FORM 8-K
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 11, 2008
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
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Delaware
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1-8787
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13-2592361 |
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(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation)
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(Commission File Number)
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(IRS Employer
Identification No.) |
70 Pine Street
New York, New York 10270
(Address of principal executive offices)
Registrants telephone number, including area code: (212) 770-7000
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy
the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General
Instruction A.2. below):
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Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
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Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
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Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
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Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Section 8 Other Events
In connection with the preparation of its 2007 financial reports, American International
Group, Inc. (AIG) has recently concluded that AIG should clarify and expand its prior disclosures
relating to the methodology and data inputs used to determine the fair values of the super senior
credit default swap portfolio in respect of multi-sector collateralized debt obligations (CDOs)
of AIG Financial Products Corp. and AIG Trading Group Inc., including their respective subsidiaries
(collectively, AIGFP).
As disclosed in AIGs Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2007
(the Form 10-Q), AIGFP values its super senior credit default swaps using internal methodologies
that utilize available market observable information and incorporate management estimates and
judgments when information is not available. In doing so, it employs a modified Binomial Expansion
Technique (BET) model that currently utilizes, among other data inputs, market prices obtained
from independent sources, from which it derives credit spreads for the securities constituting the
collateral pools underlying the related CDOs. The modified BET model derives default probabilities
and expected losses from market prices, not credit ratings. The initial implementation of the BET
model did not adequately quantify, and thus did not give effect to, the benefit of certain
structural mitigants, such as triggers that accelerate amortization of the more senior CDO
tranches.
As disclosed in the Form 10-Q, AIG did not give effect to these structural mitigants (cash
flow diversion features) in determining the fair value of AIGFPs super senior credit default swap
portfolio for the three months ended September 30, 2007. Similarly, these features were not taken
into account in the estimate of the decline in fair value of the super senior credit default swap
portfolio through October 31, 2007 that was also included in the Form 10-Q because AIG was not able
to reliably estimate the value of these features at that time. Subsequent to the filing of the
Form 10-Q, through development and use of a second implementation of the BET model using Monte
Carlo simulation, AIGFP was able to reliably estimate the value of these features. Therefore, AIG
gave effect to the benefit of these features in determining the cumulative decline in the fair
value of AIGFPs super senior credit default swap portfolio for the period from September 30, 2007
to November 30, 2007 that was disclosed in AIGs Current Report on Form 8-K/A, dated December 5,
2007 (the Form 8-K/A) filed after AIGs December 5, 2007 Investor Conference.
In addition, during AIGs December 5 Investor Conference, representatives of AIGFP indicated
that the estimate of the decline in fair value of AIGFPs super senior
credit default swap portfolio during November was then being determined on the basis of cash
bond prices for securities in the underlying collateral pools, with valuation adjustments made not
only for the cash flow diversion features referred to above but also
for negative basis, to
reflect the amount attributable to the difference (the spread differential) between spreads
implied from cash CDO prices and credit spreads implied from the pricing of credit default swaps on
the CDOs.
In order to clarify the pricing methodology and data inputs used, the following table reflects
the data inputs used in the methodology as of September 30, 2007, October 31, 2007 and November 30,
2007, and quantifies the components of the estimate as of the end of each month:
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Benefit of |
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Structural |
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Cumulative Decline |
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Benefit of Spread |
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Gross Cumulative |
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Mitigants (Cash |
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in Valuation Net of |
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Differential |
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Cumulative Decline |
(in millions) |
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Decline in Valuation |
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Flow Diversion |
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Cash Flow Diversion |
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(Negative Basis |
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in Valuation As |
As of |
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During 2007 |
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Features) |
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Features |
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Adjustment) |
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Previously Disclosed |
September 30 |
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$ |
352 |
(1) |
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$ |
0 |
(2) |
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$ |
352 |
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Not Applicable |
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$ |
352 |
(3) |
October 31 |
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$ |
899 |
(4) |
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$ |
0 |
(2) |
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$ |
899 |
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Not Applicable |
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$ |
899 |
(5) |
November 30 |
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$ |
5,964 |
(6) |
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$ |
732 |
(7) |
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$ |
5,232 |
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$ |
3,628 |
(8) |
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$ |
1,604 |
(9) |
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(1) |
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Calculated using BET methodology with generic credit spreads
on asset-backed securities provided by a third party. |
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(2) |
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AIG did not give effect to the benefit of any cash flow diversion features. |
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(3) |
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As disclosed in the Form 10-Q. |
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(4) |
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Calculated using BET methodology with generic credit spreads on asset-backed securities provided by a third party and adjusted using
inputs derived by management from observed changes in the relevant ABX indices.
Calculation on this basis at November 30, 2007 would have resulted in a gross
cumulative decline in valuation of $2.551 billion, a benefit of $863 million from cash
flow diversion features and a cumulative decline in valuation net of cash flow
diversion features of $1.687 billion. |
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(5) |
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Corresponds to the sum of the cumulative decline as of September 30, 2007 of
$352 million and the estimated further decline during October |
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of $550 million as
disclosed in the Form 10-Q and reflects further refinement of data inputs used in the
model. |
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(6) |
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Calculated using BET methodology with cash bond prices provided by the
managers of the underlying CDO collateral pools, or, where not provided by the
managers, prices derived from a price matrix based on cash bond prices that were
provided. |
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(7) |
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Calculated using Monte Carlo simulation. |
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(8) |
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Represents amount attributable to the differential between spreads implied
from cash CDO prices and credit spreads implied from the pricing of credit default
swaps on the CDOs. |
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(9) |
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Corresponds to the sum of the cumulative decline as of September 30, 2007 of
$352 million and the estimated further decline of an aggregate of approximately $1.05
billion to $1.15 billion during October and November as disclosed in the Form 8-K/A,
and reflects further refinement of data inputs used in the model. |
AIG has not yet determined the amount of the increase in the cumulative decline
in fair value of AIGFPs super senior credit default swap portfolio to be included in its
December 31, 2007 financial statements. AIG is still accumulating market data in order
to update its valuation of the AIGFP super senior credit default swap portfolio. AIG
currently expects that the adjustment for cash flow diversion features will be included in
determining the fair value of AIGFPs super senior credit default swap portfolio at
December 31, 2007. However, as a result of current difficult market conditions, AIG is
not able to reliably quantify the differential between spreads implied from cash CDO
prices and credit spreads implied from the pricing of credit default swaps on the CDOs,
and therefore AIG will not include any adjustment to reflect the spread differential
(negative basis adjustment) in determining the fair value of AIGFPs super senior credit
default swap portfolio at December 31, 2007. The fair value of the super senior credit default swap portfolio for the year
ended December 31, 2007 will reflect continuing refinements, if
any, of AIGs valuation methodologies and additional market data.
AIG has been advised by its independent auditors, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLC,
that they have concluded that at December 31, 2007, AIG had a material weakness in its
internal control over financial reporting and oversight relating to the fair value valuation
of the AIGFP super senior credit default swap portfolio. AIGs assessment of its internal
controls relating to the fair value valuation of the AIGFP super senior credit default swap
portfolio is ongoing, but AIG believes that it currently has in place the necessary
compensating controls and procedures to appropriately determine the fair value of
AIGFPs super senior credit default swap portfolio for purposes of AIGs year-end
financial statements.
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly
caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
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AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.
(Registrant)
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Date: February 11, 2008 |
By: |
/s/ Kathleen E. Shannon
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Name: |
Kathleen E. Shannon |
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Title: |
Senior Vice President and Secretary |
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