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5 Insightful Analyst Questions From Kirby’s Q3 Earnings Call

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Kirby’s third quarter was characterized by a positive market response, driven by robust demand in its growing power generation business and disciplined execution across core segments. Management cited strong order volumes from data center and industrial customers, as well as resilience in coastal marine operations, as primary contributors. CEO David Grzebinski highlighted that “power generation has emerged as the leading contributor to growth in both revenue and operating income within the Distribution and Services segment,” while steady utilization and pricing supported stable margins in marine transportation. Near-term softness in inland marine activity was offset by operational efficiency and cost management.

Is now the time to buy KEX? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Kirby (KEX) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $871.2 million vs analyst estimates of $851.2 million (4.8% year-on-year growth, 2.3% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.65 vs analyst estimates of $1.62 (1.8% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $197.8 million vs analyst estimates of $193.5 million (22.7% margin, 2.3% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 14.8%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $5.83 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Kirby’s Q3 Earnings Call

  • Jonathan Chappell (Evercore ISI) asked if power generation growth would remain lumpy or become smoother as backlog ramps. CEO David Grzebinski responded that some lumpiness will persist due to engine delivery schedules, but the backlog is at a record and annual growth should be robust.
  • Reed Seay (Stephens) inquired about spot rate trends and the gap with contract rates in inland marine. Grzebinski explained spot rates were down 4–5% in Q3 but showed positive momentum entering Q4, with spot prices still above contract rates.
  • Scott Group (Wolfe Research) sought clarification on inland market signals, asking if conditions are improving or stable. President Christian O’Neil said utilization troughed at 80% in Q3 and has improved to 87.6%, but management remains cautious about macro and chemical sector influences.
  • Ken Hoexter (BofA) questioned the durability and customer concentration of power generation demand. Grzebinski highlighted a growing and diversified customer base, including data center co-locators and hyperscalers, but noted that order delivery timing depends on OEM engine supply.
  • Gregory Wasikowski (Webber Research & Advisory) asked about the timing of power generation revenue recognition and Kirby’s ability to handle large-scale orders. Grzebinski explained revenue is recognized as orders ship, and while large projects may create quarterly volatility, Kirby is investing in higher power node offerings to expand capacity.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

Looking forward, StockStory analysts will monitor (1) the pace of power generation backlog conversion to revenue, especially from data center and industrial customers, (2) inland barge utilization rates and pricing trends as chemical markets recover, and (3) the outcome of major contract renewals in inland marine during the fourth quarter. Execution on cost management and capital deployment strategies will also be critical indicators for Kirby’s trajectory.

Kirby currently trades at $104.45, up from $88.72 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

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