquired intangible assets represents the periodic expense required to amortize the cost of acquired intangible assets over their estimated useful lives. Acquired intangible assets are also periodically reviewed for potential impairment, and impairment adjustments are made whenever appropriate. We do not view these charges as part of the operating performance of our primary activities.

(4)

Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items. Includes activities that we do not view to be indicative of our fundamental operating activities, such as: (i) impairment of internal-use software and other long-lived assets; (ii) gains (losses) from the sale of lines of business; and (iii) acquisition-related expenses.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Definition of Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Exhibit F (page 2 of 2)

In addition to the above non-GAAP measures for the consolidated company, we also have presented as supplemental information a non-GAAP measure for our Real Estate segment, representing a measure of earnings before interest, income tax provision (benefit), depreciation and amortization (“EBITDA”). We calculate Real Estate adjusted EBITDA by using adjusted pretax operating income (loss) as described above, further adjusted to remove the impact of depreciation and corporate allocations for interest and operating expenses. In addition, Real Estate adjusted EBITDA margin is calculated by dividing Real Estate adjusted EBITDA by GAAP total revenue for the Real Estate segment. Real Estate adjusted EBITDA and Real Estate adjusted EBITDA margin are used to facilitate comparisons with other services companies, since they are widely accepted measures of performance in the services industry and are used internally as supplemental measures to evaluate the performance of our Real Estate segment.

See Exhibit G for the reconciliation of the most comparable GAAP measures, consolidated pretax income (loss), diluted net income (loss) per share and return on equity to our non-GAAP financial measures for the consolidated company, adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating return on equity, respectively. Exhibit G also contains the reconciliation of the most comparable GAAP measure, net income (loss), to Real Estate adjusted EBITDA.

Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share, adjusted net operating return on equity, Real Estate adjusted EBITDA and Real Estate adjusted EBITDA margin should not be considered in isolation or viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income (loss), diluted net income (loss) per share, return on equity or net income (loss). Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share, adjusted net operating return on equity, Real Estate adjusted EBITDA or Real Estate adjusted EBITDA margin may not be comparable to similarly-named measures reported by other companies.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations

Exhibit G (page 1 of 3)

Reconciliation of Consolidated Pretax Income (Loss) to Adjusted Pretax Operating Income (Loss)

 

2021

2020

(In thousands)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Consolidated pretax income (loss)

$

161,189

$

179,167

$

161,205

$

(42,224)

$

181,293

Less reconciling income (expense) items:

Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments

(5,181)

17,376

17,652

47,276

(22,027)

Amortization and impairment of other acquired intangible assets

(862)

(2,225)

(961)

(979)

(979)

Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items (1)

(84)

(6,971)

(466)

(22)

(300)

Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss) (2)

$

167,316

$

170,987

$

144,980

$

(88,499)

$

204,599

(1)

The amounts for all the periods presented are included in other operating expenses on the Condensed Consolidated Statement of Operations in Exhibit A and primarily relate to impairments of other long-lived assets.

(2)

Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss) consists of adjusted pretax operating income (loss) for each reportable segment and All Other activities as follows:

2021

2020

(In thousands)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Adjusted pretax operating income (loss):

Mortgage segment

$

174,287

$

184,306

$

147,336

$

(85,821)

$

205,667

Real Estate segment

(10,453)

(11,132)

(5,046)

(3,909)

(3,153)

All Other activities

3,482

(2,187)

2,690

1,231

2,085

Total adjusted pretax operating income (loss)

$

167,316

$

170,987

$

144,980

$

(88,499)

$

204,599

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations

Exhibit G (page 2 of 3)

Reconciliation of Diluted Net Income (Loss) Per Share to Adjusted Diluted Net Operating Income (Loss) Per Share

 

2021

2020

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Diluted net income (loss) per share

$

0.64

$

0.76

$

0.70

$

(0.15)

$

0.70

Less per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items:

Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments

(0.03)

0.09

0.09

0.24

(0.11)

Amortization and impairment of other acquired intangible assets

(0.01)

(0.01)

Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items

(0.04)

Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (1)

0.01

(0.01)

(0.02)

(0.05)

0.02

Difference between statutory and effective tax rate

(0.02)

0.04

0.04

0.03

(0.01)

Per-share impact of reconciling income (expense) items

(0.04)

0.07

0.11

0.21

(0.10)

Adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share (1)

$

0.68

$

0.69

$

0.59

$

(0.36)

$

0.80

(1)

Calculated using the company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%. Any permanent tax adjustments and state income taxes on these items have been deemed immaterial and are not included.

Reconciliation of Return on Equity to Adjusted Net Operating Return on Equity (1)

2021

2020

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Return on equity (1)

11.8

%

14.1

%

13.3

%

(3.1)

%

14.2

%

Less impact of reconciling income (expense) items: (2)

Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments

(0.5)

1.7

1.7

4.8

(2.2)

Amortization and impairment of other acquired intangible assets

(0.1)

(0.2)

(0.1)

(0.1)

(0.1)

Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items

(0.7)

Income tax (provision) benefit on reconciling income (expense) items (3)

0.1

(0.2)

(0.3)

(1.0)

0.5

Difference between statutory and effective tax rate

(0.1)

0.6

0.7

0.3

(0.3)

Impact of reconciling income (expense) items

(0.6)

1.2

2.0

4.0

(2.1)

Adjusted net operating return on equity

12.4

%

12.9

%

11.3

%

(7.1)

%

16.3

%

(1)

Calculated by dividing annualized net income (loss) by average stockholders’ equity, based on the average of the beginning and ending balances for each period presented.

(2)

Annualized, as a percentage of average stockholders’ equity.

(3)

Calculated using the company’s federal statutory tax rate of 21%. Any permanent tax adjustments and state income taxes on these items have been deemed immaterial and are not included.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Consolidated Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations

Exhibit G (page 3 of 3)

Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) to Real Estate Adjusted EBITDA

 

2021

2020

(In thousands)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Net income (loss)

$

125,608

$

148,013

$

135,103

$

(29,951)

$

140,461

Less reconciling income (expense) items:

Net gains (losses) on investments and other financial instruments

(5,181)

17,376

17,652

47,276

(22,027)

Amortization and impairment of other acquired intangible assets

(862)

(2,225)

(961)

(979)

(979)

Impairment of other long-lived assets and other non-operating items

(84)

(6,971)

(466)

(22)

(300)

Income tax (provision) benefit

(35,581)

(31,154)

(26,102)

12,273

(40,832)

Mortgage adjusted pretax operating income (loss)

174,287

184,306

147,336

(85,821)

205,667

All Other adjusted pretax operating income

3,482

(2,187)

2,690

1,231

2,085

Real Estate adjusted pretax operating income (loss)

(10,453)

(11,132)

(5,046)

(3,909)

(3,153)

Less reconciling income (expense) items:

Allocation of corporate operating expenses to Real Estate

(3,996)

(3,369)

(3,248)

(2,823)

(3,367)

Real Estate depreciation and amortization

(578)

(744)

(679)

(771)

(663)

Real Estate adjusted EBITDA

$

(5,879)

$

(7,019)

$

(1,119)

$

(315)

$

877

On a consolidated basis, “adjusted pretax operating income (loss),” “adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share” and “adjusted net operating return on equity” are measures not determined in accordance with GAAP. “Real Estate adjusted EBITDA” and “Real Estate adjusted EBITDA margin” are also non-GAAP measures. These measures should not be considered in isolation or viewed as substitutes for GAAP pretax income (loss), diluted net income (loss) per share, return on equity or net income (loss). Our definitions of adjusted pretax operating income (loss), adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share, adjusted net operating return on equity, Real Estate adjusted EBITDA or Real Estate adjusted EBITDA margin may not be comparable to similarly-named measures reported by other companies. See Exhibit F for additional information on our consolidated non-GAAP financial measures.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Mortgage Supplemental Information - New Insurance Written

Exhibit H

2021

2020

($ in millions)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

New insurance written ("NIW")

$

20,161

$

29,781

$

33,320

$

25,459

$

16,706

Percentage of NIW

Borrower-paid

99.2

%

99.2

%

98.5

%

97.8

%

96.7

%

Percentage by premium type

Direct monthly and other recurring premiums

90.2

%

91.4

%

90.0

%

84.7

%

81.1

%

Borrower-paid (1) (2)

9.4

8.3

9.0

13.6

16.5

Lender-paid (1)

0.4

0.3

1.0

1.7

2.4

Direct single premiums (1)

9.8

8.6

10.0

15.3

18.9

Total NIW

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

NIW for purchases

59.1

%

64.6

%

70.5

%

56.4

%

66.2

%

NIW for refinances

40.9

%

35.4

%

29.5

%

43.6

%

33.8

%

Percentage of NIW by FICO score (3)

>=740

64.3

%

64.7

%

66.2

%

67.3

%

65.7

%

680-739

31.5

31.5

30.7

30.1

31.1

620-679

4.2

3.8

3.1

2.6

3.2

Total NIW

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

Percentage by LTV

95.01% and above

8.0

%

8.9

%

9.7

%

8.3

%

9.9

%

90.01% to 95.00%

31.6

34.7

39.6

36.4

37.6

85.01% to 90.00%

31.3

29.8

28.3

29.8

30.3

85.00% and below

29.1

26.6

22.4

25.5

22.2

Total NIW

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

(1)

Percentages exclude the impact of reinsurance.

(2)

Borrower-paid Single Premium Policies have lower Minimum Required Assets under PMIERs as compared to lender-paid Single Premium Policies.

(3)

For loans with multiple borrowers, the percentage of NIW by FICO score represents the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Mortgage Supplemental Information - Primary Insurance in Force and Risk in Force

Exhibit I (page 1 of 2)

March 31,

December 31,

September 30,

June 30,

March 31,

($ in millions)

2021

2020

2020

2020

2020

Primary insurance in force (1)

Prime

$

234,980

$

242,044

$

241,166

$

236,835

$

236,958

Alt-A and A minus and below

3,941

4,100

4,301

4,471

4,628

Primary

$

238,921

$

246,144

$

245,467

$

241,306

$

241,586

Primary risk in force (1) (2)

Prime

$

57,579

$

59,689

$

59,972

$

59,253

$

59,827

Alt-A and A minus and below

929

967

1,017

1,058

1,096

Primary

$

58,508

$

60,656

$

60,989

$

60,311

$

60,923

Percentage of primary risk in force

Direct monthly and other recurring premiums

80.0

%

79.1

%

76.8

%

73.8

%

72.6

%

Direct single premiums

20.0

%

20.9

%

23.2

%

26.2

%

27.4

%

Percentage of primary risk in force by FICO score (3)

>=740

57.2

%

57.5

%

57.6

%

57.4

%

57.2

%

680-739

34.9

34.6

34.3

34.3

34.2

620-679

7.3

7.3

7.5

7.7

8.0

<=619

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.6

Total Primary

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

Percentage of primary risk in force by LTV

95.01% and above

14.4

%

14.4

%

14.3

%

14.2

%

14.3

%

90.01% to 95.00%

48.6

49.3

50.1

50.4

51.0

85.01% to 90.00%

28.2

28.0

27.9

28.1

27.9

85.00% and below

8.8

8.3

7.7

7.3

6.8

Total

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

Percentage of primary risk in force by policy year

2008 and prior

6.1

%

6.2

%

6.6

%

7.2

%

7.5

%

2009 - 2015

9.9

11.3

13.3

16.0

17.8

2016

6.8

7.6

8.9

10.6

11.7

2017

8.0

9.1

10.7

13.0

14.8

2018

8.7

9.8

11.7

14.0

16.4

2019

15.6

17.8

20.6

23.3

25.4

2020

37.2

38.2

28.2

15.9

6.4

2021

7.7

Total

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

100.0

%

Primary risk in force on defaulted loans

$

2,910

$

3,250

$

3,747

$

4,263

$

1,001

 

Table continued on next page.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Mortgage Supplemental Information - Primary Insurance in Force and Risk in Force

Exhibit I (page 2 of 2)

Table continued from prior page.

 

March 31,

December 31,

September 30,

June 30,

March 31,

2021

2020

2020

2020

2020

Persistency Rate (12 months ended)

57.2

%

(4)

61.2

%

(4)

65.6

%

(4)

70.2

%

75.4

%

Persistency Rate (quarterly, annualized) (5)

62.5

%

60.4

%

(4)

60.0

%

(4)

63.8

%

76.5

%

(1)

Excludes the impact of premiums ceded under our reinsurance agreements.

(2)

Does not include pool risk in force or other risk in force, which combined represent approximately 1.0% of our total risk in force for all periods presented.

(3)

For loans with multiple borrowers, the percentage of primary risk in force by FICO score represents the lowest of the borrowers’ FICO scores.

(4)

The Persistency Rate was reduced by an increase in cancellations of Single Premium Policies due to increased cancellations identified by our ongoing servicer monitoring process for Single Premium Policies.

(5)

The Persistency Rate on a quarterly, annualized basis is calculated based on loan-level detail for the quarter ending as of the date shown. It may be impacted by seasonality or other factors, including the level of refinance activity during the applicable periods, and may not be indicative of full-year trends.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Mortgage Supplemental Information - Claims and Reserves

Exhibit J

2021

2020

($ in thousands)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Net claims paid: (1)

Total primary claims paid

$

6,611

$

8,353

$

11,331

$

22,144

$

24,358

Total pool and other

(138

)

70

(230

)

639

(911

)

Subtotal

6,473

8,423

11,101

22,783

23,447

Impact of commutations and settlements (2)

4,000

32,170

(267

)

(56

)

Total net claims paid

$

10,473

$

40,593

$

10,834

$

22,783

$

23,391

Total average net primary claims paid (1) (3)

$

43.8

$

46.9

$

46.4

$

47.9

$

50.3

Average direct primary claims paid (3) (4)

$

45.5

$

48.5

$

47.8

$

49.0

$

51.4

(1)

Includes the impact of reinsurance recoveries and LAE.

(2)

Includes payments to commute mortgage insurance coverage on certain performing and non-performing loans. For the first quarter of 2021 and the fourth quarter of 2020, primarily includes payments made to settle certain previously disclosed legal proceedings.

(3)

Calculated without giving effect to the impact of commutations and settlements.

(4)

Before reinsurance recoveries.

March 31,

December 31,

September 30,

June 30,

March 31,

($ in thousands, except per default amounts)

2021

2020

2020

2020

2020

Reserve for losses by category (1)

Mortgage reserves

Prime

$

751,100

$

711,245

$

655,754

$

573,463

$

264,694

Alt-A and A minus and below

90,455

88,269

88,879

86,646

88,481

IBNR and other

6,626

9,966

43,153

43,342

40,583

LAE

21,212

20,172

18,745

16,807

9,216

Total primary reserves

869,393

829,652

806,531

720,258

402,974

Total pool reserves

13,175

14,163

14,779

14,398

11,297

Total 1st lien reserves

882,568

843,815

821,310

734,656

414,271

Other

270

292

398

335

407

Total Mortgage reserves

882,838

844,107

821,708

734,991

414,678

Real Estate reserves

4,517

4,306

4,084

3,894

3,524

Total reserves

$

887,355

$

848,413

$

825,792

$

738,885

$

418,202

Primary reserve per primary default excluding IBNR and other

$

17,219

$

14,759

$

12,168

$

9,706

$

18,320

(1)

Includes ceded losses on reinsurance transactions, which are expected to be recovered and are included in the reinsurance recoverables reported in our condensed consolidated balance sheets.

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Mortgage Supplemental Information - Default Statistics

Exhibit K

March 31,

December 31,

September 30,

June 30,

March 31,

2021

2020

2020

2020

2020

Default Statistics

Primary Insurance:

Prime

Number of insured loans

996,082

1,031,736

1,043,450

1,040,964

1,049,974

Number of loans in default

45,929

51,032

58,057

64,648

15,497

Percentage of loans in default

4.61

%

4.95

%

5.56

%

6.21

%

1.48

%

Alt-A and A minus and below

Number of insured loans

25,282

26,208

27,310

28,357

29,375

Number of loans in default

4,177

4,505

4,680

5,094

4,284

Percentage of loans in default

16.52

%

17.19

%

17.14

%

17.96

%

14.58

%

Total Primary

Number of insured loans

1,021,364

1,057,944

1,070,760

1,069,321

1,079,349

Number of loans in default

50,106

55,537

62,737

69,742

19,781

Percentage of loans in default

4.91

%

5.25

%

5.86

%

6.52

%

1.83

%

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Mortgage Supplemental Information - Reinsurance Programs

Exhibit L

2021

2020

($ in thousands)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Quota Share Reinsurance (“QSR”) and Single Premium QSR Programs

Ceded premiums written (1)

$

(2,852)

$

(1,117)

$

2,119

$

35,821

$

6,687

% of premiums written

(1.1)

%

(0.4)

%

0.8

%

13.0

%

2.4

%

Ceded premiums earned

$

20,788

$

29,510

$

36,742

$

60,652

$

18,712

% of premiums earned

6.8

%

8.6

%

11.2

%

19.2

%

6.2

%

Ceding commissions written

$

(2,949)

$

(3,847)

$

(4,984)

$

(5,304)

$

8,413

Ceding commissions earned (2)

$

10,407

$

13,197

$

17,038

$

13,453

$

9,966

Profit commission

$

16,350

$

18,406

$

20,425

$

(10,649)

$

16,405

Ceded losses

$

3,661

$

7,106

$

10,189

$

39,635

$

1,962

Excess-of-Loss Program

Ceded premiums written

$

11,482

$

15,240

$

7,499

$

7,525

$

12,678

% of premiums written

4.4

%

5.2

%

2.8

%

2.7

%

4.5

%

Ceded premiums earned

$

12,154

$

12,037

$

8,290

$

8,321

$

8,405

% of premiums earned

4.0

%

3.7

%

2.5

%

2.6

%

2.8

%

Ceded RIF (3)

Single Premium QSR Program

$

6,147,808

$

6,646,812

$

7,358,932

$

8,173,756

$

8,580,047

Excess-of-Loss Program

1,525,100

1,560,600

1,170,200

1,170,200

1,230,000

QSR Program

317,827

381,787

454,585

532,743

596,166

Total Ceded RIF

$

7,990,735

$

8,589,199

$

8,983,717

$

9,876,699

$

10,406,213

PMIERs impact - reduction in Minimum Required Assets

Excess-of-Loss Program

$

673,957

$

912,734

$

783,842

$

970,294

$

1,066,464

Single Premium QSR Program

388,536

423,712

469,625

517,028

501,668

QSR Program

19,378

22,712

26,213

30,837

31,638

Total PMIERs impact

$

1,081,871

$

1,359,158

$

1,279,680

$

1,518,159

$

1,599,770

(1)

Net of profit commission.

(2)

Includes amounts reported in policy acquisition costs and other operating expenses. Operating expenses include the following ceding commissions, net of deferred policy acquisition costs, for the periods indicated:

2021

2020

($ in thousands)

Qtr 1

Qtr 4

Qtr 3

Qtr 2

Qtr 1

Ceding commissions

$

(7,689)

$

(10,436)

$

(12,337)

$

(10,406)

$

(7,967)

 

(3)

Included in primary RIF.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

All statements in this press release that address events, developments or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In most cases, forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as “anticipate,” “may,” “will,” “could,” “should,” “would,” “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “goal,” “contemplate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,” “project,” “potential,” “continue,” “seek,” “strategy,” “future,” “likely” or the negative or other variations on these words and other similar expressions. These statements, which may include, without limitation, projections regarding our future performance and financial condition, are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events, including management’s current views regarding the likely impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. Any forward-looking statement is not a guarantee of future performance and actual results could differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statement. These statements speak only as of the date they were made, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. We operate in a changing environment where new risks emerge from time to time and it is not possible for us to predict all risks that may affect us, particularly those associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, which has had wide-ranging and continually evolving effects. The forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation:

  • the COVID-19 pandemic, which has caused significant economic disruption, high unemployment, periods of volatility and disruption in financial markets, and required adjustments in the housing finance system and real estate markets. The COVID-19 pandemic has adversely impacted our businesses, and we expect that the COVID-19 pandemic could further impact our business and subject us to certain risks, including those discussed in “Item 1A. Risk Factors—The COVID-19 pandemic has adversely impacted us, and its ultimate impact on our business and financial results will depend on future developments, which are highly uncertain and cannot be predicted, including the scope, severity and duration of the pandemic and actions taken by governmental authorities in response to the pandemic.” and the other risk factors in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020 and in our subsequent reports and registration statements filed from time to time with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission;
  • changes in economic and political conditions that impact the size of the insurable market, the credit performance of our insured portfolio, and our business prospects;
  • changes in the way customers, investors, ratings agencies, regulators or legislators perceive our performance, financial strength and future prospects;
  • Radian Guaranty Inc.’s (“Radian Guaranty”) ability to remain eligible under the Private Mortgage Insurer Eligibility Requirements (the “PMIERs”) and other applicable requirements imposed by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (the "FHFA") and by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (collectively, the “GSEs”) to insure loans purchased by the GSEs;
  • our ability to maintain an adequate level of capital in our insurance subsidiaries to satisfy existing and future regulatory requirements, including the PMIERs and any changes thereto, such as the application of the recent and temporary amendment that applies a reduced capital charge nationwide for certain COVID-19-related nonperforming loans, and potential changes to the Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Model Act currently under consideration;
  • changes in the charters or business practices of, or rules or regulations imposed by or applicable to, the GSEs, which may include changes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, changes in the requirements for Radian Guaranty to remain an approved insurer to the GSEs, changes in the GSEs’ interpretation and application of the PMIERs, or changes impacting loans purchased by the GSEs;
  • the Enterprise Regulatory Capital Framework that was finalized by the FHFA in December 2020 and that, among other things, increases the capital requirements for the GSEs and reduces the credit they receive for risk transfer, which could impact their operations and pricing as well as the size of the insurable mortgage insurance market, and which may form the basis for future versions of the PMIERs;
  • changes in the current housing finance system in the United States, including the roles of the Federal Housing Administration (the "FHA"), the GSEs and private mortgage insurers in this system;
  • our ability to successfully execute and implement our capital plans, including our risk distribution strategy through the capital markets and reinsurance markets, and to maintain sufficient holding company liquidity to meet our liquidity needs;
  • our ability to successfully execute and implement our business plans and strategies, including plans and strategies that require GSE and/or regulatory approvals and licenses and that are subject to complex compliance requirements;
  • uncertainty from the expected discontinuance of LIBOR and transition to one or more alternative benchmarks that could cause interest rate volatility and, among other things, impact our investment portfolio, cost of debt and cost of reinsurance through mortgage insurance-linked notes transactions;
  • any disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies, as well as poor servicer performance, which could be impacted by the burdens placed on many servicers due to the COVID-19 pandemic;
  • a decrease in the “Persistency Rates” (the percentage of insurance in force that remains in force over a period of time) of our mortgage insurance on monthly premium products;
  • competition in our mortgage insurance business, including price competition and competition from the FHA and the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs as well as from other forms of credit enhancement, such as GSE-sponsored alternatives to traditional mortgage insurance;
  • the effect of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act on the financial services industry in general, and on our businesses in particular, including the recent changes to the "qualified mortgages" (QM) loan requirements;
  • legislative and regulatory activity (or inactivity), including the adoption of (or failure to adopt) new laws and regulations, or changes in existing laws and regulations, or the way they are interpreted or applied, including potential changes in tax law under the Biden Administration;
  • legal and regulatory claims, assertions, actions, reviews, audits, inquiries and investigations that could result in adverse judgments, settlements, fines, injunctions, restitutions or other relief that could require significant expenditures, new or increased reserves or have other effects on our business;
  • the amount and timing of potential payments or adjustments associated with federal or other tax examinations;
  • the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately, especially in the event of an extended economic downturn or a period of extreme market volatility and economic uncertainty such as we have been experiencing due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance business or to accurately calculate and/or project our Available Assets and Minimum Required Assets under the PMIERs, which will be impacted by, among other things, the size and mix of our insurance in force, the level of defaults in our portfolio, the reported status of defaults in our portfolio, including whether they are subject to forbearance, a repayment plan or a loan modification trial period granted in response to a financial hardship related to COVID-19, the level of cash flow generated by our insurance operations and our risk distribution strategies;
  • volatility in our financial results caused by changes in the fair value of our assets and liabilities, including our investment portfolio;
  • changes in “GAAP” (accounting principles generally accepted in the U.S.) or “SAPP” (statutory accounting principles and practices including those required or permitted, if applicable, by the insurance departments of the respective states of domicile of our insurance subsidiaries) rules and guidance, or their interpretation;
  • effectiveness and security of our information technology systems and solutions, including our ability to successfully develop, launch and implement new and innovative technologies and digital solutions and the potential disruption in, or failure of, our information technology systems due to computer viruses, unauthorized access, cyber-attack, natural disasters or other similar events;
  • our ability to attract and retain key employees; and
  • legal and other limitations on amounts we may receive from our subsidiaries, including dividends or ordinary course distributions under our internal tax- and expense-sharing arrangements.

For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should refer to “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020, and to subsequent reports and registration statements filed from time to time with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on which we issued this press release. We do not intend to, and we disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect new information or future events or for any other reason.

Contacts:

For Investors:
John Damian - Phone: 215.231.1383
email: john.damian@radian.com

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