UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
SCHEDULE 13D
Under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. |
(Name of Issuer)
Common Stock |
(Title of Class of Securities)
416515104 |
(CUSIP Number)
Stuart L. Merzer General Counsel & Chief Compliance Officer Paulson & Co. Inc. 1251 Avenue of the Americas New York, New York 10020 (212) 956-2221
with a copy to:
Scott J. Davis Mayer Brown LLP 71 S. Wacker Drive Chicago, IL 60606 (312) 701-7311 |
(Name, Address and Telephone Number of Person Authorized to Receive Notices and Communications)
February 14, 2012 |
(Date of Event which Requires Filing of this Statement)
If the filing person has previously filed a statement on Schedule 13G to report the acquisition that is the subject of this Schedule 13D, and is filing this schedule because of §§240.13d-1(e), 240.13d-1(f) or 240.13d-1(g), check the following box. x
Note: Schedules filed in paper format shall include a signed original and five copies of the schedule, including all exhibits. See §240.13d-7 for other parties to whom copies are to be sent.
* | The remainder of this cover page shall be filled out for a reporting persons initial filing on this form with respect to the subject class of securities, and for any subsequent amendment containing information which would alter disclosures provided in a prior cover page. |
The information required on the remainder of this cover page shall not be deemed to be filed for the purpose of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (Act) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section of the Act but shall be subject to all other provisions of the Act (however, see the Notes).
CUSIP No. 416515104 |
1. |
Names of Reporting Persons.
Paulson & Co. Inc. | |||||
2. | Check the Appropriate Box if a Member of a Group (See Instructions) (a) ¨ (b) x
| |||||
3. | SEC Use Only:
| |||||
4. | Source of Funds (See Instructions):
AF | |||||
5. | Check if Disclosure of Legal Proceedings Is Required Pursuant to Items 2(d) or 2(e):
| |||||
6. | Citizenship or Place of Organization:
State of Delaware | |||||
Number of Shares Beneficially by Owned by Each Reporting Person With |
7. | Sole Voting Power:
37,540,676 (See Notes 1 and 2 to Item 5 below) | ||||
8. | Shared Voting Power:
None | |||||
9. | Sole Dispositive Power:
37,540,676 (See Notes 1 and 2 to Item 5 below) | |||||
10. | Shared Dispositive Power:
None | |||||
11. |
Aggregate Amount Beneficially Owned by Each Reporting Person:
37,540,676 (See Notes 1 and 2 to Item 5 below) | |||||
12. |
Check if the Aggregate Amount in Row (11) Excludes Certain Shares (See Instructions):
| |||||
13. |
Percent of Class Represented by Amount in Row (11):
8.4% | |||||
14. |
Type of Reporting Person (See Instructions):
IA |
Item 1. | Security and Issuer |
This statement on Schedule 13D relates to the shares of common stock (Common Stock) and warrants to purchase Common Stock expiring June 26, 2019 (Warrants) of The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the Issuer). The address of the Issuers principal executive offices is One Hartford Plaza, 690 Asylum Drive, Hartford, Connecticut 06155.
Item 2. | Identity and Background |
(a) NAME
Paulson & Co. Inc. (the Reporting Person)
(b) RESIDENCE OR BUSINESS ADDRESS
1251 Avenue of the Americas, New York, New York 10020
(c) PRESENT PRINCIPAL OCCUPATION OR EMPLOYMENT AND THE NAME, PRINCIPAL BUSINESS AND ADDRESS OF ANY CORPORATION OR OTHER ORGANIZATION IN WHICH SUCH EMPLOYMENT IS CONDUCTED
The Reporting Person, an investment advisor that is registered under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, furnishes investment advice to and manages onshore and offshore pooled investment vehicles and separate managed accounts (collectively, such pooled investment vehicles and accounts shall be referred to as the Funds). John Paulson is the President and sole Director of the Reporting Person.
Information regarding the directors, executive officers and/or control persons of the Reporting Person (collectively, the Instruction C Persons) is set forth in Exhibit I attached hereto.
(d), (e) CRIMINAL CONVICTIONS; CIVIL PROCEEDINGS
During the last five years, the Reporting Person has not (i) been convicted in a criminal proceeding (excluding traffic violations or similar misdemeanors) or (ii) been a party to a civil proceeding of a judicial or administrative body of competent jurisdiction and as a result of such proceeding was or is subject to a judgment, decree or final order enjoining future violations or prohibiting activities subject to federal or state securities laws or finding any violation of such laws.
(f) CITIZENSHIP
The Reporting Person is a Delaware corporation.
Item 3. | Source and Amount of Funds or Other Consideration |
The consideration for the purchase of the shares of Common Stock and the Warrants reported herein by the Reporting Person was derived from available capital of the Funds managed by the Reporting Person, and a total of approximately $927,773,967 was paid to acquire such shares and Warrants.
Item 4. | Purpose of Transaction |
The Reporting Person has had discussions or communications with the Issuers management and board of directors, and has made public statements, relating to the Issuers possible spin-off of its property and casualty insurance business. The Reporting Person expects to begin having such discussions or communications with shareholders relating to this matter and to continue having such discussions or communications with the Issuers management and board of directors and to continue making such public statements.
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The Reporting Person reserves the right to formulate any plans or proposals regarding the Issuer or any of its securities that relate to or would result in any of the matters set forth in subparagraphs (a) (j) of Item 4 of Schedule 13D (including but not limited to acquiring or causing to be acquired, or disposing of, or causing to be disposed of, securities of the Issuer), to the extent deemed advisable in light of general investment and trading policies of the Reporting Person, market conditions or other factors; provided, however, that the Reporting Person does not currently have an intent to engage in a control transaction or any contested solicitation for the election of directors. The Reporting Person may communicate with the Issuers management or board of directors, or with other shareholders or third parties, to discuss any plans or proposals.
Item 5. | Interest in Securities of the Issuer |
(a) Amount beneficially owned: 37,540,676 (See Notes 1 and 2)
Percent of class: 8.4%
(b) Number of shares of Common Stock and number of Warrants as to which the Reporting Person has:
(i) | Sole power to vote or direct the vote: 37,540,676 (See Notes 1 and 2) |
(ii) | Share power to vote or direct the vote: 0 |
(iii) | Sole power to dispose or direct disposition of: 37,540,676 (See Notes 1 and 2) |
(iv) | Shared power to dispose or direct the disposition of: 0 |
(c) The following table sets forth all transactions with respect to the Common Stock of the Issuer effected during the past sixty (60) days by the Reporting Person, inclusive of any transactions effected through 5:00 p.m., New York City time, on February 13, 2012. All such transactions were effected in the open market. Purchase and sale transactions for the same quantities of shares on a given day typically reflect rebalancing of positions among the various Funds based on their relative capital levels, which may change from time to time.
Date of Transaction |
Amount of Securities | Price Per Share | Type of Transaction | |||||||
2/7/2012 | 86,875 | $ | 19.1919 | Buy | ||||||
2/7/2012 | 86,875 | $ | 19.1874 | Sell | ||||||
2/7/2012 | 18,147 | $ | 19.1649 | Buy* | ||||||
2/7/2012 | 193,927 | $ | 19.1907 | Buy | ||||||
2/7/2012 | 212,074 | $ | 19.1816 | Sell | ||||||
1/11/2012 | 39,732 | $ | 17.9107 | Buy | ||||||
1/11/2012 | 39,732 | $ | 17.9017 | Sell | ||||||
1/9/2012 | 138,500 | $ | 16.7076 | Buy | ||||||
1/9/2012 | 138,500 | $ | 16.7018 | Sell | ||||||
1/5/2012 | 110,410 | $ | 16.7505 | Buy | ||||||
1/5/2012 | 110,410 | $ | 16.7405 | Sell | ||||||
1/5/2012 | 21,500 | $ | 16.7573 | Buy* | ||||||
1/5/2012 | 38,900 | $ | 16.7501 | Buy | ||||||
12/16/2011 | 146,763 | $ | 15.7177 | Buy | ||||||
12/16/2011 | 146,763 | $ | 15.6965 | Sell |
* | Indicates swaps transaction. |
(d) Not applicable.
(e) Not applicable.
Note 1: The amount listed consists of 37,470,676 shares of Common Stock and 70,000 Warrants. In addition, the Funds currently hold cash-settled swaps positions relating to an additional 221,424 shares of Common Stock and 3,251,000 Warrants, but because neither the Reporting Person nor the Funds have any power to vote, to direct the vote, to dispose or to direct the disposition of the shares of Common Stock and Warrants that its counterparty may hold in connection with such swaps positions, such shares of Common Stock and Warrants are not included in the amount listed in Item 5.
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Note 2: The Reporting Person, an investment advisor that is registered under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940, furnishes investment advice to and manages the Funds. In its role as investment advisor, or manager, the Reporting Person possesses voting and/or investment power over the securities of the Issuer described in this schedule that are owned by the Funds. All securities reported in this schedule are owned by the Funds. The Reporting Person disclaims beneficial ownership of such securities.
Item 6. | Contracts, Arrangements, Understandings or Relationships with Respect to Securities of the Issuer |
Not Applicable.
Item 7. | Material to Be Filed as Exhibits |
The following documents are filed as exhibits:
Exhibit I: | Instruction C Person Information | |
Exhibit II: | Letter sent to management and the board of directors of the Issuer on February 14, 2012. | |
Exhibit III: | Materials sent to management and the board of directors of the Issuer on February 14, 2012. |
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SIGNATURE
After reasonable inquiry and to the best of my knowledge and belief, I certify that the information set forth in this statement is true, complete and correct.
Dated: February 14, 2012 | ||||
PAULSON & CO. INC. | ||||
By: | /s/ Stuart L. Merzer | |||
Name: | Stuart L. Merzer | |||
Title: | General Counsel & Chief Compliance Officer |
EXHIBIT I
INFORMATION REGARDING THE INSTRUCTION C PERSONS
The following table sets forth the name, title, principal occupation, business address, place of employment and citizenship of each of the executive officers and directors of Paulson & Co. Inc.
Name |
Title and Principal Occupation |
Business Address and Place of Employment |
Citizenship | |||
John Paulson |
President and Sole Director | 1251 Avenue of the Americas New York, NY 10020 |
United States | |||
Chris Bodak |
Chief Financial Officer | 1251 Avenue of the Americas New York, NY 10020 |
United States | |||
Stuart Merzer |
General Counsel | 1251 Avenue of the Americas New York, NY 10020 |
United States | |||
Andrew Hoine |
Managing Director | 1251 Avenue of the Americas New York, NY 10020 |
United States | |||
Charles Murphy |
Managing Director | 1251 Avenue of the Americas New York, NY 10020 |
United States | |||
Michael Waldorf |
Managing Director | 1251 Avenue of the Americas New York, NY 10020 |
United States | |||
Keith Hannan |
Managing Director | 1251 Avenue of the Americas New York, NY 10020 |
United States |
Investment Management | ||||||
1251 Avenue of the | ||||||
Americas 50th Floor | ||||||
New York, NY 10020 USA |
February 14, 2012
Mr. Liam E. McGee
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc.
One Hartford Plaza
Hartford, CT 06155
Dear Liam:
We appreciate the opportunity to have a dialogue with you on the significant benefits to be achieved through a tax-free spinoff of Hartfords P&C business. As the largest investor in the Company for the past year, we have done exhaustive research on the challenges and opportunities of The Hartford and believe that a spinoff would produce an increase in value for Hartford shareholders of 40 60%+ above the unaffected share price. This valuation range is also consistent with Goldman Sachs estimate of a valuation enhancement on the order of 70%.
Stated simply, the spin-off would:
| Create two pure play insurance companies one in life and one in P&C whose management is focused solely on each companies own strategies, distribution channels and capital requirements. |
| Enable each of the respective companies to achieve a multiple consistent with its industry, which, for the property casualty business, would mean a multiple of approximately 1.1x book value versus Hartfords current multiple of 0.4x the lowest of any major US insurance company. |
| Reduce complexity, which limits sell-side coverage and investor interest. |
Given the extremely poor performance of Hartfords stock and the fact that Hartford trades at lower valuation multiples than any of its US insurance peers, addressing these issues should be Hartfords highest priority. That is why we were disappointed that management, on the February 8th earnings call, only addressed the potential challenges of a separation. Not only do we believe that you underestimate the potential value that would be created by a spin, the challenges you describe are both over-rated and readily manageable.
We shared our view regarding the benefits of a tax-free P&C spinoff initially in November 2011 and again in December 2011. As part of our analysis, we considered all other strategic alternatives including share buybacks, the sales of individual businesses, the sale or IPO of minority stakes in Life and/or P&C, and others, but none of these came close to the dramatic increase in shareholder value to be created by a spinoff. For your reference, we have updated and attached the slides we previously sent to your Board.
1
Significant Underperformance Could Be Reversed through Spinoff
Prior to the discussion of strategic alternatives on the February 8th earnings call, Hartfords shares stood at 44% of book value a huge discount to its closest P&C peers (1.1x on average) and closest Life peers (0.8x on average) and the lowest of any major US insurance company.
Investor dissatisfaction with Hartfords current direction is reflected in your stock performance. Hartfords share price fell by 38% in 2011 while P&C peers rose by 14%, and even declined more than Life peers which fell 23%.
2
The main, but not the only, reason for Hartfords low multiple is because the company combines both a Life and P&C business together. Although P&C companies trade at higher multiples than life companies, by keeping the two together, Hartford trades at the lower life multiples.
If P&C and Life were separately traded, we believe the two companies would be valued at a combined $32 per share, resulting in immediate share price appreciation of more than 60% above the $19.12 price on February 7th before Hartfords fourth quarter earnings call. A tax-free spinoff of 100% of P&C would create both pure play P&C and Life companies that would be easier to understand and benchmark against their peers. It would immediately attract P&C investors and P&C analyst coverage.
2012 (1) | If-quoted value | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4Q11 | Core | If-quoted | Implied | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
BV ex AOCI | Earnings | ROE | P/BV (3) | P/E | Total | Per share | ||||||||||||||||||||||
P&C |
9,851 | 841 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net debt (2) |
(2,200 | ) | (94 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Corp. other (4) |
508 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net |
8,159 | 757 | 8.9 | % | 1.06x | 10.3x | 8,648 | 16.82 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Life |
15,003 | 1,093 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net debt (2) |
(3,000 | ) | (214 | ) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Corp. other (4) |
1,036 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net |
13,039 | 889 | 6.6 | % | 0.59x | 8.7x | 7,693 | 14.96 | ||||||||||||||||||||
P&C + Life |
21,197 | 1,645 | 7.5 | % | 0.77x | 9.9x | 16,341 | 31.78 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Diluted shares |
514 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Share price as of: |
7-Feb-12 | 19.12 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Upside |
66 | % |
(1) | Average of core earnings estimates by BAC, Barclays, JPM, UBS, CS & MS. |
(2) | P&C net debt consists of $2.5bn gross debt and $300mm cash, Life net debt consists of $4.3bn gross debt and $1.3bn cash |
(3) | Average P&C peer multiple for Hartford P&C. LNC multiple for Hartford Life. |
(4) | Assumes Corporate excluding debt and cash is allocated 50/50 between P&C and Life. Assumes $528mm discount for Allianz jr. sub debt added back to Life Corporate. |
3
In addition, our estimate of the value of a spin-off only reaches $32 per share, well below Hartfords book value of $45 per share. This is due to the low multiple to book value at which we have estimated the Life Company would trade. We would hope that a newly incentivized Life management running a pure Life company would take steps to further improve the separately traded Lifes value. The table below shows a range of valuation outcomes based on various P/BV assumptions.
Potential Values Based on Different P/BV Multiples
|
P&C P/BV | |||||||||||||||||
0.90x | 1.00x | 1.10x | 1.20x | |||||||||||||||
0.40x | 25.20 | 26.59 | 27.99 | 29.43 | ||||||||||||||
0.50x | 27.42 | 28.85 | 30.29 | 31.73 | ||||||||||||||
0.60x | 29.71 | 31.15 | 32.59 | 34.02 | ||||||||||||||
0.70x | 32.01 | 33.45 | 34.86 | 36.25 | ||||||||||||||
0.80x | 34.30 | 35.69 | 37.09 | 38.49 | ||||||||||||||
Upside Based on 7-Feb-12 Unaffected Share Price |
||||||||||||||||||
|
P&C P/BV | |||||||||||||||||
0.90x | 1.00x | 1.10x | 1.20x | |||||||||||||||
0.40x | 32% | 39% | 46% | 54% | ||||||||||||||
0.50x | 43% | 51% | 58% | 66% | ||||||||||||||
0.60x | 55% | 63% | 70% | 78% | ||||||||||||||
0.70x | 67% | 75% | 82% | 90% | ||||||||||||||
0.80x | 79% | 87% | 94% | 101% |
Lack of Research Coverage and Investor Interest
P&C analysts shun Hartford due to its complexity, resulting in a lack of research coverage and investor interest. For example, only 3 of 19 P&C analysts cover Hartford while 18 of the 19 cover Travelers and Chubb and 17 cover ACE.
P&C | Covers: | |||||||||||
Inst. Investor Ranking |
Analyst |
Bank |
Travelers | Chubb | ACE | Hartford | ||||||
1) |
Jay Cohen |
BAC |
ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||||
2) |
Jay Gelb |
Barclays |
ü | ü | ü | ü | ||||||
3) |
Matt Heimermann |
JPM |
ü | ü | ü | X | ||||||
RU |
Keith Walsh |
Citi |
ü | ü | ü | X | ||||||
RU |
Josh Shanker |
DB |
ü | ü | ü | X | ||||||
RU |
Brian Meredith |
UBS |
ü | ü | ü | X | ||||||
Vinay Misquith |
Evercore |
ü | ü | ü | X | |||||||
Michael Nannizzi |
GS |
ü | ü | ü | X | |||||||
Larry Greenberg |
Janney Montgomery |
ü | ü | ü | X | |||||||
Cliff Gallant |
KBW |
ü | ü | ü | X | |||||||
Alan Zimmermann |
Macquarie |
ü | ü | ü | X | |||||||
Greg Locraft |
MS |
ü | ü | ü | X | |||||||
Michael Grasher |
Piper Jaffray |
X | ü | ü | X | |||||||
Mark Dwelle |
RBC |
ü | ü | ü | X | |||||||
Paul Newsome |
Sandler ONeil |
ü | ü | ü | X | |||||||
Josh Stirling |
Sanford Bernstein |
ü | ü | ü | X | |||||||
Dan Farrell |
Sterne Agee |
ü | X | X | X | |||||||
Michael Paisan |
Stifel |
ü | ü | ü | ü | |||||||
Adam Klauber |
William Blair |
ü | ü | X | X |
4
Few of the Life analysts who cover Hartford understand the P&C side of Hartford. Of the 15 Life analysts who cover Hartford, only 3 also cover its P&C peers.
Life | Covers: | |||||||
Inst. Investor Ranking |
Analyst |
Bank |
HIG | P&C | ||||
1) |
Jimmy Bhullar |
JPM |
ü | X | ||||
2) |
Andrew Kligerman |
UBS |
ü | X | ||||
3) |
Tom Gallagher |
CS |
ü | X | ||||
RU |
Suneet Kamath |
Sanford Bernstein |
ü | X | ||||
RU |
Ed Spehar |
BAC |
ü | X | ||||
RU |
Nigel Dally |
MS |
ü | X | ||||
Alan Devlin |
Altantic Equities |
ü | ü | |||||
Mark Finklestein |
Evercore |
ü | X | |||||
Randy Binner |
FBR |
ü | ü | |||||
Chris Giovanni |
GS |
ü | X | |||||
Bob Glasspiegal |
Janney Montgomery |
ü | X | |||||
Jeff Schuman |
KBW |
ü | X | |||||
Eric Berg |
RBC |
ü | X | |||||
Ed Shields |
Sandler ONeil |
X | X | |||||
John Nadel |
Sterne Agee |
ü | X | |||||
John Hall |
Wells Fargo |
ü | ü |
Many of the largest institutional investors in Hartfords peers are significantly underweight Hartford, which suggests, among other things, the complexity makes the company un-investable, even at the current stock price.
Competitors have Already Realized Value of Separation
While multi-line insurers were common twenty years ago, almost all US multi-lines other than Hartford chose to separate P&C and Life in order to increase shareholder value, including Travelers, CNA, Lincoln, Aetna and CIGNA, as indicated by the table below.
Segment earnings | Historical | 2011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Date | P&C | Life | Health | P&C | Life | Health | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Travelers (1) |
2000 | 75 | % | 25 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||
CNA |
2002 | 59 | % | 41 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||
Lincoln (2) |
1996 | 40 | % | 60 | % | 0 | % | 0 | % | 100 | % | 0 | % | |||||||||||||||
Aetna |
1994 | 8 | % | 42 | % | 50 | % | 0 | % | 8 | % | 92 | % | |||||||||||||||
Cigna |
1996 | 20 | % | 34 | % | 46 | % | 0 | % | 18 | % | 82 | % |
(1) | Pro-forma combination of St. Paul and Citigroups insurance businesses |
(2) | P&C includes reinsurance segment |
5
Given the extreme undervaluation, poor share price performance, lack of P&C analyst interest and significant value creation, we believe it is incumbent on the Board to focus on implementing a plan to spin off the P&C business in the most efficient manner. This will immediately unlock the P&C value as it should trade at more than twice the multiple at which Hartford trades and be warmly welcomed by analysts and investors. Shareholders are entitled to expect the management and the Board to show leadership by moving beyond the current phase of identifying potential challenges to working actively to address them in a way that is accretive to shareholder value.
Challenges Can Be Readily Addressed
The most significant challenge to a spinoff that you have identified seems to be how to allocate the debt to balance the companys credit ratings objectives with the delivery of greater shareholder value. Your slide suggests that there could be ratings pressure on the Life Company if it assumes more than approximately $2.3bn of debt (one-third of the $6.8bn of holding company debt). The slide also points out the risk that the P&C Company would need to consider potentially dilutive de-leveraging actions if it were allocated the remaining debt.
We believe, as do others, that your analysis understates the debt servicing capabilities of Life. If debt were allocated roughly in proportion to equity, approximately 40% to P&C and 60% to Life, $2.5bn could be allocated to P&C and the balance of $4.3bn of debt would be allocated to Life. P&C would have a debt-to-total capital ratio of 28% and Lifes ratio would be 24%. Both would be in line with Hartfords 25% ratio today and well within A ratings leverage guidelines of 25-35% from S&P and 30-40% from Moodys. They would also be in line with their peers: P&C peers are currently at 25%, and Lincoln National was at 25% before reclassifying $750mm of debt as a result of an AXXX securitization.
Nevertheless, if allocation of debt is your main concern, there are many ways to reduce leverage.
1) | The challenges slide made no mention of the $1.6bn of holding company cash. If P&C were to be allocated $300mm, life could be allocated $1.3bn. This would reduce Life net debt to $3.0bn. Alternatively, if Hartford Life would use $700mm to de-lever, Life gross debt would be reduced to $3.6bn and the cost of servicing that debt would still be covered 2.0x by the remaining $600m of cash (more than the 1.8x maintained by Lincoln National, Lifes closest peer). |
2) | A spinoff would likely take 8 to 12 months or more to complete, so debt ratios would be measured off forward financials. By that time, capital, cash and Life dividend capacity should have increased by $400-800mm through retained earnings and other changes to capital. |
3) | If you still see debt as the principal obstacle, we suggest you consider using the $400mm ear-marked for buybacks to pay down debt instead. |
4) | At its investor day, Hartford disclosed that it is pursuing an AXXX solution. This could substantially increase dividend capacity and statutory capital. Lincoln reduced debt by $750mm in 2011 using a similar solution. |
5) | Hartford recently separated several businesses into a run-off segment which it defined as non-core. If these businesses were sold, substantial amounts of capital will be freed up that can be used for deleveraging. For instance, the Institutional Annuity business could be sold in the current market for near book value, freeing up $1.0-1.5bn of capital. |
6) | If you needed or wanted to reduce leverage further, there are several non-P&C businesses that could be sold for attractive valuations. Press reports suggested that buyers were prepared to pay $1.5bn for the mutual fund business until financing markets dried up in July 2011. With attractive financing again widely available and with higher run-rate earnings as a result of higher equity markets, this business could be sold or IPOd today for a valuation of $1.5 billion or more. |
6
7) | There are also other businesses that could be sold between announcement and completion of the spinoff. Atlantic Equities suggests selling the Group business for estimated proceeds of $1.5bn, which would not only reduce debt but also increase shareholder value because it would be sold at higher multiples of book value and earnings than those at which Hartford trades today. |
8) | There are also various potential internal restructuring steps Hartford could take to increase statutory capital and pre-approved dividend capacity. For instance, Life holds $1.3bn of alternative investments which attract a 19.5% capital charge of $257mm. If this portfolio were sold or redeemed, Lifes could dividend $1.1bn to its parent while still maintaining its current approximately 420% RBC ratio. |
9) | There is ample time between announcement and completion of a spin-off to put in place arrangements that are common amongst Lifes peers to increase pre-approved cash flow to the parent such as surplus notes, service agreements with non-insurance subsidiaries and tax-sharing agreements. |
10) | Many suggestions have been made that the US VA business should be put in runoff. Morgan Stanley estimates that this would result in $250mm of expense savings after tax and free up $853mm in capital. When SunLife of Canada put its US VA business in runoff in December 2011, it said this would lead to $170mm per year of expense reductions. In run-off, Moodys only expects Sun Life US to maintain an RBC ratio in the range of 300 to 350%, which frees up substantial capital versus Hartfords current 420% supporting new VA sales. |
11) | As a last resort, Hartford could sell up to 19.9% of P&C, use the proceeds to pay down debt and still be able to do a simultaneous tax-free spinoff. This should not be dilutive because the P&C shares could be sold at a much higher multiple than that at which Hartford currently trades and debt would be decreased by an equal amount. This would raise $1.5bn if sold at 90% of book with $2.5bn of debt, and potentially considerably more based on capital structure and where peers are trading at the time. |
In short there are many ways to structure a separation in order to free up cash, to reduce leverage and to accomplish the spinoff with little or no dilution to shareholders. You and your advisors can determine the most accretive ways to reduce leverage to accomplish a tax-free spinoff of P&C that creates the greatest shareholder value.
We strongly believe that any additional issues can be resolved favorably to effect a tax-free spinoff in a timely manner. Our analysis of Hartfords bond covenants and intra-group guarantees shows that the Company has broad scope for various approaches to optimize the allocation of capital and debt. Similarly, a well-prepared approach to regulators and rating agencies should be able to address any questions and a well-structured plan should be viewed positively. While there may be small synergies in keeping the businesses together, the economic value of any synergies is immaterial relative to the value unlocked by a separation.
Spinoff Enhances Each Businesss Potential for Success
Each of the companies will be in a stronger position to make decisions that serve its discrete objectives. An independent Life company may decide to sharpen its focus and stop selling low-return, capital-intensive types of insurance and focus instead on faster-growing, less capital-intensive businesses such as mutual funds, retirement and group life. When Sun Life announced it would put US VA into runoff, the stock outperformed Hartford by 14% (Sun Life rose 8.4% on a day in which Hartford fell 5.5%). Analysts are increasingly calling on Hartford to follow suit, with Credit Suisse writing after the December investor day we think putting [US VA] into run off is a no brainer, given the fact that net income ROE (which includes hedging costs) is zero and it is a drag on capital generation. We expect an independent Life company would make logical economic decisions that would allow it to be valued at least equal to the Life insurance average of 0.8x book value.
7
P&C and Life are already of sufficient size to serve customers and attract and retain management. Both can remain on firm financial footing, as evidenced by Hartfords recent stress test disclosures and announced share repurchase program. The additional capital that will be available to the companies as pure-play entities will also help assure that the companies can continue to improve and grow for the benefit of not only shareholders but policyholders, employees, agents and brokers and the greater Hartford community.
Many leading U.S. companies have announced 100% spinoffs of major divisions to create shareholder value, including McGraw Hill, Abbott Laboratories, Tyco, Kraft, Ralcorp, ConocoPhillips, Procter & Gamble, Marriott, Sara Lee and ITT. As William Stiritz, Chairman and CEO of Ralcorp, said on July 15, 2011 We firmly believe the separation of Post Foods from Ralcorp by way of a tax-free spin-off will unlock significant value for our shareholders. As independent companies, both Ralcorp and Post Foods will be better positioned to focus on strategies specific to their particular businesses, thereby improving the opportunities to deliver increasing shareholder value.
In summary, we believe a separation of Hartford into pure play Life and P&C companies would maximize shareholder value in both the short term and the long term and enable each company to focus solely on their own strategies, distribution channels and capital requirements. Management and the Board have an excellent opportunity to seize the initiative to adopt this plan, implement it proactively and unlock the shareholder value it will create.
We look forward to continuing to discuss these matters with you.
Sincerely,
John Paulson
Cc:
Robert B. Allardice, III | Trevor Fetter | Paul G. Kirk, Jr. | Kathryn Mikells | |||||
Michael G. Morris | Thomas A. Renyi | Charles B. Strauss | H. Patrick Swygert |
8
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
HARTFORD
Spin-Off of P&C Business Would
Increase Shareholder Value By 60%
Investment Management
1251 Avenue of the Americas
New York, NY 10020
Phone: (212) 956-2221 Fax: (212) 977-9505
www.paulsonco.com
CONFIDENTIAL
February 14, 2012
LEGAL DISCLAIMER
This document does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities, and may not be relied upon in connection with any offer or sale of securities. This document should be read in conjunction with, and is qualified in its entirety by, information appearing in the Confidential Private Offering Memorandum (and a Limited Partnership Agreement for domestic partnerships), which should be carefully reviewed prior to investing. Certain statements included herein may constitute forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, those identified by the expressions expect, intend, will and similar expressions to the extent they relate to the investment vehicles discussed herein. The forward-looking statements are not historical facts but reflect Paulson & Cos current expectations regarding future results or events. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from current expectations. Although Paulson & Co believes that the assumptions inherent in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and, accordingly, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such statements due to the inherent uncertainty therein. Paulson & Co undertakes no obligation to update publicly or otherwise revise any forward-looking statement or information whether as a result of new information, future events or other such factors which affect this information, except as required by law.
An investment in a hedge fund is speculative and involves a high degree of risk, which each investor must carefully consider. An investor in hedge funds could lose all or a substantial amount of his or her investment. Returns generated from an investment in a hedge fund may not adequately compensate investors for the business and financial risks assumed. While hedge funds are subject to market risks common to other types of investments, including market volatility, hedge funds employ certain trading techniques, such as the use of leveraging and other speculative investment practices that may increase the risk of investment loss. Products may involve above-average risk. Risks associated with hedge fund investments include, but are not limited to, the fact that hedge funds can be highly illiquid; they are not required to provide periodic pricing or valuation information to investors; they may involve complex tax structures and delays in distributing important tax information; they are not subject to the same regulatory requirements as mutual funds; they often charge higher fees and the high fees may offset the funds trading profits; they may have a limited operating history; they can have performance that is volatile; they may have a fund manager who has total trading authority over the fund and the use of a single adviser applying generally similar trading programs could mean a lack of diversification, and consequentially, higher risk; they may not have a secondary market for an investors interest in the fund and none may be expected to develop; they may have restrictions on transferring interests in the fund; and may effect a substantial portion of their trades on foreign exchanges.
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This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
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& CO.
INC.
1
A SPIN-OFF OF THE P&C DIVISION CAN LEAD TO A 60% APPRECIATION IN HARTFORDS STOCK PRICE
1. Hartfords share price has dramatically underperformed peers
In 2011, Hartfords stock declined 38% while P&C peers1 were up 14% and life peers2 were down 23%
2. Hartford trades at the lowest multiple to book value (0.44x) or earnings (5.7x) of any US insurance company
3. The low valuation is due to complexity of analyzing a combined P&C and Life company, which has resulted in a lack of research coverage and investor interest
4. The solution is to spin-off the P&C business to create two pure-play insurance companies one in Life and one in P&C
5. This restructuring can lead to an estimated 60% appreciation in the stock price
(1) P&C Peers: TRV, CB & ACE
(2) Life Peers: LNC, PFG, MET & PRU
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
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& CO.
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2
HARTFORDS STOCK HAS DRAMATICALLY UNDERPERFORMED P&C PEERS BY 73% AND LIFE PEERS BY 21% SINCE RAISING NEW EQUITY CAPITAL TO MEET ITS STRESS TESTS
Since:
Mar 16
Last
Datapoint:
30 Dec 11
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
(10%)
(20%)
(30%)
(40%)
(50%)
(60%)
(17)% Life
(38)% HIG
35% P&C
Mar-10
May-10
Jul-10
Sep-10
Nov-10
Jan-11
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-11
Sep-11
Nov-11
(1) Life Peers: LNC, PFG, MET & PRU (2) P&C Peers: TRV, CB & ACE
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
3
IN 2011, HARTFORD DRAMATICALLY UNDERPERFORMED BOTH LIFE AND P&C PEERS
20%
10%
0%
(10%)
(20%)
(30%)
(40%)
(50%)
Last
Datapoint:
30 Dec 11
14% P&C
(23)% Life
(38)% HIG
Jan-11
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-11
Sep-11
Nov-11
(1) Life Peers: LNC, PFG, MET & PRU
(2) P&C Peers: TRV, CB & ACE
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
4
HARTFORD TRADES AT 44% OF BOOK VALUE COMPARED TO 81% FOR LIFE PEERS AND 106% FOR P&C PEERS
1.40x 1.20x 1.00x 0.80x 0.60x 0.40x 0.20x 0.00x
0.44x 0.59x 0.78x 0.81x 0.91x 0.95x 0.96x 1.02x 1.06x 1.21x
HIG LNC MET
Life Avg.
PFG
PRU
TRV
ACE
P&C Avg.
CB
Life
P&C
(1) As of February 7, 2012.
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
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& CO.
INC.
5
HARTFORD TRADES AT A 24% DISCOUNT TO STATUTORY LIQUIDATION VALUE, THE LOWEST OF ANY PEER
Price / Stat Liquidation Value
HIG AIG AMP PFG PL CNO MET PRU UNM SFG DFG LNC AFL TMK
0.76x 1.03x 1.32x 1.53x 1.68x 1.70x 1.72x 1.86x 2.17x 2.49x 2.87x 4.00x 5.16x 7.63x
As of January 7, 2012
Hartford as of 3Q11, other companies as of 2Q11 from CS report dated 14 Sep 2011.
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
6
OPERATING BOTH P&C AND LIFE RESULTS IN A LACK OF RESEARCH COVERAGE AND INVESTOR
INTEREST. OF THE 19 P&C ANALYSTS, ONLY 3 COVER HARTFORD AND ONLY 1 COVERS LIFE COMPANIES.
P&C
Inst. Investor Ranking Analyst
1) Jay Cohen
2) Jay Gelb
3) Matt Heimermann
RU Keith Walsh
RU Josh Shanker
RU Brian Meredith
Vinay Misquith
Michael Nannizzi
Larry Greenberg
Cliff Gallant
Amit Kumar
Greg Locraft
Michael Grasher
Mark Dwelle
Paul Newsome
Josh Stirling
Dan Farrell
Michael Paisan
Adam Klauber
Bank BAC Barclays JPM Citi DB UBS Evercore GS
Janney Montgomery KBW
Macquarie MS Piper Jaffray RBC Sandler ONeil Sanford Bernstein Sterne Agee Stifel Wiilliam Blair
Cover: HIG Life
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
7
WHILE ONLY 3 OF 19 P&C ANALYSTS COVER HARTFORD, 18 COVER TRAVELERS,
18 COVER CHUBB, AND 17 COVER ACE
P&C
Inst. Investor Ranking Analyst
1) Jay Cohen
2) Jay Gelb
3) Matt Heimermann
RU Keith Walsh
RU Josh Shanker
RU Brian Meredith
Vinay Misquith
Michael Nannizzi
Larry Greenberg
Cliff Gallant
Alan Zimmermann
Greg Locraft Michael
Grasher Mark Dwelle
Paul Newsome
Josh Stirling
Dan Farrell
Michael Paisan
Adam Klauber
Bank BAC Barclays JPM Citi DB UBS Evercore GS
Janney Montgomery KBW
Macquarie MS Piper Jaffray RBC Sandler ONeil Sanford Bernstein Sterne Agee Stifel Wiilliam Blair
Covers:
Travelers Chubb ACE Hartford
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
8
P&C ANALYSTS ARE BULLISH ON THE P&C SECTOR. ACE HAS 15 BUY RECOMMENDATIONS, TRAVELERS HAS 13, CHUBB HAS 8. HARTFORD HAS ONLY 1.
Buy ratings:
ACE Travelers Chubb Hartford
15 13 8,1
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
9
FEW ANALYSTS UNDERSTAND THE WHOLE OF HARTFORD. OF THE 15 LIFE ANALYSTS WHO COVER HARTFORD , ONLY 3 ALSO COVER ITS P&C PEERS .
Life
Inst. Investor Ranking Analyst
1) Jimmy Bhullar
2) Andrew Kligerman
3) Tom Gallagher
RU Suneet Kamath
RU Ed Spehar RU Nigel Dally
Alan Devlin
Mark Finklestein
Randy Binner
Chris Giovanni
Bob Glasspiegal
Jeff Schuman
Eric Berg
Ed Shields
John Nadel
John Hall
Bank JPM UBS CS
Sanford Bernstein BAC
MS Citi
Altantic Equities Evercore FBR
GS
Janney Montgomery KBW
RBC
Sandler ONeil Sterne Agee Wells Fargo
Covers: HIG P&C
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
10
THE SOLUTION
Split Into Two Pure-Play Companies: P&C and Life
Tax-Free Spinoff of 100% of P&C
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
11
IF P&C AND LIFE WERE SEPARATELY QUOTED, WE BELIEVE THAT THE TWO COMPANIES WOULD BE VALUED AT APPROXIMATELY $32, A 66% INCREASE
2012 (1) If-quoted value 4Q11 Core If-quoted Implied BV ex AOCI Earnings ROE P/BV (3) P/E Total Per share P&C 9,851 841 Net debt (2) (2,200) (94) Corp. other (4) 508 10 Net 8,159 757 8.9% 1.06x 10.3x 8,648 16.82
Life 15,003 1,093 Net debt (2) (3,000) (214) Corp. other (4) 1,036 10
Net 13,039 889 6.6% 0.59x 8.7x 7,693 14.96 P&C + Life 21,197 1,645 7.5% 0.77x 9.9x 16,341 31.78 Diluted shares 514 Share price as of: 7-Feb-12 19.12
Upside 66%
(1) Average of core earnings estimates by BAC, Barclays, JPM, UBS, CS & MS.
(2) P&C net debt consists of $2.5bn gross debt and $300mm cash, Life net debt consists of $4.3bn gross debt and $1.3bn cash.
(3) Average P&C peer multiple for Hartford P&C. LNC multiple for Hartford Life.
(4) Assumes Corporate excluding debt and cash is allocated 50/50 between P&C and Life. Assumes $528mm discount for Allianz jr. sub debt added back to Life Corporate.
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
12
WHILE MULTI-LINE INSURANCE COMPANIES WERE POPULAR IN THE PAST, NEARLY ALL LEADING U.S. INSURERS ARE NOW PURE-PLAYS
Segment earnings Historical 2011
Date P&C Life Health P&C Life Health Travelers (1) 2000 75% 25% 0% 100% 0% 0% CNA 2002 59% 41% 0% 100% 0% 0% Lincoln (2) 1996 40% 60% 0% 0% 100% 0% Aetna 1994 8% 42% 50% 0% 8% 92% Cigna 1996 20% 34% 46% 0% 18% 82%
(1) Pro-forma combination of St. Paul and Citigroup insurance businesses (2) P&C includes reinsurance segment
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
13
MANY FORTUNE 500 COMPANIES ARE SPINNING OFF 100% OF BUSINESS LINES TO CREATE SHAREHOLDER VALUE
Completed
Spinco Completion Parent Spinco Market cap Date Marathon Oil Marathon Petroleum 15,562 Jun-11 Motorola Motorola Mobility 11,866 Dec-10 Liberty Media Liberty Interactive 11,063 Sep-11 Expedia TripAdvisor 3,816 Dec-11 Williams Cos WPX Energy 3,455 Jan-12 Cablevision AMC Networks 3,050 Jun-11 Beam Fortune Brands 3,025 Oct-11 General Growth Howard Hughes 1,975 Nov-11 Northrup Grumman Huntington Ingalls 1,784 Mar-11 Sunoco SunCoke Energy 1,042 Jan-12 Marriott International Marriott Vacations 758 Nov-11 Forest Oil Lone Pine Resources 585 Sep-11
Announced
Announcement Parent Spinco Date Abbott Laboratories Research-based medicines Oct-11 Tyco ADT Home Security & Flow Control Sep-11 Kraft North American grocery business Aug-11 L-3 Government Services Jul-11 Ralcorp Post Foods Jul-11 ConocoPhillips Refining & marketing business Jul-11 Sears Orchard Supply Hardware Jun-11 Procter & Gamble Pringles Apr-11 Sara Lee Beverage business Jan-11
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
14
THE OBJECTIVE IN ALL THESE SPIN-OFFS IS THE SAME, TO OPTIMIZE RETURNS TO SHAREHOLDERS
Ralcorps 100% Tax-Free Spinoff of Post Foods
We firmly believe the separation of Post Foods from Ralcorp by way of a tax-free spin-off will unlock significant value for our shareholders.
As independent companies, both Ralcorp and Post Foods will be better positioned to focus on strategies specific to their particular businesses, thereby improving the opportunities to deliver increasing shareholder value.
William StiritzChairman of Ralcorp, 15 Jul 2011
Krafts 100% Tax-Free Spinoff of N. American Grocery Business
The company believes creating two public companies would offer a number of opportunities:
Each business would focus on its distinct strategic priorities, with financial targets that best fit its own markets and unique opportunities.
Each would be able to allocate resources and deploy capital in a manner consistent with its strategic priorities in order to optimize total returns to shareholders.
Investors would be able to value the two companies based on their particular operational and financial characteristics and thus invest accordingly.
Press release, 4 Aug 2011
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
15
MANY ANALYSTS SEE SUBSTANTIAL VALUE IN A SEPARATION OF P&C AND VIABLE WAYS TO ACHIEVE IT
We believe HIGs P&C and life companies are worth more separately than together. If HIGs valuation remains depressed, we expect HIG to reach a similar verdict over time, resulting in a potential spin-off of its P&C business.
- Chris Giovanni-Goldman Sachs, 9 Jan 2012
We believe there is a strong opportunity for management to unlock shareholder value by reevaluating the multi-line strategy, placing annuities into run-off, and selling off its remaining life insurance operations. If executed, we see a potential fair value in the range of $26-27, roughly 50% above the stocks level.
-Nigel Dally-Morgan Stanley, 1 Feb 2012
We believe that a split of the life and P&C business would be viewed positively by investors. Based upon our sum-of-the-parts analysis, the company would likely be valued higher as two separate entities. Also, a successful sale of the asset management business would enhance capital flexibility and boost investor sentiment.
-Jimmy Bhullar-JP Morgan, 27 Jan 2012
We view the break up scenario as a viable strategy -Tom Gallagher-Credit Suisse, 8 Feb 2012
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
16
ECONOMIC VALUE OF ANY SYNERGIES IMMATERIAL IN RELATION TO VALUE UNLOCKED IN A SPINOFF
P&C
Synergies = 1% of premiums
Life
Commercial $675
Group Benefits $113
Life $235
Annuities $593
Personal $165
Mutual Funds $93
Retirement Plans $59
(1) Average of 2012 core earnings estimates by BAC, Barclays, JPM, UBS, CS & MS.
(2) Join sales efforts generated approximately $90mm of incremental premium in the first nine months of 2011,
1% of total written premiums of $4,694mm in P&C commercial and $3,078mm in group benefits .
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
17
COVENANTS APPEAR TO ALLOW A 100% TAX-FREE SPIN-OFF OF THE P&C BUSINESS
We will not consolidate with or merge into any other corporation or convey, transfer or lease our properties and assets substantially as an entirety to any person.unless: the successor corporation expressly assumes our obligations relating to the notes
Substantially as an entirety is generally understood to be 60% or more: P&C is less than half of Hartford on most measures(1)
LTM 30 Sep 11 2008 (2) 2007
PAULSON
& CO.
2011
P&C Life
Equity 38% 62%
Stat Capital 46% 54%
Assets 25% 75%
Core income 22% 78%
Net income 28% 72%
INC.
18
SOLUTION TO HARTFORDS UNDERVALUATION: TAX-FREE SPIN-OFF OF 100% OF P&C
Shareholders
Existing Notes
HIG (Life)
NewCo (P&C)
NOTE: If there is a need to reduce Lifes debt, Life can use cash and/or sell assets to pay down debt, or Newco can issue new debt to repay a portion of Lifes debt.
All material is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The above represented are for illustrative purposes only. There is no guarantee that these securities will be held in the funds in the future. This material may not be distributed to other than the intended recipients. Unauthorized reproduction or distribution of all or any of this material is strictly prohibited.
PAULSON
& CO.
INC.
19