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Community Bank (CBU): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q1 Earnings?

CBU Cover Image

Although the S&P 500 is down 1.6% over the past six months, Community Bank’s stock price has fallen further to $55.13, losing shareholders 18.4% of their capital. This may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Is there a buying opportunity in Community Bank, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free.

Why Is Community Bank Not Exciting?

Even with the cheaper entry price, we're cautious about Community Bank. Here are three reasons why there are better opportunities than CBU and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Net Interest Income Points to Soft Demand

While banks generate revenue from multiple sources, investors view net interest income as the cornerstone - its predictable, recurring characteristics stand in sharp contrast to the volatility of non-interest income.

Community Bank’s net interest income has grown at a 5.6% annualized rate over the last four years, worse than the broader bank industry. Its growth was driven by an increase in its outstanding loans as its net interest margin, which represents how much a bank earns in relation to its outstanding loan book, was flat throughout that period.

Community Bank Quarterly Net Interest Income

2. Low Net Interest Margin Reveals Weak Loan Book Profitability

Revenue is a fine reference point for banks, but net interest income and margin are better indicators of business quality for banks because they’re balance sheet-driven businesses that leverage their assets to generate profits.

Over the past two years, we can see that Community Bank’s net interest margin averaged a weak 3.1%, reflecting its high servicing and capital costs.

Community Bank Trailing 12-Month Net Interest Margin

3. Declining TBVPS Reflects Erosion of Asset Value

We consider tangible book value per share (TBVPS) the most important metric to track for banks. TBVPS represents the real, liquid net worth per share of a bank, excluding intangible assets that have debatable value upon liquidation.

To the detriment of investors, Community Bank’s TBVPS declined at a 4.3% annual clip over the last five years.

Community Bank Quarterly Tangible Book Value per Share

Final Judgment

Community Bank isn’t a terrible business, but it isn’t one of our picks. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at 1.5× forward P/B (or $55.13 per share). This valuation tells us a lot of optimism is priced in - we think there are better stocks to buy right now. We’d suggest looking at our favorite semiconductor picks and shovels play.

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