425
Filed by The Toronto-Dominion Bank
Pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act of 1933
and deemed filed pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Subject Company: Commerce Bancorp, Inc.
Commission File No.: 1-12069
This filing, which includes (i) a transcript of a conference call with investors held by TD Bank
Financial Group and Commerce Bancorp, Inc. on October 2, 2007 and (ii) materials used in the
conference call with investors held on October 2, 2007, contains forward-looking statements within
the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and comparable safe harbour
of applicable Canadian legislation, including, but not limited to, statements relating to
anticipated financial and operating results, the companies plans, objectives, expectations and
intentions, cost savings and other statements, including words such as anticipate, believe,
plan, estimate, expect, intend, will, should, may, and other similar expressions.
Such statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of our management and involve a
number of significant risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from the
results anticipated in these forward-looking statements. The following factors, among others,
could cause or contribute to such material differences: the ability to obtain the approval of the
transaction by Commerce Bancorp, Inc. stockholders; the ability to realize the expected synergies
resulting for the transaction in the amounts or in the timeframe anticipated; the ability to
integrate Commerce Bancorp, Inc.s businesses into those of TD Bank Financial Group in a timely and
cost-efficient manner; and the ability to obtain governmental approvals of the transaction or to
satisfy other conditions to the transaction on the proposed terms and timeframe. Additional
factors that could cause TD Bank Financial Groups and Commerce Bancorp, Inc.s results to differ
materially from those described in the forward-looking statements can be found in the 2006 Annual
Report on Form 40-F for The Toronto-Dominion Bank and the 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K of
Commerce Bancorp, Inc. filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and available at the
Securities and Exchange Commissions Internet site (http://www.sec.gov).
The proposed merger transaction involving The Toronto-Dominion Bank and Commerce Bancorp, Inc.
will be submitted to Commerce Bancorps shareholders for their consideration. Shareholders are
encouraged to read the proxy statement/prospectus regarding the proposed transaction when it
becomes available because it will contain important information. Shareholders will be able to
obtain a free copy of the proxy statement/prospectus, as well as other filings containing
information about The Toronto-Dominion Bank and Commerce Bancorp, Inc., without charge, at the
SECs Internet site (http://www.sec.gov). Copies of the proxy statement/prospectus and the filings
with the SEC that will be incorporated by reference in the proxy statement/prospectus can also be
obtained, when available, without charge, by directing a request to TD Bank Financial Group, 66
Wellington Street West, Toronto, ON M5K 1A2, Attention: Investor Relations, (416) 308-9030, or to
Commerce Bancorp, Inc., Shareholder Relations, 1701 Route 70 East Cherry Hill, NJ 08034-5400,
1-888-751-9000
The Toronto-Dominion Bank, Commerce Bancorp, Inc., their respective directors and executive
officers and other persons may be deemed to be participants in the solicitation of proxies in
respect of the proposed transaction. Information regarding The Toronto-Dominion Banks directors
and executive officers is available in its Annual Report on Form 40-F for the year ended October
31, 2006, which was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on December 11, 2006, and its
notice of annual meeting and proxy circular for its most recent annual meeting, which was filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 23, 2007. Information regarding Commerce
Bancorp, Inc.s directors and executive officers is available in Commerce Bancorp, Inc.s proxy
statement for its most recent annual meeting, which was filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission on April 13, 2007. Other information regarding the participants in the proxy
solicitation and a description of their direct and indirect interests, by security holdings or
otherwise, will be contained in the proxy statement/prospectus and other relevant materials to be
filed with the SEC when they become available.
THE
FOLLOWING IS A TRANSCRIPT OF A CONFERENCE CALL WITH INVESTORS HELD BY
TD BANK FINANCIAL GROUP AND COMMERCE BANCORP, INC. ON OCTOBER 2,
2007
TD BANK FINANCIAL GROUP
TD / COMMERCE BANCORP ANNOUNCEMENT
CONFERENCE CALL
TUESDAY, OCTOBER 2, 2007
DISCLAIMER
THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TRANSCRIPT IS A TEXTUAL REPRESENTATION OF THE TORONTO-DOMINION
BANKS (TD) TD / COMMERCE BANCORP ANNOUNCEMENT CONFERENCE CALL AND WHILE EFFORTS ARE MADE TO
PROVIDE AN ACCURATE TRANSCRIPTION, THERE MAY BE MATERIAL ERRORS, OMISSIONS, OR INACCURACIES IN THE
REPORTING OF THE SUBSTANCE OF THE CONFERENCE CALL. IN NO WAY DOES TD ASSUME ANY RESPONSIBILITY FOR
ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISIONS MADE BASED UPON THE INFORMATION PROVIDED ON TDS WEB SITE OR IN
THIS TRANSCRIPT. USERS ARE ADVISED TO REVIEW THE CONFERENCE CALL ITSELF AND TDS SEC FILINGS BEFORE
MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISIONS.
FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION
The information presented may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and comparable safe harbour of applicable Canadian
legislation, including, but not limited to, statements relating to anticipated financial and
operating results, the companies plans, objectives, expectations and intentions, cost savings and
other statements, including words such as anticipate, believe, plan, estimate, expect,
intend, will, should, may, and other similar expressions. Such statements are based upon
the current beliefs and expectations of our management and involve a number of significant risks
and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from the results anticipated in these
forward-looking statements. The following factors, among others, could cause or contribute to such
material differences: the ability to obtain the approval of the transaction by Commerce Bancorp,
Inc. stockholders; the ability to realize the expected synergies resulting for the transaction in
the amounts or in the timeframe anticipated; the ability to integrate Commerce Bancorp, Inc.s
businesses into those of TD Bank Financial Group in a timely and cost-efficient manner; and the
ability to obtain governmental approvals of the transaction or to satisfy other conditions to the
transaction on the proposed terms and timeframe. Additional factors that could cause TD Bank
Financial Groups and Commerce Bancorp, Inc.s results to differ materially from those described in
the forward-looking statements can be found in the 2006 Annual Report (www.TD.com) on Form 40-F for
The Toronto-Dominion Bank and the 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K of Commerce Bancorp, Inc. filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission and available at the Securities and Exchange
Commissions Internet site (http://www.sec.gov).
The proposed merger transaction involving The Toronto-Dominion Bank and Commerce Bancorp, Inc. will
be submitted to Commerce Bancorps shareholders for their
consideration. Shareholders are
encouraged to read the proxy statement/prospectus regarding the proposed transaction when it
becomes available because it will contain important information. Shareholders will be able to
obtain a free copy of the proxy statement/prospectus, as well as other filings containing
information about The Toronto-Dominion Bank and Commerce Bancorp, Inc., without charge, at the
SECs Internet site (http://www.sec.gov). Copies of the proxy statement/prospectus and the filings
with the SEC that will be incorporated by reference in the proxy statement/prospectus can also be
obtained, when available, without charge, by directing a request to TD Bank Financial Group, 66
Wellington Street West, Toronto, ON M5K 1A2, Attention: Investor Relations, (416) 308-9030, or to
Commerce Bancorp, Inc., Shareholder Relations, 1701 Route 70 East Cherry Hill, NJ 08034-5400,
1-888-751-9000.
The Toronto-Dominion Bank, Commerce Bancorp, Inc., their respective directors and executive
officers and other persons may be deemed to be participants in the solicitation of proxies in
respect of the proposed transaction. Information regarding The Toronto-Dominion Banks directors
and executive officers is available in its Annual Report on Form 40-F for the year ended October
31, 2006, which was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on December 11, 2006, and its
notice of annual meeting and proxy circular for its most recent annual meeting, which was filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 23, 2007. Information regarding Commerce
Bancorp, Inc.s directors and executive officers is available in Commerce Bancorp, Inc.s proxy
statement for its most recent annual meeting, which was filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission on April 13, 2007. Other information regarding the participants in the proxy
solicitation and a description of their direct and indirect interests, by security holdings or
otherwise, will be contained in the proxy statement/prospectus and other relevant materials to be
filed with the SEC when they become available.
1
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Ed Clark
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President & CEO, TD Bank Financial Group |
Colleen Johnston
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CFO, TD Bank Financial Group |
Bharat Masrani
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President & CEO, TD Banknorth |
Dennis DiFlorio
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Chairman, Commerce Bancorp, Inc. |
Bob Falese
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President & CEO, Commerce
Bancorp, Inc. |
Doug Pauls
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CFO, Commerce Bancorp, Inc. |
Tim Thompson
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VP Investor Relations, TD Bank Financial Group |
CONFERENCE CALL PARTICIPANTS
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André Hardy
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RBC Capital Markets Analyst |
Shannon Cowherd
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Citigroup Analyst |
Michael Goldberg
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Desjardins Securities Analyst |
Sumit Malhotra
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Merrill Lynch Analyst |
Mario Mendonca
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Genuity Capital Markets Analyst |
Brad Smith
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Blackmont Capital Analyst |
Ian de Verteuil
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BMO Nesbitt Burns Analyst |
Rob Sedran
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National Bank Financial Analyst |
Darko Mihelic
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CIBC World Market Analyst |
Jim Bantis
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Credit Suisse First Boston Analyst |
Gary Townsend
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FBR Analyst |
Rob Rutschow
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Deutsche Bank Analyst |
Mark Fitzgibbon
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Sandler ONeill Analyst |
Robert Patten
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Morgan Keegan Analyst |
Felice Gelman
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SuNOVA Capital Analyst |
Tim Thompson TD Bank Financial Group VP IR
Good morning and welcome to the TD Bank Financial Groups investor presentation discussing the
acquisition of Commerce Bancorp. My name is Tim Thompson and Im Vice President of Investor
Relations at TD. We will begin todays presentation with remarks from Ed Clark, the Banks CEO;
after which Colleen Johnston, the Banks CFO, will discuss the financial parameters of the
transaction. Bharat Masrani, President and CEO of TD Banknorth, will talk about our plans for our
U.S. retail banking franchise.
Joining us from Commerce is Dennis DiFlorio, Chairman; Bob Falese, President and CEO; and Doug
Pauls, CFO. At the end of the presentation we will entertain questions from prequalified analysts
and investors on the phones. We will try to keep our call to around an hour. Were asking those
participating in the question-and-answer portion of the call to ask one question at a time so that
everybody has an opportunity to contribute.
Please turn to page 2. We know that this presentation contains forward-looking statements and
actual results could differ materially from what is discussed. Certain material factors or
assumptions were applied in making these statements. For additional information we refer you to
todays press release as well as the SEC filings of TD and Commerce and TDs filings with
securities regulators in Canada.
2
Please also note that the subject of this presentation will be addressed in the prospectus/proxy
statement to be filed with the SEC. We urge you to read it when it becomes available as it will
contain important information. Information about the participants in the solicitation is contained
in TD Banks annual report and proxy circular filed with the SEC and securities regulators in
Canada and in Commerces proxy statement for its annual meeting filed with the SEC. Ed, over to
you.
Ed Clark TD Bank Financial Group President & CEO
Thanks, Tim. Well, Ive got to tell you this is an exciting day for TD Bank. To start, Id
like to go back to the genesis of the TD Banks U.S. retail strategy. As you know, were focused on
growth without going out the risk curve. Weve had clear success with our unique business model in
Canada, we know how to build a retail bank and weve been successfully generating a high return on
risk-weighted assets and strong cash flows. Weve been focused on increasing our overall share of
our earnings that are coming from the retail businesses.
Our success in Canada allows us to build out our platform in the United States through this
acquisition. As you know, we decided to look to the worlds largest market and find a quality
retail franchise; thats what led us to buy 51% of Banknorth, a deal we announced in August 2004.
Banknorth provided us a platform to export our retail expertise into the United States and we
learned a lot from Banknorth and a lot has happened since we made that initial step.
At our TD Banknorth investor day this past June, we told you how TD Banknorth was transforming
itself while pursuing an organic growth strategy that leverages our world-class Canadian retail
banking model. We also indicated that weve taken a pause on acquisitions. Then why are we here
today? Well, Ive been consistent in saying that we would look at acquisitions that were
strategically compelling and offered a good return for TDs shareholders. Commerce Bank is a
perfect fit the only bank of any size in North America with a model like TD Canada Trust.
Deals that are both strategically attractive and offer acceptable value are extremely hard to find.
In just one transaction, Commerce represents a singularly unique and compelling opportunity for our
shareholders. But an even bigger factor in our decision and this is terribly important was
that by buying an organic growth company were actually accelerating the transformation and organic
growth plans of TD Banknorth. We believe this acquisition is in fact following an organic growth
model.
Today we take a definitive step that makes us a leading North American powerhouse in financial
services. On slide 3 you can see that there are multiple strategic benefits to this deal. The
combination of TD Banknorth and Commerce delivers critical mass in
the United States with over 1,000
branches and $87 billion in deposits. That compares to TD Canada Trust with about the same number
of branches and $140 billion of retail deposits. The combined
company with 2,100 branches and almost
a quarter of one trillion Canadian dollars in deposits is the first North American platform with
critical mass in both the United States and Canada.
The addition of Commerce creates a truly impressive branch footprint. We will have great market
share in New Jersey and a growing presence in New York City, a capacity for de novo store growth in
Boston and growth platforms already established in Philadelphia, Washington D.C. and Florida. These
are great markets places where a low risk deposit driven franchise can continue to grow rapidly.
We have taken clear decisive action on a unique growth opportunity by acquiring a well-established
organic growth leader. Let me be clear, theres no opportunity where you can buy an organic growth
engine let alone one of this size and quality.
Look at slide 4. What are the qualities of the Commerce that make it such an attractive target?
Well, simply put, it is the TD Canada Trust of the United States. In short, we believe that
Commerce can do for TDs U.S. growth strategy what Canada Trusts acquisition did for TD in Canada.
Quite simply we have found a U.S. financial institution which has consistently picked the right
markets and the right locations and then built the best branches.
3
More important, as many of you know, Commerce has a wow culture which delivers a fantastic customer
and employee experience. There is no one else of any size like them. Really theyre more than just
bankers; they are retailers who get banking. As part of what Commerce employees call their wow
experience, they offer customer services like automatic coin rolling, a childrens educational
website and even biscuits for dogs. All of that seven days a week, even on the 4th of July. Aint
that great?
Commerce is a true industry leader in retailing. Much like TD Canada Trust, they bring their
customers the things people value most service and convenience. Commerce is Americas most
convenient bank. And just like TD Canada Trust, for two years running Commerce has received
recognition from J.D. Power for being number one in customer satisfaction scores in all of the
United States, an unbelievable accomplishment.
Again, like TD Canada Trust, Commerce is brand conscious. They worry about all the things that
ensure their customers have a consistent experience wherever and whenever they touch the company.
This focus builds brand value. Commerce benefits from a deep bench of management talent which has
brought the company to where it is today.
Most important, Commerce has a strong deposit gathering culture which has allowed the company to
distinguish itself as a premier deposit gathering franchise. Commerces low loan to deposit ratio
is an opportunity for us to grow the asset side of the business and leaves us well-positioned for
any changes in economic conditions.
Please turn to slide 5. With this transaction we have the ability to harvest the best from TD, TD
Banknorth and Commerce. Expertise can be shared across platforms and there are plenty of
opportunities for future growth. Complementary skills and products include, from TD, a broad and
deep products suite, a variety of businesses that can add significant value to Commerce and
treasury and capital management expertise.
From Commerce, an experienced management team with U.S. de novo branching expertise, a deposit
growth platform and a wow customer experience culture. So TD Banknorth, an experienced management
team with a core competency in integration, an overall focus on efficiency and an asset gathering
capability. This is truly a win, win, win situation with where the whole is definitely greater than
the sum of the parts. Bharat Masrani will lead the combined team. We have strong teams at both
Commerce and TD Banknorth with plenty of things to get done. There will be roles for everyone as we
build an even better bank.
Please turn to Page 6. So where does the value come from? Commerces performance has been truly
phenomenal. The average U.S. banks have only $50 million to $70 million in deposits per branch,
whereas Commerce has over $100 million per store and they are growing faster, indeed at about three
times the industry average. The value in this transaction cannot be adequately accounted for using
a multiple of forward earnings estimates. The real value in this transaction is derived from
embedded high organic growth which exists within the structure of Commerces current branch
network.
Commerce has three sources of embedded growth. First, there are 271 mature stores that will
continue to grow like the market but faster because they use the Commerce model. Secondly, there
are 173 super growth branches and they are growing a lot faster than the market. These stores are
all bought and paid for and are holding down current earnings as the benefits are still to come.
The third growth is the new stores; this is a considerable engine for organic growth which can be
harnessed at the time of our choosing as we roll out new stores following the successful Commerce
model.
Our due diligence suggests that there is at least a further 100 sites in the pipeline that can be
opened over the next few years. What does this mean in dollars? Well, if you take the 173 super
growth stores and grow them to $100 million in deposits we will have $9 billion more in deposits
than theyre showing today. And if they have the average of $133 million, the same level as in the
mature branches reached, we will have $14 billion more. And 100 new stores means $10 billion more.
This is the value currently embedded in this business in addition to all the earnings that come
from these stores today.
4
Now all deals have some element of risk, but there are a number of reasons which make this a low
risk transaction. As I mentioned previously, only one-third of Commerces current deposit base
supports their loan book. The balance of their portfolio is held in assets that we can hedge, in
line with TDs current asset and liability management framework.
Today, Commerce announced the restructuring of their investment portfolio of $150 million after-tax
and we are very comfortable with the actions that they have taken. Well continue to watch markets
and see if changing conditions necessitate further action impacting our balance sheet or income
statement. Obviously were not going to get into details, but we are confident we can manage this
situation.
Commerce is currently working through a number of regulatory issues. These are very specific
related party issues and are being actively managed by Commerce. We are comfortable these issues
will not impact growth going forward. We have found a low-risk way to continue our U.S. banks that
will accelerate the transformation of TD Banknorth.
What does all this mean for TD Bank? Turn to page 8. We are the first North American bank. The
combination of both TD, TD Banknorth and Commerce creates a powerful franchise across many metrics.
With $312 billion in total deposits TD will be one of the five largest banks by deposits in North
America. Our North American distribution channel will be extensive
with 2,100 branches, the
seventh-largest in North America. Overall, TD with Commerce will be the seventh-largest bank in
North America by market cap.
There are few U.S. banks with well-developed wealth management channels. With Commerce, we are
bringing on board a wealthy, highly urbanized customer base, a great complement to TD Ameritrade.
With that Ill turn the call over to Colleen who will go through the financials.
Colleen Johnston TD Bank Financial Group CFO
Thanks, Ed. The transaction price of US$42, which represents a premium of 8% on Commerce
shares versus last weeks closing price, and 24% versus the closing price prior to the announcement
of Mr. Hills departure in June.
On page 9 we show the key terms for this deal. Each Commerce share will be exchanged for 0.4142
shares of TD plus US$10.50. The deal has a fixed exchange ratio with no collars and no walkaways.
In total the deal will be 75% stock and 25% cash. We expect restructuring charges of US$490 million
covering technology and human resources among other items. Cost synergies are expected to be US$310
million and are expected to be fully realized by 2009. At 13.5% the core deposit premium for this
deal is at the low-end for comparable transactions. Further detail is in the appendix.
Commerce has traditionally traded at a higher multiple than its peers because of its growth
strategy. The transaction has been done at a 22.5 times multiple which is high versus recent market
comparables as a result of the high embedded growth at Commerce. Commerce has always traded at a
premium multiple to its peers, about a 5 point premium in recent years. Our debt ratings have been
reaffirmed by the major rating agencies. We expect the transaction to close in March or April 2008
subject to regulatory and Commerce shareholder approval.
Turning to Page 10, we show our strong balance sheet and capital position now and assuming the
completion of this transaction. Our Tier I ratio will remain at very strong within a range of 8.75%
to 9%. We would expect this to be an even higher number on closing as we accumulate capital between
today and the close of the transaction.
Please turn to Page 11. Here we show our GAAP and adjusted earnings per share. On a GAAP basis we
expect dilution of $0.28 in 2008 and $0.22 in 2009. On an adjusted basis we expect dilution of
$0.10 in fiscal 2008 and no impact in 2009. All of this is modest given a transaction of this
magnitude and its transformational nature. For the purpose of our earnings per share calculation we
assume continued expansion via de novo branches. Any change in that strategy will favorably impact
near-term earnings.
5
Our return on invested capital will be 7% by 2009; the IRR of 15% assumes a terminal multiple of 13
times. TD Banknorth and Commerce together further our organic growth strategy. The transaction
moves us forward more quickly on both earnings growth and other financial measures.
Please turn to Page 12. We now have a stronger engine to deliver earnings growth. Lets look at the
impact on our U.S. P&C banking segment. Start with the TD Banknorth expected contribution of C$358
million for fiscal 2007. Obviously TD Banknorth is doing even better than we expected, letting us
reiterate the C$123 million we said during our TD Banknorth investor day, despite the strengthening
of the Canadian dollar. In 2008, with Commerce after closing in March or April of 2008, we expect
this segment to deliver over C$700 million in earnings, moving to C$1.2 billion in fiscal 2009.
So given our new earnings stream in U.S. P&C, how will earnings look on the total bank basis? TD
will now move to an ultra premium retail earnings mix about 85% retail, 15% wholesale with US
P&C making up between 15 to 20% of total bank earnings. Given our continued growth in all of our
retail businesses, we expect our retail weight to continue moving higher. Let me now turn the
presentation over to Bharat.
Bharat Masrani TD Banknorth President & CEO
Thank you, Colleen. This is truly an exciting time in the history of TD and Im incredibly
optimistic about our future. As Ed mentioned, this transaction turns TD into a North American
powerhouse with critical mass in our U.S. retail businesses. At TD Banknorth, my management team is
totally focused on accelerating our organic growth.
At our investor day in June we shared with you many of our initiatives to enhance the customer
experience, optimize our branch network and introduce new products, and we are making tremendous
progress on those initiatives. At the same time, Commerce is widely recognized as an organic growth
engine. Bringing the two companies together will allow us to accelerate our organic growth even
faster.
Interestingly Commerce is already doing many of these things we talked about at our investor day.
We talked about optimizing the network Commerce is second to none in their branch building
capabilities as well. We talked about a renewed focus on the customer experience Commerce
repeatedly wins awards for their legendary customer service. In fact, their customers arent just
customers, they are fans. And we talked about growth Commerce is relentlessly focused on growth
just like at TDs other businesses including TD Banknorth.
If you think about our branch network and footprint, its just a perfect fit. Take a look at this
map on slide 13. Whats most exciting is we will have many organic growth opportunities within our
new expanded footprint as well as other areas through Commerces beachhead in Florida, Washington
D.C. and Virginia. All of this highlights the unbelievable alignment between TD Banknorth and
Commerce and how complementary our two companies are, particularly under the TD umbrella.
Please turn to slide 14. Lets look at our footprint in more detail. With TD Banknorth and Commerce
coming together weve taken a leadership position in key states. We have a great position in New
England and a strong number three rank in New Jersey. We are the name to watch in New York. If you
look at U.S. MSAs, we have operations in five of the top 10 areas in the worlds largest banking
market. We have fantastic positioning here and we have a real opportunity to use our organic growth
skills to solidify and grow our position. To put in context, at 40 million people the population of
these five markets is bigger than the population of Canada.
Please turn to slide 15. As you know, at TD we consider ourselves to be great retailers and great
operators. And at TD Banknorth we are people who have become expert at ensuring mergers come
together seamlessly, having completed about two per year over the past 15 years. We completed
extensive and rigorous due diligence to ensure we understand Commerces business and how we could
work together going forward. We will embark on a 12- to 18-month integration that will maintain
organic growth at both companies to ensure we keep up our momentum and focus on growth.
6
In terms of our framework, initially we will run Commerce and TD Banknorth independently with
Dennis and Bob reporting to me; but over time we will look to integrate the management in the U.S.
so that we have one team, one strategy and one focus always on our customers. In Commerce and TD
Banknorth, we have two great brands in two different markets Commerce in the mid-Atlantic and TD
Banknorth in New England. At TD we understand the importance of brands, specifically the importance
of ensuring we have a consistent customer experience throughout our footprint. So were not going
to do anything rash.
The Commerce and TD Banknorth management teams will remain in place. We will look to integrate the
TD Banknorth branches in New Jersey, Philadelphia and Metro New York, what we refer to at TD
Banknorth as our Mid-Atlantic division, under the Commerce platform. With respect to cost
synergies, we will integrate the support functions and believe we can achieve significant savings.
As soon as its practical, we will put together an integration team consisting of people from TD,
TD Banknorth and Commerce. Our goal is to provide our front line with the support they need to grow
their business in the most efficient way possible.
And lastly, we will continue to execute on our organic growth plans, including New York City,
Boston and Florida. With that let me turn the presentation over to Dennis and Bob.
Dennis
DiFlorio Commerce Bancorp, Inc. Chairman
Thanks, Bharat, and good morning, everyone. On behalf of the management team at Commerce, I
will say that we are enormously excited about teaming up with TD Financial Group. It is just
amazing how much these two companies have in common from the standpoint that both are terrific
high-growth companies, both share an obsession with delivering great customer experiences and both
have just a terrific internal culture and a set of organization dynamics that underscore the vital
importance of everyone working together for the good of the order.
Theres a genuine sense of camaraderie and teamwork that typically you dont find in large
organizations, so were excited about that. Everyone here, including everyone at Commerce, is
always about customer, shareholder and employee thats the common bond. Weve referred to this
as this parallel universe that seems to somehow exist at both north and south of the border, but it
is truly amazing how much these companies have in common.
Those of you who know us understand that we really, really are growth retailers at heart and we
fully appreciate the great opportunities that this transaction presents. In the past weve had
explosive growth and we expect to continue this explosive growth well into the foreseeable future.
And just to expand on some of the embedded growth comments that we made earlier. Our growth is
being fueled not only by new store expansion, but by our industry-leading same-store deposit
growth.
At a time when most U.S. banks are flat or experiencing low growth, weve been on a bit of a tear
here. Were coming up on 40 consecutive quarters of double-digit same-store sales growth which is a
retailers dream and its an amazing number when you think about the fact that these are comps on
the already high comps.
So with that as a backdrop let me say this we are highly committed to continuing the execution
of our wow the customer service and convenience model. We are highly committed to continue mining
the growth from our existing stores. And we look forward to working closely with our new best
friends at TD Banknorth to develop the optimum U.S. branch expansion strategy. And of course we
look forward to layering in as much new TD product as we possibly can to deepen our customer
relationships and better serve their financial needs.
Lastly, I just want to call on our people at Commerce to say that we are counting on you and are
calling on you to continue to do what you do best and thats wow our customers every day with
service. Its all about the people and there are great times ahead for this organization jointly as
we move forward. So with that let me turn it over to Bob Falese.
7
Bob
Falese Commerce Bancorp, Inc. President & CEO
Thank you, Dennis, and again Ill echo Denniss words. We are clearly delighted to be
associated with TD and TD North, our new partners. For our commercial clients as well as our retail
clients, growth has always been the order of the day. Clearly TD has a growth oriented process,
philosophy and execution, and we see that with TD North as well. And its very consistent in terms
of the way we have approached our customers and also organized our credit delivery over the years.
Cultures are very similar and should really pave the way to a relatively easy integration process.
With regard to product, thats one of the most exciting things from our standpoint. We clearly
would have had to take time to invest in new product for delivery to our retail and commercial
customers. This association provides that base of product, enables us to continue to grow
profitable relationships in addition to developing new relationships. And the markets that were in
have such depth that the opportunity for us to continue to execute and do what weve been doing
everyday in terms of building customer relationships is great.
And lastly, Ill echo the comments for our employees this is a terrific opportunity. We commented
a little earlier with our senior leadership team, this is an organization now that is the leading
organization in North America from the standpoint of stores, a strong capital base, a clearly
terrific opportunity as we put these organizations together just by virtue of growth. And to that
extent, what weve said to our people over the years and it certainly is even more so today
its all about the execution and thats something that Commerce has proven that it knows how to do
and that is execute in the marketplace. So were delighted to be here as well and with that Ill
turn it back to Ed.
Ed Clark TD Bank Financial Group President & CEO
Thanks, Dennis and Bob. Thats terrific. Well, obviously this is a transformational deal, but
its an opportunistic deal as well. All the planets perfectly aligned to bring this deal to
fruition. A great franchise became available unexpectedly. Our currency at the same time gained
considerable strength, both the Canadian dollar and TDs shares. And TD was well-positioned ahead
of tough market conditions which freed up management teams to focus on this acquisition. We were
able to act on a great opportunity.
Now many of you heard me say that I expect the current market turmoil to continue for another six
months or so, but you may well be asking why now? Why not wait until we move a little further
through this cycle? Well, theres one simple answer sometimes you just dont get to choose your
timing. In this case Commerce had been running hard growing their business, but circumstances
changed for them in June that led directly to the discussions with us.
The second consideration that was also important to me was Commerces low-risk balance sheet. As I
mentioned, we believe that risk is mitigated by their low, low loan to deposit ratio and a balance
sheet that can be moved quickly to our model. The Canadian dollar strength also made this a great
business case, even more compelling than it would have been.
So take a moment, step back, and look at where we now are. We have a U.S. retail bank with scale
located in the center of the largest MSA in the United States. By 2009 we expect to have at least
$1.2 billion of earnings from an investment of $17.5 billion; an average PE of 14 and we managed to
obtain all that with issuing less than 125 million shares. Thats a great result for TD
shareholders.
At this point let me conclude our remarks. I know weve presented a lot of information here this
morning, so if you can only take away five messages heres what I hope you take away. With this
deal, TD has achieved critical mass in the United States. Our footprint is impressive in the
worlds biggest banking market. This will accelerate our organic growth plans. The TD and Commerce
business models are strikingly similar and theres incredible embedded value in Commerce super
growth branches that will deliver value to the TD shareholders. This is a transformational
opportunity for the TD Bank. So with that let me open the lines for questions.
8
QUESTION AND ANSWER
Operator
Andre Hardy, RBC Capital Markets.
Andre Hardy RBC Capital Markets Analyst
Just a few numbers questions, Colleen, to start with. You usually provide us with a tangible
equity ratio as well in your presentation, so could you please update us on that? And as well,
where would that Tier 1 capital ratio be under Basel II? And the other question I have is a few
years ago a large financial Canadian financial company made an acquisition in the U.S., issued a
lot of stock, and had a buyback program in place to ensure that flow back, if it occurred, would be
dealt with. Is that something that youre considering?
And then my last question would be for the Commerce people. With the regulatory restrictions in
place on new real estate builds, can you maintain the growth that you have had in the past and does
TD help you finally convert that great deposit base into a fairly large loan base?
Colleen Johnston TD Bank Financial Group CFO
Andre, Im going to suggest we maybe start with the Commerce questions at the end and well
come back to your various questions on the numbers.
Andre Hardy RBC Capital Markets Analyst
Thank you.
Bob
Falese Commerce Bancorp, Inc. President & CEO
This is Bob Falese. If I understood the questions right, with regard to our capacity to build
branches, we have received branch approvals recently from the OCC and are continuing along a track
of building out our branch plan. I can also report to you that our association with TD Banknorth
with TD clearly allows us to leverage our balance sheet in terms of relationship building within
our core customer base and our markets and we expect to do that. Colleen, would you care to comment
on the other?
Bharat Masrani TD Banknorth President & CEO
The only point, Colleen this is Bharat, Andre. With respect to are there going to be any
issues in expanding the branches and continuing with the growth story obviously weve done a lot
of due diligence here and our view is that those issues going forward are manageable, that this
does not have any meaningful impact on the operations going forward.
Colleen Johnston TD Bank Financial Group CFO
So you had a number of questions, Andre. Why dont I start with the Basel II scenario? I think
its probably a little premature at this time to comment on Basel II. Were still going through the
process around with OSFI in terms of risk-weighted assets in the new regime which will obviously
take effect in Q1 of 2008. And youre well aware of then the deferral that we have in terms of the
TDA deduction from Tier 1. So were not going to talk about Basel II today. I think you asked about
flow back.
9
Andre Hardy RBC Capital Markets Analyst
I asked about flow back and net tangible equity as well.
Colleen Johnston TD Bank Financial Group CFO
So in terms of flow back, I would sort of step back from this and look at just in terms of
context, this share issuance here is about just over 10% of our market cap so we think this is
quite manageable. Over time our stock price will track the intrinsic value of our business and we
definitely believe were creating value here. So while there may be some short-term issues we think
theyre very manageable. And in terms of total tangible common equity, at close we expect currently
a number of about 8%.
Andre Hardy RBC Capital Markets Analyst
Thats helpful, thank you.
Tim Thompson TD Bank Financial Group VP IR
Can I remind people on the phone to please ask one question at a time? We will cycle through
the callers, so please ask one question and re-queue. Were happy to take more than one question,
but we just do want to get through to everybody. So can we take the next caller, please?
Shannon Cowherd, Citibank (sic).
Shannon Cowherd Citigroup Analyst
Could you give some insight into how this transaction would fit with the TD Ameritrade and
your plans to maintain ownership in Ameritrade or potentially build your ownership there?
Ed Clark TD Bank Financial Group President & CEO
I wasnt sure, is the question whats the relationship with TD Ameritrade or the ownership in
our TD Ameritrade position?
Shannon Cowherd Citigroup Analyst
The ownership given that this is approximately $8.5 billion, the value of this deal. Do you
plan or is the interest to pick up and build your stake in Ameritrade maybe by 2009? Or given that
youre getting some pressure to sell out of your Ameritrade how does this fit with that? And then
just go forward the whole strategy with Ameritrade?
Ed Clark TD Bank Financial Group President & CEO
No, in fact Id say quite the opposite. Theyre enormously complementary, and so if you take a
look at the United States scene, not only now do we become a major retailer in the United States in
retail banking, but really were one of the few top banks in the United States with an active
wealth management strategy. Banknorth itself has an active wealth management strategy which well
be building out alongside in terms
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of discretionary management and advisory management, but at the same time TD Ameritrade then gives
us a unique platform. And frankly, as I alluded in my remarks, the customer base that were getting
with this acquisition and their growth possibilities are a customer base thats a perfect target
customer base for TD Ameritrade.
Weve always said TD Ameritrade is a strategic asset for us. When the original transaction was done
and the shareholders voted overwhelming for it, we said we were in here for the long-run, we intend
to be in here for the long run. Weve also said that we will back TD Ameritrade if it wants to do
acquisitions, but those acquisitions have to have two characteristics they have to be right on
timing and so there were a couple of issues on timing. One is that we wanted to make sure we were
well through the conversion and had our operational game down.
And as I think the market is aware, we took a view some time ago that the mortgage market was
deteriorating and we should be careful buying people with large mortgage balance sheets. I think
weve been proven correct in that position, but we will back TD Ameritrade management if they
choose to make an acquisition going forward and we have the capital position to do that. I should
say that any acquisition that TD Ameritrade would make going forward would create great value for
the TD Ameritrade shareholders as well as obviously any target and so it will be a very accretive
deal to TD Bank.
Shannon Cowherd Citigroup Analyst
Can I just squeeze one more in? You mentioned the $150 million restructuring on approximately
$25 billion to $30 billion in securities at Commerce Bank. Is it fair to say there will likely be
more write-downs as those securities are marked to market? And what about the potential for loan
losses or impaired loans given nearly all of Commerces $15 billion in loans are commercial real
estate or development related?
Bharat Masrani TD Banknorth President & CEO
Let me just this is Bharat do this. The point on the loan portfolio is and Ill let
Bob comment on it as well. The balance sheet here, just to give you a sense, is not $16 billion. I
think the number you mentioned is all real estate. I think that is not accurate and Ill let Bob
give you the accurate number. But the key point here is that Commerce is not in the subprime or
nonprime lending businesses in any of its businesses. Yes, the credit markets in the United States
are challenged to some extent and you will see the normal growth you would expect in NPAs and
charge-offs, but from TDs perspective we do not think that we are getting into a situation which
is a negative outlier from a risk management perspective. But Ill let Bob comment further on that.
Bob
Falese Commerce Bancorp, Inc. President & CEO
Let me give you some specific color around the numbers. The loan portfolio is about $17
billion. Our consumer loan portfolio, which is primarily home equities, has no subprime; its all A
paper, high FICO scores, very low delinquency. We have about $4.5 billion in that portfolio, very
granular. We have about $1.5 billion or so in residential mortgages, primarily jumbo mortgages,
many of which are associated with commercial relationships that weve developed over the years.
And in terms of our commercial and commercial real estate portfolio, we have about $11 billion in
outstandings. About 50% of that is really commercial loans; its only about 20%, that is investor
developer real estate as opposed to owner occupied real estate. As to the credit cycle, weve
always tracked with the credit cycle and in our conference calls over the last couple of years
weve talked about bouncing along the bottom.
Clearly well have some increases but nothing significant and thats always been the case at
Commerce, the same thing with our charge-offs. Theyll bump up a little bit but nothing
significant. Weve always been significantly below our peer group with regard to charge-offs. So we
expect our asset quality to track the cycle but at the low end.
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Bharat Masrani TD Banknorth President
Do you want me to comment ?
Colleen Johnston TD Bank Financial Group CFO
Do you want me to comment on securities? So theres a large securities portfolio here, about
$28 billion. Its primarily fixed-rate government backed securities, AAA rated CMOs, there are no
CDOs, no bonds backed by subprime and overall we are comfortable with the credit quality. I would
reinforce that we did a very deep due diligence on this portfolio on a coupon-by-coupon basis. I
think its reasonable probably given current market conditions that the unrealized loss on the book
will widen over the next short while.
I think its probably fair to say that the structure of the balance sheet is not necessarily in
line with TDs interest rates management philosophy. And what we have included in our projections
here are we were looking at a de-risked projection scenario. And I think as Ed has said, probably
providing a bit more specific details at this time would not be appropriate.
Tim Thompson TD Bank Financial Group VP IR
Go to the next question, please.
Michael Goldberg, Desjardins Securities.
Michael Goldberg Desjardin Securities Analyst
Good morning. Could you give us some idea of the pro forma market share and rank by key
markets as youve done in the past?
Bharat Masrani TD Banknorth President & CEO
Let me start. Obviously, Michael, the market share numbers in the northern New England
footprint remain as is because we do not have any overlapping positions there. If you look at in
the Commerce overall I would say in New Jersey the pro forma company would be ranked number
three with approximately 10% market share by deposits. (inaudible) Im talking of the MSAs in
the U.S. are ranked a little differently. Some of these are overlapping, but then there are other
parts of New Jersey as well where we will go to number two if you were to include some of the other
areas that are included in that segment.
In Philadelphia we will move to number three with this. Currently TD Banknorth is number 16, and
our market share will be approximately 12%. We can provide this to you off-line; I can go through
various MSAs in the U.S. and give you all those rankings. But we will be quite happy to provide you
based on the information we have, this is based on the FDIC information that came out three or
four months ago, but wed be happy to provide you more detail.
But I think the key message here is it gives us credible scale in the markets that are highly
attractive in the United States its metro New York, New Jersey, Philadelphia. It also gives us
a huge beachhead in the DC market and Florida for further growth and provides us with more
opportunity in the Boston area. I think that is the key message were trying to get across.
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Tim Thompson TD Bank Financial Group VP IR
Thanks, Bharat. Next question, please.
Sumit Malhotra, Merrill Lynch.
Sumit Malhotra Merrill Lynch Analyst
Good morning. A couple things numbers things first. On the $490 million TD write-down, is
that strictly for human resources type of elements or are we looking at some of the securities
issues there as well? And if I then shift over for the Commerce guys on the 150 after-tax
charge, how does that relate to the I think it was in your Q2 filing that you said it was $414
million that the securities book was underwater. How do we reconcile those two numbers?
Bharat Masrani TD Banknorth President & CEO
On the first question, Sumit, the $490 million does not include any securities write-down.
That is purely to do with restructuring and putting these two companies together. And Ill pass it
over to Colleen or Doug Pauls, the CFO of Commerce, is here as well, so Ill let him comment on
that.
Doug
Pauls Commerce Bancorp, Inc. CFO
Weve agreed and put in place were going to sell a portion of the portfolio and we would
prefer not to get into details in terms of how much is being sold in those types of things simply
to protect what were going to do in the marketplace a little bit. But that represents a portion of
the loss. And probably on a comparable basis at June 30th that loss on that portion were selling
would be a little wider because of whats happening in credit spreads with whats going on in the
U.S. market.
Sumit Malhotra Merrill Lynch Analyst
Thats kind of what I was thinking. Because when I look at the held to maturity portion of
your book, $14.5 billion at June 30th, am I correct in saying that when the deal closes this
portion now has to be marked to market and the bulk of this is mortgage obligations? I know all
mortgage obligations are not created equal. So thats kind of what Im thinking about here, that
that sizable portion of the book is currently not being marked, is that accurate?
Colleen Johnston TD Bank Financial Group CFO
Yes. So Sumit, we will be required to fair value the balance sheet at close and weve factored
those types of issues into our calculations.
Sumit Malhotra Merrill Lynch Analyst
Okay, thank you.
13
Mario Mendonca, Genuity Capital Markets.
Mario Mendonca Genuity Capital Markets Analyst
Sort of along the same lines, when the company fair values all of these assets, is there
anything in the agreement that calls for a change in the price paid based on what happens between
now and then?
Colleen Johnston TD Bank Financial Group CFO
No, there isnt.
Mario Mendonca Genuity Capital Markets Analyst
And no break fees or anything like that either?
Ed Clark TD Bank Financial Group President & CEO
Yes, there is a break free at 3.9% in the document. But I think, as I indicated in my remarks,
this is an area where were highly confident of our ability. And if we see market movement moving
against us we will undoubtedly take action to ensure that we dont suffer bigger losses than whats
anticipated already in the market.
Mario Mendonca Genuity Capital Markets Analyst
And then finally, could someone shed some light on the departure of Mr. Hill earlier this year
and the memorandum of understanding the various regulators and what that limits ?
Sorry for the interruption. This is the operator. (technical difficulty)
Mario Mendonca Genuity Capital Markets Analyst
Now Im all flustered. Mr. Hills departure and anything on the memorandum of understanding
you can offer us?
Bob
Falese Commerce Bancorp, Inc. President & CEO
Let me describe it to you as we have described it over the last few months. First of all, if
you read the consent order youll see that it was a very surgical document; the document focuses on
insider activities and has really been limited to that. It has not at this point inhibited our
ability to work properly with our regulators to arrive at a plan to continue doing what weve
needed to do in terms of running the bank and building out our branches.
That document that consent document is clear in its direction. It had no safety and soundness
implications and clearly no inhibitions to us related to growth. And we are in substantial
compliance.
14
Weve turned in documents that were required and continue to work closely and will continue to
cooperate with the OCC in terms of the ongoing investigation.
Ed Clark TD Bank Financial Group President & CEO
Its Ed here. Obviously before doing a transaction at this time there was really quite
extensive due diligence and obviously we talked to the appropriate regulatory authorities and
wouldnt be doing this transaction if we werent totally comfortable that this was a rather
narrowly defined issue centered on a single individual.
Brad Smith, Blackmont Capital.
Brad Smith Blackmont Capital Analyst
Thank you. My question relates to the expenses and the synergies of 310. Just wondering if I
could get a little bit more detail as to where the principal areas of those synergies are likely to
arise from?
Bharat Masrani TD Banknorth President & CEO
This is Bharat. The plan I laid out in my remarks is that we will be integrating the support
and the back office functions as soon as practicable; I see that happening over the next 12 months
or so. When we do that obviously there will be synergies available through that. Secondly, we will,
as a step after that, looking to integrate the TD Banknorth footprint in the New
Jersey/Philadelphia area into the [Commerce] platform. And thats the integration plan that we have
forward.
With respect to the specifics of how we came up with the numbers, weve done extensive due
diligence obviously. But it is important that as these companies come together we will have a
transition team which well put in place to make sure that a lot of the assumptions we have made
here are appropriate and its done in a manner where the customer experience which is the key
message here the customer experience remains intact. Because TD will not be paying the price we
are paying by trying to mess that up.
So Im comfortable with the numbers weve provided. And the other check I would ask you to look at
is that the combined entities expense base is in excess of $2.5 billion. So when you look at
putting these two companies together, we feel reasonably comfortable with the number weve put out.
Brad Smith Blackmont Capital Analyst
That was my question actually, Bharat. The number looks a little bit low. I mean, is that
reflecting the ongoing marketing communications cost that you expect to incur, or is there scope
for that number to actually rise do you think?
Ed Clark TD Bank Financial Group President & CEO
This is Ed. Youve got to understand with negotiating it was tougher negotiating with
Bharat that number than with the other side the price I can tell you.
15
Bharat Masrani TD Banknorth President & CEO
The only point I would raise there is that the overlapping footprint here is not as large as
what TD Banknorth would generally do in its acquisitions. The 27 acquisitions that have been done
over the past 15 years there are huge synergy opportunities here. Here, this is more of an
extension into an area and obviously there is overlap, but it is not as huge as you would have
expected elsewhere. And frankly, is to preserve the great strength here of a customer centered
model in both organizations.
Brad Smith Blackmont Capital Analyst
Thanks very much.
Ian de Verteuil, BMO.
Ian de Verteuil BMO Nesbitt Burns Analyst
My question relates to the repositioning of the securities portfolio. If Im correct, when I
look back at all of the previous deals, when TD has done these deals and then its had the balance
sheet repositioned invariably the earnings go down because you take out the carry trade. I think I
understood Colleen; is that factored into your numbers that youre assuming even tighter spreads
than the 335 they achieved last year?
Colleen Johnston TD Bank Financial Group CFO
Yes, essentially thats right, Ian. So we have again, weve looked at in particular the
securities portfolio and some of the interest rate risk thats in that portfolio and well be
changing that eventually. But we have included that sort of de-risk scenario in our projections.
Ian de Verteuil BMO Nesbitt Burns Analyst
So its even lower your forecast on the spread going into 07/08 is even lower than the
335 they achieved last year?
Colleen Johnston TD Bank Financial Group CFO
I think there are a variety of items that came into our overall projections and I dont think
well comment on sort of individual aspects, but overall we think the profitability stream will be
maintained.
Ed Clark TD Bank Financial Group President & CEO
The earnings are billed on a de-risk portfolio.
Colleen Johnston TD Bank Financial Group CFO
Right.
16
Ian de Verteuil BMO Nesbitt Burns Analyst
Right, so your model assumes youve done the TDization of the Commerce spread model?
Ed Clark TD Bank Financial Group President & CEO
As you know, Ian, we cant help ourselves. So yes, thats what we did.
Rob Sedran, National Bank Financial.
Rob Sedran National Bank Financial Analyst
Good morning. Bharat, you talked about the customer experience, I wonder if you can comment
how important you think the brands are in their respective markets? In other words, is the
intention to run two separate franchises over the long-term and how much does that limit the
potential synergies, both revenue and expense, over the long-term?
Bharat Masrani TD Banknorth President & CEO
We have two great brands. And if you look at what the Commerce brand stands for in the market
that it operates in and what TD Banknorth brand stands for in the market it operates in. So we have
the luxury of having fantastic brands out there. And any great company in the brand management
would want to make sure that we have a consistent customer experience right to our footprint
because that is far more important than anything else we can do. So our goal here is that for the
next little while nothing changes, the brands remain as is.
And as we move towards creating a customer experience that is consistent right through the
footprint we will do the various research that is required, we will talk to real customers instead
of just Bharat or a few people deciding how this would make sense. We all like to think we are
great brand managers, but I think it is important to talk to real customers, find out what they see
in brands and ensure that we do the right thing.
And when you go back with TD history in Canada, I think it was and Im sure Ed will correct me
it was a year and a half before anything happened on the brand front. And so we will be very,
very deliberate on this. There is absolutely no reason for us to do anything that is going to hurt
either brand as we move towards creating a great bank in the U.S.
Darko Mihelic, CIBC World Markets.
Darko Mihelic CIBC World Markets Analyst
This is a question for Colleen. Im looking at slide 12 and I think Im asking effectively the
same question that Ian is, but I want to drill down into the numbers a little bit. If I look at
2008 estimate of the combined $700 million for both entities and I back out the contribution from
Banknorth and then I back out the synergies I get a very lowball estimate for Commerce in terms of
their earnings if I assume that theyre there for half a year. Why is that? Is that related to the
de-risking in the portfolio? Is it the major cause for the low earnings number from CBH in 2008?
17
Colleen Johnston TD Bank Financial Group CFO
Yes, first of all you have to look at the way the synergies are going to come on stream,
Darko. So while the synergies will be fully realized by 2009, were obviously going to only have a
partial realization in 2008. About a third of that number will be coming in. We have some
additional costs as well on capital tax and that sort of thing. So were really seeing a number
thats pretty close to the current run rate in terms of Commerces projections.
Darko Mihelic CIBC World Markets Analyst
Okay, maybe we can talk off-line about those numbers just to drill down into them.
Colleen Johnston TD Bank Financial Group CFO
Sure.
Jim Bantis, Credit Suisse First Boston.
Jim Bantis Credit Suisse First Boston Analyst
Good morning and congratulations on your transaction. I guess timing is everything. Following
along Darkos lines and Ians, I guess, Colleen, wed just like to peel back a little bit in terms
of slides 11 and 12 in terms of the nature of the Commerce Bank earnings, the percentage of
synergies coming in in 2009 and 2010 as well I guess. Have you thought about where the EPS
accretion will be in 2010?
Colleen Johnston TD Bank Financial Group CFO
Were not going to be discussing those numbers today, Jim. But clearly it will be positive.
Ed Clark TD Bank Financial Group President & CEO
I think in terms of earnings, I think what this does, as you know, we moved TD Banknorth to
our 7 and 10% growth. And while we were confident that we could have that I think you can work
under the assumption that were even more confident that this new entity can grow at that rate.
Jim Bantis Credit Suisse First Boston Analyst
Okay, thank you. And maybe just a real question to get answered to Bharat is it was just a
few months ago that we had the investor day. Can you talk about how far along you moved to
restructure the TD Banknorth franchise in terms of (inaudible) this organic model that we talked
about and all the deliverables at that point?
Bharat Masrani TD Banknorth President & CEO
Were making tremendous progress. If you look at one of the big initiatives was to optimize
our network and that related to providing better convenience. We are now rolled out in 225 of our
586 branches with
18
extended hours where in those markets we would have the longest hours among all of our competitors.
And the results have been, as you would expect, they have been tremendous. I feel good about that.
We are continuing with our product launches. I mention at the investor day that we will be
introducing our credit card. That is well on track. We expect to be in the market. In fact we are
in a pilot internally, expect to be in the market over the next six to eight weeks; I feel good
about that. I think some of the customer experience metrics we talked about as well are well on
track. So overall my message would be that, yes, there is a lot that we said we would do, but the
progress has been tremendous and I have every confidence that we can meet those targets.
Jim Bantis Credit Suisse First Boston Analyst
Thanks, Bharat. Just to follow up on that question, it seems that both banks are suffering or
benefiting from high deposits but low loans. When you think of the retail loan product that youre
rolling out, you just mentioned credit cards and some of the other maybe unsecured line of credit.
Do you see those similar types of products that you can benefit from in terms of rolling them out
to Commerce Bank as well at the same time?
Bharat Masrani TD Banknorth President & CEO
Absolutely. I think Dennis and Bob talked about the product capabilities that TD Banknorth had
and, more generally, TD Bank Financial Group brings to the table. So yes, the products we are
talking about at TD Banknorth will certainly be looked at and
obviously well have to do the
appropriate research and make sure that our processes are aligned to deliver those product so well
look at that as well as looking at opportunities on the wealth management side. As you know, we
talked about at investor day its a huge initiative at TD Banknorth and I see no reason why we
would not extend that initiative into the Commerce footprint.
Gary Townsend, FBR.
Gary Townsend FBR Analyst
Good morning, congratulations on the deal. Could you talk about why the transaction was
structured as a taxable transaction to Commerce shareholders?
Colleen Johnston TD Bank Financial Group CFO
That structure made sense for us. It allows us to take dividends from the U.S. to Canada in a
tax efficient manner.
Gary Townsend FBR Analyst
Okay. And perhaps, Dennis and Bob, clients that Im talking to think you gave away the
franchise.
Dennis
DiFlorio Commerce Bancorp, Inc. Chairman
Im sorry, I missed that.
19
Gary Townsend FBR Analyst
The clients that Im speaking to, your shareholders are telling me that you did not that
youve given away the franchise. You did not extract enough here. Your comment?
Bob
Falese Commerce Bancorp, Inc. President & CEO
This is Bob. I think the we went through a process competitive process. The valuations
were part of that process. We felt at the end of the day given the equities the valuation was
reasonable and fair. We can debate the metrics but that would be my comment.
Gary Townsend FBR Analyst
Thank you very much.
Dennis
DiFlorio Commerce Bancorp, Inc. Chairman
Gary, this is Dennis. I would suggest that, as you would expect, were not going to get into
specifics. But I will tell you, and you could appreciate this, there are a tremendous amount of
variables that go into this equation. Theyre negotiated and factored into what we ended up with
which we believe is a fair price. Beyond that Im not going to get into any details about the
process or anything else, but it was a fair and reasonable process and I think both sides walked
away feeling good about it.
Rob Rutschow, Deutsche Bank.
Rob Rutschow Deutsche Bank Analyst
I think you just touched on it, but I was wondering first if this was an option of Commerce.
And then second, your stock price is down a little bit today, and so Im wondering why you felt
that this was the best deal that you could get.
Bob
Falese Commerce Bancorp, Inc. President & CEO
Again, this is Bob; Ill reiterate that back in June we indicated that we would run the
business but also look at strategic alternatives. There were numerous contacts. We did go through
hiring the appropriate investment bankers to evaluate all of those opportunities, if you will,
options, and felt that the process was both competitive and fair relative to valuation.
Ill make one other point and that is, and I dont think this is a little point the product
investment that we would have had to make over the next couple years played an important role in
this because clearly we needed to build some fee income businesses and capital markets businesses.
Those of you that have followed us for a while know that we have had several starts at that over
the years. I think in no small part when I look at valuation, when we look at valuation, when our
investment bankers looked at valuation all of these factors were taken into consideration.
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Rob Rutschow Deutsche Bank Analyst
If I could follow up with one question. As a customer should I expect any change in the
experience at Commerce besides maybe a name change?
Bob
Falese Commerce Bancorp, Inc. President & CEO
It should get better.
Bharat Masrani TD Banknorth President & CEO
This is Bharat. You should see no difference. You should continue to expect great customer
experience and be wowed all the way to the bank.
Mark Fitzgibbon, Sandler ONeill.
Mark Fitzgibbon Sandler ONeill Analyst
Good morning. I guess the first question is for Dennis and Bob. Im wondering what this
transaction means ultimately for your relationship with Pennsylvania Commerce? COBH, where you
folks have an affiliation.
Doug
Pauls Commerce Bancorp, Inc. CFO
Mark, its Doug. We obviously have a network agreement with them that runs out for several
years. And frankly, I think well evaluate that operation and well make some decisions as we go
forward. So nothing will change in the near-term.
Mark Fitzgibbon Sandler ONeill Analyst
And the second question, if I may, is with respect to the insurance business. Im curious why
TD wants to sell that business. Its attractive and youre obviously in the insurance business in
the United States through TD Banknorth already. Why get rid of that or spin it off?
Ed Clark TD Bank Financial Group President & CEO
Its Ed Clark here. I think Mr. Norcross would like to buy it. I think he built it and
generally when you own something where the founder has created something and he wants to buy it and
his alternative is to go out on his own, its probably better to sit down and negotiate it with him
and sell. So we think thats probably the maximum value to the shareholders. Bob, do you want to
?
Bob
Falese Commerce Bancorp, Inc. President & CEO
Yes, and its a relatively small contributor to the overall scheme of profitability here. The
focus frankly on building the banking business is where were at. So thats just a complementary
comment to Eds.
21
Mark Fitzgibbon Sandler ONeill Analyst
Thank you.
Ian de Verteuil, BMO.
Ian de Verteuil BMO Nesbitt Burns Analyst
Ed, one of the things that has transpired as youve moved through the buildout in the U.S.
both Ameritrade and Banknorth has been an ROE gap versus your peers. So where the average Canadian
bank has a 20% ROE 20 plus percent ROE yours has been 18 and with this it looks like its going
down to 16. How do you want your shareholders to think of that in the context of building a
business?
Ed Clark TD Bank Financial Group President & CEO
I dont want to discourage accounting terminology, but frankly thats not a number I spend a
whole lot of time on. I do spend a whole lot of time on what kind of
return do we get for every
dollar of risk that we take. And as you know, our numbers are dramatically higher not only than our
peers in Canada, but our peers in the United States. And what kind of embedded growth rate do we
have. So do we add value every year to the shareholders and we do it without going out the risk
curve or are we in reality fooling ourselves or were heading out in the risk curve, we just
havent actually paid the price for the risk that were going to take? Those are all the numbers
that I look at and when I look at this franchise on that basis this complements exactly our
strategy.
Ian de Verteuil BMO Nesbitt Burns Analyst
Your focus on return on risk weighted, one of the issues with that is I know you look at
the return on risk. I mean doesnt that in a lot of ways ignore the reality of goodwill which is an
issue that forces you to issue stock on transactions like this?
Ed Clark TD Bank Financial Group President & CEO
Absolutely. So if you said what is the risk that TD Bank really is taking? What weve done in
substitute taking operational risk and you can have goodwill risk were taking credit risk and
market risk, thats really whats gone on here. And so were betting our operational skills so when
we go, as we did back in the Canada Trust and buy a Meloche or we go buy a VFC or we go buy a
Newcrest or TD buys Canada Trust and now buy Banknorth and Commerce whats the essence of the bet
were making. And were betting that the goodwill will generate future growth.
And so theres no question thats the bet were having here. And so I think what people should
evaluate is look at it and say is that a good bet? Do they have a proven track record of being able
to buy business models and management team and preserve those business models and management team
and do more than that in fact so we improve those business models and management team? I think
thats whats unique about TD, its absorbability ability to take and find these business models
and absorb them and improve them and in fact accelerate their growth.
But we look we dont question about it. I think we actually are the only bank who really gives
you what the investment capital is. We dont move the goodwill around and try to dodge and weave
with it. We actually lay it out for you and tell you what the ROIC is. And so what were saying in
this transaction, were going to have bought our way in the United States at a 14 times PE. And
Ive got to sit there and say you
22
show me a
franchise with $87 billion in deposits, 1,000 branches in this market position and tell me
whether or not you think anybody in the world would sell that to you for 14 times PE. Thats what
we accumulated and we only issued 125 million shares in doing that. I think thats pretty good for
our shareholders.
Ian de Verteuil BMO Nesbitt Burns Analyst
Thanks, Ed. Its good to get you worked up every now and then.
Robert Patten, Morgan Keegan.
Robert Patten Morgan Keegan Analyst
Most
of my questions have been answered. Just one question really, about the culture of
Commerce. Dennis, youre going to let the branches run independently from TD. When are you going to
convert and chart to change it more like TD? And what are we going to be looking at in terms of the
Commerce market say a year, two years from now?
Bharat Masrani TD Banknorth President & CEO
This is Bharat. I think from a culture perspective a key point here is that both companies are
customer focused, both companies are customer centric. So from a culture perspective we feel there
is tremendous alignment. With respect to the integration that you talk about, we will put together
a transition team over the next few weeks that will get together, make sure that whatever platforms
that we have between the two companies whats the most optimal way not only to extract synergies
but to enhance the customer offering even further.
And those processes will continue over the next six to nine months in my view and we will be
looking to make our changes in the next 12 to 18 months, as I said in my opening remarks. So from
your perspective you should see no difference to what youve been seeing at Commerce Bank.
Robert Patten Morgan Keegan Analyst
All right, thank you.
Sumit Malhotra, Merrill Lynch.
Sumit Malhotra Merrill Lynch Analyst
Ed, youve talked a few times about the fact that if interest rate risk is going to be taken
on TDs books its going to happen in the wholesale segment. And you exemplify that with Banknorth.
I think the securities portfolio was about 30% of total earning assets when you bought it, its
less than half of that now. When we look at CBH the securities book is a much larger component than
BNK ever had, over 60% from the last numbers I saw. Whats the target you have here as you start to
put your model to work? Are we going to get this down around the 15% level that we see BNK at right
now and whats the time frame that we should expect that to take place?
23
Ed Clark TD Bank Financial Group President & CEO
Thats a great question. So I think one of the things that attracted us here, because as I
said in my remarks, we have taken a view obviously for some time now that we thought the U.S.
mortgage market was going to go down, that that was going to create capital markets turmoil, we
positioned the Bank for that. And so obviously one of the things I have go through my mind, and am
I crazy, making another major acquisition in the U.S. in front of this when I dont think its
actually played its way through.
So the attractiveness of this was the fact that really were taking one-third the asset risk that
you would normally have to take for an acquisition of this size. I think our first inclination is
to take that two-thirds and de-risk it and to pay the price of the thinner spreads that is implied
in that. And no question, thats the way we do our thing when we TDisize things, we manage to take
the income down. But thats a trade-off that I would rather, for
the moment, be going in and de-risking that portfolio and running with thinner spreads and we built those thinner spreads and that
income into our business model.
Then I think the real issue that we wont give you a crisp answer only because we dont have a
crisp answer to it is how fast can we build up the asset gathering quality of this institution.
I think thats why all the management team gets excited; I think we can accelerate that. At the
same time I think the other side that we want to do is to build up the wealth management side.
Because one of the answers to having an imbalance between deposits and assets is also to start
disintermediating your deposit base. Thats what we do in Canada and, as you know, we are literally
the best in the world at moving customers from our retail branch systems into our wealth management
channel.
And so I think were going to be tackling this imbalance and in todays world its kind of absurd
to talk about an imbalance. I mean who wouldnt die to have an imbalance of way more deposits than
they have assets, but that is what this institution is. Its so fixated on growing deposits and
does it so well that it creates this imbalance. I think you have to work on both sides of the
balance sheet.
The truth is we dont know how fast we can get all this done. I think the important thing is that
in terms of our earnings numbers, we assume we didnt get it done. We assume we de-risk the balance
sheet and live with the thinner margins thats implied in that.
Sumit Malhotra Merrill Lynch Analyst
I appreciate that color. I guess the thing Id say is when you say one-third the asset risk it
seems like youre talking only about the loan portfolio. When I think about your relationship or
your history with Banknorth during the period that youve owned BNK or been involved with BNK
since the deal was announced. Im thinking there was about three charges for write-downs in the
securities portfolio. So that asset risk as it relates to CBH we probably have to consider the
securities portfolio particularly in this current environment just as much we would with loans.
Would you agree with that characterization?
Ed Clark TD Bank Financial Group President & CEO
Yes. I think to go back in the history as we bought 51% of Banknorth, I think there were
probably at the start different philosophical stances about how to manage the balance sheet. And to
be fair I think you have to recognize that if you lined up the top 50 banks in North America there
would be TD on one side and there would be 49 banks on the other side and Banknorth had the same
view as the other 49, not that we were in the majority.
So we clearly are unique in our approach to risk. And thats our philosophical view and were not
changing it. I think that accounted for why we did this in stages. I dont think there was a big
economic cost to doing it in stages, but it did mean that we didnt fully recognize on day one the
kind of mark to market hit that we eventually took in Banknorth.
In this case what were saying to you is were assuming in our models that we well, we have to
do it for purchase accounting, but were assuming that we take the full capital hit. The marking is
booked down
24
and that
we de-risk it by the time we close. Thats whats in the assumption. And frankly, we will
de-risk it, it wont be (inaudible) change our mind on this. Embedded in the organization bred in
the bones, we will take this in one fell swoop. But obviously we will choose our timing to do this,
were not going to tell the market ahead of time when were going to do what.
Felice Gelman, SuNOVA Capital.
Felice Gelman SuNOVA Capital Analyst
Thanks. I thought youd never get to me. Commerce had a lot of I guess what people thought of
as extra expenses because of the fact that the bank had really been run by a single individual. And
I just wonder how much of those really go away and how much are incorporated in your anticipated
cost saves number. It really looks quite low to me given what the expense base of the bank was, the
helicopters, etc., etc.?
Dennis
DiFlorio Commerce Bancorp, Inc. Chairman
This is Dennis DiFlorio. Theres always this healthy balance that weve tried to maintain with respect to investing in
growth, investing in the things that you do to create brand, to create fans, not customers, thats
embedded in the expense base. Is there an opportunity to dial things
back? There are always
opportunities to dial things back. As we struggle with the interest rate environment going forward
we start to take our foot off the peddle of some of the things that may have been niceties with
respect to building brand as opposed to necessities. And I do believe that we have further
opportunity here that will play their way into the synergies.
I
dont think youre going to see anything . . . ideas that
we have that would have been substantial in
nature. Its a lot of little things and the balance here is that we dont disinvest in building
brands and creating fans, not customers. Things like the penny arcade machine, we dont make any
money on that. Typical backers would look at that and say why invest in that, theres no return.
Thats an investment in brand, it costs a substantial amount of money every year. Well continue to
make those kinds of investments in building brands. But clearly theres an opportunity here for us
to take our foot off the peddle and save a few bucks.
Colleen Johnston TD Bank Financial Group CFO
To clarify from a modeling standpoint, we have not taken many of those reductions into the
model and to Denniss point their probably is some potential there. But clearly because were
continuing to look at a growth model, but we really look more at the synergies and thats what
weve included in the economics.
Felice Gelman SuNOVA Capital Analyst
Great, thanks so much.
Tim Thompson TD Bank Financial Group VP IR
That ends our call this morning, thank you for calling in and have a great day.
25
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the conference call for today. Thank you for
participating. Please disconnect your lines.
26
THE
FOLLOWING ARE MATERIALS USED IN THE CONFERENCE CALL WITH INVESTORS
HELD ON OCTOBER 2, 2007.
TD Acquires Commerce Bancorp
October 2, 2007
|
The information presented may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and comparable "safe harbour" of applicable Canadian legislation, including, but not limited to,
statements relating to anticipated financial and operating results, the companies' plans, objectives, expectations and intentions, cost
savings and other statements, including words such as "anticipate," "believe," "plan," "estimate," "expect," "intend," "will," "should,"
"may," and other similar expressions. Such statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of our management and
involve a number of significant risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from the results anticipated in these
forward-looking statements. The following factors, among others, could cause or contribute to such material differences: the ability
to obtain the approval of the transaction by Commerce Bancorp, Inc. stockholders; the ability to realize the expected synergies
resulting for the transaction in the amounts or in the timeframe anticipated; the ability to integrate Commerce Bancorp, Inc.'s
businesses into those of TD Bank Financial Group in a timely and cost-efficient manner; and the ability to obtain governmental
approvals of the transaction or to satisfy other conditions to the transaction on the proposed terms and timeframe. Additional
factors that could cause TD Bank Financial Group's and Commerce Bancorp, Inc.'s results to differ materially from those described in
the forward-looking statements can be found in the 2006 Annual Report (www.TD.com) on Form 40-F for The Toronto-Dominion
Bank and the 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K of Commerce Bancorp, Inc. filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and
available at the Securities and Exchange Commission's Internet site (http://www.sec.gov).
The proposed merger transaction involving The Toronto-Dominion Bank and Commerce Bancorp, Inc. will be submitted
to Commerce Bancorp's shareholders for their consideration. Shareholders are encouraged to read the proxy statement/prospectus
regarding the proposed transaction when it becomes available because it will contain important information. Shareholders will be
able to obtain a free copy of the proxy statement/prospectus, as well as other filings containing information about The Toronto-
Dominion Bank and Commerce Bancorp, Inc., without charge, at the SEC's Internet site (http://www.sec.gov). Copies of the proxy
statement/prospectus and the filings with the SEC that will be incorporated by reference in the proxy statement/prospectus can also
be obtained, when available, without charge, by directing a request to TD Bank Financial Group, 66 Wellington Street West, Toronto,
ON M5K 1A2, Attention: Investor Relations, (416) 308-9030, or to Commerce Bancorp, Inc., Shareholder Relations, 1701 Route 70
East Cherry Hill, NJ 08034-5400, 1-888-751-9000.
The Toronto-Dominion Bank, Commerce Bancorp, Inc., their respective directors and executive officers and other
persons may be deemed to be participants in the solicitation of proxies in respect of the proposed transaction. Information
regarding The Toronto-Dominion Bank's directors and executive officers is available in its Annual Report on Form 40-F for the year
ended October 31, 2006, which was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on December 11, 2006, and its notice of
annual meeting and proxy circular for its most recent annual meeting, which was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission
on February 23, 2007. Information regarding Commerce Bancorp, Inc.'s directors and executive officers is available in Commerce
Bancorp, Inc.'s proxy statement for its most recent annual meeting, which was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission
on April 13, 2007. Other information regarding the participants in the proxy solicitation and a description of their direct and indirect
interests, by security holdings or otherwise, will be contained in the proxy statement/prospectus and other relevant materials to be
filed with the SEC when they become available.
Forward-looking statements and
additional information
|
Unique and compelling opportunity
Impressive footprint & market share in contiguous region
Outstanding strategic and operating fit
Delivers critical mass in the U.S. - North American powerhouse
Opportunity for accelerated organic growth
Complementary North American retail banking business model
Superior value creation opportunity
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The TD Canada Trust of the U.S.
Strong, experienced
management team
Visible, valuable brand
Industry leading customer
satisfaction scores - #1 in
J.D. Power 2 years in a
row
A+ site locations - longest
hours, best branches
Premier deposit gathering franchise
Large cohort of super
growth branches
Total stores
4441,2
16%
CAGR
2002-Q207
Deposits3
US$44B
28%
Deposits/Store
US$100MM2
10%
Loans3
US$16B
26%
About Commerce
Wow!
As of August 31, 2007, excluding recently opened branches.
Per company data.
Source: SNL Financial as of June 30, 2007.
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Complementary business models
and strengths
Multiple leverage points to fuel future growth
TD, TD Banknorth and Commerce can all contribute
Asset and liability management
Product suite expansion
Commercial/Wealth/Wholesale
Deposit growth platform
De novo branch expertise
Efficiency focus
Asset gathering
Integration experience
WOW! Fan experience
|
Embedded growth - latent
profitability
Embedded value & strong growth profile
Mature stores
Commerce store
vintage
Super growth stores1
Engine for organic growth
Pre 2004
2004 to 2007
New stores
Number of
locations
271
173
Deposit
Growth
profile
Excellent
Industry
Leading
Proven
turn-key
model
Average
Deposits2
US$133MM
US$48MM
As of June 30, 2007, including 2 stores opened subsequently.
August 2007 monthly average.
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Low risk transaction
Low loan-to-deposit ratio
Achievable synergies
Reduced risk
+
=
Cultural compatibility
+
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Major North American franchise
7th largest bank by branches in North America
As of August 31, 2007 per company.
Source: SNL Financial. Company filings.
Note: Branch data as of most recent reported to SNL.
Pro forma branches
Commerce1
TD
TD/Commerce pro forma
444
2,102
|
Value per Commerce share: US$42.001
Exchange Ratio: Fixed exchange ratio. Each outstanding Commerce share will receive 0.4142 shares of TD and US$10.50 in cash
Aggregate transaction value: US$8.5 billion on 203MM fully diluted Commerce shares
Consideration mix: 75% stock, 25% cash
Restructuring charge: US$490 million, pre-tax
Cost synergies: US$310 million pre-tax, fully phased-in by 20092
Revenue synergies: Identified but not factored into transaction financials
Transaction multiples 22.5X price to 2008 earnings, 2.96X price to tangible book value, 13.5% core deposit premium
Post-synergy multiples 13.8X price to 2008 earnings including fully phased-in synergies
Expected closing: March/April, 2008 subject to regulatory and Commerce shareholder approval
Based on US$76.06 reference price calculated as the average of TD's 5 day average price and TD's closing price of September 28, 2007 and the
foreign exchange rate on each of the respective days.
US$87 MM pre-tax expected to be realized in F2008.
Key terms and metrics
|
Assets
US$404B
Loans
172
Deposits
268
Shareholders' Equity
21
TD1
At July 31, 2007
Tier 1 Capital Ratio
10.2%
US$48B
16
44
3
Commerce
At June 30, 2007
11.7%
US$458B
188
312
27
8.75% to 9.0%
Strong balance sheet and capital ratios
Assumes FX parity of C$ and US$
Includes estimated accounting adjustments relating to the transaction.
Capital strength
TD2
Pro forma (July 31, 2007)
|
2008 2009
Pro forma GAAP net income $4,236 $5,093
Current TD GAAP EPS estimate $5.74 $6.50
Pro forma TD GAAP EPS estimate $5.46 $6.28
GAAP EPS accretion/(dilution) to TD $(0.28) $(0.22)
Pro forma earnings impact
2008 2009
Pro forma adjusted net income $4,690 $5,517
Current TD adjusted EPS estimate $6.15 $6.80
Pro forma TD adjusted EPS estimate $6.05 $6.80
Adjusted EPS accretion/(dilution) to TD $(0.10) -
GAAP and adjusted earnings 2008 & 2009, C$MM1
ROIC 7% in 2009
IRR 15%
TD's 2008 GAAP and adjusted net income and EPS estimates are based on current analyst consensus estimates. TD's 2009 EPS and net income
is the 2008 net income and EPS grown at the IBES long-term growth rate of 10.5%. Commerce forward earnings and all other transaction
adjustments are based on TDBFG internal management estimates.
|
2007E 2008E 2009E
358 750 1200
Total
TD U.S. P&C banking segment adjusted earnings1
C$MM
2007E is based on YTD Q3 2007 results and the Q4 2007 estimate of C$123 as reiterated at the TD Banknorth Investor Day on June 28, 2007.
2008E is equal to the Q4/07 estimate annualized plus management's estimate of the expected contribution from the Commerce transaction.
2009E is equal to the 2008E, excluding the contribution from the Commerce transaction, increased by our target growth rate range of 7 to
10%, plus management's estimate of the contribution from the Commerce transaction.
U.S. Personal & Commercial Banking
|
Impressive combined footprint
TD Banknorth
Commerce
Over 1,000 branches
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Scale in key markets
Top 10 US MSAs by deposits1
Excludes deposits over US$1 billion for branches with over US$1billion in deposits.
Operating in 5 of the largest and wealthiest urban markets
in the U.S.
New York Philadelphia Boston
New York 25 15 5.5
Total
Deposits and stores by MSA
Stores
325
106
175
US$B
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Clear focus during integration
? Consolidate TD Banknorth New Jersey, Philadelphia
Synergies and continued growth
? Deliver cost synergies
Align infrastructure and integrate back office
? Management team
TD Banknorth & Commerce teams remain in place
Dennis DiFlorio and Bob Falese report to Bharat Masrani
? Execute organic growth strategy
Including NYC, Boston and south beachheads
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The Commerce perspective
? A cultural alignment
? Commitment to continued growth
? Enthusiastic - a great fit
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Unique and compelling opportunity
Impressive footprint & market share in contiguous region
Outstanding strategic and operating fit
Delivers critical mass in the U.S. - North American powerhouse
Opportunity for accelerated organic growth
Complementary North American retail banking business model
Superior value creation opportunity
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Transaction comparables
Source: Company filings, FactSet
Note: Transactions include Bank of America/LaSalle, BBVA/Compass, PNC/Mercantile, Capital One/North Fork, Wachovia/SouthTrust, SunTrust/National Commerce
1 Represents premium to target share price 5 days prior to announcement
2 Next twelve months
Bank transactions greater than $6 billion since 2004 (excludes MOEs)
Price/NTM2 EPS
NTM2 PEG
Price to:
Premium1
(%)
w/o
synergies
(x)
w/
synergies
(x)
w/o
synergies
(%)
w/
synergies
(%)
Book
value
(x)
Tangible
book
value
(x)
Core
deposit
premium
(%)
High
30.3%
21.3x
15.8x
248%
180%
3.4x
4.9x
40.3%
Median
25.5
18.1
14.8
174
135
2.5
4.1
38.1
Low
16.9
16.0
10.2
146
119
1.6
3.4
23.0
TD/Commerce
10.5%
23.4x
14.2x
180%
109%
2.8x
3.0x
13.5%
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