425
Filed by Microsoft Corporation pursuant to
Rule 425 of the Securities Act of 1933 and
deemed filed pursuant to Rule 14a-12 of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Subject Company: Yahoo! Inc.
Commission File No.: 000-28018
This communication does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy
any securities or a solicitation of any vote or approval. This material is not a substitute for
the prospectus/proxy statement Microsoft Corporation would file with the SEC if an agreement
between Microsoft Corporation and Yahoo! Inc. is reached or any other documents which Microsoft
Corporation may file with the SEC and send to Yahoo! shareholders in connection with the proposed
transaction. INVESTORS AND SECURITY HOLDERS OF YAHOO! INC. ARE URGED TO READ ANY SUCH DOCUMENTS
FILED WITH THE SEC CAREFULLY IN THEIR ENTIRETY WHEN THEY BECOME AVAILABLE BECAUSE THEY WILL CONTAIN
IMPORTANT INFORMATION ABOUT THE PROPOSED TRANSACTION.
Investors and security holders will be able to obtain free copies of any documents filed with
the SEC by Microsoft Corporation through the web site maintained by the SEC at www.sec.gov.
Free copies of any such documents can also be obtained by directing a request to Investor Relations
Department, Microsoft Corporation, One Microsoft Way, Redmond, Washington 98052-6399.
Microsoft Corporation and its directors and executive officers and other persons may be deemed
to be participants in the solicitation of proxies in respect of the proposed transaction.
Information regarding Microsoft Corporations directors and executive officers is available in its
Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended June 30, 2007, which was filed with the SEC on August
8, 2007, and its proxy statement for its 2007 annual meeting of shareholders, which was filed with
the SEC on September 29, 2007. Other information regarding the participants in a proxy solicitation
and a description of their direct and indirect interests, by security holdings or otherwise, will
be contained in any proxy statement filed in connection with the proposed transaction .
Statements in this release that are forward-looking statements are based on current
expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results could
differ materially because of factors such as Microsoft Corporations ability to achieve the
synergies and value creation contemplated by the proposed transaction, Microsoft Corporations
ability to promptly and effectively integrate the businesses of Yahoo! Inc. and Microsoft
Corporation, the timing to consummate the proposed transaction and any necessary actions to obtain
required regulatory approvals, and the diversion of management time on transaction-related issues.
For further information regarding risks and uncertainties associated with Microsoft Corporations
business, please refer to the Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and
Results of Operations and Risk Factors sections of Microsoft Corporations SEC filings,
including, but not limited to, its annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q,
copies of which may be obtained by contacting Microsoft Corporations Investor Relations department
at (800) 285-7772 or at Microsoft Corporations website at http://www.microsoft.com/msft.
All information in this communication is as of the date hereof. Microsoft Corporation undertakes
no duty to update any forward-looking statement to conform the statement to actual results or
changes in the companys expectations.
*************
THE FOLLOWING IS THE TRANSCRIPT OF THE MICROSOFT STRATEGIC UPDATE PRESENTATION MADE TO FINANCIAL
ANALYSTS ON FEBRUARY 4, 2008.
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Financial.
F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
CORPORATE PARTICIPANTS
Colleen Healy
Microsoft Corporation Head of IR
Steve Ballmer
Microsoft Corporation CEO
Chris Liddell
Microsoft Corporation CFO
PRESENTATION
Colleen Healy - Microsoft Corporation Head of IR
Welcome,
everyone. Im Colleen Healy, head of Microsofts investor relations Department. Thanks so
much for joining us today. Good to see you all after the football game. And welcome to those
attending via the live webcast today. This presentation will also be available on demand, with the
slide deck, which will also include reconciliations between GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures.
Please be aware that if you do decide to ask a question in todays Q&A session, it will be included
in both our live transmission as well as any future recording of this event.
Today, Microsofts CEO Steve Ballmer and CFO Chris Liddell will provide you with an update on
Microsofts strategic direction, following our internal strategy sessions just recently completed,
as well as, of course, the announcement on Friday.
In terms of Fridays announcement, the discussion in todays presentation about Microsofts
proposal to acquire Yahoo! is neither an offer to purchase nor a solicitation of an offer to sell
shares of Yahoo! or Microsoft. Microsoft will file a Registration
Statement on Form S-4 with a
proxy statement and prospectus with the SEC, which will be available at no cost to Yahoo!
shareholders, at www.sec.gov. Yahoo! shareholders are encouraged to read the statement on Form S-4
when it becomes available.
So, following the presentation, Steve and Chris will take your questions. During todays
presentation and the question-and-answer period, we may make forward-looking statements, including
those about our beliefs and expectations regarding the proposed business combination of Microsoft
and Yahoo!, the potential costs and benefits of any such transaction, and potential synergies of
the proposed transaction. Actual results could differ materially. Additional information concerning
factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in our
forward-looking statements will be contained in the Form S-4. We undertake no duty to update
forward-looking statements.
So with that behind us, it gives me great pleasure to introduce to you Steve Ballmer.
Steve Ballmer - Microsoft Corporation CEO
Well, it
is a great honor and privilege for me to have a chance to be here with you today. I want
to have a chance to talk a little bit about kind of the context and strategies that were pursuing to drive
shareholder value.
I want to start kind of with a fundamental premise, which builds on the notion of, number one, commenting a
little bit about the breadth of our business. Our business has been and remains and will be
broader, I think, than anybody else in the technology field, and really helping our shareholders
understand that breadth, I think, is important.
I want to talk a little bit about some success and progress weve made based on past investments.
One of my consistent themes, sometimes well-received and sometimes less, with our shareholders is
that we see lots of long-term opportunity that drives investment, and I want to give a little bit of a
flavor on how some past investments have been working.
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Financial.
F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
I want to talk a little bit about the need for, or the opportunity in, if I could say, continued
investment, and so Im going to give you a little bit of perspective on some other things that we
see, some opportunities that we see for investment and the kind of return or hopes we have for
those investments.
We will dimensionalize, between Chris and I, some of those investments, and of course well have a
chance to talk a little bit about the investment that we rolled out on Friday, potential
investment, if you will, in Yahoo!.
I want to start with this notion of what is Microsoft.
I get asked this question, actually, quite a
bit. Even by a lot of our newer employees, I get asked this question, let alone our investor
what is Microsoft?
We think of ourselves as a company whose core capability,
core competence, is in doing
industry-leading software innovation, horizontal, broad
software innovation. Thats our core capability as a company. And the applications or the ways in which
software can be applied continues to get broader and broader.
When we started out, software was, if you will, kind of a pure thing. It was something that came on
a little disk, and you handed it to somebody. And now we see software value-add being critical, not
only to software as we know it, but to software-based services that get delivered over the
Internet. It has become key to the very definition of many devices future television sets,
mobile devices, et cetera.
And in fact, weve also had to evolve our business
model. We grew up kind of as a desktop company.
Im still not sure I understand what people mean when they say we are a desktop
company, but people all have a view that it relates to Windows and Office and productivity and the
core value proposition on which Microsoft was built.
We evolved over a period of time to also have a very strong enterprise business, selling the
building blocks and platforms and solutions to power the biggest enterprises in the world. We are
in the course of building an online business, and an online business is still software-based, but
its more typically advertising-funded, if you will. Its consumer-focused, if you will. Thats a
new muscle, a new set of skills that were building.
Last but not least is the new skills that we need in hardware manufacture, hardware design,
hardware partnership to really drive devices and entertainment as a core experience.
So in some senses, you could say core capability is software, but were willing to follow our nose,
if you will, with our core capability to different places in which we need to build different
competencies around that software from a business and customer perspective.
I get asked a lot, are you going to do this very quickly? Are you going to do that very quickly?
The thing I highlight for people is building a new capability for anybody is actually kind of a
hard thing. People like to talk about the innovators dilemma. The toughest thing about the
innovators dilemma isnt, can you do a new product? Its, can you actually absorb, understand and
build capability in an entirely different approach to doing business?
Im very proud of the fact that weve done that now twice, and were going to do it a third time
very well and a fourth time very well, and yet the third and fourth stories, the online story and
the story around entertainment and devices, are still very much more works in progress than the
first two stories.
I would contrast us with anybody else that you would look at in our industry, invest in in our
industry. They would not be attempting this breadth. Some of you will think thats a great thing.
Some of you may decide its a less good thing. Ive certainly had shareholders over the course of
the last few years say, if I want those other things, Ill buy somebody elses stock. If you by our
Company, you get the chance to invest, profit and derive value really from the application of
software in all four of these important ways.
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© 2008 Thomson Financial. Republished with permission. No part of this publication may be
reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Thomson
Financial.
F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
We have been a company that has highlighted, really, for all time, since the time we went public in
1986 it has been important to me; it has been important to Bill Gates we have talked about
the fact that we invest. We invest for the long run. We see great long-term opportunity and
potential in our business. Sometimes those investments look smart; sometimes it takes awhile for
them to really pay off.
But if you take a long-term perspective, and what Ive learned over the last several years of
meeting with shareholders is my view of long term is probably longer term than most of your views
of long term, since Im willing to entertain long term five, seven, 10 years, and what I find is
most of our shareholders say three years sounds pretty long term. But when we say long term, we see
long-term opportunity for technology transformation, long-term opportunity for innovation, for
skills development, and long-term opportunity to really drive returns.
Just over the course of the last five financial years, you can see the progress that weve made on
the chart here in revenue, in operating income, from $8.9 billion to $19.7 billion of operating
income in five years. You can either do growth rate and decide whether you think its a good thing
or not. I think the absolute
numbers are really quite a good achievement that were proud of, and were going to have to work
very hard to continue the trend.
And one of the key things we have to do is to continue to invest in new opportunities. Software is
a very funny thing. It does not wear out. It never wears out, and it never gets used up. So to
continue to drive growth well, to continue to drive just a flat performance requires innovation
and investment, and to drive growth requires even more investment for the long term. So we see big
opportunities, but we need to make big investments, certainly on the scale of this revenue and this
operating income, to continue to drive superior results.
If you take a look over the course of the last few years and ask, what did you invest in and how is
it going, Im here at a particularly nice time. Ive been here the last couple of years, when it
was a tougher story to talk about investment and return. Its a little easier this year.
Our client
business, we have about 20% I adjusted everything for tech guarantees 20% growth,
driven by the investments weve made in Windows Vista. Our business division is up around 20%,
driven by the investments we made in not only Office 2007, but in new products SharePoint, our
unified communications and voice product line, the work were doing in Business Intelligence, the
investments weve made in CRM and ERP through our Dynamics product have all been important.
Our Server and Tools Business, up around 16%, very long-term investments. When we first launched
our .NET programming framework, which is really the key for SQL Server, for Windows server, people
didnt give us much chance to really get it established in the enterprise. Today, if you look at
enterprise applications, well over 50% of applications are now built using .NET, but that really
happened over the course of five, six, seven years, and it has helped to really propel our success
in Server and Tools.
Our Online Services Business was up 32%. Some of that comes from the acquisition of aQuantive. But
despite the fact that we have opportunity for even more success in Online Services, weve made
significant investments in portal and communications, and then, particularly over the last four
years, in our advertising platform and in search and I think we see some payback on that.
Our Entertainment and Devices Business frankly gets dominated financially, or has been dominated
financially, by what goes on with Xbox. Weve had our fits and starts; theres no question about
that. And Im not pleased about the write-off that we had to take at the end of last financial
year. But I think we do have the spin wheel really working well on Xbox. Our Windows Mobile and TV
businesses, which weve been investing in for almost 10 years, are growing nicely. We sold almost
twice as many Windows Mobile phones this Christmas season as we did the Christmas season before, so
again very good progress.
Two others Ill just touch on that have been areas of big investment that I want to highlight in
terms of their return emerging markets. Chris had a chance to talk about this on the conference
call. The thing most people dont realize is weve been really scaling up our headcount and
expenses in these countries. I think we have offices now in almost 30 cities, for example, across
Russia.
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Financial.
F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
When our team first proposed this, I have to say even it tested the limits of my view of patience,
because salespeople I think of as paying back a little bit more quickly than R&D. And yet we have
found that if you go into a decent-sized city in some of these larger countries, it really helps as
a presence to fight piracy and do a lot of other things in ways that are quite surprising.
The last area Ill highlight without specific numbers, because they dont pop off the financials,
is the investment weve really made in enterprise selling and enterprise agreements. We have put in
product specialists. We have extended our account coverage to reach smaller enterprises with our
own direct people. We have morphed our development model in a way that has required investment
around security and Trustworthy Computing. All of that, I think, has paid off quite nicely.
The theme here merely is, if you want to grow, you have to invest. Some of the investments weve
talked about in the past are now coming to fruition, and I want to give a little bit of context on
some of the future investments.
Before I do that, its a good time to just ring a bell on a couple of things that we have been
investing in and doing. Windows Vista SP-1 and Windows Server 2008 both products have released
to our manufacturing process today, which is good news. Windows Vista Service Pack 1 is something
certainly all of our customers, particularly in the business side, have been waiting for.
Enterprise customers typically get a new release of Windows, they play with it, they experiment
with it, they test it. Many of them will say, Im going to wait until the first Service Pack. We
can now ring the first Service Pack bell. And certainly, we are able to be smarter about this
Service Pack than any other Service Pack weve ever done for Windows Vista. The amount of data that
we get back from the Windows Vista in the field, as people are using the product we have
instrumented versions, we have people reporting crashes and bugs and feedback. You see some of
those notes and messages as you use the product. All of that has really allowed us to be much more
tuned and, I think, much better in picking what to do for this first Service Pack.
We have deployments underway on Windows Vista. Continental Airlines is in the process of upgrading
about 10,000 systems; Bradesco in Brazil, 50,000 PCs to be upgraded in the first half of
calendar year 08. The Australian Customs Authority has upgraded 5500 PCs and are saving about $262
per PC per year. So we think were turning the corner in terms of enterprise adoption and
deployment, and Service Pack 1 should be a big boon.
Of course, on the consumer side of the market, weve had great uptake on Windows Vista, as Chris
had a chance to talk about on our call.
Windows Server 2008 I think people will be very impressed. Customers will be super-impressed by
the depth of functionality, security, management. The virtualization technology has really come to
the fore in Windows Server 2008. Its a question Ive been asked a lot about from investors. I
think really it will be a major step forward in terms of helping us
build market share and key
workloads like edge security, like Web servers, et cetera. But it also will be just a very strong
continued drive on the basic momentum we have with Windows Server 2008.
Let me now transition, then, to past investment and talk about future investment. At this meeting
last year, I kind of introduced this framework in terms of how we think about the growth
opportunities in our business. In order of size, size being size of gross margin dollars that we
see over the next three years or so, these are a list of the eight biggest opportunities we see
from a gross margin dollar prospective.
Last year, I talked about seven, and then I had a bunch more that I called nascent and other. I
lumped them together to keep life simple this year. But each of these opportunities, if we do our
job right, has the potential to deliver $750 million or more of incremental gross margin dollars
over the course of the next three years. Windows, through our gross margin, sorry contribution
margin dollars over the course of the next three years.
People say, is it really true that Windows on new PCs is your biggest growth opportunity? And in a
percent case, thats not the case. In an absolute dollar case, it is still true that a big business
thats growing at a good rate is a great business. As we continue
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© 2008 Thomson Financial. Republished with permission. No part of this publication may be
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Financial.
F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
to see PC growth, I know one of
the questions Ill get asked last year, Steve, you told us to take down our forecasts on
Windows. And why was that? You guys are beating them.
Whats happening, what happened over the last year was the PC market just grew faster than anybody
anticipated, and particularly in emerging markets. The truth is we dont grow our revenue per PC as
fast as the PC market, by and large. We did a little bit better this year because we made progress
against piracy, but this growth in emerging markets puts a little pressure for us in terms of a
revenue per PC, if you will. But the absolute growth in the PC market has been stunning over the
course of the last year. While it may let up some theres economic conditions; theres
everything else I think we can continue to see incredible PC growth, particularly in emerging
markets, but even, to some degree, in developed markets.
Corporate desktop value this is the notion, particularly inside larger accounts, of actually
delivering more value to every desktop. That has been a source of great growth, and with the Office
2007 product line, were kind of early, but were now in the cycle of really driving additional
value per desktop.
Server units fantastic opportunity for us. We are selling and realizing more revenue per Windows
Server that we sell, in some cases. But a lot of the growth in the server market is in lower-end
servers scale-out, Web servers and big Web farms and small businesses. So net, the real
opportunity here for us is to add value, but really grow share and grow units with the growth in
the server market.
The past year, we took share in the server market. That is Windows Server units outgrew server
hardware. Presumably that came from Linux, although thats a little hard to see, because theres no
firm accounting that gets done on open-source software.
Office in small businesses and consumer this also relates to everything were trying to do with
our Dynamics and Live offerings big opportunity here. Weve had fantastic unit growth. Some of
that unit growth has come as a result of lower prices. But, net-net, this has been a fantastic
growth opportunity for us online advertising, Xbox, software and service attach, Windows Mobile,
and then theres a number of other nascent things that Ill have a chance to talk about briefly.
Now, to realize the growth that we see in all of these opportunities is going to, again, require
investment. Part of the context we want to give you at this meeting is to help you understand that
we have more investment coming. Chris will give some financial characterization of that. I want to
give some strategic characterization of the investments were going to make.
In the first opportunity, Windows, we have to continue to invest in R&D and in marketing. We have
work we need to do on new version innovation. Were very hard at work on the next version, which we
wont talk about, but Im enthused about what were doing. And were going to have to invest more
than we ever have before in consumer excitement.
At this meeting last year, I think somebody asked me, why dont you run an anti-Apple ad campaign?
And I talked about why I thought that was a bad idea. Im not sure were going to run the campaign
that the questioner asked me about last year, but were going to be doing more to market Windows,
and that is going to require financial investment.
Corporate desktop value we have more we need to do in terms of sales force investment, and were
still building out enterprise capabilities in desktop value. Our recently announced proposal to buy
FAST in Norway is a good example of this, because it allows us to extend the capability that we
have, and, at least for some set of users, drive bigger revenue per desktop.
Server units I talked about some of the things that we have coming. But we have even more
investment we need to make. Our strategy will be to democratize virtualization. You can say, why do
you have that on an investment slide? I think you can read that as saying our prices are going to
be lower than other peoples prices. Thats kind of a code word, democratize. And therefore, as you
think about the opportunity for us in this case, in a sense, relative to what you might see in the
market, it will look like an investment. We do have a set of investments we have to make in sales
and marketing and technology to continue to drive new workloads. Today, were still largely not
present, particularly in some of the security workloads.
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© 2008 Thomson Financial. Republished with permission. No part of this publication may be
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Financial.
F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
We have Office Live really coming to market. Weve announced our Office Live workspaces. Were
launching our Dynamics CRM Live product, and there will be a set of investments that are required
in technology, sales and marketing, to drive those. Online advertising, we will talk about.
Xbox attach we have two big themes in Xbox. Number one, we have to drive more success outside of
the countries where we have been successful. Weve been successful in Northern Europe, the United
States, Australia. We have been somewhat successful, but less so, in Continental Europe and Japan.
That will take investment. But were also trying to drive Xbox to appeal to a broader audience
than, lets say, classic gamers. And thats going to require sales and marketing investment as
well.
And last, but certainly not least, is Windows Mobile. We have an opportunity to not only continue
to drive the Windows Mobile platform, but also our own application offerings on top of Windows
Mobile. Youll see us start to announce those and bring those to market in the next 12 months, and
the level of marketing engagement around our applications, as well as the core Windows Mobile
platform, will just continue to scale up. Weve seen fantastic success that we will build on.
In some of the other categories and more nascent categories, we continue to invest, particularly in
health care. We bought a company in Thailand earlier this year that has some phenomenal technology
in terms of patient management from the doctors perspective that joins the acquisition that we did
about 18 months ago of Azyxxi still very nascent, but were very excited about whats going on
in health care.
In the area of Zune, we dont have quite the contribution margin possibilities in the next three
years, but we continue to invest with tenacity to make sure that we have a real play and footprint
in music and entertainment. When you think about Zune, you have to think about the Zune player, but
you also have to think about the entertainment service that goes around it. The entertainment service is a
persistent asset, not only for the player, but also to the PC, to the mobile phone, to a variety of
other places.
We launched our Surface technology this year, and we told everybody, because we were trying to be
right-minded, good-thinking, shareholder-value-conscious people, we talked about how we were really
only going to bring it to market for commercial customers, so that folks like casinos could put it
in as a high-end entertainment device in their organizations.
Weve had more pushback to get a consumer version of the Surface in market than you can shake a
stick at, and we will follow our noses in terms of customer interest and make a set of investments
to try to take some steps towards making Surface a consumer product and also scaling up the
industrial designs.
We have more we need to do in salesforce, particularly in emerging markets. That will be a big deal
for us. And a lot of the things that we have been investing in, in terms of cloud platform, which
themselves have no direct business model, but they come to market as servers, as desktops, et
cetera it will require reasonably significant investments to start commercializing that cloud
platform.
I do need to give a little bit more explanation on that. Normally, when I talk about the cloud or
software plus services, the first thing employees or shareholders do is think about online
advertising and think about the portal and search. And thats all very important, but when we talk
about the transformation of our business to a world of software plus services, were talking about
everything we do transforming over the next several years to a world of software plus services.
Whats the future of Windows? Whats the future of corporate desktop value? Each and every one of
these businesses, on top of a consistent cloud platform, transitions to have additional revenue and
profit opportunities based upon this transformation to the cloud.
Some of you say to me, no, no, no. Isnt this all cannibalization? Well, some of it is probably
cannibalization. If somebody is going to cannibalize us, better that it be ourselves. And some of
it a lot of it, I think, is net new opportunity to add value to our customers, therefore net new
opportunity to generate real margin.
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F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
What I did was take the set of growth opportunities, and I want to make sure that you understand
that in every one of these cases, we are investing in some software plus services-based opportunity
to extend our value. With Windows, we are investing in Windows Live, which adds advertising as a
new business model on top of the Windows model. Over time, we will also add a version of Windows
Live that makes sense in the corporate market, and we will pick up additional subscription revenue.
In corporate desktop value, we introduced a line we call Microsoft Online. We literally now are
going to our largest corporate customers and saying, we will run your Exchange, your SharePoint,
your office communication services for you. I had the opportunity in September to go visit
Energizer, where we run all of this infrastructure. And we charge subscription-based fees as an
add-on to our software licensing fees. Ill tell you, the speed of deployment, the satisfaction of
the customer, the chance that we have to actually speed technology adoption and make more gross
margin, is impressive. We now have a pipeline of literally several hundred customers, large
customers, who are looking to move this direction with us.
Server units one of the toughest things for most companies, large or small, is actually to do
the deployment of their servers, their datacenters, the propagation of applications to those
servers. As we productize the cloud platform that I talked about, that becomes a subscription-based
service that we can offer small companies, startups, larger companies, and you will hear more about
this opportunity and this investment over the course of the next 12 months.
In SMB, I already talked some about Office Live and Dynamics Live, some subscription and
advertising opportunity. In online advertising, which really means portal and search, the
opportunity is clear. In Xbox, even my kids get it now. My 15-year-old came up. He stayed up,
unfortunately, until about 2.30 in the morning on Saturday; I was kind of giving him a hard time.
He said, well, Dad, its your fault. I said, what do you mean its my fault? He said, well, I was
on Xbox Live with my friends, and I lost track of time. He said, you know, you guys have something
that nobody else in the gaming business this is your secret weapon, Dad. Its Xbox Live.
And its really right. The ability to let people entertain themselves and have a great social
interaction is really compelling, but it also creates the new opportunity subscriptions,
transactions, also advertising.
Windows Mobile weve introduced Windows Live Mobile. Of course, theres opportunities in Zune
and Mediaroom and others.
Advertising is a key part of a number of the opportunities that I talked about, and the key
probably right now for us to continue to grow our advertising footprint starts with what were
doing with search and portal. We have made good progress in that business. It is growing. Since our
start four years ago, we now have what I would call a very credible search product, a very credible
advertising platform. Weve got good trajectory. This was, in some senses, the best time for us to
ask ourselves, what else can we do to make ourselves even more effective in this business?
And in a sense, the fact that were in a stronger position now than we were 12 months ago actually
makes this an easier acquisition to consider, even though, as I said in my letter to Jerry Yang, we
did have discussions a year ago with Yahoo! about combining the businesses. People say, what are
you doing here? Well, what were trying to do is take some momentum that we have and ask, how do we
really increase that momentum even further? What else can we do?
And the truth is, either on our own efforts or, hopefully, now that weve proposed this
acquisition, on our efforts merged together with Yahoo!, there are really four things we get a
chance to work on. First and foremost is to expand our R&D capacity. Were going to have to
innovate like crazy to get the position want to have in this market. Were going to have to
innovate in the ad platform. Were going to have to innovate in core search. Were going to have to
invest in new, emerging user experiences mobile, social media, video, entertainment experience.
We need the R&D capability to really compete with the market leader.
We continue to hire people and transfer people. But in fact, bringing together Microsoft and Yahoo!
will allow us, because of the fantastic engineering talent both at Yahoo! and at Microsoft, we get
more capacity more quickly. We get a chance to not have to think so much about how do we not use
the capacity we have, but how do we deploy this incredible team to make sure that were doing
everything and more that the market leader might be doing?
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Financial.
F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
Operational efficiencies if you take a look at it, theres a lot of opportunity for operational
efficiencies, right people, right jobs, as we and Yahoo! come together.
Scale economics this is a scale game, whether its the scale of investment in capital expense
turns out that if you want to index 20, 30, 40 billion documents on the Internet,
it doesnt matter whether you get one user coming to search with you or 1 billion users or 2
billion users coming to search with you, its the same fixed cost investment to index the Web
either way. So scale is an important game in terms of the capital expense investments.
Scale is also important in terms of the actual advertising marketplace, because at least so-called
search ads are sold through an auction bid mechanism. As any classic auction economist can tell
you, you have an auction marketplace, having greater depth of both buyers and sellers is going to
lead to greater price realization. So for us to get the kind of price realization that we want to
compete in the market, having scale really does help.
So we see four big opportunities for us as a company. And in some senses, the synergies that we see
in the Yahoo! acquisition tie nicely, with the exception of operational efficiencies, into things
that we were doing and had to do without Yahoo! as part of Microsoft. So were pleased to be able
to make the bid that we did on Friday. Chris will have a chance to talk a little bit more about the
details of that bid, but we think its a generous one, and we trust the Yahoo! Board and the Yahoo!
shareholders will join with us quickly in deciding to move down an integrated path.
So let me turn things over to Chris, who will talk a little bit about the transaction and then a
little bit about what the next year looks like for Microsoft overall.
Chris Liddell - Microsoft Corporation CFO
As Steve says, Im just going to give you a few headline thoughts on the acquisition, and also the
shape of next year. You will recall the original purpose of the meeting here was to start to bridge
the financial guidance we give you in April with a mid-year review of how were seeing the year
shape up and how were starting to make some decisions around investment and the areas that were
looking at.
But if I start with the Yahoo! acquisition, again, the benefit of announcing on Friday morning was
that we gave you a day to digest and think about it. Were obviously very happy to take questions
after the formal presentation about it.
In terms of some of the headline numbers, youve seen these, Im sure, but $44.6 billion at the
offer price of $31 a share. Probably the biggest question I got during the course of Friday is, why
$31? And I guess regardless of the price we put up, I would have had the same question.
But what we wanted to do was strike a balance between something we believe was clearly attractive
to Yahoo! shareholders if you look at the premium that were paying, it is clearly attractive
and to make it as easy as possible for them to accept the offer. We also wanted to make it as
competitive as possible relative to the other alternatives that we believe that the company has.
And again, we think its an extremely competitive offer. But thirdly, and most importantly from our
shareholders point of view, we wanted something that we felt gave us the opportunity to add
shareholder value over time.
Now, the nature of acquisitions is that the selling shareholders get the premium at the front. The
acquiring shareholders have to demonstrate the value over time. But if you think of the areas that
Steve talked about, we believe there is the capability over multiple years to generate shareholder
value for Microsoft in the areas that were talking about.
In terms of shorter-term criteria that you will be looking at, we did talk on the call on Friday
and reiterate today we think theres $1 billion of synergies. We think that we can access those
over the first one to two years of the acquisition and that it would be
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Financial.
F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
EPS either breakeven or better, depending on how quickly we can realize those, synergies within the
second full fiscal year after the closing. Now, that excludes a lot of the purchase accounting and
one-off costs.
So we think it has good economics from a short-term point of view, good long-term economics from a
shareholder value perspective, and is attractive from the selling shareholders point of view, in
particular relative to their alternatives.
Looking more broadly in terms of the Company overall and the outlook for fiscal 09, again, this is
not an opportunity to give you formal guidance as such we will do that in April but just
simply to tell you how we see the shape of the year shaping up.
Now, the first thing to think about is, theres really three different dynamics in the Company.
Theres whats happening on our revenue side, whats happening on our cost of goods sold side, and
whats happening on our operating cost side. They operate in slightly different ways, mainly
because a lot of the operating costs that we implement in the year that were talk about generate
revenue in future years. As Steve talked about, the fact that we have had such phenomenally good
revenue generation this year really is a reflection of operating costs that we incurred one, two,
three years ago as opposed to the year concerned.
If I break them down in order, revenue this year probably more than most, were driven more
around whats happening in the overall economy than what were delivering in terms of our own
right. The first thing to note is that, when you invest in Microsoft, you really are investing in a
global company. I referred to this a week or so ago on the quarterly call. When you look at the
makeup of our revenue now, 38%, just under 40%, comes from the U.S. Therefore, by definition, more
than 60% comes from outside the U.S. in this case, as Ive shown, 48% from mature markets and
14% from emerging markets.
Now, the growth rates we saw in the first half were phenomenal 15% in the U.S., over 20% in the
mature markets outside of the U.S., and almost 30% from emerging markets. And again, as you saw on
the call, we guided to 14% to 16% for the second half. So whilst theres a lot of concern, clearly,
here in the U.S. about economic slowdown, from our business point of view, we still see the
ability in the second half of this year to generate 14% to 16% revenue growth, even in a difficult
time.
As we look forward to next year, we clearly are driven around GDP forecasts overall. So for the
world, even though people see a slowdown, potentially, in the U.S., most people are looking for
global GDP growth of 4% to 5%. We still see the overall environment as generally healthy. We also
believe that the IT market will outgrow global GDP. I think the software market is going to outgrow
general IT spending. And we think we have the ability to outgrow software spending.
So if you start with a healthy base of 4% to 5% and believe that we can progressively outgrow
those, at this stage, for our internal planning, as we start to go into a final budgeting, we still
believe that we can grow revenue in double digits for the fiscal 09 year.
In terms of cost of goods sold, the only dynamic thats changing here and Im trying to pick
themes as you think about building out your model the only dynamic thats changing from what
youve seen in the past is the increasing spend that were having, in particular, in building out
our services infrastructure. Ive talked on previous calls about the amounts that were putting
into CapEx. Clearly, that CapEx starts to come through in terms of depreciation. But again, its an
investment in the future and an investment in the services strategy that Steve has talked about.
Last but not least, operating costs the operating cost areas will very much go into the buckets
that Steve talked about not only last year and the year before, but just in the last few minutes as
well. Im not going to reiterate those, but clearly, we will be making decisions over the next
three months. Those decisions will be influenced, not surprisingly, by what happens with the Yahoo!
acquisition. So if that was to be part of the Company, then clearly we need to look at operating
costs on a collective basis.
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Financial.
F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
But if I exclude that for the time being, and just look at the Company as it stands, we will be
looking at operating cost increases in the same areas this year as we have in the last couple of
years. And at this stage, whilst its relatively early in our planning cycle, were looking at
operating cost increases probably broadly in line with revenue growth.
Thats the indication, but there are still some reasonably strong decisions that we need to make,
and clearly, if the Yahoo! acquisition is to happen, that will be something that we would need to
overlay into our thinking as well.
So that gives you a little bit of a background of the thinking about the Yahoo! acquisition and a
little bit of the thinking about how were thinking about fiscal year 09 as it shapes up. As
always, we will give you formal guidance in a couple of months, in April.
Colleen Healy - Microsoft Corporation Head of IR
So with that, we will open it up to questions. We do have microphones working their way around from
the IR team.
QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS
Unidentified Audience Member
Steve and Chris, a question on the operating expense side. So, pre the Yahoo! announcement, we had
pretty substantial build-it-yourself-type operating expenses included as we think about the OSB
build. Now, with the Yahoo! acquisition, youre moving to more of a buy decision. Im assuming its
a measure of both.
But how should we think about the expenses, in effect, we have already promised looking forward? Do
you see a way to effectively come in a little bit below what we had originally put in those models?
Or is it now youre going to go fully at both, the build and buy?
Steve Ballmer - Microsoft Corporation CEO
Well, let me talk conceptually. If Chris wants to actually be numeric, thats up to him.
Conceptually, what weve said is we want to take we have a plan, and our plan is to invest for
success. Ive gotten some pushback from shareholders on our willingness to invest, that maybe its
a little stronger than some of yours, but it is; its there. I make it clear. What weve said is,
if we conclude the transaction, which we hope which we trust we will do with the $31 bid, you
put the two things together, you have about $1 billion-plus, weve talked about, of synergies.
Perhaps, in detailed discussions with Yahoo! on either the revenue or the expense side, we will see
more than that. But I think thats the right lens in which to model it.
So when we talk about our basic plan for the Company of operating expense growth in line with
revenue, that presupposes a fairly significant investment in operating expense in the online
services area, and as Chris said, certainly in the CapEx area. And in COGS, youll see that
investment shine through. When we combine with Yahoo!, then we have the opportunity to reduce
costs, increase revenue. But Ive tried to make it very clear that the number one thing were
trying to do is increase scale and increase capacity to give
ourselves a better chance to be more successful more quickly. Its not primarily about scaling
down; its primarily about scaling up.
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© 2008 Thomson Financial. Republished with permission. No part of this publication may be
reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Thomson
Financial.
F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
Chris Liddell - Microsoft Corporation CFO
If I just add some color to it, firstly, as we see it, we would look to complete the acquisition by
the end of this calendar year. By definition, lets say thats December 31, just to make life easy.
Therefore, thats going to be halfway through our fiscal year. So fiscal year 09 is going to be an
unusual one in terms of youre going to have half a year with and half a year without.
If you go forward from there and then say fiscal year 10, which would be the first fiscal year, it
would be there is definitely some opportunity for cost-saving, but its way too early to think
about whether, when we collectivize our CapEx, we would manifest that saving by spending less or
spend the same amount collectively, but look to actually get more value from it. Thats very much
the planning that wed want to do, collectively with the Yahoo! management, assuming that we
embrace it over the next few months.
Unidentified Audience Member
(Inaudible question microphone inaccessible)
Chris Liddell - Microsoft Corporation CFO
The EPS number I was talking about was for the whole Company.
Steve Ballmer - Microsoft Corporation CEO
Right.
Chris Liddell - Microsoft Corporation CFO
Breakeven or better
Steve Ballmer - Microsoft Corporation CEO
Not breakeven in the division. He didnt say breakeven in the division. Thats different. This is
an investment-mode opportunity for us, theres no question. With the acquisition or without, we
need to make sure were investing for success.
Unidentified Audience Member
Steve, Im wondering, what are your alternatives if youre not successful in the bid for Yahoo!?
How does that change the amount of investments youre going to have to commit to this business to
still get to your goal? I believe Kevin Johnson had said have 40% of the Internet advertising
market. How do you get there without acquiring Yahoo!?
Steve Ballmer - Microsoft Corporation CEO
We have a robust plan that you get to see a year at a time, I guess, every April. We have a robust
plan to continue to invest in our online services area, in Internet advertising, in search and the
portal, et cetera, around many of the properties that I talked about. While we would expect to buy
Yahoo! at this stage with the offer that weve made, we think thats certainly in our best interest
and in Yahoo!s shareholders best interest. Make no mistake about it, were investing for success.
We think we have a chance to get farther sooner through the acquisition of Yahoo!, so we are very
excited about it. But we are on a path we were on a path and we will stay on that path
regardless.
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reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Thomson
Financial.
F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
Unidentified Audience Member
It seems like youve got a premium built into this deal to get it done quickly, and it seems like
that theres some value in the timing of this transaction and moving the OSB business and the rest
of your online efforts forward. Can you comment on the importance of timing here and particularly
in the light of potential
regulatory issues? If those start to slow things down here, can you talk about what you see
happening on the regulatory side and the impact on the value of the transaction for you if things
get muddied up?
Chris Liddell - Microsoft Corporation CFO
Yes. As I see it, part of the thinking in striking the price was to make it as attractive as
possible, and speed was one of the issues about that. But we think its in our interest, we think
its in Yahoo!s interest to resolve their future as quickly as possible. Clearly, from an employee
point of view, certainty, I think, is a relatively good thing. So moving into the regulatory phase
as quickly as we possibly can, I believe, is in the interest of both parties. Certainly, our
thinking in striking what we consider to be an attractive price was to make it as attractive as
possible to move quickly.
Steve Ballmer - Microsoft Corporation CEO
From a regulatory perspective, I would say we think the combination of Microsoft and Yahoo!
actually makes a more competitive marketplace by establishing a strong number two competitor. In
any alternative scenario, actually, it doesnt seem to enhance competition. Certainly, that would
be the message well communicate to the regulators. Google has clearly got a dominant position;
they have about 75% of paid search worldwide. We think this enhances competition. Anything else
would be less good from that perspective.
Unidentified Audience Member
(Inaudible question microphone inaccessible)
Steve Ballmer - Microsoft Corporation CEO
I dont think, actually, the combination looks very high in any of these regards. We have a lot of
mail users, and so does Yahoo!. But if you put them all together, you probably dont have 20% of
consumer e-mail on the Internet in the United States, which would be the country where theres the
greatest overlap. In Europe, Yahoo! has less presence. Weve got more presence. In Asia, Yahoo! has
got more presence; weve got less presence. But even in the United States, just think about it sort
of personally, if you look at all the personal e-mail you get and add up the Hotmails and the
Yahoo!s and the Comcasts and put them all together, and I think youd still wind up saying, yes,
those guys have a big footprint, but its not a high percentage of all the personal e-mail people
send.
Colleen Healy - Microsoft Corporation Head of IR
Thanks, Charlie. We are going to capture this question on mike so the webcast also
Unidentified Audience Member
My question is, would you consider offering cash instead of the stock and cash offer? It seems
that, obviously, the stock was being pushed down by the arbitrage activity. I just wanted to
understand, given the Company has just started to do well, why offer stock at this time?
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© 2008 Thomson Financial. Republished with permission. No part of this publication may be
reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Thomson
Financial.
F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
Chris Liddell - Microsoft Corporation CFO
We think it was a good blend. 50-50 we think is probably about the right balance. If you look at
the cash component, rather than focus on the stock component, thats going to be over $20 billion
worth of cash. We could fund most of that through our cash holdings, but its likely were actually
going to borrow the first time. So it will be a mixture of the cash that we have on hand plus debt.
We think, relative to our first entree into the capital markets, thats probably going to be a
capital raising of about the right amount. So we think, for all sorts of reasons, both the
attractiveness to the offer itself and also the financing plan, 50-50 is about the right mix.
Steve Ballmer - Microsoft Corporation CEO
Ive said before, Ill say again the specifics Chris has commented on, but theres enough
technological risk in this business that we dont have a strong appetite for financial risk.
Probably we have less appetite for financial risk than some shareholders would like. We have
certainly done a lot to return cash to shareholders. But were going to try to take what I would
call less financial risk in order to feel more comfortable with the technology risks and market
risks.
Chris Liddell - Microsoft Corporation CFO
And the amount that were offering is less than what we bought back in the previous year. So,
again, you have to keep it in the context of the size of Microsoft.
Unidentified Audience Member
Chris, you mentioned operating costs are going to be up broadly in line with revenue growth, which
is sort of what weve seen, on average, from the slide you put up earlier. Has Microsoft and
this is a bigger question, I guess has Microsoft attained the mass where you pretty much have to
invest for growth that sort of offsets the leverage you get in your more established markets?
Longer term, is that the way we should be looking at it? You certainly are continuing to grow at a
certain rate, so thats still attractive. But its one of the things in a software model, you
usually see a certain amount of leverage as you go through time. You guys are ahead of the curve
and just about everybody. So maybe have you attained that size? And then secondly, have you bought
any shares of Yahoo! yet, can you tell us that, in the open market?
Chris Liddell - Microsoft Corporation CFO
In terms of the investment and the maturity, whilst I talk on an aggregate level for Microsoft
and thats how people typically model us clearly, when you look at the Company, its made up of
some quite different businesses with quite different dynamics to it. So I think about our
traditional core businesses of client, MBD and server, and that dynamic that they have in them is
quite different from the online business, where we are clearly growing, and the consumer business,
which has just become profitable for the first time.
So the investment decisions we make really are really very different in those three different
business areas, and I tend to aggregate them and then talk about the amalgam. So I think the
dynamics are quite different. What were thinking about when we make the investment decisions is
not so much what we need in order to fund the growth in the next year or two, but the opportunities
that come there afterwards.
Probably the other thing thats changing relative to where we were a couple of years ago is the
impact of acquisitions. So clearly, Yahoo! is a [better side]. But even outside of Yahoo!, you have
seen us being much more acquisitive in the last couple of years, and the impacts of those
acquisitions, both the operating costs and people costs that we get from them and also some of the
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Financial.
F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
accounting charges associated with them, are becoming a bigger factor when we think about operating
expense going forward as well.
Its a lot answer to a relatively short question, but youll see different dynamics of operating
expense increase in the different types of the businesses, when we start to give you more judgment
going forward.
Colleen Healy - Microsoft Corporation Head of IR
I doubt youre going to answer, but he had the have you bought Yahoo! shares in the market?
Chris Liddell - Microsoft Corporation CFO
No comment.
Unidentified Audience Member
(Inaudible question microphone inaccessible)
Unidentified Audience Member
A similar question on the leverage side. This year youve seen, as your revenues have performed,
youve managed costs effectively. Youve seen a nice degree of leverage the first couple of
quarters. Just given your remarks, should we expect as you go out a couple years that same dynamic
still holds true, that youre going to manage to a certain absolute cost level, and should you be
surprised on the revenue upside, and most of that should flow through to the bottom line?
Im just trying to get a sense, are you going to be more opportunistic in terms of investments when
you see upside on revenue? And after what weve seeing the first couple of quarters, Id say you
also surprised on an operating margin standpoint. If you get the same degree of surprise in
revenue, say, next year or the year after, would we still should we still expect to see more of
that flow through to the bottom line?
Chris Liddell - Microsoft Corporation CFO
The Company has done a really good job in the last two or three years of coming in in line with
operating expense. I think youve seen that this year, youve seen it last year, very well. So I
take my hat off to the business groups, and [Kim Turner] in the field have done a really nice job
in terms of getting their operating cost structures and disciplines in place. So I feel very good
about that.
Now, clearly, we give the field some opportunity to invest money if they see a sale. So theres
some expense that we allow them to increase if they think they are going to generate additional
revenue. But other than that, to a large extent, additional revenue does fall through. We make our
investment decisions independently of the revenue growth. So just because were exceeding in a
particular year with revenue growth does not mean that were going to spend that money. Thats a
different and independent decision.
Having said that, if we see an acquisition halfway through the year like a FAST that we like and
believe that we should do, we will do that as well. Were not going to wait; thats not going to be
dependent on how were performing from a revenue perspective.
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Financial.
F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
But if you put that aside, and look at the fact and again, some of our revenue carries higher
gross margin than others, so an Xbox sale doesnt carry the same margin contribution as another
Windows license. But if you take all those factors aside, broadly speaking, revenue outperformance
should fall from a gross margin outperformance should fall through.
Steve Ballmer - Microsoft Corporation CEO
Just to remind you, theres really, in our business, only three things people, marketing and
COGS. COGS are more complicated, but people can only be added at a certain rate. So if, oh, revenue
is high, its not like theres a huge additional capacity to go just flip a switch and hire more
people. On-boarding people, hiring people we get people through acquisitions. Thats the only
step function that you get on people.
Marketing yes, you can always you can scale up and down marketing, but I would say the time
to scale up marketing is when revenue is not good. When revenue is good, youve got to ask yourself
theres got to be good strategic reasons to scale up marketing.
Unidentified Audience Member
Im wondering if you could clarify your comment earlier to Sarahs question, when you said it
should be breakeven or better in the second fiscal year. Then, Steve, you seemed to go out of your
way to emphasize that it wouldnt necessarily be profitable. And I dont know how you can be
breakeven if its not profitable. I must have misunderstood something there.
Steve Ballmer - Microsoft Corporation CEO
Chris made a concrete statement, and I think thats the concrete statement. We didnt talk about
what our OSB P&L looks like in the future. We talked about how much better our business is, based
upon buying Yahoo!. Thats at least Im not the expert in the room on accretive/dilutive, blah
blah blah, but I think what it means is, you are enough better to pay off, somehow, the cost of
acquisition. Right? Which is different from any specific comment. If you have a business in which
you are going to invest a lot of money and then
you add something else, you add its profits and you add its synergies. So its whatever our plan
was for OSB plus whatever Yahoo! has plus whatever synergies we get, and then all of that, you mix
it together, and thats what the OSB P&L looks like.
So I think its very important to just be clear. Chris statement is 100% our plan. That is to be
accretive, without the noncash-type charges, within the second full year of operation. That is
different than any specific comment as to what the segment P&L would look like. I just wanted to
try to make sure we were straight on that.
Unidentified Audience Member
My question is about the cloud architecture in the longer term, a bit of a longer-term question.
When youre building out these datacenters, I know that its a fairly aggressive buildout do you
see any proprietary efficiencies or operating cost efficiencies that you will be able to realize,
due to new designs that you are rolling out?
Steve Ballmer - Microsoft Corporation CEO
We have a lot of work that were doing to drive efficiency in the datacenters. I would say our
basic view is to not make many of them proprietary. Since we are a platform company, most of the
things we figure out how to do, we want to productize for our customers, either by productizing
with hardware vendors and in Windows Server or by productizing in our cloud platform, which we can
make available to other software vendors. So theres innovation, but we want to make sure that
thats an innovation we offer to our customer.
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Financial.
F I N A L T R A N S C R I P T
Feb. 04. 2008 / 8:00AM, MSFT Microsoft Strategic Update
So as we look at the next-generation designs, were out working now on next-generation designs with
guys like HP and Dell and Ferrari and [Volvo] and many, many other guys who are going
next-generation server designs to make sure server hardware, server software, the way those things
come together, the way they are packaged, the way they can be racked all of that should be not
only available to us, but of course thats a value proposition we can take to our other customers.
Colleen Healy - Microsoft Corporation Head of IR
Great. Thank you so much for all of you who joined on the Webcast and here in New York on this
Boxing Day of Super Bowls. If we didnt get to your question, please call my team, who is in the
office, and we will be delighted to help you. Thanks so much.
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