Report of Foreign Private Issuer

Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

11 March 2013



The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc


Gogarburn
PO Box 1000
Edinburgh EH12 1HQ
Scotland
United Kingdom

(Address of principal executive offices)



Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.
 
 Form 20-F X  Form 40-F   

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1):__

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7):__

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
 
Yes    No  X
 
If "Yes" is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): 82-            

This report on Form 6-K shall be deemed incorporated by reference into the company's Registration Statement on Form F-3 (File Nos. 333-184147 and 333-184147-01) and to be a part thereof from the date which it was filed, to the extent not superseded by documents or reports subsequently filed or furnished.


 
 

 

Contents


 
Page 
   
Forward looking statement
 
Presentation of information
Comment
Condensed consolidated income statement
Highlights
Business update
12 
Analysis of results
14 
Divisional performance
24 
   
Results
 
   
Condensed consolidated income statement
73 
Condensed consolidated statement of comprehensive income
74 
Condensed consolidated balance sheet
 75 
Commentary on condensed consolidated balance sheet
76 
Average balance sheet
78 
Condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity
81 
Condensed consolidated cash flow statement
84 
Notes to accounts
85 
   
Risk and balance sheet management
 
   
Risk principles
136 
Capital management
147 
Liquidity, funding and related risks
159 
Credit risk
175 
Market risk
230 
Country risk
238 
   
Risk factors
285 
   
Additional information
287 
   
Share information
287 
   
Signature page
 
Appendix 1 Analysis of balance sheet pre and post disposal groups
 
Index
 

 
 

 

Forward-looking statements


Certain sections in this document contain ‘forward-looking statements’ as that term is defined in the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, such as statements that include the words ‘expect’, ‘estimate’, ‘project’, ‘anticipate’, ‘believes’, ‘should’, ‘intend’, ‘plan’, ‘could’, ‘probability’, ‘risk’, ‘Value-at-Risk (VaR)’, ‘target’, ‘goal’, ‘objective’, ‘will’, ‘endeavour’, ‘outlook’, ‘optimistic’, ‘prospects’ and similar expressions or variations on such expressions.

In particular, this document includes forward-looking statements relating, but not limited to: the Group’s restructuring plans, divestments, capitalisation, portfolios, net interest margin, capital ratios, liquidity, risk weighted assets (RWAs), return on equity (ROE), profitability, cost:income ratios, leverage and loan:deposit ratios, funding and risk profile; discretionary coupon and dividend payments; certain ring-fencing proposals; sustainability targets; regulatory investigations; the Group’s future financial performance; the level and extent of future impairments and write-downs, including sovereign debt impairments; and the Group’s potential exposures to various types of political and market risks, such as interest rate risk, foreign exchange rate risk and commodity and equity price risk. These statements are based on current plans, estimates and projections, and are subject to inherent risks, uncertainties and other factors which could cause actual results to differ materially from the future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. For example, certain market risk disclosures are dependent on choices about key model characteristics and assumptions and are subject to various limitations. By their nature, certain of the market risk disclosures are only estimates and, as a result, actual future gains and losses could differ materially from those that have been estimated.

Other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those estimated by the forward-looking statements contained in this document include, but are not limited to: global economic and financial market conditions and other geopolitical risks, and their impact on the financial industry in general and on the Group in particular; the ability to implement strategic plans on a timely basis, or at all, including the disposal of certain Non-Core assets and of certain assets and businesses required as part of the State Aid restructuring plan; organisational restructuring in response to legislative and regulatory proposals in the United Kingdom (UK), European Union (EU) and United States (US); the ability to access sufficient sources of capital, liquidity and funding when required; deteriorations in borrower and counterparty credit quality; litigation, government and regulatory investigations including investigations relating to the setting of LIBOR and other interest rates; costs or exposures borne by the Group arising out of the origination or sale of mortgages or mortgage-backed securities in the US; the extent of future write-downs and impairment charges caused by depressed asset valuations; the value and effectiveness of any credit protection purchased by the Group; unanticipated turbulence in interest rates, yield curves, foreign currency exchange rates, credit spreads, bond prices, commodity prices, equity prices and basis, volatility and correlation risks; changes in the credit ratings of the Group; ineffective management of capital or changes to capital adequacy or liquidity requirements; changes to the valuation of financial instruments recorded at fair value; competition and consolidation in the banking sector; the ability of the Group to attract or retain senior management or other key employees; regulatory or legal changes (including those requiring any restructuring of the Group’s operations) in the UK, the US and other countries in which the Group operates or a change in UK Government policy; changes to regulatory requirements relating to capital and liquidity; changes to the monetary and interest rate policies of central banks and other governmental and regulatory bodies; changes in UK and foreign laws, regulations, accounting standards and taxes, including changes in regulatory capital regulations and liquidity requirements; the implementation of recommendations made by the Independent Commission on Banking and their potential implications and equivalent EU legislation; impairments of goodwill; pension fund shortfalls; general operational risks; HM Treasury exercising influence over the operations of the Group; insurance claims; reputational risk; the ability to access the contingent capital arrangements with HM Treasury; the conversion of the B Shares in accordance with their terms; limitations on, or additional requirements imposed on, the Group’s activities as a result of HM Treasury’s investment in the Group; and the success of the Group in managing the risks involved in the foregoing.

The forward-looking statements contained in this document speak only as of the date of this announcement, and the Group does not undertake to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.

The information, statements and opinions contained in this document do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments.

 
 

 

Presentation of information


The company publishes its financial statements in pounds sterling (‘£’ or ‘sterling’). The abbreviations ‘£m’ and ‘£bn’ represent millions and thousands of millions of pounds sterling, respectively, and references to ‘pence’ represent pence in the United Kingdom (‘UK’). Reference to ‘dollars’ or ‘$’ are to United States of America (‘US’) dollars. The abbreviations ‘$m’ and ‘$bn’ represent millions and thousands of millions of dollars, respectively, and references to ‘cents’ represent cents in the US. The abbreviation ‘€’ represents the ‘euro’, the European single currency, and the abbreviations ‘€m’ and ‘€bn’ represent millions and thousands of millions of euros, respectively.

Non-GAAP financial information
The directors manage the Group’s performance by class of business, before certain reconciling items, as is presented in the segmental analysis on pages 97 to 103 (the “managed basis”). Discussion of the Group’s performance focuses on the managed basis as the Group believes that such measures allow a more meaningful analysis of the Group’s financial condition and the results of its operations. These measures are non-GAAP financial measures. A body of generally accepted accounting principles such as IFRS is commonly referred to as ‘GAAP’. A non-GAAP financial measure is defined as one that measures historical or future financial performance, financial position or cash flows but which excludes or includes amounts that would not be so adjusted in the most comparable GAAP measure. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures are presented throughout this document or in the segmental analysis on pages 97 to 104. These non-GAAP financial measures are not a substitute for GAAP measures. Furthermore, RBS has divided its operations into “Core” and “Non-Core”. Certain measures disclosed in this document for Core operations and used by RBS management are non- GAAP financial measures as they represent a combination of all reportable segments with the exception of Non-Core. In addition, RBS has further divided parts of the Core business into “Retail & Commercial” consisting of the UK Retail, UK Corporate, Wealth, International Banking, Ulster Bank and US Retail & Commercial divisions. This is a non GAAP financial measure. Lastly, the Basel III net stable funding ratio (see page 168) represents a non-GAAP financial measure given it is a metric that is not yet required to be disclosed by a government, governmental authority or self-regulatory organisation.

Disposal groups
Since 2011, the assets and liabilities relating to the RBS England and Wales and NatWest Scotland branch-based businesses, along with certain SME and corporate activities across the UK (‘UK branch-based businesses’), were classified within Disposal groups. Santander's withdrawal from the sale in October 2012 has led the Group to conclude that a sale within 12 months is unlikely; accordingly the balance sheet at 31 December 2012 does not classify the assets and liabilities of the UK branch-based businesses within Disposal groups. IFRS 5 ‘Non-current Assets Held for Sale and Discontinued Operations’ does not permit restatement on reclassification.

 
1

 
 
Presentation of information (continued)


Discontinued operations
The Group sold the first tranche (34.7%) of the share capital of Direct Line Insurance Group plc (DLG) in October 2012 via an Initial Public Offering, consistent with the plan to cede control by the end of 2013.  In accordance with IFRS 5, DLG has been recognised as a discontinued operation with consequent changes to the presentation of comparative information. The assets and liabilities relating to DLG are included in Disposal groups as at 31 December 2012.

Restatements
Divisional reorganisation and Group reporting changes
During the year, details of a divisional reorganisation and certain Group reporting changes were announced. These are discussed below. Comparative data have been restated to reflect these changes.

Organisational change
In January 2012, the Group announced changes to its wholesale banking operations in light of a changed market and regulatory environment. The changes have seen the reorganisation of the Group’s wholesale businesses into ‘Markets’ and ‘International Banking’ and the proposed exit and/or downsizing of selected activities. The changes will ensure the wholesale businesses continue to deliver against the Group’s strategy.

Revised allocation of Group Treasury costs
In the first quarter of 2012, the Group revised its allocation of funding and liquidity costs and capital for the new divisional structure as well as for a new methodology. The new methodology is designed to ensure that the allocated funding and liquidity costs more fully reflect each division’s funding requirement.

Revised divisional return on equity ratios
For the purposes of divisional return on equity ratios, notional equity has been calculated as a percentage of the monthly average of divisional risk-weighted assets (RWAs), adjusted for capital deductions. Historically, notional equity was allocated at 9% of RWAs for the Retail & Commercial divisions and 10% of RWAs for Global Banking & Markets. This was revised in Q1 2012 and 10% of RWAs is now applied to both the Retail & Commercial and Markets divisions.

Fair value of own debt and derivative liabilities
The Group had previously excluded changes in the fair value of own debt (FVOD) in presenting the underlying performance of the Group on a managed basis given it is a volatile non-cash item. To better align our managed view of performance, movements in the fair value of own derivative liabilities (FVDL), previously incorporated within Markets operating performance, are now combined with movements in FVOD in a single measure, ‘Own Credit Adjustments’ (OCA). This took effect in Q1 2012 and Group and Markets operating results have been adjusted to reflect this change which does not affect profit/(loss) before and after tax.

Share consolidation
Following approval at the Group’s Annual General Meeting on 30 May 2012, the sub-division and consolidation of the Group’s ordinary shares on a one-for-ten basis took effect on 6 June 2012. Consequently, disclosures for 2011 relating to or affected by numbers of ordinary shares or share price have been restated.

 
2

 
 
Comment


Philip Hampton, Group Chairman, letter to shareholders:
The plan to rebuild RBS from 2009 has been based on two primary elements. The first was to stabilise the company, making it safe so that it could stand on its own feet. The second was to focus our energies on serving customers well. We were clear that the plan would take time and that it would take five years and more for key aspects to be delivered.

Four years on, I am pleased to report that we made more progress in 2012, passing a number of important milestones. Perhaps the most significant was when, with our regulator’s agreement, we exited the Asset Protection Scheme in October, the earliest date at which that was possible. We were able to do so because we have made RBS safer. Our Core Tier 1 capital ratio was 10.3% at the end of 2012, above our target, despite some large unplanned charges. The balance sheet is smaller, falling by a further £195 billion to £1,312 billion, as the run-down of Non-Core assets continued faster than we first planned. Our funding is more stable too, with the Group loan to deposit ratio at 100% or 90% in our Core business and our liquidity portfolio is 3.5x times short-term wholesale funding.

We have achieved all of this in the most testing economic environment for many decades. The UK economy is still smaller than before the crisis struck and the US economy is only slightly bigger. This weakness in the main economies where we operate was a headwind to our plans, and regulatory changes have further reduced our return on equity in some areas. In particular, lower returns from investment banking activities necessitated further restructuring.

Much of what RBS has accomplished since 2009 has been down to the hard work, professionalism and commitment of our people. I would like to thank every one who did their best for our customers in 2012.

However, it became painfully clear during the year that some of our employees had behaved in ways that do not represent the values of RBS. Their misconduct casts a shadow across our progress and the good work of many thousands in the Group. I have already spoken about the behaviour of some people in RBS in making LIBOR submissions. It was wrong. The RBS Board has acknowledged that there were serious shortcomings in our risk and control systems, and also in the integrity of a small group of our employees, and has taken action to ensure full and proper accountability.

At times like these, your Board and the senior management of the company have a duty to lead. Our response has been diligent and determined in tackling any hint of misconduct and other failings, past or present. Our job has been three-fold: to understand what had happened and why, to put it right and then to minimise the chance that such problems happen again.

The failure of one of our IT systems in June had unacceptable consequences for many of our customers in the UK and the Republic of Ireland. The Board Risk Committee has led a rigorous review of what went wrong. The Committee has sought to ensure that customers who were affected are appropriately compensated. It will continue to oversee the management of technology risks and lead our communication with customers, regulators and others when the investigations conclude. The response of our staff in branches, call centres and elsewhere in dealing with the problems we had caused to our customers was outstanding.

 
3

 
 
Comment (continued)


Philip Hampton, Group Chairman, letter to shareholders: (continued)
While these failings show our continuing need to improve our risk and control systems, they at times had a deeper cause. Some employees put their own interests well ahead of customers’ and shareholders’, ignoring the difference between right and wrong. Your Board expects our people to demonstrate the highest standards of personal and professional conduct. We know that our shareholders, our customers and others will hold us to high standards. It is a matter of great regret that the conduct and values of a very small number of our people fell so far short of what we expect.

That is why your Board is determined to ensure that RBS exemplifies the culture you would expect in a bank that serves customers well and makes an important contribution to the communities where we operate. It is why we have taken steps to manage more effectively what the industry now calls conduct risk. In short, this is the risk that the company is damaged because our people do not behave properly. The Board Risk Committee has supervised the development of our approach to conduct risk management. Together, the Board Risk Committee and Remuneration and Performance Committee have developed proposals that mean our reward policies will support good conduct.

As a Board, we are determined that RBS should be known in future for how we behave as well as for commercial success.

On LIBOR, IT and many other issues, my fellow directors have shouldered a considerable and growing burden of work. I wish to thank them for that and for their support throughout the year.

We know our future performance will be heavily influenced by economic conditions. Consensus forecasts for 2013 give some hope that this year will see a return to modest growth in the UK and continued, if moderate, expansion in the US. Compared with a year ago, the problems of the euro area appear less pressing though key challenges remain. Governments and central banks are now managing that crisis more effectively and they have started to put in place the financial infrastructure needed to sustain the euro. We are entitled to some confidence that the economic environment in 2013 will be better than at any time since the financial crisis struck in 2007.

We are delivering what we said we would do in our strategic plan. We have made RBS safer. It is much closer now to being in the good financial health that would allow shareholders to receive a dividend and the Government to start to sell its stake. The challenge that remains is to serve customers better and to do business in a way that makes you and us proud to be part of RBS.
 
 
4

 

Comment (continued)


Stephen Hester, Group Chief Executive, letter to shareholders:
RBS is four years into its recovery plan and good progress has been made. We are a much smaller, more focused and stronger bank. Our target is for 2013 to be the last big year of restructuring. There will be important work still to do, but an increasingly sound base from which to work. As the spotlight shifts to the ‘new RBS’ post restructuring, we are determined that it will show a leading UK bank striving to be a really good bank. By serving customers well RBS can become one of the most respected, valued and stable of banks. That is our goal.

2012 saw landmark achievements for RBS. It was also a chastening year. Along with the rest of the banking industry we faced significant reputational challenges as we worked with regulators to put right past mistakes. We are determined to overcome the cultural and reputational baggage of pre-crisis times with the same focus we have applied to the financial clean-up from that era.

Priorities
The Bank’s purpose is to serve customers well. The better we do this the better the results will be for all our stakeholders over time.

We need to complete and sustain our return to a safe and conservative risk profile.

And these priorities need in turn to produce a sustainable result for shareholders, and to create the opportunity for taxpayer share sales.

If we make continued progress across these priorities, and do it in the right way, we can become a really good bank and serve our stakeholders and society well.

2009-2012 Report Card
During the last four years RBS has:

·
Sustained its 33 million customer franchise in the face of substantial restructuring and other pressures. Lending balances to Core UK businesses and homeowners (excluding commercial real estate) were grown by 3% while the wider economy shrank by over 1%.
   
·
Rebuilt financial resilience. RBS’s huge restructuring process is moving successfully to its later stages. From their worst point, total assets are down £906 billion, short-term wholesale borrowing is £255 billion down. Risk concentrations are well down. Balance sheet leverage is reduced from 21x to 15x. In each case we are well ahead of original targets. And a Core Tier 1 capital ratio of 10.3% provides us some 3.5 times more capital per unit of equivalent risk than pre-crisis levels.
   
·
Reached a loan to deposit ratio - perhaps the clearest indicator of a bank’s funding prudence - of 1:1 from a worst point of 154%. Achieving this ‘golden rule’ of banking is a powerful symbol of our recovery.
   
·
Produced £43 billion in pre-impairment profits from Core businesses. These have been used to self fund the majority of £52 billion of legacy losses, loan impairments, restructuring charges, regulatory costs and other clean-up items.

 
5

 
 
Comment (continued)


Stephen Hester, Group Chief Executive, letter to shareholders: (continued)

2012 Results
2012 saw landmark achievements in our restructuring plan. It saw sustained customer lending support. A 61% share price rise during the year (and 215% versus the January 2009 low point) underlined an improvement of investor belief in our future and that of the banking sector generally.

The critical task of financial stabilisation passed milestones as RBS recommenced preference share dividends, completed the repayment of all crisis liquidity facilities from public authorities and exited the UK Government £282 billion Asset Protection Scheme without making any claim under it. The notable flotation of Direct Line Group represented the third of four EU state aid conditions and offset the disappointment of Santander withdrawing from its agreed purchase of 315 branches from RBS.

Underlining this progress, RBS 5 year bonds traded at c.1% credit spreads compared to their wide levels earlier in the year of c.4.5%. The resultant own-credit accounting charge of £4.6 billion reflects this huge improvement in the perceived credit quality of RBS.

Core Bank operating profits were £6.3 billion of which Retail and Commercial businesses were £5.3 billion (excluding Ulster Bank) and Markets £1.5 billion. Non-Core losses declined again (32% to £2.9 billion) and Non-Core assets also fell ahead of target to £57 billion. We expect to slow the pace and cost of the remaining run-down once we hit the £40 billion asset target for the end of 2013. Exceptional charges in relation to Payment Protection Insurance claims, LIBOR settlements and interest rate hedging product redress, together with the own credit adjustment, resulted in a loss before tax of £5,165 million.

In a tough economic environment, most of the banking industry’s ongoing businesses are running hard to stand still, and so it was at RBS. But the existing level of operating performance is essential to fund our historic clean-up with the moment coming ever closer when these costs are behind us and rewards flow directly once more to shareholders.

Reputation
Our industry faces a tough challenge rebuilding its reputation. 2012 was a wrenching year on that front as the cultural clean-up came to the fore which was always a companion to physical changes required from pre-crisis times.

Expectations are changing fast and even past ones have not been lived up to often enough. And the mistakes of some, grievous in cases, are tainting the efforts of the majority of bank staff. Most banks have past failings on a range of fronts. For RBS the two worst in the past year were LIBOR and our IT incident - quite different though they are.

There is no single solution or dramatic action able to address this problem. The best companies in the world in any industry develop, almost as part of their DNA, the consistent commitment to serve customers well and act accordingly. Our sights are set here. The facts and the culture that drives them will be established one piece at a time across many many issues. But we have no higher priority.

 
6

 
 
Comment (continued)


Stephen Hester, Group Chief Executive, letter to shareholders: (continued)

Strategy
The new RBS is a leading UK bank anchored in retail and commercial business lines. Our businesses are shaped around customer needs with substantial competitive strengths in their respective fields.  Each unit is being retooled to provide improved and enduring performance and to meet new external challenges. We sustain strong capabilities internationally and in financial markets to support the needs of our customers and shareholders. Our businesses are managed to add value in their own right but to provide a stronger, more balanced and valuable whole through vital cross-business linkages.

The physical weaknesses uncovered by the financial crisis - of leverage, risk concentration and business stretch - are close to being fixed. RBS’s total assets have already been reduced by £906 billion from their peak in 2008 - more than any other entity worldwide has achieved.

The principles behind this strategy are sound and working. But it will continue to evolve. A much slower economic recovery and tougher set of regulatory and policy pressures need to be absorbed. We have done this with more emphasis on customer service, balance sheet conservatism and while asking staff to do more with less during a period of significant change. Our business ambitions have been trimmed as a necessary reaction.

But whatever the outside conditions and evolution of strategy we are clear about the interrelated nature of our priorities.  To serve customers well, run only prudent risk and reward shareholders over the longer term.

In this context we have set a new medium-term target for our Markets business, which is an important part of our service to corporate and institutional customers. We aim to further reduce its scale and scope, targeting capital consumption of £80 billion RWAs whilst sustaining the service provided to our customer base.

Additionally, the Board has decided it is now the right time to begin work on a partial flotation of Citizens, our US banking business, targeted probably at around 2 years from now. Citizens is a good business, serving around 5 million customers in the north east of the United States where it is has a strong market position. It has been substantially improved since 2009 and a local public listing will help to highlight its growing value. This provides a positive opportunity for Citizens and its 14,700 employees, as well as being a sensible move for RBS as a whole.

People
The banking industry has come down to earth hard.  While a more balanced global economy has clear merits, the changes, pressures and adjustments asked of our people remain high. And successful results are vital for the many who rely on us. The engagement, dedication and professionalism of RBS employees remains outstanding and has much to be commended.

Concluding remarks
RBS is coming through an immense and wrenching restructuring. Much has been achieved and that should underpin our energy for what remains. Much is already good about our Core business, how it serves customers, how it performs. Our ambition is to be a really good bank - for all our stakeholders. Simple to say. A lot still to do. Many will benefit from our achieving that goal.

I thank our staff and all our stakeholders for their continued support in this effort.
 
 
7

 
 
Condensed consolidated income statement
for the period ended 31 December 2012


 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Interest receivable
18,530 
21,036 
 
4,439 
4,456 
5,147 
Interest payable
(7,128)
(8,733)
 
(1,666)
(1,647)
(2,161)
             
Net interest income
11,402 
12,303 
 
2,773 
2,809 
2,986 
             
Fees and commissions receivable
5,709 
6,379 
 
1,374 
1,400 
1,589 
Fees and commissions payable
(834)
(962)
 
(245)
(209)
(339)
Income from trading activities
1,675 
2,701 
 
474 
334 
(238)
Gain/(loss) on redemption of own debt
454 
255 
 
(123)
(1)
Other operating income
(465)
3,975 
 
227 
(252)
174 
             
Non-interest income
6,539 
12,348 
 
1,830 
1,150 
1,185 
             
Total income
17,941 
24,651 
 
4,603 
3,959 
4,171 
             
Staff costs
(8,076)
(8,356)
 
(1,628)
(1,959)
(1,898)
Premises and equipment
(2,232)
(2,423)
 
(592)
(550)
(666)
Other administrative expenses
(5,593)
(4,436)
 
(2,506)
(1,193)
(1,149)
Depreciation and amortisation
(1,802)
(1,839)
 
(498)
(421)
(501)
Write-down of goodwill and other intangible assets
(124)
(80)
 
(124)
(80)
             
Operating expenses
(17,827)
(17,134)
 
(5,348)
(4,123)
(4,294)
             
Profit/(loss) before impairment losses
114 
7,517 
 
(745)
(164)
(123)
Impairment losses
(5,279)
(8,707)
 
(1,454)
(1,176)
(1,916)
             
Operating loss before tax
(5,165)
(1,190)
 
(2,199)
(1,340)
(2,039)
Tax (charge)/credit
(469)
(1,127)
 
(46)
(10)
213 
             
Loss from continuing operations
(5,634)
(2,317)
 
(2,245)
(1,350)
(1,826)
             
(Loss)/profit from discontinued operations, net of tax
           
  - Direct Line Group (1)
(184)
301 
 
(351)
62 
36 
  - Other
12 
47 
 
10 
             
(Loss)/profit from discontinued operations,
  net of tax
(172)
348 
 
(345)
67 
46 
             
Loss for the period
(5,806)
(1,969)
 
(2,590)
(1,283)
(1,780)
Non-controlling interests
123 
(28)
 
107 
(3)
(18)
Preference share and other dividends
(288)
 
(114)
(98)
             
Loss attributable to ordinary and
  B shareholders
(5,971)
(1,997)
 
(2,597)
(1,384)
(1,798)
             
Basic and diluted loss per ordinary and B share from continuing operations (2)
(53.7p)
(21.3p)
 
(21.4p)
(13.1p)
(16.9p)
             
Basic and diluted loss per ordinary and B share
  from continuing and discontinued operations (2)
(54.3p)
(18.5p)
 
(23.4p)
(12.5p)
(16.6p)

Notes:
(1)
Includes write-down of goodwill of £394 million in Q4 2012. Refer to Note 12 for further information.
(2)
Data for 2011 have been adjusted for the sub-division and one-for-ten consolidation of ordinary shares.

 
8

 
 
Highlights


Rebuilding financial resilience
·
RBS has made good progress on the safety and soundness agenda at the heart of its five year recovery plan:
 
Funded assets were down £107 billion in 2012 to £870 billion, driven by Non-Core and Markets.
 
Risk-weighted assets decreased by £48 billion to £460 billion, with £21 billion Q4 reduction.
 
Core Tier 1 ratio of 10.3%, up from 9.7% in 2011(1).
 
Strong and liquid balance sheet, with loan book now 100% funded by customer deposits.
 
Short-term wholesale funding down a further £60 billion in 2012 to £42 billion, covered 3.5 times by the Group’s high quality liquid asset portfolio.
   
·
RBS’s strengthening credit profile has been recognised in traded debt markets, with CDS spreads more than halving over the course of 2012 and secondary bond spreads tightening by more than 340 basis points. This strengthening resulted in a 2012 accounting charge for improved own credit of £4,649 million, compared with a credit of £1,914 million in 2011.
   
·
Loan impairment provision balances were raised to £21.3 billion, increasing coverage of risk elements in lending to 52%, compared with 49% in 2011.
   
·
Risk-weighted assets were 53% of funded assets at 31 December 2012, above the average of peers in the UK and Europe. The Group absorbed £44 billion of regulatory RWA increases in 2012.

Significant improvement in operating performance in 2012
·
Core operating profit totalled £6,341 million, up 5% from 2011, with Retail & Commercial down 6%, reflecting weaker income, but Markets improving by 68%.
 
Income was down 4%, driven by UK Retail and International Banking.
 
Expenses decreased by 4%, with continuing benefits from the cost reduction programme launched in 2009 and a 6,600 reduction in Core staffing levels.
 
Impairment charge declined by 13% to £3,056 million, with improved credit trends in UK Retail and US Retail & Commercial coupled with stabilisation, though still at elevated levels, in Core Ulster Bank.
·
Non-Core operating losses were £2,879 million, £1,342 million lower than 2011, mainly driven by a significant fall in impairments in the Ulster Bank and other real estate portfolios.

Milestones towards recovery
·
RBS passed a number of significant milestones in 2012 as it moved towards becoming a stable, capital-generative business capable of providing outstanding service to its customers.
 
Resumption of coupon payments on hybrid capital instruments.
 
Exit from the UK Government Asset Protection Scheme with no claims made.
 
Repayment in full of remaining Special Liquidity Scheme and Credit Guarantee Scheme funding.
 
Successful flotation of Direct Line Group.
 
Relaunch of the sale process for 315 profitable branches required to be sold under the EC State Aid agreement.
 
Restructuring of the Markets business with balance sheet and capital intensity reduced further.
 
Over £200 billion of Non-Core funded assets taken off the balance sheet since 2008.

 
9

 
 
Highlights (continued)


Working through legacy conduct issues
·
2012 has brought significant challenges as RBS has continued to work through the conduct issues resulting from past failings while seeking to lay the foundations for changes to bring about a healthier and more sustainable culture and do its part to enable the banking industry to rebuild reputation. These conduct issues have had a material financial impact on the Group, in addition to reputational damage.
   
·
On 6 February 2013, RBS reached agreement with the Financial Services Authority, the US Department of Justice and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in relation to the setting of LIBOR and other trading rates, including financial penalties of £381 million. The Group continues to co-operate with other bodies in this regard and expects it will incur some additional financial penalties.
   
·
A further £450 million charge was taken in Q4 in relation to Payment Protection Insurance (PPI) claims. This strengthened the cumulative provision for PPI to £2.2 billion, from which £1.3 billion in redress had been paid by 31 December 2012.
   
·
In Q2 2012 RBS provided £50 million for the redress it expected to offer retail classified clients who had been sold structured collar products. Following the Financial Services Authority’s announcement of its pilot review findings and redress framework, a further charge of £650 million has been booked in Q4 2012 to meet the additional costs of redress to the broader SME customer set who bought other simpler interest rate hedging products, largely in the period 2001-2008 when interest rates were significantly higher.

Continuing commitment to customers in challenging times
·
RBS is committed to serving its customers well and helping them realise their ambitions. We strive to earn their trust by focusing on their needs and delivering excellent service.
   
·
In 2012, the Group served its core customer base of 33 million, three quarters of it in the UK.
   
·
RBS has maintained its support for UK households and businesses by ensuring that credit remains appropriately available. In 2012 the Group:
 
Offered more than £58 billion of loans and facilities to UK businesses, of which more than £30 billion was to SMEs, and renewed £27 billion of overdrafts including £8 billion for SMEs.
 
Advanced £16 billion of UK home loans, including £3 billion to first time buyers.
 
Accounted for 36% of all SME lending, compared with its overall customer market share of 24%.

 
10

 

Highlights (continued)


Outlook
We expect the economic and regulatory challenges present in 2011 and 2012 to continue into 2013. Growth prospects in the UK, the Group's most important market, remain subdued, while a degree of macro-economic risk persists in the Eurozone and more generally within the global economy.

We will continue to focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet and further improving our capital position. Our funding and liquidity positions are very strong, providing capacity for Core loan growth if demand is there as we move through 2013.

Against this backdrop, Retail & Commercial performance is expected to be stable or improve, primarily as a result of gently declining impairments within Ulster Bank and good cost control. Group net interest margins are expected to be broadly stable, improving slightly over the course of the year. Markets-related income is, as ever, difficult to forecast but we expect lower income in 2013 as a result of reduced balance sheet and associated restructuring.

Non-Core continues to make good progress and we are confident of achieving our asset reduction target for 2013. The overall loss is expected to decline somewhat compared with 2012.

Below the line itemised charges are expected to be lower than in 2012.

Having made strong progress, RBS is targeting for the most important restructuring actions to be substantially complete by the end of 2013, with the Group thereby positioned to be a cleaner and better performing bank in future years.




Note:
(1)
Excluding Asset Protection Scheme relief.

 
11

 

Business update


Supporting our UK customers
Over the last four years, RBS has increased Core lending (excluding commercial real estate) to UK businesses and homeowners by 3%(1), maintaining its support for its UK customers despite the wider economy shrinking by more than 1%. The Bank’s restructuring plan was designed from the start to ensure strong capital and funding availability to support the flow of credit to the UK real economy, with deleveraging concentrated on the Group’s Non-Core, Markets and commercial real estate exposures.

In 2012 RBS:
·
Offered more than £58 billion of loans and facilities to UK businesses, of which more than £30 billion was to SMEs.
·
Renewed £27 billion of UK business overdrafts, including £8 billion for SMEs.
·
Advanced £16 billion of UK home loans, including £3 billion to first time buyers.
·
Accounted for 36% of all SME lending, compared with overall customer market share of 24%(2).
·
Grew net advances in its Lombard asset finance business by 8%, with advances to the manufacturing sector up 66%, and increased invoice finance advances by 4%.
·
Successfully restructured over 857 UK companies, helping to preserve 163,000 UK jobs.

Lending demand in most sectors remained subdued in 2012, given the flat economy, particularly among smaller businesses, many of which have concentrated on repaying existing loans. Overall SME loan applications were down 19% from 2011 and were weaker in Q4, down 25% from Q4 2011. However, RBS has taken opportunities to expand lending in sectors where demand has been stronger, with lending to SMEs in the healthcare sector increasing by 18% in 2012. Lending to SMEs in the education sector was also up 8%.

RBS continues to accept over 90% of all SME credit applications it receives. In common with other members of the Business Finance Taskforce, RBS has established an independently reviewed process for SME customers to appeal against credit decisions. RBS accounts for only 6% of customer appeals in the first year reviewed by the independent external reviewer, well below its market share, and only 20% of decisions were overturned on appeal, compared with 40% for the industry as a whole.

Many customers have reduced their drawings on the credit facilities already available to them. Overdraft utilisation fell to 43% at the end of 2012 from 45% in 2011, leaving £4 billion of SME overdraft facilities available but not drawn. A further £35 billion of undrawn loans and facilities remained available to mid and large corporates. Drawn lending has fallen fastest in the large corporate segment, where clients have taken advantage of favourable capital market conditions to substitute bond finance for bank debt. RBS helped UK companies, universities and housing associations to raise £44 billion through bond issues in 2012.

RBS has sought to support its customers by using the Bank of England’s Funding for Lending Scheme (FLS), which was opened for drawings in August, to encourage credit demand. The Group offered lower interest rates and waived arrangement fees on £1.7 billion of SME loans in H2 2012, benefiting over 11,000 SMEs. The average price of SME loans dropped from 4.27% to 3.93% in H2 2012 following the introduction of the FLS. RBS has also been the leading lender in the Government’s Enterprise Finance Guarantee Scheme, accounting for 40% of all EFG loans to date, well in excess of its SME market share and half as much again as its nearest competitor.

 
12

 

Business update


Supporting our UK customers (continued)
RBS also used FLS to support first time buyers, with around 4,000 homebuyers benefiting from cheaper rates on over £500 million of mortgages in H2 2012. At a Group level, excluding Non-Core and commercial real estate lending, total RBS FLS-eligible balances increased by £557 million over the first six months of the FLS. Core Lombard and RBS Invoice Finance balances, which are excluded from FLS statistics, grew by a further £471 million.

On a divisional basis, RBS’s Core UK Corporate division saw total loans and advances decline by 3.3% in 2012. Excluding property, housebuilding and construction, UK Corporate’s loans and advances increased by 0.3%.

In two areas the Group has the requirement to run down high risk and non-strategic exposures: those in its Non-Core division and its excessive exposures to the real estate-related sector. Non-Core and commercial property balances, which are included within the scope of FLS, declined by £7.3 billion in 2012, with a decline of £2.3 billion recorded in Q4.

(1)
2008 Core balances used in the calculation are management estimates based on the 2009 Core/Non-Core split as Non-Core was not created and reported separately until 2009.
(2)
Source: British Bankers’ Association; RBS internal data; the Charterhouse UK Business Banking Survey, based on a sample of 16,594 businesses interviewed throughout 2012, weighted by region and turnover to be representative of businesses in Great Britain.

RBS has transformed its funding and liquidity metrics over the first four years of its five year Strategic Plan. It has substantially reduced its dependence on short-term wholesale funding and simultaneously grown a large, high quality liquidity portfolio. This has enabled the Group to meet, and in some cases surpass its strategic funding and liquidity targets by the end of 2012:
·
the loan:deposit ratio improved by 8% over the year, reaching the medium-term target of 100% by the year-end and 12 months ahead of management’s original 2013 goal;
   
·
 
short-term wholesale funding of £42 billion represented 5% of funded assets, versus the target of under 10%; and
   
·
the £147 billion liquidity portfolio covered short-term wholesale funding balances 3.5 times, comfortably above the target of more than 1.5 times.

The Group also successfully improved capital resilience, increasing underlying Core Tier 1 capital levels following the exit from the Asset Protection Scheme.

With the safety and soundness agenda largely complete, RBS can now increase its focus on optimising its Core businesses to build an enduring and interconnected set of customer driven franchises which all earn sustainable returns greater than the Group’s cost of capital from an appropriate cost base.

 
13

 
 
Analysis of results

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
Net interest income
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Net interest income
11,402 
12,303 
 
2,773 
2,809 
2,986 
             
Average interest-earning assets
592,960 
649,713 
 
566,233 
576,060 
652,155 
             
Net interest margin
           
  - Group
1.92% 
1.89% 
 
1.95% 
1.94% 
1.82% 
  - Retail & Commercial (1)
2.92% 
2.97% 
 
2.92% 
2.92% 
2.90% 
  - Non-Core
0.31% 
0.63% 
 
0.29% 
0.41% 
0.42% 

Note:
(1)
Retail & Commercial (R&C) comprises the UK Retail, UK Corporate, Wealth, International Banking, Ulster Bank and US R&C divisions.

Key points
Group net interest income trends matched the fall in the Group’s balance sheet, reflecting the de-leveraging particularly in Non-Core. Net interest margin (NIM), despite very low interest rates and strong deposit competition, remained stable.

2012 compared with 2011
·
Group net interest income declined by 7%, largely reflecting lower interest-earning asset balances.
·
Average interest-earning assets fell by £57 billion to £593 billion, reflecting strong progress on the run-down of Non-Core and targeted asset reductions in International Banking. Unsecured balances also declined in UK Retail.
·
Core NIM was stable at 2.16%, with the stronger balance sheet enabling a reduction in the size of the Group’s liquidity buffer and offsetting a decline in R&C NIM.
·
The fall in R&C NIM was predominantly driven by weaker deposit margins in UK Retail and International Banking and lower asset yields in US Retail & Commercial, partly offset by improved margins in Wealth.

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
Average interest-earning assets fell by £10 billion, with the continued run-down of Non-Core, a smaller investment portfolio in US Retail & Commercial, targeted loan portfolio reductions in International Banking and customer repayments in UK Corporate.
·
Group NIM increased by 1 basis point to 1.95% as an improvement in Markets NIM due to lower reliance on external funding offset the lower Retail & Commercial balances.
·
R&C NIM held flat as an uplift in UK Retail NIM of 7 basis points, with higher mortgage balances and lower funding costs, was offset by the effect of lower interest rates on UK deposit hedges in Wealth and lower asset yields in US Retail & Commercial.

Q4 2012 compared with Q4 2011
·
R&C NIM increased by 2 basis points, reflecting targeted reductions in lower yielding assets in International Banking, mostly offset by lower deposit margin compression in UK Retail, UK Corporate and US Retail & Commercial.
·
The fall in average interest-earning assets, principally arising from targeted reductions in Non-Core and International Banking, drove a 7% decrease in net interest income.

For details on the Group’s average balance sheet refer to pages 78 to 80.

 
14

 
 
Analysis of results (continued)


The following tables reconcile the managed basis results (a non-GAAP financial measure) to the statutory basis results.
 
 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
Non-interest income
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Fees and commissions receivable
           
  - managed basis
5,715 
6,384 
 
1,375 
1,403 
1,590 
  - Direct Line Group discontinued operations
(6)
(5)
 
(1)
(3)
(1)
             
Statutory basis
5,709 
6,379 
 
1,374 
1,400 
1,589 
Fees and commissions payable
           
  - managed basis
(1,269)
(1,460)
 
(324)
(341)
(573)
  - Direct Line Group discontinued operations
436 
498 
 
80 
132 
234 
  - RFS Holdings minority interest
(1)
 
(1)
             
Statutory basis
(834)
(962)
 
(245)
(209)
(339)
Net fees and commissions
           
  - managed basis
4,446 
4,924 
 
1,051 
1,062 
1,017 
  - Direct Line Group discontinued operations
430 
493 
 
79 
129 
233 
  - RFS Holdings minority interest
(1)
 
(1)
             
Statutory basis
4,875 
5,417 
 
1,129 
1,191 
1,250 
Income from trading activities
           
  - managed basis
3,531 
3,313 
 
567 
769 
242 
  - Asset Protection Scheme
(44)
(906)
 
(209)
  - own credit adjustments*
(1,813)
293 
 
(98)
(435)
(272)
  - Direct Line Group discontinued operations
 
  - RFS Holdings minority interest
(1)
 
(1)
             
Statutory basis
1,675 
2,701 
 
474 
334 
(238)
Gain/(loss) on redemption of own debt
454 
255 
 
(123)
(1)
Other operating income
           
  - managed basis
2,397 
2,527 
 
381 
822 
405 
  - strategic disposals**
113 
(104)
 
(16)
(23)
(82)
  - own credit adjustments*
(2,836)
1,621 
 
(122)
(1,020)
(200)
  - integration and restructuring costs
78 
 
82 
  - Direct Line Group discontinued operations
(138)
(147)
 
(16)
(35)
(31)
  - RFS Holdings minority interest
(1)
 
             
Statutory basis
(465)
3,975 
 
227 
(252)
174 
             
Insurance net premium income
           
  - managed basis
3,718 
4,256 
 
919 
932 
981 
  - Direct Line Group discontinued operations
(3,718)
(4,256)
 
(919)
(932)
(981)
             
Statutory basis
 
             
Total non-interest income – managed basis
14,092 
15,020 
 
2,918 
3,585 
2,645 
             
Total non-interest income – statutory basis
6,539 
12,348 
 
1,830 
1,150 
1,185 
             
*Own credit adjustments impact
           
Income from trading activities
(1,813)
293 
 
(98)
(435)
(272)
Other operating income
(2,836)
1,621 
 
(122)
(1,020)
(200)
             
Own credit adjustments
(4,649)
1,914 
 
(220)
(1,455)
(472)
             
**Strategic disposals
           
Gain/(loss) on sale and provision for loss on
  disposal  of investments in:
           
  - RBS Aviation
189 
 
(8)
  - Global Merchant Services
47 
 
  - Goodwill relating to UK branch-based
     businesses
(80)
 
(80)
  - Other
(76)
(71)
 
(8)
(23)
(2)
             
 
113 
(104)
 
(16)
(23)
(82)

 
15

 
 
Analysis of results (continued)


Key points
Non-interest income trends reflected subdued customer volumes as economies and lending remained weak. Q4 2012 saw an uplift compared with a weak Q4 2011.

2012 compared with 2011
·
Non-interest income on a statutory basis was down 47% at £6,539 million, primarily as a result of a £4,649 million accounting charge in relation to own credit adjustments versus a gain of £1,914 million in 2011. On a managed basis, non-interest income was down 6% at £14,092 million, with higher profits on available-for-sale bond disposals in Group Treasury more than offset by a 10% decline in net fees and commissions, largely due to a decline in UK Retail fees as a result of weaker consumer spending volumes, and lower insurance net premium income.
   
·
The continuing strengthening of RBS’s credit profile resulted in a £4,649 million accounting charge in relation to own credit adjustment versus a gain of £1,914 million in 2011. This reflects a tightening of more than 340 basis points in the Group’s cash market credit spreads over the year.
   
·
Markets trading income was sustained, despite the significant reduction in trading assets through balance sheet management and optimisation.
   
·
The decrease in other operating income included the impact of the disposal of RBS Aviation Capital in Q2 2012, which resulted in lower rental income in Non-Core.
   
·
Insurance net premium income fell by 13% on a managed basis, primarily reflecting lower written premiums in Direct Line Group.

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
Income from trading activities on a statutory basis increased by 42%, primarily as a result of a lower own credit adjustment charge of £98 million compared with £435 million in Q3 2012. On a managed basis, income from trading activities declined by 26% due to a seasonal reduction in activity versus particularly favourable market conditions in Q3 2012, which led to a £419 million fall in Markets.
   
·
Other operating income increased to £227 million, primarily reflecting a fall in the own credit adjustment charge to £122 million. On a managed basis, other operating income fell by £441 million largely due to higher losses on disposals in Non-Core and lower gains on available-for-sale bond disposals in Group Treasury of £187 million versus £325 million in Q3 2012.

Q4 2012 compared with Q4 2011
·
Income from trading activities on a statutory basis was up by £712 million largely driven by a £209 million charge in the Asset Protection Scheme in 2011 not repeated in 2012 and a £174 million fall in the own credit adjustments charge. On a managed basis, income from trading activities was up by £325 million reflecting lower Non-Core trading losses and a £61 million increase in profits on disposal of available-for-sale bonds. Partly offsetting this was lower IPED and Currency income in Markets.
   
·
Insurance net premium income was down by 6% on a managed basis, reflecting the flow through of lower written premiums across Motor, Home and International.

 
16

 
 
Analysis of results (continued)


The following tables reconcile the managed basis results (a non-GAAP financial measure) to the statutory basis results.
 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
Operating expenses and insurance claims
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
             
Staff costs
           
  - managed basis
7,639 
8,163 
 
1,439 
1,943 
1,781 
  - Direct Line Group discontinued operations
(447)
(322)
 
(123)
(100)
(95)
  - integration and restructuring costs
884 
489 
 
311 
117 
213 
  - bonus tax
27 
 
  - RFS Holdings minority interest
(1)
 
(1)
(1)
             
Statutory basis
8,076 
8,356 
 
1,628 
1,959 
1,898 
             
Premises and equipment
           
  - managed basis
2,198 
2,278 
 
573 
552 
575 
  - Direct Line Group discontinued operations
(118)
(28)
 
(54)
(47)
(8)
  - integration and restructuring costs
152 
173 
 
75 
43 
99 
  - RFS Holdings minority interest
 
(2)
             
Statutory basis
2,232 
2,423 
 
592 
550 
666 
             
Other administrative expenses
           
  - managed basis
3,248 
3,395 
 
723 
770 
838 
  - Payment Protection Insurance costs
1,110 
850 
 
450 
400 
  - Interest Rate Hedging Products redress
    and related costs
700 
 
700 
  - regulatory fines
381 
 
381 
  - bank levy
175 
300 
 
175 
300 
  - Direct Line Group discontinued operations
(395)
(495)
 
(51)
(66)
(147)
  - integration and restructuring costs
372 
386 
 
128 
88 
156 
  - RFS Holdings minority interest
 
             
Statutory basis
5,593 
4,436 
 
2,506 
1,193 
1,149 
             
Depreciation and amortisation
           
  - managed basis
1,534 
1,642 
 
384 
374 
450 
  - Direct Line Group discontinued operations
(52)
(36)
 
(24)
(9)
(12)
  - amortisation and goodwill
178 
222 
 
32 
47 
53 
  - integration and restructuring costs
142 
11 
 
106 
10 
             
Statutory basis
1,802 
1,839 
 
498 
421 
501 
             
Write-down of goodwill and other intangible
  assets
124 
80 
 
124 
80 
             
Operating expenses— managed basis
14,619 
15,478 
 
3,119 
3,639 
3,644 
             
Operating expenses— statutory basis
17,827 
17,134 
 
5,348 
4,123 
4,294 
             
             
Insurance net claims
           
  - managed basis
2,427 
2,968 
 
606 
596 
529 
  - Direct Line Group discontinued operations
(2,427)
(2,968)
 
(606)
(596)
(529)
             
Statutory basis
 

 
17

 
 
Analysis of results (continued)


Key points
Since 2009, the Group has reduced its operating expenses by 16%, or £2.7 billion on a managed basis, with headcount down 22,500, while at the same time funding investment in rebuilding its customer, compliance and risk management infrastructure.

2012 compared with 2011
·
Operating expenses on a statutory basis increased by £693 million, or 4%, primarily driven by the Interest Rate Hedging Products (IRHP) redress and related costs and regulatory fines recorded in 2012. On a managed basis, operating expenses fell by £859 million, or 6%, with staff costs also down 6% (but broadly stable as a percentage of total income) as headcount fell by 9,600 to 137,200. The decline in expenses was largely driven by Non-Core run-down and lower variable compensation (particularly in Markets), including variable compensation award reductions and clawbacks following the settlements reached with UK and US authorities in relation to attempts to manipulate LIBOR. The run-off of discontinued businesses in Markets and International Banking, following the restructuring announced in January 2012, and simplification of processes and headcount reduction in UK Retail also yielded cost benefits.
·
Included in expenses in 2012 were £175 million costs associated with the technology incident and £160 million provision for various litigation and legacy conduct issues.
·
Business Services costs were down 6% on a managed basis in the year, reflecting increased benefits from earlier cost saving programmes as a number of initiatives reached their full run rate. Technology Services costs were 8% lower and Corporate Services costs 6% lower. Headcount was 2% down on 2011.
·
Insurance net claims decreased by 18% on a managed basis, as lower volumes, higher reserve releases and improved claims experience more than offset an increase of £85 million in Home weather events claims.
   

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
Operating expenses were 30% higher on a statutory basis in the quarter primarily driven by the IRHP redress and related costs and regulatory fines recording in 2012. On a managed basis, operating expenses were 14% lower with significant falls in Markets, down 36% reflecting the reduction in variable compensation following the LIBOR settlements, and the full impact of headcount reductions over the year. International Banking expenses were down 16% primarily as a result of lower variable compensation. More broadly across the Group, a continued focus on costs saw lower expenses, mostly staff related, in the majority of other divisions.
   

Q4 2012 compared with Q4 2011
·
The 25% increase in operating expenses on a statutory basis was mainly driven by the IRHP redress and related costs and regulatory fines recorded in 2012. On a managed basis, operating expenses decline by 14%, mainly driven by lower variable compensation following the LIBOR settlements. In addition, the restructuring of Markets and International Banking and further progress in the run-down of Non-Core drove expenses lower, with a significant proportion of this movement in staff expenses, through headcount reductions.
·
Insurance net claims increased by 15% on a managed basis, predominantly reflecting the non-repeat of a reserve release on two specific products in Q4 2011.

 
18

 
 
Analysis of results (continued)


The following tables reconcile the managed basis results (a non-GAAP financial measure) to the statutory basis results.
 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
Impairment losses
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Loan impairment losses
5,315 
7,241 
 
1,402 
1,183 
1,654 
Securities
           
  - managed basis
(36)
198 
 
52 
(7)
38 
  - sovereign debt impairment
1,099 
 
224 
  - interest rate hedge on impaired
    available-for-sale sovereign debt
169 
 
             
Statutory basis
(36)
1,466 
 
52 
(7)
262 
             
Group impairment losses
5,279 
8,707 
 
1,454 
1,176 
1,692 
             
Loan impairment losses
           
  - individually assessed
3,169 
5,195 
 
818 
661 
1,253 
  - collectively assessed
2,196 
2,591 
 
505 
562 
591 
  - latent
(73)
(545)
 
(80)
(40)
(190)
             
Customer loans
5,292 
7,241 
 
1,403 
1,183 
1,654 
Bank loans
23 
 
(1)
             
Loan impairment losses
5,315 
7,241 
 
1,402 
1,183 
1,654 
             
Core
2,995 
3,403 
 
729 
751 
924 
Non-Core
2,320 
3,838 
 
673 
432 
730 
             
Group
5,315 
7,241 
 
1,402 
1,183 
1,654 
             
Customer loan impairment charge as a
  % of gross loans and advances (1)
           
Group
1.2% 
1.5% 
 
1.2% 
1.0% 
1.3% 
Core
0.7% 
0.8% 
 
0.7% 
0.7% 
0.9% 
Non-Core
4.2% 
4.8% 
 
4.8% 
2.8% 
3.7% 

Note:
(1)
Customer loan impairment charge as a percentage of gross customer loans and advances excludes reverse repurchase agreements and includes disposal groups.

Key points
The Group’s impairment losses, whilst still elevated due to Non-Core and Ulster Bank, continued to improve and move nearer to more normalised levels. Provision coverage increased further and remained strong.

2012 compared with 2011
·
Loan impairment losses declined by £1,926 million to £5,315 million, primarily driven by a £1,518 million fall in Non-Core impairments, mostly in the Ulster Bank and commercial real estate portfolios.
   
·
Core loan impairments were down £408 million, or 12%, largely due to lower default rates in UK Retail and an improved credit environment for US Retail & Commercial, which helped drive loan impairment reductions of £259 million and £165 million, respectively. Core Ulster Bank impairments stabilised, though still at a very high level (£1,364 million in 2012 versus £1,384 million in 2011).

 
19

 
 
Analysis of results (continued)


Key points (continued)

2012 compared with 2011 (continued)
·
Loan impairments as a percentage of gross loans and advances improved by 30 basis points, principally reflecting the improved credit profile in Non-Core and the better US credit environment.
   
·
Loan impairment provisions rose to £21.3 billion, increasing coverage of risk elements in lending to 52%, compared with 49% in 2011.

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
Core loan impairment losses fell by 3%, principally reflecting quality improvements and lower default rates in UK Retail. Non-Core impairments ticked upwards, largely as a result of a £200 million increase in Ulster Bank portfolio impairments, driving an increase of £219 million in Group loan impairments to £1,402 million.
   
·
Loan impairments as a percentage of gross loans and advances increased by 20 basis points, as an increase in Non-Core was only partly offset by decreases in both UK Retail and Core Ulster Bank.

Q4 2012 compared with Q4 2011
·
The £252 million fall in loan impairment losses was largely driven by a £57 million improvement in Non-Core impairments mainly in the UK Corporate and International Banking portfolios, partly offset by an increase in Ulster Bank. UK Retail impairments decreased by £98 million given lower default rates and higher recoveries, while US Retail & Commercial impairments fell by £34 million reflecting an improved credit environment.

For more details on the Group’s exposures and provisioning please refer to pages 202 to 214 of the risk section.

 
20

 
 
Analysis of results (continued)


Capital resources and ratios
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
       
Core Tier 1 capital
£47bn 
£48bn 
£46bn 
Tier 1 capital
£57bn 
£58bn 
£57bn 
Total capital
£67bn 
£63bn 
£61bn 
Risk-weighted assets
     
  - gross
£460bn 
£481bn 
£508bn 
  - benefit of Asset Protection Scheme (APS)
(£48bn)
(£69bn)
Risk-weighted assets
£460bn 
£433bn 
£439bn 
Core Tier 1 ratio (1)
10.3% 
11.1% 
10.6% 
Core Tier 1 excluding capital relief provided by APS
10.3% 
10.4% 
9.7% 
Tier 1 ratio
12.4% 
13.4% 
13.0% 
Total capital ratio
14.5% 
14.6% 
13.8% 

Note:
(1)
The benefit of APS in the Core Tier 1 ratio was 71 basis points at 30 September 2012 and 90 basis points at 31 December 2011.

Key points
The Group remained well capitalised with the underlying Core Tier 1 ratio improving by 60 basis points in 2012 despite £44 billion of additional regulatory risk-weighted asset increases.

2012 compared with 2011
·
The Group’s Core Tier 1 ratio was 10.3% compared with 9.7% in 2011, excluding the effect of the APS. The Group’s headline Core Tier 1 ratio in 2011 included 90 basis points of APS benefit.
   
·
The Group’s strengthened capital ratios largely reflect the significant reduction in risk profile, with gross risk-weighted assets down 9% to £460 billion, excluding the effect of the APS. The decline was principally driven by Non-Core (down £33 billion from disposals and portfolio run-off) and Markets (£19 billion lower reflecting continued focus on balance sheet management and risk reduction in the division).

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
The Core Tier 1 ratio was stable at 10.3%, excluding the effect of the APS.
   
·
Risk-weighted assets fell by 4%, excluding the effect of the APS, with declines in Non-Core and Markets exposures outweighing the impact of regulatory uplifts principally affecting UK Corporate and International Banking.

For more details of the Group’s capital resources refer to page to 150.

 
21

 

Analysis of results (continued)


Balance sheet
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
       
Total assets
£1,312bn 
£1,377bn 
£1,507bn 
Derivatives
£442bn 
£468bn 
£530bn 
       
Funded balance sheet (1)
£870bn 
£909bn 
£977bn 
Loans and advances to customers (2)
£432bn 
£443bn 
£474bn 
Customer deposits (3)
£434bn 
£435bn 
£437bn 
Loan:deposit ratio - Core (4)
90% 
91% 
94% 
Loan:deposit ratio - Group (4)
100% 
102% 
108% 

Notes:
(1) Funded balance sheet represents total assets less derivatives; (2) Excluding reverse repurchase agreements and stock borrowing, and including disposal groups; (3) Excluding repurchase agreements and stock lending, and including disposal groups; (4) Net of provisions, including disposal groups and excluding repurchase agreements. Excluding disposal groups, the loan:deposit ratios of Core and Group at 31 December 2012 were 89% and 99% respectively (30 September 2012 - 91% and 103% respectively; 31 December 2011 - 94% and 110% respectively).

Key points

2012 compared with 2011
·
The £107 billion contraction in the Group’s funded balance sheet to £870 billion was largely driven by reductions from disposals and run-off of £36 billion in Non-Core and £29 billion in Markets, following actions to optimise and de-risk the balance sheet. A further £17 billion of targeted portfolio reductions was achieved in International Banking.
·
Loans and advances to customers declined by 9%, primarily as a result of Non-Core run-down of £23 billion and a £15 billion fall in International Banking, following targeted reductions to improve lending portfolio quality.
·
Retail & Commercial customer deposits grew by £8 billion to £401 billion, with particularly strong growth in UK Retail following a successful savings campaign. Wholesale deposits were allowed to run-off, declining by £11 billion to leave Group customer deposits £3 billion lower at £434 billion.
·
The Group’s loan:deposit ratio improved from 108% in 2011 to 100% in 2012, reaching management’s medium-term target. Lending is now fully funded by customer deposits, with a corresponding reduction in more volatile wholesale funding.

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
The funded balance sheet decreased by £39 billion, with Markets down £20 billion through seasonally lower levels of activity and good progress in the division’s derisking strategy, a £8 billion reduction in Non-Core and a £5 billion fall in International Banking.
·
The Group’s loan:deposit ratio improved by 200 basis points to 100% as a result of lower loan balances in Non-Core, International Banking and UK Corporate while total deposits held steady.

Details of the Group’s loan:deposit mix are available on page 163.

 
22

 
 
Analysis of results - Funding & liquidity


Funding & liquidity metrics
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
       
Short-term wholesale funding (1)
£42bn 
£49bn 
£102bn 
Wholesale funding (1)
£150bn 
£159bn 
£226bn 
Short-term wholesale funding as percentage of funded balance sheet
5% 
5% 
10% 
Short-term wholesale funding as percentage of total wholesale funding
28% 
31% 
45% 
       
Liquidity portfolio
£147bn 
£147bn 
£155bn 
Liquidity portfolio as percentage of funded balance sheet
17% 
16% 
16% 
Liquidity portfolio as percentage of short-term wholesale funding
350% 
300% 
152% 
       
Net stable funding ratio
117% 
117% 
111% 

Note:
(1)
Excludes derivative collateral.

Key points
The Group has transformed its funding and liquidity metrics over the first four years of its five year strategic plan and now has a robust position.

2012 compared with 2011
·
Short-term wholesale funding balances fell by £60 billion to £42 billion as the Group actively reduced its reliance on more volatile sources of funding. RBS was within its previously announced short-term wholesale funding target in 2012 as balances contracted to 5% of the funded balance sheet.
   
·
The portfolio of high quality liquid assets reduced to £147 billion, reflecting the decline in short-term wholesale funding and a smaller balance sheet overall. RBS’s liquidity profile remained very strong, with the liquidity portfolio covering short-term wholesale funding 3.5 times, exceeding the Group’s medium-term target of 1.5 times.

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
The Group’s short-term wholesale funding fell by £7 billion in line with the previously disclosed strategy to limit funding from wholesale markets.
   
·
The liquidity portfolio was flat at £147 billion. Further targeted balance sheet reduction in the quarter raised the liquidity portfolio as a percentage of funded balance sheet by 1% to 17%.

Further analysis of the Group’s liquidity portfolio is included on page 165.
 
 
23

 

Divisional performance


The operating profit/(loss) of each division is shown below.

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Impairment losses/(recoveries) by division
           
UK Retail
529 
788 
 
93 
141 
191 
UK Corporate
838 
793 
 
234 
247 
236 
Wealth
46 
25 
 
16 
13 
International Banking
111 
168 
 
37 
12 
56 
Ulster Bank
1,364 
1,384 
 
318 
329 
327 
US Retail & Commercial
91 
326 
 
23 
21 
65 
             
Retail & Commercial
2,979 
3,484 
 
721 
758 
888 
Markets
37 
38 
 
22 
(6)
57 
Central items
40 
(2)
 
(4)
             
Core
3,056 
3,520 
 
751 
752 
941 
Non-Core
2,223 
3,919 
 
703 
424 
751 
             
Managed basis
5,279 
7,439 
 
1,454 
1,176 
1,692 
Reconciling items
           
Sovereign debt impairment
1,099 
 
224 
Interest rate hedge adjustments on impaired available-for-sale sovereign debt
169 
 
             
Statutory basis
5,279 
8,707 
 
1,454 
1,176 
1,916 


 
24

 


Divisional performance (continued)

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Operating profit/(loss) by division
           
UK Retail
1,891 
2,021 
 
513 
464 
458 
UK Corporate
1,796 
1,924 
 
424 
368 
406 
Wealth
253 
248 
 
79 
65 
73 
International Banking
594 
755 
 
155 
175 
152 
Ulster Bank
(1,040)
(984)
 
(243)
(242)
(233)
US Retail & Commercial
754 
537 
 
200 
223 
177 
             
Retail & Commercial
4,248 
4,501 
 
1,128 
1,053 
1,033 
Markets
1,509 
899 
 
139 
295 
(109)
Direct Line Group
441 
454 
 
113 
109 
125 
Central items
143 
191 
 
143 
176 
89 
             
Core
6,341 
6,045 
 
1,523 
1,633 
1,138 
Non-Core
(2,879)
(4,221)
 
(942)
(586)
(1,282)
             
Managed basis
3,462 
1,824 
 
581 
1,047 
(144)
Reconciling items:
           
Own credit adjustments (5)
(4,649)
1,914 
 
(220)
(1,455)
(472)
Asset Protection Scheme (6)
(44)
(906)
 
(209)
Payment Protection Insurance costs
(1,110)
(850)
 
(450)
(400)
Sovereign debt impairment
(1,099)
 
(224)
Interest rate hedge adjustments on impaired available-for-sale foreign debt
(169)
 
Interest Rate Hedging Products redress and related costs
(700)
 
(700)
Regulatory fines
(381)
 
(381)
Amortisation of purchased intangible assets
(178)
(222)
 
(32)
(47)
(53)
Integration and restructuring costs
(1,550)
(1,064)
 
(620)
(257)
(478)
Gain/(loss) on redemption of own debt
454 
255 
 
(123)
(1)
Strategic disposals
113 
(104)
 
(16)
(23)
(82)
Bank levy
(175)
(300)
 
(175)
(300)
Bonus tax
(27)
 
Write-down of goodwill and other intangible assets
(518)
(11)
 
(518)
(11)
RFS Holdings minority interest
(20)
(7)
 
(2)
(1)
(2)
             
Statutory basis before the reclassification of the Direct Line Group results to discontinued operations
(5,296)
(766)
 
(2,533)
(1,258)
(1,976)
Direct Line Group reclassified to discontinued operations
131 
(424)
 
334 
(82)
(63)
             
Statutory basis
(5,165)
(1,190)
 
(2,199)
(1,340)
(2,039)



 
25

 


Divisional performance (continued)

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Total income by division
           
UK Retail
4,969 
5,508 
 
1,230 
1,242 
1,309 
UK Corporate
4,723 
4,863 
 
1,173 
1,138 
1,177 
Wealth
1,170 
1,104 
 
285 
292 
280 
International Banking
2,122 
2,555 
 
484 
535 
593 
Ulster Bank
845 
947 
 
212 
213 
226 
US Retail & Commercial
3,091 
3,037 
 
740 
780 
790 
             
Retail & Commercial
16,920 
18,014 
 
4,124 
4,200 
4,375 
Markets
4,483 
4,415 
 
641 
1,042 
692 
Direct Line Group
3,717 
4,072 
 
918 
899 
923 
Central items
379 
20 
 
109 
267 
             
Core
25,499 
26,521 
 
5,792 
6,408 
5,999 
Non-Core
288 
1,188 
 
(32)
50 
(278)
             
Managed basis
25,787 
27,709 
 
5,760 
6,458 
5,721 
             
Reconciling items:
           
Own credit adjustments
(4,649)
1,914 
 
(220)
(1,455)
(472)
Asset Protection Scheme
(44)
(906)
 
(209)
Integration and restructuring costs
(5)
 
Gain/(loss) on redemption of own debt
454 
255 
 
(123)
(1)
Strategic disposals
113 
(24)
 
(16)
(23)
(2)
RFS Holdings minority interest
(18)
(6)
 
(3)
             
Statutory basis before the reclassification of the Direct Line Group results to discontinued operations
21,643 
28,937 
 
5,521 
4,859 
5,038 
Direct Line Group reclassified to discontinued operations
(3,702)
(4,286)
 
(918)
(900)
(867)
             
Statutory basis
17,941 
24,651 
 
4,603 
3,959 
4,171 

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
 
             
Net interest margin by division
           
UK Retail
3.58 
3.95 
 
3.60 
3.53 
3.74 
UK Corporate
3.06 
3.06 
 
2.97 
2.99 
3.02 
Wealth
3.73 
3.23 
 
3.69 
3.88 
3.39 
International Banking
1.64 
1.73 
 
1.62 
1.70 
1.64 
Ulster Bank
1.88 
1.87 
 
1.93 
1.92 
1.87 
US Retail & Commercial
3.00 
3.06 
 
2.92 
2.99 
3.04 
             
Retail & Commercial
2.92 
2.97 
 
2.92 
2.92 
2.90 
Non-Core
0.31 
0.63 
 
0.29 
0.41 
0.42 
             
Group net interest margin
1.92 
1.89 
 
1.95 
1.94 
1.82 

 
26

 


Divisional performance (continued)

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
       
Total funded assets by division
     
UK Retail
117.4 
116.7 
114.5 
UK Corporate
110.2 
111.8 
114.2 
Wealth
21.4 
21.4 
21.6 
International Banking
53.0 
58.4 
69.9 
Ulster Bank
30.6 
30.8 
34.6 
US Retail & Commercial
71.8 
74.2 
74.9 
       
Retail & Commercial
404.4 
413.3 
429.7 
Markets
284.5 
304.4 
313.9 
Other (primarily Group Treasury)
123.3 
125.1 
139.1 
       
Core
812.2 
842.8 
882.7 
Non-Core
57.4 
65.1 
93.7 
       
 
869.6 
907.9 
976.4 
RFS Holdings minority interest
0.8 
0.8 
0.8 
       
Total
870.4 
908.7 
977.2 


 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
   
31 December 
2011 
 
 
£bn 
£bn 
Change 
 
£bn 
Change 
             
Risk-weighted assets by division
           
UK Retail
45.7 
47.7 
(4%)
 
48.4 
(6%)
UK Corporate
86.3 
82.1 
5% 
 
79.3 
9% 
Wealth
12.3 
12.3 
 
12.9 
(5%)
International Banking
51.9 
49.7 
4% 
 
43.2 
20% 
Ulster Bank
36.1 
35.1 
3% 
 
36.3 
(1%)
US Retail & Commercial
56.5 
56.7 
 
59.3 
(5%)
             
Retail & Commercial
288.8 
283.6 
2% 
 
279.4 
3% 
Markets
101.3 
108.0 
(6%)
 
120.3 
(16%)
Other
5.8 
13.9 
(58%)
 
12.0 
(52%)
             
Core
395.9 
405.5 
(2%)
 
411.7 
(4%)
Non-Core
60.4 
72.2 
(16%)
 
93.3 
(35%)
             
Group before benefit of Asset Protection
  Scheme
456.3 
477.7 
(4%)
 
505.0 
(10%)
Benefit of Asset Protection Scheme
(48.1)
(100%)
 
(69.1)
(100%)
             
Group before RFS Holdings minority
  interest
456.3 
429.6 
6% 
 
435.9 
5% 
RFS Holdings minority interest
3.3 
3.3 
 
3.1 
6% 
             
Group
459.6 
432.9 
6% 
 
439.0 
5% 

 
27

 


Divisional performance (continued)

Employee numbers by division (full time equivalents rounded to the nearest hundred)
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
       
UK Retail
26,000 
27,100 
27,700 
UK Corporate
13,300 
13,100 
13,600 
Wealth
5,300 
5,400 
5,700 
International Banking
4,400 
4,600 
5,400 
Ulster Bank
4,500 
4,700 
4,200 
US Retail & Commercial
14,700 
14,600 
15,400 
       
Retail & Commercial
68,200 
69,500 
72,000 
Markets
11,200 
11,900 
13,900 
Direct Line Group
14,200 
14,700 
14,900 
Group Centre
6,800 
6,800 
6,200 
       
Core
100,400 
102,900 
107,000 
Non-Core
3,100 
3,300 
4,700 
       
 
103,500 
106,200 
111,700 
Business Services
33,200 
33,300 
34,000 
Integration and restructuring
500 
800 
1,100 
       
Group
137,200 
140,300 
146,800 

 
28

 


UK Retail

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Income statement
           
Net interest income
3,990 
4,302 
 
1,011 
990 
1,032 
             
Net fees and commissions
884 
1,066 
 
202 
231 
242 
Other non-interest income
95 
140 
 
17 
21 
35 
             
Non-interest income
979 
1,206 
 
219 
252 
277 
             
Total income
4,969 
5,508 
 
1,230 
1,242 
1,309 
             
Direct expenses
           
  - staff
(800)
(839)
 
(187)
(196)
(200)
  - other
(372)
(437)
 
(89)
(94)
(116)
Indirect expenses
(1,377)
(1,423)
 
(348)
(347)
(344)
             
 
(2,549)
(2,699)
 
(624)
(637)
(660)
             
Profit before impairment losses
2,420 
2,809 
 
606 
605 
649 
Impairment losses
(529)
(788)
 
(93)
(141)
(191)
             
Operating profit
1,891 
2,021 
 
513 
464 
458 
             
             
Analysis of income by product
           
Personal advances
916 
1,089 
 
228 
230 
276 
Personal deposits
661 
961 
 
150 
158 
214 
Mortgages
2,367 
2,277 
 
610 
598 
577 
Cards
863 
950 
 
214 
218 
238 
Other
162 
231 
 
28 
38 
             
Total income
4,969 
5,508 
 
1,230 
1,242 
1,309 
             
             
Analysis of impairments by sector
           
Mortgages
92 
182 
 
29 
32 
Personal
307 
437 
 
64 
77 
116 
Cards
130 
169 
 
24 
35 
43 
             
Total impairment losses
529 
788 
 
93 
141 
191 
             
             
Loan impairment charge as % of gross
  customer loans and advances (excluding
  reverse repurchase agreements) by sector
           
Mortgages
0.1% 
0.2% 
 
0.1% 
0.1% 
Personal
3.5% 
4.3% 
 
2.9% 
3.5% 
4.6% 
Cards
2.3% 
3.0% 
 
1.7% 
2.5% 
3.0% 
             
Total
0.5% 
0.7% 
 
0.3% 
0.5% 
0.7% 

 
29

 


UK Retail (continued)

Key metrics
 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
             
Performance ratios
           
Return on equity (1)
24.4% 
24.5% 
 
27.2% 
23.8% 
22.8% 
Net interest margin
3.58% 
3.95% 
 
3.60% 
3.53% 
3.74% 
Cost:income ratio
51% 
49% 
 
51% 
51% 
50% 

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
   
31 December 
2011 
 
 
£bn 
£bn 
Change 
 
£bn 
Change 
             
Capital and balance sheet
           
Loans and advances to customers (gross) (2)
           
  - mortgages
99.1 
98.4 
1% 
 
95.0 
4% 
  - personal
8.8 
8.9 
(1%)
 
10.1 
(13%)
  - cards
5.7 
5.6 
2% 
 
5.7 
             
 
113.6 
112.9 
1% 
 
110.8 
3% 
Loan impairment provisions
(2.6)
(2.7)
(4%)
 
(2.7)
(4%)
             
Net loans and advances to customers
111.0 
110.2 
1% 
 
108.1 
3% 
             
Risk elements in lending (2)
4.6 
4.6 
 
4.6 
Provision coverage (3)
58% 
59% 
(100bp)
 
58% 
             
Customer deposits (2)
107.6 
105.9 
2% 
 
101.9 
6% 
Assets under management (excluding deposits)
6.0 
6.1 
(2%)
 
5.5 
9% 
Loan:deposit ratio (excluding repos)
103% 
104% 
(100bp)
 
106% 
(300bp)
Risk-weighted assets (4)
45.7  
47.7 
(4%)
 
48.4 
(6%)

Notes:
(1)
Divisional return on equity is based on divisional operating profit after tax divided by average notional equity (based on 10% of the monthly average of divisional RWAs, adjusted for capital deductions).
(2)
Includes businesses outlined for disposal: gross loans and advances to customers £7.6 billion (30 September 2012 - £7.6 billion; 31 December 2011 - £7.3 billion), risk elements in lending £0.5 billion (30 September 2012 and 31 December 2011 - £0.5 billion) and customer deposits £8.5 billion (30 September 2012 - £8.5 billion; 31 December 2011 - £8.8 billion).
(3)
Provision coverage percentage represents loan impairment provisions as a percentage of risk elements in lending.
(4)
Divisional RWAs are based on using a long-term conservative average secured mortgage probability of default methodology rather than the current lower point in time basis required for Regulatory reporting.

Key points
Over the last four years UK Retail has undertaken stretching initiatives and undergone significant change in order to meet its goal to consistently improve the service it offers to its customers. Highlights in 2012 include:
·
Continued progress on the RBS and NatWest Customer Charter commitments supporting our goal of becoming Britain’s most helpful retail bank;
   
·
Providing more than £500 million of cheaper mortgages through the Government’s Funding for Lending Scheme (FLS), launched at the end of June 2012 and opened for drawings in August 2012, which represents 14% of all completions in the last quarter of 2012;
   
·
Seeking and responding to customer feedback to enhance the retail mobile banking app which is used by more than two million customers to manage their money and complete over one million transactions every week;

 
30

 


UK Retail (continued)

Key points (continued)
·
Increasing online banking webchat functionality to allow customers real-time access to an advisor, direct from their computer, who can answer queries and action basic account services 24 hours a day; and
   
·
Continued to invest in simplifying processes to make it easier for customers to bank with us, including introducing more than 200 cash deposit machines and ATMs to further reduce queuing times in branches.

However, the business has also had setbacks in the year. Customers suffered from disruptions to payment systems in June. Throughout this time UK Retail staff worked tirelessly to deal quickly with the issues and provide full redress and compensation to customers affected. In addition, the provision relating to historic Payment Protection Insurance (PPI) mis-selling was increased by £1.1 billion in 2012, bringing total PPI expense to date to £2.2 billion. This expense is not included in operating profit. With the new UK conduct regulator examining many products and services along with associated disclosures and sales practices, there are likely to be further impacts to business practices and potential additional costs of redress. The business is actively working to ensure its products set and sales practices are appropriate.

Ross McEwan joined UK Retail as its new Chief Executive in September 2012 and spent considerable time engaging with customers and employees around the country and reviewing business processes and performance. With his management team, he has developed a range of initiatives, building upon existing efforts, which focus on simplifying processes and providing a better experience for all customers. Ultimately, with a lot of hard work, the goal is to be the best retail bank in the UK.

2012 compared with 2011
·
Operating profit fell by 6% as a 10% decline in income was only partly offset by lower costs, down 6%, and improved impairment losses, down 33%.
   
·
Mortgage balances grew by £4.1 billion with the share of new business at 10%, ahead of our stock level of 8%. Growth as a result of FLS was starting to appear by the end of the year as mortgage applications moved through the pipeline to completion. Deposit growth of 6% was in line with the market and drove a 300 basis point improvement in the loan:deposit ratio to 103%.
   
·
Net interest income was down 7% due to weaker deposit margins and reduction in unsecured balances, partly offset by mortgage growth. Unsecured balances now represent 13% of total loans and advances to customers compared with 23% in 2008, following realignment of risk appetite and strong mortgage growth. Net interest margin declined as a result of lower rates on current account hedges and increased competition on savings rates in the early part of the year, partly offset by widening asset margins.
   
·
Non-interest income was 19% lower mainly due to:
 
lower unauthorised overdraft fees as we continue to help customers manage their finances by providing mobile text alerts and further improving mobile banking functionality;
 
weak consumer confidence lowering spending and associated fees on cards; and
 
lower investment income as a result of weak customer demand and less advisor availability due to restructuring and retraining in preparation for regulatory changes in 2013.

 
31

 


UK Retail (continued)

Key points (continued)

2012 compared with 2011 (continued)
·
Costs were down £150 million, 6%, driven by the ongoing simplification of processes across the business, lower headcount and lower FSCS levy.
   
·
Impairment losses were £259 million or 33% lower, reflecting the continued benefit of risk appetite tightening in prior years and also a smaller unsecured loan book. Impairments as a percentage of loans and advances were 50 basis points versus 70 basis points in 2011.
   
·
Risk-weighted assets continued to improve over the year as the portfolio mix adjusted, with increases in lower-risk secured mortgages, decreases in unsecured lending and further quality improvements across the book.

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
Operating profit of £513 million was up 11% mainly due to lower impairment losses.
   
·
The loan:deposit ratio improved by 100 basis points to 103% due to deposit growth of £1.7 billion, driven by successful instant access and E-Saver savings campaigns along with higher levels of retention on bond maturities achieved through optimising pricing. Mortgage new business market share was strong at 10% with growth relating to the FLS which supported 14% of mortgage completions for first time buyers by the end of the year.
   
·
Net interest income increased by £21 million, driven by higher mortgage income and improved internal funding of £12 million, partly offset by lower deposit margins due to lower rates on current account hedges. Net interest margin was 7 basis points higher.
   
·
Total costs decreased by 2%, reflecting headcount reductions of 5% and ongoing efficiency savings.
   
·
Impairment losses were 34% lower largely due to a provision adjustment of £22 million to reflect the delayed recognition of underlying quality improvements in the performing mortgage book. Accordingly, impairments as a percentage of loans and advances fell to 30 basis points. Lower default rates were also observed across all products.
   
·
Risk-weighted assets fell by 4%, reflecting continued reductions in unsecured balances and small quality improvements across the portfolio.

Q4 2012 compared with Q4 2011
·
Operating profit increased by 12%, reflecting lower costs and impairment losses, partly offset by a 6% decline in income largely driven by the low interest rate environment.
   
·
Net interest income fell by 2% due to lower deposit margins and continued reductions in unsecured lending.
   
·
Non-interest income was down 21%, due to the impact of weaker consumer confidence and more risk-averse customer behaviour on transactional fee, investment and advice income.
   
·
Total costs decreased by 5%, driven by lower headcount, efficiency savings, and a lower FSCS levy.
   
·
Impairment losses were down 51%, reflecting the continued benefit of risk appetite tightening in prior years driving lower default rates, together with higher recoveries and a provision adjustment of £22 million to reflect the delayed recognition of underlying quality improvements in the performing mortgage book.

 
32

 


UK Corporate

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Income statement
           
Net interest income
2,974 
3,092 
 
717 
729 
758 
             
Net fees and commissions
1,365 
1,375 
 
349 
334 
341 
Other non-interest income
384 
396 
 
107 
75 
78 
             
Non-interest income
1,749 
1,771 
 
456 
409 
419 
             
Total income
4,723 
4,863 
 
1,173 
1,138 
1,177 
             
Direct expenses
           
  - staff
(928)
(922)
 
(227)
(224)
(231)
  - other
(364)
(390)
 
(99)
(91)
(99)
Indirect expenses
(797)
(834)
 
(189)
(208)
(205)
             
 
(2,089)
(2,146)
 
(515)
(523)
(535)
             
Profit before impairment losses
2,634 
2,717 
 
658 
615 
642 
Impairment losses
(838)
(793)
 
(234)
(247)
(236)
             
Operating profit
1,796 
1,924 
 
424 
368 
406 
             
             
Analysis of income by business
           
Corporate and commercial lending
2,636 
2,643 
 
672 
613 
623 
Asset and invoice finance
685 
660 
 
176 
176 
169 
Corporate deposits
568 
694 
 
87 
141 
171 
Other
834 
866 
 
238 
208 
214 
             
Total income
4,723 
4,863 
 
1,173 
1,138 
1,177 
             
             
Analysis of impairments by sector
           
Financial institutions
15 
20 
 
(2)
Hotels and restaurants
52 
59 
 
23 
16 
Housebuilding and construction
143 
103 
 
25 
14 
27 
Manufacturing
49 
34 
 
10 
20 
13 
Private sector education, health, social work,
  recreational and community services
37 
113 
 
(8)
81 
Property
252 
170 
 
71 
117 
19 
Wholesale and retail trade, repairs
112 
85 
 
47 
16 
29 
Asset and invoice finance
40 
38 
 
10 
10 
14 
Shipping
82 
22 
 
42 
29 
12 
Other
56 
149 
 
35 
27 
             
Total impairment losses
838 
793 
 
234 
247 
236 

 
33

 


UK Corporate (continued)

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
             
Loan impairment charge as % of gross
  customer loans and advances (excluding
  reverse repurchase agreements) by sector
           
Financial institutions
0.3% 
0.3% 
 
0.2% 
0.6% 
(0.1%)
Hotels and restaurants
0.9% 
1.0% 
 
1.6% 
0.4% 
1.0% 
Housebuilding and construction
4.2% 
2.6% 
 
2.9% 
1.6% 
2.8% 
Manufacturing
1.0% 
0.7% 
 
0.9% 
1.7% 
1.1% 
Private sector education, health, social work,
  recreational and community services
0.4% 
1.3% 
 
0.1% 
(0.4%)
3.7% 
Property
1.0% 
0.6% 
 
1.1% 
1.8% 
0.3% 
Wholesale and retail trade, repairs
1.3% 
1.0% 
 
2.2% 
0.7% 
1.3% 
Asset and invoice finance
0.4% 
0.4% 
 
0.4% 
0.4% 
0.5% 
Shipping
1.1% 
0.3% 
 
2.2% 
1.5% 
0.6% 
Other
0.2% 
0.6% 
 
0.5% 
0.4% 
             
Total
0.8% 
0.7% 
 
0.9% 
0.9% 
0.9% 

Key metrics
 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
             
Performance ratios
           
Return on equity (1)
14.5% 
15.2% 
 
13.2% 
11.9% 
13.0% 
Net interest margin
3.06% 
3.06% 
 
2.97% 
2.99% 
3.02% 
Cost:income ratio
44% 
44% 
 
44% 
46% 
45% 


 
34

 


UK Corporate (continued)

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
   
31 December 
2011 
 
 
£bn 
£bn 
Change 
 
£bn 
Change 
             
Capital and balance sheet
           
Loans and advances to customers (gross) (2)
           
  - financial institutions
5.8 
5.1 
14% 
 
5.8 
  - hotels and restaurants
5.6 
5.9 
(5%)
 
6.1 
(8%)
  - housebuilding and construction
3.4 
3.5 
(3%)
 
3.9 
(13%)
  - manufacturing
4.7 
4.7 
 
4.7 
  - private sector education, health, social
    work, recreational and community services
8.7 
8.8 
(1%)
 
8.7 
  - property
24.8 
26.0 
(5%)
 
28.2 
(12%)
  - wholesale and retail trade, repairs
8.5 
8.9 
(4%)
 
8.7 
(2%)
  - asset and invoice finance
11.2 
10.9 
3% 
 
10.4 
8% 
  - shipping
7.6 
7.7 
(1%)
 
7.8 
(3%)
  - other
26.7 
26.8 
 
26.4 
1% 
             
 
107.0 
108.3 
(1%)
 
110.7 
(3%)
Loan impairment provisions
(2.4)
(2.4)
 
(2.1)
14% 
             
Net loans and advances to customers
104.6 
105.9 
(1%)
 
108.6 
(4%)
             
Total third party assets
110.2 
111.8 
(1%)
 
114.2 
(4%)
Risk elements in lending (2)
5.5 
5.5 
 
5.0 
10% 
Provision coverage (3)
45% 
43% 
200bp 
 
40% 
500bp 
             
Customer deposits (2)
127.1 
126.8 
 
126.3 
1% 
Loan:deposit ratio (excluding repos)
82% 
84% 
(200bps)
 
86% 
(400bps)
Risk-weighted assets
86.3 
82.1 
5% 
 
79.3 
9% 

Notes:
(1)
Divisional return on equity is based on divisional operating profit after tax, divided by average notional equity (based on 10% of the monthly average of divisional RWAs, adjusted for capital deductions).
(2)
Includes businesses outlined for disposal: loans and advances to customers £11.3 billion (30 September 2012 - £11.7 billion; 31 December 2011 - £12.2 billion), risk elements in lending £0.9 billion (30 September 2012 - £0.9 billion; 31 December 2011 - £1.0 billion) and customer deposits £13.0 billion (30 September 2012 - £12.9 billion; 31 December 2011- £13.0 billion).
(3)
Provision coverage percentage represents loan impairment provisions as a percentage of risk elements in lending.

Key points
During 2012, UK Corporate continued to support its customers and the UK economy and further demonstrated a commitment to the communities it operates in.

RBS was the first bank to support the Government’s Funding for Lending Scheme (FLS). The division is using the FLS to stimulate loan demand through reduced interest rates for its customers. Since the scheme’s launch, UK Corporate has supported over 11,000 SMEs with over £1.7 billion of allocated funds through FLS initiatives. In addition, UK Corporate is providing targeted support to manufacturers through its Manufacturing Fund. This has made £1 billion available to customers, facilitating investment in technology and innovation and freeing up working capital. UK Corporate launched a Carbon Reduction Fund which provides £200 million of ring-fenced funding for businesses undertaking energy-efficiency projects. The division has also supported its clients in accessing the corporate bond markets. Corporate clients raised a total of £19 billion of bonds in 2012.

 
35

 


UK Corporate (continued)

Key points (continued)
Throughout the year, UK Corporate has also continued to invest in the service it delivers to its customers through:
·
The introduction of a new enhanced telephony and online offering, Business Connect. This already supports over 170,000 small business customers, offering telephony access to experienced relationship managers from 8am to 8pm, in addition to its traditional branch and relationship manager network;
   
·
New mobile banking apps that allow customers to manage multiple accounts, make payments and transfers, and view detailed statements. In 2012 over 70,000 users were using the app twice a day, transacting more than £700 million since launch; and
   
·
Regional ‘Great place to do business’ events which bring investors, local authorities and prominent members of the community together to identify opportunities for stimulating growth in the community.

UK Corporate has invested significantly to further enhance the skills of its people. As part of improvements to its specialist sector propositions, the business is tailoring its industry leading accreditation programme with industry specific modules. The bespoke modules are endorsed by key sector bodies such as the National Farmers’ Union.

UK Corporate was the first high street bank to support the Evening Standard and City Gateway apprenticeship initiative, hiring an initial 16 young people onto its scheme.

2012 compared with 2011
·
With economic factors continuing to suppress business confidence, 2012 saw lower income and operating profit. Nonetheless, the business delivered a return on equity of 14.5%, slightly below the prior year and comfortably ahead of the cost of capital.
   
·
Operating profit decreased by 7%, with income down 3% and increased impairments, up 6%, partially offset by a 3% decrease in costs.
   
·
Net interest income was 4% lower, reflecting a 3% fall in lending volumes as loan repayments outstripped new lending, deposit margin compression due to strong competition and the continuation of low yields on current accounts. This was partially offset by improved asset margins and a 1% increase in deposit volumes.
   
·
Non-interest income was broadly in line with 2011, with stable income from transaction services, asset finance, Markets revenue share and other lending fees.
   
·
Total costs were down 3% due to tight control over direct discretionary expenditure combined with lower indirect costs as a result of operational savings, partially offset by increased investment expenditure.
   
·
Core lending balances were up £200 million, excluding the property, housebuilding and construction sectors. The loan:deposit ratio decreased by 400 basis points, principally reflecting deposit growth and portfolio de-risking, particularly in commercial real estate. The Group took part in a number of Government initiatives, seeking responsibly to stimulate additional credit demand in the face of continued customer deleveraging and low business confidence levels.

 
36

 


UK Corporate (continued)

Key points (continued)

2012 compared with 2011 (continued)
·
Impairments increased by 6% with lower specific provisions, mainly in the SME business, more than offset by reduced levels of latent provision releases across the division (£44 million in 2012 versus £226 million in 2011). Impairments as a percentage of loans and advances edged up modestly to 80 basis points.
 
 
·
Risk-weighted assets increased by 9% as regulatory changes to capital models during H2 2012 totalling £15 billion (primarily the implementation of the market-wide slotting approach on real estate and increases to default risk weights in other models) were partly offset by a fall in funded assets.
 
 
·
Not reflected in operating results was UK Corporate’s £350 million share of the provision for interest rate swap redress which relates to prior periods, mainly pre-2008.

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
Operating profit increased by £56 million, or 15%, as non-interest income, costs and impairments all improved.
   
·
Net interest income declined by 2% largely due to tightening LIBOR spreads reducing deposit margins.
   
·
Non-interest income increased by 11%, from higher revenue share from Markets hedging contracts and the non-repeat of a property-related fair value adjustment of £25 million in Q3 2012.
   
·
Costs were 2% lower, reflecting a reduction in staff-related indirect expenses. This, combined with the increase in total income, improved the cost:income ratio by 200 basis points.
   
·
Impairments improved by 5% with the non-repeat of a small number of significant individual provisions in Q3 2012.
   
·
Core lending balances held steady at £79 billion, excluding the property, housebuilding and construction sectors.
   
·
Risk-weighted assets increased by 5%, a result of ongoing impact of the changes to risk models.

Q4 2012 compared with Q4 2011
·
Operating profit improved by 4% to £424 million, driven by a 4% reduction in costs, with total income and impairments remaining broadly flat. As a result, the cost:income ratio improved by 100 basis points.
   
·
Net interest income decreased by 5%, primarily driven by compressed deposit margins and a lower loan portfolio, partially offset by improvements in asset margins.
   
·
Non-interest income was up 9%, largely reflecting the non-repeat of derivative close-out costs associated with impaired assets of £12 million in Q4 2011, while Q4 2012 included higher gains on equity investments of £7 million.
   
·
Impairments were flat with a reduction in specific and collectively assessed provisions offset by lower levels of latent provision releases.
   
·
Lending balances (excluding the property, housebuilding and construction sectors) remained flat over the course of Q4 2012, compared with a 1% decline in Q4 2011.

 
37

 


Wealth

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Income statement
           
Net interest income
720 
645 
 
178 
185 
168 
             
Net fees and commissions
366 
375 
 
89 
94 
89 
Other non-interest income
84 
84 
 
18 
13 
23 
             
Non-interest income
450 
459 
 
107 
107 
112 
             
Total income
1,170 
1,104 
 
285 
292 
280 
             
Direct expenses
           
  - staff
(424)
(413)
 
(87)
(104)
(96)
  - other
(223)
(195)
 
(50)
(57)
(43)
Indirect expenses
(224)
(223)
 
(53)
(58)
(55)
             
 
(871)
(831)
 
(190)
(219)
(194)
             
Profit before impairment losses
299 
273 
 
95 
73 
86 
Impairment losses
(46)
(25)
 
(16)
(8)
(13)
             
Operating profit
253 
248 
 
79 
65 
73 
             
Analysis of income
           
Private banking
956 
902 
 
230 
237 
232 
Investments
214 
202 
 
55 
55 
48 
             
Total income
1,170 
1,104 
 
285 
292 
280 

Key metrics
 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
             
Performance ratios
           
Return on equity (1)
13.7% 
13.1% 
 
17.4% 
14.3% 
15.2% 
Net interest margin
3.73% 
3.23% 
 
3.69% 
3.88% 
3.39% 
Cost:income ratio
74% 
75% 
 
67% 
75% 
69% 

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
   
31 December 
2011 
 
 
£bn 
£bn 
Change 
 
£bn 
Change 
             
Capital and balance sheet
           
Loans and advances to customers (gross)
           
  - mortgages
8.8 
8.7 
1% 
 
8.3 
6% 
  - personal
5.5 
5.5 
 
6.9 
(20%)
  - other
2.8 
2.8 
 
1.7 
65% 
             
 
17.1 
17.0 
1% 
 
16.9 
1% 
Loan impairment provisions
(0.1)
(0.1)
 
(0.1)
             
Net loans and advances to customers
17.0 
16.9 
1% 
 
16.8 
1% 
             
Risk elements in lending
0.2 
0.2 
 
0.2 
Provision coverage (2)
44% 
41% 
300bp 
 
38% 
600bp 
Assets under management (excluding
  deposits)
28.9 
29.5 
(2%)
 
30.9 
(6%)
Customer deposits
38.9 
38.7 
1% 
 
38.2 
2% 
             
Loan:deposit ratio (excluding repos)
44% 
44% 
 
44% 
Risk-weighted assets
12.3 
12.3 
 
12.9 
(5%)

Note:
(1)
Divisional return on equity is based on divisional operating profit after tax divided by average notional equity (based on 10% of the monthly average of divisional RWAs, adjusted for capital deductions).
(2)
Provision coverage percentage represents loan impairment provisions as a percentage of risk elements in lending.

 
38

 


Wealth (continued)

Key points
2012 saw improved performance overall, with higher lending and deposit margins and volumes driving higher income.

In 2012 the Coutts businesses continued to focus on implementing and delivering the new divisional strategy outlined in 2011. The sale of Coutts’ Latin American businesses and the completion of the rollout of Coutts global technology platform in the UK were tangible examples of this. By the end of the year the division had exited over 100 countries since the strategy was introduced and was serving clients in the remaining countries through one central operating platform, a clear demonstration of the division’s commitment to its strategy.

In the UK, Q4 2012 saw the launch of Coutts’ new Retail Distribution Review (RDR)-compliant advice proposition and products. Significant investment was made during 2012 to ensure clients would continue to receive the best service, advice and products based on their specific needs. One example of this was the introduction of seven new UK and global RDR-compliant multi-asset funds, allowing clients to continue to invest in a broad range of asset classes matched to their needs and risk appetites.

Clients in the UK also benefited from the launch of the Coutts Mobile service in October, offering clients greater choice and flexibility in the way they manage their banking needs electronically.

In the International business, the division further invested in Dubai, Singapore and Mumbai as it continued to embed its targeted growth strategy. Clients also benefited from enhancements to the collateralised lending programme, where higher lending limits and a greater number of currencies available has increased its relevance to clients.

2012 compared with 2011
·
Operating profit increased by £5 million, or 2% to £253 million driven by higher income partially offset by increased expenses and impairment losses.
   
·
Total income increased by £66 million, with net interest income up £75 million, largely driven by improvements in margins and strong divisional treasury income, particularly during H1 2012.
   
·
Non-interest income fell by 2% as the gain from the disposal of the Latin American, Caribbean and African businesses was more than offset by a decline in fee income in the UK and lower investment volumes, driven by continued economic uncertainty.
   
·
Expenses were £40 million or 5% higher at £871 million, with significant investment in change programmes, including the development of new products and services capability and the implementation of RDR in the UK.
   
·
Expenses also increased as a result of client redress following a past business review into the sale of the ALICO Enhanced Variable Rate Fund announced in November 2011 and a Financial Services Authority fine of £8.75 million relating to Anti Money Laundering control processes.

 
39

 


Wealth (continued)

Key points (continued)

2012 compared with 2011 (continued)
·
Client assets and liabilities fell by 1% with a £2 billion decrease in assets under management, primarily reflecting low margin client outflows of £1.4 billion and the impact of client transfers following the disposal of the Latin American, Caribbean and African businesses. This fall was partially offset by increases in lending and deposit volumes.
   
·
Impairment losses were £46 million, up £21 million, largely reflecting a small number of large specific impairments.

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
Operating profit was 22% higher, largely driven by lower expenses, partially offset by higher impairment losses and a small decline in income.
   
·
Income fell by £7 million, or 2%, reflecting a fall in net interest income, as the effect of lower rates on UK deposit hedges more than offset increases in lending and deposit volumes.
   
·
Expenses of £190 million were 13% lower, primarily due to a decrease in FSCS levies, reduced headcount and lower incentive costs.
   
·
Client assets and liabilities remained broadly flat, as increases in lending, customer deposits and assets under management were offset by the client transfers resulting from the disposal of the Latin American, Caribbean and African businesses. Excluding these client transfers, client assets and liabilities grew by £0.6bn.
   
·
Impairment losses increased by £8 million reflecting a small number of specific impairments in Coutts UK.

Q4 2012 compared with Q4 2011
·
Operating profit increased by 8% as income increased by £5 million and expenses fell by £4 million.
   
·
Net interest income increased by £10 million, primarily driven by improvements in lending and deposit margins and volumes. Net interest margin increased by 30 basis points. Non-interest income fell as a result of lower transaction and investment volumes.
   
·
Expenses decreased by £4 million, or 2%, reflecting lower headcount and continued management of discretionary costs, partially offset by investment in strategic and regulatory projects.


 
40

 


International Banking

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Income statement
           
Net interest income from banking activities
922 
1,199 
 
201 
227 
293 
Funding costs of rental assets
(9)
(42)
 
(12)
             
Net interest income
913 
1,157 
 
201 
227 
281 
Non-interest income
1,209 
1,398 
 
283 
308 
312 
             
Total income
2,122 
2,555 
 
484 
535 
593 
             
Direct expenses
           
  - staff
(577)
(706)
 
(105)
(132)
(160)
  - other
(162)
(226)
 
(20)
(47)
(51)
Indirect expenses
(678)
(700)
 
(167)
(169)
(174)
             
 
(1,417)
(1,632)
 
(292)
(348)
(385)
             
Profit before impairment losses
705 
923 
 
192 
187 
208 
Impairment losses
(111)
(168)
 
(37)
(12)
(56)
             
Operating profit
594 
755 
 
155 
175 
152 
             
Of which:
           
Ongoing businesses
602 
773 
 
150 
171 
145 
Run-off businesses
(8)
(18)
 
             
Analysis of income by product
           
Cash management
943 
940 
 
205 
224 
241 
Trade finance
291 
275 
 
70 
76 
67 
Loan portfolio
865 
1,265 
 
207 
228 
257 
             
Ongoing businesses
2,099 
2,480 
 
482 
528 
565 
Run-off businesses
23 
75 
 
28 
             
Total income
2,122 
2,555 
 
484 
535 
593 
             
Analysis of impairments by sector
           
Manufacturing and infrastructure
42 
254 
 
21 
75 
Property and construction
17 
 
Transport and storage
(3)
11 
 
Telecommunications, media and technology
12 
 
Banks and financial institutions
43 
(42)
 
12 
Other
10 
(72)
 
12 
(2)
(19)
             
Total impairment losses
111 
168 
 
37 
12 
56 
             
Loan impairment charge as % of gross
  customer loans and advances (excluding
  reverse repurchase agreements)
0.3% 
0.3% 
 
0.4% 
0.1% 
0.4% 

 
41

 


International Banking (continued)

Key metrics
 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
             
Performance ratios (ongoing businesses)
           
Return on equity (1)
9.2% 
11.5% 
 
8.3% 
10.3% 
9.1% 
Net interest margin
1.64% 
1.73% 
 
1.62% 
1.70% 
1.64% 
Cost:income ratio
66% 
62% 
 
61% 
65% 
64% 

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
   
31 December 
2011 
 
 
£bn 
£bn 
Change 
 
£bn 
Change 
             
Capital and balance sheet
           
Loans and advances to customers (gross) (2)
42.2 
47.3 
(11%)
 
57.7 
(27%)
Loan impairment provisions
(0.4)
(0.6)
(33%)
 
(0.8)
(50%)
             
Net loans and advances to customers
41.8 
46.7 
(10%)
 
56.9 
(27%)
Loans and advances to banks
4.7 
5.1 
(8%)
 
3.4 
38% 
Securities
2.6 
2.3 
13% 
 
6.0 
(57%)
Cash and eligible bills
0.5 
0.7 
(29%)
 
0.3 
67% 
Other
3.4 
3.6 
(6%)
 
3.3 
3% 
             
Total third party assets (excluding derivatives
  mark-to-market)
53.0 
58.4 
(9%)
 
69.9 
(24%)
Risk elements in lending
0.4 
0.7 
(43%)
 
1.6 
(75%)
Provision coverage (3)
93% 
92% 
100bps 
 
52% 
4,100bps 
             
Customer deposits (excluding repos)
46.2 
41.7 
11% 
 
45.1 
2% 
Bank deposits (excluding repos)
5.6 
6.5 
(14%)
 
11.4 
(51%)
Loan:deposit ratio (excluding repos
  and conduits)
85% 
101% 
(1,600bp)
 
103% 
(1,800bp)
Risk-weighted assets
51.9 
49.7 
4% 
 
43.2 
20% 

Notes:
(1)
Divisional return on equity is based on divisional operating profit after tax, divided by average notional equity (based on 10% of the monthly average of divisional RWAs, adjusted for capital deductions), for the ongoing businesses.
(2)
Excludes disposal groups.
(3)
Provision coverage percentage represents loan impairment provisions as a percentage of risk elements in lending.

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Run-off businesses (1)
           
Total income
23 
75 
 
28 
Direct expenses
(31)
(93)
 
(3)
(21)
             
Operating (loss)/profit
(8)
(18)
 

Note:
(1)
Run-off businesses consist of the exited corporate finance business.

 
42

 


International Banking (continued)

Key points
International Banking was formed in January 2012 to create an integrated, client-focused business which serves RBS’s large global customers’ financing, risk management, trade finance, payments and cash management needs internationally.

Since its formation, the division has made significant progress in strengthening its balance sheet and making efficient use of resources. The loan portfolio decreased significantly due to strategic reduction initiatives and disciplined capital allocation. The division’s liability composition also improved, with additional customer deposits raised in the final quarter and the strategic run-off of commercial paper and short-term bank deposits.

Performance in 2012 was restricted by macroeconomic pressures and additional regulatory requirements across the industry. Given these constraints, International Banking kept its focus on cost control throughout the year.

Despite these headwinds, the division was recognised externally for its efforts in serving its customers’ needs, helping RBS Group gain awards such as:

·
Top European investment grade corporate bond bookrunner (Dealogic).
   
·
Number one cash management manager in the UK and number two in Europe (Euromoney Cash Management Survey).
   
·
Quality Leader in Large Corporate Trade Finance in the UK, and number one for Large Corporate Trade Finance Penetration in the UK (Greenwich).

2012 compared with 2011
·
Operating profit decreased by £161 million as a decline in income was only partially mitigated by lower expenses and impairment losses.
   
·
Income was 17% lower:
 
Loan portfolio decreased by 32%, mainly due to a strategic reduction in assets, in order to allocate capital more efficiently, and the effect of portfolio credit hedging and lower corporate appetite for risk management activities.
 
Cash management was broadly in line with the previous year. Deposit margins declined following reductions in both three month LIBOR and five year fixed rates across Europe; however, this was offset by lower liquidity costs due to the strategic initiative to reduce short-term bank deposits.
 
Trade finance increased by 6% as a result of increased activity, particularly in Asia.
 
The restructuring in 2012 led to a reduction in activities undertaken in the division, which contributed to a decline in income.
   
·
Expenses declined by £215 million, reflecting planned restructuring initiatives following the formation of the International Banking division. Savings were achieved through headcount reduction, run-off of discontinued businesses and a resulting decrease in infrastructure support costs. Revenue-linked expenses also fell in line with the decrease in income.
   
·
Impairment losses decreased by £57 million with the non-repeat of a single name impairment.

 
43

 


International Banking (continued)

Key points (continued)

2012 compared with 2011 (continued)
·
Third party assets declined by 24%, with targeted reductions in the lending portfolio following a strategic reduction in assets.
   
·
Customer deposits increased by 2%. Successful efforts to rebuild customer confidence following the Moody’s credit rating downgrade and the Group technology incident in June 2012 outweighed economic pressures. This, coupled with the managed reduction in loans and advances to customers, improved the loan:deposit ratio to 85%.
   
·
Bank deposits were down 51%, mainly as a result of lower short-term balances, reflecting a strategic initiative to reduce liquidity outflow risk.
   
·
Risk-weighted assets increased by 20%, reflecting the impact of regulatory uplifts partially offset by successful mitigation through balance sheet reduction. Risk-weighted asset intensity in the loan book has increased significantly given the uplifts, which will result in strategic adjustments going forward.

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
Operating profit was down £20 million, or 11%, driven by higher impairment charges and lower income, partially offset by lower expenses.
   
·
Income decreased by 10%:
 
Cash management decreased by 8%, driven by lower margins. Both three month LIBOR and five year fixed rates declined during the quarter.
 
Loan portfolio was down 9%, reflecting the ongoing strategic reduction in third party assets.
 
Trade finance declined by 8%, with lower volumes, particularly in Asia, compared with seasonally higher activity levels in the first three quarters of 2012.
     
·
Total expenses declined by £56 million, or 16%, primarily associated with lower variable compensation.
   
·
Third party assets fell by 9% as a result of continued capital efficiency discipline.
   
·
Customer deposits increased by 11% through continued business focus to improve the net funding position.

Q4 2012 compared with Q4 2011
·
Operating profit was up 2%, as the impact of lower income was absorbed by lower costs and lower impairment losses.
   
·
Income decreased by 18%:
 
Cash management fell by 15% mainly due to margin compression. Payment fees were also lower reflecting a growth in electronic, lower-margin payments.
 
Loan portfolio was down 19% reflecting asset reduction and disciplined capital allocation.
 
Trade finance grew by 4% with an increase in funded assets, primarily in Asia.
   
·
Expenses fell by £93 million, largely reflecting planned head count reduction and an increased focus on the management of discretionary expenses.

 
44

 


Ulster Bank

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Income statement
           
Net interest income
649 
736 
 
161 
163 
177 
             
Net fees and commissions
145 
142 
 
36 
36 
28 
Other non-interest income
51 
69 
 
15 
14 
21 
             
Non-interest income
196 
211 
 
51 
50 
49 
             
Total income
845 
947 
 
212 
213 
226 
             
Direct expenses
           
  - staff
(211)
(221)
 
(54)
(53)
(53)
  - other
(49)
(67)
 
(14)
(12)
(15)
Indirect expenses
(261)
(259)
 
(69)
(61)
(64)
             
 
(521)
(547)
 
(137)
(126)
(132)
             
Profit before impairment losses
324 
400 
 
75 
87 
94 
Impairment losses
(1,364)
(1,384)
 
(318)
(329)
(327)
             
Operating loss
(1,040)
(984)
 
(243)
(242)
(233)
             
             
Analysis of income by business
           
Corporate
360 
435 
 
85 
85 
98 
Retail
360 
428 
 
93 
93 
101 
Other
125 
84 
 
34 
35 
27 
             
Total income
845 
947 
 
212 
213 
226 
             
             
Analysis of impairments by sector
           
Mortgages
646 
570 
 
135 
155 
133 
Corporate
           
  - property
276 
324 
 
69 
92 
83 
  - other corporate
389 
434 
 
97 
75 
100 
Other lending
53 
56 
 
17 
11 
             
Total impairment losses
1,364 
1,384 
 
318 
329 
327 
             
             
Loan impairment charge as % of gross
  customer loans and advances (excluding
  reverse repurchase agreements) by sector
           
Mortgages
3.4% 
2.9% 
 
2.8% 
3.3% 
2.7% 
Corporate
           
  - property
6.4% 
6.8% 
 
6.4% 
8.0% 
6.9% 
  - other corporate
5.0% 
5.6% 
 
5.0% 
4.1% 
5.2% 
Other lending
3.8% 
3.5% 
 
4.9% 
2.2% 
2.8% 
             
Total
4.2% 
4.1% 
 
3.9% 
4.1% 
3.8% 

 
45

 


Ulster Bank (continued)

Key metrics
 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
             
Performance ratios
           
Return on equity (1)
(21.8%)
(22.8%)
 
(20.9%)
(20.4%)
(20.7%)
Net interest margin
1.88% 
1.87% 
 
1.93% 
1.92% 
1.87% 
Cost:income ratio
62% 
58% 
 
65% 
59% 
58% 

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
   
31 December 
2011 
 
 
£bn 
£bn 
Change 
 
£bn 
Change 
             
Capital and balance sheet
           
Loans and advances to customers (gross)
           
  - mortgages
19.2 
18.9 
2% 
 
20.0 
(4%)
  - corporate
           
     - property
4.3 
4.6 
(7%)
 
4.8 
(10%)
     - other corporate
7.8 
7.4 
5% 
 
7.7 
1% 
  - other lending
1.3 
1.3 
 
1.6 
(19%)
             
 
32.6 
32.2 
1% 
 
34.1 
(4%)
Loan impairment provisions
(3.9)
(3.6)
8% 
 
(2.7)
44% 
             
Net loans and advances to customers
28.7 
28.6 
 
31.4 
(9%)
             
Risk elements in lending
           
  - mortgages
3.1 
2.9 
7% 
 
2.2 
41% 
  - corporate
           
     - property
1.9 
1.8 
6% 
 
1.3 
46% 
     - other corporate
2.3 
2.1 
10% 
 
1.8 
28% 
  - other lending
0.2 
0.2 
 
0.2 
             
Total risk elements in lending
7.5 
7.0 
7% 
 
5.5 
36% 
Provision coverage (2)
52% 
51% 
100bp 
 
50% 
200bp 
             
Customer deposits
22.1 
20.3 
9% 
 
21.8 
1% 
Loan:deposit ratio (excluding repos)
130% 
141% 
(1,100bp)
 
143% 
(1,300bp)
Risk-weighted assets
36.1 
35.1 
3% 
 
36.3 
(1%)
             
Spot exchange rate - €/£
1.227 
1.256 
   
1.196 
 

Notes:
(1)
Divisional return on equity is based on divisional operating loss after tax divided by average notional equity (based on 10% of the monthly average of divisional RWAs, adjusted for capital deductions).
(2)
Provision coverage percentage represents loan impairment provisions as a percentage of risk elements in lending.

Key points
The challenging macroeconomic environment across the island of Ireland had a significant impact on Ulster Bank’s financial performance for 2012. There were some emerging signs of improvement in the Republic of Ireland economy during Q4 2012, most notably in the availability of institutional funding, some stabilisation of residential property prices and continued economic growth, albeit modest.

While impairment levels remained elevated during 2012, net interest margin and expense management improved. Further progress was made on Ulster Bank’s deposit gathering strategy with customer deposit balances increasing by 9% in Q4 2012, driving a significant reduction in the loan to deposit ratio.

Following the Group technology incident in June 2012, Ulster Bank made significant efforts to help customers who were affected, extending branch hours, tripling call centre staff and providing full redress.

 
46

 
Ulster Bank (continued)

Key points (continued)

2012 compared with 2011
·
Operating loss increased by £56 million primarily reflecting a reduction in income driven by lower interest earning asset volumes.
   
·
Total expenses fell by £26 million, reflecting the benefits of cost saving initiatives.
   
·
Impairment losses remained elevated, as weak underlying credit metrics prevailed. Falling asset values throughout most of 2012 and high levels of unemployment coupled with weak domestic demand continued to depress the property market. The impairment charge for 2012 was driven by a combination of new defaulting customers and deteriorating security values. Risk elements in lending increased by £2 billion during the year reflecting continued difficult conditions in both the commercial and residential property sectors.
   
·
The loan to deposit ratio improved from 143% to 130%, driven by a combination of deposit growth and a decrease in the loan book. The loan book increased by 1% as a result of movements in foreign exchange rates offset by natural amortisation and limited new lending due to low levels of market demand. Retail and SME deposits increased by 8%; however, this was partly offset by outflows of wholesale balances driven by market volatility and the impact of a rating downgrade in H2 2011.

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
Operating loss was flat at £243 million as lower impairment losses were offset by increased expenses. The rise in expenses was primarily driven by a £10 million impairment charge on own property assets due to falling property values.
   
·
Impairment losses improved by £11 million in the quarter largely due to a lower level of mortgage defaults. Residential property values showed some signs of stabilisation; however, mortgage arrears remained elevated.
   
·
Customer deposits grew by 10%, primarily within the Corporate business with strong growth across all product categories. Loan balances remained broadly flat.

Q4 2012 compared with Q4 2011
·
Operating loss increased by £10 million with lower income and higher expenses only partly offset by a £9 million decrease in impairment losses.
   
·
Total income decreased by £14 million largely due to movements in exchange rates. Income decreased by 6%. Net interest margin increased by 6 basis points to 1.93%, primarily driven by a reduced stock of liquid assets.
   
·
Expenses increased by £5 million, reflecting the impairment charge on own property assets.

 
47

 


US Retail & Commercial (£ Sterling)

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Income statement
           
Net interest income
1,948 
1,900 
 
468 
492 
496 
             
Net fees and commissions
778 
841 
 
193 
195 
199 
Other non-interest income
365 
296 
 
79 
93 
95 
             
Non-interest income
1,143 
1,137 
 
272 
288 
294 
             
Total income
3,091 
3,037 
 
740 
780 
790 
             
Direct expenses
           
  - staff
(828)
(838)
 
(181)
(207)
(216)
  - other
(526)
(557)
 
(138)
(128)
(137)
  - litigation settlement
(88)
 
Indirect expenses
(804)
(779)
 
(198)
(201)
(195)
             
 
(2,246)
(2,174)
 
(517)
(536)
(548)
             
Profit before impairment losses
845 
863 
 
223 
244 
242 
Impairment losses
(91)
(326)
 
(23)
(21)
(65)
             
Operating profit
754 
537 
 
200 
223 
177 
             
             
Average exchange rate - US$/£
1.585 
1.604 
 
1.606 
1.581 
1.573 
             
Analysis of income by product
           
Mortgages and home equity
541 
463 
 
134 
139 
128 
Personal lending and cards
405 
442 
 
103 
101 
100 
Retail deposits
860 
927 
 
201 
215 
237 
Commercial lending
609 
584 
 
154 
144 
148 
Commercial deposits
441 
416 
 
103 
111 
110 
Other
235 
205 
 
45 
70 
67 
             
Total income
3,091 
3,037 
 
740 
780 
790 
             
Analysis of impairments by sector
           
Residential mortgages
(1)
28 
 
(5)
Home equity
95 
103 
 
13 
40 
20 
Corporate and commercial
(77)
55 
 
(20)
(35)
Other consumer
65 
61 
 
24 
21 
21 
Securities
79 
 
12 
             
Total impairment losses
91 
326 
 
23 
21 
65 
             
Loan impairment charge as % of gross
  customer loans and advances (excluding
  reverse repurchase agreements) by sector
           
Residential mortgages
0.5% 
 
0.1% 
(0.3%)
0.3% 
Home equity
0.7% 
0.7% 
 
0.4% 
1.2% 
0.5% 
Corporate and commercial
(0.3%)
0.2% 
 
(0.3%)
(0.6%)
0.1% 
Other consumer
0.8% 
0.8% 
 
1.2% 
1.0% 
1.1% 
             
Total
0.2% 
0.5% 
 
0.2% 
0.2% 
0.4% 

 
48

 


US Retail & Commercial (£ Sterling) (continued)

Key metrics
 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
             
Performance ratios
           
Return on equity (1)
8.3% 
6.3% 
 
9.0% 
9.7% 
8.0% 
Adjusted return on equity (2)
8.9% 
6.3% 
 
9.0% 
9.7% 
8.0% 
Net interest margin
3.00% 
3.06% 
 
2.92% 
2.99% 
3.04% 
Cost:income ratio
73% 
72% 
 
70% 
69% 
69% 
Adjusted cost:income ratio (2)
71% 
72% 
 
70% 
69% 
69% 

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
   
31 December 
2011 
 
 
£bn 
£bn 
Change 
 
£bn 
Change 
             
Capital and balance sheet
           
Loans and advances to customers (gross)
           
  - residential mortgages
5.8 
5.9 
(2%)
 
6.1 
(5%)
  - home equity
13.3 
13.6 
(2%)
 
14.9 
(11%)
  - corporate and commercial
23.8 
23.0 
3% 
 
22.9 
4% 
  - other consumer
8.4 
8.2 
2% 
 
7.7 
9% 
             
 
51.3 
50.7 
1% 
 
51.6 
(1%)
Loan impairment provisions
(0.5)
(0.6)
(17%)
 
(0.7)
(29%)
             
Net loans and advances to customers
50.8 
50.1 
1% 
 
50.9 
             
Total third party assets
72.5 
75.0 
(3%)
 
75.8 
(4%)
Investment securities
12.0 
13.3 
(10%)
 
15.2 
(21%)
Risk elements in lending
           
  - retail
0.8 
0.7 
14% 
 
0.6 
33% 
  - commercial
0.3 
0.3 
 
0.4 
(25%)
             
Total risk elements in lending
1.1 
1.0 
10% 
 
1.0 
10% 
Provision coverage (3)
48% 
55% 
(700bp)
 
72% 
(2,400bp)
             
Customer deposits (excluding repos)
59.2 
59.8 
(1%)
 
60.0 
(1%)
Bank deposits (excluding repos)
1.8 
3.8 
(53%)
 
5.2 
(65%)
Loan:deposit ratio (excluding repos)
86% 
84% 
200bp 
 
85% 
100bp 
Risk-weighted assets
56.5 
56.7 
 
59.3 
(5%)
             
Spot exchange rate - US$/£
1.616 
1.614 
   
1.548 
 

Notes:
(1)
Divisional return on equity is based on divisional operating profit after tax divided by average notional equity (based on 10% of the monthly average of divisional RWAs, adjusted for capital deductions).
(2)
Excludes the litigation settlement and net gain on sale of Visa B shares in 2012. 
(3)
Provision coverage percentage represents loan impairment provisions as a percentage of risk elements in lending.

Key points
Sterling strengthened against the US Dollar, with the spot exchange rate at 31 December 2012 increasing by 4.4% compared with 31 December 2011.
   
Performance is described in full in the US dollar-based financial statements set out on pages 50 to 53.

 
49

 


US Retail & Commercial (US Dollar)

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
$m 
$m 
 
$m 
$m 
$m 
             
Income statement
           
Net interest income
3,087 
3,048 
 
752 
778 
781 
             
Net fees and commissions
1,233 
1,350 
 
311 
306 
314 
Other non-interest income
579 
473 
 
126 
149 
148 
             
Non-interest income
1,812 
1,823 
 
437 
455 
462 
             
Total income
4,899 
4,871 
 
1,189 
1,233 
1,243 
             
Direct expenses
           
  - staff
(1,313)
(1,344)
 
(292)
(327)
(339)
  - other
(833)
(893)
 
(219)
(204)
(216)
  - litigation settlement
(138)
 
Indirect expenses
(1,274)
(1,250)
 
(318)
(318)
(307)
             
 
(3,558)
(3,487)
 
(829)
(849)
(862)
             
Profit before impairment losses
1,341 
1,384 
 
360 
384 
381 
Impairment losses
(145)
(524)
 
(38)
(33)
(102)
             
Operating profit
1,196 
860 
 
322 
351 
279 
             
             
Analysis of income by product
           
Mortgages and home equity
856 
744 
 
215 
219 
202 
Personal lending and cards
643 
709 
 
166 
160 
157 
Retail deposits
1,364 
1,487 
 
323 
340 
373 
Commercial lending
965 
936 
 
247 
228 
233 
Commercial deposits
698 
667 
 
165 
175 
173 
Other
373 
328 
 
73 
111 
105 
             
Total income
4,899 
4,871 
 
1,189 
1,233 
1,243 
             
Analysis of impairments by sector
           
Residential mortgages
(2)
44 
 
(8)
Home equity
150 
165 
 
21 
64 
31 
Corporate and commercial
(120)
88 
 
(31)
(55)
13 
Other consumer
104 
101 
 
39 
32 
33 
Securities
13 
126 
 
19 
             
Total impairment losses
145 
524 
 
38 
33 
102 
             
Loan impairment charge as % of gross
  customer loans and advances
  (excluding reverse repurchase
  agreements) by sector
           
Residential mortgages
0.5% 
 
0.1% 
(0.3%)
0.3% 
Home equity
0.7% 
0.7% 
 
0.4% 
1.2% 
0.5% 
Corporate and commercial
(0.3%)
0.2% 
 
(0.3%)
(0.6%)
0.1% 
Other consumer
0.8% 
0.8% 
 
1.2% 
1.0% 
1.1% 
             
Total
0.2% 
0.5% 
 
0.2% 
0.2% 
0.4% 

 
50

 


US Retail & Commercial (US Dollar) (continued)

Key metrics
 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
             
Performance ratios
           
Return on equity (1)
8.3% 
6.3% 
 
9.0% 
9.7% 
8.0% 
Adjusted return on equity (2)
8.9% 
6.3% 
 
9.0% 
9.7% 
8.0% 
Net interest margin
3.00% 
3.06% 
 
2.92% 
2.99% 
3.04% 
Cost:income ratio
73% 
72% 
 
70% 
69% 
69% 
Adjusted cost:income ratio (2)
71% 
72% 
 
70% 
69% 
69% 

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
   
31 December 
2011 
 
 
$bn 
$bn 
Change 
 
$bn 
Change 
             
Capital and balance sheet
           
Loans and advances to customers (gross)
           
  - residential mortgages
9.4 
9.5 
(1%)
 
9.4 
  - home equity
21.5 
22.0 
(2%)
 
23.1 
(7%)
  - corporate and commercial
38.5 
37.2 
3% 
 
35.3 
9% 
  - other consumer
13.5 
13.1 
3% 
 
12.0 
13% 
             
 
82.9 
81.8 
1% 
 
79.8 
4% 
Loan impairment provisions
(0.9)
(0.9)
 
(1.1)
(18%)
             
Net loans and advances to customers
82.0 
80.9 
1% 
 
78.7 
4% 
             
Total third party assets
117.3 
121.0 
(3%)
 
117.3 
Investment securities
19.5 
21.4 
(9%)
 
23.5 
(17%)
Risk elements in lending
           
  - retail
1.3 
1.2 
8% 
 
1.0 
30% 
  - commercial
0.6 
0.5 
20% 
 
0.6 
             
Total risk elements in lending
1.9 
1.7 
12% 
 
1.6 
19% 
Provision coverage (3)
48% 
55% 
(700bp)
 
72% 
(2,400bp)
             
Customer deposits (excluding repos)
95.6 
96.6 
(1%)
 
92.8 
3% 
Bank deposits (excluding repos)
2.9 
6.2 
(53%)
 
8.0 
(64%)
Loan:deposit ratio (excluding repos)
86% 
84% 
200bp 
 
85% 
100bp 
Risk-weighted assets
91.3 
91.6 
 
91.8 
(1%)

Notes:
(1)
Divisional return on equity is based on divisional operating profit after tax divided by average notional equity (based on 10% of monthly average of divisional RWAs, adjusted for capital deductions).
(2)
Excludes the litigation settlement and net gain on sale of Visa B shares in 2012. 
(3)
Provision coverage percentage represents loan impairment provisions as a percentage of risk elements in lending.

Key points
In Q1 2012, RBS Citizens implemented five strategic priorities to sharpen the division’s back-to-basics strategy. The strategy is founded on the belief that building an engaged workforce which is focused on the customer experience and on being their primary banking partner, with an embedded culture of risk management, will position the franchise to deliver financial results consistent with a top performing regional bank.

Efforts in both the Consumer and Commercial businesses throughout 2012 were aligned with those priorities and our customers have acknowledged our efforts.  According to a 2012 survey conducted by American Banker, RBS Citizens was ranked in the top ten of US banks for corporate reputation, an improvement of eight places from 2011.

 
51

 


US Retail & Commercial (US Dollar) (continued)

Key points (continued)
Core Customer Commitments were implemented in Consumer Banking’s branch network at the end of last year. Early indications show progress towards the Commitments’ aim to enhance customer experience:
·
At the end of 2012, 77% of customers surveyed externally were ‘completely satisfied’ or ‘very satisfied’, compared with the peer average of 71%.
   
·
RBS Citizens’ net promoter score, a measure of how likely customers are to recommend the bank, increased to 20% over the course of 2012 and was over ten percentage points above the peer average.

Consumer Banking further improved and expanded its distribution channels and product capabilities including the roll-out of intelligent deposit machines and the on-going build out of its mortgage capabilities, reaching the top 20 nationally for mortgage originations in 2012. The business made enhancements to its mobile banking services and subsequently its apps for both iPhone and Android were rated the ‘best integrated apps’ in the industry based on an analysis of consumer ratings conducted by Javelin Strategy & Research.

In 2012, Commercial Banking responded to client feedback, introducing its own core Client Commitments and developing a new Commercial Client on-boarding process to improve the way clients are welcomed to RBS Citizens.

Commercial Banking took further significant steps towards strengthening its customer proposition with a more streamlined, efficient and integrated service and product offering by integrating the Treasury Solutions, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rate Derivatives functions into Commercial Banking.

The business made good progress towards expanding its capital markets capabilities. At the end of 2012, RBS Citizens ranked #4 in the new capital markets business for middle market customers within the footprint, and ranked in the top ten nationally.

2012 compared with 2011
·
US Retail & Commercial posted an operating profit of £754 million ($1,196 million), up £217 million ($336 million), or 40%, from 2011. Excluding the £88 million ($138 million) litigation settlement in Q1 2012 and the £39 million ($62 million) net gain on the sale of Visa B shares in Q2 2012, operating profit was up £266 million ($412 million), or 50%, largely reflecting lower impairment losses due to an improved credit environment.
   
·
Net interest income was up £48 million ($39 million), or 3%, driven by targeted commercial loan growth, deposit pricing discipline and lower funding costs. This was partially offset by consumer loan run-off and lower asset yields reflecting prevailing economic conditions.
   
·
Non-interest income was up £6 million. Non-interest income was down $11 million, or 1%, in US dollar terms, reflecting a decline in debit card fees as a result of the Durbin Amendment legislation and lower securities gains and deposit fees. This was largely offset by strong mortgage banking fees of £69 million ($109 million), up 71%, and the £47 million ($75 million) gross gain on the sale of Visa B shares.
   
·
Loans and advances to customers were down £0.3 billion. In US dollar terms loans and advances were up $3.1 billion, or 4%, due to strong growth in commercial loan volumes.
   
·
Customer deposits decreased by 1% as a result of movements in foreign exchange rates partially offset by strong growth achieved in checking balances. Consumer checking balances grew by 1% while small business checking balances grew by 4% over the year.

 
52

 


US Retail & Commercial (US Dollar) (continued)

Key points (continued)

2012 compared with 2011 (continued)
·
Excluding the £88 million ($138 million) litigation settlement, relating to a class action lawsuit regarding the way overdraft fees were assessed on customer accounts prior to 2010, and the £8 million ($13 million) litigation reserve associated with the sale of Visa B shares, and a one-off £21 million ($33 million) pension gain in Q4 2012, total expenses were down 1%, reflecting lower loan collection costs and the elimination of the Everyday Points rewards programme for consumer debit card customers, partially offset by higher operational losses.
   
·
During the year, RBS Citizens offered former employees a one-time opportunity to receive the value of future pension benefits as a single lump sum payment. The transaction allowed RBS Citizens to partially de-risk its pension plan and future liability under the plan. A strong participant take-up rate of 60% enabled RBS Citizens to reduce its pension liability by 17% and recognise a £21 million ($33 million) accounting gain.
   
·
Impairment losses were down £235 million ($379 million), or 72%, reflecting an improved credit environment and lower impairments on securities. Loan impairments improved by £168 million ($266 million) driven primarily by commercial loan impairments. Impairments as a percentage of loans and advances fell to 20 basis points.

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
Operating profit of £200 million ($322 million) decreased by £23 million ($29 million), or 10%, driven by lower income, partially offset by lower expenses.
   
·
Net interest income was down £24 million ($26 million), or 5%, due to lower asset yields and a smaller investment portfolio, partially offset by commercial loan growth.
   
·
Non-interest income was down by £16 million ($18 million), or 5%, driven by lower securities gains partially offset by higher commercial banking fee income.
   
·
Total expenses were £19 million ($20 million), or 4% lower reflecting the £21 million ($33 million) pension gain, partially offset by higher operational losses.
   
·
Impairment losses increased £2 million ($5 million), or 10%, reflecting higher impairments on securities. The credit environment remained broadly stable in the quarter.

Q4 2012 compared with Q4 2011
·
Operating profit of £200 million ($322 million) increased by £23 million ($43 million), or 13%, as lower impairment losses and expenses were partially offset by lower income.
   
·
Net interest income was down £28 million ($29 million), or 6%, driven by lower asset yields, partially offset by commercial loan growth and lower funding costs.
   
·
Non-interest income was down £22 million ($25 million), or 7%, due to lower securities gains and deposit fees, partially offset by strong mortgage banking and commercial banking fee income.
   
·
Total expenses decreased by £31 million ($33 million), or 6%, reflecting the pension gain and lower loan collection costs partially offset by higher operational losses.
   
·
Impairment losses declined by £42 million ($64 million), or 65%, reflecting an improved credit environment and lower impairments related to securities.

 
53

 


Markets

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Income statement
           
Net interest income
111 
67 
 
49 
14 
20 
             
Net fees and commissions receivable
128 
371 
 
27 
25 
Income from trading activities
4,105 
4,601 
 
551 
1,250 
501 
Other operating income
139 
(624)
 
40 
(249)
146 
             
Non-interest income
4,372 
4,348 
 
592 
1,028 
672 
             
Total income
4,483 
4,415 
 
641 
1,042 
692 
             
Direct expenses
           
  - staff
(1,453)
(1,963)
 
(93)
(393)
(354)
  - other
(721)
(746)
 
(208)
(162)
(197)
Indirect expenses
(763)
(769)
 
(179)
(198)
(193)
             
 
(2,937)
(3,478)
 
(480)
(753)
(744)
             
Profit/(loss) before impairment
  (losses)/recoveries
1,546 
937 
 
161 
289 
(52)
Impairment (losses)/recoveries
(37)
(38)
 
(22)
(57)
             
Operating profit/(loss)
1,509 
899 
 
139 
295 
(109)
             
Of which:
           
Ongoing businesses
1,564 
943 
 
135 
300 
(96)
Run-off businesses
(55)
(44)
 
 4 
(5)
(13)
             
Analysis of income by product
           
Rates
2,006 
1,474 
 
399 
390 
396 
Currencies
757 
1,060 
 
163 
173 
259 
Asset backed products (ABP)
1,318 
1,254 
 
139 
374 
29 
Credit markets
862 
616 
 
179 
186 
36 
Investor products and equity derivatives
224 
593 
 
(66)
76 
118 
             
Total income ongoing businesses
5,167 
4,997 
 
814 
1,199 
838 
Inter-divisional revenue share
(691)
(767)
 
(172)
(159)
(177)
Run-off businesses
185 
 
(1)
31 
             
Total income
4,483 
4,415 
 
641 
1,042 
692 
             
Memo - Fixed income and currencies
           
Rates/currencies/ABP/credit markets
4,943 
4,404 
 
880 
1,123 
720 
Less: primary credit markets
(568)
(688)
 
(151)
(114)
(134)
             
Total fixed income and currencies
4,375 
3,716 
 
729 
1,009 
586 


 
54

 


Markets (continued)

Key metrics
 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
             
Performance ratios (ongoing businesses)
           
Return on equity (1)
10.0% 
6.1% 
 
3.6% 
7.8% 
(2.4%)
Cost:income ratio
64% 
77% 
 
76% 
72% 
106% 
Compensation ratio (2)
32% 
42% 
 
17% 
37% 
49% 

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
   
31 December 
2011 
 
 
£bn 
£bn 
Change 
 
£bn 
Change 
             
Capital and balance sheet (ongoing
  businesses)
           
Loans and advances to customers (gross)
29.8 
29.5 
1% 
 
31.5 
(5%)
Loan impairment provisions
(0.2)
(0.2)
 
(0.2)
             
Net loans and advances to customers
29.6 
29.3 
1% 
 
31.3 
(5%)
Loans and advances to banks
16.6 
22.4 
(26%)
 
29.9 
(44%)
Reverse repos
103.8 
97.5 
6% 
 
100.4 
3% 
Securities
92.4 
97.9 
(6%)
 
108.1 
(15%)
Cash and eligible bills
30.2 
34.7 
(13%)
 
28.1 
7% 
Other
11.8 
22.4 
(47%)
 
14.8 
(20%)
             
Total third party assets (excluding derivatives
  mark-to-market)
284.4 
304.2 
(7%)
 
312.6 
(9%)
Net derivative assets (after netting)
21.9 
21.3 
3% 
 
37.0 
(41%)
             
Provision coverage (3)
77% 
75% 
200bps 
 
75% 
200bps 
             
Customer deposits (excluding repos)
26.3 
34.3 
(23%)
 
36.8 
(29%)
Bank deposits (excluding repos)
45.4 
42.9 
6% 
 
48.2 
(6%)
             
Risk-weighted assets
101.3 
108.0 
(6%)
 
120.3 
(16%)

Notes:
(1)
Divisional return on equity is based on divisional operating profit after tax, divided by average notional equity (based on 10% of the monthly average of divisional RWAs, adjusted for capital deductions), for the ongoing businesses.
(2)
Compensation ratio is based on staff costs as a percentage of total income.
(3)
Provision coverage percentage represents loan impairment provisions as a percentage of risk elements in lending.

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
Run-off businesses (1)
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Total income
185 
 
(1)
31 
Direct expenses
(62)
(229)
 
(7)
(44)
             
Operating (loss)/profit
(55)
(44)
 
(5)
(13)

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
Run-off businesses (1)
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
       
Total third party assets (excluding derivatives mark-to-market)
0.1 
0.2 
1.3 

Note:
(1)
Run-off businesses consist of the exited cash equities, corporate broking and equity capital markets operations.

 
55

 


Markets (continued)

Key points
During 2012, the economic environment was dominated by weak prospects for global growth and the uncertain outlook for Eurozone sovereign debt. However, positive central bank activity and a more stable credit environment resulted in marginally improved trading opportunities.

Against this backdrop, the division continued to focus on its strengths and client offering. In January 2012 RBS announced the creation of the Markets division and, at the same time, the exit of the cash equities and mergers & acquisitions businesses. Following further review in Q4 2012, the remaining Investor Products and Equity Derivatives (IPED) operation was moved into Rates to form a Derivative Product Solutions (DPS) business. In addition, Markets has also developed a range of measures to enhance its culture and control environment, focusing on improving both supervision and behaviours. Taken together, these actions reinforce Markets’ commitment to put the client at the centre of everything we do and to focus resources on meeting client needs.

2012 compared with 2011
·
Operating profit increased by 68% reflecting 2% growth in income and 20% decrease in direct expenses, most notably through a reduction in staff costs.
   
·
Rates benefited from a strong trading performance, while losses incurred in managing counterparty exposures during the third quarter of 2011 were not repeated during 2012. Revenues for the year were up 36% to £2.0 billion.
   
·
Currencies volumes were weak across the industry, although the Spot FX business minimised the impact on revenue. Options income was limited by further Eurozone uncertainty.
   
·
Asset Backed Products continued to perform strongly as markets were sustained throughout the year by investors’ search for yield. Revenues for the year were £1.3 billion, up 5% from a strong performance of £1.25 billion in 2011.
   
·
A 40% increase in Credit Markets revenue to £862 million was driven by Flow Credit which, as a result of improved risk management and more benign market conditions, recorded good profitability compared with a loss in 2011. This was partially offset by weaker earnings from credit origination.
   
·
The 62% decrease in IPED followed significantly weaker client volumes in key markets.  The business has been restructured and rationalised. It will be reported within Rates going forward.
   
·
The division focused on controlling costs throughout 2012, driving total expenses down by 16%. Lower staff expenses, down 26%, reflect lower headcount and lower levels of variable compensation, including reductions and clawbacks following the Group’s LIBOR settlements reached on 6 February 2013, with the compensation ratio falling from 42% to 32%. Headcount reductions totalled 2,700 in the year, including that resulting from the exit of businesses announced in January. Other expenses fell by 3% as rigorous controls on discretionary expenditure and the exiting of product areas continued to take effect, partially offset by higher legal expenses.
   
·
The reduction in third party assets reflected management action to optimise and de-risk the balance sheet, consistent with previously disclosed medium-term objectives.

 
56

 


Markets (continued)

Key points (continued)

2012 compared with 2011 (continued)
·
The division reduced risk-weighted assets, successfully focusing on lowering risk and enhancing models whilst managing the requirement for greater prudence in the regulatory environment.
   
·
Not reflected in Markets operating results in 2012 were the following items: £381 million for regulatory fines; £350 million for its share of the provision for interest rate swap redress; and approximately £700 million in restructuring costs associated with the strategic changes that took place during 2012.

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
A £156 million reduction in operating profit was driven by lower revenue, partially offset by lower staff expenses. The fall in revenue reflected a seasonal reduction in activity, compared with particularly favourable market conditions as a result of Central Bank announcements during Q3 2012.
   
·
Flat yield curves limited opportunities for revenue generation in the Rates business; however, income was up 2% in the quarter.
   
·
Income from Asset Backed Products decreased from high levels as volumes declined and asset prices stabilised following a sustained period of strong performance throughout 2012.
   
·
Credit Markets benefited from increased levels of capital market issuance, although this was more than offset by lower income from Flow Credit Trading.
   
·
The loss in IPED reflected declining client volumes and a weak trading performance, compounded by a revision to divisional funding policies (net impact of zero across the whole division).
   
·
A limited number of impairments were incurred on securities in Asset Backed Products.
   
·
Lower staff costs reflected lower variable compensation, following the Group’s LIBOR settlements, and headcount reductions. An increase in other expenses was driven by higher legal costs during the period.
   
·
Third party assets and risk-weighted assets were down by £20 billion and £7 billion respectively, reflecting lower levels of activity in Rates and Asset Backed Products in the quarter and a continued focus on balance sheet management and risk reduction.

Q4 2012 compared with Q4 2011
·
Q4 2012 posted an operating profit of £139 million compared with a loss of £109 million in the same period last year. Although income was down in Q4 2012 this was more than offset by lower staff expenses and lower impairments.
   
·
The Currencies business experienced lower levels of client activity and declining volatility.
   
·
A more positive credit environment enabled greater income generation from Asset Backed Products and Credit Markets.
   
·
Significantly lower staff expenses reflected lower variable compensation, following the Group’s LIBOR settlements, and the full impact of headcount reductions made towards the end of 2011 and throughout 2012.

 
57

 


Direct Line Group

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Income statement
           
Earned premiums
4,044 
4,221 
 
999 
1,013 
1,043 
Reinsurers' share
(326)
(252)
 
(80)
(81)
(71)
             
Net premium income
3,718 
3,969 
 
919 
932 
972 
Fees and commissions
(430)
(400)
 
(79)
(129)
(161)
Instalment income
126 
138 
 
32 
32 
33 
Investment income
243 
265 
 
32 
48 
60 
Other income
60 
100 
 
14 
16 
19 
             
Total income
3,717 
4,072 
 
918 
899 
923 
             
Direct expenses
           
  - staff expenses
(338)
(288)
 
(90)
(88)
(75)
  - other expenses
(387)
(333)
 
(109)
(106)
(79)
             
Total direct expenses
(725)
(621)
 
(199)
(194)
(154)
Indirect expenses
(124)
(225)
 
(55)
             
 
(849)
(846)
 
(199)
(194)
(209)
             
Insurance net claims
(2,427)
(2,772)
 
(606)
(596)
(589)
             
Operating profit
441 
454 
 
113 
109 
125 
             
Analysis of income by product
           
Personal lines motor excluding broker
           
  - own brands
1,733 
1,874 
 
410 
433 
460 
  - partnerships
138 
228 
 
34 
34 
36 
Personal lines home excluding broker
           
  - own brands
475 
490 
 
116 
116 
126 
  - partnerships
377 
378 
 
97 
90 
83 
Personal lines rescue and other excluding
  broker
           
  - own brands
182 
185 
 
45 
46 
47 
  - partnerships
184 
132 
 
49 
43 
(15)
Commercial
347 
346 
 
86 
86 
88 
International
337 
365 
 
79 
84 
95 
Other (1)
(56)
74 
 
(33)
             
Total income
3,717 
4,072 
 
918 
899 
923 

For the notes to this table refer to page 60.

 
58

 


Direct Line Group (continued)

Key metrics
 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
             
In-force policies (000s)
           
Personal lines motor excluding broker
           
  - own brands
3,714 
3,787 
 
3,714 
3,762 
3,787 
  - partnerships
336 
320 
 
336 
332 
320 
Personal lines home excluding broker
           
  - own brands
1,754 
1,811 
 
1,754 
1,777 
1,811 
  - partnerships
2,485 
2,497 
 
2,485 
2,514 
2,497 
Personal lines rescue and other excluding
  broker
           
  - own brands
1,803 
1,844 
 
1,803 
1,816 
1,844 
  - partnerships
7,628 
7,307 
 
7,628 
7,955 
7,307 
Commercial
466 
422 
 
466 
466 
422 
International
1,462 
1,387 
 
1,462 
1,444 
1,387 
Other (1)
50 
 
50 
52 
             
Total in-force policies (2)
19,698 
19,376 
 
19,698 
20,118 
19,376 
             
Gross written premium (£m)
           
Personal lines motor excluding broker
           
  - own brands
1,494 
1,584 
 
318 
400 
348 
  - partnerships
136 
137 
 
27 
40 
28 
Personal lines home excluding broker
           
  - own brands
455 
474 
 
105 
128 
112 
  - partnerships
534 
549 
 
132 
139 
132 
Personal lines rescue and other excluding
  broker
           
  - own brands
177 
174 
 
41 
48 
40 
  - partnerships
176 
174 
 
45 
45 
44 
Commercial
436 
435 
 
103 
103 
102 
International
557 
570 
 
138 
113 
142 
Other (1)
 
(1)
             
Total gross written premium
3,966 
4,098 
 
909 
1,015 
950 

For the notes to this table refer to page 60.

 
59

 


Direct Line Group (continued)

Key metrics (continued)
 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
             
Performance ratios
           
Return on tangible equity (3)
11.7% 
10.3% 
 
14.0% 
12.9% 
11.0% 
Loss ratio (4)
65% 
70% 
 
66% 
64% 
61% 
Commission ratio (5)
12% 
10% 
 
8% 
14% 
17% 
Expense ratio (6)
23% 
21% 
 
22% 
21% 
22% 
Combined operating ratio (7)
100% 
101% 
 
96% 
99% 
100% 
             
Balance sheet
           
Total insurance reserves - (£m) (8)
8,066 
7,284 
 
8,066 
8,112 
7,284 

Notes:
(1)
‘Other’ predominantly consists of the personal lines broker business and from Q1 2012 business previously reported in Non-Core.
(2)
Total in-force policies include travel and creditor policies sold through RBS Group. These comprise travel policies included in bank accounts e.g. Royalties Gold Account, and creditor policies sold with bank products including mortgage, loan and card payment protection.
(3)
Return on tangible equity is based on annualised operating profit after tax divided by average tangible equity adjusted for dividend payments.
(4)
Loss ratio is based on net claims divided by net premium income.
(5)
Commission ratio is based on fees and commissions divided by net premium income.
(6)
Expense ratio is based on expenses divided by net premium income.
(7)
Combined operating ratio is the sum of the loss, commission and expense ratios.
(8)
Consists of general and life insurance liabilities, unearned premium reserve and liability adequacy reserve.

Key points
In October 2012, the Group completed the successful initial public offering of Direct Line Group, selling 520.8 million of its existing ordinary shares. This represented 34.7% of the issued share capital, generating gross proceeds of £911 million.

During 2012, Direct Line Group made good progress despite competitive market conditions. The operating profit of £441 million was down £13 million compared with the previous year driven by lower net claims partially offset by lower net premium income.

A combined operating ratio (COR) of 100% represented an improvement of 100 basis points compared with 2011 driven predominantly by an improved loss ratio. The full year 2012 result included Home weather event claims of approximately £105 million versus £20 million in 2011, which was more than offset by £390 million of releases from reserves held against prior year claims across the portfolio. Of these releases, £68 million related to the run-off business where the impact on the income statement is broadly neutral. For Direct Line Group’s ongoing operations, the current year attritional loss ratio improved by 1.6 percentage points which reflects actions taken to improve risk selection and the implementation of the claims transformation programme.  In 2012 all categories within Direct Line Group made an operating profit.

Direct Line Group made further progress in executing its strategic plan with developments made in its pricing capability through the implementation of a new pricing model and rating engine across the Motor and Home divisions. The new claims management system introduced during 2011 is now operational for the majority of new Motor and Home claims. Benefits, including shorter settlement times for customers and improved legal case management, are being realised as a result of the improved claims process.

 
60

 


Direct Line Group (continued)

Key points (continued)
During 2012, a number of partnership agreements, including Nationwide Building Society and Sainsbury’s Bank, were either renewed or extended. In addition, Direct Line Group signed an arm’s length, five year distribution agreement with RBS Group for the continued provision, post divestment, of general insurance products to UK Retail customers.

Following launch on comparethemarket.com, Churchill and Privilege motor and home products are now available on all four major price comparison websites in the UK. This reinforces Direct Line Group’s multi-channel distribution strategy.

Direct Line Group continues to focus on reducing operational costs, targeting the delivery of gross annual cost savings of £100 million in 2014 through overall improvements in operational efficiency including claims handling, continued efforts to simplify internal structures and better managing customer acquisition costs. Steps announced during the second half of the year included measures to reduce costs in central functions as well as the reduction of around 70 senior leadership roles across the organisation.

Roll-out of a new e-trading platform in Commercial began in Q3 2012 and was launched in January 2013. This new platform has been developed to aid with internal cost efficiency and provide new routes to market as well as to significantly improve the interface with brokers and customers.

International consolidated its direct market position in Italy and Germany with a total of 1.5 million in-force policies at the end of 2012. Gross written premium for 2012 was up 4% in local currency on 2011 and followed a period of strong growth in 2010 and 2011.

Direct Line Group further improved its capital efficiency following a number of initiatives including the consolidation of four underwriting entities into one. The combined entity, U K Insurance Limited, received inaugural credit ratings of ‘A’ from Standard and Poor’s and ‘A2’ from Moody’s. Direct Line Group also issued £500 million of Tier 2 debt and paid £1 billion of dividends to RBS Group.

Direct Line Group operates in an industry that is under a significant amount of scrutiny and is preparing for substantial regulatory change. Direct Line Group is actively engaging with major stakeholders throughout the ongoing debates surrounding referral and legal fees, the increase in whiplash claims and the implementation of the gender directive in order to help deliver the best possible outcome for its customers and shareholders.


 
61

 


Direct Line Group (continued)

Key points (continued)

Separation and divestment update
From 1 July 2012, Direct Line Group has operated on a substantially standalone basis with independent corporate functions and governance following the successful implementation of a comprehensive programme of separation initiatives. During 2012, these included launching a new corporate identity and the Direct Line Group Board became fully compliant with the UK Corporate Governance Code following further non-executive director appointments. New contracts of employment have been agreed and issued to staff, independent HR systems have been implemented and an arm’s length transitional services agreement has been reached with RBS Group for residual services. In January 2013, it was announced that Capgemini would design, deliver and operate Direct Line Group’s IT infrastructure.

The Group sold the first tranche of ordinary shares representing 34.7% of the share capital of Direct Line Group in October 2012 via an Initial Public Offering. This is consistent with the Group’s plan to cede control of Direct Line Group by the end of 2013 and a step toward complete disposal by the end of 2014, as required by the European Commission. In accordance with IFRS 5, Direct Line Group has been recognised as a discontinued operation with consequent changes to the presentation of comparative information. The assets and liabilities relating to Direct Line Group are included in Disposal groups as of 31 December 2012. The Group has written down its investment in Direct Line Group at 31 December 2012 to 216 pence per share, the market value on that date, which resulted in a £394 million goodwill write-down.

A full year preliminary statement of results for Direct Line Insurance Group plc is available on the company website. A full Annual Report and Accounts will be available in March 2013.

2012 compared with 2011
·
Operating profit of £441 million was £13 million, or 3% lower than 2011 as lower net claims were partially offset by lower net premium income.
   
·
Gross written premium of £3,966 million was 3% lower, driven by the impact of de-risking in previous years and changes in the mix of the portfolio in Motor together with competitive market conditions in Home. International was also down reflecting adverse exchange rate movements.
   
·
Total income of £3,717 million was £355 million, or 9% lower than prior year due to flow through of lower written premiums, increased commissions payable relating to business previously reported within Non-Core, the cessation of Tesco Personal Finance tariff income and lower supply chain income and lower investment income.
   
·
Investment income of £243 million was £22 million lower, primarily as a result of £27 million financing costs relating to the Tier 2 debt issued in April 2012 and lower reinvestment rates during 2012. This was mostly offset by higher realised gains arising from portfolio management initiatives, including those arising from business previously reported in Non-Core.
   
·
Net claims of £2,427 million were £345 million, or 12% lower than 2011 reflecting lower exposure, higher releases of reserves from prior years and improved claims experience. The 2012 result includes approximately £105 million of Home weather event claims, significantly more than £20 million in 2011 under benign weather conditions.


 
62

 


Direct Line Group (continued)

Key points (continued)

2012 compared with 2011 (continued)
·
Expenses of £849 million were broadly flat. Staff expenses were £50 million, or 17% higher partly reflecting the transfer of some head office functions costs to Direct Line Group ahead of separation from RBS Group, together with additional staff recruited to provide services previously provided by RBS Group.
   
·
Direct Line Group’s reported Return on Tangible Equity was 11.7% in 2012.

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
Operating profit of £113 million was £4 million, or 4% higher than prior quarter driven by a better technical result and partly offset by lower investment income.
   
·
Total income of £918 million was £19 million, or 2% higher mainly driven by lower commissions following the settlement of Tesco Personal Finance reserves in Q3 2012.
   
·
Investment income of £32 million was £16 million, or 33% lower than Q3 2012 due to lower realised gains following portfolio management initiatives earlier in the year.
   
·
Net claims of £606 million were £10 million, or 2% higher due to lower releases of reserves from prior years particularly on the Tesco Personal Finance run-off business.
   
·
Total expenses of £199 million were £5 million, or 3% higher due to timing of professional and other external fees.

Q4 2012 compared with Q4 2011
·
Operating profit of £113 million was £12 million, or 10% lower than the same period in 2011. This was largely driven by lower investment income, partially offset by an improved technical result.
   
·
Gross written premium of £909 million was £41 million, or 4% lower. This is primarily driven by Motor due to volume reduction and business mix changes.
   
·
Total income of £918 million was £5 million, or 1% lower mainly due to a reduction in net premium income reflecting flow through of lower written premiums across Motor, Home and International, and lower investment income. This was partially offset by lower commissions payable with the non-repeat of a profit share payment in Q4 2011 of £57 million.
   
·
Investment income of £32 million was £28 million, or 47% lower due to a decline in yields, lower assets under management, lower gains on disposal and the loss of property rental income. Q4 2012 also included £7 million of financing costs relating to the Tier 2 debt issued in April 2012.
   
·
Net claims of £606 million were £17 million, or 3% higher due to the non-repeat of a one-off release from reserves on the Creditor book products made in Q4 2011 which was offset in fees and commissions. This was partially offset by favourable movements across the other products.
   
·
Total expenses were £10 million, or 5% lower due to management actions taken to improve the cost base.

 
63

 


Central items

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Central items not allocated
143 
191 
 
143 
176 
89 

Funding and operating costs have been allocated to operating divisions based on direct service usage, the requirement for market funding and other appropriate drivers where services span more than one division.

Residual unallocated items relate to volatile corporate items that do not naturally reside within a division.

Key points

2012 compared with 2011
·
Central items not allocated represented a credit of £143 million compared with £191 million in 2011.
   
·
Significant central costs included the Group technology incident cost of £175 million, a £160 million provision for various litigation and legacy conduct issues, as well as unallocated Treasury costs of circa £390 million. VAT recoveries of £85 million and Group Pension fund adjustment of circa £50 million in 2011 were not repeated.
   
·
Offsetting these costs, profits on Group Treasury available-for-sale bond disposals totalled £880 million compared with £516 million in 2011, as active management of the liquid assets portfolio as well as favourable market conditions enabled the Group to crystallise gains on some holdings.

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
Central items not allocated represented a credit of £143 million compared with £176 million in Q3 2012.
   
·
The movement is driven by the gain of £187 million on available-for-sale bond disposals in Q4 2012, significantly below the £464 million gain recorded in Q3 2012. This was partially offset by the non-repeat of a £50 million provision for the Group technology incident and lower unallocated costs in Group Treasury.

Q4 2012 compared with Q4 2011
·
Central items not allocated represented a credit of £143 million, an improvement of £54 million compared with Q4 2011, with gains on available-for-sale bond disposals £61 million higher than in the prior year period at £187 million.

 
64

 


Central items

Technology incident - costs of redress
The following table provides an analysis by division of the estimated costs of redress following the technology incident in June 2012. These costs are included in Central items above and include waiver of interest and other charges together with other compensation payments all of which are reported in expenses. 84% of these costs have been incurred as of 31 December 2012.

 
Total 
 
£m 
   
UK Retail
41 
UK Corporate
24 
International Banking
Ulster Bank
82 
Group Centre
25 
   
 
175 


 
65

 


Non-Core

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Income statement
           
Net interest income
346 
863 
 
59 
86 
155 
Funding costs of rental assets
(102)
(215)
 
(6)
(7)
(56)
             
Net interest income
244 
648 
 
53 
79 
99 
             
Net fees and commissions
105 
(38)
 
28 
17 
(47)
Loss from trading activities
(654)
(721)
 
(50)
(203)
(407)
Insurance net premium income
286 
 
Other operating income
           
  - rental income
523 
958 
 
53 
80 
219 
  - other (1)
70 
55 
 
(116)
77 
(151)
             
Non-interest income
44
540 
 
(85)
(29)
(377)
             
Total income
288 
1,188 
 
(32)
50 
(278)
             
Direct expenses
           
  - staff
(272)
(375)
 
(52)
(69)
(82)
  - operating lease depreciation
(246)
(347)
 
(51)
(43)
(91)
  - other
(163)
(256)
 
(46)
(30)
(57)
Indirect expenses
(263)
(317)
 
(58)
(70)
(84)
             
 
(944)
(1,295)
 
(207)
(212)
(314)
             
Loss before insurance net claims and
  impairment losses
(656)
(107)
 
(239)
(162)
(592)
Insurance net claims
(195)
 
61 
Impairment losses
(2,223)
(3,919)
 
(703)
(424)
(751)
             
Operating loss
(2,879)
(4,221)
 
(942)
(586)
(1,282)

Note:
(1)
Includes losses on disposals of £14 million (year ended 31 December 2011 - £127 million; quarter ended 31 December 2012 - £115 million; quarter ended 30 September 2012 - £42 million; quarter ended 31 December 2011 - £36 million).

 
66

 


Non-Core (continued)

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Analysis of income/(loss) by business
           
Banking and portfolios
40 
1,465 
 
(111)
91 
(142)
International businesses
250 
411 
 
29 
60 
92 
Markets
(2)
(688)
 
50 
(101)
(228)
             
Total income
288 
1,188 
 
(32)
50 
(278)
             
Loss from trading activities
           
Monoline exposures
(205)
(670)
 
(35)
21 
(243)
Credit derivative product companies
(205)
(85)
 
(199)
(19)
Asset-backed products (1)
101 
29 
 
16 
17 
(22)
Other credit exotics
(28)
(175)
 
16 
(8)
Equities
(2)
(11)
 
(5)
Banking book hedges
(38)
(1)
 
(2)
(14)
(36)
Other
(277)
192 
 
(30)
(45)
(80)
             
 
(654)
(721)
 
(50)
(203)
(407)
             
Impairment losses
           
Banking and portfolios
2,346 
3,833 
 
723 
433 
714 
International businesses
56 
82 
 
15 
16 
30 
Markets
(179)
 
(35)
(25)
             
Total impairment losses
2,223 
3,919 
 
703 
424 
751 
             
Loan impairment charge as % of gross
  customer loans and advances (excluding
  reverse repurchase agreements) (2)
           
Banking and portfolios
4.2% 
4.9% 
 
5.0% 
2.8% 
3.6% 
International businesses
5.1% 
3.7% 
 
5.5% 
4.5% 
5.3% 
Markets
(3.0%) 
 
0.4% 
(8.8%)
             
Total
4.2% 
4.8% 
 
4.8% 
2.8% 
3.7% 

Notes:
(1)
Asset-backed products include super senior asset-backed structures and other asset-backed products.
(2)
Includes disposal groups.

 
67

 


Non-Core (continued)

Key metrics
 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
             
Performance ratios
           
Net interest margin
0.31% 
0.63% 
 
0.29% 
0.41% 
0.42% 
Cost:income ratio
nm 
109% 
 
nm 
nm 
nm 
Adjusted cost:income ratio (1)
nm 
130% 
 
nm 
nm 
nm 

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
   
31 December 
2011 
 
 
£bn 
£bn 
Change 
 
£bn 
Change 
             
Capital and balance sheet
           
Loans and advances to customers (gross) (2)
55.4 
61.6 
(10%)
 
79.4 
(30%)
Loan impairment provisions
(11.2)
(11.1)
1% 
 
(11.5)
(3%)
             
Net loans and advances to customers
44.2 
50.5 
(12%)
 
67.9 
(35%)
             
Total third party assets (excluding
  derivatives)
57.4 
65.1 
(12%)
 
93.7 
(39%)
Total third party assets (including derivatives)
63.4 
72.2 
(12%)
 
104.7 
(39%)
             
Risk elements in lending (2)
21.4 
22.0 
(3%)
 
24.0 
(11%)
Provision coverage (3)
52% 
50% 
200bp 
 
48% 
400bp 
Customer deposits (2)
2.7 
3.3 
(18%)
 
3.5 
(23%)
Risk-weighted assets
60.4 
72.2 
(16%)
 
93.3 
(35%)

nm = not meaningful

Notes:
(1)
Adjusted cost:income ratio represents operating expenses expressed as a percentage of total income after netting insurance claims against income.
(2)
Excludes disposal groups.
(3)
Provision coverage percentage represents loan impairment provisions as a percentage of risk elements in lending.


 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
       
Gross customer loans and advances
     
Banking and portfolios
54.5 
60.4 
77.3 
International businesses
0.9 
1.2 
2.0 
Markets
0.1 
       
 
55.4 
61.6 
79.4 
       
Risk-weighted assets
     
Banking and portfolios
53.3 
60.5 
64.8 
International businesses
2.4 
2.7 
4.1 
Markets
4.7 
9.0 
24.4 
       
 
60.4 
72.2 
93.3 
       
Third party assets (excluding derivatives)
     
Banking and portfolios
51.1 
57.6 
81.3 
International businesses
1.2 
1.9 
2.9 
Markets
5.1 
5.6 
9.5 
       
 
57.4 
65.1 
93.7 

 
68

 


Non-Core (continued)

Third party assets (excluding derivatives)

 
31 December 
2011 
Run-off 
Disposals/ 
restructuring 
Drawings/ 
roll overs 
Impairments 
FX 
31 December 
2012 
Year ended 31 December 2012
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
               
Commercial real estate
31.5 
(5.0)
(2.2)
0.1 
(1.7)
(0.6)
22.1 
Corporate
42.2 
(7.3)
(9.8)
1.6 
(0.4)
(0.8)
25.5 
SME
2.1 
(1.0)
(0.3)
0.2 
1.0 
Retail
6.1 
(0.8)
(1.9)
0.1 
(0.2)
(0.1)
3.2 
Other
1.9 
(1.3)
(0.1)
0.5 
Markets
9.8 
(1.0)
(3.9)
0.3 
0.1
(0.2)
5.1 
               
Total (excluding derivatives)
93.6 
(16.4)
(18.1)
2.3 
(2.2)
(1.8)
57.4 
Markets - RBS Sempra
  Commodities JV
0.1 
(0.1)
               
Total (1)
93.7 
(16.5)
(18.1)
2.3 
(2.2)
(1.8)
57.4 

 
30 September 
2012 
Run-off 
Disposals/ 
restructuring 
Drawings/ 
roll overs 
Impairments 
FX 
31 December 
2012 
Quarter ended 31 December 2012
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
               
Commercial real estate
25.0 
(1.4)
(1.2)
(0.5)
0.2 
22.1 
Corporate
29.0 
(2.1)
(1.7)
0.3 
(0.1)
0.1 
25.5 
SME
1.3 
(0.2)
(0.1)
1.0 
Retail
3.8 
(0.2)
(0.3)
(0.1)
3.2 
Other
0.4 
0.1 
0.5 
Markets
5.6 
0.1 
(0.7)
0.1 
5.1 
               
Total (excluding derivatives)
65.1 
(3.7)
(4.0)
0.4 
(0.7)
0.3 
57.4 

 
30 June 
2012 
Run-off 
Disposals/ 
restructuring 
Drawings/ 
roll overs 
Impairments 
FX 
30 September 
2012 
Quarter ended 30 September 2012
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
               
Commercial real estate
26.9 
(0.9)
(0.4)
(0.4)
(0.2)
25.0 
Corporate
32.8 
(2.7)
(1.1)
0.4 
(0.4)
29.0 
SME
1.6 
(0.2)
(0.1)
1.3 
Retail
4.0 
(0.1)
(0.1)
3.8 
Other
0.4 
0.4 
Markets
6.4 
(0.2)
(0.6)
0.1 
(0.1)
5.6 
               
Total (excluding derivatives)
72.1 
(4.1)
(2.2)
0.5 
(0.4)
(0.8)
65.1 

Note:
(1)
Disposals of £0.2 billion have been signed as at 31 December 2012 but are pending completion (30 September 2012 and 30 December 2011 - £0.2 billion).

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
Commercial real estate third party assets
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
       
UK (excluding NI)
8.9 
9.5 
11.4 
Ireland (ROI and NI)
5.8 
6.2 
7.7 
Spain
1.4 
1.5 
1.8 
Rest of Europe
4.9 
6.3 
7.9 
USA
0.9 
1.2 
2.2 
RoW
0.2 
0.3 
0.5 
       
Total (excluding derivatives)
22.1 
25.0 
31.5 

 
69

 


Non-Core (continued)

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Impairment losses by donating division
  and sector
           
             
UK Retail
           
Mortgages
 
Personal
(27)
 
(28)
             
Total UK Retail
(22)
 
(28)
             
UK Corporate
           
Manufacturing and infrastructure
19 
76 
 
26 
Property and construction
88 
224 
 
83 
Transport
16 
52 
 
Financial institutions
(38)
 
(23)
(13)
Lombard
48 
75 
 
15 
11 
20 
Other
107 
96 
 
53 
37 
21 
             
Total UK Corporate
240 
528 
 
56 
41 
157 
             
Ulster Bank
           
Commercial real estate
           
  - investment
288 
609 
 
91 
61 
151 
  - development
611 
1,552 
 
256 
93 
77 
Other corporate
77 
173 
 
16 
10 
15 
Other EMEA
15 
 
             
Total Ulster Bank
983 
2,349 
 
364 
164 
245 
             
US Retail & Commercial
           
Auto and consumer
49
58 
 
19 
10 
Cards
(9)
 
(2)
(1)
SBO/home equity
130 
201 
 
22 
46 
33 
Residential mortgages
21 
16 
 
10 
Commercial real estate
(12)
40 
 
(2)
(9)
14 
Commercial and other
(12)
(3)
 
(8)
             
Total US Retail & Commercial
177 
303 
 
44 
48 
64 
             
International Banking
           
Manufacturing and infrastructure
57 
 
(5)
42 
Property and construction
623 
752 
 
96 
205 
241 
Transport
199 
(3)
 
51 
10 
Telecoms, media and technology
32 
68 
 
18 
Banks and financial institutions
(58)
(98)
 
75 
(19)
(31)
Other
18 
(19)
 
(13)
29 
             
Total International Banking
817 
757 
 
238 
169 
309 
             
Other
           
Wealth
 
Central items
 
             
Total Other
 
 1 
             
Total impairment losses
2,223 
3,919 
 
703 
424 
751 

 
70

 


Non-Core (continued)

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
       
Gross loans and advances to customers (excluding reverse
  repurchase agreements) by donating division and sector
     
       
UK Retail
     
Mortgages
1.4 
Personal
0.1 
0.1 
       
Total UK Retail
0.1 
1.5 
       
UK Corporate
     
Manufacturing and infrastructure
0.1 
0.1 
0.1 
Property and construction
3.6 
3.9 
5.9 
Transport
3.8 
4.0 
4.5 
Financial institutions
0.2 
0.4 
0.6 
Lombard
0.4 
0.5 
1.0 
Other
4.2 
4.6 
7.5 
       
Total UK Corporate
12.3 
13.5 
19.6 
       
Ulster Bank
     
Commercial real estate
     
  - investment
3.4 
3.5 
3.9 
  - development
7.6 
7.6 
8.5 
Other corporate
1.6 
1.6 
1.6 
Other EMEA
0.3 
0.3 
0.4 
       
Total Ulster Bank
12.9 
13.0 
14.4 
       
US Retail & Commercial
     
Auto and consumer
0.6 
0.6 
0.8 
Cards
0.1 
0.1 
SBO/home equity
2.0 
2.2 
2.5 
Residential mortgages
0.4 
0.5 
0.6 
Commercial real estate
0.4 
0.6 
1.0 
Commercial and other
0.1 
0.4 
       
Total US Retail & Commercial
3.5 
4.0 
5.4 
       
International Banking
     
Manufacturing and infrastructure
3.9 
4.0 
6.6 
Property and construction
12.3 
13.2 
15.3 
Transport
1.7 
1.9 
3.2 
Telecoms, media and technology
0.4 
1.2 
0.7 
Banks and financial institutions
4.7 
5.3 
5.6 
Other
3.7 
5.4 
7.0 
       
Total International Banking
26.7 
31.0 
38.4 
       
Other
     
Wealth
0.2 
0.2 
Central items
(0.2)
(0.2)
       
Total Other
       
Gross loans and advances to customers (excluding reverse
  repurchase agreements)
55.4 
61.6 
79.3 

 
71

 


Non-Core (continued)

Key points
Non-Core third party assets fell to £57 billion, a reduction of £36 billion, or 39%, during the year and an overall reduction of £200 billion, or 78%, since the division was set up. This was achieved through a mixture of disposals, run-off and impairments. By the end of 2012, the Non-Core funded balance sheet was under 7% of the Group’s funded balance sheet compared with 21% when the division was created. Non-Core remains on target to reach its third party asset target of c.£40 billion, a reduction of approximately 85% of its original portfolio, by the end of 2013.

2012 compared with 2011
·
Third party assets declined by £36 billion, or 39%, largely reflecting disposals of £18 billion and run-off of £16 billion. The disposal of RBS Aviation Capital in Q2 2012 contributed c.£5 billion of this reduction.
   
·
Risk-weighted assets were £33 billion lower, principally driven by disposals, run-off and restructuring of existing positions.
   
·
An operating loss of £2,879 million was £1,342 million lower than 2011, principally due to lower impairments and expenses, partially offset by lower net interest income following run-off and disposals.
   
·
Impairment losses fell by £1,696 million to £2,223 million, with £1,366 million of this reduction from the Ulster Bank portfolio and £269 million from the real estate portfolio.
   
·
Income declined by £900 million as continued divestment and run-off reduced net interest income. Rental income was lower following the disposal of RBS Aviation Capital in Q2 2012.
   
·
Expenses were £351 million lower, driven by reduced headcount and lower operating lease depreciation, principally following the disposal of RBS Aviation Capital.
   
·
Headcount declined by 34% to 3,100 reflecting the divestment activity and run-off across the business.

Q4 2012 compared with Q3 2012
·
Third party assets declined by £8 billion to £57 billion, driven by disposals of £4 billion and run-off of £4 billion.
   
·
Risk-weighted assets fell by £12 billion to £60 billion, primarily driven by disposals, run-off and the restructuring of existing positions.
   
·
Operating loss increased by £356 million to £942 million, principally due to a £279 million increase in impairments and £73 million additional disposal losses.
   
·
Ulster Bank impairments increased by £200 million, partially offset by an improvement of £78 million in the real estate portfolio, with the remainder of the increase in impairments spread across the corporate and retail sectors.
   
·
Losses on disposals totalled £115 million in the quarter on assets totalling £4 billion.

Q4 2012 compared with Q4 2011
·
Q4 2012 operating loss was £942 million, an improvement of 27% principally due to reduced trading losses.
   
·
Non-interest income improved significantly principally due to lower trading losses in 2012 as a result of improved market conditions and reduced exposure.
   
·
Ongoing disposal activity reduced the balance sheet and headcount, resulting in lower net interest income, rental income and expenses.


 
72

 

Condensed consolidated income statement
for the period ended 31 December 2012

 
 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Interest receivable
18,530 
21,036 
 
4,439 
4,456 
5,147 
Interest payable
(7,128)
(8,733)
 
(1,666)
(1,647)
(2,161)
             
Net interest income
11,402 
12,303 
 
2,773 
2,809 
2,986 
             
Fees and commissions receivable
5,709 
6,379 
 
1,374 
1,400 
1,589 
Fees and commissions payable
(834)
(962)
 
(245)
(209)
(339)
Income from trading activities
1,675 
2,701 
 
474 
334 
(238)
Gain/(loss) on redemption of own debt
454 
255 
 
(123)
(1)
Other operating income
(465)
3,975 
 
227 
(252)
174 
             
Non-interest income
6,539 
12,348 
 
1,830 
1,150 
1,185 
             
Total income
17,941 
24,651 
 
4,603 
3,959 
4,171 
             
Staff costs
(8,076)
(8,356)
 
(1,628)
(1,959)
(1,898)
Premises and equipment
(2,232)
(2,423)
 
(592)
(550)
(666)
Other administrative expenses
(5,593)
(4,436)
 
(2,506)
(1,193)
(1,149)
Depreciation and amortisation
(1,802)
(1,839)
 
(498)
(421)
(501)
Write-down of goodwill and other intangible assets
(124)
(80)
 
(124)
(80)
             
Operating expenses
(17,827)
(17,134)
 
(5,348)
(4,123)
(4,294)
             
Profit/(loss) before impairment losses
114 
7,517 
 
(745)
(164)
(123)
Impairment losses
(5,279)
(8,707)
 
(1,454)
(1,176)
(1,916)
             
Operating loss before tax
(5,165)
(1,190)
 
(2,199)
(1,340)
(2,039)
Tax (charge)/credit
(469)
(1,127)
 
(46)
(10)
213 
             
Loss from continuing operations
(5,634)
(2,317)
 
(2,245)
(1,350)
(1,826)
             
(Loss)/profit from discontinued operations, net of tax
           
  - Direct Line Group (1)
(184)
301 
 
(351)
62 
36 
  - Other
12 
47 
 
10 
             
(Loss)/profit from discontinued operations,
  net of tax
(172)
348 
 
(345)
67 
46 
             
Loss for the period
(5,806)
(1,969)
 
(2,590)
(1,283)
(1,780)
Non-controlling interests
123 
(28)
 
107 
(3)
(18)
Preference share and other dividends
(288)
 
(114)
(98)
             
Loss attributable to ordinary and
  B shareholders
(5,971)
(1,997)
 
(2,597)
(1,384)
(1,798)
             
Basic and diluted loss per ordinary and B share
  from continuing operations (2)
(53.7p)
(21.3p)
 
(21.4p)
(13.1p)
(16.9p)
             
Basic and diluted loss per ordinary and B share
  from continuing and discontinued operations (2)
(54.3p)
(18.5p)
 
(23.4p)
(12.5p)
(16.6p)

Notes:
(1)
Includes write-down of goodwill of £394 million in Q4 2012. Refer to Note 12 for further information.
(2)
Data for 2011 have been adjusted for the sub-division and one-for-ten consolidation of ordinary shares.
 
 
73

 

Condensed consolidated statement of comprehensive income
for the period ended 31 December 2012


 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Loss for the period
(5,806)
(1,969)
 
(2,590)
(1,283)
(1,780)
             
Other comprehensive income
           
Available-for-sale financial assets
645 
2,258 
 
(70)
124 
(107)
Cash flow hedges
1,006 
1,424 
 
(126)
437 
124 
Currency translation
(900)
(440)
 
169 
(573)
(117)
Actuarial losses on defined benefit plans
(2,270)
(581)
 
(2,270)
(581)
             
Other comprehensive (loss)/income before
  Tax
(1,519)
2,661 
 
(2,297)
(12)
(681)
Tax credit/(charge)
228 
(1,472)
 
575 
(91)
(500)
             
Other comprehensive (loss)/income after tax
(1,291)
1,189 
 
(1,722)
(103)
(1,181)
             
Total comprehensive loss for the period
(7,097)
(780)
 
(4,312)
(1,386)
(2,961)
             
Total comprehensive loss is attributable to:
           
Non-controlling interests
(116)
(24)
 
(103)
(12)
Preference shareholders
273 
 
99 
98 
Paid-in equity holders
15 
 
15 
Ordinary and B shareholders
(7,269)
(756)
 
(4,323)
(1,484)
(2,949)
             
 
(7,097)
(780)
 
(4,312)
(1,386)
(2,961)

Key points
·
The movement in available-for-sale financial assets during the year reflects net unrealised gains on high quality UK, US and German sovereign bonds.
   
·
Cash flow hedging gains in the year largely result from reductions in Sterling swap rates. Cash flow hedging losses in the quarter reflect increases in Sterling and US dollar swap rates.
   
·
Currency translation losses during the year are principally due to the strengthening of Sterling against both the US dollar, 4.4%, and the Euro, 2.6%. Currency translation gains during the quarter arose mainly from the 2.3% weakening of Sterling against the Euro.
   
·
Actuarial losses on defined benefit plans reflect changes in assumptions, primarily due to a reduction in the discount rate in the UK, Eurozone and US dollar regions.
 
 
74

 

Condensed consolidated balance sheet
at 31 December 2012


 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
       
Assets
     
Cash and balances at central banks
79,290 
80,122 
79,269 
Net loans and advances to banks
29,168 
38,347 
43,870 
Reverse repurchase agreements and stock borrowing
34,783 
34,026 
39,440 
Loans and advances to banks
63,951 
72,373 
83,310 
Net loans and advances to customers
430,088 
423,155 
454,112 
Reverse repurchase agreements and stock borrowing
70,047 
63,909 
61,494 
Loans and advances to customers
500,135 
487,064 
515,606 
Debt securities
157,438 
177,722 
209,080 
Equity shares
15,232 
15,527 
15,183 
Settlement balances
5,741 
15,055 
7,771 
Derivatives
441,903 
468,171 
529,618 
Intangible assets
13,545 
14,798 
14,858 
Property, plant and equipment
9,784 
11,220 
11,868 
Deferred tax
3,443 
3,480 
3,878 
Prepayments, accrued income and other assets
7,820 
10,695 
10,976 
Assets of disposal groups
14,013 
20,667 
25,450 
       
Total assets
1,312,295 
1,376,894 
1,506,867 
       
Liabilities
     
Bank deposits
57,073 
58,127 
69,113 
Repurchase agreements and stock lending
44,332 
49,222 
39,691 
Deposits by banks
101,405 
107,349 
108,804 
Customer deposits
433,239 
412,712 
414,143 
Repurchase agreements and stock lending
88,040 
93,343 
88,812 
Customer accounts
521,279 
506,055 
502,955 
Debt securities in issue
94,592 
104,157 
162,621 
Settlement balances
5,878 
14,427 
7,477 
Short positions
27,591 
32,562 
41,039 
Derivatives
434,333 
462,300 
523,983 
Accruals, deferred income and other liabilities
14,801 
18,458 
23,125 
Retirement benefit liabilities
3,884 
1,779 
2,239 
Deferred tax
1,141 
1,686 
1,945 
Insurance liabilities
6,249 
6,312 
Subordinated liabilities
26,773 
25,309 
26,319 
Liabilities of disposal groups
10,170 
22,670 
23,995 
       
Total liabilities
1,241,847 
1,303,001 
1,430,814 
       
Equity
     
Non-controlling interests
2,318 
1,194 
1,234 
Owners’ equity*
     
  Called up share capital
6,582 
6,581 
15,318 
  Reserves
61,548 
66,118 
59,501 
       
Total equity
70,448 
73,893 
76,053 
       
Total liabilities and equity
1,312,295 
1,376,894 
1,506,867 
       
* Owners’ equity attributable to:
     
Ordinary and B shareholders
63,386 
67,955 
70,075 
Other equity owners
4,744 
4,744 
4,744 
       
 
68,130 
72,699 
74,819 
 
 
75

 

Commentary on condensed consolidated balance sheet


Key points
·
Total assets of £1,312.3 billion at 31 December 2012 were down £194.6 billion, 13%, compared with 31 December 2011. This was principally driven by a decrease in loans and advances to banks and customers led by Non-Core disposals and run-off, decreases in debt securities and the continuing reduction in the mark-to-market value of derivatives.
   
·
Loans and advances to banks decreased by £19.4 billion, 23%, to £64.0 billion. Excluding reverse repurchase agreements and stock borrowing (‘reverse repos’), down £4.7 billion, 12%, to £34.8 billion, bank placings declined £14.7 billion, 34%, to £29.2 billion.
   
·
Loans and advances to customers declined £15.5 billion, 3%, to £500.1 billion. Within this, reverse repurchase agreements were up £8.6 billion, 14%, to £70.0 billion. Customer lending decreased by £24.0 billion, 5%, to £430.1 billion, or £22.6 billion to £451.2 billion before impairments. This reflected reductions in Non-Core of £22.6 billion, along with declines in International Banking, £14.3 billion, UK Corporate, £2.9 billion, Markets, £1.0 billion and Ulster Bank, £0.7 billion, together with the effect of exchange rate and other movements, £4.7 billion. These were partially offset by the transfer from disposal groups of £18.9 billion of customer balances relating to the UK branch-based businesses, together with underlying growth in UK Retail, £2.6 billion, US Retail & Commercial, £1.9 billion and Wealth, £0.2 billion.
   
·
Debt securities were down £51.6 billion, 25%, to £157.4 billion, driven mainly by reductions within Markets and Group Treasury in holdings of UK and Eurozone government securities and financial institution bonds.
   
·
Settlement balance assets and liabilities decreased £2.0 billion to £5.7 billion and £1.6 billion to £5.9 billion respectively reflecting the overall reduction in size of the balance sheet.
   
·
Movements in the value of derivative assets, down £87.7 billion, 17%, to £441.9 billion, and liabilities, down £89.7 billion, 17%, to £434.3 billion, primarily reflect decreases in interest rate and credit derivative contracts, together with the effect of currency movements, with Sterling strengthening against both the US dollar and the Euro.
   
·
Intangible assets decreased £1.3 billion, 9%, to £13.5 billion, primarily as a result write-down of the Direct Line Group goodwill, £0.4 billion, and the transfer of the remaining £0.5 billion of goodwill together with £0.2 billion of other intangible assets to assets of disposal groups at 31 December 2012.
   
·
Property, plant and equipment decreased by £2.1 billion, 18%, to £9.8 billion driven largely by the disposal of investment property in Non-Core.
   
·
The decrease in assets and liabilities of disposal groups, down £11.4 billion, 45%, to £14.0 billion, and £13.8 billion, 58%, to £10.2 billion respectively, primarily reflects the removal of the UK branch-based businesses from disposal groups following Santander’s withdrawal from the purchase together with the disposal of RBS Aviation Capital in the second quarter. These were partly offset by the transfer to disposal groups of Direct Line Group at 31 December 2012.
   
·
Deposits by banks decreased £7.4 billion, 7%, to £101.4 billion, with a decrease in inter-bank deposits, down £12.0 billion, 17%, to £57.1 billion.  This was partly offset by an increase in repurchase agreements and stock lending (‘repos’), up £4.6 billion, 12%, to £44.3 billion, improving the Group’s mix of secured and unsecured funding.

 
76

 

Commentary on condensed consolidated balance sheet (continued)


Key points (continued)
·
Customer accounts increased £18.3 billion, 4%, to £521.3 billion. Within this, repos decreased £0.8 billion, 1%, to £88.0 billion.  Excluding repos, customer deposits were up £19.1 billion, 5%, at £433.2 billion, primarily reflecting the transfer from disposal groups of £21.5 billion of customer accounts relating to the UK branch-based businesses together with underlying increases in UK Retail, £6.0 billion, International Banking, £2.0 billion, US Retail & Commercial, £1.8 billion, UK Corporate, £0.8 billion, Ulster Bank, £0.7 billion and Wealth, £0.7 billion. This was partially offset by decreases in Markets, £9.7 billion and Non-Core, £0.9 billion, together with exchange and other movements £3.8 billion.
   
·
Debt securities in issue decreased £68.0 billion, 42%, to £94.6 billion reflecting the maturity of the remaining notes issued under the UK Government’s Credit Guarantee Scheme, £21.3 billion, the repurchase of bonds and medium term notes as a result of the liability management exercise completed in September 2012, £4.4 billion, and the continuing reduction of commercial paper and medium term notes in issue in line with the Group’s strategy.
   
·
Short positions were down £13.4 billion, 33%, to £27.6 billion mirroring decreases in debt securities.
   
·
Retirement benefit liabilities increased by £1.6 billion, 73%, to £3.9 billion with net actuarial losses of £2.3 billion on the Group's defined benefit pension schemes, primarily arising from significant reductions in the real discount rates in the Sterling, Euro and US dollar currency zones.  These were partially offset by the £0.6 billion excess of employer contributions paid over the current year pension charge.
   
·
Insurance liabilities of £6.2 billion relating to Direct Line Group were transferred to liabilities of disposal groups at 31 December 2012.
   
·
Subordinated liabilities increased by £0.5 billion, 2%, to £26.8 billion, primarily as a result of the net increase in dated loan capital.  Issuances of £1.4 billion and redemptions of £0.3 billion were partly offset by a net decrease of £0.6 billion arising from the liability management exercise completed in March 2012, which consisted of redemptions of £3.4 billion offset by the issuance of £2.8 billion new loan capital.
   
·
Non-controlling interests increased by £1.1 billion, 88%, to £2.3 billion predominantly due to the sale of 34.7% of the Group’s investment in Direct Line Group during the fourth quarter.
   
·
Owner’s equity decreased by £6.7 billion, 9%, to £68.1 billion, driven by the £6.0 billion attributable loss for the year together with movements in foreign exchange reserves, £0.9 billion, the recognition of actuarial losses in respect of the Group’s defined benefit pension schemes, net of tax, £1.9 billion, and other reserve movements of £0.2 billion. Partially offsetting these reductions were gains in available-for-sale reserves, £0.6 billion, and cash flow hedging reserves, £0.8 billion, share capital and reserve movements in respect of employee share schemes, £0.8 billion and other share issuances, £0.1 billion.


 
77

 

Average balance sheet


 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
 
 
           
Average yields, spreads and margins of the banking
  business
         
Gross yield on interest-earning assets of banking business
3.13 
3.24 
 
3.12 
3.08 
Cost of interest-bearing liabilities of banking business
(1.55)
(1.68)
 
(1.55)
(1.48)
           
Interest spread of banking business
1.58 
1.56 
 
1.57 
1.60 
Benefit from interest-free funds
0.34 
0.33 
 
0.38 
0.34 
           
Net interest margin of banking business
1.92 
1.89 
 
1.95 
1.94 
           
           
Average interest rates
         
The Group's base rate
0.50 
0.50 
 
0.50 
0.50 
           
London inter-bank three month offered rates
         
  - Sterling
0.82 
0.87 
 
0.53 
0.72 
  - Eurodollar
0.43 
0.33 
 
0.32 
0.42 
  - Euro
0.53 
1.36 
 
0.20 
0.36 
 
 
 
78

 
 
Average balance sheet (continued)


 
Year ended
 
Year ended
 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Average 
     
Average 
   
 
balance 
Interest 
Rate 
 
balance 
Interest 
Rate 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
               
Assets
             
Loans and advances to banks
73,998 
493 
0.67 
 
71,313 
680 
0.95 
Loans and advances to customers
429,013 
16,188 
3.77 
 
465,299 
17,827 
3.83 
Debt securities
89,949 
1,849 
2.06 
 
113,101 
2,529 
2.24 
               
Interest-earning assets -
  banking business
592,960 
18,530 
3.13 
 
649,713 
21,036
3.24 
               
Trading business (1)
240,131 
     
278,975 
   
Non-interest earning assets
597,281 
     
606,467 
   
               
Total assets
1,430,372 
     
1,535,155 
   
               
               
Liabilities
             
Deposits by banks
38,476 
600 
1.56 
 
64,179 
982 
1.53 
Customer accounts
327,924 
3,491 
1.06 
 
331,318 
3,531 
1.07 
Debt securities in issue
83,003 
2,023 
2.44 
 
151,175 
3,371 
2.23 
Subordinated liabilities
21,070 
815 
3.87 
 
22,551 
740 
3.28 
Internal funding of trading business
(9,148)
199 
(2.18)
 
(49,025)
109 
(0.22)
               
Interest-bearing liabilities -
  banking business
461,325 
7,128 
1.55 
 
520,198 
8,733 
1.68 
               
Trading business (1)
248,647 
     
307,564 
   
Non-interest-bearing liabilities
             
  - demand deposits
74,320 
     
66,404 
   
  - other liabilities
572,820 
     
565,950 
   
Owners’ equity
73,260 
     
75,039 
   
               
Total liabilities and owners’ equity
1,430,372 
     
1,535,155 
   

Note:
(1)
Interest receivable and interest payable on trading assets and liabilities are included in income from trading activities.
 
 
79

 
 
Average balance sheet (continued)


 
Quarter ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 2012
 
30 September 2012
 
Average 
     
Average 
   
 
balance 
Interest 
Rate 
 
balance 
Interest 
Rate 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
               
Assets
             
Loans and advances to banks
70,752 
114 
0.64 
 
66,829 
106 
0.63 
Loans and advances to customers
414,857 
3,940 
3.78 
 
424,501 
3,938 
3.69 
Debt securities
80,624 
385 
1.90 
 
84,730 
412 
1.93 
               
Interest-earning assets -
  banking business
566,233 
4,439 
3.12 
 
576,060 
4,456 
3.08 
               
Trading business (1)
231,113 
     
237,032 
   
Non-interest earning assets
545,677 
     
582,665 
   
               
Total assets
1,343,023 
     
1,395,757 
   
               
               
Liabilities
             
Deposits by banks
30,929 
122 
1.57 
 
36,994 
131 
1.41 
Customer accounts
329,074 
849 
1.03 
 
324,256 
859 
1.05 
Debt securities in issue
59,492 
404 
2.70 
 
71,678 
410 
2.28 
Subordinated liabilities
21,139
201 
3.78 
 
20,627 
204 
3.93 
Internal funding of trading business
(12,609)
90 
(2.84)
 
(10,166)
43 
(1.68)
               
Interest-bearing liabilities -
  banking business
428,025 
1,666 
1.55 
 
443,389 
1,647 
1.48 
               
Trading business (1)
234,792 
     
245,299 
   
Non-interest-bearing liabilities
             
  - demand deposits
74,957 
     
74,142 
   
  - other liabilities
533,830 
     
559,213 
   
Owners’ equity
71,419 
     
73,714 
   
               
Total liabilities and owners’ equity
1,343,023 
     
1,395,757 
   

Note:
(1)
Interest receivable and interest payable on trading assets and liabilities are included in income from trading activities.
 
 
 
80

 
 
 
Condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity
for the period ended 31 December 2012


 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Called-up share capital
           
At beginning of period
15,318 
15,125 
 
6,581 
6,528 
15,318 
Ordinary shares issued
197 
193 
 
53 
Share capital sub-division and consolidation
(8,933)
 
             
At end of period
6,582 
15,318 
 
6,582 
6,581 
15,318 
             
Paid-in equity
           
At beginning and end of period
431 
431 
 
431 
431 
431 
             
Share premium account
           
At beginning of period
24,001 
23,922 
 
24,268 
24,198 
23,923 
Ordinary shares issued
360 
79 
 
93 
70 
78 
             
At end of period
24,361 
24,001 
 
24,361 
24,268 
24,001 
             
Merger reserve
           
At beginning of period
13,222 
13,272 
 
13,222 
13,222 
13,222 
Transfer to retained earnings
(50)
 
             
At end of period
13,222 
13,222 
 
13,222 
13,222 
13,222 
             
Available-for-sale reserve (1)
           
At beginning of period
(957)
(2,037)
 
(291)
(450)
(292)
Unrealised gains/(losses)
1,939 
1,769 
 
136 
651 
(179)
Realised (gains)/losses
(1,319)
486 
 
(209)
(528)
69 
Tax
50 
(1,175)
 
77 
36 
(555)
Transfer to retained earnings
(59)
 
(59)
             
At end of period
(346)
(957)
 
(346)
(291)
(957)
             
Cash flow hedging reserve
           
At beginning of period
879 
(140)
 
1,746 
1,399 
798 
Amount recognised in equity
2,093 
2,417 
 
162 
713 
389 
Amount transferred from equity to earnings
(1,087)
(993)
 
(288)
(276)
(265)
Tax
(219)
(405)
 
46 
(90)
(43)
             
At end of period
1,666 
879 
 
1,666 
1,746 
879 

Note:
(1)
Analysis provided on page 120.
 
 
81

 
 
Condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity
for the period ended 31 December 2012 (continued)


 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Foreign exchange reserve
           
At beginning of period
4,775 
5,138 
 
3,747 
4,314 
4,847 
Retranslation of net assets
(1,056)
(382)
 
147 
(637)
(111)
Foreign currency gains/(losses) on hedges
  of net assets
177 
(10)
 
21 
68 
20 
Transfer to retained earnings
(2)
 
(2)
   
Tax
17 
23 
 
(5)
13 
Recycled to profit or loss on disposal of
  business (nil tax)
(3)
 
             
At end of period
3,908 
4,775 
 
3,908 
3,747 
4,775 
             
Capital redemption reserve
           
At beginning of period
198 
198 
 
9,131 
9,131 
198 
Share capital sub-division and consolidation
8,933 
 
             
At end of period
9,131 
198 
 
9,131 
9,131 
198 
             
Contingent capital reserve
           
At beginning and end of period
(1,208)
(1,208)
 
(1,208)
(1,208)
(1,208)
             
Retained earnings
           
At beginning of period
18,929 
21,239 
 
15,279 
16,657 
20,977 
Transfer to non-controlling interests
(361)
 
(361)
   
(Loss)/profit attributable to ordinary and B
  shareholders and other equity owners
           
  - continuing operations
(5,623)
(2,303)
 
(2,425)
(1,349)
(1,834)
  - discontinued operations
(60)
306 
 
(58)
63 
36 
Equity preference dividends paid
(273)
 
(99)
(98)
Paid-in equity dividends paid, net of tax
(15)
 
(15)
Transfer from available-for-sale reserve
59 
 
59 
Transfer from foreign exchange reserve
 
Transfer from merger reserve
50 
 
Actuarial losses recognised in retirement
  benefit schemes
           
  - gross
(2,270)
(581)
 
(2,270)
(581)
  - tax
380 
86 
 
457 
(39)
86 
Loss on disposal of own shares held
(196)
 
Shares released for employee benefits
(87)
(58)
 
43 
(1)
151 
Share-based payments
           
  - gross
117 
200 
 
(19)
44 
98 
  - tax
(6)
(10)
 
(4)
             
At end of period
10,596 
18,929 
 
10,596 
15,279 
18,929 
 
 
 
82

 
 
Condensed consolidated statement of changes in equity
for the period ended 31 December 2012 (continued)


 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Own shares held
           
At beginning of period
(769)
(808)
 
(207)
(206)
(771)
Disposal/(purchase) of own shares
441 
20 
 
(6)
(2)
Shares released for employee benefits
115 
19 
 
             
At end of period
(213)
(769)
 
(213)
(207)
(769)
             
Owners’ equity at end of period
68,130 
74,819 
 
68,130 
72,699 
74,819 
             
Non-controlling interests
           
At beginning of period
1,234 
1,719 
 
1,194 
1,200 
1,433 
Currency translation adjustments and other
  movements
(18)
(54)
 
(4)
(32)
(Loss)/profit attributable to non-controlling
  interests
           
  - continuing operations
(11)
(14)
 
13 
(1)
  - discontinued operations
(112)
42 
 
(120)
10 
Dividends paid
(13)
(40)
 
(1)
(6)
(1)
Movements in available-for-sale securities
           
  - unrealised gains/(losses)
 
(1)
  - realised losses/(gains)
22 
 
(2)
  - tax
(1)
 
(1)
Equity raised
875 
 
874 
Equity withdrawn and disposals
(23)
(421)
 
(7)
(186)
Transferred from retained earnings
361 
 
361 
             
At end of period
2,318 
1,234 
 
2,318 
1,194 
1,234 
             
Total equity at end of period
70,448 
76,053 
 
70,448 
73,893 
76,053 
             
Total comprehensive loss recognised
  in the statement of changes in equity
  is attributable to:
           
Non-controlling interests
(116)
(24)
 
(103)
(12)
Preference shareholders
273 
 
99 
98 
Paid-in equity holders
15 
 
15 
Ordinary and B shareholders
(7,269)
(756)
 
(4,323)
(1,484)
(2,949)
             
 
(7,097)
(780)
 
(4,312)
(1,386)
(2,961)
 
 
 
83

 
 
Condensed consolidated cash flow statement
for the year ended 31 December 2012


 
2012 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
     
Operating activities
   
Operating loss before tax on continuing operations
(5,165)
(1,190)
Operating (loss)/profit before tax on discontinued operations
(111)
482 
Adjustments for non-cash items
9,194 
7,661 
     
Net cash inflow from trading activities
3,918 
6,953 
Changes in operating assets and liabilities
(48,736)
(3,444)
     
Net cash flows from operating activities before tax
(44,818)
3,509 
Income taxes paid
(295)
(184)
     
Net cash flows from operating activities
(45,113)
3,325 
     
Net cash flows from investing activities
27,175 
14 
     
Net cash flows from financing activities
2,017 
(1,741)
     
Effects of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents
(3,893)
(1,473)
     
Net (decrease)/increase in cash and cash equivalents
(19,814)
125 
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year
152,655 
152,530 
     
Cash and cash equivalents at end of year
132,841 
152,655 
 
 
 
84

 

 
Notes


1. Basis of preparation
There have been no changes to the Group’s principal accounting policies as set out on pages 273 to 282 of its 2011 Form 20-F. The two amendments to IFRS (to IAS 12 Income Taxes and to IFRS 7 ‘Financial Instruments: Disclosures’) that are effective for the Group from 1 January 2012 have not had a material effect on its 2012 results.

A number of IFRSs and amendments to IFRS were in issue at 31 December 2012 that had effective dates of 1 January 2013 or later. The most significant of these are:

Effective for 2013
IFRS 10 ‘Consolidated Financial Statements’ adopts a single definition of control: a reporting entity controls another entity when the reporting entity has the power to direct the activities of that other entity so as to vary returns for the reporting entity. IFRS 10 requires retrospective application. The Group continues to assess aspects of IFRS 10.  However implementation of IFRS 10  is not expected to have a material effect on the Group’s financial statements.

IAS 19 ‘Employee Benefits’ (revised) requires: the immediate recognition of all actuarial gains and losses eliminating the corridor approach; interest cost to be calculated on the net pension liability or asset at the long-term bond rate, an expected rate of return will no longer be applied to assets; and all past service costs to be recognised immediately when a scheme is curtailed or amended. If the Group had adopted IAS 19 revised as at 31 December 2012, profit after tax for the year ended 31 December 2012 would have been lower by £84 million (2011 - £154 million) and other comprehensive income after tax higher by the same amounts.

Effective after 2013
IFRS 9 ‘Financial Instruments’ makes major changes to the framework for the classification and measurement of financial instruments and will have a significant effect on the Group's financial statements. The Group is assessing the effect of IFRS 9 which will depend on the results of IASB's reconsideration of IFRS 9’s classification and measurement requirements and the outcome of the other phases in the development of IFRS 9.

2. Going concern
Having reviewed the Group’s forecasts, projections and other relevant evidence, the directors have a reasonable expectation that the Group will continue in operational existence for the foreseeable future. Accordingly, the Annual Results for the year ended 31 December 2012 have been prepared on a going concern basis.
 
 
85

 

 
Notes (continued)


3. Analysis of income, expenses and impairment losses

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Loans and advances to customers
16,188 
17,827 
 
3,940 
3,938 
4,303 
Loans and advances to banks
493 
680 
 
114 
106 
202 
Debt securities
1,849 
2,529 
 
385 
412 
642 
             
Interest receivable
18,530 
21,036 
 
4,439 
4,456 
5,147 
             
Customer accounts
3,491 
3,531 
 
849 
859 
927 
Deposits by banks
600 
982 
 
122 
131 
226 
Debt securities in issue
2,023 
3,371 
 
404 
410 
794 
Subordinated liabilities
815 
740 
 
201 
204 
190 
Internal funding of trading businesses
199 
109 
 
90 
43 
24 
             
Interest payable
7,128 
8,733 
 
1,666 
1,647 
2,161 
             
Net interest income
11,402 
12,303 
 
2,773 
2,809 
2,986 
             
Fees and commissions receivable
           
  - payment services
1,368 
1,498 
 
317 
335 
372 
  - credit and debit card fees
1,088 
1,093 
 
280 
273 
265 
  - lending (credit facilities)
1,480 
1,707 
 
368 
397 
398 
  - brokerage
548 
631 
 
122 
142 
196 
  - trade finance
314 
410 
 
64 
79 
99 
  - investment management
471 
525 
 
106 
130 
99 
  - other
440 
515 
 
117 
44 
160 
             
 
5,709 
6,379 
 
1,374 
1,400 
1,589 
Fees and commissions payable
           
  - banking
(834)
(962)
 
(245)
(209)
(339)
             
Net fees and commissions
4,875 
5,417 
 
1,129 
1,191 
1,250 
             
Foreign exchange
654 
1,327 
 
86 
133 
308 
Interest rate
1,932 
760 
 
456 
378 
76 
Credit
737 
(308)
 
118 
232 
(423)
Own credit adjustments
(1,813)
293 
 
(98)
(435)
(272)
Other
165 
629 
 
(88)
26 
73 
             
Income from trading activities
1,675 
2,701 
 
474 
334 
(238)
             
Gain/(loss) on redemption of own debt
454 
255 
 
(123)
(1)
             
Operating lease and other rental income
876 
1,307 
 
152 
163 
308 
Own credit adjustments
(2,836)
1,621 
 
(122)
(1,020)
(200)
Changes in the fair value of:
           
  - securities and other financial assets and
    liabilities
146 
150 
 
19 
72 
  - investment properties
(153)
(139)
 
(77)
(20)
(65)
Profit on sale of securities
1,146 
829 
 
237 
492 
173 
Profit/(loss) on sale of:
           
  - property, plant and equipment
34 
22 
 
(1)
(1)
(5)
  - subsidiaries and associates
95 
(30)
 
(21)
(27)
(15)
Life business profits
 
Dividend income
59 
54 
 
16 
12 
13 
Share of profits less losses of associated
  entities
29 
26 
 
21 
Other income
138 
134 
 
70 
(48)
             
Other operating income
(465)
3,975 
 
227 
(252)
174 

 
 
86

 
 
Notes (continued)


3. Analysis of income, expenses and impairment losses (continued)

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Total non-interest income
6,539 
12,348 
 
1,830 
1,150 
1,185 
             
Total income
17,941 
24,651 
 
4,603 
3,959 
4,171 
             
Staff costs
8,076 
8,356 
 
1,628 
1,959 
1,898 
Premises and equipment
2,232 
2,423 
 
592 
550 
666 
Other (1)
5,593 
4,436 
 
2,506 
1,193 
1,149 
             
Administrative expenses
15,901 
15,215 
 
4,726 
3,702 
3,713 
Depreciation and amortisation
1,802 
1,839 
 
498 
421 
501 
Write-down of goodwill and other intangible assets (2)
124 
80 
 
124 
80 
             
Operating expenses
17,827 
17,134 
 
5,348 
4,123 
4,294 
             
Loan impairment losses
5,315 
7,241 
 
1,402 
1,183 
1,654 
Securities impairment losses/(recoveries)
           
  - sovereign debt impairment and related
    interest rate hedge adjustments
1,268 
 
224 
  - other
(36)
198 
 
52 
(7)
38 
             
Impairment losses
5,279 
8,707 
 
1,454 
1,176 
1,916 

Notes:
(1)
Includes Bank Levy of £175 million (2011 - £300 million), Payment Protection Insurance costs of £1,110 million (2011 - £850 million), Interest Rate Hedging Products redress and related costs of £700 million and regulatory fines of £381 million.
(2)
Excludes goodwill of £394 million written-off in Q4 2012 in respect of Direct Line Group. Refer to Note 12 for further information.


 
87

 

Notes (continued)


3. Analysis of income, expenses and impairment losses (continued)

Payment Protection Insurance (PPI)
To reflect current experience of PPI complaints received, the Group increased its provision for PPI by £1,110 million in 2012 (Q4 2012 - £450 million) bringing the cumulative charge taken to £2.2 billion, of which £1.3 billion (59%) in redress had been paid by 31 December 2012. Of the £2.2 billion cumulative charge, £2 billion relates to redress and £0.2 billion to administrative expenses. The eventual cost is dependent upon complaint volumes, uphold rates and average redress costs. Assumptions relating to these are inherently uncertain and the ultimate financial impact may be different than the amount provided. The Group will continue to monitor the position closely and refresh its assumptions as more information becomes available.

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
           
At beginning of period
745 
 
684 
588 
Transfers from accruals and other liabilities
215 
 
Charge to income statement
1,110 
850 
 
450 
400 
Utilisations
(960)
(320)
 
(239)
(304)
           
At end of period
895 
745 
 
895 
684 

Interest Rate Hedging Products (IRHP) redress and related costs
Following an industry-wide review conducted in conjunction with the Financial Services Authority, a charge of £700 million has been booked for redress in relation to certain interest-rate hedging products sold to small and medium-sized businesses, classified as retail clients under FSA rules. Of the £700 million charge, £575 million relates to redress and the cost of closing out hedging positions, and £125 million to administrative expenses.

Regulatory fines
On 6 February, 2013 RBS reached agreement with the Financial Services Authority, the US Department of Justice and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in relation to the setting of LIBOR and other trading rates, including financial penalties of £381 million. The Group continues to co-operate with these and other bodies in this regard and expects it will incur additional financial penalties related to these matters.

Staff expenses
Staff expenses comprise
2012 
£m 
2011 
£m 
Change 
       
Salaries
4,748 
5,025 
(6)
Variable compensation
716 
975 
(27)
Temporary and contract costs
699 
786 
(11)
Share based compensation
126 
197 
(36)
Bonus tax
27 
(100)
Social security costs
562 
615 
(9)
Post retirement benefits
404 
405 
Other *
821 
326 
152 
       
Staff expenses
8,076 
8,356 
(3)

* Other includes severance costs.
 
 
88

 

Notes (continued)


3. Analysis of income, expenses and impairment losses (continued)

Variable compensation awards
The following tables analyse Group and Markets variable compensation awards for 2012(1).

 
Group
 
Markets
 
2012 
£m 
2011 
£m 
Change 
 
2012 
£m 
2011 
£m 
Change 
               
Non-deferred cash awards (2)
73 
70 
 
10 
11 
Non-deferred share awards
27 
34 
(21)
 
17 
21 
(19)
               
Total non-deferred variable compensation
100 
104 
(4)
 
27 
30 
(10)
               
Deferred bond awards
497 
589 
(16)
 
212 
264 
(20)
Deferred share awards
82 
96 
(15)
 
48 
66 
(27)
               
Total deferred variable compensation
579 
685 
(15)
 
260 
330 
(21)
               
Total variable compensation pre clawback (3)
679 
789 
(14)
 
287 
360 
(20)
Clawback of prior year deferred awards (4)
(72)
 
(72)
               
Total variable compensation (3)
607 
789 
(23)
 
215 
360 
(40)
               
Increase in operating profit (5) in 2012
90% 
     
68% 
   
Variable compensation (pre clawback) as a % of
  operating profit (5)
20% 
43% 
   
19% 
40% 
 
Variable compensation (pre clawback) as a %
  of operating profit before variable
  compensation (6)
16% 
28% 
   
16% 
25% 
 
Variable compensation (post clawback) as a %
  of operating profit before variable
  compensation (6)
15% 
28% 
   
12% 
25% 
 
Proportion of variable compensation pre
  clawback that is deferred
85% 
87% 
   
91% 
92% 
 

For the notes to these tables refer to the following page.

Operating profit for the Group increased by 90% and for Markets by 68% in 2012. Variable compensation as a proportion of operating profit before variable compensation decreased to 16% from 28% in 2011 for the Group and to 16% from 25% for Markets. At a constant proportion as for 2011 variable compensation for 2012 would have been c.£500 million and c.£160 million higher for the Group and Markets, respectively.

Reconciliation of variable compensation awards to income statement charge
2012 
£m 
2011 
£m 
     
Variable compensation awarded
679 
789 
Less: deferral of charge for amounts awarded for current year
(262)
(298)
Add: current year charge for amounts deferred from prior years
299 
484 
     
Income statement charge for variable compensation (3)
716 
975 

 
 
89

 

Notes (continued)


3. Analysis of income, expenses and impairment losses (continued)

Variable compensation awards (continued)

 
Actual
 
Expected
Year in which income statement charge is expected to be taken for deferred variable compensation
2011 
£m 
2012 
£m 
 
 
2013 
£m 
2014 
and beyond 
£m 
           
Variable compensation deferred from 2009 and earlier
155 
75 
 
Variable compensation deferred from 2010
329 
93 
 
78 
Variable compensation deferred from 2011
190 
 
49 
21 
Clawback of variable compensation
(59)
 
(10)
(3)
Variable compensation for 2012 deferred
 
199 
63 
           
 
484 
299 
 
316 
85 

Notes:
(1)
The tables above relate to continuing businesses only. Discontinued businesses in 2012 amount to £24 million (2011 - £32 million). In addition, 2011 has been restated to include sales incentive and long-term incentive plan expense of £12 million which has been reclassified in 2012, as well as £6 million for the UK branch-based businesses which was included in disposal groups in 2011.
(2)
Cash payments to all employees are limited to £2,000.
(3)
Excludes other performance related compensation which forms part of staff expenses detailed on page 88 for the Group.
(4)
Relates to the clawback of prior year variable compensation awards which forms part of the LIBOR actions taken by management detailed on pages 89 and 90.
(5)
Reported operating profit before one-off and other items.
(6)
Reported operating profit pre variable compensation expense and before one-off and other items.

LIBOR
On 6 February 2013, RBS made an announcement in relation to the investigations conducted in relation to attempts to manipulate LIBOR and the settlements reached with the FSA and US authorities.  The investigations uncovered wrongdoing on the part of 21 employees, predominantly in relation to the setting of the bank’s Yen and Swiss Franc LIBOR submissions in the period October 2006 to November 2010.

The RBS Board has acknowledged that there were serious shortcomings in our risk and control systems, and also in the integrity of a small group of our employees, and has taken action to ensure full and proper accountability:
·
All 21 wrongdoers referred to in the regulatory findings have left the organisation or been subject to disciplinary action.
   
·
Individuals found culpable have left the bank with no 2012 variable compensation awards and full clawback of any outstanding past variable compensation awards applied.
   
·
Supervisors with accountability for the business but no knowledge or involvement in the wrongdoing have received zero variable compensation awards for 2012 and a range of clawback from prior years depending on specific findings.
   
·
Reduction of variable compensation awards and long-term incentive awards and prior year clawback has been made across RBS and particularly in the Markets division to account for the reputational damage of these events and the risk of additional outstanding legal and regulatory action.

 
90

 

Notes (continued)


3. Analysis of income, expenses and impairment losses (continued)

Variable compensation awards (continued)
The actions we have taken reinforce the messages we are sending on the how seriously the Board takes integrity and risk and control issues.  The impact of such issues on our shareholders and wider stakeholders extends beyond those directly involved in LIBOR, so it is appropriate that remuneration actions have a Group-wide impact.

The cumulative impact of the Board’s actions is a deduction from employee incentive pay of over £300 million, with the Markets division bearing the greatest cost. A breakdown of how this figure has been reached is set out below:
 
£m
   
Variable compensation award reduction
110
Long term incentive award reduction
30
Clawback of prior year awards (including LTIP)
112
Committed future reduction 2013/2014
50
   
Total
302

4. Pensions
 
 
2012 
2011 
Pension costs
£m 
£m 
     
Defined benefit schemes
375 
348 
Defined contribution schemes
29 
57 
     
Pension costs - continuing operations
404 
405 

 
2012 
2011 
Net pension deficit
£m 
£m 
     
At 1 January
2,051 
2,183 
Currency translation and other adjustments
(12)
(3)
Income statement
   
  - pension costs
   
    - continuing operations
375 
348 
    - discontinued operations
30 
Net actuarial losses
2,270 
581 
Contributions by employer
(977)
(1,059)
Transfer to disposal groups
     
At 31 December
3,740 
2,051 
     
Net assets of schemes in surplus
144 
188 
Net liabilities of schemes in deficit
3,884 
2,239 

The Group and the Trustees of The Royal Bank of Scotland Group Pension Fund agreed the funding valuation as at 31 March 2010 during 2011. It showed that the value of liabilities exceeded the value of assets by £3.5 billion as at 31 March 2010, a ratio of assets to liabilities of 84%. In order to eliminate this deficit, the Group will pay additional contributions each year over the period 2011 to 2018. Contributions started at £375 million per annum in 2011, increasing to £400 million per annum in 2013 and from 2016 onwards will be further increased in line with price inflation. These contributions are in addition to the regular annual contributions of around £250 million for future accrual benefits.
 
 
91

 

Notes (continued)


5. Loan impairment provisions
Operating loss is stated after charging loan impairment losses of £5,315 million (2011 - £7,241 million). The balance sheet loan impairment provisions increased in the year ended 31 December 2012 from £19,883 million to £21,250 million and the movements thereon were:

 
Year ended
 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
RFS 
MI 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
RFS 
MI 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                   
At beginning of period
8,414 
11,469 
19,883 
 
7,866 
10,316 
18,182 
Transfers from/(to) disposal groups
764 
764 
 
(773)
(773)
Intra-group transfers
 
177 
(177)
Currency translation and other adjustments
53 
(363)
(310)
 
(76)
(207)
(283)
Disposals
(1)
(4)
(5)
 
Amounts written-off
(2,145)
(2,121)
(4,266)
 
(2,137)
(2,390)
(4,527)
Recoveries of amounts previously
  written-off
211 
130 
341 
 
167 
360 
527 
Charge to income statement
                 
  - continuing operations
2,995 
2,320 
5,315 
 
3,403 
3,838 
7,241 
  - discontinued operations
 
(8)
(8)
Unwind of discount (recognised in interest income)
(230)
(246)
(476)
 
(213)
(271)
(484)
                   
At end of period
10,062 
11,188 
21,250 
 
8,414 
11,469 
19,883 
 

 
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 2012
 
30 September 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
RFS 
MI 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
RFS 
MI 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                           
At beginning of period
9,203 
11,115 
20,318 
 
8,944 
11,353 
20,297 
 
8,873 
11,850 
20,723 
Transfers from/(to) disposal groups
764 
764 
 
 
(773)
(773)
Currency translation and other adjustments
57 
139 
196 
 
(5)
(186)
(191)
 
(75)
(162)
(237)
Disposals
(1)
(4)
(5)
         
(3)
(3)
Amounts written-off
(688)
(733)
(1,421)
 
(466)
(454)
(920)
 
(526)
(981)
(1,507)
Recoveries of amounts previously written-off
50 
46 
96 
 
34 
31 
65 
 
48 
99 
147 
Charge to income statement
                         
  - continuing operations
729 
673 
1,402 
 
751 
432 
1,183 
 
924 
730 
1,654 
  - discontinued operations
 
 
Unwind of discount (recognised in interest income)
(53)
(51)
(104)
 
(55)
(61)
(116)
 
(57)
(67)
(124)
                           
At end of period
10,062 
11,188 
21,250 
 
9,203 
11,115 
20,318 
 
8,414 
11,469 
19,883 

Provisions at 31 December 2012 include £114 million in respect of loans and advances to banks (30 September 2012 - £117 million; 31 December 2011 - £123 million).

The table above excludes impairments relating to securities (see page 213).
 
 
92

 

Notes (continued)


6. Tax
The actual tax (charge)/credit differs from the expected tax credit computed by applying the standard UK corporation tax rate of 24.5% (2011 - 26.5%).

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Loss before tax
(5,165)
(1,190)
 
(2,199)
(1,340)
(2,039)
             
Expected tax credit
1,265 
315 
 
539 
328 
540 
Sovereign debt impairment where no deferred tax asset recognised
(275)
 
(56)
Other losses in period where no deferred tax asset recognised
(511)
(530)
 
(129)
(129)
(195)
Foreign profits taxed at other rates
(383)
(417)
 
(77)
(95)
(46)
UK tax rate change impact
(149)
(112)
 
(14)
(89)
25 
Unrecognised timing differences
59 
(20)
 
42 
Non-deductible goodwill impairment
(24)
 
(24)
Items not allowed for tax
           
  - losses on disposal and write-downs
(49)
(72)
 
(41)
(8)
(58)
  - UK bank levy
(43)
(80)
 
10 
(16)
(80)
  - regulatory fines
(93)
 
(93)
  - employee share schemes
(9)
(113)
 
35 
(15)
(101)
  - other disallowable items
(246)
(258)
 
(133)
(37)
(110)
Non-taxable items
           
  - gain/(loss) on sale of RBS Aviation Capital
26 
 
(1)
  - gain on sale of Global Merchant Services
12 
 
  - other non-taxable items
104 
242 
 
60 
18 
205 
Taxable foreign exchange movements
(1)
 
Losses brought forward and utilised
 
(10)
(29)
Reduction in carrying value of deferred tax asset in respect of losses in
           
  - Australia
(191)
 
(9)
  - Ireland
(203)
 
(203)
Adjustments in respect of prior periods
(47)
199 
 
(22)
28 
140 
             
Actual tax (charge)/credit
(469)
(1,127)
 
(46)
(10)
213 
 
 
93

 
 
Notes (continued)


6. Tax (continued)
The high tax charge for the year ended 31 December 2012 reflects profits in high tax regimes (principally US) and losses in low tax regimes (principally Ireland), losses in overseas subsidiaries for which a deferred tax asset has not been recognised (principally Ireland), the reduction in the carrying value of deferred tax assets in Ireland in view of continuing losses, the reduction in the carrying value of deferred tax assets in Australia following the strategic changes to the Markets and International Banking businesses announced in January 2012 and the effect of the two reductions of 1% in the rate of UK corporation tax enacted in March 2012 and July 2012 on the net deferred tax balance.

The Group has recognised a deferred tax asset at 31 December 2012 of £3,443 million (30 September 2012 - £3,480 million; 31 December 2011 - £3,878 million) and a deferred tax liability at 31 December 2012 of £1,141 million (30 September 2012 - £1,686 million; 31 December 2011 - £1,945 million). These balances include £3,072 million (30 September 2012 - £3,178 million; 31 December 2011 - £2,933 million) relating to carried forward trading losses in the UK.  Under UK tax legislation, these UK losses can be carried forward indefinitely to be utilised against profits arising in the future.   The Group has considered the carrying value of this asset as at 31 December 2012 and concluded that it is recoverable based on future profit projections.

7. (Loss)/profit attributable to non-controlling interests

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
RBS Sempra Commodities JV
(18)
 
(2)
(5)
RFS Holdings BV Consortium Members
(30)
35 
 
Direct Line Group
(125)
 
(125)
Other
29 
11 
 
16 
15 
             
(Loss)/profit attributable to non-controlling interests
(123)
28 
 
(107)
18 
 
 
94

 
 
Notes (continued)


8. Dividends
On 26 November 2009, RBS entered into a State Aid Commitment Deed with HM Treasury containing commitments and undertakings that were designed to ensure that HM Treasury was able to comply with the commitments to be given by it to the European Commission for the purposes of obtaining approval for the State aid provided to RBS. As part of these commitments and undertakings, RBS agreed not to pay discretionary coupons and dividends on its existing hybrid capital instruments for a period of two years. This period commenced on 30 April 2010 for RBS Group instruments and ended on 30 April 2012; the two year deferral period for RBS Holdings N.V. instruments commenced on 1 April 2011.

On 4 May 2012, RBS determined that it was in a position to recommence payments on RBS Group instruments. The Core Tier 1 capital impact of discretionary amounts payable in 2012 on RBSG instruments on which payments have previously been stopped is c.£330 million. The Board of RBSG decided to neutralise any impact on Core Tier 1 capital through equity issuance. Approximately 65% of this is ascribed to equity funding of employee incentive awards through the sale of surplus shares held by the Group’s Employee Benefit Trust, which was completed in June 2012. The remaining 35% was raised through the issue of new ordinary shares which was completed in September 2012.

Discretionary dividends on certain non-cumulative preference shares and discretionary distributions on certain RBSG innovative securities payable after 4 May 2012 have been paid. Future coupons and dividends on RBSG hybrid capital instruments will only be paid subject to, and in accordance with, the terms of the relevant instruments.

Dividends paid to preference shareholders and paid-in equity holders are as follows:

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Preference shareholders
           
Non-cumulative preference shares of US$0.01
153 
 
43 
67 
Non-cumulative preference shares of €0.01
115 
 
55 
27 
Non-cumulative preference shares of £1
 
             
Paid-in equity holders
           
Interest on securities classified as equity, net of tax
15 
 
15 
             
 
288 
 
114 
98 
 
9. Share consolidation
Following approval at the Group’s Annual General Meeting on 30 May 2012, the sub-division and consolidation of the Group’s ordinary shares on a one-for-ten basis took effect on 6 June 2012. There was a corresponding change in the Group’s share price to reflect this.
 
 
95

 

Notes (continued)


10. Earnings per ordinary and B share
Earnings per ordinary and B share have been calculated based on the following:

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
             
Earnings
           
Loss from continuing operations attributable to ordinary and B shareholders (£m)
(5,911)
(2,303)
 
(2,372)
(1,447)
(1,834)
             
(Loss)/profit from discontinued operations attributable to ordinary and B shareholders (£m)
(60)
306 
 
(225)
63 
36 
             
Ordinary shares in issue during the period (millions)
5,902 
5,722 
 
6,003 
5,975 
5,755 
Effect of convertible B shares in issue during the period (millions)
5,100 
5,100 
 
5,100 
5,100 
5,100 
             
Weighted average number of ordinary shares and effect of convertible B shares in issue during the period (millions)
11,002 
10,822 
 
11,103 
11,075 
10,855 
             
Basic and diluted loss per ordinary and B share from continuing operations
(53.7p)
(21.3p)
 
(21.4p)
(13.1p)
(16.9p)

Data for 2011 have been adjusted for the sub-division and one-for-ten consolidation of ordinary shares, which took effect in June 2012.
 
 
96

 

Notes (continued)


11. Segmental analysis
In January 2012, the Group announced the reorganisation of its wholesale businesses into 'Markets' and 'International Banking'. Divisional results are presented based on the new organisational structure. The Group also revised its allocation of funding and liquidity costs and capital for the new divisional structure as well as for a new methodology. In addition, the Group had previously included movements in the fair value of own derivative liabilities within the Markets operating segment. These movements are now combined with movements in the fair value of own debt in a single measure, ‘own credit adjustments’ and presented as a reconciling item. Refer to ‘presentation of information’ on page 2 for further details. Comparatives have been restated accordingly.

Analysis of divisional operating profit/(loss)
The following tables provide an analysis of divisional operating profit/(loss) by main income statement captions.
 
Net 
interest 
income 
Non- 
interest 
income 
 
Total 
income 
 
Operating 
expenses 
 Insurance 
net claims 
Impairment 
losses 
 
Operating 
profit/(loss)
Year ended 31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
               
UK Retail
3,990 
979 
4,969 
(2,549)
(529)
1,891 
UK Corporate
2,974 
1,749 
4,723 
(2,089)
(838)
1,796 
Wealth
720 
450 
1,170 
(871)
(46)
253 
International Banking
913 
1,209 
2,122 
(1,417)
(111)
594 
Ulster Bank
649 
196 
845 
(521)
(1,364)
(1,040)
US Retail & Commercial
1,948 
1,143 
3,091 
(2,246)
(91)
754 
Markets
111 
4,372 
4,483 
(2,937)
(37)
1,509 
Direct Line Group
280 
3,437 
3,717 
(849)
(2,427)
441 
Central items
(134)
513 
379 
(196)
(40)
143 
               
Core
11,451 
14,048 
25,499 
(13,675)
(2,427)
(3,056)
6,341 
Non-Core
244 
44 
288 
(944)
(2,223)
(2,879)
               
Managed basis
11,695 
14,092 
25,787 
(14,619)
(2,427)
(5,279)
3,462 
Reconciling items
             
Own credit adjustments (1)
(4,649)
(4,649)
(4,649)
Asset Protection Scheme (2)
(44)
(44)
(44)
Payment Protection Insurance costs
(1,110)
(1,110)
Interest Rate Hedging Products redress and related costs
(700)
(700)
Regulatory fines
(381)
(381)
Amortisation of purchased intangible assets
(178)
(178)
Integration and restructuring costs
(1,550)
(1,550)
Gain on redemption of own debt
454 
454 
454 
Strategic disposals
113 
113 
113 
Bank levy
(175)
(175)
Write-down of goodwill and other intangible assets
(518)
(518)
RFS Holdings minority interest
(15)
(3)
(18)
(2)
(20)
               
Statutory basis before the reclassification of the  Direct Line Group results to discontinued operations
11,680 
9,963 
21,643 
(19,233)
(2,427)
(5,279)
(5,296)
Direct Line Group reclassified to discontinued operations (3)
(278)
(3,424)
(3,702)
1,406 
2,427 
131 
               
Statutory basis
11,402 
6,539 
17,941 
(17,827)
(5,279)
(5,165)

For notes to this table refer to the following page
 
 
97

 

Notes (continued)


11. Segmental analysis (continued)

Analysis of divisional operating profit/(loss) (continued)

Notes:
(1)
Comprises £1,813 million loss included in ‘Income from trading activities’ and £2,836 million loss included in ‘Other operating income’ on a statutory basis.
 
(2)
Included in ‘Income from trading activities’ on a statutory basis.
 
(3)
Analysis provided in Note 12. Included within Direct Line Group discontinued operations are the managed basis divisional results of Direct Line Group (DLG), certain DLG related activities in Central items; and related one-off and other items including write-down of goodwill, integration and restructuring costs and strategic disposals.

 
98

 

Notes (continued)


11. Segmental analysis (continued)

Analysis of divisional operating profit/(loss) (continued)

 
Net 
interest 
income 
Non- 
interest 
income 
 
Total 
income 
 
Operating 
expenses 
 Insurance 
net claims 
Impairment 
(losses)/ 
recoveries 
 
Operating 
profit/(loss)
Year ended 31 December 2011
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
               
UK Retail
4,302 
1,206 
5,508 
(2,699)
(788)
2,021 
UK Corporate
3,092 
1,771 
4,863 
(2,146)
(793)
1,924 
Wealth
645 
459 
1,104 
(831)
(25)
248 
International Banking
1,157 
1,398 
2,555 
(1,632)
(168)
755 
Ulster Bank
736 
211 
947 
(547)
(1,384)
(984)
US Retail & Commercial
1,900 
1,137 
3,037 
(2,174)
(326)
537 
Markets
67 
4,348 
4,415 
(3,478)
(38)
899 
Direct Line Group
343 
3,729 
4,072 
(846)
(2,772)
454 
Central items
(201)
221 
20 
170 
(1)
191 
               
Core
12,041 
14,480 
26,521 
(14,183)
(2,773)
(3,520)
6,045 
Non-Core
648 
540 
1,188 
(1,295)
(195)
(3,919)
(4,221)
               
Managed basis
12,689 
15,020 
27,709 
(15,478)
(2,968)
(7,439)
1,824 
Reconciling items
             
Own credit adjustments (1)
1,914 
1,914 
1,914 
Asset Protection Scheme (2)
(906)
(906)
(906)
Payment Protection Insurance costs
(850)
(850)
Sovereign debt impairment
(1,099)
(1,099)
Interest rate hedge adjustments on impaired available-for-sale sovereign debt
(169)
(169)
Amortisation of purchased intangible assets
(222)
(222)
Integration and restructuring costs
(2)
(3)
(5)
(1,059)
(1,064)
Gain on redemption of own debt
255 
255 
255 
Strategic disposals
(24)
(24)
(80)
(104)
Bank levy
(300)
(300)
Bonus tax
(27)
(27)
Write-down of goodwill and other intangible assets
(11)
(11)
RFS Holdings minority interest
(8)
(6)
(2)
(7)
               
Statutory basis before the reclassification of the  Direct Line Group results to discontinued operations
12,679 
16,258 
28,937 
(18,026)
(2,968)
(8,709)
(766)
Direct Line Group reclassified to discontinued operations (3)
(376)
(3,910)
(4,286)
892 
2,968 
(424)
               
Statutory basis
12,303 
12,348 
24,651 
(17,134)
(8,707)
(1,190)

For notes to this table refer to the following page
 
 
99

 

Notes (continued)


11. Segmental analysis (continued)

Analysis of divisional operating profit/(loss) (continued)

Notes:
(1)
Comprises £293 million gain included in ‘Income from trading activities’ and £1,621 million gain included in ‘Other operating income’ on a statutory basis.
(2)
Included in ‘Income from trading activities’ on a statutory basis.
(3)
Analysis provided in Note 12. Included within Direct Line Group discontinued operations are the managed basis divisional results of Direct Line Group (DLG), certain DLG related activities in Central items and Non-Core; and related one-off and other items including integration and restructuring costs and strategic disposals.
 
 
100

 

Notes (continued)


11. Segmental analysis (continued)

Analysis of divisional operating profit/(loss) (continued)

 
Net 
interest 
income 
Non- 
interest 
income 
Total 
income 
Operating 
expenses 
Insurance 
net claims 
Impairment 
losses 
Operating 
profit/(loss)
Quarter ended 31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
               
UK Retail
1,011 
219 
1,230 
(624)
(93)
513 
UK Corporate 
717 
456 
1,173 
(515)
(234)
424 
Wealth
178 
107 
285 
(190)
(16)
79 
International Banking
201 
283 
484 
(292)
(37)
155 
Ulster Bank
161 
51 
212 
(137)
(318)
(243)
US Retail & Commercial
468 
272 
740 
(517)
(23)
200 
Markets
49 
592 
641 
(480)
(22)
139 
Direct Line Group
67 
851 
918 
(199)
(606)
113 
Central items
(63)
172 
109 
42 
(8)
143 
               
Core
2,789 
3,003 
5,792 
(2,912)
(606)
(751)
1,523 
Non-Core
53 
(85)
(32)
(207)
(703)
(942)
               
Managed basis
2,842 
2,918 
5,760 
(3,119)
(606)
(1,454)
581 
Reconciling items
             
Own credit adjustments (1)
(220)
(220)
(220)
Payment Protection Insurance costs
(450)
(450)
Interest Rate Hedging Products redress and related costs
(700)
(700)
Regulatory fines
(381)
(381)
Amortisation of purchased intangible assets
(32)
(32)
Integration and restructuring costs
(620)
(620)
Strategic disposals
(16)
(16)
-
(16)
Bank levy
(175)
(175)
Write-down of goodwill and other intangible assets
(518)
(518)
RFS Holdings minority interest
(3)
(3)
(2)
               
Statutory basis before the reclassification of the  Direct Line Group results to discontinued operations
2,839 
2,682 
5,521 
(5,994)
(606)
(1,454)
(2,533)
Direct Line Group reclassified to discontinued operations (2)
(66)
(852)
(918)
646 
606 
334 
               
Statutory basis
2,773 
1,830 
4,603 
(5,348)
(1,454)
(2,199)

Notes:
(1)
Comprises £98 million loss included in ‘Income from trading activities’ and £122 million loss included in ‘Other operating income’ on a statutory basis.
(2)
Analysis provided in Note 12. Included within Direct Line Group discontinued operations are the managed basis divisional results of Direct Line Group (DLG), certain DLG related activities in Central items; and related one-off and other items including write-down of goodwill, integration and restructuring costs and strategic disposals.
 
 
101

 

Notes (continued)


11. Segmental analysis (continued)

Analysis of divisional operating profit/(loss) (continued)

 
Net 
interest 
income 
Non- 
interest 
income 
Total 
income 
Operating 
expenses 
Insurance 
net claims 
Impairment 
(losses)/ 
recoveries 
Operating 
profit/(loss)
Quarter ended 30 September 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
               
UK Retail
990 
252 
1,242 
(637)
(141)
464 
UK Corporate 
729 
409 
1,138 
(523)
(247)
368 
Wealth
185 
107 
292 
(219)
(8)
65 
International Banking
227 
308 
535 
(348)
(12)
175 
Ulster Bank
163 
50 
213 
(126)
(329)
(242)
US Retail & Commercial
492 
288 
780 
(536)
(21)
223 
Markets
14 
1,028 
1,042 
(753)
295 
Direct Line Group
61 
838 
899 
(194)
(596)
109 
Central items
(67)
334 
267 
(91)
176 
               
Core
2,794 
3,614 
6,408 
(3,427)
(596)
(752)
1,633 
Non-Core
79 
(29)
50 
(212)
(424)
(586)
               
Managed basis
2,873 
3,585 
6,458 
(3,639)
(596)
(1,176)
1,047 
Reconciling items
             
Own credit adjustments (1)
(1,455)
(1,455)
(1,455)
Asset Protection Scheme (2)
Payment Protection Insurance costs
(400)
(400)
Amortisation of purchased intangible assets
(47)
(47)
Integration and restructuring costs
(257)
(257)
Loss on redemption of own debt
(123)
(123)
(123)
Strategic disposals
(23)
(23)
(23)
RFS Holdings minority interest
(2)
(2)
(1)
               
Statutory basis before the reclassification of the  Direct Line Group results to discontinued operations
2,871 
1,988 
4,859 
(4,345)
(596)
(1,176)
(1,258)
Direct Line Group reclassified to discontinued operations (3)
(62)
(838)
(900)
222 
596 
(82)
               
Statutory basis
2,809 
1,150 
3,959 
(4,123)
(1,176)
(1,340)

Notes:
(1)
Comprises £435 million loss included in ‘Income from trading activities’ and £1,020 million loss included in ‘Other operating income’ on a statutory basis.
(2)
Included in ‘Income from trading activities’ on a statutory basis.
(3)
Analysis provided in Note 12. Included within Direct Line Group discontinued operations are the managed basis divisional results of Direct Line Group (DLG), certain DLG related activities in Central items; and related one-off and other items including integration and restructuring costs and strategic disposals.
 
 
102

 

Notes (continued)


11. Segmental analysis (continued)

Analysis of divisional operating profit/(loss) (continued)

 
Net 
interest 
income 
Non- 
interest 
income 
 
Total 
income 
 
Operating 
expenses 
 Insurance 
net claims 
 
Impairment 
(losses)/ 
recoveries 
 
Operating 
profit/(loss)
Quarter ended 31 December 2011
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
               
UK Retail
1,032 
277 
1,309 
(660)
(191)
458 
UK Corporate
758 
419 
1,177 
(535)
(236)
406 
Wealth
168 
112 
280 
(194)
(13)
73 
International Banking
281 
312 
593 
(385)
(56)
152 
Ulster Bank
177 
49 
226 
(132)
(327)
(233)
US Retail & Commercial
496 
294 
790 
(548)
(65)
177 
Markets
20 
672 
692 
(744)
(57)
(109)
Direct Line Group
82 
841 
923 
(209)
(589)
125 
Central items
(37)
46 
77 
(1)
89 
               
Core
2,977 
3,022 
5,999 
(3,330)
(590)
(941)
1,138 
Non-Core
99 
(377)
(278)
(314)
61 
(751)
(1,282)
               
Managed basis
3,076 
2,645 
5,721 
(3,644)
(529)
(1,692)
(144)
Reconciling items
             
Own credit adjustments (1)
(472)
(472)
(472)
Asset Protection Scheme (2)
(209)
(209)
(209)
Sovereign debt impairment
(224)
(224)
Amortisation of purchased intangible assets
(53)
(53)
Integration and restructuring costs
(478)
(478)
Loss on redemption of own debt
(1)
(1)
(1)
Strategic disposals
(2)
(2)
(80)
(82)
Bank levy
(300)
(300)
Write-down of goodwill and other intangible assets
(11)
(11)
RFS Holdings minority interest
(2)
(1)
(2)
(2)
               
Statutory basis before the reclassification of the  Direct Line Group results to discontinued operations
3,074 
1,964 
5,038 
(4,567)
(529)
(1,918)
(1,976)
Direct Line Group reclassified to discontinued operations (3)
(88)
(779)
(867)
273 
529 
(63)
               
Statutory basis
2,986 
1,185 
4,171 
(4,294)
(1,916)
(2,039)

Notes:
(1)
Comprises £272 million loss included in ‘Income from trading activities’ and £200 million loss included in ‘Other operating income’ on a statutory basis.
(2)
Included in ‘Income from trading activities’ on a statutory basis.
(3)
Analysis provided in Note 12. Included within Direct Line Group discontinued operations are the managed basis divisional results of Direct Line Group (DLG), certain DLG related activities in Central items and Non-Core; and related one-off and other items including integration and restructuring costs and strategic disposals.
 
 
103

 

Notes (continued)


11. Segmental analysis (continued)

Total assets by division
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
Total assets
£m 
£m 
£m 
       
UK Retail
117,411 
116,710 
114,469 
UK Corporate
110,158 
111,848 
114,237 
Wealth
21,486 
21,508 
21,718
International Banking
53,091 
58,493 
69,987 
Ulster Bank
30,754 
30,943 
34,810 
US Retail & Commercial
72,548 
74,986 
75,791 
Markets
714,303 
758,993 
826,947 
Direct Line Group
12,697 
13,129 
12,912 
Central items
115,591 
117,283 
130,466 
       
Core
1,248,039 
1,303,893 
1,401,337 
Non-Core
63,418 
72,189 
104,726 
       
 
1,311,457 
1,376,082 
1,506,063 
RFS Holdings minority interest
838 
812 
804 
       
 
1,312,295 
1,376,894 
1,506,867 

 
104

 

Notes (continued)


12. Discontinued operations and assets and liabilities of Disposal groups
In October 2012, the Group completed the successful initial public offering of Direct Line Insurance Group plc (‘DLG’), selling 34.7% of its interest. The Group’s plan is to cede control by 31 December 2013 and accordingly DLG is treated as a discontinued operation and its assets and liabilities are included in Disposal groups.

(a) (Loss)/profit from discontinued operations, net of tax

   
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
   
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
   
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m
               
(i)
Direct Line Group
           
 
Insurance premium income
4,044 
4,526 
 
999 
1,013 
1,054 
 
Reinsurer’s share
(326)
(270)
 
(80)
(81)
(73)
               
 
Net premium income
3,718 
4,256 
 
919 
932 
981 
               
 
Fees and commissions
(430)
(493)
 
(79)
(129)
(233)
 
Instalment income
126 
145 
 
32 
32 
33 
 
Investment income
243 
302 
 
32 
48 
60 
 
Other income
45 
76 
 
14 
17 
26 
               
 
Total income
3,702 
4,286 
 
918 
900 
867 
               
 
Staff costs
(447)
(322)
 
(123)
(100)
(95)
 
Premises and equipment
(118)
(28)
 
(54)
(47)
(8)
 
Other administrative expenses
(395)
(506)
 
(51)
(66)
(158)
 
Depreciation and amortisation
(52)
(36)
 
(24)
(9)
(12)
 
Goodwill and other intangible write-offs
(394)
 
(394)
               
 
Operating expenses
(1,406)
(892)
 
(646)
(222)
(273)
               
 
Profit before insurance net claims and impairment losses
2,296 
3,394 
 
272 
678 
594 
 
Insurance net claims
(2,427)
(2,968)
 
(606)
(596)
(529)
 
Impairment losses
(2)
 
(2)
               
 
Operating (loss)/profit before tax
(131)
424 
 
(334)
82 
63 
 
Tax
(53)
(123)
 
(17)
(20)
(27)
               
 
(Loss)/profit after tax from Direct Line Group
(184)
301 
 
(351)
62 
36 
               
(ii)
Other
           
 
Total income
29 
42 
 
15 
 
Operating expenses
(3)
(5)
 
(1)
(1)
               
 
Profit before impairment losses
26 
37 
 
14 
 
Impairment losses
(4)
 
(4)
(3)
               
 
Operating profit before tax
22 
45 
 
11 
 
Tax
(8)
(11)
 
(3)
(1)
               
 
Profit after tax
14 
34 
 
10 
               
 
Businesses acquired exclusively with a view to disposal
           
 
(Loss)/profit after tax
(2)
13 
 
               
 
Profit from other discontinued operations, net of tax
12 
47 
 
10 

Other discontinued operations reflect the results of RFS Holdings attributable to the State of the Netherlands and Santander following the legal separation of ABN AMRO Bank N.V. on 1 April 2010. The (loss)/profit from discontinued operations includes a loss of £112 million (2011 - £42 million profit) attributable to non-controlling interests.
 
 
105

 

Notes (continued)


12. Discontinued operations and assets and liabilities of Disposal groups (continued)

(b) Assets and liabilities of Disposal groups
 
 
31 December 2012
   
 
Direct Line 
Group 
Other 
Total 
30 September 
2012 
£m 
31 December 
2011 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
           
Assets of Disposal groups
         
Cash and balances at central banks
18 
18 
49 
127 
Loans and advances to banks
2,036 
76 
2,112 
83 
87 
Loans and advances to customers
881 
982 
1,863 
19,409 
19,405 
Debt securities and equity shares
7,156 
35 
7,191 
36 
Derivatives
12 
15 
366 
439 
Intangible assets
750 
750 
15 
Settlement balances
14 
Property, plant and equipment
222 
223 
116 
4,749 
Other assets
1,640 
26 
1,666 
444 
456 
           
Discontinued operations and other disposal groups
12,697 
1,141 
13,838 
20,503 
25,297 
Assets acquired exclusively with a view to disposal
175 
175 
164 
153 
           
 
12,697 
1,316 
14,013 
20,667 
25,450 
           
Liabilities of disposal groups
         
Deposits by banks
Customer accounts
753 
753 
22,168 
22,610 
Derivatives
42 
126 
Settlement balances
Insurance liabilities
6,193 
6,193 
Subordinated liabilities
529 
529 
Other liabilities
2,541 
138 
2,679 
449 
1,233 
           
Discontinued operations and other
  disposal groups
9,267 
895 
10,162 
22,660 
23,978 
Liabilities acquired exclusively with a
  view to disposal
10 
17 
           
 
9,267 
903 
10,170 
22,670 
23,995 

Disposal groups at 31 December 2012 primarily comprise Direct Line Group (DLG). To comply with EC state aid requirements, the Group has agreed to cede control of DLG by the end of 2013 and divest completely by the end of 2014.  Following the successful initial public offering in which the Group sold 34.7% of its shareholding, DLG was classified as a disposal group and discontinued operation on 31 December 2012. On being classified as held-for-sale, disposal groups are required to be measured at the lower of carrying amount and fair value less costs to sell.  DLG’s carrying amount exceeded its fair value less costs to sell (based on the quoted price for DLG shares on 31 December 2012) by £394 million and goodwill attributable to DLG has been written down by this amount. The write down is recorded in other expenses within discontinued operations.
 
 
106

 

Notes (continued)


12. Discontinued operations and assets and liabilities of Disposal groups (continued)
At 31 December 2011, disposal groups comprised the RBS Aviation Capital business which was sold in the second half of 2012 and the RBS England and Wales, and NatWest Scotland branch-based businesses, along with certain SME and corporate activities across the UK (‘UK branch-based businesses’). In October 2012 Santander announced its withdrawal from the sale agreed in August 2010.  Although the Group continues to explore disposal options, sale within 12 months is no longer highly probable; accordingly at 31 December 2012 the assets and liabilities of this UK branch-based business ceased to be classified as a disposal group. No adjustment was required to the carrying value of these assets and liabilities on reclassification. In accordance with IFRS 5 ‘Non-current Assets Held for Sale and Discontinued Operations’, comparatives have not been restated.

In 2011, £80 million of allocated goodwill was written off against operating expenses in respect of the UK branch-based businesses. No adjustment was made in respect of the RBS Aviation Capital business.


 
107

 

Notes (continued)


13. Financial instruments

Classification
The following tables analyse the Group’s financial assets and liabilities in accordance with the categories of financial instruments in IAS 39 with assets and liabilities outside the scope of IAS 39 shown separately.
 
   
HD (3)
AFS (4)
LAR (5)
Other financial 
instruments 
(amortised 
 cost)
Finance 
leases 
Non financial 
assets/ 
liabilities 
Total 
HFT (1)
DFV (2)
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m
£m
£m 
                   
Assets
                 
Cash and balances at central banks
 
79,290 
     
79,290 
Loans and advances to banks
                 
  - reverse repos
33,394 
 
1,389 
     
34,783 
  - other
13,265 
 
15,903 
     
29,168 
Loans and advances to customers
                 
  - reverse repos
70,025 
     
22 
     
70,047 
  - other
24,841 
189 
   
397,824 
 
7,234 
 
430,088 
Debt securities
78,340 
873 
 
73,737 
4,488 
     
157,438 
Equity shares
13,329 
533 
 
1,370 
       
15,232 
Settlement balances
 
5,741 
     
5,741 
Derivatives
433,264 
 
8,639 
         
441,903 
Intangible assets
             
13,545 
13,545 
Property, plant and equipment
             
9,784 
9,784 
Deferred tax
             
3,443 
3,443 
Prepayments, accrued income and other assets
 
   
7,820 
7,820 
Assets of disposal groups
             
14,013 
14,013 
                   
 
666,458 
1,595 
8,639 
75,107 
504,657 
 
7,234 
48,605 
1,312,295 
                   
Liabilities
                 
Deposits by banks
                 
  - repos
36,370 
     
7,962 
   
44,332 
  - other
30,571 
     
26,502 
   
57,073 
Customer accounts
                 
  - repos
82,224 
     
5,816 
   
88,040 
  - other
12,077 
6,323 
     
414,839 
   
433,239 
Debt securities in issue
10,879 
23,614 
     
60,099 
   
94,592 
Settlement balances
     
5,878 
   
5,878 
Short positions
27,591 
           
27,591 
Derivatives
428,537 
 
5,796 
         
434,333 
Accruals, deferred income and other liabilities
     
1,684 
12 
13,105 
14,801 
Retirement benefit liabilities
             
3,884 
3,884 
Deferred tax
             
1,141 
1,141 
Subordinated liabilities
1,128 
     
25,645 
   
26,773 
Liabilities of disposal groups
             
10,170 
10,170 
                   
 
628,249 
31,065 
5,796 
   
548,425 
12 
28,300 
1,241,847 
                   
Equity
               
70,448 
                   
                 
1,312,295 

For the notes to this table refer to page 109.
 
 
108

 

Notes (continued)


13. Financial instruments: Classification (continued)

   
HD (3)
AFS (4)
LAR (5)
Other financial 
instruments 
(amortised 
 cost)
Finance 
leases 
Non 
 financial 
assets/ 
liabilities 
Total 
HFT (1)
DFV (2)
31 December 2011
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                   
Assets
                 
Cash and balances at
  central banks
 
79,269 
     
79,269 
Loans and advances to banks
                 
  - reverse repos
34,659 
 
4,781 
     
39,440 
  - other
20,317 
 
23,553 
     
43,870 
Loans and advances to
  customers
                 
  - reverse repos
53,584 
 
7,910 
     
61,494 
  - other
25,322 
476 
 
419,895 
 
8,419 
 
454,112 
Debt securities
95,076 
647 
 
107,298 
6,059 
     
209,080 
Equity shares
12,433 
774 
 
1,976 
     
15,183 
Settlement balances
 
7,771 
     
7,771 
Derivatives
521,935 
 
7,683 
         
529,618 
Intangible assets
             
14,858 
14,858 
Property, plant and equipment
             
11,868 
11,868 
Deferred tax
             
3,878 
3,878 
Prepayments, accrued
  income and other assets
 
1,309 
   
9,667 
10,976 
Assets of disposal groups
             
25,450 
25,450 
                   
 
763,326 
1,897 
7,683 
109,274 
550,547 
 
8,419 
65,721 
1,506,867 
                   
Liabilities
                 
Deposits by banks
                 
  - repos
23,342 
     
16,349 
   
39,691 
  - other
34,172 
     
34,941 
   
69,113 
Customer accounts
                 
  - repos
65,526 
     
23,286 
   
88,812 
  - other
14,286 
5,627 
     
394,230 
   
414,143 
Debt securities in issue
11,492 
35,747 
     
115,382 
   
162,621 
Settlement balances
     
7,477 
   
7,477 
Short positions
41,039 
           
41,039 
Derivatives
518,102 
 
5,881 
 
     
523,983 
Accruals, deferred income
  and other liabilities
     
1,683 
19 
21,423 
23,125 
Retirement benefit liabilities
         
 
2,239 
2,239 
Deferred tax
         
 
1,945 
1,945 
Insurance liabilities
         
 
6,312 
6,312 
Subordinated liabilities
903 
     
25,416 
   
26,319 
Liabilities of disposal groups
             
23,995 
23,995 
                   
 
707,959 
42,277 
5,881 
 
618,764 
19 
55,914 
1,430,814 
                   
Equity
               
76,053 
                   
                 
1,506,867 
Notes:
(1)
Held-for-trading.
(2)
Designated as at fair value.
(3)
Hedging derivatives.
(4)
Available-for-sale.
(5)
Loans and receivables.

There were no reclassifications in 2012 or 2011.
 
 
109

 

Notes (continued)


13. Financial instruments (continued)

Valuation reserves
When valuing financial instruments in the trading book, adjustments are made to mid-market valuations to cover bid-offer spread, liquidity and credit risk. The following table shows credit valuation adjustments and other reserves.

Credit valuation adjustments
Valuation adjustments represent an estimate of the adjustment to fair value that a market participant would make to incorporate the risk inherent in derivative exposures. Certain credit derivative product company (CDPC) exposures were restructured during the first half of the year and the valuation adjustment methodology applied to these exposures was updated to reflect the revised risk mitigation strategy that is now in place. There were no other changes to valuation methodologies.

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
       
Credit valuation adjustments (CVA)
     
  - monoline insurers
192 
408 
1,198 
  - credit derivative product companies
314 
455 
1,034 
  - other counterparties
2,308 
2,269 
2,254 
       
 
2,814 
3,132 
4,486 
Bid-offer, liquidity, funding, valuation and other reserves (1)
1,997 
2,048 
2,704 
       
Valuation reserves
4,811 
5,180 
7,190 

Note:
(1)
Includes bid-offer reserves of £625 million (2011 - £806 million), funding valuation adjustment of £475 million (2011 - £552 million), product and deal specific reserves of £763 million (2011 - £1,040 million), valuation basis reserves of £103 million (2011 - £253 million) and other reserves of £31 million (2011 - £53 million)

Key points
·
Restructuring of certain monoline exposures resulted in gross exposure reducing from £1.9 billion at 31 December 2011 to £0.6 billion at 31 December 2012 and the CVA decreasing. Tighter credit spreads also contributed to reduction in credit valuation adjustments.
   
·
CDPCs gross exposures decreased by £1.3 billion from £1.9 billion at 31 December 2011 to £0.6 billion at 31 December 2012. This was primarily driven by tighter credit spreads of the underlying reference loans and bonds, together with a decrease in the relative value of senior tranches compared with the underlying reference portfolio and the impact of restructuring certain exposures in the first half of the year. The valuation adjustment, incorporating transactions and related risk mitigation strategies that are now in place, decreased on an absolute basis in line with the decrease in exposure, while remaining stable on a relative basis
   
·
The increase in credit valuation adjustment held against exposure to other counterparties was driven by the impact of counterparty rating downgrades and an increase in sector specific reserves, partially offset by tighter credit spreads.
   
·
Within other reserves, bid-offer reserves decreased, primarily reflecting restructuring in the second half of 2012, due to risk reduction and the impact of Greek government debt restructuring.
 
 
110

 

Notes (continued)


13. Financial instruments (continued)

Own credit
The following table shows the cumulative own credit adjustment (OCA) recorded on securities held-for-trading (HFT), classified as fair value through profit or loss (DFV) and derivative liabilities. There have been some refinements to methodologies during the year, but they did not have a material overall impact on cumulative OCA.

Cumulative OCA (1)
 
Debt securities in issue (2)
Subordinated 
liabilities 
DFV 
£m 
Total 
£m 
Derivatives 
£m 
Total (3)
£m 
HFT 
£m 
DFV 
£m 
Total 
£m 
               
31 December 2012
(648)
56 
(592)
362 
(230)
259 
29 
30 September 2012
(690)
126 
(564)
450 
(114)
375 
261 
31 December 2011
882 
2,647 
3,529 
679 
4,208 
602 
4,810 
               
Carrying values of underlying liabilities
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
   
               
31 December 2012
10.9 
23.6 
34.5 
1.1 
35.6 
   
30 September 2012
11.3 
27.7 
39.0 
1.0 
40.0 
   
31 December 2011
11.5 
35.7 
47.2 
0.9 
48.1 
   

Notes:
(1)
The OCA does not alter cash flows and is not used for performance management. It is disregarded for regulatory capital reporting purposes and will reverse over time as the liabilities mature.
(2)
Includes wholesale and retail note issuances.
(3)
The reserve movement between periods will not equate to the reported profit or loss for own credit. The balance sheet reserves are stated by conversion of underlying currency balances at spot rates for each period, whereas the income statement includes intra-period foreign exchange sell-offs.

Key points
·
The own credit adjustment decreased significantly during the year primarily due to tightening of credit spreads, reflecting improved investor perception of RBS.
   
·
Senior issued debt adjustments are determined with reference to secondary debt issuance spreads. At 31 December 2012, the five year level tightened to c.100 basis points from c.450 basis points at 31 December 2011, primarily due to increased demand from investors following quantitative easing measures from the European Central Bank and US Federal Reserve and the announcement of the Group’s liability management exercise.
   
·
Significant tightening of credit spreads, buy-backs exceeding issuances and the impact of buying back certain securities at lower spreads than at issuance, resulted in a cumulative own credit adjustment of £29 million at 31 December 2012.
   
·
Derivative liability own credit adjustment decreased as credit default swap spreads tightened.
 
 
111

 

Notes (continued)


13. Financial instruments (continued)

Valuation hierarchy
The following tables show financial instruments carried at fair value on the Group’s balance sheet by
valuation hierarchy - level 1, level 2 and level 3.

 
31 December 2012
           
Level 3 sensitivity (1)
 
Level 1 
Level 2 
Level 3 
Total 
 
Favourable 
Unfavourable 
Assets
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
 
£m 
£m 
               
Loans and advances to banks
             
  - reverse repos
33.4 
33.4 
 
  - derivative collateral
12.8 
12.8 
 
  - other
0.1 
0.4 
0.5 
 
50 
(30)
               
 
46.3 
0.4 
46.7 
 
50 
(30)
               
Loans and advances to customers
             
  - reverse repos
70.0 
70.0 
 
  - derivative collateral
22.5 
22.5 
 
  - other
1.9 
0.6 
2.5 
 
90 
(40)
               
 
94.4 
0.6 
95.0 
 
90 
(40)
               
Debt securities
             
  - UK government
15.6 
0.1 
15.7 
 
  - US government
31.0 
5.4 
36.4 
 
  - other government
34.4 
8.9 
43.3 
 
  - corporate
2.2 
0.1 
2.3 
 
10 
(10)
  - other financial institutions
2.6 
48.0 
4.7 
55.3 
 
360 
(180)
               
 
83.6 
64.6 
4.8 
153.0 
 
370 
(190)
               
Equity shares
13.1 
1.3 
0.8 
15.2 
 
60 
(100)
               
Derivatives
             
  - foreign exchange
61.7 
1.4 
63.1 
 
140 
(40)
  - interest rate
0.1 
362.7 
0.6 
363.4 
 
60 
(80)
  - credit
9.3 
1.7 
11.0 
 
230 
(230)
  - equities and commodities
4.3 
0.1 
4.4 
 
               
 
0.1 
438.0 
3.8 
441.9 
 
430 
(350)
               
 
96.8 
644.6 
10.4 
751.8 
 
1,000 
(710)
               
Proportion
12.9% 
85.7% 
1.4% 
100.0% 
     
               
Of which
             
Core
96.4 
637.3 
5.6 
739.3 
     
Non-Core
0.4 
7.3 
4.8 
12.5 
     
               
 
96.8 
644.6 
10.4 
751.8 
     

For the note to this table refer to page 117.
 
 
112

 

Notes (continued)


13. Financial instruments (continued)

Valuation hierarchy (continued)

 
31 December 2011
           
Level 3 sensitivity (1)
 
Level 1 
Level 2 
Level 3 
Total 
 
Favourable 
Unfavourable 
Assets
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
 
£m 
£m 
               
Loans and advances to banks
             
  - reverse repos
34.7 
34.7 
 
  - derivative collateral
19.7 
19.7 
 
  - other
0.2 
0.4 
0.6 
 
40 
(50)
               
 
54.6 
0.4 
55.0 
 
40 
(50)
               
Loans and advances to customers
             
  - reverse repos
53.6 
53.6 
 
  - derivative collateral
22.0 
22.0 
 
  - other
3.4 
0.4 
3.8 
 
80 
(20)
               
 
79.0 
0.4 
79.4 
 
80 
(20)
               
Debt securities
             
  - UK government
22.4 
22.4 
 
  - US government
35.5 
5.0 
40.5 
 
  - other government
53.9 
8.7 
62.6 
 
  - corporate
5.0 
0.5 
5.5 
 
30 
(30)
  - other financial institutions
3.0 
61.6 
7.4 
72.0 
 
560 
(180)
               
 
114.8 
80.3 
7.9 
203.0 
 
590 
(210)
               
Equity shares
12.4 
1.8 
1.0 
15.2 
 
140 
(130)
               
Derivatives
             
  - foreign exchange
72.9 
1.6 
74.5 
 
100 
(100)
  - interest rate
0.2 
420.8 
1.1 
422.1 
 
80 
(80)
  - credit
23.1 
3.8 
26.9 
 
680 
(400)
  - equities and commodities
5.9 
0.2 
6.1 
 
               
 
0.2 
522.7 
6.7 
529.6 
 
860 
(580)
               
 
127.4 
738.4 
16.4 
882.2 
 
1,710 
(990)
               
Proportion
14.4% 
83.7% 
1.9% 
100.0% 
     
               
Of which
             
Core
126.9 
724.5 
7.2 
858.6 
     
Non-Core
0.5 
13.9 
9.2 
23.6 
     
               
 
127.4 
738.4 
16.4 
882.2 
     

For the note to this table refer to page 117.
 
 
113

 

Notes (continued)


13. Financial instruments (continued)

Valuation hierarchy (continued)
The following tables detail ABS included within debt securities on pages 112 and 113.

         
Level 3 sensitivity (1)
 
Level 1 
Level 2 
Level 3 
Total 
Favourable 
Unfavourable 
31 December 2012
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£m 
£m 
             
Assets
           
Debt securities
           
RMBS
38.5 
0.9 
39.4 
40 
(50)
CMBS
3.7 
3.7 
CDO
0.2 
0.5 
0.7 
80 
(10)
CLO
0.6 
2.4 
3.0 
120 
(50)
Other
2.1 
0.4 
2.5 
50 
(10)
             
Total
45.1 
4.2 
49.3 
290 
(120)

31 December 2011
           
             
Assets
           
Debt securities
           
RMBS
48.2 
0.6 
48.8 
60 
(40)
CMBS
2.1 
0.1 
2.2 
10 
CDO
0.2 
1.7 
1.9 
210 
(20)
CLO
1.5 
3.7 
5.2 
90 
(40)
Other
3.1 
0.9 
4.0 
90 
(40)
             
Total
55.1 
7.0 
62.1 
460 
(140)

The following tables detail available-for-sale assets included within debt securities and equity shares on pages 112 and 113.
 
 
31 December 2012
           
Level 3 sensitivity (1)
 
Level 1 
Level 2 
Level 3 
Total 
 
Favourable 
Unfavourable 
Assets
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
 
£m 
£m 
               
Debt securities
             
  - UK government
8.0 
8.0 
 
  - US government
15.5 
3.5 
19.0 
 
  - other government
10.7 
5.3 
16.0 
 
  - corporate
0.1 
0.1 
0.2 
 
10 
  - other financial institutions
0.5 
27.1 
2.9 
30.5 
 
170 
(40)
               
 
34.7 
36.0 
3.0 
73.7 
 
180 
(40)
               
Of which AFS ABS
             
RMBS
23.3 
0.2 
23.5 
 
10 
CMBS
2.3 
2.3 
 
CDO
0.1 
0.5 
0.6 
 
70 
(10)
CLO
0.4 
1.9 
2.3 
 
50 
(10)
Other
1.3 
0.2 
1.5 
 
20 
(10)
               
Equity shares
0.3 
0.7 
0.4 
1.4 
 
30 
(40)
               
 
35.0 
36.7 
3.4 
75.1 
 
210 
(80)
               
Of which
             
Core
34.9 
35.7 
0.6 
71.2 
     
Non-Core
0.1 
1.0 
2.8 
3.9 
     
               
 
35.0 
36.7 
3.4 
75.1 
     
 
 
114

 

Notes (continued)


13. Financial instruments (continued)

Valuation hierarchy (continued)
 
31 December 2011
           
Level 3 sensitivity (1)
 
Level 1 
Level 2 
Level 3 
Total 
 
Favourable 
Unfavourable 
Assets
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
 
£m 
£m 
               
Debt securities
             
  - UK government
13.4 
13.4 
 
  - US government
18.1 
2.7 
20.8 
 
  - other government
21.6 
4.0 
25.6 
 
  - corporate
2.3 
0.2 
2.5 
 
10 
(10)
  - other financial institutions
0.2 
39.3 
5.5 
45.0 
 
310 
(50)
               
 
53.3 
48.3 
5.7 
107.3 
 
320 
(60)
               
Of which AFS ABS
             
RMBS
30.9 
0.2 
31.1 
 
10 
(10)
CMBS
0.7 
0.7 
 
CDO
0.2 
1.4 
1.6 
 
170 
(10)
CLO
1.0 
3.3 
4.3 
 
40 
(20)
Other
2.3 
0.7 
3.0 
 
70 
(30)
               
Equity shares
0.3 
1.3 
0.4 
2.0 
 
70 
(70)
               
 
53.6 
49.6 
6.1 
109.3 
 
390 
(130)
               
Of which
             
Core
53.6 
46.9 
0.6 
101.1 
     
Non-Core
2.7 
5.5 
8.2 
     
               
 
53.6 
49.6 
6.1 
109.3 
     

For the note to this table refer to page 117.
 
 
115

 

Notes (continued)


13. Financial instruments (continued)

Valuation hierarchy (continued)

 
31 December 2012
           
Level 3 sensitivity (1)
 
Level 1 
Level 2 
Level 3 
Total 
 
Favourable 
Unfavourable 
Liabilities
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
 
£m 
£m 
               
Deposits by banks
             
  - repos
36.4 
36.4 
 
  - derivative collateral
28.6 
28.6 
 
  - other
1.9 
0.1 
2.0 
 
(20)
               
 
66.9 
0.1 
67.0 
 
(20)
               
Customer accounts
             
  - repos
82.2 
82.2 
 
  - derivative collateral
8.0 
8.0 
 
  - other
10.3 
0.1 
10.4 
 
30 
(30)
               
 
100.5 
0.1 
100.6 
 
30 
(30)
               
Debt securities in issue
33.1 
1.4 
34.5 
 
60 
(70)
               
Short positions
23.6 
4.0 
27.6 
 
               
Derivatives
             
  - foreign exchange
69.3 
1.2 
70.5 
 
70 
(30)
  - interest rate
0.1 
345.0 
0.4 
345.5 
 
20 
(20)
  - credit
9.6 
0.8 
10.4 
 
40 
(90)
  - equities and commodities
7.0 
0.9 
7.9 
 
10 
(10)
               
 
0.1 
430.9 
3.3 
434.3 
 
140 
(150)
               
Subordinated liabilities
1.1 
1.1 
 
               
 
23.7 
636.5 
4.9 
665.1 
 
230 
(270)
               
Proportion
3.6% 
95.7% 
0.7% 
100% 
     
               
Of which
             
Core
23.7 
634.4 
4.7 
662.8 
     
Non-Core
2.1 
0.2 
2.3 
     
               
 
23.7 
636.5 
4.9 
665.1 
     

For the note to this table refer to the following page.
 
 
116

 

Notes (continued)


13. Financial instruments (continued)

Valuation hierarchy (continued)

 
31 December 2011
           
Level 3 sensitivity (1)
 
Level 1 
Level 2 
Level 3 
Total 
 
Favourable 
Unfavourable 
Liabilities
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
 
£m 
£m 
               
Deposits by banks
             
  - repos
23.3 
23.3 
 
  - derivative collateral
31.8 
31.8 
 
  - other
2.4 
2.4 
 
               
 
57.5 
57.5 
 
               
Customer accounts
             
  - repos
65.5 
65.5 
 
  - derivative collateral
9.2 
9.2 
 
  - other
10.8 
10.8 
 
20 
(20)
               
 
85.5 
85.5 
 
20 
(20)
               
Debt securities in issue
45.0 
2.2 
47.2 
 
80 
(60)
               
Short positions
34.4 
6.3 
0.3 
41.0 
 
10 
(100)
               
Derivatives
             
  - foreign exchange
80.6 
0.4 
81.0 
 
30 
(20)
  - interest rate
0.4 
405.2 
1.1 
406.7 
 
80 
(90)
  - credit - other
24.9 
1.8 
26.7 
 
380 
(170)
  - equities and commodities
9.1 
0.5 
9.6 
 
10 
(10)
               
 
0.4 
519.8 
3.8 
524.0 
 
500 
(290)
               
Subordinated liabilities
0.9 
0.9 
 
               
Total
34.8 
715.0 
6.3 
756.1 
 
610 
(470)
               
Proportion
4.6% 
94.6% 
0.8% 
100.0% 
     
               
Of which
             
Core
34.8 
708.9 
5.7 
749.4 
     
Non-Core
6.1 
0.6 
6.7 
     
               
Total
34.8 
715.0 
6.3 
756.1 
     

Note:
(1)
Sensitivity represents the favourable and unfavourable effect respectively on the income statement or the statement of comprehensive income due to reasonably possible changes to valuations using reasonably possible alternative inputs to the Group’s valuation techniques or models. Level 3 sensitivities are calculated at a sub-portfolio level and hence these aggregated figures do not reflect the correlation between some of the sensitivities. In particular, for some of the portfolios, the sensitivities may be negatively correlated where a downward movement in one asset would produce an upward movement in another, but due to the additive presentation above, this correlation cannot be observed.
 
 
117

 

Notes (continued)


13. Financial instruments (continued)

Valuation hierarchy (continued)

Key points
·
Total assets carried at fair value decreased by £130.4 billion in the year to £751.8 billion at 31 December 2012, principally reflecting decreases in derivative assets (£87.7 billion), debt securities (£50.0 billion) and derivative collateral (£6.4 billion), partially offset by increases in reverse repos (£15.1 billion).
   
·
Total liabilities carried at fair value decreased by £91.0 billion, with decreases in derivative liabilities (£89.7 billion), short positions (£13.4 billion), debt securities in issue (£12.7 billion) and collateral (£4.4 billion), partially offset by increases in repos (£29.8 billion).
   
·
Level 3 instruments in Markets comprise instruments held in the normal course of business and those in Non Core primarily relate to legacy ABS and derivative positions.
   
·
Level 3 assets of £10.4 billion represented 1.4% (2011 - £16.4 billion and 1.9%), a decrease of £6.0 billion (derivatives £2.9 billion and debt securities £3.1 billion). This reflected transfers from level 3 to level 2 of £1.1 billion as well as maturity and sale of instruments, particularly securities in Non-Core. These transfers from level 3 were based on the re-assessment of the impact and nature of unobservable inputs used in valuation models. £1.6 billion was transferred from level 2 to level 3, principally relating to securities £1 billion, primarily ABS in Non-Core Markets and derivatives £0.4 billion.
   
·
Level 3 liabilities decreased by £1.4 billion during the year to £4.9 billion primarily due to buy-back and maturity of instruments.
   
·
The favourable and unfavourable effects of reasonably possible alternative assumptions on level 3 instruments carried at fair value were £1.0 billion (2011 - £1.7 billion) and £(0.7) billion (2011 - £(1.0) billion) respectively.
   
·
There were no significant transfers between level 1 and level 2.
 
 
118

 

Notes (continued)


13. Financial instruments (continued)

Movement in level 3 portfolios
 
At 
1 January 
2012 
(Losses)/gains
   
Purchases 
and 
issuances 
Settlements 
and sales 
Foreign 
 exchange 
At 
31 December 
2012 
 
IS on balances at year end (2)
Income 
statement  (IS)
SOCI 
Level 3 transfers
Changes in 
carrying value 
Other 
In 
Out 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                           
Assets
                         
FVTPL (1)
                         
Loans and advances
                         
  - banks
444 
 
28 
(1)
(94)
382 
 
  - customers
316 
 
20 
(15)
589 
(338)
(13)
562 
 
(12)
Debt securities
2,243 
136 
 
619 
(81)
1,118 
(2,074)
(23)
1,938 
 
(54)
72 
Equity shares
573 
(26)
 
32 
(61)
158 
(271)
(9)
396 
 
(21)
Derivatives
6,732 
(2,078)
 
425 
(495)
441 
(1,173)
(63)
3,789 
 
(1,761)
34 
                           
FVTPL assets
10,308 
(1,960)
 
1,124 
(653)
2,306 
(3,950)
(108)
7,067 
 
(1,843)
113 
                           
AFS
                         
Debt securities
5,697 
100 
13 
 
391 
(472)
37 
(2,812)
(6)
2,948 
 
(106)
39 
Equity shares
395 
74 
64 
 
74 
15 
(219)
(13)
390 
 
55 
12 
                           
AFS assets
6,092 
174 
77 
 
465 
(472)
52 
(3,031)
(19)
3,338 
 
(51)
51 
                           
 
16,400 
(1,786)
77 
 
1,589 
(1,125)
2,358 
(6,981)
(127)
10,405 
 
(1,894)
164 
                           
Of which ABS
- FVTPL
1,304 
162 
 
576 
(32)
1,050 
(1,703)
(7)
1,350 
 
(23)
29 
 
- AFS
5,622 
(12)
86 
 
317 
(457)
36 
(2,773)
(4)
2,815 
 
(131)
34 
Liabilities
                         
Deposits
22 
87 
 
50 
168 
 
78 
(2)
Debt securities in issue
2,199 
158 
 
(1)
530 
(1,521)
(11)
1,363 
 
169 
Short positions
291 
(269)
 
(23)
 
Derivatives
3,811 
(375)
 
877 
(513)
173 
(612)
(44)
3,317
 
(593)
Other financial liabilities
 
 
                           
 
6,323 
(399)
 
936 
(514)
713 
(2,156)
(53)
4,850 
 
(346)
(2)
                           
Net (losses)/gains
 
(1,387)
77 
               
(1,548)
166 

Notes:
(1)
Fair value through profit or loss.
(2)
Amounts recorded in the income statement relating to instruments held at year end 

 
119

 

Notes (continued)


14. Available-for-sale reserve

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
Available-for-sale reserve
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
At beginning of period
(957)
(2,037)
 
(291)
(450)
(292)
Unrealised losses on Greek sovereign debt
(570)
 
(224)
Impairment of Greek sovereign debt
1,268 
 
224 
Other unrealised net gains
1,939 
2,339 
 
136 
651 
45 
Realised net gains
(1,319)
(782)
 
(209)
(528)
(155)
Tax
50 
(1,175)
 
77 
36 
(555)
Transfer to retained earnings
(59)
 
(59)
             
At end of period
(346)
(957)
 
(346)
(291)
(957)

The 2012 full year movement primarily reflects unrealised net gains on securities of £1,939 million, largely as yields tightened on German, US and UK sovereign bonds and realised net gains of £1,319 million on the sale of high quality bonds.

In 2011, as a result of the deterioration in Greece’s fiscal position and the announcement of proposals to restructure Greek government debt, the Group concluded that the Greek sovereign debt was impaired. Accordingly, £1,099 million of unrealised losses recognised in available-for-sale reserves together with £169 million related interest rate hedge adjustments were recycled to the income statement.

15. Contingent liabilities and commitments

 
31 December 2012
 
30 September 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                       
Contingent liabilities
                     
Guarantees and assets pledged
  as collateral security
18,251 
913 
19,164 
 
19,352 
722 
20,074 
 
23,702 
1,330 
25,032 
Other contingent liabilities
10,628 
69 
10,697 
 
11,373 
181 
11,554 
 
10,667 
245 
10,912 
                       
 
28,879 
982 
29,861 
 
30,725 
903 
31,628 
 
34,369 
1,575 
35,944 
                       
Commitments
                     
Undrawn formal standby
  facilities, credit lines and
  other commitments to lend
209,892 
5,916 
215,808 
 
213,484 
7,147 
220,631 
 
227,419 
12,544 
239,963 
Other commitments
1,971 
  5 
1,976 
 
1,664 
16 
1,680 
 
301 
2,611 
2,912 
                       
 
211,863 
5,921 
217,784 
 
215,148 
7,163 
222,311 
 
227,720 
15,155 
242,875 
                       
Total contingent liabilities
  and commitments
240,742 
6,903 
247,645 
 
245,873 
8,066 
253,939 
 
262,089 
16,730 
278,819 

Additional contingent liabilities arise in the normal course of the Group’s business. It is not anticipated that any material loss will arise from these transactions.
 
 
120

 

Notes (continued)


16. Litigation, investigations and reviews
The Group and certain Group members are party to legal proceedings, investigations and regulatory matters in the United Kingdom, the United States and other jurisdictions, arising out of their normal business operations. All such matters are periodically reassessed with the assistance of external professional advisers, where appropriate, to determine the likelihood of the Group incurring a liability. The Group recognises a provision for a liability in relation to these matters when it is probable that an outflow of economic benefits will be required to settle an obligation which has arisen as a result of past events, and for which a reliable estimate can be made of the amount of the obligation.

In many proceedings, it is not possible to determine whether any loss is probable or to estimate the amount of any loss. Numerous legal and factual issues may need to be resolved, including through potentially lengthy discovery and determination of important factual matters, and by addressing novel or unsettled legal questions relevant to the proceedings in question, before a liability can be reasonably estimated for any claim. The Group cannot predict if, how, or when such claims will be resolved or what the eventual settlement, fine, penalty or other relief, if any, may be, particularly for claims that are at an early stage in their development or where claimants seek substantial or indeterminate damages.

While the outcome of the legal proceedings, investigations and regulatory matters in which the Group is involved is inherently uncertain, management believes that, based on the information available to it, appropriate provisions have been made in respect of legal proceedings, investigations and regulatory matters as at 31 December 2012.

The material legal proceedings, investigations and reviews involving the Group are described below. If any such matters were resolved against the Group, these matters could, individually or in the aggregate, have a material adverse effect on the Group’s consolidated net assets, operating results or cash flows in any particular period.

Litigation
Shareholder litigation
RBS and certain of its subsidiaries, together with certain current and former individual officers and directors were named as defendants in purported class actions filed in the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York involving holders of RBS preferred shares (the Preferred Shares litigation) and holders of American Depositary Receipts (the ADR claims).

In the Preferred Shares litigation, the consolidated amended complaint alleged certain false and misleading statements and omissions in public filings and other communications during the period 1 March 2007 to 19 January 2009, and variously asserted claims under Sections 11, 12 and 15 of the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (Securities Act). The putative class is composed of all persons who purchased or otherwise acquired Group Series Q, R, S, T and/or U non-cumulative dollar preference shares issued pursuant or traceable to the 8 April 2005 US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) registration statement. Plaintiffs sought unquantified damages on behalf of the putative class. The defendants moved to dismiss the complaint and briefing on the motions was completed in September 2011. On 4 September 2012, the Court dismissed the Preferred Shares litigation with prejudice. The plaintiffs have appealed the dismissal to the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit.

 
 
121

 
 
Notes (continued)


16. Litigation, investigations and reviews (continued)
With respect to the ADR claims, a complaint was filed in January 2011 and a further complaint was filed in February 2011 asserting claims under Sections 10 and 20 of the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (Exchange Act) on behalf of all persons who purchased or otherwise acquired the Group’s American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) between 1 March 2007 and 19 January 2009. On 18 August 2011, these two ADR cases were consolidated and lead plaintiff and lead counsel were appointed. On 1 November 2011, the lead plaintiff filed a consolidated amended complaint asserting ADR-related claims under Sections 10 and 20 of the Exchange Act and Sections 11, 12 and 15 of the Securities Act. The defendants moved to dismiss the complaint in January 2012 and briefing on the motions was completed in April 2012. The Court heard oral argument on the motions on 19 July 2012. On 27 September 2012, the Court dismissed the ADR claims with prejudice. The plaintiffs have filed motions for reconsideration and for leave to re-plead their case.

The Group has also received notification of similar prospective claims in the United Kingdom and elsewhere but no court proceedings have been commenced in relation to these claims. In October 2011, the Group submitted a detailed response to a letter before action from one purported plaintiff group in the United Kingdom.

Other securitisation and securities related litigation in the United States
There continues to be a high level of litigation activity in the financial services industry focused on residential mortgage and credit crisis related matters. As a result, the Group has become the subject of claims for damages and other relief regarding mortgages and related securities and expects that it may become the subject of additional such claims in the future.

Group companies have been named as defendants in their various roles as issuer, depositor and/or underwriter in a number of claims in the United States that relate to the securitisation and securities underwriting businesses. These cases include actions by individual purchasers of securities and purported class action suits. Together, the pending individual and class action cases involve the issuance of more than US$85 billion of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) issued primarily from 2005 to 2007. Although the allegations vary by claim, in general, plaintiffs in these actions claim that certain disclosures made in connection with the relevant offerings contained materially false or misleading statements and/or omissions regarding the underwriting standards pursuant to which the mortgage loans underlying the securities were issued. Group companies have been named as defendants in more than 45 lawsuits brought by purchasers of MBS, including the purported class actions identified below.

Among these MBS lawsuits are six cases filed on 2 September 2011 by the US Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) as conservator for the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac). The primary FHFA lawsuit is pending in the federal court in Connecticut, and it relates to approximately US$32 billion of MBS for which Group entities acted as sponsor/depositor and/or lead underwriter or co-lead underwriter. The defendants’ motion to dismiss FHFA’s amended complaint in this case is pending, but the court has permitted discovery to commence. The other five FHFA lawsuits (against Ally Financial Group, Countrywide Financial Corporation, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, and Nomura) name RBS Securities Inc. as a defendant by virtue of the fact that it was an underwriter of some of the securities at issue. Four of these cases are part of a coordinated proceeding in federal court in New York in which discovery is underway. The fifth case (the Countrywide matter) is pending in federal court in California, and is currently the subject of a motion to dismiss.
 
 
122

 

Notes (continued)


16. Litigation, investigations and reviews (continued)
Other MBS lawsuits against Group companies include two cases filed by the National Credit Union Administration Board (on behalf of US Central Federal Credit Union and Western Corporate Federal Credit Union) and eight cases filed by the Federal Home Loan Banks of Boston, Chicago, Indianapolis, Seattle and San Francisco.

The purported MBS class actions in which Group companies are defendants include New Jersey Carpenters Vacation Fund et al. v. The Royal Bank of Scotland plc et al.; New Jersey Carpenters Health Fund v. Novastar Mortgage Inc. et al.; In re IndyMac Mortgage-Backed Securities Litigation; Genesee County Employees’ Retirement System et al. v. Thornburg Mortgage Securities Trust 2006-3, et al. (the Thornburg Litigation); and Luther v. Countrywide Financial Corp. et al. and related cases. On 25 February 2013, the federal district court overseeing the Thornburg Litigation entered a final order approving a settlement of the litigation, involving a US$11.25 million payment by the defendants.

Certain other institutional investors have threatened to bring claims against the Group in connection with various mortgage-related offerings. The Group cannot predict whether any of these individual investors will pursue these threatened claims (or their outcome), but expects that several may. If such claims are asserted and were successful, the amounts involved may be material.

In many of these actions, the Group has or will have contractual claims to indemnification from the issuers of the securities (where a Group company is underwriter) and/or the underlying mortgage originator (where a Group company is issuer). The amount and extent of any recovery on an indemnification claim, however, is uncertain and subject to a number of factors, including the ongoing creditworthiness of the indemnifying party.

With respect to the current claims described above, the Group considers that it has substantial and credible legal and factual defences to these claims and will continue to defend them vigorously.

London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR)
Certain members of the Group have been named as defendants in a number of class actions and individual claims filed in the US with respect to the setting of LIBOR. The complaints are substantially similar and allege that certain members of the Group and other panel banks individually and collectively violated various federal laws, including the US commodities and antitrust laws, and state statutory and common law by manipulating LIBOR and prices of LIBOR-based derivatives in various markets through various means. The Group considers that it has substantial and credible legal and factual defences to these and prospective claims. It is possible that further claims may be threatened or brought in the US or elsewhere relating to the setting of interest rates or interest rate-related trading.

Details of LIBOR investigations affecting the Group are set out under ‘Investigations and reviews’ on page 125.
 
 
123

 

Notes (continued)


16. Litigation, investigations and reviews (continued)

Madoff
In December 2010, Irving Picard, as trustee for the bankruptcy estates of Bernard L. Madoff and Bernard L. Madoff Investment Securities LLC., filed a clawback claim against RBS N.V. in New York bankruptcy court. In the operative complaint, filed in August 2012, the trustee seeks to recover US$75.8 million in redemptions that RBS N.V. allegedly received from certain Madoff feeder funds and US$162.1 million that RBS N.V. allegedly received from its swap counterparties at a time when RBS N.V. allegedly ‘knew or should have known of Madoff’s possible fraud’. The Trustee alleges that those transfers were preferences or fraudulent conveyances under the US bankruptcy code and New York law and he asserts the purported right to claw them back for the benefit of Madoff’s estate. A further claim, for US$21.8 million, was filed in October 2011. The Group considers that it has substantial and credible legal and factual defences to these claims and intends to defend itself vigorously.

Unarranged overdraft charges
RBS Citizens Financial Group, Inc (RBS Citizens) and its affiliates were among more than thirty banks named as defendants in US class action lawsuits alleging that the manner in which defendant banks posted transactions to consumer accounts caused customers to incur excessive overdraft fees. The complaints against RBS Citizens, which concern the period between 2002 and 2010 and were consolidated into one case, alleged that this conduct violated its duty of good faith and fair dealing, was unconscionable and constituted an unfair trade practice and a conversion of customers' funds. RBS Citizens has agreed to settle this matter for US$137.5 million and, as a result, the matter has been stayed. The Group has made a one-time payment of the settlement amount into a settlement fund which, upon final approval of the settlement, will be used to make payments to class members. A motion for final approval of the settlement was filed on 10 January 2013. If the settlement is given final approval by the United States District Court for the Southern District of Florida, consumers who do not opt out of the settlement will be deemed to have released any claims related to the allegations in the lawsuits.

Summary of other disputes, legal proceedings and litigation
In addition to the matters described above, members of the Group are engaged in other disputes and legal proceedings in the United Kingdom and a number of overseas jurisdictions, including the United States, involving claims by and against them arising in the ordinary course of business. The Group has reviewed these other actual, threatened and known potential claims and proceedings and, after consulting with its legal advisers, does not expect that the outcome of any of these other claims and proceedings will have a material adverse effect on the Group’s consolidated net assets, operating results or cash flows in any particular period.
 
 
124

 

Notes (continued)


16. Litigation, investigations and reviews (continued)

Investigations and reviews
The Group’s businesses and financial condition can be affected by the fiscal or other policies and actions of various governmental and regulatory authorities in the United Kingdom, the European Union, the United States and elsewhere. The Group has engaged, and will continue to engage, in discussions with relevant governmental and regulatory authorities, including in the United Kingdom and the United States, on an ongoing and regular basis regarding operational, systems and control evaluations and issues including those related to compliance with applicable anti-bribery, anti-money laundering and sanctions regimes. It is possible that any matters discussed or identified may result in investigatory or other action being taken by governmental and regulatory authorities, increased costs being incurred by the Group, remediation of systems and controls, public or private censure, restriction of the Group’s business activities or fines. Any of these events or circumstances could have a material adverse effect on the Group, its business, authorisations and licences, reputation, results of operations or the price of securities issued by it.

Political and regulatory scrutiny of the operation of retail banking and consumer credit industries in the United Kingdom, United States and elsewhere continues. The nature and impact of future changes in policies and regulatory action are not predictable and are beyond the Group’s control.

The Group is co-operating fully with the investigations and reviews described below.

LIBOR and other trading rates
On 6 February 2013 the Group announced settlements with the Financial Services Authority in the United Kingdom, the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the United States Department of Justice (DOJ) in relation to investigations into submissions, communications and procedures around the setting of the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR).  RBS agreed to pay penalties of £87.5 million, US$325 million and US$150 million to these authorities respectively to resolve the investigations. As part of the agreement with the DOJ, RBS plc entered into a Deferred Prosecution Agreement in relation to one count of wire fraud relating to Swiss Franc LIBOR and one count for an antitrust violation relating to Yen LIBOR.  RBS Securities Japan Limited agreed to enter a plea of guilty to one count of wire fraud relating to Yen LIBOR.  The Group continues to co-operate with investigations by these and various other governmental and regulatory authorities, including in the US and Asia, into its submissions, communications and procedures relating to the setting of LIBOR and other trading rates. The Group is also under investigation by competition authorities in a number of jurisdictions, including the European Commission and Canadian Competition Bureau, stemming from the actions of certain individuals in the setting of LIBOR and other trading rates, as well as interest rate-related trading.  The Group is also co-operating with these investigations. 

It is not possible to estimate reliably what effect the outcome of these remaining investigations, any regulatory findings and any related developments may have on the Group, including the timing and amount of further fines, sanctions or settlements, which may be material. 
 
 
125

 

Notes (continued)


16. Litigation, investigations and reviews (continued)

Technology incident
On 19 June 2012 the Group was affected by a technology incident, as a result of which the processing of certain customer accounts and payments were subject to considerable delay. The cause of the incident has been investigated by independent external counsel with the assistance of third party advisors. The Group has agreed to reimburse customers for any loss suffered as a result of the incident. The Group provided £175 million in 2012 for this matter. Additional costs may arise once all redress and business disruption items are clear.

The incident, the Group's handling of the incident and the systems and controls surrounding the processes affected, are the subject of regulatory enquiries (both from the UK and Ireland) and the Group could become a party to litigation. In particular, the Group could face legal claims from those whose accounts were affected and could itself have claims against third parties.

Interest rate hedging products
In June 2012, following an industry wide review, the FSA announced that the Group and other UK banks had agreed to a redress exercise and past business review in relation to the sale of interest rate hedging products to some small and medium sized businesses who were classified as retail clients under FSA rules. On 31 January 2013, the FSA issued a report outlining the principles to which it wishes the Group and other UK banks to adhere in conducting the review and redress exercise.

The Group will provide fair and reasonable redress to non-sophisticated customers classified as retail clients, who were mis-sold interest rate hedging products. In relation to non-sophisticated customers classified as retail clients who were sold interest rate products other than interest rate caps on or after 1 December 2001 up to 29 June 2012, the Group is required to (i) make redress to customers sold structured collars; and (ii) write to customers sold other interest rate hedging products offering a review of their sale and, if it is appropriate in the individual circumstances, the Group will propose fair and reasonable redress on a case by case basis. Furthermore, non-sophisticated customers classified as retail clients who have purchased interest rate caps during the period on or after 1 December 2001 to 29 June 2012 will be entitled to approach the Group and request a review.

The redress exercise and the past business review is being scrutinised by an independent reviewer, who will review and agree any redress, and will be overseen by the FSA. The Group made a total provision of £700 million in 2012 in respect of this matter, including £125 million for administration expenses. As the actual amount that the Group will be required to pay will depend on the facts and circumstances of each case, there is no certainty as to the eventual costs of redress.

Retail banking
Since initiating an inquiry into retail banking in the European Union (EU) in 2005, the European Commission (EC) continues to keep retail banking under review. In late 2010 the EC launched an initiative pressing for greater transparency of bank fees and is currently proposing to legislate for increased harmonisation of terminology across Member States, with proposals expected in the first quarter of 2013. The Group cannot predict the outcome of these actions at this stage.
 
 
126

 

Notes (continued)


16. Litigation, investigations and reviews (continued)

FSA mystery shopping review
On 13 February 2013 the FSA announced the results of a mystery shopping review it undertook into the investment advice offered by banks and building societies to retail clients. As a result of that review the FSA announced that firms involved were cooperative and agreed to take immediate action. The Group was one of the firms involved. The action required includes a review of the training provided to advisers, considering whether changes are necessary to advice processes and controls for new business, and undertaking a past business review to identify historic poor advice (and where breaches of regulatory requirements are identified, to put this right for customers). The Group will be required to appoint an independent third party to either carry out or oversee this work. The scope and terms of the past business review and the appointment of the independent third party have not yet been determined. The Group cannot predict the outcome of this review at this stage.

Multilateral interchange fees
In 2007, the EC issued a decision that, while interchange is not illegal per se, MasterCard’s multilateral interchange fee (MIF) arrangements for cross border payment card transactions with MasterCard and Maestro branded consumer credit and debit cards in the EEA were in breach of competition law. MasterCard was required to withdraw the relevant cross-border MIF (i.e. set these fees to zero) by 21 June 2008. MasterCard appealed against the decision to the General Court in March 2008, with the Group intervening in the appeal proceedings. The General Court heard MasterCard’s appeal in July 2011 and issued its judgment in May 2012, upholding the EC’s original decision. MasterCard has appealed further to the Court of Justice and the Group has intervened in these appeal proceedings.

In March 2008, the EC also opened a formal inquiry into Visa’s MIF arrangements for cross border payment card transactions with Visa branded debit and consumer credit cards in the EEA. In April 2009 the EC announced that it had issued Visa with a formal Statement of Objections. However, in April 2010 Visa announced it had reached an agreement with the EC as regards immediate cross border debit card MIF rates only and in December 2010 the commitments were finalised for a four year period commencing December 2010 under Article 9 of Regulation 1/2003. In July 2012 Visa made a request to re-open the settlement in order to modify the fee. The EC rejected the request and in October 2012 Visa filed an appeal to the General Court seeking to have that decision annulled. The EC is continuing its investigations into Visa’s cross border MIF arrangements for deferred debit and credit transactions. On 31 July 2012 the EC announced that it had issued Visa with a supplementary Statement of Objections regarding consumer credit cards in the EEA.

In the UK, the Office of Fair Trading (OFT) has carried out investigations into Visa and MasterCard domestic credit card interchange rates. The OFT has not made any finding of an infringement of competition law and has not issued a Statement of Objections to any of the parties under investigation. In February 2013 the OFT confirmed that while reserving its right to do so, it does not currently expect to issue Statements of Objections (if at all) prior to the handing down of the Court of Justice judgment in the matter of MasterCard's appeal against the EC’s 2007 infringement decision.

The outcome of these investigations is not known, but they may have a material adverse effect on the consumer credit industry in general and, therefore, on the Group’s business in this sector.
 
 
127

 

Notes (continued)


16. Litigation, investigations and reviews (continued)

Payment Protection Insurance
The FSA conducted a broad industry thematic review of Payment Protection Insurance (PPI) sales practices and in September 2008, the FSA announced that it intended to escalate its level of regulatory intervention. Substantial numbers of customer complaints alleging the mis-selling of PPI policies have been made to banks and to the Financial Ombudsman Service (FOS) and many of these are being upheld by the FOS against the banks.

The FSA published a final policy statement in August 2010 imposing significant changes with respect to the handling of complaints about the mis-selling of PPI. In October 2010, the British Bankers’ Association (BBA) filed an application for judicial review of the FSA’s policy statement and of related guidance issued by the FOS. In April 2011 the High Court issued judgment in favour of the FSA and the FOS and in May 2011 the BBA announced that it would not appeal that judgment. The Group then reached agreement with the FSA on a process for implementation of its policy statement and for the future handling of PPI complaints. Implementation of the agreed processes is currently under way.  Following agreement with the FSA in 2011, the Group increased its provision of £215 million at 31 December 2010 by £850 million in respect of PPI. In 2012 a further provision of £1,110 million was recorded. This strengthened the cumulative provision for PPI to £2.2 billion, from which £1.3 billion in redress had been paid by 31 December 2012.

Personal current accounts
In July 2008 the OFT published a market study report into Personal Current Accounts (PCAs) raising concerns as regards the way the market was functioning. In October 2009 the OFT summarised initiatives agreed with industry to address these concerns. In December 2009, the OFT published a further report in which it stated that it continued to have significant concerns about the operation of the PCA market in the UK, in particular in relation to unarranged overdrafts, and that it believed that fundamental changes were required for the market to work in the best interests of bank customers. In March 2010, the OFT announced that it had secured agreement from the banks on four industry-wide initiatives designed to address its concerns, namely minimum standards on the operation of opt-outs from unarranged overdrafts, new working groups on information sharing with customers, best practice for PCA customers in financial difficulties and incurring charges, and PCA providers to publish their policies on dealing with PCA customers in financial difficulties. The OFT also announced that it would conduct six-monthly reviews and would also review the market again fully in 2012 and undertake a brief analysis on barriers to entry.

The first six-monthly review was completed in September 2010. The OFT noted progress in switching, transparency and unarranged overdrafts for the period March to September 2010 and highlighted further changes it wanted to see in the market. In March 2011, the OFT published the next update report in relation to PCAs. This noted further progress in improving consumer control over the use of unarranged overdrafts. In particular, the Lending Standards Board had led on producing standards and guidance to be included in a revised Lending Code. The OFT stated it would continue to monitor the market and would consider the need for, and appropriate timing of, further update reports in light of other developments, in particular the work of the UK Government’s Independent Commission on Banking (ICB).
 
 
128

 

Notes (continued)


16. Litigation, investigations and reviews (continued)
Additionally, in May 2010, the OFT announced its review of barriers to entry. The review concerned retail banking and banking for small and medium size enterprises (SMEs) (up to £25 million turnover) and looked at products which require a banking licence to sell mortgages, loan products and, where appropriate, other products such as insurance or credit cards where cross-selling may facilitate entry or expansion. The OFT published its report in November 2010. It advised that it expected its review to be relevant to the ICB, the FSA, HM Treasury and the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills and to the devolved governments in the UK. The OFT did not indicate whether it would undertake any further work. The report maintained that barriers to entry remain, in particular regarding switching, branch networks and brands. At this stage, it is not possible to estimate the effect of the OFT’s report and recommendations regarding barriers to entry upon the Group.

On 13 July 2012, the OFT launched its planned full review of the PCA market. The review was intended to consider whether the initiatives agreed by the OFT with banks to date have been successful and whether the market should be referred to the Competition Commission (CC) for a fuller market investigation.

The OFT’s PCA report was published on 25 January 2013. The OFT acknowledged some specific improvements in the market since its last review but concluded that further changes are required to tackle ongoing concerns, including a lack of switching, the ability of consumers to compare products and the complexity of overdraft charges. However, the OFT recognises that a number of major developments are expected over the coming months including divestment of branches and improvements in account switching and assistance to customers to compare products and services. Therefore the OFT has provisionally decided not to refer the market to the CC at this stage but expects to return to the question of a referral to the CC in 2015, or before. The OFT also announced that it will be carrying out behavioural economic research on the way consumers make decisions and engage with retail banking service, and will study the operation of payment systems as well as the SME banking market.

At this stage it is not possible to estimate the effect of these OFT reviews which may be material.

Private motor insurance
In December 2011, the OFT launched a market study into private motor insurance, with a focus on the provision of third party vehicle repairs and credit hire replacement vehicles to claimants. The OFT issued its report in May 2012 and advised that it believed there were features of the market that potentially restrict, distort or prevent competition in the market meriting a referral to the CC. On 28 September 2012 the OFT referred the private motor insurance market to the CC for a market investigation. The CC has until 27 September 2014 to publish its findings. At this stage, it is not possible to estimate the effect the market investigation may have on Direct Line Insurance Group plc, and indirectly on the Group.
 
 
129

 

Notes (continued)


16. Litigation, investigations and reviews (continued)

Securitisation and collateralised debt obligation business
In the United States, the Group is involved in reviews, investigations and proceedings (both formal and informal) by federal and state governmental law enforcement and other agencies and self-regulatory organisations relating to, among other things, mortgage-backed securities, collateralised debt obligations (CDOs), and synthetic products. In connection with these inquiries, Group companies have received requests for information and subpoenas seeking information about, among other things, the structuring of CDOs, financing to loan originators, purchase of whole loans, sponsorship and underwriting of securitisations, due diligence, representations and warranties, communications with ratings agencies, disclosure to investors, document deficiencies, and repurchase requests.

In September and October 2010, the SEC requested voluntary production of information concerning residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) underwritten by subsidiaries of RBS during the period from September 2006 to July 2007 inclusive. In November 2010, the SEC commenced a formal investigation. The investigation appears to be focused on certain specific RMBS securitisations underwritten in 2007 and is continuing.

Also in October 2010, the SEC commenced an inquiry into document deficiencies and repurchase requests with respect to certain securitisations, and in January 2011, this was converted to a formal investigation. Among other matters, the investigation seeks information related to document deficiencies and remedial measures taken with respect to such deficiencies. The investigation also seeks information related to early payment defaults and loan repurchase requests.

In 2007, the New York State Attorney General issued subpoenas to a wide array of participants in the securitisation and securities industry, focusing on the information underwriters obtained from the independent firms hired to perform due diligence on mortgages. The Group completed its production of documents requested by the New York State Attorney General in 2008, principally producing documents related to loans that were pooled into one securitisation transaction. In May 2011, at the New York State Attorney General's request, representatives of the Group attended an informal meeting to provide additional information about the Group's mortgage securitisation business. The investigation is ongoing and the Group continues to provide requested information.

US mortgages - loan repurchase matters
The Group’s Markets & International Banking N.A. or M&IB N.A. business (formerly Global Banking & Markets N.A.) has been a purchaser of non-agency US residential mortgages in the secondary market, and an issuer and underwriter of non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). M&IB N.A. did not originate or service any US residential mortgages and it was not a significant seller of mortgage loans to government sponsored enterprises (GSEs) (e.g. the Federal National Mortgage Association and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Association).
 
 
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Notes (continued)


16. Litigation, investigations and reviews (continued)
In issuing RMBS, M&IB N.A. generally assigned certain representations and warranties regarding the characteristics of the underlying loans made by the originator of the residential mortgages; however, in some circumstances, M&IB N.A. made such representations and warranties itself. Where M&IB N.A. has given those or other representations and warranties (whether relating to underlying loans or otherwise), M&IB N.A. may be contractually required to repurchase such loans or indemnify certain parties against losses for certain breaches of such representations and warranties. In certain instances where it is required to repurchase loans or related securities, M&IB N.A. may be able to assert claims against third parties who provided representations or warranties to M&IB N.A. when selling loans to it; although the ability to recover against such parties is uncertain. Between the start of 2009 and the end of December 2012, M&IB N.A. received approximately US$606 million in repurchase demands in respect of loans made primarily from 2005 to 2008 and related securities sold where obligations in respect of contractual representations or warranties were undertaken by M&IB N.A.. However, repurchase demands presented to M&IB N.A. are subject to challenge and rebuttal by M&IB N.A..

RBS Citizens has not been an issuer or underwriter of non-agency RMBS. However, RBS Citizens is an originator and servicer of residential mortgages, and it routinely sells such mortgage loans in the secondary market and to GSEs. In the context of such sales, RBS Citizens makes certain representations and warranties regarding the characteristics of the underlying loans and, as a result, may be contractually required to repurchase such loans or indemnify certain parties against losses for certain breaches of the representations and warranties concerning the underlying loans. Between the start of 2009 and the end of 2012, RBS Citizens received US$141.9 million in repurchase demands in respect of loans originated primarily since 2003. However, repurchase demands presented to RBS Citizens are subject to challenge and rebuttal by RBS Citizens.

Although there has been disruption in the ability of certain financial institutions operating in the United States to complete foreclosure proceedings in respect of US mortgage loans in a timely manner (or at all) over the last year (including as a result of interventions by certain states and local governments), to date, RBS Citizens has not been materially impacted by such disruptions and the Group has not ceased making foreclosures.

The volume of repurchase demands is increasing and is expected to continue to increase, and the Group cannot currently estimate what the ultimate exposure of M&IB N.A. or RBS Citizens may be. Furthermore, the Group is unable to estimate the extent to which the matters described above will impact it, and future developments may have an adverse impact on the Group’s net assets, operating results or cash flows in any particular period.
 
 
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Notes (continued)


16. Litigation, investigations and reviews (continued)

Other investigations
On 27 July 2011, the Group agreed with the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the New York State Banking Department, the Connecticut Department of Banking, and the Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation to enter into a consent Cease and Desist Order (the Order) to address deficiencies related to governance, risk management and compliance systems and controls in RBS plc and RBS N.V. branches. In the Order, the Group agreed to create the following written plans or programmes:
a plan to strengthen board and senior management oversight of the corporate governance, management, risk management, and operations of the Group’s U.S. operations on an enterprise-wide and business line basis,
   
an enterprise-wide risk management programme for the Group’s U.S. operations,
   
a plan to oversee compliance by the Group’s U.S. operations with all applicable U.S. laws, rules, regulations, and supervisory guidance,
   
a Bank Secrecy Act/anti-money laundering compliance programme for the RBS plc and RBS N.V. branches in the U.S. (the U.S. Branches) on a consolidated basis,
   
a plan to improve the U.S. Branches’ compliance with all applicable provisions of the Bank Secrecy Act and its rules and regulations as well as the requirements of Regulation K of the Federal Reserve,
   
a customer due diligence programme designed to reasonably ensure the identification and timely, accurate, and complete reporting by the U.S. Branches of all known or suspected violations of law or suspicious transactions to law enforcement and supervisory authorities, as required by applicable suspicious activity reporting laws and regulations, and
   
a plan designed to enhance the U.S. Branches’ compliance with OFAC requirements.

The Order (which is publicly available) identified specific items to be addressed, considered, and included in each proposed plan or programme. The Group also agreed in the Order to adopt and implement the plans and programmes after approval by the regulators, to fully comply with the plans and programmes thereafter, and to submit to the regulators periodic written progress reports regarding compliance with the Order. The Group has created, submitted, and adopted plans and/or programmes to address each of the areas identified above. In connection with the Group's efforts to implement these plans and programmes, it has, among other things, made investments in technology, hired and trained additional personnel, and revised compliance, risk management, and other policies and procedures for the Group's U.S. operations. The Group continues to test the effectiveness of the remediation efforts undertaken by the Group to ensure they are sustainable and meet regulators' expectations. Furthermore, the Group continues to work closely with the regulators in its efforts to fulfil its obligations under the Order, which will remain in effect until terminated by the regulators.
 
 
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Notes (continued)


16. Litigation, investigations and reviews (continued)
The Group’s operations include businesses outside the United States that are responsible for processing US dollar payments. The Group has been conducting a review of its policies, procedures and practices in respect of such payments, has voluntarily made disclosures to US and UK authorities with respect to its historical compliance with US economic sanctions regulations, and is continuing to co-operate with related investigations by government authorities. The Group has also, over time, enhanced its relevant systems and controls.  Further, the Group has initiated disciplinary proceedings against a number of its employees as a result of its investigation into employee conduct relating to this matter. Although the Group cannot currently determine the outcome of its discussions with the relevant authorities, the investigation costs, remediation required or liability incurred could have a material adverse effect on the Group’s net assets, operating results or cash flows in any particular period.

The Group may become subject to formal and informal supervisory actions and may be required by its US banking supervisors to take further actions and implement additional remedial measures with respect to these and additional matters. The Group's activities in the United States may be subject to significant limitations and/or conditions.

In March 2008, the Group was advised by the SEC that it had commenced a non-public, formal investigation relating to the Group’s United States sub-prime securities exposures and United States residential mortgage exposures. In September 2012, SEC staff communicated that it had completed this investigation as to RBS and that it did not, as of the date of that communication and based upon the information then in its possession, intend to recommend any enforcement action against RBS. In December 2010, the SEC contacted the Group and indicated that it would also examine valuations of various RBS N.V. structured products, including CDOs. In March 2012, the SEC communicated to the Group that it had completed this investigation and that it did not, as of the date of that communication and based upon the information then in its possession, intend to recommend any enforcement action against RBS.

17. Other developments

Transfers of a substantial part of the business activities of RBS N.V. to The Royal Bank of Scotland plc (RBS plc)
On 19 April 2011, the Group announced its intention to transfer a substantial part of the business activities of The Royal Bank of Scotland N.V. (RBS N.V.) to RBS plc, subject, amongst other matters, to regulatory and other approvals, further tax and other analysis in respect of the assets and liabilities to be transferred and employee consultation procedures.

In October 2011, the Group completed the transfer of a substantial part of the UK activities of RBS N.V. to the Royal Bank pursuant to Part VII of the UK Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. Substantially all of the Netherlands and EMEA businesses were transferred in September 2012. Further transfers are expected to take place during 2013 but are subject to certain authorisations including regulatory approval where necessary. The Group now anticipates that the transfers in China will be completed at a later date.
 
 
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Notes (continued)


17. Other developments (continued)

Direct Line Group IPO
RBS completed the successful initial public offering of Direct Line Group in October 2012, representing another important milestone in RBS’s restructuring plan. RBS Group sold 520.8 million ordinary shares in Direct Line Group, representing 34.7% of the total share capital, generating gross proceeds of £911 million.

UK branch-based businesses
On 12 October 2012, RBS announced that it had received notification of Santander’s decision to pull out of its agreed purchase of certain of the Group’s UK branch-based businesses. RBS has re-commenced its effort to divest the business and fulfil its obligations to the European Commission.

Asset Protection Scheme
The Group exited from the UK Government’s APS on 18 October 2012.

Rating agencies
Moody’s Investors Service (Moody’s), Standard & Poor’s (S&P) and Fitch Ratings (Fitch) have not changed their ratings on the Group since June 2012.

18. Post balance sheet events
There have been no significant events between 31 December 2012 and the date of approval of this announcement which would require a change to or additional disclosure in the announcement.
 
 
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Risk and balance sheet management


Risk principles
136
Capital management
147
Liquidity, funding and related risks
159
Credit risk
175
Market risk
230
Country risk
238

 
 
135

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk principles
 
Presentation of information
137
General overview
137
Top and emerging risk scenarios
141
 

 

 
136

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk principles
Presentation of information
In the balance sheet, all assets of disposal groups are presented as a single line. In the risk and balance sheet management section, balances and exposures relating to disposal groups are included within risk measures for all periods presented.

General overview
The following table defines the main risk types faced by the Group and presents a summary of the key developments for each risk during 2012.

Risk type
Definition
2012 summary
Capital adequacy risk
The risk that the Group has insufficient capital.
Core Tier 1 ratio was 10.3%, a sixty basis point improvement on 2011 (excluding the effect of APS). This largely reflected a reduction in the risk profile with risk-weighted assets (RWAs) down by nearly 10%, principally in Non-Core due to disposals and run-off and in Markets.
 
Refer to pages 147 to 158.
Liquidity and funding risk
The risk that the Group is unable to meet its financial liabilities as they fall due.
The Group met or exceeded its medium term strategic funding and liquidity targets by 2012 year end. This included a loan:deposit ratio of 100%, short-term wholesale funding (STWF) of £42 billion, representing 5% of funded assets (target: less than 10%) and a £147 billion liquidity portfolio which covered STWF 3.5 times (target: greater than 1.5 times STWF).
 
Refer to pages 159 to 174.
Credit risk (including counterparty credit risk)
The risk that the Group will incur losses owing to the failure of a customer or counterparty to meet its obligation to settle outstanding amounts.
During 2012, loan impairment charges were 28% lower than in 2011 despite continuing challenges in Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) and commercial real estate portfolios. Credit risk associated with legacy exposures continued to be reduced, with a further 34% decline in Non-Core credit RWAs during the year. The Group also continued to make progress in reducing key credit concentration risks, with exposure to commercial real estate declining 16% during 2012.
 
Refer to pages 175 to 229.
 
 
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Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk principles: General overview (continued)

Risk type
Definition
2012 summary
Market risk
The risk arising from fluctuations in interest rates, foreign currency, credit spreads, equity prices, commodity prices and risk related factors such as market volatilities.
During 2012, the Group continued to reduce its risk exposures; market risk limits were lowered accordingly. Average trading VaR was £97 million, 8% lower than 2011, largely reflecting asset sales in Non-Core and decreases in ABS trading inventory in Markets.
 
Refer to pages 230 to 237.
Country risk
The risk of material losses arising from significant country-specific events.
In the context of several sovereign downgrades, the Group has made continued progress in managing down its sovereign exposures. Having recognised an impairment on its holding of Greek government bonds in 2011, the Group participated in the restructuring of Greek sovereign debt in Q1 2012 and no longer holds Greek government bonds. During 2012, the Group brought nearly all advanced countries under country limit control and further restricted its country risk appetite. Balance sheet exposures to periphery eurozone countries decreased by 13% or £9 billion to £59 billion, with £20 billion outside of Ireland. Funding mismatches in Ireland and Spain reduced to approximately £9 billion and £4 billion, respectively. Mismatches in other periphery eurozone countries were modest or in surplus with £20 billion outside of Ireland.
 
Refer to pages 238 to 284.
Insurance risk
The risk of financial loss through fluctuations in the timing, frequency and/or severity of insured events, relative to the expectations at the time of underwriting.
The Group’s insurance risk resides principally in its majority owned subsidiary, Direct Line Group (DLG), which is listed on the London Stock Exchange. DLG ensures that it prices its policies and invests its resources appropriately to minimise the risk of potential loss. The risks are mitigated by agreeing policies and minimum standards that are regularly reviewed. The controls are supplemented by reviews by external experts.

 
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Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk principles: General overview (continued)

Risk type
Definition
2012 summary
Operational risk
The risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed processes, people, systems or from external events.
During 2012, the Group continued to make good progress in enhancing its operational risk framework and risk management capabilities. Key areas of focus have included: embedding risk assessments; increasing the coverage of the scenario analysis portfolio; and improving statistical capital modelling capabilities.
 
The level of operational risk remains high due to the scale of change occurring across the Group (both structural and regulatory), macroeconomic stresses (e.g. eurozone distress) and other external threats such as e-crime. In June 2012 the Group was affected by a technology incident as a result of which the processing of certain customers accounts and payments were subject to considerable delay.
Regulatory risk
The risk arising from non-compliance with regulatory requirements, regulatory change or regulator expectations.
During 2012, the Group, along with the rest of the banking industry, continued to experience unprecedented levels of prospective changes to laws and regulations from national and supranational regulators. Particular areas of focus were: conduct regulation; prudential regulation (capital, liquidity, governance and risk management); treatment of systemically important entities (systemic capital surcharges and recovery and resolution planning); and structural reforms, with the UK’s Independent Commission on Banking proposals, the European Union’s Liikanen Group recommendations and the Dodd-Frank/Volcker Rule agenda in the US.
 
 
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Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk principles: General overview (continued)

Risk type
Definition
2012 summary
Conduct risk
The risk that the conduct of the Group and its staff towards its customers, or within the markets in which it operates, leads to reputational damage and/or financial loss.
A management framework has been developed to enable the consistent identification, assessment and mitigation of conduct risks. Embedding of this framework started during 2012 and is continuing in 2013.
 
Grouped under four pillars (employee conduct, corporate conduct, market conduct and conduct towards the Group’s customers), each conduct risk policy is designed to ensure the Group meets its obligations and expectations.
 
Awareness initiatives and targeted conduct risk training for each policy aligned to the phased policy rollout, have been developed and are being delivered to help embed understanding and to provide clarity. These actions are designed to facilitate effective conduct risk management, and address shortcomings identified through recent instances of inappropriate conduct.
Reputational risk
The risk of brand damage and/or financial loss due to the failure to meet stakeholders’ expectations of the Group.
In 2012, the Group strengthened the alignment of reputational risk management with its strategic objective of serving customers well and with the management of a range of risk types that have a reputational sensitivity. There are still legacy reputational issues to work through, but dealing with them in an open and direct manner is a prerequisite to rebuilding a strong reputation for the Group.
Business risk
The risk of losses as a result of adverse variance in the Group’s revenues and/or costs relative to its business plan and strategy.
During 2012, the Group continued to de-risk its balance sheet and to shrink its more volatile Markets business. The Group has further enhanced its scenario modelling to better understand potential threats to earnings and to develop appropriate contingency plans.
Pension risk
The risk arising from the Group’s contractual liabilities to or with respect to its defined benefit pension schemes, as well as the risk that it will have to make additional contributions to such schemes.
In 2012, the Group focused on enhancing its pension risk management and modelling systems and implementing a Group pension risk policy standard.
 

 
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Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Risk principles (continued)

Top and emerging risk scenarios
Although management is concerned with a range of risk scenarios, a relatively small number attracted particular attention from senior management during the past year. These can be grouped into three broad categories:

Macro-economic risks.
   
Regulatory and legal risks.
   
Risks related to the Group’s operations.

Descriptions of top and emerging risks are provided below:

Macroeconomics risks

(i) Increased defaults in sectors to which the Group has concentrated exposure, particularly commercial real estate
The Group has concentrated lending exposure to several sectors, most notably commercial real estate, giving rise to the risk of losses and reputational damage from unexpectedly high defaults. Another sector to which the Group has concentrated lending exposure is shipping. Several of the Group’s businesses are exposed to these sectors, principally Non-Core, Ulster Bank and UK Corporate.

Impact on the Group
If borrowers are unable to refinance existing debt, they may default. Further, if the value of collateral they have provided continues to decline, the resulting impairments may be larger than expected. In addition, as other lenders seek to sell assets, the Group may find it more difficult to meet its own targets for a reduction in its exposure to certain sectors.

Mitigants
The Group is mitigating its risks by monitoring exposures carefully and achieving reductions through a combination of repayments, roll-offs and asset sales whenever possible. In addition, it has placed limits on the origination of new business of this type.

(ii) The risk of a eurozone event
Europe was of concern throughout the year owing to a combination of slow growth in major economies and negative growth in peripheral countries labouring under high public debt burdens. As a result, several risks might materialise, including the default of one or more eurozone sovereigns, the exit from the eurozone of one or more member countries or the redenomination of the currency of a eurozone country followed by the devaluation of that country’s currency. Although the Group’s direct exposure to most peripheral eurozone countries is modest, it has material exposure to Ireland through its ownership of Ulster Bank. In addition, it has material exposure to core eurozone countries such as Germany, the Netherlands, France and, to a lesser extent, Italy. Details of the Group’s eurozone exposures appear on page 245. All divisions are affected by this risk.
 
 
141

 

 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk principles (continued)

Top and emerging risk scenarios (continued)

Impact on the Group
If a peripheral eurozone sovereign defaults on its debt, the Group could experience unexpected impairments, either as a result of its exposure to the sovereign or as a result of its exposure to financial institutions or corporations located in that country.
   
If one or more sovereigns exit the eurozone, credit ratings for eurozone borrowers more broadly may be downgraded, resulting in increases in credit spreads and decreases in security values, giving rise to market value losses.
   
If one or more peripheral eurozone sovereigns redenominates its currency, resulting in a devaluation, the Group could experience losses to the extent that its exposures to these sovereigns are not funded by liabilities that similarly redenominate.

Mitigants
The Group has taken a number of steps to mitigate the impact of these risks.
To mitigate the impact of a eurozone sovereign default, the Group has reduced its exposures to peripheral eurozone countries. To mitigate the impact of the exit from the eurozone of one or more countries, and the sovereign ratings downgrade that would likely result, the Group has extended its limit control framework to include all eurozone countries.
   
Finally, to mitigate the impact of redenomination, the Group has reduced exposures and sought where possible to reduce mismatches between the currencies in which assets and liabilities are denominated.

(iii) The risk of a more severe or protracted economic downturn
Following the financial crisis of 2007, economies in the UK, Europe and the US have struggled to recover and return to growth. An unexpectedly severe downturn could result from economic weakness in the emerging markets of Asia, spreading to the US, the UK and Europe. A slowdown in or reversal of economic growth could undermine the austerity plans of the UK and other countries in Europe. The risk to the UK is of particular concern. While all divisions are potentially affected, those most at risk include UK Corporate, UK Retail, Markets, Non-Core and Ulster Bank.

Impact on the Group
If the UK experiences an unexpectedly severe economic downturn, the Group is exposed to the risk of losses largely as a result of increased impairments in its retail and commercial businesses in the UK. Its investment banking activities in the UK could also be adversely affected.
   
A worsening of the already difficult economic environment in Ireland could result in increased impairments in Ulster Bank. In addition, it could make the sale or refinancing of related exposures in Non-Core more difficult, slowing progress towards the elimination of these exposures.

 
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Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk principles (continued)

Top and emerging risk scenarios (continued)

Mitigants
To mitigate the risk, the Group actively monitors its risk positions with respect to country, sector, counterparty and product relative to risk appetite, placing exposures on Watch and subjecting them to greater scrutiny. In addition, the Group reduces exposures when appropriate and practicable.

(iv) An increase in the Group’s obligations to support pension schemes
The Group has established various pension schemes, thereby incurring certain obligations as sponsor of these schemes. All of the Group’s businesses are exposed to this risk.

If the value of the pension scheme assets is not adequate to fund pension scheme liabilities, the Group may be required to set aside additional capital in support of the schemes. The amount of additional capital that may be required depends on the size of the shortfall when the assets are valued. However, as asset values are lower and liabilities higher than they were when the fund was last valued, an increase in capital required is a possibility.
   
In addition, the Group may be required to increase its cash contributions to the schemes. Similarly, the amount of additional cash contributions that may be required depends on the size of the shortfall when the assets are valued. If interest rates fall further, the value of the schemes’ assets may decline as the value of their liabilities increases, leading to the need to increase cash contributions still further.

Mitigants
In order to mitigate the risk, the Group has taken a number of steps, including changing the terms of its pension schemes to reduce the rate at which liabilities are increasing. These include: capping the growth rate of pensionable salary at two percent, and changing the retirement age to 65 with same contributions, with the option for individuals to retire at age 60 and pay an extra five percent of their salary to fund it.

Regulatory and legal risks

(i) A failure to demonstrate compliance with existing regulatory requirements related to conduct
The Group is subject to regulation governing the conduct of its business activities. For example, it must ensure that it sells its products and services only to informed and suitable customers and handles complaints efficiently and effectively. This risk affects all divisions.

Impact on the Group
If the Group sells unsuitable products and services to customers or if the sales process is flawed, it may incur regulatory censure, including fines. In addition, it may suffer serious reputational damage.
   
If the Group fails to handle customer complaints appropriately, it may incur regulatory censure, including fines. In addition, it may incur increased costs as it investigates these complaints and compensates customers. Further, it may suffer serious reputational damage.

 
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Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk principles (continued)

Top and emerging risk scenarios (continued)

Mitigants
In order to mitigate these risks, the Group has taken a number of steps:
In order to mitigate the risk of mis-selling, affected divisions are exiting some businesses and improving staff training and controls in others.
   
In order to improve the handling of customer complaints, divisions have detailed action plans in place to meet or exceed customer and regulatory requirements address known shortcomings.

(ii) A failure to demonstrate compliance with other existing regulatory requirements
The Group is also subject to regulation governing its business activities more broadly. For example, it is required to take the steps necessary to ensure that it complies with rules in place to prevent money laundering, bribery and other forms of unlawful activity. It is also required to comply with certain regulations regarding the timely provision of banking services to customers. This risk affects all divisions.

Impact on the Group
If the Group sells products and services to sanctioned individuals or groups, it may expose itself to the risk of litigation as well as regulatory censure. Its reputation would also suffer materially.
   
If the Group, as a result of a systems failure, is unable to provide banking services to customers, it may incur regulatory fines and censure as well as suffer significant reputational damage.

Mitigants
The Group is in the process of installing a new global client screening program, the objective of which is to prevent the inadvertent provision of products and services to sanctioned individuals or groups.
   
The Group has also established and is implementing a plan to enhance the resilience of information technology and payment processing systems.

(iii) Losses or reputational damage arising from litigation
Given its diverse operations, the Group is exposed to the risk of litigation. For example, during the course of 2012, it was the subject of investigations into its activities in respect of LIBOR as well as securitisation. This risk affects all of the Group’s divisions.

Impact on the Group
As a result of litigation, the Group may incur fines, suffer reputational damage, or face limitations on its ability to operate. In the case of LIBOR, the Group reached settlements with the Financial Services Authority, the Commodity Futures Trading Association and the US Department of Justice. It continues to cooperate with other governmental and regulatory authorities in relation to LIBOR investigations; the probable outcome is that the Group will incur additional financial penalties at the conclusion of these investigations.

 
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Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk principles (continued)

Top and emerging risk scenarios (continued)

Mitigants
The Group defends claims against it to the best of its ability.

(iv) A failure to demonstrate compliance with new requirements arising from structural reform
In addition to existing regulation, the Group will be subject to new regulation arising from structural reform. For example, legislation creating the Single European Payment Area (SEPA) will require the Group to develop and implement the infrastructure necessary to effect domestic and cross border payments. This risk affects Markets, International Banking and Ulster Bank in particular.

Impact on the Group
Compliance with the regulation will require substantial changes in the Group’s systems. As a result, the Group may not be able to meet the deadline for implementation, giving rise to the risk of regulatory fines and censure. In addition, as such a failure would affect customers, it could also have a material negative impact on the Group’s reputation.

Mitigants
The Group has a project in train to design, develop and deliver the required systems changes.

Risks related to the Group’s operations

(i) A failure of information technology systems
The Group relies on information technology systems to service its customers, giving rise to the risk of losses and significant reputational damage should one or more of these systems fail. The risks of an information technology system failure affect all of the Group’s businesses.

Impact on the Group
A failure could prevent the Group from making or receiving payments, processing vouchers or providing other types of services to its customers.
   
A failure could also prevent the Group from managing its liquidity position, giving rise to the risk of illiquidity.
   
A lack of management information could lead to an inadvertent breach of regulations governing capital or liquidity.
   
A failure could also leave the Group vulnerable to cyber crime. The Group is also exposed to this risk indirectly, through outsourcing arrangements with third parties.

Mitigants
The Group has developed a risk appetite framework to manage these risks and is implementing a plan to bring its risk position within risk appetite by improving batch processing through process redesign and simplification. The Group expects these investments to result in improvements over the course of 2013 and 2014.

 
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Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Risk principles (continued)

 (ii) A failure of operational controls
The Group is exposed to the risk of losses arising from a failure of supervisory controls to prevent a deviation from procedures. An example of such a deviation is an unauthorised trading event. Should existing controls prove inadequate, one or more individuals may expose the Group to risks far in excess of its approved risk appetite. While all divisions are exposed to this risk to some degree, Markets is particularly at risk.

Impact on the Group
If one or more individuals deviate from procedures, the Group may take excessively large positions. If market prices change adversely, the Group may incur losses. Such losses may be substantial if the positions themselves are very large relative to the relevant market.

Mitigants
Markets has developed a plan for addressing identified weaknesses, has benchmarked it against those of its peers and is implementing it.


 
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Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Capital management
Introduction
148
  2012 achievements
148
  Capital allocation
148
Capital ratios
149
Capital resources
150
  Components of capital (Basel 2.5)
150
  Flow statement (Basel 2.5)
152
Risk-weighted assets
153
  Divisional analysis
153
  Flow statement
155
Looking forward
156
  Basel III
156
  Model changes
158
  Other regulatory capital changes
158
  European Banking Authority (EBA) recommendation
158
 
 
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Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Capital management

Introduction
The Group aims to maintain an appropriate level of capital to meet its business needs and regulatory requirements, and the Group operates within an agreed risk appetite.

The appropriate level of capital is determined based on the dual aims of: (i) meeting minimum regulatory capital requirements; and (ii) ensuring the Group maintains sufficient capital to uphold investor and rating agency confidence in the organisation, thereby supporting the business franchise and funding capacity.

2012 achievements
The Group’s Core Tier 1 ratio of 10.3% is higher than at the end of 2011 (after adjusting for Asset Protection Scheme effects) despite absorbing regulatory changes equivalent to 109 basis points and in the face of challenging economic headwinds and continuing costs of de-risking. This has been achieved through a continued focus on reshaping the Group’s use of capital.

The Group has developed its stress testing capability to identify the impact of a wider set of potential scenarios. The stress outcomes show that the de-risking in the Group has been effective in reducing the impacts of stress scenarios and at the same time the capital ratios have been improving, resulting in increased capital buffers. The changes to the risk profiles as a result of de-risking include run-down of Non-Core, reduction in concentrations, and revising the strategic footprint of the Markets division.
 
The capital allocation approaches used in the Group will be developed to become increasingly risk sensitive and align risk management and resource allocation more fully.

Capital allocation
Capital resources are allocated to the Group’s businesses based on key performance parameters agreed by the Group Board in the annual strategic planning process. Principal among these is a profitability metric, which assesses the effective use of the capital allocated to the business. Projected and actual return on equity is assessed against target returns set by the Group Board. The allocations also reflect strategic priorities, the intensity of regulatory capital use and the usage of other key Group resources such as balance sheet funding and liquidity.

The divisions use return on capital metrics when making pricing decisions on products and transactions to ensure customer activity is appropriately aligned with Group and divisional targets and allocations.

The Financial Services Authority (FSA) uses the risk asset ratio as a measure of capital adequacy in the UK banking sector, comparing a bank’s capital resources with its RWAs (the assets and off-balance sheet exposures are weighted to reflect the inherent credit and other risks). By international agreement, the risk asset ratios should not be less than 8% with a Tier 1 component of not less than 4%.

 
148

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Capital management (continued)

Capital ratios
The Group’s capital, RWAs and risk asset ratios, calculated in accordance with FSA definitions, are set out below.
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
Capital
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
       
Core Tier 1
47.3 
48.1 
46.3 
Core Tier 1 (excluding Asset Protection Scheme (APS))
47.3 
50.1 
49.1 
Tier 1
57.1 
58.1 
57.0 
Total
66.8 
63.1 
60.7 
 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
Risk-weighted assets by risk
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
       
Credit risk
     
  - non-counterparty
323.2 
334.5 
344.3 
  - counterparty
48.0 
53.3 
61.9 
Market risk
42.6 
47.4 
64.0 
Operational risk
45.8 
45.8 
37.9 
       
 
459.6 
481.0 
508.1 
APS relief
(48.1)
(69.1)
       
 
459.6 
432.9 
439.0 

Risk asset ratios
       
Core Tier 1
10.3 
11.1 
10.6 
Core Tier 1 (excluding APS)
10.3 
10.4 
9.7 
Tier 1
12.4 
13.4 
13.0 
Total
14.5 
14.6 
13.8 

Key point
·
The Core Tier 1 ratio, excluding relief provided by APS, has improved to 10.3% at 31 December 2012 driven by continued run-down and disposal of Non-Core assets and the reshaping of the balance sheet and capital usage in Markets.
 
 
149

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Capital management (continued)

Capital resources

Components of capital (Basel 2.5)
The Group’s regulatory capital resources in accordance with FSA definitions were as follows:

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
       
Shareholders’ equity (excluding non-controlling interests)
     
 Shareholders’ equity per balance sheet
68,130 
72,699 
74,819 
 Preference shares - equity
(4,313)
(4,313)
(4,313)
 Other equity instruments
(431)
(431)
(431)
 
63,386 
67,955 
70,075 
       
Non-controlling interests
     
 Non-controlling interests per balance sheet
2,318 
1,194 
1,234 
 Non-controlling preference shares
(548)
(548)
(548)
 Other adjustments to non-controlling interests for regulatory purposes
(1,367)
(259)
(259)
 
403 
387 
427 
       
Regulatory adjustments and deductions
     
 Own credit
691 
651 
(2,634)
 Defined pension benefit adjustment
913 
 Unrealised losses on available-for-sale (AFS) debt securities
410 
375 
1,065 
 Unrealised gains on AFS equity shares
(63)
(84)
(108)
 Cash flow hedging reserve
(1,666)
(1,746)
(879)
 Other adjustments for regulatory purposes
(198)
895 
571 
 Goodwill and other intangible assets
(13,545)
(14,798)
(14,858)
 50% excess of expected losses over impairment provisions (net of tax)
(1,904)
(2,429)
(2,536)
 50% of securitisation positions
(1,107)
(1,180)
(2,019)
 50% of APS first loss
(1,926)
(2,763)
 
(16,469)
(20,242)
(24,161)
       
Core Tier 1 capital
47,320 
48,100 
46,341 
       
Other Tier 1 capital
     
 Preference shares - equity
4,313 
4,313 
4,313 
 Preference shares - debt
1,054 
1,055 
1,094 
 Innovative/hybrid Tier 1 securities
4,125 
4,065 
4,667 
 
9,492 
9,433 
10,074 
       
Tier 1 deductions
     
 50% of material holdings
(295)
(242)
(340)
 Tax on excess of expected losses over impairment provisions
618 
788 
915 
 
323 
546 
575 
       
Total Tier 1 capital
57,135 
58,079 
56,990 
 
 
150

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Capital management: Capital resources: Components of capital (Basel 2.5) (continued)

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
       
Qualifying Tier 2 capital
     
 Undated subordinated debt
2,194 
2,245 
1,838 
 Dated subordinated debt - net of amortisation
13,420 
12,641 
14,527 
 Unrealised gains on AFS equity shares
63 
84 
108 
 Collectively assessed impairment provisions
399 
500 
635 
 Non-controlling Tier 2 capital
11 
11 
 
16,076 
15,481 
17,119 
       
Tier 2 deductions
     
 50% of securitisation positions
(1,107)
(1,180)
(2,019)
 50% excess of expected losses over impairment provisions
(2,522)
(3,217)
(3,451)
 50% of material holdings
(295)
(242)
(340)
 50% of APS first loss
(1,926)
(2,763)
 
(3,924)
(6,565)
(8,573)
       
Total Tier 2 capital
12,152 
8,916 
8,546 
       
Supervisory deductions
     
 Unconsolidated investments
     
   - Direct Line Group
(2,081)
(3,537)
(4,354)
   - Other investments
(162)
(144)
(239)
 Other deductions
(244)
(217)
(235)
       
 
(2,487)
(3,898)
(4,828)
       
Total regulatory capital
66,800 
63,097 
60,708 

Key points
·
Core Tier 1 capital increased by £1 billion over 2012. Excluding APS, however, Core Tier 1 capital decreased by £1.8 billion.
   
·
Attributable loss, net of fair value of own credit, of £2.6 billion was partially offset by lower Core Tier 1 deduction for securitisation positions of £1.1 billion, primarily relating to restructuring of monolines within Non-Core.
 
 
151

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Capital management: Capital resources (continued)

Flow statement (Basel 2.5)
The table below analyses the movement in Core Tier 1, Other Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital during the year.

Core Tier 1 capital
£m 
   
At 1 January 2012
46,341 
Attributable loss net of movements in fair value of own credit
(2,647)
Ordinary shares issued
120 
Share capital and reserve movements in respect of employee share schemes
821 
Foreign exchange reserve movements
(867)
Decrease in non-controlling interests
(24)
Decrease in capital deductions including APS first loss
4,307 
Decrease in goodwill and intangibles
1,313 
Defined pension fund movement (net of prudential filter adjustment)
(977)
Other movements
(1,067)
   
At 31 December 2012
47,320 
   
Other Tier 1 capital
 
   
At 1 January 2012
10,649 
Foreign currency reserve movements
(189)
Decrease in Tier 1 deductions
(252)
Other movements
(393)
   
At 31 December 2012
9,815 
   
Tier 2 capital
 
   
At 1 January 2012
8,546 
Dated subordinated debt issued
4,167 
Dated subordinated debt redeemed/matured
(3,582)
Foreign exchange movements
(643)
Decrease in capital deductions including APS first loss
4,649 
Other movements
(985)
   
At 31 December 2012
12,152 
   
Supervisory deductions
 
   
At 1 January 2012
(4,828)
Decrease in deductions
2,341 
   
At 31 December 2012
(2,487)
   
Total regulatory capital
66,800 
 
 
152

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Capital management (continued)

Risk-weighted assets
Divisional analysis
Risk-weighted assets by risk category and division were as follows:

 
Credit risk
Market 
risk 
Operational 
risk 
Gross 
RWAs 
Non- 
counterparty 
Counterparty 
31 December 2012
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
           
UK Retail
37.9 
7.8 
45.7 
UK Corporate
77.7 
8.6 
86.3 
Wealth
10.3 
0.1 
1.9 
12.3 
International Banking
46.7 
5.2 
51.9 
Ulster Bank
33.6 
0.6 
0.2 
1.7 
36.1 
US Retail & Commercial
50.8 
0.8 
4.9 
56.5 
           
Retail & Commercial
257.0 
1.4 
0.3 
30.1 
288.8 
Markets
14.0 
34.7 
36.9 
15.7 
101.3 
Other
4.0 
0.4 
1.4 
5.8 
           
Core
275.0 
36.5 
37.2 
47.2 
395.9 
Non-Core
45.1 
11.5 
5.4 
(1.6)
60.4 
           
Group before RFS Holdings MI
320.1 
48.0 
42.6 
45.6 
456.3 
RFS Holdings MI
3.1 
0.2 
3.3 
           
Group
323.2 
48.0 
42.6 
45.8 
459.6 

30 September 2012
         
           
UK Retail
39.9 
7.8 
47.7 
UK Corporate
73.5 
8.6 
82.1 
Wealth
10.3 
0.1 
1.9 
12.3 
International Banking
44.5 
5.2 
49.7 
Ulster Bank
32.4 
0.9 
0.1 
1.7 
35.1 
US Retail & Commercial
50.9 
0.9 
4.9 
56.7 
           
Retail & Commercial
251.5 
1.8 
0.2 
30.1 
283.6 
Markets
15.4 
35.3 
41.6 
15.7 
108.0 
Other
12.1 
0.4 
1.4 
13.9 
           
Core
279.0 
37.5 
41.8 
47.2 
405.5 
Non-Core
52.4 
15.8 
5.6 
(1.6)
72.2 
           
Group before RFS Holdings MI
331.4 
53.3 
47.4 
45.6 
477.7 
RFS Holdings MI
3.1 
0.2 
3.3 
           
Group
334.5 
53.3 
47.4 
45.8 
481.0 
APS relief
(42.2)
(5.9)
(48.1)
           
Net RWAs
292.3 
47.4 
47.4 
45.8 
432.9 
 
 
153

 

 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Capital management: Risk-weighted assets: Divisional analysis (continued)

 
Credit risk
Market 
risk 
Operational 
risk 
Gross 
RWAs 
Non-counterparty 
Counterparty 
31 December 2011
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
           
UK Retail
41.1 
7.3 
48.4 
UK Corporate
71.2 
8.1 
79.3 
Wealth
10.9 
0.1 
1.9 
12.9 
International Banking
38.9 
4.3 
43.2 
Ulster Bank
33.6 
0.6 
0.3 
1.8 
36.3 
US Retail & Commercial
53.6 
1.0 
4.7 
59.3 
           
Retail & Commercial
249.3 
1.6 
0.4 
28.1 
279.4 
Markets
16.7 
39.9 
50.6 
13.1 
120.3 
Other
9.8 
0.2 
2.0 
12.0 
           
Core
275.8 
41.7 
51.0 
43.2 
411.7 
Non-Core
65.6 
20.2 
13.0 
(5.5)
93.3 
           
Group before RFS Holdings MI
341.4 
61.9 
64.0 
37.7 
505.0 
RFS Holdings MI
2.9 
0.2 
3.1 
           
Group
344.3 
61.9 
64.0 
37.9 
508.1 
APS relief
(59.6)
(9.5)
(69.1)
           
Net RWAs
284.7 
52.4 
64.0 
37.9 
439.0 


 
154

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Capital management: Risk-weighted assets (continued)

Flow statement
The table below analyses movement in credit risk, market risk and operational risk RWAs by key drivers during the year.
 
Credit risk
Market risk 
Operational 
Risk 
Gross 
RWAs 
Non-counterparty 
Counterparty 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
           
At 1 January 2012
344.3 
61.9 
64.0 
37.9 
508.1 
Business and market movements (1)
(46.0)
(20.4)
(16.3)
7.9 
(74.8)
Disposals
(7.3)
(3.8)
(6.5)
(17.6)
Model changes (2)
32.2 
10.3 
1.4 
43.9 
           
At 31 December 2012
323.2 
48.0 
42.6 
45.8 
459.6 

Notes:
(1)
Represents changes in book size, composition, position changes and market movements.
(2)
Refers to implementation of a new model or modification of an existing model after approval from the FSA and changes in model scope.

Key points
·
The £75 billion decrease due to business and market movements is driven by:
 
Market risk and counterparty risk decreased by £16 billion and £20 billion, respectively, due to reshaping the business risk profile;
 
Run-off of balances in Non-Core;
 
Declines in Retail and Commercial due to loans migrating into default and customer deleveraging; and
 
Reduction in credit risk in the Group liquidity portfolio as European peripheral exposures were sold.
   
·
The increase in Operational risk follows the recalibration based on the average of the previous three years financial results. The substantial losses recorded in 2008 no longer feature in the calculation.
   
·
Disposals of £18 billion relate to Non-Core, including RBS Aviation Capital and exposures relating to credit derivative product companies, monolines and other counterparties.
   
·
Model changes of £44 billion reflect:
 
Changes to credit metrics applying to corporate, bank and sovereign exposures as models were updated to reflect more recent experience: £30 billion; and
 
Application of slotting approach to UK commercial real estate exposures: £12 billion.

 
155

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Capital management (continued)

Looking forward
Basel III
The rules issued by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS), commonly referred to as Basel III, are a comprehensive set of reforms designed to strengthen the regulation, supervision, risk and liquidity management of the banking sector.

In December 2010, the BCBS issued the final text of the Basel III rules, providing details of the global standards agreed by the Group of Governors and Heads of Supervision, the oversight body of the BCBS and endorsed by the G20 leaders at their November 2010 Seoul summit.

The new capital requirements regulation and capital requirements directive that implement Basel III proposals within the European Union (EU) (collectively known as CRD IV) are in two parts, Capital Requirements Directive (CRD) and the Capital Requirements Regulation. Further technical detail will be provided by the European Banking Authority through its Implementing Technical Standards and Regulatory Technical Standards.

The CRD IV has not yet been finalised and consequently the Basel III implementation date of 1 January 2013 has been missed. While it is anticipated that agreement of the CRD IV will be achieved during 2013, the implementation date remains uncertain.

CRD IV and Basel III will impose a minimum common equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 4.5% of RWAs. There are three buffers which will affect the Group: the capital conservation buffer(1); the counter-cyclical capital buffer(2) (up to 2.5% of RWAs), to be applied when macro-economic conditions indicate areas of the economy are over-heating; and the Global-Systemically Important Bank (G-SIB) buffer(3), leading to an additional common equity Tier 1 requirement of 4% and a total common equity Tier 1 ratio of 8.5%. The regulatory target capital requirements will be phased in and are expected to apply in full from 1 January 2019.

 



Notes:
(1)
The capital conservation buffer is set at 2.5% of RWAs and is intended to be available in periods of stress. Drawing on the buffer would lead to a corresponding reduction in the ability to make discretionary payments such as dividends and variable compensation.
(2)
The counter-cyclical buffer is institution specific and depends on the Group's geographical footprint and the macroeconomic conditions pertaining in the individual countries in which the Group operates. As there is a time lag involved in determining this ratio, it has been assumed that it will be zero for the time being.
(3)
The G-SIB buffer is dependent on the regulatory assessment of the Group. The Group has been provisionally assessed as requiring additional CET1 of 1.5% in the list published by the Financial Stability Board (FSB) on 1 November 2012. The FSB list is updated annually. The actual requirement will be phased in from 2016, initially for those banks identified (in the list) as G-SIBs in November 2014.
 
 
156

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Capital management: Looking forward: Basel III (continued)

The changes in the definition of regulatory capital under CRD IV and the capital ratios will be subject to transitional rules:
The increase in the minimum capital ratios and the new buffer requirements will be phased in over the five years from implementation of the CRD IV;
   
The application of the regulatory deductions and adjustments at the level of common equity, including the new deduction for deferred tax assets, will also be phased in over the five years from implementation; the current adjustment for unrealised gains and losses on available-for-sale securities will be phased out; and
   
Subordinated debt instruments which do not meet the new eligibility criteria will be will be grandfathered on a reducing basis over ten years.

The Group is well advanced in its preparations to comply with the new requirements based on the draft rules. Given the phasing of both capital requirements and target levels, in advance of needing to comply with the fully loaded end state requirements, the Group will have the opportunity to continue to generate additional capital from earnings and take management actions to mitigate the impact of CRD IV.

The Group’s pro forma Core Tier 1 ratio on a fully loaded basis at 31 December 2012, based on its interpretation of the rules and assuming they were applied today, is estimated at 7.7%(1). The pro forma capital ratio reflects the Group’s interpretation of the draft July 2011 CRD IV rules and how these rules are expected to be updated for subsequent EU and Basel pronouncements.

The actual impact of CRD IV on capital ratios may be materially different as the requirements and related technical standards have not yet been finalised and will ultimately be subject to application by local regulators. The actual impact will also be dependent on required regulatory approvals and the extent to which further management action is taken prior to implementation.



 

Note:
(1)
Based on the following principal assumptions: (i) divestment of Direct Line Group (ii) deductions for financial holdings of less than 10% of common equity Tier 1 capital have been excluded pending the finalisation of CRD IV rules (iii) RWA uplifts assume approval of all regulatory models and completion of planned management actions (iv) RWA uplifts include the impact of credit valuation adjustments (CVA), and asset valuation correlation on banks and central clearing counterparties (CCPs) (v) EU corporates, pension funds and sovereigns are assumed to be exempt from CVA volatility charge in calculating RWA impacts.
 
 
157

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Capital management: Looking forward: Basel III (continued)

Model changes
The Group, in conjunction with the FSA, regularly evaluates its models for the assessment of RWAs ascribed to credit risk (including counterparty risk) across various classes. This includes implementing changes to the RWA requirements for commercial real estate portfolios consistent with revised industry guidance from the FSA. The changes to RWA resulting from model changes during 2012 have increased RWA requirements by £44 billion of which £12 billion relates to property guidance. Further uplifts are expected in 2013 totalling c.£10 billion to £15 billion.

Other regulatory capital changes
The Group is managing the changes to capital requirements from new regulation and model changes and the resulting impact on the common equity Tier 1 ratio by focusing on risk reduction and deleveraging. This is principally being achieved through the continued run-off and disposal of Non-Core assets and deleveraging in Markets, as the business focuses on the most productive returns on capital. Markets RWAs decreased by £20 billion in 2012 which also lessens the increases driven by the counterparty risk changes in CRD IV.

European Banking Authority (EBA) recommendation
The EBA issued a recommendation in 2011 that the national regulators should ensure that credit institutions build up a temporary capital buffer to reach a 9% Core Tier 1 ratio by 30 June 2012 (‘the recapitalisation of EU banks’). In its final report on the recapitalisation exercise in October 2012, the EBA stated that once the CRD IV is finally adopted, the 2011 recommendation would be replaced with a new recommendation. The new recommendation will include the requirement for banks to maintain a nominal amount of Core Tier 1 capital as defined by the EBA for the 2011 stress test and recapitalisation recommendation) corresponding to the amount of 9% of the RWAs at 30 June 2012. The Group does not expect the potential floor to become a limiting factor.
 
 
158

 

 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Liquidity, funding and related risks
  2012 achievements and looking forward
160
  Funding sources
161
  - Notes issued
162
  - Deposit and repo funding
163
  - Divisional loan:deposit ratios and funding gaps
163
  - Long-term debt issuance
165
Liquidity
165
  - Liquidity portfolio
165
  - Stressed outflow coverage
167
Basel III liquidity ratios
167
  - Liquidity coverage ratios
167
  - Net stable funding ratio
168
Maturity analysis
169
Encumbrance
169
Non-traded interest rate risk
171
  - Introduction and methodology
171
  - Value-at-risk
172
  - Sensitivity of net interest income
173
Currency risk
174
  - Structural foreign currency exposures
174

 
159

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Liquidity, funding and related risks
Liquidity risk is the risk that the Group is unable to meet its financial obligations, including financing wholesale maturities or customer deposit withdrawals, as and when they fall due. Liquidity risk is highly dependent on company specific characteristics such as the maturity profile and composition of the Group’s assets and liabilities, the quality and marketable value of its liquidity buffer and broader market factors, such as wholesale funding market conditions alongside depositor and investor behaviour.

Safety and soundness of the balance sheet is one of the central pillars of the Group’s restructuring strategy. Effective management of liquidity risk is central to the safety and soundness agenda. The Group’s experiences in 2008 have heavily influenced both the Group’s and other stakeholders’ approach to this area.

2012 achievements and looking forward
The Group continued to make solid progress in pursuit of its safety and soundness agenda throughout 2012, with the majority of its medium-term balance sheet targets now met or exceeded. This is despite particularly volatile wholesale market conditions during most of the year due to ongoing stresses emanating from the eurozone.

The Group has actively reduced short-term wholesale funding and has a lower wholesale funding need compared to earlier years. Progress has largely been due to the continued success in executing the Group’s restructuring efforts, as well as by attracting deposits and continuing to deleverage via the run down of Non-Core and risk reductions in Markets. The Group has a smaller balance sheet that is funded by a diverse and stable deposit base.

The Group is expected to have a lower wholesale funding requirement going forward. The Group will continue to look at accessing the market opportunistically from time to time to further support the Group’s overall funding strategy.

Highlights of 2012 include:
·
The Group’s credit profile improved markedly during the year reflecting the success of its restructuring efforts. Credit default swaps spreads fell by 60% from their 2011 peak and secondary bond spreads on five year maturity have narrowed from c.450 basis points to c.100 basis points.
   
·
The Group repaid all the remaining emergency UK Government funding and liquidity support that was provided to it during 2008-2009 under the Credit Guarantee Scheme and Special Liquidity Scheme.
   
·
The Group resumed coupon payments on hybrid capital securities following the end of the two year coupon payment ban imposed by the European Commission as part of its 2009 State Aid ruling. Coupons remain suspended on Tier 1 instruments issued by RBS Holdings N.V. until the end of April 2013.
   
·
The Group and RBS plc issued a combined £1.0 billion in term debt net of buy-backs, a fraction of the £20.9 billion issued in 2011. Short-term wholesale funding was actively managed down to £41.6 billion from £102.4 billion.
 
 
160

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Liquidity, funding and related risks: 2012 achievements and looking forward (continued)
·
The overall size of the liquidity buffer reduced modestly to £147.2 billion from £155.3 billion reflecting the lower levels of short-term wholesale funding and a smaller balance sheet. This also allowed the Group to alter the ratio of primary to secondary liquid assets within the liquidity buffer to 62%:38% from 77%:23%. This re-weighting, by reducing the holdings of the lowest yielding liquid assets, benefited the Group’s net interest margin, whilst maintaining a higher quality buffer.
   
·
Retail & Commercial deposits grew by £8 billion to £401 billion, with particularly strong growth in UK Retail following successful savings campaigns. Wholesale deposits were allowed to run-off, declining by £11 billion to leave Group deposits £3 billion lower at £434 billion.  
   
·
The Group’s loan:deposit ratio improved from 108% in 2011 to reach management’s medium-term target of 100% at 31 December 2012, with lending fully funded by customer deposits and a corresponding reduction in more volatile short-term wholesale funding. 
   
·
The Group has taken advantage of market conditions through the course of the year to further supplement its capital base.
   
·
RBS Group plc, RBS plc, RBS Citizens Financial Group Inc. and Direct Line Insurance Group plc in aggregate issued £4.8 billion of subordinated liabilities in 2012.
   
·
The Group successfully undertook two public liability management exercises targeting Lower Tier 2 and senior unsecured debt in support of ongoing balance sheet restructuring initiatives.

Funding sources
The table below shows the Group’s principal funding sources excluding repurchase agreements.

 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
       
Deposits by banks
     
 derivative cash collateral
28,585 
28,695 
31,807 
 other deposits
28,489 
29,433 
37,307 
       
 
57,074 
58,128 
69,114 
       
Debt securities in issue
     
 conduit asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP)
2,909 
11,164 
 other commercial paper (CP)
2,873 
2,829 
5,310 
 certificates of deposit (CDs)
2,996 
6,696 
16,367 
 medium-term notes (MTNs)
66,603 
70,417 
105,709 
 covered bonds
10,139 
9,903 
9,107 
 securitisations
11,981 
11,403 
14,964 
       
 
94,592 
104,157 
162,621 
Subordinated liabilities
27,302 
25,309 
26,319 
       
Notes issued
121,894 
129,466 
188,940 
       
Wholesale funding
178,968 
187,594 
258,054 
       
Customer deposits
     
 cash collateral
7,949 
9,642 
9,242 
 other deposits
426,043 
425,238 
427,511 
       
Total customer deposits
433,992 
434,880 
436,753 
       
Total funding
612,960 
622,474 
694,807 

 
161

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Liquidity, funding and related risks: Funding sources (continued)
The table below shows the Group’s wholesale funding by source.

 
Short-term wholesale
funding (1)
 
Total wholesale
funding
 
Net inter-bank
funding (2)
 
Excluding 
 derivative 
collateral 
Including 
 derivative 
 collateral 
 
Excluding 
 derivative 
collateral 
Including 
 derivative 
 collateral 
 
Deposits 
Loans (3)
Net 
 inter-bank 
 funding 
 
£bn 
£bn 
 
£bn 
£bn 
 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
                   
31 December 2012
41.6 
70.2 
 
150.4 
179.0 
 
28.5 
(18.6)
9.9 
30 September 2012
48.5 
77.2 
 
158.9 
187.6 
 
29.4 
(20.2)
9.2 
30 June 2012
62.3 
94.3 
 
181.1 
213.1 
 
35.6 
(22.3)
13.3 
31 March 2012
79.7 
109.1 
 
204.9 
234.3 
 
36.4 
(19.7)
16.7 
31 December 2011
102.4 
134.2 
 
226.2 
258.1 
 
37.3 
(24.3)
13.0 

Notes:
(1)
Short-term wholesale balances denote those with a residual maturity of less than one year and include longer-term issuances.
(2)
Excludes derivative collateral.
(3)
Primarily short-term balances.

Notes issued
The table below shows the Group’s debt securities in issue and subordinated liabilities by residual maturity.
 
Debt securities in issue
     
 
Conduit 
ABCP 
Other 
CP and 
CDs 
MTNs 
Covered 
bonds 
Securit- 
isations 
Total 
Subordinated 
liabilities 
Total 
notes 
issued 
Total 
notes 
issued 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                   
Less than 1 year
5,478 
13,019 
1,038 
761 
20,296 
2,351 
22,647 
18 
1-3 years
385 
20,267 
2,948 
540 
24,140 
7,252 
31,392 
26 
3-5 years
13,374 
2,380 
15,755 
756 
16,511 
14 
More than 5 years
19,943 
3,773 
10,680 
34,401 
16,943 
51,344 
42 
                   
 
5,869 
66,603 
10,139 
11,981 
94,592 
27,302 
121,894 
100 
                   
30 September 2012
                 
                   
Less than 1 year
2,909 
9,079 
13,466 
1,009 
15 
26,478 
1,632 
28,110 
22 
1-3 years
441 
22,477 
2,865 
1,243 
27,026 
5,693 
32,719 
25 
3-5 years
13,221 
2,323 
15,545 
2,272 
17,817 
14 
More than 5 years
21,253 
3,706 
10,145 
35,108 
15,712 
50,820 
39 
                   
 
2,909 
9,525 
70,417 
9,903 
11,403 
104,157 
25,309 
129,466 
100 
                   
31 December 2011
                 
                   
Less than 1 year
11,164 
21,396 
36,302 
27 
68,889 
624 
69,513 
37 
1-3 years
278 
26,595 
2,760 
479 
30,112 
3,338 
33,450 
18 
3-5 years
16,627 
3,673 
20,302 
7,232 
27,534 
14 
More than 5 years
26,185 
2,674 
14,458 
43,318 
15,125 
58,443 
31 
                   
 
11,164 
21,677 
105,709 
9,107 
14,964 
162,621 
26,319 
188,940 
100 

 
162

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Liquidity, funding and related risks: Funding sources (continued)

Deposit and repo funding
The table below shows the composition of the Group’s deposits excluding repos and repo funding.

 
31 December 2012
 
30 September 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Deposits 
Repos 
 
Deposits 
Repos 
 
Deposits 
Repos 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                 
Financial institutions
               
  - central and other banks
57,074 
44,332 
 
58,128 
49,222 
 
69,114 
39,691 
  - other financial institutions
64,237 
86,968 
 
69,697 
92,321 
 
66,009 
86,032 
Personal and corporate deposits
369,755 
1,072 
 
365,183 
1,022 
 
370,744 
2,780 
                 
 
491,066 
132,372 
 
493,008 
142,565 
 
505,867 
128,503 

£173 billion or 40% of the customer deposits included above are insured through the UK Financial Services Compensation Scheme, US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Scheme and other similar schemes. Of the personal and corporate deposits above, 42% related to personal customers and 58% to corporate customers.

Divisional loan:deposit ratios and funding gaps
The table below shows divisional loans, deposits, loan:deposit ratios (LDR) and customer funding gaps.
 
Loans (1)
Deposits (2)
LDR (3)
Funding 
 surplus/ 
(gap) (3)
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
         
UK Retail
110,970 
107,633 
103 
(3,337)
UK Corporate
104,593 
127,070 
82 
22,477 
Wealth
16,965 
38,910 
44 
21,945 
International Banking (4)
39,500 
46,172 
86 
6,672 
Ulster Bank
28,742 
22,059 
130 
(6,683)
US Retail & Commercial
50,726 
59,164 
86 
8,438 
Conduits (4)
2,458 
(2,458)
         
Retail & Commercial
353,954 
401,008 
88 
47,054 
Markets
29,589 
26,346 
112 
(3,243)
Other
3,264 
3,340 
98 
76 
         
Core
386,807 
430,694 
90 
43,887 
Non-Core
45,144 
3,298 
nm 
(41,846)
         
Group
431,951 
433,992 
100 
2,041 

nm = not meaningful

For the notes to this table refer to the following page.

 
163

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Liquidity, funding and related risks: Funding sources (continued)

 
Loans (1)
Deposits (2)
LDR (3)
Funding 
 surplus/ 
(gap) (3)
30 September 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
         
UK Retail
110,267 
105,984 
104 
(4,283)
UK Corporate
105,952 
126,780 
84 
20,828 
Wealth
16,919 
38,692 
44 
21,773 
International Banking (4)
42,154 
41,668 
101 
(486)
Ulster Bank
28,615 
20,278 
141 
(8,337)
US Retail & Commercial
50,116 
59,817 
84 
9,701 
Conduits (4)
4,588 
(4,588)
         
Retail & Commercial
358,611 
393,219 
91 
34,608 
Markets
29,324 
34,348 
85 
5,024 
Other
3,274 
3,388 
97 
114 
         
Core
391,209 
430,955 
91 
39,746 
Non-Core
51,355 
3,925 
nm 
(47,430)
         
Group
442,564 
434,880 
102 
(7,684)

31 December 2011
       
         
UK Retail
107,983 
101,878 
106 
(6,105)
UK Corporate
108,668 
126,309 
86 
17,641 
Wealth
16,834 
38,164 
44 
21,330 
International Banking (4)
46,417 
45,051 
103 
(1,366)
Ulster Bank
31,303 
21,814 
143 
(9,489)
US Retail & Commercial
50,842 
59,984 
85 
9,142 
Conduits (4)
10,504 
(10,504)
         
Retail & Commercial
372,551 
393,200 
95 
20,649 
Markets
31,254 
36,776 
85 
5,522 
Direct Line Group and other
1,196 
2,496 
48 
1,300 
         
Core
405,001 
432,472 
94 
27,471 
Non-Core
68,516 
4,281 
nm 
(64,235)
         
Group
473,517 
436,753 
108 
(36,764)

nm = not meaningful

Notes:
(1)
Excludes reverse repurchase agreements and stock borrowing and net of impairment provisions.
(2)
Excludes repurchase agreements and stock lending.
(3)
Based on loans and advances to customers net of provisions and customer deposits as shown.
(4)
All conduits relate to International Banking and have been extracted and shown separately as they were funded commercial paper issuance until the end of Q3 2012.

 
164

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Liquidity, funding and related risks: Funding sources (continued)

Long-term debt issuance
The table below shows debt securities issued by the Group during the year with an original maturity of one year or more. The Group also executes other long-term funding arrangements (predominantly term repurchase agreements) which are not reflected in the following table.

 
Year ended
 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
30 June 
2012 
31 March 
2012 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
               
Public
             
  - unsecured
1,237 
5,085 
 
1,237 
  - secured
2,127 
9,807 
 
343 
1,784 
Private
             
  - unsecured
4,997 
12,414 
 
781 
1,631 
909 
1,676 
  - secured
500 
 
               
Gross issuance
8,361 
27,806 
 
1,124 
2,868 
909 
3,460 
Buy-backs (1)
(7,355)
(6,892)
 
(2,283)
(2,213)
(1,730)
(1,129)
               
Net issuance
1,006 
20,914 
 
(1,159)
655 
(821)
2,331 

Note:
(1)
Excludes liability management exercises.

Liquidity
Liquidity portfolio
The table below analyses the Group’s liquidity portfolio by product and between the UK Defined Liquidity Group (UK DLG), RBS Citizens Financial Group Inc. (CFG) and other subsidiaries, by liquidity value. Liquidity value is lower than carrying value principally as it is stated after the discounts applied by the Bank of England and other central banks to loans, within secondary liquidity portfolio, eligible for discounting.
 
Liquidity value
 
Period end
 
Average 
 
UK DLG (1)
CFG 
Other 
Total 
 
Quarter 
Year 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
               
Cash and balances at central banks
64,822 
891 
4,396 
70,109 
 
74,794 
81,768 
Central and local government bonds
             
  AAA rated governments and US agencies
3,984 
5,354 
547 
9,885 
 
14,959 
18,832 
  AA- to AA+ rated governments (2)
9,189 
432 
9,621 
 
8,232 
9,300 
  governments rated below AA
206 
206 
 
438 
596 
  local government
979 
979 
 
989 
2,244 
               
 
13,173 
5,354 
2,164 
20,691 
 
24,618 
30,972 
Treasury bills
750 
750 
 
750 
202 
               
Primary liquidity
78,745 
6,245 
6,560 
91,550 
 
100,162 
112,942 
Other assets (3)
             
  AAA rated
3,396 
7,373 
203 
10,972 
 
9,874 
17,304 
  below AAA rated and other high quality assets
44,090 
557 
44,647 
 
41,027 
24,674 
               
Secondary liquidity
47,486 
7,373 
760 
55,619 
 
50,901 
41,978 
               
Total liquidity portfolio
126,231 
13,618 
7,320 
147,169 
 
151,063 
154,920 
               
               
Carrying value
157,574 
20,524 
9,844 
187,942 
     

 
165

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Liquidity, funding and related risks: Liquidity (continued)

 
Liquidity value
 
Period end
 
Average
 
UK DLG (1)
CFG 
Other 
Total 
 
Quarter 
Year 
30 September 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
               
Cash and balances at central banks
64,062 
3,066 
5,435 
72,563 
 
72,734 
84,093 
Central and local government bonds
             
  AAA rated governments and US agencies
10,420 
8,680 
676 
19,776 
 
21,612 
20,123 
  AA- to AA+ rated governments (2)
7,135 
258 
7,393 
 
9,727 
9,656 
  governments rated below AA
647 
647 
 
549 
649 
  local government
988 
988 
 
1,523 
2,663 
               
 
17,555 
8,680 
2,569 
28,804 
 
33,411 
33,091 
Treasury bills
750 
750 
 
54 
19 
               
Primary liquidity
82,367 
11,746 
8,004 
102,117 
 
106,199 
117,203 
Other assets (3)
             
  AAA rated
3,381 
5,446 
8,827 
 
10,365 
19,781 
  below AAA rated and other high quality assets
34,831 
836 
35,667 
 
33,738 
19,223 
               
Secondary liquidity
38,212 
5,446 
836 
44,494 
 
44,103 
39,004 
               
Total liquidity portfolio
120,579 
17,192 
8,840 
146,611 
 
150,302 
156,207 
               
               
Carrying value
143,612 
26,234 
11,051 
180,897 
     

31 December 2011
             
               
Cash and balances at central banks
55,100 
1,406 
13,426 
69,932 
 
89,377 
74,711 
Central and local government bonds
             
  AAA rated governments and US agencies
22,563 
7,044 
25 
29,632 
 
30,421 
37,947 
  AA- to AA+ rated governments (2)
14,102 
14,102 
 
5,056 
3,074 
  governments rated below AA
955 
955 
 
1,011 
925 
  local government
4,302 
4,302 
 
4,517 
4,779 
               
 
36,665 
7,044 
5,282 
48,991 
 
41,005 
46,725 
Treasury bills
 
444 
5,937 
               
Primary liquidity
91,765 
8,450 
18,708 
118,923 
 
130,826 
127,373 
Other assets (3)
             
  AAA rated
17,216 
4,718 
3,268 
25,202 
 
25,083 
21,973 
  below AAA rated and other high quality assets
6,105 
5,100 
11,205 
 
11,400 
12,102 
               
Secondary liquidity
23,321 
4,718 
8,368 
36,407 
 
36,483 
34,075 
               
Total liquidity portfolio
115,086 
13,168 
27,076 
155,330 
 
167,309 
161,448 
               
               
Carrying value
135,754 
25,624 
32,117 
193,495 
     

Notes:
(1)
The FSA regulated UK Defined Liquidity Group (UK DLG) comprises the Group’s five UK banks: The Royal Bank of Scotland plc, National Westminster Bank Plc, Ulster Bank Limited, Coutts & Co and Adam & Co.  In addition, certain of the Group's significant operating subsidiaries - RBS N.V., RBS Citizens Financial Group Inc. (CFG) and Ulster Bank Ireland Limited (UBIL) - hold locally managed portfolios of liquid assets that comply with local regulations that may differ  from FSA rules.
(2)
Includes US government guaranteed and US government sponsored agencies.
(3)
Includes assets eligible for discounting at the Bank of England and other central banks.

 
166

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Liquidity, funding and related risks: Liquidity (continued)

Stressed outflow coverage
The Group’s liquidity risk appetite is measured by reference to the liquidity buffer as a percentage of stressed contractual and behavioural outflows under the worst of three severe stress scenarios as envisaged under the FSA regime. Liquidity risk is expressed as a surplus of liquid assets over three months’ stressed outflows under the worst of a market-wide stress, an idiosyncratic stress and a combination of both. At 31 December 2012, the Group’s liquidity buffer was 128% of the worst case stress requirements.

Basel III liquidity ratios
Liquidity coverage ratios
In January 2013, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision issued its revised draft guidance for calculating the liquidity coverage ratio (LCR), which is currently expected to come into force from 1 January 2015 on a phased basis. Pending the finalisation of the definitions, the Group monitors the LCR and the net stable funding ratio (NSFR) in its internal reporting framework based on its interpretation and expectation of the final rules. On this basis, as of 31 December 2012, the Group’s LCR was over 100% and the NSFR 117%.

At present there is a broad range of interpretations on how to calculate the NSFR and, especially, the LCR due to the lack of a commonly agreed market standard. There are also inconsistencies between the current regulatory approach of the FSA and that being proposed in the LCR with respect to the treatment of unencumbered assets that could be pledged to central banks via a discount window facility. This makes meaningful comparisons of the LCR between institutions difficult. The Group will continue to work with regulators and industry groups to measure and report the impact of the rules as they are finalised. Assumptions will be refined as regulatory interpretations evolve.

 
167

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Liquidity, funding and related risks: Basel III liquidity ratio (continued)

Net stable funding ratio
The table below shows the composition of the Group’s NSFR, estimated by applying the Basel III guidance issued in December 2010. The Group’s NSFR will also continue to be refined over time in line with regulatory developments and related interpretations. It may also be calculated on a basis that may differ from other financial institutions.

 
31 December 2012
 
30 September 2012
 
31 December 2011
   
   
ASF (1)
   
ASF (1)
   
ASF (1)
 
Weighting 
 
£bn 
£bn 
 
£bn 
£bn 
 
£bn 
£bn 
 
                     
Equity
70 
70 
 
74 
74 
 
76 
76 
 
100 
Wholesale funding > 1 year
109 
109 
 
111 
111 
 
124 
124 
 
100 
Wholesale funding < 1 year
70 
 
77 
 
134 
 
Derivatives
434 
 
462 
 
524 
 
Repurchase agreements
132 
 
143 
 
129 
 
Deposits
                   
  - retail and SME - more stable
203 
183 
 
232 
209 
 
227 
204 
 
90 
  - retail and SME - less stable
66 
53 
 
32 
26 
 
31 
25 
 
80 
  - other
164 
82 
 
170 
85 
 
179 
89 
 
50 
Other (2)
64 
 
76 
 
83 
 
                     
Total liabilities and equity
1,312 
497 
 
1,377 
505 
 
1,507 
518 
   
                     
Cash
79 
 
80 
 
79 
 
Inter-bank lending
29 
 
38 
 
44 
 
Debt securities > 1 year
                   
  - governments AAA to AA-
64 
 
71 
 
77 
 
  - other eligible bonds
48 
10 
 
58 
12 
 
73 
15 
 
20 
  - other bonds
19 
19 
 
19 
19 
 
14 
14 
 
100 
Debt securities < 1 year
26 
 
30 
 
45 
 
Derivatives
442 
 
468 
 
530 
 
Reverse repurchase agreements
105 
 
98 
 
101 
 
Customer loans and advances > 1 year
                   
  - residential mortgages
145 
94 
 
148 
96 
 
145 
94 
 
65 
  - other
136 
136 
 
144 
144 
 
173 
173 
 
100 
Customer loans and advances < 1 year
                   
  - retail loans
18 
15 
 
18 
15 
 
19 
16 
 
85 
  - other
131 
66 
 
132 
66 
 
137 
69 
 
50 
Other (3)
70 
70 
 
73 
73 
 
70 
70 
 
100 
                     
Total assets
1,312 
413 
 
1,377 
429 
 
1,507 
455 
   
Undrawn commitments
216 
11 
 
221 
11 
 
240 
12 
 
                     
Total assets and undrawn commitments
1,528 
424 
 
1,598 
440 
 
1,747 
467 
   
                     
Net stable funding ratio
 
117% 
   
115% 
   
111% 
   

Notes:
(1)
Available stable funding.
(2)
Deferred tax, insurance liabilities and other liabilities.
(3)
Prepayments, accrued income, deferred tax, settlement balances and other assets.

Key point
·
NSFR improved from 111% at 31 December 2011 to 117% at the end of 2012. Long-term wholesale funding declined by £15 billion in line with Markets' strategy, and funding requirement relating to long-term lending decreased by £37 billion, reflecting de-risking, sales and repayments in Non-Core.

 
168

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Liquidity, funding and related risks (continued)

Maturity analysis
The contractual maturity of balance sheet assets and liabilities highlights the maturity transformation which underpins the role of banks to lend long-term, but to fund themselves predominantly through short-term liabilities such as customer deposits. This is achieved through the diversified funding franchise of the Group across an extensive customer base, and across a wide geographic network. In practice, the behavioural profiles of many liabilities exhibit greater stability and longer maturity than the contractual maturity. This is particularly true of many types of retail and corporate deposits which whilst may be repayable on demand or at short notice, have demonstrated very stable characteristics even in periods of acute stress such as those experienced in 2008. The table below illustrates the contractual and behavioural maturity analysis of Retail & Commercial customer deposits.

 
Less than 
1 year 
1-5 years 
More than 
5 years 
Total 
 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
         
Contractual maturity
381 
20 
402 
Behavioural maturity
146 
219 
37 
402 

Encumbrance
The Group reviews all assets against the criteria of being able to finance them in a secured form (encumbrance) but certain asset types lend themselves more readily to encumbrance. The typical characteristics that support encumbrance are an ability to pledge those assets to another counterparty or entity through operation of law without necessarily requiring prior notification, homogeneity, predictable and measurable cash flows, and a consistent and uniform underwriting and collection process. Retail assets including residential mortgages, credit card receivables and personal loans display many of these features.

From time to time the Group encumbers assets to serve as collateral to support certain wholesale funding initiatives. The three principal forms of encumbrance are own asset securitisations, covered bonds and securities repurchase agreements. The Group categorises its assets into three broad groups; assets that are:
·
already encumbered and used to support funding currently in place via own asset securitisations, covered bonds and securities repurchase agreements.
   
·
not currently encumbered but can for instance be used to access funding from market counterparties or central bank facilities as part of the Group’s contingency funding.
   
·
not currently encumbered. In this category the Group has in place an enablement programme which seeks to identify assets which are capable of being encumbered and to identify actions to facilitate such encumbrance whilst not impacting customer relationships or servicing.

The Group’s encumbrance ratios are set out below.
Encumbrance ratios
2012 
2011 
     
Total
18 
19 
Excluding balances relating to derivative transactions
22 
26 
Excluding balances relating to derivative and securities financing transactions
13 
19 

 
169

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Liquidity, funding and related risks: Encumbrance (continued)

Assets encumbrance
 
 
Encumbered assets relating to:
 
Encumbered 
assets as a 
% of related 
total assets 
  Liquidity  portfolio  £bn      Other      Total 
 
Debt securities in issue
 
Other secured liabilities
Total 
encumbered 
assets 
     
 
Securitisations 
and conduits 
Covered 
bonds 
 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Secured 
borrowings 
     
 
£bn 
£bn 
 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
   
£bn 
 
£bn 
                               
Cash and balances at central banks
5.3 
0.5 
 
5.8 
 
7
 
70.2 
 
3.3 
 
79.3 
Loans and advances to banks (1)
 
12.8 
12.8 
 
41 
 
 
18.5 
 
31.3 
Loans and advances to customers (1)
                             
  - UK residential mortgages
16.4 
16.0 
 
32.4 
 
30 
 
58.7 
 
18.0 
 
109.1 
  - Irish residential mortgages
10.6 
 
1.8 
12.4 
 
81 
 
 
2.9 
 
15.3 
  - US residential mortgages
 
 
 
7.6 
 
14.1 
 
21.7 
  - UK credit cards
3.0 
 
3.0 
 
44 
 
 
3.8 
 
6.8 
  - UK personal loans
4.7 
 
4.7 
 
41 
 
 
6.8 
 
11.5 
  - other
20.7 
 
22.5 
0.8 
44.0 
 
16 
 
6.5 
 
217.1 
 
267.6 
Debt securities
1.0 
 
8.3 
91.2 
15.2 
115.7 
 
70 
 
22.3 
 
26.6 
 
164.6 
Equity shares
 
0.7 
6.8 
7.5 
 
49 
 
 
7.7 
 
15.2 
                               
 
61.7 
16.5 
 
44.3 
98.0 
17.8 
238.3 
     
165.3 
 
318.8 
 
722.4 
Own asset securitisations
                   
22.6 
       
                               
Total liquidity portfolio
                   
187.9 
       
                             
Liabilities secured
                           
Intra-Group - used for secondary liquidity
(22.6)
 
(22.6)
             
Intra-Group - other
(23.9)
 
(23.9)
             
Third-party (2)
(12.0)
(10.1)
 
(60.4)
(132.4)
(15.3)
(230.2)
             
                             
 
(58.5)
(10.1)
 
(60.4)
(132.4)
(15.3)
(276.7)
             
                             
Total assets
           
1,312 
             
Total assets excluding derivatives
           
870 
             
Total assets excluding derivatives and reverse repos
       
766 
             

Notes:
(1)
Excludes reverse repos.
(2)
In accordance with market practice the Group employs its own assets and securities received under reverse repo transactions as collateral for repos.

 
170

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Liquidity, funding and related risks: Encumbrance (continued)

Key points
The Group’s encumbrance ratio dropped marginally from 19% to 18%.
   
31% of the Groups residential mortgage portfolio was encumbered at 31 December 2012.

Non-traded interest rate risk
Introduction and methodology
Non-traded interest rate risk impacts earnings arising from the Group’s banking activities. This excludes positions in financial instruments which are classified as held-for-trading, or hedging items.

The Group provides a range of financial products to meet a variety of customer requirements. These products differ with regard to repricing frequency, tenor, indexation, prepayments, optionality and other features. When aggregated, they form portfolios of assets and liabilities with varying degrees of sensitivity to changes in market rates.

Mismatches in these sensitivities give rise to net interest income (NII) volatility as interest rates rise and fall. For example, a bank with a floating rate loan portfolio and largely fixed rate deposits will see its net interest income rise, as interest rates rise and fall as rates decline. Due to the long-term nature of many banking book portfolios, varied interest rate repricing characteristics and maturities, it is likely the NII will vary from period to period, even if interest rates remain the same. New business volumes originated in any period, will alter the interest rate sensitivity of a bank if the resulting portfolio differs from portfolios originated in prior periods.

The Group policy is to manage interest rate sensitivity in banking book portfolios within defined risk limits. With the exception of CFG and Markets, interest rate risk is transferred from the divisions to Group Treasury. Aggregate positions are then hedged externally using cash and derivative instruments, primarily interest rate swaps, to manage exposures within Group Asset and Liability Management Committee (GALCO) approved limits.

The Group assesses interest rate risk in the banking book (IRRBB) using a set of standards to define, measure and report the risk. These standards incorporate the expected divergence between contractual terms and the actual behaviour of fixed rate loan portfolios due to refinancing incentives and the risks associated with structural hedges of interest rate insensitive balances, which relates to the stability of the underlying portfolio.

Key measures used to evaluate IRRBB are subject to approval by divisional Asset and Liability Management Committees (ALCOs) and GALCO. Limits on IRRBB are proposed by the Group Treasurer for approval by the Executive Risk Forum annually. Residual risk positions are reported on a regular basis to divisional ALCOs and monthly to the Group Balance Sheet Management Committee, GALCO, the Executive Risk Forum and the Group Board.
 
 
171

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Liquidity, funding and related risks: Non-traded interest rate risk (continued)
The Group uses a variety of approaches to quantify its interest rate risk encompassing both earnings and value metrics. IRRBB is measured using a version of the same value-at-risk (VaR) methodology that is used for the Group’s trading portfolios. Net interest income exposures are measured in terms of earnings sensitivity over time against movements in interest rates.

Value-at-risk
VaR metrics are based on interest rate repricing gap reports as at the reporting date. These incorporate customer products and associated funding and hedging transactions as well as non-financial assets and liabilities such as property, plant and equipment, capital and reserves. Behavioural assumptions are applied as appropriate.

The VaR does not provide a dynamic measurement of interest rate risk since static underlying repricing gap positions are assumed. Changes in customer behaviour under varying interest rate scenarios are captured by way of earnings risk measures. IRRBB VaR for the Group’s Retail and Commercial banking activities at 99% confidence level and currency analysis of period end VaR were as follows:

 
Average 
Period end 
Maximum 
Minimum 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
         
31 December 2012
46 
21 
65 
20 
31 December 2011
63 
51 
80 
44 

 
31 December 
2012 
£m 
31 December 
2011 
£m 
     
Euro
19 
26 
Sterling
17 
57 
US dollar
15 
61 
Other

Key points
·
Interest rate exposure at 31 December 2012 was considerably lower than at 31 December 2011 and average exposure was 27% lower in 2012 than in 2011.
   
·
The reduction in VaR seen across all currencies reflects closer matching of the Group’s structural interest rate hedges to the behavioural maturity profile of the hedged liabilities as well as changes to the VaR methodology.
   
·
It is estimated that the change in methodology reduced VaR by £13.8 million (33%) on implementation.

 
172

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Liquidity, funding and related risks: Non-traded interest rate risk (continued)

Sensitivity of net interest income
Earnings sensitivity to rate movements is derived from a central forecast over a twelve month period. Market implied forward rates and new business volume, mix and pricing consistent with business assumptions are used to generate a base case earnings forecast.

The following table shows the sensitivity of net interest income, over the next twelve months, to an immediate upward or downward change of 100 basis points to all interest rates. In addition, the table includes the impact of a gradual 400 basis point steepening and a gradual 300 basis point flattening of the yield curve at tenors greater than a year.

 
Euro 
Sterling 
US dollar 
Other 
Total 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
           
+ 100 basis points shift in yield curves
(29)
472 
119 
27 
589 
– 100 basis points shift in yield curves
(20)
(257)
(29)
(11)
(317)
Bear steepener
       
216 
Bull flattener
       
(77)
           
31 December 2011
         
           
+ 100 basis points shift in yield curves
(19)
190 
59 
14 
244 
– 100 basis points shift in yield curves
25 
(188)
(4)
(16)
(183)
Bear steepener
       
443 
Bull flattener
       
(146)

Key points
·
The Group’s interest rate exposure remains asset sensitive, in that rising rates have a positive impact on net interest margins. The scale of this benefit has increased since 2011.
   
·
The primary contributors to the increased sensitivity to a 100 basis points parallel shift in the yield curve are changes to underlying business pricing assumptions and assumptions in respect of the risk of early repayment of consumer loans and deposits. The latter incorporates revisions to pricing strategies and consumer behaviour.
   
·
The impact of the steepening and flattening scenarios is largely driven by the reinvestment of structural hedges. The year on year change reflected a change to a longer term hedging programme implemented in 2010.
   
·
The reported sensitivities will vary over time due to a number of factors such as market conditions and strategic changes to the balance sheet mix and should not therefore be considered predictive of future performance.

 
173

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Liquidity, funding and related risks (continued)

Currency risk: Structural foreign currency exposures
The Group does not maintain material non-traded open currency positions other than the structural foreign currency translation exposures arising from its investments in foreign subsidiaries and associated undertakings and their related currency funding.

The table below shows the Group’s structural foreign currency exposures.

31 December 2012
Net 
assets of 
overseas 
operations 
RFS 
MI 
Net 
investments 
in foreign 
operations 
Net 
investment 
hedges 
Structural 
foreign 
currency 
exposures 
pre-economic 
hedges 
Economic 
hedges (1)
Residual 
structural 
foreign 
currency 
exposures 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
               
US dollar
17,313 
17,312 
(2,476)
14,836 
(3,897)
10,939 
Euro
8,903 
8,901 
(636)
8,265 
(2,179)
6,086 
Other non-sterling
4,754 
260 
4,494 
(3,597)
897 
897 
               
 
30,970 
263 
30,707 
(6,709)
23,998 
(6,076)
17,922 
               
31 December 2011
             
               
US dollar
17,570 
17,569 
(2,049)
15,520 
(4,071)
11,449 
Euro
8,428 
(3)
8,431 
(621)
7,810 
(2,236)
5,574 
Other non-sterling
5,224 
272 
4,952 
(4,100)
852 
852 
               
 
31,222 
270 
30,952 
(6,770)
24,182 
(6,307)
17,875 

Note:
(1)
The economic hedges represents US dollar and euro preference shares in issue that are treated as equity under IFRS and do not qualify as hedges for accounting purposes.

Key points
·
The Group’s structural foreign currency exposure at 31 December 2012 was £24.0 billion and £17.9 billion before and after economic hedges respectively, broadly unchanged from the end of 2011.
   
·
Changes in foreign currency exchange rates affect equity in proportion to structural foreign currency exposure. A 5% strengthening in foreign currency against sterling would result in a gain of £1.3 billion (31 December 2011 - £1.3 billion) in equity, while a 5% weakening would result in a loss of £1.1 billion (31 December 2011 - £1.2 billion) in equity.
   
·
In 2012, the Group recorded a loss through other comprehensive income of £0.9 billion due to the strengthening of sterling against the US dollar and the euro.

 
174

 
 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk
Introduction
176
   
Top and emerging credit risks
176
   
Financial assets
179
Exposure summary
179
Sector concentration
180
Asset quality
184
Debt securities
189
  - IFRS measurement classification by issuer
189
  - AFS reserves by issuer
190
  - Ratings
191
  - Asset-backed securities
192
Equity shares
193
Derivatives
195
  - Summary
195
  - Credit derivatives
196
   
Problem debt management
 
Renegotiations and forbearance
197
Wholesale renegotiations
197
  - Asset quality
197
  - Renegotiation arrangements
198
Retail forbearance
199
  - Arrears status and provisions
199
  - Forbearance arrangements
200
Risk elements in lending (REIL)
202
REIL, provisions and impairments
202
  - Divisional analysis
202
  - Sector and geographical regional analysis
204
  - REIL flow statement
210
  - Impairment provisions flow statement
211
  - Impairment charge analysis
213
   
Key credit portfolios
 
Commercial real estate
215
Residential mortgages
221
Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core)
226
 
175

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk
Introduction
Credit risk is the risk of financial loss due to the failure of a customer or counterparty to meet its obligation to settle outstanding amounts. The credit risk that the Group faces arises mainly from wholesale and retail lending, provision of contingent obligations (such as letters of credit and guarantees) and counterparty credit risk arising from derivative contracts and securities financing transactions entered into with customers. Other material risks covered by the Group’s credit risk management framework are:

·
Concentration risk - the risk of an outsized loss due to the concentration of credit risk to a specific asset class or product, industry sector, customer or counterparty, or country.
   
·
Settlement risk - the intra-day risk that arises when the Group releases funds prior to confirmed receipt of value from a third party.
   
·
Issuer risk - the risk of loss on a tradable instrument (e.g. bond) due to default by the issuer.
   
·
Wrong way risk - the risk of loss that arises when the risk factors driving the exposure to a counterparty are positively correlated with the probability of default for that counterparty.
   
·
Credit mitigation risk - the risk that credit risk mitigation (for example, taking a legal charge over property to secure a customer loan) is not enforceable or that the value of such mitigation decreases, thus leading to unanticipated losses.

Top and emerging credit risks
The quantum and nature of credit risk assumed across the Group’s different businesses vary considerably, while the overall credit risk outcome usually exhibits a high degree of correlation with the macroeconomic environment. The Group therefore remains sensitive to the economic conditions within the geographies in which it operates, in particular the UK, Ireland, the US and the eurozone.

The following credit risks continue to be the focus of management attention.

Irish property market
The continuing challenging economic climate within Ireland has resulted in impairment levels for Irish portfolios remaining at elevated levels. In particular, high unemployment, austerity measures and general economic uncertainty have reduced real estate lease rentals. This, together with limited liquidity, has depressed asset values and reduced consumer spending with a consequent downward impact on the commercial real estate portfolio as well as broader impacts on Ulster Bank Group’s mortgage and small and medium enterprise (SME) lending portfolios. Further details on Ulster Bank Group’s credit risk profile can be found on pages 226 to 229.

Commercial real estate
While progress has been made in reducing the overall exposure and rebalancing the portfolio, commercial real estate remains a key credit concentration risk for the Group. The Group has continued to strengthen its approach to managing sector concentration risk, with a particular focus on additional controls for the commercial real estate portfolio.

However, the credit performance remains sensitive to the economic environment in the UK and Ireland. Although some improvements have been seen in commercial real estate values across prime locations, secondary and tertiary values remain subdued.

 
176

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Top and emerging credit risks (continued)
Refinancing risk remains a focus of management attention and is assessed throughout the credit risk management life cycle. In particular, it is considered as part of the early problem recognition and impairment assessment processes.

Further details on the Group’s exposure to commercial real estate can be found on page 215.

Eurozone troubles
The ongoing impact of the troubles in the eurozone continued to be felt most significantly in the banking sector, where widening credit spreads and regulatory demand for increases in Tier 1 capital and liquidity exacerbated the risk management challenges already posed by the sector’s continued weakness, as provisions and write-downs remain elevated.

A material percentage of global banking activity in risk mitigation now passes through the balance sheets of the top global players, increasing the systemic risks to the banking sector. The Group’s exposures to these banks continue to be closely managed. In particular, the Group has intensified its management of settlement risk through ongoing review of the level of risk and the operational controls in place to manage it, together with proactive actions to reduce limits. The weaker banks in the eurozone also remained subject to heightened scrutiny and the Group’s risk appetite for these banks was adjusted throughout 2012.

The Group has continued to focus on operational preparations for possible sovereign defaults and/or eurozone exits. The Group has also considered initiatives to determine and reduce redenomination risk. Further actions to mitigate risks and strengthen control in the eurozone typically included taking guarantees or insurance, updating collateral agreements, and tightening certain credit pre-approval processes.

The Group has a material exposure to Spanish AFS debt securities issued by banks and other financial institutions of £4.8 billion at 31 December 2012, predominately comprised of covered bonds backed by mortgages. Whilst the exposure was reduced by £1.6 billion during 2012, largely as a result of sales, the portfolio continues to be subject to heightened scrutiny, including undertaking stress analysis.

Further details on the Group’s approach to managing country risk and the risks faced within the eurozone can be found on pages 238 to 284.


 
177

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Top and emerging credit risks (continued)

Shipping
The downturn observed in the shipping sector since 2008 has continued, with an oversupply of vessels leading to lower asset prices and charter rates. The Group has continued to manage exposures within this portfolio intensively, with an increasing number of customers managed under the Group’s Watchlist process. The financed fleet comprises modern vessels with experienced operators and despite the difficult market conditions impairments to date have remained low. However, impairment levels remain vulnerable to a continuing underperforming market.

Further details on the Group’s shipping portfolio can be found on page 183.

Retailers
Given the cyclical nature of the retail corporate sector and its sensitivity to stressed economic conditions, the Group has continued to apply heightened scrutiny to this portfolio. Despite some high-profile failures of UK high street retailers, loss experience on the RBS retail portfolio remained low during 2012 as a result of active management. The portfolio is generally well diversified by geography and by counterparty.

Central counterparties (CCPs)
New regulation requiring greater use of CCPs for clearing over-the-counter derivatives across the industry is aimed at reducing systemic risk in the banking sector. RBS welcomes this move but recognises that the Group’s concentration risk to CCPs will rise thus exchanging concentration risk to individual counterparties for concentration risk to CCPs. CCPs are vulnerable to a significant member default, fraud and increased operational risk if their infrastructure is not developed commensurate with increased activity they undertake.

In response to this industry change, the Group has developed a tailored risk appetite and risk control framework. The Group’s central counterparty exposure is dominated by a small number of well-established, high quality and reputable clearing houses.

Renegotiations and forbearance
RBS uses renegotiations and forbearance as management tools to support viable customers through difficult financial periods in their lives or during business cycles. Used wisely, they can reduce the incidence of personal insolvency, as well as bankruptcies for otherwise successful enterprises. On a broader scale they can also help reduce the impact of “fire sale” pricing on real economic assets. However, they must be used selectively and require additional management vigilance throughout the loan life cycle. The Group has continued to take steps to improve its management and reporting of such loans within both corporate and retail businesses.

Further details on forbearance can be found on page 200.

 
178

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk (continued)

Financial assets
Exposure summary
The table below analyses the Group’s financial asset exposures, both gross and net of offset arrangements.
 
Gross 
exposure 
IFRS 
offset (1)
Carrying 
value 
Non-IFRS 
offset (2)
Exposure 
post offset 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
           
Cash and balances at central banks
79,308 
79,308 
79,308 
Reverse repos
143,207 
(38,377)
104,830 
(17,439)
87,391 
Lending (3)
464,691 
(1,460)
463,231 
(34,941)
428,290 
Debt securities
164,624 
164,624 
164,624 
Equity shares
15,237 
15,237 
15,237 
Derivatives (4)
815,394 
(373,476)
441,918 
(408,004)
33,914 
Settlement balances
8,197 
(2,456)
5,741 
(1,760)
3,981 
Other financial assets
924 
924 
924 
           
Total
1,691,582 
(415,769)
1,275,813 
(462,144)
813,669 
Short positions
(27,591)
(27,591)
(27,591)
           
Net of short positions
1,663,991 
(415,769)
1,248,222 
(462,144)
786,078 
           
31 December 2011
         
           
Cash and balances at central banks
79,396 
79,396 
79,396 
Reverse repos
138,539 
(37,605)
100,934 
(15,246)
85,688 
Lending (3)
517,474 
517,474 
(41,129)
476,345 
Debt securities
209,080 
209,080 
209,080 
Equity shares
15,188 
15,188 
15,188 
Derivatives (4)
1,074,548 
(544,491)
530,057 
(478,848)
51,209 
Settlement balances
9,144 
(1,359)
7,785 
(2,221)
5,564 
Other financial assets
1,309 
1,309 
1,309 
           
Total
2,044,678 
(583,455)
1,461,223 
(537,444)
923,779 
Short positions
(41,039)
(41,039)
(41,039)
           
Net of short positions
2,003,639 
(583,455)
1,420,184 
(537,444)
882,740 

Notes:
(1)
Relates to offset arrangements that comply with IFRS criteria and to transactions cleared through and novated to central clearing houses, primarily London Clearing House and US Government Securities Clearing Corporation.
(2)
This reflects the amounts by which the Group’s credit risk is reduced through arrangements such as master netting agreements and cash management pooling. In addition, the Group holds collateral in respect of individual loans and advances. This collateral includes mortgages over property (both personal and commercial); charges over business assets such as plant, inventories and trade debtors; and guarantees of lending from parties other than the borrower. The Group also obtains collateral in the form of securities relating to reverse repo and derivative transactions.
(3)
Lending non-IFRS offset includes cash collateral posted against derivative liabilities of £24.6 billion, (31 December 2011 - £31.4 billion) and cash management pooling of £10.3 billion, (31 December 2011 - £9.8 billion).
(4)
Derivative non-IFRS offset includes cash collateral received against derivative assets of £34 billion (31 December 2011 - £37.2 billion). Refer to page 195.


 
179

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets (continued)

Sector concentration
The table below analyses financial assets by sector.
 
   
Lending
 
Securities
 
 
   
 
   
Reverse 
repos 
Core 
Non-Core 
Total 
 
Debt 
Equity 
 
Derivatives 
 
Other 
 
Balance 
sheet value 
 
Other 
offset 
 
Exposure 
post offset (1)
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                         
Government (2)
441 
8,485 
1,368 
9,853 
 
97,339 
5,791 
591 
114,015 
(5,151)
108,864 
Financial institutions
- banks (3)
34,783 
30,917 
477 
31,394 
 
11,555 
1,643 
335,521 
79,308 
494,204 
(341,103)
153,101 
 
- other (4)
69,256 
39,658 
2,540 
42,198 
 
50,104 
2,672 
80,817 
5,591 
250,638 
(97,589)
153,049 
Personal
- mortgages
146,770 
2,855 
149,625 
 
149,625 
149,625 
 
- unsecured
31,247 
965 
32,212 
 
32,216 
32,216 
Property
43,602 
28,617 
72,219 
 
774 
318 
4,118 
77,429 
(1,333)
76,096 
Construction
6,020 
2,029 
8,049 
 
17 
264 
820 
9,150 
(1,687)
7,463 
Manufacturing
326 
22,234 
1,553 
23,787 
 
836 
1,639 
1,759 
144 
28,491 
(3,775)
24,716 
Finance leases (5)
9,201 
4,408 
13,609 
 
82 
13 
13,705 
13,705 
Retail, wholesale and repairs
20,842 
1,094 
21,936 
 
461 
1,807 
914 
41 
25,159 
(1,785)
23,374 
Transport and storage
14,590 
3,751 
18,341 
 
659 
 382 
3,397 
22,781 
(3,240)
19,541 
Health, education and leisure
15,770 
935 
16,705 
 
314 
554 
904 
59 
18,536 
(964)
17,572 
Hotels and restaurants
6,891 
986 
7,877 
 
144 
51 
493 
11 
8,576 
(348)
8,228 
Utilities
5,131 
1,500 
6,631 
 
1,311 
638 
3,170 
50 
11,800 
(2,766)
9,034 
Other
24 
26,315 
3,742 
30,057 
 
1,886 
5,380 
4,201 
172 
41,720 
(2,403)
39,317 
                         
Total gross of provisions
104,830 
427,673 
56,820 
484,493 
 
165,482 
15,349 
441,918 
85,973 
1,298,045 
(462,144)
835,901 
Provisions
(10,062)
(11,200)
(21,262)
 
(858)
(112)
(22,232)
n/a 
(22,232)
                         
Total
104,830 
417,611 
45,620 
463,231 
 
164,624 
15,237 
441,918 
85,973 
1,275,813 
(462,144)
813,669 

For the notes to this table refer to page 181.

 
RBS Group – Annual Results 2012
 
180

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets: Sector concentration (continued)

   
Lending
 
Securities
 
 
   
 
   
Reverse 
repos 
Core 
Non-Core 
Total 
 
Debt 
Equity 
 
Derivatives 
 
Other 
 
Balance 
sheet value 
 
Other 
offset 
 
Exposure 
post offset (1)
31 December 2011
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                         
Government (2)
2,247 
8,359 
1,383 
9,742 
 
125,543 
5,541 
641 
143,714 
(1,098)
142,616 
Financial institutions
- banks (3)
39,345 
43,374 
706 
44,080 
 
16,940 
2,218 
400,261 
79,396 
582,240 
(407,457)
174,783 
 
- other (4)
58,478 
48,598 
3,272 
51,870 
 
60,628 
2,501 
98,255 
7,451 
279,183 
(119,717)
159,466 
Personal
- mortgages
144,171 
5,102 
149,273 
 
149,273 
149,273 
 
- unsecured
32,868 
1,556 
34,424 
 
52 
34,476 
(7)
34,469 
Property
42,994 
38,064 
81,058 
 
573 
175 
4,599 
86,406 
(1,274)
85,132 
Construction
7,197 
2,672 
9,869 
 
50 
53 
946 
10,918 
(1,139)
9,779 
Manufacturing
254 
23,708 
4,931 
28,639 
 
664 
1,938 
3,786 
306 
35,587 
(2,214)
33,373 
Finance leases (5)
8,440 
6,059 
14,499 
 
145 
75 
14,721 
(16)
14,705 
Retail, wholesale and repairs
22,039 
2,339 
24,378 
 
645 
2,652 
1,134 
18 
28,827 
(1,671)
27,156 
Transport and storage
436 
16,581 
5,477 
22,058 
 
539 
74 
3,759 
26,866 
(241)
26,625 
Health, education and leisure
16,073 
1,419 
17,492 
 
310 
21 
885 
18,708 
(973)
17,735 
Hotels and restaurants
7,709 
1,161 
8,870 
 
116 
671 
9,662 
(184)
9,478 
Utilities
6,557 
1,849 
8,406 
 
1,530 
554 
3,708 
30 
14,228 
(450)
13,778 
Other
174 
28,769 
4,721 
33,490 
 
3,785 
5,136 
6,437 
595 
49,617 
(1,003)
48,614 
                         
Total gross of provisions
100,934 
457,437 
80,711 
538,148 
 
211,468 
15,329 
530,057 
88,490 
1,484,426 
(537,444)
946,982 
Provisions
(9,187)
(11,487)
(20,674)
 
(2,388)
(141)
(23,203)
n/a 
(23,203)
                         
Total
100,934 
448,250 
69,224 
517,474 
 
209,080 
15,188 
530,057 
88,490 
1,461,223 
(537,444)
923,779 

Notes:
(1)
This shows the amount by which the Group’s credit risk exposure is reduced through arrangements, such as master netting agreements, which give the Group a legal right to set off the financial asset against a financial liability due to the same counterparty. In addition, the Group holds collateral in respect of individual loans and advances to banks and customers. This collateral includes mortgages over property (both personal and commercial); charges over business assets such as plant, inventories and trade debtors; and guarantees of lending from parties other than the borrower. The Group obtains collateral in the form of securities in reverse repurchase agreements. Cash and securities are received as collateral in respect of derivative transactions.
(2)
Includes central and local government.
(3)
Financial institutions in banks includes £79.3 billion (31 December 2011 - £79.3 billion; 31 December 2010 - £57.0 billion) relating to cash and balances at central banks.
(4)
Loans made by the Group's consolidated conduits to asset owning companies are included within Finance.
(5)
Includes instalment credit.

 
RBS Group – Annual Results 2012
 
181

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets: Sector concentration (continued)

Key points
·
Financial asset exposures after offset decreased by £110 billion or 12% to £814 billion, reflecting the Group’s focus on reducing its funded balance sheet, primarily in Non-Core, Markets and International Banking.
   
·
Reductions were across all major balance sheet categories: lending (£54 billion), debt securities (£44 billion) and derivatives (£88 billion). Conditions in the financial markets and the Group’s focus on risk appetite and sector concentration had a direct impact on the composition of its portfolio during the year.
   
·
Exposures to central and local governments decreased by £34 billion principally in debt securities. This was driven by Markets de-risking its balance sheet, management of the Group Treasury liquidity portfolio as well as overall risk reduction in respect of eurozone exposures. The Group’s portfolio comprises exposures to central governments and sub-sovereigns such as local authorities, primarily in the Group’s key markets in the UK, Western Europe and the US.
   
·
Exposure to financial institutions was £28 billion lower, across securities, loans and derivatives, driven by economy-wide subdued activity.
 
The banking sector is one of the largest in the Group’s portfolio. The sector is well diversified geographically and by exposure with derivative exposures being largely collateralised. The sector is tightly controlled through the combination of the single name concentration framework, a suite of credit policies specifically tailored to the sector and country limits. Exposures to the banking sector decreased by £22 billion during the year, primarily due to reduced interbank lending and derivative activity, and a reduction in limits to banks in countries under stress, such as the peripheral eurozone countries.
 
Exposure to other financial institutions comprising traded and non-traded products is spread across a wide range of financial companies including insurance, securitisation vehicles, financial intermediaries including broker dealers and central counterparties (CCPs), financial guarantors - monolines and CDPCs - and funds comprising unleveraged, hedge and leveraged funds. The size of the Core portfolio has decreased marginally since 2011. Entities in this sector remain vulnerable to market shocks or contagion from the banking sector. Credit risk in these sectors is managed through the single name concentration, sector concentration and asset and product class frameworks, with specific sector and product caps in place where there is a perception of heightened credit risk, such as committed lending to banks, leveraged funds and insurance holding companies. The Group continues to develop its risk appetite framework for CCPs to reflect increased activity with these entities driven by regulatory requirements. The Group is also managing down its exposures to monolines and CDPCs with the aim of exiting these portfolios.
   
   
·
The Group’s exposure to property and construction sector decreased by £11 billion, principally in commercial real estate lending. The majority of the Group’s Core property exposure is within UK Corporate (73%). In relation to property exposure, the UK Corporate and Ulster Bank divisions saw further deterioration in asset quality during the year.

 
RBS Group – Annual Results 2012
 
182

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets: Sector concentration (continued)

Key points (continued)
·
Retail, wholesale and repairs sector decreased by £4 billion, reflecting de-leveraging of customers in the retail sector. Manufacturing exposure reduced by £9 billion primarily reflecting Non-Core reductions.
   
·
Transport and storage includes the Group’s shipping exposures of £11 billion which comprises asset-backed exposures to ocean-going vessels. Excluding the impact of foreign exchange movements, the Group’s exposure to the shipping sector decreased marginally during the year. Conditions remained poor across the major shipping market segments in 2012, with low charter rates and vessel values.  A key protection for the Group is the minimum security covenant which is tested each quarter on an individual vessel basis to ensure prompt remedial action is taken if values fall significantly below agreed loan coverage ratios. There was an increase in the number of clients suffering liquidity issues or failing to meet their minimum security covenant and a commensurate rise in referrals to the Group’s heightened monitoring process and GRG (‘watchlist red’). As at 31 December 2012, 20% of the Group’s exposure was classified as watchlist red. The Group’s exposure to the shipping sector (including shipping related infrastructure) declined by 3.5% in 2012 as a result of amortisation and foreign exchange movements. At 31 December 2012, £0.7 billion of loans were included in risk elements in lending with an associated provision of £0.2 billion and impairment charge of £0.1 billion for 2012.
   
·
Within lending:
 
UK Retail increased its lending to homeowners by £4.1 billion, including first-time buyers, reflecting the impact of the UK government’s Funding for Lending Scheme (FLS); unsecured lending balances fell.
 
UK Corporate lending decreased by £3.8 billion, reflecting a combination of customer deleveraging with low business confidence and portfolio de-risking, particularly in commercial real estate, which fell by £3.5 billion. Other sectors in aggregate were broadly flat.
 
Non-Core continued to make significant progress on its balance sheet strategy by reducing  lending by £24 billion across all sectors, principally property and construction, where commercial real estate lending decreased by £9.4 billion, reflecting repayments and asset sales.
   
·
For further discussion on debt securities and derivatives, see pages 189 and 195 respectively.



 
RBS Group – Annual Results 2012
 
183

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets (continued)

Asset quality: Group
The table below analyses the Group’s financial assets excluding debt securities by internal asset quality (AQ) ratings. Debt securities are analysed by external ratings and are therefore excluded from the table below and are set out on page 191.

   
Loans and advances
         
 
Cash and 
balances 
at central 
 banks 
Banks
 
Customers
Settlement 
balances and 
other financial 
assets 
 
 
 
 
 
Reverse 
Repos 
Derivative 
cash 
collateral 
Other 
Total 
Reverse 
Repos 
Derivative 
cash 
collateral 
Other 
Total 
 
Derivatives 
 
Commitments 
 
Contingent 
liabilities 
Total 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                               
AQ1
78,039 
17,806 
3,713 
10,913 
32,432 
 
42,963 
15,022 
39,734 
97,719 
2,671 
100,652 
63,785 
8,113 
383,411 
AQ2
12 
3,556 
4,566 
526 
8,648 
 
710 
704 
13,101 
14,515 
185 
108,733 
20,333 
2,810 
155,236 
AQ3
1,156 
5,703 
2,241 
2,757 
10,701 
 
2,886 
3,917 
25,252 
32,055 
539 
152,810 
23,727 
7,431 
228,419 
AQ4
100 
6,251 
1,761 
2,734 
10,746 
 
14,079 
2,144 
104,060 
120,283 
1,202 
58,705 
40,196 
5,736 
236,968 
AQ5
1,183 
469 
787 
2,439 
 
8,163 
679 
92,147 
100,989 
659 
13,244 
28,165 
2,598 
148,094 
AQ6
282 
39 
357 
678 
 
86 
50 
40,096 
40,232 
73 
2,175 
13,854 
1,380 
58,392 
AQ7
236 
238 
 
1,133 
12 
36,223 
37,368 
191 
3,205 
19,219 
1,275 
61,496 
AQ8
68 
68 
 
12,812 
12,818 
262 
5,688 
185 
19,029 
AQ9
93 
93 
 
23 
17,431 
17,461 
137 
1,360 
1,363 
95 
20,510 
AQ10
 
807 
807 
772 
1,454 
238 
3,272 
Past due
 
249 
10,285 
10,534 
999 
11,533 
Impaired
134 
134 
 
38,365 
38,365 
38,499 
Impairment provision
(114)
(114)
 
(21,148)
(21,148)
(21,262)
                               
 
79,308 
34,783 
12,789 
18,491 
66,063 
 
70,047 
22,786 
409,165 
501,998 
6,665 
441,918 
217,784 
29,861 
1,343,597 


 
RBS Group – Annual Results 2012
 
184

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets: Asset quality: Core

   
Loans and advances
         
 
Cash and 
balances 
at central 
 banks 
Banks
 
Customers
Settlement 
balances and 
other financial 
assets 
 
 
 
 
 
Reverse 
Repos 
Derivative 
cash 
collateral 
Other 
Total 
Reverse 
Repos 
Derivative 
cash 
collateral 
Other 
Total 
Derivatives 
 
Commitments 
Contingent 
liabilities 
Total 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                               
AQ1
78,003 
17,806 
3,713 
10,466 
31,985 
 
42,963 
15,022 
32,337 
90,322 
2,671 
99,882 
62,440 
7,822 
373,125 
AQ2
12 
3,556 
4,566 
521 
8,643 
 
710 
704 
10,551 
11,965 
185 
108,107 
20,207 
2,792 
151,911 
AQ3
1,046 
5,703 
2,241 
2,738 
10,682 
 
2,886 
3,917 
21,688 
28,491 
539 
152,462 
23,392 
7,419 
224,031 
AQ4
100 
6,251 
1,761 
2,729 
10,741 
 
14,079 
2,144 
99,771 
115,994 
1,202 
57,650 
39,832 
5,648 
231,167 
AQ5
1,183 
469 
785 
2,437 
 
8,163 
679 
87,429 
96,271 
659 
12,082 
27,501 
2,508 
141,458 
AQ6
282 
39 
356 
677 
 
86 
50 
36,891 
37,027 
73 
1,476 
13,140 
1,353 
53,746 
AQ7
186 
188 
 
1,133 
12 
32,032 
33,177 
191 
2,536 
17,824 
949 
54,865 
AQ8
68 
68 
 
10,731 
10,737 
247 
5,607 
146 
16,813 
AQ9
93 
93 
 
14,979 
14,986 
137 
979 
1,088 
93 
17,377 
AQ10
 
684 
684 
448 
832 
149 
2,114 
Past due
 
249 
9,528 
9,777 
991 
10,768 
Impaired
133 
133 
 
17,418 
17,418 
17,551 
Impairment provision
(113)
(113)
 
(9,949)
(9,949)
(10,062)
                               
 
79,162 
34,783 
12,789 
17,962 
65,534 
 
70,024 
22,786 
364,090 
456,900 
6,657 
435,869 
211,863 
28,879 
1,284,864 


 
RBS Group – Annual Results 2012
 
185

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets: Asset quality: Non-Core

   
Loans and advances
         
 
Cash and 
balances 
at central 
 banks 
Banks
 
Customers
Settlement 
balances and 
other financial 
assets 
 
 
 
 
 
Reverse 
Repos 
Derivative 
cash 
collateral 
Other 
Total 
Reverse 
Repos 
Derivative 
cash 
collateral 
Other 
Total 
Derivatives 
Commitments 
Contingent 
liabilities 
Total 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                               
AQ1
36 
447 
447 
 
7,397 
7,397 
770 
1,345 
291 
10,286 
AQ2
 
2,550 
2,550 
626 
126 
18 
3,325 
AQ3
110 
19 
19 
 
3,564 
3,564 
348 
335 
12 
4,388 
AQ4
 
4,289 
4,289 
1,055 
364 
88 
5,801 
AQ5
 
4,718 
4,718 
1,162 
664 
90 
6,636 
AQ6
 
3,205 
3,205 
699 
714 
27 
4,646 
AQ7
50 
50 
 
4,191 
4,191 
669 
1,395 
326 
6,631 
AQ8
 
2,081 
2,081 
15 
81 
39 
2,216 
AQ9
 
23 
2,452 
2,475 
381 
275 
3,133 
AQ10
 
123 
123 
324 
622 
89 
1,158 
Past due
 
757 
757 
765 
Impaired
 
20,947 
20,947 
20,948 
Impairment provision
(1)
(1)
 
(11,199)
(11,199)
(11,200)
                               
 
146 
529 
529 
 
23 
45,075 
45,098 
6,049 
5,921 
982 
58,733 



 
RBS Group – Annual Results 2012
 
186

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets: Asset quality (continued)

 
Cash and 
balances 
at central 
 banks 
Loans and advances
Settlement 
balances and 
other financial 
assets 
 
 
 
 
 
Banks (1)
Customers 
  Derivatives  
Commit- 
ments
 
Contingent 
liabilities 
Total 
31 December 2011
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                 
Total
               
AQ1
78,692 
74,279 
114,424 
5,152 
482,053 
75,356 
14,076 
844,032 
AQ2
342 
1,881 
15,810 
93 
8,177 
24,269 
3,154 
53,726 
AQ3
223 
1,981 
34,017 
546 
10,827 
23,471 
4,427 
75,492 
AQ4
19 
1,612 
108,262 
760 
14,421 
40,071 
5,847 
170,992 
AQ5
90 
1,261 
118,056 
124 
6,516 
34,593 
4,301 
164,941 
AQ6
188 
50,428 
46 
2,221 
17,153 
1,662 
71,707 
AQ7
432 
33,218 
13 
2,393 
19,163 
1,037 
56,264 
AQ8
30 
12,622 
19 
1,252 
4,159 
276 
18,365 
AQ9
83 
16,429 
324 
1,150 
2,286 
943 
21,220 
AQ10
164 
784 
1,047 
2,354 
221 
4,577 
Past due
11,591 
1,623 
13,216 
Impaired
137 
39,921 
414 
40,472 
Impairment provision
(123)
(20,551)
(26)
(20,700)
                 
 
79,396 
81,927 
535,011 
9,094 
530,057 
242,875 
35,944 
1,514,304 

Core
             
                 
AQ1
78,634 
73,689 
95,691 
5,034 
478,177 
69,220 
13,249 
813,694 
AQ2
342 
1,877 
14,158 
91 
7,500 
23,404 
3,122 
50,494 
AQ3
56 
1,967 
30,546 
546 
10,360 
22,319 
4,354 
70,148 
AQ4
18 
1,557 
101,646 
759 
13,475 
38,808 
5,655 
161,918 
AQ5
90 
1,256 
110,911 
124 
5,087 
33,226 
4,092 
154,786 
AQ6
140 
44,012 
46 
1,987 
16,118 
1,634 
63,946 
AQ7
432 
28,953 
13 
796 
17,514 
949 
48,665 
AQ8
20 
10,608 
19 
666 
4,068 
236 
15,624 
AQ9
83 
11,938 
276 
592 
1,769 
898 
15,561 
AQ10
164 
478 
339 
1,274 
180 
2,442 
Past due
10,047 
1,623 
11,672 
Impaired
136 
16,457 
413 
17,006 
Impairment provision
(122)
(9,065)
(25)
(9,212)
                 
 
79,170 
81,201 
466,380 
8,925 
518,979 
227,720 
34,369 
1,416,744 

For the note to this table refer to page 188.


 
RBS Group – Annual Results 2012
 
187

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets: Asset quality (continued)

 
Cash and 
balances 
at central 
 banks 
Loans and advances
Settlement 
balances and 
other financial 
assets 
       
 
Banks (1)
Customers 
Derivatives 
Commit- 
ments 
Contingent 
liabilities 
Total 
31 December 2011
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                 
Non-Core
               
AQ1
58 
590 
18,733 
118 
3,876 
6,136 
827 
30,338 
AQ2
1,652 
677 
865 
32 
3,232 
AQ3
167 
14 
3,471 
467 
1,152 
73 
5,344 
AQ4
55 
6,616 
946 
1,263 
192 
9,074 
AQ5
7,145 
1,429 
1,367 
209 
10,155 
AQ6
48 
6,416 
234 
1,035 
28 
7,761 
AQ7
4,265 
1,597 
1,649 
88 
7,599 
AQ8
10 
2,014 
586 
91 
40 
2,741 
AQ9
4,491 
48 
558 
517 
45 
5,659 
AQ10
306 
708 
1,080 
41 
2,135 
Past due
1,544 
1,544 
Impaired
23,464 
23,466 
Impairment provision
(1)
(11,486)
(1)
(11,488)
                 
 
226 
726 
68,631 
169 
11,078 
15,155 
1,575 
97,560 

Note:
(1)
Excluding items in the course of collection from other banks of £1,470 million.

Key points
·
In 2012, the Group implemented material updates to certain models, including those used for sovereign and financial institution counterparties, to incorporate more recent data and reflect new regulatory requirements applicable to wholesale internal ratings based modelling. This has resulted in ratings migration from AQ1, primarily to AQ2-AQ5.  The Group had modified various risk frameworks, including risk appetite framework and latent loss assessment in anticipation of   these changes. Further updates, primarily of models used for the corporate counterparties, are planned for 2013. The AQ composition of the corporate portfolio has not changed materially during the year.
   
·
Loans and advances to banks: AQ1 balances decreased by £41.8 billion reflecting the balance sheet reduction, mainly in Markets and also the impact of model changes which resulted in certain counterparties moving to lower AQ bands, primarily to AQ2-AQ4, which increased by £6.8 billion, £8.7 billion and £9.1 billion respectively.
   
·
Loans and advances to customers: Lower internal ratings due to model changes resulted in balances shifting from AQ1 to lower bands. The decrease in AQ5 and AQ6 balances is in line with the overall balance sheet reduction.
   
·
Derivatives: Balance sheet reductions in Markets and model updates resulted in decrease in AQ1 balances. Increase in AQ2-AQ4 balances reflects the re-grading of counterparties previously included in AQ1.
   
·
Impaired and past due assets, net of impairment provisions, comprise 37% of Non-Core balances. Continued weakness in commercial real estate market overall and difficult conditions in Ireland are significant contributors to this.


 
RBS Group – Annual Results 2012
 
188

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets (continued)
Debt securities
IFRS measurement classification by issuer
The table below analyses debt securities by issuer and IFRS measurement classifications. US central and local government includes US federal agencies; financial institutions includes US government sponsored agencies and securitisation entities.

 
Central and local government
           
 
UK 
US 
Other 
Banks 
Other 
financial 
institutions 
Corporate 
Total 
Of which 
ABS (1)
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
                   
Held-for-trading (HFT)
7,692 
17,349 
27,195 
2,243 
21,876 
2,015 
78,370 
 
18,619 
Designated as at fair value
123 
86 
610 
54 
873 
 
516 
Available-for-sale (AFS)
9,774 
19,046 
16,155 
8,861 
23,890 
3,167 
80,893 
 
30,743 
Loans and receivables
365 
3,728 
390 
4,488 
 
3,707 
                   
Long positions
17,471 
36,395 
43,473 
11,555 
50,104 
5,626 
164,624 
 
53,585 
                   
Of which US agencies
5,380 
21,566 
26,946 
 
24,828 
                   
Short positions (HFT)
(1,538)
(10,658)
(11,355)
(1,036)
(1,595)
(798)
(26,980)
 
(17)
                   
Available-for-sale
                 
Gross unrealised gains
1,007 
1,092 
1,187 
110 
660 
120 
4,176 
 
764 
Gross unrealised losses
(1)
(14)
(509)
(1,319)
(4)
(1,847)
 
(1,817)
                   
31 December 2011
                 
                   
Held-for-trading
9,004 
19,636 
36,928 
3,400 
23,160 
2,948 
95,076 
 
20,816 
Designated as at fair value
127 
53 
457 
647 
 
558 
Available-for-sale
13,436 
20,848 
25,552 
13,175 
31,752 
2,535 
107,298 
 
40,735 
Loans and receivables
10 
312 
5,259 
477 
6,059 
 
5,200 
                   
Long positions
22,451 
40,484 
62,608 
16,940 
60,628 
5,969 
209,080 
 
67,309 
                   
Of which US agencies
4,896 
25,924 
30,820 
 
28,558 
                   
Short positions (HFT)
(3,098)
(10,661)
(19,136)
(2,556)
(2,854)
(754)
(39,059)
 
(352)
                   
Available-for-sale
                 
Gross unrealised gains
1,428 
1,311 
1,180 
52 
913 
94 
4,978 
 
1,001 
Gross unrealised losses
(171)
(838)
(2,386)
(13)
(3,408)
 
(3,158)

Note:
(1)
Asset-backed securities.

 
RBS Group – Annual Results 2012
 
189

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets: Debt securities (continued)

AFS reserves by issuer
The table below analyses available-for-sale (AFS) debt securities and related reserves, gross of tax.

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
UK 
US 
Other (1)
Total 
 
UK 
US 
Other (1)
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                   
Government (2)
9,774 
19,046 
16,155 
44,975 
 
13,436 
20,848 
25,552 
59,836 
Banks
1,085 
357 
7,419 
8,861 
 
1,391 
376 
11,408 
13,175 
Other financial institutions
2,861 
10,613 
10,416 
23,890 
 
3,100 
17,453 
11,199 
31,752 
Corporate
1,318 
719 
1,130 
3,167 
 
1,105 
131 
1,299 
2,535 
                   
Total
15,038 
30,735 
35,120 
80,893 
 
19,032 
38,808 
49,458 
107,298 
                   
Of which ABS
3,558 
14,209 
12,976 
30,743 
 
3,659 
20,256 
16,820 
40,735 
                   
AFS reserves (gross)
667 
763 
(1,277)
153 
 
845 
486 
(1,815)
(484)

Notes:
(1)
Includes eurozone countries as detailed in the Country risk section of this report (page 239).
(2)
Includes central and local government.

Key points
·
Debt securities decreased by £44.5 billion or 21% during the year, principally due to a reduction of £26.4 billion in available-for-sale (AFS) across the Group and £16.7 billion of HFT positions within Markets reflecting a combination of de-risking strategies and active balance sheet management.
   
·
HFT: The £16.7 billion decrease comprised £13.3 billion of central and local government, £1.3 billion of financial institutions, £1.2 billion of banks and £0.9 billion of corporate:
 
Decrease in UK and US government bonds of £1.3 billion and £2.3 billion respectively reflected maturities and disposals in line with Markets balance sheet management strategy and unwinding of positions.
 
Reduction in other government bonds principally French, Italian, Swiss and Japanese, was partially offset by moves to German and Belgian bonds.
·
AFS: Decreased by £26.4 billion, comprising £14.9 billion of central and local government, other financial institutions £7.8 billion, banks £4.3 billion and offset by an increase in corporate of £0.6 billion:
 
UK and US government bonds fell by £3.7 billion and £1.8 billion respectively, primarily due to disposals.
 
Group Treasury reduced its liquidity portfolio, reflecting smaller balance sheet, resulting in lower government bonds primarily German and French (£6.0 billion)
 
Japanese government bonds fell by £2.2 billion as smaller collateral was required following a change in clearing status from direct (self-clearing) to agency.
 
Reduction in ABS: US agency decrease reflected maturities and disposals in light of favourable market conditions in the US, Markets, and US Retail & Commercial; and Non-Core strategic reductions also contributed to the decrease in bonds issued by financial institutions.
 
Bank bonds decreased by £4.3 billion of which £1.7 billion related to Spanish covered bonds reflecting disposals by Group Treasury, and lower positions in Australian and German securities reflected the close out of positions and maturities, respectively.
 
 
 
190

 

 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets: Debt securities (continued)

Ratings
The table below analyses debt securities by issuer and external ratings. Ratings are based on the lowest of Standard and Poor’s, Moody’s and Fitch.

 
Central and local government
           
 
UK 
US 
Other 
Banks 
Other 
financial 
institutions 
Corporate 
Total 
 
Total 
Of which 
ABS 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                   
AAA
17,471 
31 
17,167 
2,304 
11,502 
174 
48,649 
30 
10,758 
AA to AA+
36,357 
7,424 
1,144 
26,403 
750 
72,078 
44 
28,775 
A to AA-
11,707 
2,930 
3,338 
1,976 
19,957 
12 
2,897 
BBB- to A-
6,245 
4,430 
4,217 
1,643 
16,535 
10 
7,394 
Non-investment grade
928 
439 
3,103 
614 
5,084 
2,674 
Unrated
308 
1,541 
469 
2,321 
1,087 
                   
 
17,471 
36,395 
43,473 
11,555 
50,104 
5,626 
164,624 
100 
53,585 
                   
31 December 2011
                 
                   
AAA
22,451 
45 
32,522 
5,155 
15,908 
452 
76,533 
37 
17,156 
AA to AA+
40,435 
2,000 
2,497 
30,403 
639 
75,974 
36 
33,615 
A to AA-
24,966 
6,387 
4,979 
1,746 
38,079 
18 
6,331 
BBB- to A-
2,194 
2,287 
2,916 
1,446 
8,843 
4,480 
Non-investment grade
924 
575 
5,042 
1,275 
7,816 
4,492 
Unrated
39 
1,380 
411 
1,835 
1,235 
                   
 
22,451 
40,484 
62,608 
16,940 
60,628 
5,969 
209,080 
100 
67,309 

Key points
·
AAA rated debt securities decreased as France and Austria were downgraded to AA+ in the first half of the year and also reflected the Group’s reduced holdings of UK government bonds.  Additionally, certain Spanish covered bonds were downgraded in H1 2012.
   
·
The decrease in A to AA- debt securities related to downgrades of Italy and Spain to BBB+ and BBB- respectively, in H1 2012, along with a downgrade of selected banks.
   
·
Non-investment grade and unrated debt securities decreased by £2.2 billion and accounted for 4% of the portfolio.

 
RBS Group – Annual Results 2012
 
191

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets: Debt securities (continued)

Asset-backed securities
The table below summarises the rating levels of ABS carrying values.
 
RMBS
             
 
Government 
sponsored 
or similar (1)
Prime 
Non- 
conforming 
Sub-prime 
MBS 
covered 
bond 
 
CMBS 
CDOs 
CLOs 
ABS 
covered 
bond 
ABS 
other 
Total 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                       
AAA
2,454 
2,854 
1,487 
11 
639 
396 
92 
1,181 
165 
1,479 
10,758 
AA to AA+
23,692 
613 
88 
26 
102 
2,551 
887 
340 
469 
28,775 
A to AA-
201 
302 
275 
33 
155 
808 
74 
146 
20 
883 
2,897 
BBB- to A-
990 
53 
141 
86 
4,698 
441 
32 
291 
654 
7,394 
Non-investment grade (2)
20 
641 
454 
330 
136 
304 
421 
133 
235 
2,674 
Unrated (3)
108 
298 
23 
94 
388 
168 
1,087 
                       
 
27,357 
4,571 
2,453 
784 
5,730 
4,523 
720 
3,026 
533 
3,888 
53,585 
                       
Of which in Non-Core
651 
404 
154 
780 
494 
2,228 
850 
5,561 
                       
31 December 2011
                     
                       
AAA
4,169 
3,599 
1,488 
105 
2,595 
647 
135 
2,171 
625 
1,622 
17,156 
AA to AA+
29,252 
669 
106 
60 
379 
710 
35 
1,533 
321 
550 
33,615 
A to AA-
131 
506 
110 
104 
2,567 
1,230 
161 
697 
100 
725 
6,331 
BBB- to A-
39 
288 
93 
1,979 
333 
86 
341 
1,321 
4,480 
Non-investment grade (2)
21 
784 
658 
396 
415 
1,370 
176 
672 
4,492 
Unrated (3)
148 
29 
146 
56 
170 
423 
263 
1,235 
                       
 
33,573 
5,745 
2,679 
904 
7,520 
3,391 
1,957 
5,341 
1,046 
5,153 
67,309 
                       
Of which in Non-Core
837 
477 
308 
830 
1,656 
4,227 
1,861 
10,196 

Notes:
(1)
Includes US agency and Dutch government guaranteed securities.
(2)
Includes HFT £1,177 million (31 December 2011 - £1,682 million), DFV £7 million (31 December 2011 - nil), AFS £1,173 million (31 December 2011 - £2,056 million) and LAR £317 million (31 December 2011 - £754 million).
(3)
Includes HFT £808 million (31 December 2011 - £804 million), AFS £149 million (31 December 2011 - £249 million) and LAR £130 million (31 December 2011 - £182 million).

 
RBS Group – Annual Results 2012
 
192

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets (continued)
Equity shares
The table below analyses holdings of equity shares for Eurozone countries and other countries with balances more than £100 million holdings of equity shares by country, issuer and measurement classification. The HFT portfolios in Markets comprise positions in the Markets Derivative Products Solutions business primarily for economic hedging of liabilities including debt issuances and equity derivatives. The AFS portfolios include  capital stock in the Federal Home Loans Bank (a government sponsored entity, included in Other FI) and the Federal Reserve Bank together £0.7 billion, that US Retail & Commercial are required to hold and a number of individually small holdings in unlisted companies, mainly acquired through loan renegotiations in GRG.

 
31 December 2012
 
HFT/DFV (1)
 
AFS
           
Countries
Banks 
£m 
Other 
FI (2)
£m 
Corporate 
£m 
Total 
£m 
 
Banks 
£m 
Other 
FI (2)
£m 
Corporate 
£m 
Total 
£m 
 
Total 
£m 
 
AFS 
reserves 
£m 
 
HFT short 
 positions 
£m 
                               
Ireland
126 
47 
173 
 
17 
17 
 
190 
 
 
(3)
Spain
18 
110 
128 
 
33 
33 
 
161 
 
(41)
 
Italy
33 
41 
 
 
46 
 
 
(15)
Greece
 
 
 
 
Portugal
 
 
 
 
                               
Eurozone
  periphery
25 
127 
201 
353 
 
22 
33 
55 
 
408 
 
(41)
 
(18)
                               
Netherlands
20 
197 
465 
682 
 
156 
156 
 
838 
 
(19)
 
(21)
France
10 
75 
142 
227 
 
104 
105 
 
332 
 
23 
 
(10)
Luxembourg
14 
196 
77 
287 
 
 
296 
 
 
(1)
Germany
33 
106 
140 
 
 
140 
 
 
(54)
Belgium
23 
29 
 
 
32 
 
 
(1)
Other
18 
110 
131 
 
 
131 
 
 
(14)
                               
Total eurozone
120 
622 
1,107 
1,849 
 
32 
296 
328 
 
2,177 
 
(35)
 
(119)
                               
Countries
                             
US
208 
619 
2,663 
3,490 
 
307 
419 
726 
 
4,216 
 
 
(132)
UK
372 
163 
2,648 
3,183 
 
35 
51 
155 
241 
 
3,424 
 
73 
 
(35)
Japan
24 
67 
973 
1,064 
 
 
1,066 
 
 
(1)
South Korea
32 
72 
880 
984 
 
 
984 
 
 
China
331 
147 
357 
835 
 
14 
17 
 
852 
 
 
(3)
India
29 
68 
220 
317 
 
 
317 
 
 
Taiwan
31 
259 
292 
 
 
292 
 
 
(11)
Australia
77 
45 
159 
281 
 
 
281 
 
 
(17)
Canada
14 
25 
200 
239 
 
 
241 
 
 
(277)
Hong Kong
81 
97 
180 
 
 
184 
 
 
Russia
16 
158 
178 
 
 
178 
 
 
Romania
123 
123 
 
 
123 
 
 
MDB and
  supranationals (3)
156 
156 
 
 
156 
 
 
Other
74 
50 
567 
691 
 
37 
18 
55 
 
746 
 
28 
 
(16)
                               
Total
1,301 
2,117 
10,444 
13,862 
 
342 
555 
478 
1,375 
 
15,237 
 
84 
 
(611)

For the notes to this table refer to page 194.

 
193

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets: Equity shares (continued)

 
31 December 2011
 
HFT/DFV (1)
 
AFS
           
Countries
Banks 
£m 
Other 
FI (2)
£m 
Corporate 
£m 
Total 
£m 
 
Banks 
£m 
Other 
FI (2)
£m 
Corporate 
£m 
Total 
£m 
 
Total 
£m 
 
AFS 
reserves 
£m 
 
HFT short 
 positions 
£m 
                               
Ireland
208 
215 
 
 
221 
 
 
(4)
Spain
55 
75 
132 
 
72 
72 
 
204 
 
(4)
 
(16)
Italy
11 
51 
63 
 
 
68 
 
 
(4)
Greece
 
 
 
 
(22)
Portugal
 
 
 
 
(1)
                               
Eurozone periphery
66 
11 
336 
413 
 
11 
77 
88 
 
501 
 
(4)
 
(47)
                               
Netherlands
67 
671 
739 
 
55 
55 
 
794 
 
(76)
 
(82)
France
12 
15 
117 
144 
 
97 
102 
 
246 
 
20 
 
(62)
Luxembourg
201 
90 
291 
 
383 
386 
 
677 
 
17 
 
Germany
23 
114 
141 
 
 
141 
 
 
(186)
Belgium
14 
 
15 
16 
 
30 
 
10 
 
(10)
Other
18 
15 
102 
135 
 
 
135 
 
 
(58)
                               
Total eurozone
122 
321 
1,434 
1,877 
 
386 
86 
175 
647 
 
2,524 
 
(33)
 
(445)
                               
Countries
                             
US
120 
97 
1,442 
1,659 
 
323 
575 
52 
950 
 
2,609 
 
128 
 
(544)
UK
420 
217 
2,785 
3,422 
 
33 
215 
64 
312 
 
3,734 
 
40 
 
(145)
Japan
43 
82 
1,289 
1,414 
 
 
1,415 
 
 
(3)
South Korea
47 
299 
348 
 
 
348 
 
 
(3)
China
510 
228 
637 
1,375 
 
13 
13 
 
1,388 
 
 
(6)
India
35 
14 
314 
363 
 
 
363 
 
 
Taiwan
37 
226 
265 
 
 
265 
 
 
(4)
Australia
95 
90 
406 
591 
 
14 
14 
 
605 
 
 
(219)
Canada
148 
152 
 
 
154 
 
 
(449)
Hong Kong
10 
45 
100 
155 
 
 3 
 
158 
 
(2)
 
(2)
Russia
30 
215 
245 
 
 
245 
 
 
(2)
Romania
45 
46 
 
 
46 
 
 
MDB and
  supranationals (3)
233 
233 
 
 
233 
 
 
Other
86 
381 
600 
1,067 
 
31 
34 
 
1,101 
 
26 
 
(158)
                               
Total
1,476 
1,608 
10,128 
13,212 
 
742 
893 
341 
1,976 
 
15,188 
 
167 
 
(1,980)

Notes:
(1)
Designated as at fair value through profit or loss (DFV) balances are £533 million (31 December 2011 - £773 million) of which nil banks (31 December 2011 - nil), £61 million other financial institutions (31 December 2011 - £81 million) and £472 million corporate (31 December 2011 - £692 million).
(2)
Other financial institutions including government sponsored entities (GSEs).
(3)
MDB - Multilateral development banks.

 
194

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets (continued)

Derivatives
Summary
The table below analyses the fair value of the Group’s derivatives by type of contract. Master netting arrangements in respect of mark-to-market (mtm) positions and collateral shown below do not result in a net presentation in the Group’s balance sheet under IFRS.
 
31 December 2012
   
 
Notional (1)
     
31 December 2011
 
GBP 
USD 
Euro 
Other 
Total 
Assets 
Liabilities 
 
Notional 
Assets 
Liabilities 
 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£bn 
£m 
£m 
 
£bn 
£m 
£m 
                       
Interest rate (2)
5,144 
10,395 
11,343 
6,601 
33,483 
363,453 
345,565 
 
38,727 
422,553 
406,784 
Exchange rate
370 
1,987 
716 
1,625 
4,698 
63,068 
70,481 
 
4,482 
74,526 
81,022 
Credit
320 
202 
27 
553 
11,005 
10,353 
 
1,054 
26,836 
26,743 
Other (3)
18 
50 
27 
16 
111 
4,392 
7,941 
 
123 
6,142 
9,560 
                       
           
441,918 
434,340 
   
530,057 
524,109 
Counterparty mtm netting
     
(373,906)
(373,906)
   
(441,626)
(441,626)
Cash collateral
         
(34,099)
(24,633)
   
(37,222)
(31,368)
Securities collateral
       
(5,616)
(8,264)
   
(5,312)
(8,585)
                       
           
28,297 
27,537 
   
45,897 
42,530 

Notes:
(1)
Exchange traded contracts were £2,497 billion, principally interest rate. Trades are generally closed out daily hence mark-to-market was insignificant (assets - £41 million; liabilities - £255 million).
(2)
Interest rate notional includes £15,864 billion (31 December 2011 - £16,377 billion) relating to contracts with central clearing houses.
(3)
Comprises equity and commodity derivatives.

Key points
·
Net exposure, after taking account of position and collateral netting arrangements, decreased by 38% (liabilities decreased by 35%) due to lower derivative fair values, driven by market movements, including foreign exchange rates and increased use of compression cycles.
·
Interest rate contracts decreased due to the increased use of compression cycles reflecting a greater number of market participants and hence trade-matching and the effect of exchange rate movements. This was partially offset by downward shifts in interest rate yields.
·
The decrease in exchange rate contracts reflected the impact of exchange rate movements and trade maturities. This was partially offset by higher trade volumes reflecting hedge funds taking advantage of market uncertainty.
·
Credit derivatives decreased due to a managed risk reduction and an increase in trades compressed through compression cycles.

Derivative fair values are driven by complex factors such as changes in foreign exchange rates, interest rates, credit default swap spreads and other underlying rates. At 31 December 2012, derivative fair values were in a net asset position of £7.6 billion. More specifically:
·
Group Treasury issues long term fixed rate debt that is hedged with floating rate interest rate swaps and also uses swaps to hedge fixed rate indefinite maturity liabilities such as equity and customer accounts. As interest rates have fallen over recent years the fair value of these swaps has increased. This net asset position is mirrored by the net liability position relating to the difference between the fair value and carrying value on fixed rate loans and current accounts.
·
Within Markets the hedging of issued notes, more exotic derivatives and long dated zero coupon inflation structures have led to a positive fair value which is not offset by other derivatives or hedges.

 
195

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Financial assets: Derivatives (continued)

Credit derivatives
The Group trades credit derivatives as part of its client led business and to mitigate credit risk. The Group’s credit derivative exposures relating to proprietary trading are minimal. The table below analyses the Group’s bought and sold protection.

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
Group
£bn 
£bn 
 
£bn 
£bn 
 
£bn 
£bn 
 
£bn 
£bn 
                       
Client-led trading & residual risk
250.7 
240.7 
 
3.4 
3.1 
 
401.0 
390.5 
 
17.0 
16.5 
Credit hedging - banking
  book (1)
5.4 
0.4 
 
0.1 
 
15.6 
4.7 
 
0.1 
0.1 
Credit hedging - trading book
                     
  - rates
9.4 
5.8 
 
0.1 
0.1 
 
21.2 
17.1 
 
0.9 
1.7 
  - credit and mortgage markets
22.4 
16.0 
 
0.9 
0.7 
 
42.9 
28.4 
 
2.3 
1.7 
  - other
1.4 
0.6 
 
 
0.9 
0.1 
 
                       
Total excluding APS
289.3 
263.5 
 
4.5 
3.9 
 
481.6 
440.8 
 
20.3 
20.0 
APS
 
 
131.8 
 
(0.2)
                       
 
289.3 
263.5 
 
4.5 
3.9 
 
613.4 
440.8 
 
20.1 
20.0 

Core
                     
                       
Client-led trading
231.4 
228.4 
 
3.0 
2.7 
 
371.0 
369.4 
 
14.6 
14.0 
Credit hedging - banking book
1.7 
 
 
2.2 
1.0 
 
0.1 
Credit hedging - trading book
                     
  - rates
7.8 
4.6 
 
0.1 
0.1 
 
19.9 
16.2 
 
0.9 
1.7 
  - credit and mortgage markets
13.9 
13.6 
 
0.2 
0.2 
 
4.6 
4.0 
 
0.3 
0.2 
  - other
1.3 
0.5 
 
 
0.7 
0.1 
 
                       
 
256.1 
247.1 
 
3.3 
3.0 
 
398.4 
390.7 
 
15.8 
16.0 

Non-Core
                     
                       
Residual risk
19.3 
12.3 
 
0.4 
0.4 
 
30.0 
21.1 
 
2.4 
2.5 
Credit hedging - banking
  book (1)
3.7 
0.4 
 
0.1 
 
13.4 
3.7 
 
0.1 
Credit hedging - trading book
                     
  - rates
1.6 
1.2 
 
 
1.3 
0.9 
 
  - credit and mortgage markets
8.5 
2.4 
 
0.7 
0.5 
 
38.3 
24.4 
 
2.0 
1.5 
  - other
0.1 
0.1 
 
 
0.2 
 
                       
 
33.2 
16.4 
 
1.2 
0.9 
 
83.2 
50.1 
 
4.5 
4.0 

By counterparty
                     
                       
Central government (APS)
 
 
131.8 
 
(0.2)
Monoline insurers
4.6 
 
0.4 
 
8.6 
 
0.6 
CDPCs (2)
21.0 
 
0.2 
 
24.5 
 
0.9 
Banks
127.2 
128.6 
 
2.3 
2.8 
 
204.1 
202.1 
 
8.5 
10.2 
Other financial institutions
135.8 
134.9 
 
1.4 
1.1 
 
234.8 
231.6 
 
10.5 
9.5 
Corporates
0.7 
 
0.2 
 
9.6 
7.1 
 
(0.2)
0.3 
                       
 
289.3 
263.5 
 
4.5 
3.9 
 
613.4 
440.8 
 
20.1 
20.0 

Notes:
(1)
Credit hedging in the banking book principally relates to portfolio management in Non-Core.
(2)
Credit derivative product company.

 
196

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: (continued)

Problem debt management
While the principles of identifying, managing and providing for problem debts are broadly similar for wholesale and retail customers, the procedures differ based on the nature of the assets, as discussed below.

Renegotiations and forbearance
Loan modifications take place in a variety of circumstances including but not limited to a customer’s current or potential credit deterioration. Where the contractual payment terms of a loan have been changed because of the customer’s financial difficulties, it is classified as ‘renegotiated’ in the wholesale portfolio and as ‘forbearance’ in the retail portfolio.

Wholesale renegotiations
As part of the Group's problem debt management process, a number of renegotiation options are available when a wholesale customer is facing financial difficulties and corrective action is deemed necessary. The vast majority of wholesale loan renegotiations take place within GRG. However, within its early problem management framework, the Group may agree various remedial measures with customers whose loans are performing but who are experiencing temporary financial difficulties.

Asset quality
The data presented in the tables below include loans renegotiated during 2011 and 2012 which individually exceed thresholds set at divisional level, ranging from nil to £10 million. This population captures approximately 68% of that proportion of the wholesale portfolio which is either on Watchlist or under GRG stewardship. We continue to refine our approach relating to renegotiated loans and as part of the 2012 review, the amounts in-progress and completed renegotiations relating to 2011 have been revised.

The table below shows the value of loans (excluding loans where the Group has initiated recovery procedures) where renegotiations were completed during the year and, sets out related internal asset quality bands, sector breakdowns and renegotiation types.

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011 (revised)
 
Performing 
£m 
Non- 
Performing 
£m 
Non- 
performing 
 provisions 
 coverage 
 
Performing 
£m 
Non- 
Performing 
£m 
Non- 
performing 
 provisions 
 coverage 
% 
               
Sector
             
Property
1,954 
3,288 
18 
 
2,166 
3,215 
25 
Transport
832 
99 
23 
 
771 
670 
10 
Telecommunications, media
  and technology
237 
341 
46 
 
57 
33 
30 
Retail and leisure
487 
111 
34 
 
331 
433 
10 
Other (1)
792 
245 
28 
 
893 
792 
42 
               
 
4,302 
4,084 
22 
 
4,218 
5,143 
25 

Note:
(1)
SME business within Wealth is now reported within Wholesale forbearance.

 
197

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: Wholesale renegotiations (continued)
 
Renegotiation arrangements
 
The table below analyses the incidence of the main types of renegotiation by loan value.

Arrangement type
31 December 
2012 
 
31 December 
2011 
(revised) 
     
Variation in margin
12 
Payment concessions and loan rescheduling
69 
92 
Forgiveness of all or part of the outstanding debt
29 
33 
Other (2)
20 

Note:
(1)
The total above exceeds 100% as an individual case can involve more than one type of arrangement.
(2)
Main types of “other” concessions include formal “standstill” agreements, release of security and amendments to negative pledge.  2012 saw the completion of a small number of material standstill agreements, accounting for the higher proportion of the “Other” modification type.

Key points
Renegotiations completed during 2012, subject to thresholds as explained above, were £8.4 billion (31 December 2011 - £9.4 billion). The volume of renegotiations continues at a high level as difficult economic conditions persist in the UK and Ireland, particularly in real estate markets and the Group continues its active problem debt management. Renegotiations are likely to remain significant: at 31 December 2012 loans totalling £13.7 billion (31 December 2011 - £11.7 billion) were in the process of being renegotiated but had not yet reached legal completion (these loans are not included in the tables above). Of these 69% were non-performing loans, with an associated provision coverage of 32%, and 31% were performing loans. The principal types of arrangements being offered include variation in margin, payment concessions and loan rescheduling and forgiveness of all or part of the outstanding debt.
   
Loans renegotiated during 2011 and 2012 outstanding at 31 December 2012 were £17.7 billion, of which £9.3 billion relates to arrangements completed during 2011.
   
Additional provisions charged during 2012 relating to loans renegotiated during 2011 totalled £0.2 billion and provision coverage of those loans at 31 December 2012 was 25%.
   
Of the loans renegotiated by the GRG during 2011 and 2012 (£14.5 billion), 6% had been returned to satisfactory by 31 December 2012.
   
Renegotiated loans disclosed in the table above may have been subject of one or more covenants waivers or modifications. In addition loans totalling £3.5 billion were granted financial covenant concessions only during the year. Such loans are not included in the table above as these concessions do not affect a loan’s contractual cash flows.
   
Year-on-year analysis of renegotiated loans may be skewed by individual material cases reaching legal completion during a given year. This is particularly relevant when comparing the value of renegotiations completed in the property and transport sectors in 2012 with previous years.

 
198

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: Wholesale renegotiations (continued)

Key points
In 2012 renegotiations were more prevalent in the Group’s most significant corporate sectors and in those industries experiencing difficult markets, notably property and transport as the Group seeks to support viable customers. The majority of renegotiations granted to borrowers in the property sector were payment concessions and loan rescheduling. During 2012 there has been an increase in the number of renegotiations in the shipping sector as poor economic conditions persist.
   
84% of ‘completed’ and 93% of ‘in progress’ renegotiated cases were managed by GRG.
   
Provisions for the non-performing loans disclosed above are individually assessed and renegotiations are taken into account when determining the level of provision. The provision coverage is affected by the timing of write-offs and provisions. In some cases loans are fully or partially written off on the completion of a renegotiation. Non-performing renegotiated loans also include loans against which no provision is held and where these cases are large they can have a significant impact on the provision coverage within a specific sector.


Retail forbearance
Arrears status and provisions
The mortgage arrears information for retail accounts in forbearance, related provision and type of arrangements are shown in the tables below.

 
No missed
payments
 
1-3 months
in arrears
 
>3 months
in arrears
 
Total
 
Balance 
Provision 
 
Balance 
Provision 
 
Balance 
Provision 
 
Balance 
Provision 
Forborne 
balances 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                         
31 December 2012
                       
UK Retail (1,2)
4,006 
20 
 
388 
16 
 
450 
64 
 
4,844 
100 
4.9 
Ulster Bank (1,2)
915 
100 
 
546 
60 
 
527 
194 
 
1,988 
354 
10.4 
RBS Citizens (3)
 
179 
25 
 
160 
10 
 
339 
35 
1.6 
Wealth (4)
38 
 
 
 
45 
0.5 
                         
 
4,959 
120 
 
1,113 
101 
 
1,144 
268 
 
7,216 
489 
4.9 
                         
31 December 2011
                       
                         
UK Retail (1,2)
3,677 
16 
 
351 
13 
 
407 
59 
 
4,435 
88 
4.7 
Ulster Bank (1,2)
893 
78 
 
516 
45 
 
421 
124 
 
1,830 
247 
9.1 
RBS Citizens (3)
 
91 
10 
 
89 
10 
 
180 
20 
0.8 
Wealth
121 
 
 
 
123 
1.3 
                         
 
4,691 
94 
 
958 
68 
 
919 
193 
 
6,568 
355 
4.4 

Notes:
(1)
Includes all forbearance arrangements whether relating to the customer’s lifestyle changes or financial difficulty.
(2)
Includes the current stock position of forbearance deals agreed since early 2008 for UK Retail and early 2009 for Ulster Bank.
(3)
Forbearance stock reported at 31 December 2012 now includes home equity loans and lines as well as the residential mortgage portfolio.
(4)
SME business within Wealth is now reported within Wholesale forbearance.


 
199

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: Retail forbearance (continued)

Forbearance arrangements
The incidence of the main types of retail forbearance on the balance sheet as at 31 December 2012 is analysed below. This includes forbearance arrangements agreed during 2012 and balance at the year end. For a small proportion of mortgages, more than one forbearance type applies.
 
 
 
UK Retail 
Ulster Bank 
RBS 
Citizens (1)
Wealth (2)
Total (3)
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
           
Interest only conversions - temporary and permanent
1,220 
924 
2,150 
Term extensions - capital repayment and interest only
2,271 
183 
27 
2,481 
Payment concessions
215 
762 
339 
1,325 
Capitalisation of arrears
932 
119 
1,051 
Other
452 
455 
           
 
5,090 
1,988 
339 
45 
7,462 

31 December 2011
         
           
Interest only conversions - temporary and permanent
1,269 
795 
2,067 
Term extensions - capital repayment and interest only
1,805 
58 
97 
1,960 
Payment concessions
198 
876 
180 
1,254 
Capitalisation of arrears
864 
101 
965 
Other
517 
23 
540 
           
 
4,653 
1,830 
180 
123 
6,786 

The table below shows forbearance agreed during 2012 analysed between performing and non-performing.
 
UK Retail 
Ulster Bank 
RBS 
Citizens (1)
Wealth (2)
Total (3)
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
           
Performing forbearance in the year
1,809 
2,111 
88 
18 
4,026 
Non-performing forbearance in the year
184 
1,009 
71 
1,266 
           
Total forbearance in the year (4)
1,993 
3,120 
159 
20 
5,292 

Note:
(1)
Forbearance stock reported at 31 December 2012 now includes home equity loans and lines as well as the residential mortgage portfolio.
(2)
SME business within Wealth is now reported within Wholesale forbearance.
(3)
As an individual case can include more than one type of arrangement, the analysis in the table on forbearance arrangements exceeds the total value of cases subject to forbearance.
(4)
Includes all deals agreed during the year (new customers and renewals) regardless of whether they remain active at the year end.


 
200

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: Retail forbearance (continued)

Key points

UK Retail
·
The reported numbers for forbearance in UK Retail capture all instances where a change has been made to the contractual payment terms including those where the customer is up-to-date on payments and there is no obvious evidence of financial stress. The reported figures include stock dating back to 1 January 2008.
   
·
At 31 December 2012, stock levels of £4.8 billion represent 4.9% of the total mortgage assets; this represents a 9.2% increase in forbearance stock since 31 December 2011. Of these, approximately 83% were up-to-date with payments (compared with approximately 97% of the mortgage population not subject to forbearance activity). Forbearance flow has remained stable year on year.
   
·
The most frequently occurring forbearance types were term extensions (47% of assets subject to forbearance at 31 December 2012), interest only conversions (25%) and capitalisations of arrears (19%). The stock of cases subject to interest only conversions reflects legacy policy. In 2009, UK Retail ceased providing this type of forbearance treatment for customers in financial difficulty and no longer permits interest only conversions on residential mortgages where the customer is current on payments.
   
·
The provision cover on performing assets subject to forbearance was about five times that on assets not subject to forbearance.

Ulster Bank
·
The reported numbers for forbearance in Ulster Bank Group capture all instances where a change has been made to the contractual payment terms including those where the customer is up-to-date on payments and there is no obvious evidence of financial stress. The reported figures include stock dating back to early 2009.
   
·
Ulster Bank Group continues to assist customers in the difficult economic environment. Mortgage forbearance treatments have been in place since 2009 and are aimed at assisting customers in financial difficulty. At 31 December 2012, 10.4% of total mortgage assets (£1.9 billion) were subject to a forbearance arrangement, an increase from 9.1% (£1.8 billion) at 31 December 2011. The majority of these forbearance arrangements were in the performing book (73%).
   
·
The majority of the forbearance arrangements offered by Ulster Bank currently are temporary concessions, accounting for 85% of assets subject to forbearance at 31 December 2012. These are offered for periods of one to three years and incorporate different levels of repayment based on the customer’s ability to pay. The additional treatment options developed by Ulster Retail will lead to a shift to more long term arrangements over time.
   
·
Of these temporary forbearance types, the largest category at 31 December 2012 was interest only conversions, which accounted for 46% of total assets subject to forbearance. The other categories of temporary forbearance were payment concessions: reduced repayments (36%); and payment holidays (38%).
   
·
The flow by forbearance type remained stable when compared with 2011 was a modest reduction, 3%, in customers seeking assistance for the first time year on year.
   
·
The provision cover on performing assets subject to forbearance is approximately eight times higher than that on performing assets not subject to forbearance.

 
201

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management (continued)

Risk elements in lending (REIL)
REIL, provisions and impairments
The tables below analyse gross loans and advances to banks and customers (excluding reverse repos) and the related debt management measures and ratios by division.

Divisional analysis
       
Credit metrics
 
          REIL as a %  of gross  loans to  customers    Provisions  as a %  of REIL 
Year-to-date
  Gross loans to        
 
Banks 
Customers 
REIL 
Provisions 
Impairment 
charge 
Amounts 
written-off 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                 
UK Retail
695 
113,599 
4,569 
2,629 
4.0 
58 
529 
599 
UK Corporate
746 
107,025 
5,452 
2,432 
5.1 
45 
836 
514 
Wealth
1,545 
17,074 
248 
109 
1.5 
44 
46 
15 
International Banking
4,827 
42,342 
422 
391 
1.0 
93 
111 
445 
Ulster Bank
632 
32,652 
7,533 
3,910 
23.1 
52 
1,364 
72 
US Retail & Commercial
435 
51,271 
1,146 
285 
2.2 
25 
83 
391 
                 
Retail & Commercial
8,880 
363,963 
19,370 
9,756 
5.3 
50 
2,969 
2,036 
Markets
16,805 
29,787 
396 
305 
1.3 
77 
25 
109 
Direct Line Group and other
5,232 
3,006 
                 
Core
30,917 
396,756 
19,766 
10,062 
5.0 
51 
2,995 
2,145 
Non-Core
477 
56,343 
21,374 
11,200 
37.9 
52 
2,320 
2,121 
                 
Group
31,394 
453,099 
41,140 
21,262 
9.1 
52 
5,315 
4,266 

31 December 2011
               
                 
UK Retail
628 
110,659 
4,599 
2,678 
4.2 
58 
788 
823 
UK Corporate
806 
110,729 
5,001 
2,062 
4.5 
41 
790 
658 
Wealth
2,422 
16,913 
211 
81 
1.2 
38 
25 
11 
International Banking
3,411 
57,729 
1,632 
851 
2.8 
52 
168 
125 
Ulster Bank
2,079 
34,052 
5,523 
2,749 
16.2 
50 
1,384 
124 
US Retail & Commercial
208 
51,562 
1,007 
455 
2.0 
45 
248 
373 
                 
Retail & Commercial
9,554 
381,644 
17,973 
8,876 
4.7 
49 
3,403 
2,114 
Markets
29,991 
31,490 
414 
311 
1.3 
75 
23 
Direct Line Group and other
3,829 
929 
                 
Core
43,374 
414,063 
18,387 
9,187 
4.4 
50 
3,403 
2,137 
Non-Core
706 
80,005 
24,007 
11,487 
30.0 
48 
3,838 
2,390 
                 
Group
44,080 
494,068 
42,394 
20,674 
8.6 
49 
7,241 
4,527 


 
202

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: REIL, provisions and impairments (continued)

Key points
·
Total REIL decreased by £1.3 billion to £41.1 billion compared with December 2011 as improvements in International Banking and in Non-Core were partially offset by the continued increase in REIL in UK Corporate and Ulster Bank Core mortgage and corporate portfolios.
   
·
Non-Core REIL decreased by £2.6 billion or 11% reflecting a mixture of repayments and write-offs within UK Corporate, Markets and International Banking corporate portfolios.
   
·
Conditions in Ireland remain difficult and economic indicators continue to be weak, this is reflected in the Ulster Bank credit metrics with Core REIL increasing by £2.0 billion since 31 December 2011, primarily within mortgage and commercial real estate portfolios, to £7.5 billion and is now 23.1% of loans and advances to customers.  Impairments continue to outpace write-offs.
   
·
The provision coverage increased to 52% at 31 December 2012 from 49% at 31 December 2011 as the economic conditions remain challenging particularly in relation to Ulster Bank and commercial real estate portfolio’s.
   
·
The impairment charge for 2012 of £5.3 billion was 27% lower than in 2011. The main drivers were lower impairment across Non-Core portfolios (down £1.5 billion or 40%) mainly as a result of lower impairments across Ulster Bank’s commercial real estate portfolio (down £1.3 billion or 58%) and continued improvement across Core UK portfolios.
   
·
Commercial real estate lending metrics were as follows:
 

 
Total
 
Non-Core
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
           
Lending (gross)
£63.0bn 
£74.8bn 
 
£26.4bn 
£34.3bn 
Of which REIL
£22.1bn 
£22.9bn 
 
£17.1bn 
£18.8bn 
Provisions
£10.1bn 
£9.5bn 
 
£8.3bn 
£8.2bn 
REIL as a % of gross loans to customers
35.1% 
30.6% 
 
64.8% 
54.8% 
Provisions as a % of REIL
46% 
41% 
 
49%
44% 

Note:
 
(1)
Excludes property related lending to customers in other sectors managed by Real Estate Finance.


Ulster Bank is a significant contributor to Non-Core commercial real estate lending. For further information refer to the section on Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core).


 
203

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: REIL, provisions and impairments (continued)

Sector and geographical regional analysis - Group
The tables below analyse gross loans and advances to banks and customers (excluding reverse repos) and the related debt management by sector and geography (by location of lending office) for the Group, Core and Non-Core.

       
Credit metrics
   
31 December 2012
Gross 
loans 
£m 
REIL 
£m 
Provisions 
£m 
REIL 
as a % 
of gross 
loans 
Provisions 
as a % 
of REIL 
Provisions 
as a % 
of gross 
loans 
Impairment 
charge 
£m 
Amounts 
written-off 
£m 
                 
Government (1)
9,853 
Finance
42,198 
592 
317 
1.4 
54 
0.8 
145 
380 
Personal
- mortgages
149,625 
6,549 
1,824 
4.4 
28 
1.2 
948 
461 
 
- unsecured
32,212 
2,903 
2,409 
9.0 
83 
7.5 
631 
793 
Property
72,219 
21,223 
9,859 
29.4 
46 
13.7 
2,212 
1,080 
Construction
8,049 
1,483 
640 
18.4 
43 
8.0 
94 
182 
Manufacturing
23,787 
755 
357 
3.2 
47 
1.5 
134 
203 
Finance leases (2)
13,609 
442 
294 
3.2 
67 
2.2 
44 
263 
Retail, wholesale and repairs
21,936 
1,143 
644 
5.2 
56 
2.9 
230 
176 
Transport and storage
18,341 
834 
336 
4.5 
40 
1.8 
289 
102 
Health, education and leisure
16,705 
1,190 
521 
7.1 
44 
3.1 
144 
100 
Hotels and restaurants
7,877 
1,597 
726 
20.3 
45 
9.2 
176 
102 
Utilities
6,631 
118 
21 
1.8 
18 
0.3 
(4)
Other
30,057 
2,177 
1,240 
7.2 
57 
4.1 
323 
395 
Latent
1,960 
(74)
                 
 
453,099 
41,006 
21,148 
9.1 
52 
4.7 
5,292 
4,237 
                 
of which:
               
UK
               
  - residential mortgages
109,530 
2,440 
457 
2.2 
19 
0.4 
122 
32 
  - personal lending
20,498 
2,477 
2,152 
12.1 
87 
10.5 
479 
610 
  - property
53,730 
10,521 
3,944 
19.6 
37 
7.3 
964 
490 
  - construction
6,507 
1,165 
483 
17.9 
41 
7.4 
100 
158 
  - other
122,029 
3,729 
2,611 
3.1 
70 
2.1 
674 
823 
Europe
               
  - residential mortgages
17,836 
3,092 
1,151 
17.3 
37 
6.5 
526 
50 
  - personal lending
1,905 
226 
208 
11.9 
92 
10.9 
38 
13 
  - property
14,634 
10,347 
5,766 
70.7 
56 
39.4 
1,264 
441 
  - construction
1,132 
289 
146 
25.5 
51 
12.9 
(11)
12 
  - other
27,424 
4,451 
2,996 
16.2 
67 
10.9 
817 
539 
US
               
  - residential mortgages
21,929 
990 
208 
4.5 
21 
0.9 
298 
377 
  - personal lending
8,748 
199 
48 
2.3 
24 
0.5 
109 
162 
  - property
3,343 
170 
29 
5.1 
17 
0.9 
(11)
83 
  - construction
388 
2.1 
13 
0.3 
12 
  - other
29,354 
352 
630 
1.2 
179 
2.1 
(86)
149 
RoW
               
  - residential mortgages
330 
27 
8.2 
30 
2.4 
  - personal lending
1,061 
0.1 
100 
0.1 
  - property
512 
185 
120 
36.1 
65 
23.4 
(5)
66 
  - construction
22 
21 
10 
95.5 
48 
45.5 
  - other
12,187 
316 
179 
2.6 
57 
1.5 
210 
                 
 
453,099 
41,006 
21,148 
9.1 
52 
4.7 
5,292 
4,237 
                 
Banks
31,394 
134 
114 
0.4 
85 
0.4 
23 
29 

For the notes to this table refer to page 209.

 
204

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: REIL, provisions and impairments (continued)

Sector and geographical regional analysis - Group (continued)

       
Credit metrics
   
31 December 2011
Gross 
loans 
£m 
REIL 
£m 
Provisions 
£m 
REIL 
as a % 
of gross 
loans 
Provisions 
as a % 
of REIL 
Provisions 
as a % 
of gross 
loans 
Impairment 
charge 
£m 
Amounts 
written-off 
£m
                 
Government (1)
9,742 
Finance
51,870 
1,062 
726 
2.0 
68 
1.4 
89 
87 
Personal
- mortgages
149,273 
5,270 
1,396 
3.5 
26 
0.9 
1,076 
516 
 
- unsecured
34,424 
3,070 
2,456 
8.9 
80 
7.1 
782 
1,286 
Property
81,058 
22,101 
8,994 
27.3 
41 
11.1 
3,669 
1,171 
Construction
9,869 
1,943 
761 
19.7 
39 
7.7 
140 
244 
Manufacturing
28,639 
913 
525 
3.2 
58 
1.8 
227 
215 
Finance leases (2)
14,499 
794 
508 
5.5 
64 
3.5 
112 
170 
Retail, wholesale and repairs
24,378 
1,067 
549 
4.4 
51 
2.3 
180 
172 
Transport and storage
22,058 
606 
154 
2.7 
25 
0.7 
78 
43 
Health, education and leisure
17,492 
1,192 
502 
6.8 
42 
2.9 
304 
98 
Hotels and restaurants
8,870 
1,490 
675 
16.8 
45 
7.6 
334 
131 
Utilities
8,406 
88 
23 
1.0 
26 
0.3 
Other
33,490 
2,661 
1,217 
7.9 
46 
3.6 
792 
391 
Latent
2,065 
(545)
                 
 
494,068 
42,257 
20,551 
8.6 
49 
4.2 
7,241 
4,527 
                 
of which:
               
UK
               
  - residential mortgages
106,388 
2,262 
431 
2.1 
19 
0.4 
180 
25 
  - personal lending
22,008 
2,717 
2,209 
12.3 
81 
10.0 
645 
1,007 
  - property
60,041 
11,147 
3,837 
18.6 
34 
6.4 
1,411 
493 
  - construction
7,589 
1,427 
560 
18.8 
39 
7.4 
187 
228 
  - other
132,548 
4,635 
2,943 
3.5 
63 
2.2 
514 
655 
Europe
               
  - residential mortgages
18,946 
2,205 
713 
11.6 
32 
3.8 
467 
10 
  - personal lending
2,464 
209 
180 
8.5 
86 
7.3 
25 
126 
  - property
16,384 
10,314 
4,947 
63.0 
48 
30.2 
2,296
504 
  - construction
1,754 
362 
185 
20.6 
51 
10.5 
(62)
  - other
34,497 
4,261 
2,873 
12.4 
67 
8.3 
1,267 
293 
US
               
  - residential mortgages
23,237 
770 
240 
3.3 
31 
1.0 
426 
481 
  - personal lending
8,441 
143 
66 
1.7 
46 
0.8 
112 
153 
  - property
3,783 
329 
92 
8.7 
28 
2.4 
(2)
139 
  - construction
457 
121 
10 
26.5 
2.2 
16 
  - other
37,015 
517 
895 
1.4 
173 
2.4 
(175)
180 
RoW
               
  - residential mortgages
702 
33 
12 
4.7 
36 
1.7 
  - personal lending
1,511 
0.1 
100 
0.1 
  - property
850 
311 
118 
36.6 
38 
13.9 
(36)
35 
  - construction
69 
33 
47.8 
18 
8.7 
  - other
15,384 
460 
233 
3.0 
51 
1.5 
(32)
182 
                 
 
494,068 
42,257 
20,551 
8.6 
49 
4.2 
7,241 
4,527 
                 
Banks
44,080 
137 
123 
0.3 
90 
0.3 

For notes to this table refer to page 209.

 
205

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: REIL, provisions and impairments (continued)

Sector and geographical regional analysis - Core

       
Credit metrics
   
31 December 2012
Gross 
loans 
£m 
REIL 
£m 
Provisions 
£m 
REIL 
as a % 
of gross 
loans 
Provisions 
as a % 
of REIL 
Provisions 
as a % 
of gross 
loans 
Impairment 
charge 
£m 
Amounts 
written-off 
£m 
                 
Government (1)
8,485 
Finance
39,658 
185 
149 
0.5 
81 
0.4 
54 
338 
Personal
- mortgages
146,770 
6,229 
1,691 
4.2 
27 
1.2 
786 
234 
 
- unsecured
31,247 
2,717 
2,306 
8.7 
85 
7.4 
568 
718 
Property
43,602 
4,672 
1,674 
10.7 
36 
3.8 
748 
214 
Construction
6,020 
757 
350 
12.6 
46 
5.8 
119 
60 
Manufacturing
22,234 
496 
225 
2.2 
45 
1.0 
118 
63 
Finance leases (2)
9,201 
159 
107 
1.7 
67 
1.2 
35 
41 
Retail, wholesale and repairs
20,842 
791 
439 
3.8 
55 
2.1 
181 
129 
Transport and storage
14,590 
440 
112 
3.0 
25 
0.8 
72 
21 
Health, education and leisure
15,770 
761 
299 
4.8 
39 
1.9 
109 
67 
Hotels and restaurants
6,891 
1,042 
473 
15.1 
45 
6.9 
138 
56 
Utilities
5,131 
10 
0.2 
50 
0.1 
Other
26,315 
1,374 
794 
5.2 
58 
3.0 
190 
175 
Latent
1,325 
(146)
                 
 
396,756 
19,633 
9,949 
4.9 
51 
2.5 
2,972 
2,116 
                 
of which:
               
UK
               
  - residential mortgages
109,511 
2,440 
457 
2.2 
19 
0.4 
122 
32 
  - personal lending
20,443 
2,454 
2,133 
12.0 
87 
10.4 
474 
594 
  - property
35,532 
2,777 
896 
7.8 
32 
2.5 
395 
181 
  - construction
5,101 
671 
301 
13.2 
45 
5.9 
109 
47 
  - other
108,713 
2,662 
1,737 
2.4 
65 
1.6 
499 
379 
Europe
               
  - residential mortgages
17,446 
3,060 
1,124 
17.5 
37 
6.4 
521 
24 
  - personal lending
1,540 
143 
138 
9.3 
97 
9.0 
29 
11 
  - property
4,896 
1,652 
685 
33.7 
41 
14.0 
350 
  - construction
513 
60 
39 
11.7 
65 
7.6 
10 
  - other
22,218 
2,280 
1,711 
10.3 
75 
7.7 
362 
267 
US
               
  - residential mortgages
19,483 
702 
102 
3.6 
15 
0.5 
141 
176 
  - personal lending
8,209 
119 
34 
1.4 
29 
0.4 
65 
112 
  - property
2,847 
112 
13 
3.9 
12 
0.5 
27 
  - construction
384 
1.3 
  - other
28,267 
252 
432 
0.9 
171 
1.5 
(111)
90 
RoW
               
  - residential mortgages
330 
27 
8.2 
30 
2.4 
  - personal lending
1,055 
0.1 
100 
0.1 
  - property
327 
131 
80 
40.1 
61 
24.5 
  - construction
22 
21 
10 
95.5 
48 
45.5 
  - other
9,919 
64 
48 
0.6 
75 
0.5 
154 
                 
 
396,756 
19,633 
9,949 
4.9 
51 
2.5 
2,972 
2,116 
                 
Banks
30,917 
133 
113 
0.4 
85 
0.4 
23 
29 

For the notes to this table refer to page 209.

 
206

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: REIL, provisions and impairments (continued)

Sector and geographical regional analysis - Core (continued)

       
Credit metrics
   
31 December 2011
Gross 
loans 
£m 
REIL 
£m 
Provisions 
£m 
REIL 
as a % 
of gross 
loans 
Provisions 
as a % 
of REIL 
Provisions 
as a % 
of gross 
loans 
Impairment 
charge 
£m 
Amounts 
written-off 
£m 
Government (1)
8,359 
Finance
48,598 
745 
579 
1.5 
78 
1.2 
207 
44 
Personal
- mortgages
144,171 
4,890 
1,216 
3.4 
25 
0.8 
776 
198 
 
- unsecured
32,868 
2,960 
2,364 
9.0 
80 
7.2 
715 
935 
Property
42,994 
4,132 
1,133 
9.6 
27 
2.6 
469 
167 
Construction
7,197 
841 
286 
11.7 
34 
4.0 
179 
143 
Manufacturing
23,708 
490 
242 
2.1 
49 
1.0 
106 
125 
Finance leases (2)
8,440 
172 
110 
2.0 
64 
1.3 
31 
68 
Retail, wholesale and repairs
22,039 
679 
345 
3.1 
51 
1.6 
208 
119 
Transport and storage
16,581 
342 
60 
2.1 
18 
0.4 
47 
29 
Health, education and leisure
16,073 
691 
257 
4.3 
37 
1.6 
170 
55 
Hotels and restaurants
7,709 
1,005 
386 
13.0 
38 
5.0 
209 
60 
Utilities
6,557 
22 
0.3 
Other
28,769 
1,282 
668 
4.5 
52 
2.3 
538 
194 
Latent
1,418 
(252)
                 
 
414,063 
18,251 
9,065 
4.4 
50 
2.2 
3,403 
2,137 
                 
of which:
               
UK
               
  - residential mortgages
104,965 
2,210 
420 
2.1 
19 
0.4 
174 
24 
  - personal lending
21,881 
2,680 
2,179 
12.2 
81 
10.0 
657 
828 
  - property
35,431 
2,984 
744 
8.4 
25 
2.1 
378 
114 
  - construction
5,707 
655 
236 
11.5 
36 
4.1 
160 
138 
  - other
114,878 
2,571 
1,648 
2.2 
64 
1.4 
366 
398 
Europe
               
  - residential mortgages
18,393 
2,121 
664 
11.5 
31 
3.6 
437 
10 
  - personal lending
1,972 
143 
125 
7.3 
87 
6.3 
(8)
22 
  - property
4,846 
1,037 
365 
21.4 
35 
7.5 
162 
10 
  - construction
1,019 
72 
43 
7.1 
60 
4.2 
13 
  - other
24,414 
2,430 
1,806 
10.0 
74 
7.4 
915 
183 
US
               
  - residential mortgages
20,311 
526 
120 
2.6 
23 
0.6 
162 
164 
  - personal lending
7,505 
136 
59 
1.8 
43 
0.8 
66 
85 
  - property
2,413 
111 
24 
4.6 
22 
1.0 
16 
43 
  - construction
412 
98 
23.8 
0.2 
  - other
34,971 
345 
583 
1.0 
169 
1.7 
26 
96 
RoW
               
  - residential mortgages
502 
33 
12 
6.6 
36 
2.4 
  - personal lending
1,510 
0.1 
100 
0.1 
  - property
304 
 
(87)
  - construction
59 
16 
27.1 
38 
10.2 
  - other
12,570 
82 
29 
0.7 
35 
0.2 
(43)
17 
                 
 
414,063 
18,251 
9,065 
4.4 
50 
2.2 
3,403 
2,137 
                 
Banks
43,374 
136 
122 
0.3 
90 
0.3 

For the notes to this table refer to page 209.

 
207

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: REIL, provisions and impairments (continued)

Sector and geographical regional analysis - Non-Core

       
Credit metrics
   
31 December 2012
Gross 
loans 
£m 
REIL 
£m 
Provisions 
£m 
REIL 
as a % 
of gross 
loans 
Provisions 
as a % 
of REIL 
Provisions 
as a % 
of gross 
loans 
Impairment 
charge 
£m 
Amounts 
written-off 
£m 
                 
Government (1)
1,368 
Finance
2,540 
407 
168 
16.0 
41 
6.6 
91 
42 
Personal
- mortgages
2,855 
320 
133 
11.2 
42 
4.7 
162 
227 
 
- unsecured
965 
186 
103 
19.3 
55 
10.7 
63 
75 
Property
28,617 
16,551 
8,185 
57.8 
49 
28.6 
1,464 
866 
Construction
2,029 
726 
290 
35.8 
40 
14.3 
(25)
122 
Manufacturing
1,553 
259 
132 
16.7 
51 
8.5 
16 
140 
Finance leases (2)
4,408 
283 
187 
6.4 
66 
4.2 
222 
Retail, wholesale and repairs
1,094 
352 
205 
32.2 
58 
18.7 
49 
47 
Transport and storage
3,751 
394 
224 
10.5 
57 
6.0 
217 
81 
Health, education and leisure
935 
429 
222 
45.9 
52 
23.7 
35 
33 
Hotels and restaurants
986 
555 
253 
56.3 
46 
25.7 
38 
46 
Utilities
1,500 
108 
16 
7.2 
15 
1.1 
(4)
Other
3,742 
803 
446 
21.5 
56 
11.9 
133 
220 
Latent
635 
72 
                 
 
56,343 
21,373 
11,199 
37.9 
52 
19.9
2,320 
2,121 
                 
of which:
               
UK
               
  - residential mortgages
19 
  - personal lending
55 
23 
19 
41.8 
83 
34.5 
16 
  - property
18,198 
7,744 
3,048 
42.6 
39 
16.7 
569 
309 
  - construction
1,406 
494 
182 
35.1 
37 
12.9 
(9)
111 
  - other
13,316 
1,067 
874 
8.0 
82 
6.6 
175 
444 
Europe
               
  - residential mortgages
390 
32 
27 
8.2 
84 
6.9 
26 
  - personal lending
365 
83 
70 
22.7 
84 
19.2 
  - property
9,738 
8,695 
5,081 
89.3 
58 
52.2 
914 
435 
  - construction
619 
229 
107 
37.0 
47 
17.3 
(15)
  - other
5,206 
2,171 
1,285 
40.7 
59 
24.7 
455 
272 
US
               
  - residential mortgages
2,446 
288 
106 
11.8 
37 
4.3 
157 
201 
  - personal lending
539 
80 
14 
14.8 
18 
2.6 
44 
50 
  - property
496 
58 
16 
11.7 
28 
3.2 
(14)
56 
   - construction
75.0 
33 
25.0 
(1)
  - other
1,087 
100 
198 
9.2 
198 
18.2 
25 
59 
RoW
               
  - residential mortgages
  - personal lending
  - property
185 
54 
40 
29.2 
74 
21.6 
(5)
66 
  - construction
     
  - other
2,268 
252 
131 
11.1 
52 
5.8 
56 
                 
 
56,343 
21,373 
11,199 
37.9 
52 
19.9 
2,320 
2,121 
                 
Banks
477 
0.2 
100 
0.2 

For the notes to this table refer to page 209.

 
208

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: REIL, provisions and impairments (continued)

Sector and geographical regional analysis - Non-Core (continued)

       
Credit metrics
   
31 December 2011
Gross 
loans 
£m 
REIL 
£m 
Provisions 
£m 
REIL 
as a % 
of gross 
loans 
Provisions 
as a % 
of REIL 
Provisions 
as a % 
of gross 
loans 
Impairment 
charge 
£m 
Amounts 
written-off 
£m 
Government (1)
1,383 
Finance
3,272 
317 
147 
9.7 
46 
4.5 
(118)
43 
Personal
- mortgages
5,102 
380 
180 
7.4 
47 
3.5 
300 
318 
 
- unsecured
1,556 
110 
92 
7.1 
84 
5.9 
67 
351 
Property
38,064 
17,969 
7,861 
47.2 
44 
20.7 
3,200 
1,004 
Construction
2,672 
1,102 
475 
41.2 
43 
17.8 
(39)
101 
Manufacturing
4,931 
423 
283 
8.6 
67 
5.7 
121 
90 
Finance leases (2)
6,059 
622 
398 
10.3 
64 
6.6 
81 
102 
Retail, wholesale and repairs
2,339 
388 
204 
16.6 
53 
8.7 
(28)
53 
Transport and storage
5,477 
264 
94 
4.8 
36 
1.7 
31 
14 
Health, education and leisure
1,419 
501 
245 
35.3 
49 
17.3 
134 
43 
Hotels and restaurants
1,161 
485 
289 
41.8 
60 
24.9 
125 
71 
Utilities
1,849 
66 
22 
3.6 
33 
1.2 
Other
4,721 
1,379 
549 
29.2 
40 
11.6 
254 
197 
Latent
647 
(293)
                 
 
80,005 
24,006 
11,486 
30.0 
48 
14.4 
3,838 
2,390 
                 
of which:
               
UK
               
  - residential mortgages
1,423 
52 
11 
3.7 
21 
0.8 
  - personal lending
127 
37 
30 
29.1 
81 
23.6 
(12)
179 
  - property
24,610 
8,163 
3,093 
33.2 
38 
12.6 
1,033 
379 
  - construction
1,882 
772 
324 
41.0 
42 
17.2 
27 
90 
  - other
17,670 
2,064 
1,295 
11.7 
63 
7.3 
148 
257 
Europe
               
  - residential mortgages
553 
84 
49 
15.2 
58 
8.9 
30 
  - personal lending
492 
66 
55 
13.4 
83 
11.2 
33 
104 
  - property
11,538 
9,277 
4,582 
80.4 
49 
39.7 
2,134 
494 
  - construction
735 
290 
142 
39.5 
49 
19.3 
(75)
  - other
10,083 
1,831 
1,067 
18.2 
58 
10.6 
352 
110 
US
               
  - residential mortgages
2,926 
244 
120 
8.3 
49 
4.1 
264 
317 
  - personal lending
936 
0.7 
100 
0.7 
46 
68 
  - property
1,370 
218 
68 
15.9 
31 
5.0 
(18)
96 
  - construction
45 
23 
51.1 
39 
20.0 
11 
  - other
2,044 
172 
312 
8.4 
181 
15.3 
(201)
84 
RoW
               
  - residential mortgages
200 
  - personal lending
  - property
546 
311 
118 
57.0 
38 
21.6 
51 
35 
  - construction
10 
17 
170.0 
  - other
2,814 
378 
204 
13.4 
54 
7.2 
11 
165 
                 
 
80,005 
24,006 
11,486 
30.0 
48 
14.4 
3,838 
2,390 
                 
Banks
706 
0.1 
100 
0.1 

Notes:
(1)
Includes central and local government.
(2)
Includes instalment credit.

 
209

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: REIL, provisions and impairments (continued)

REIL flow statement
REIL are stated without giving effect to any security held that could reduce the eventual loss should it occur or to any provisions marked.


 
UK 
Retail 
UK 
Corporate 
Wealth 
International 
Banking 
Ulster 
Bank 
US Retail & 
Commercial 
Markets 
Core 
Non- 
Core 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                     
At 1 January 2012
4,599 
5,001 
211 
1,632 
5,523 
1,007 
414 
18,387 
24,007 
42,394 
Currency translation
  and other
  adjustments
53 
(6)
(1)
(227)
(115)
(47)
184 
(159)
(487)
(646)
Additions
1,771 
4,362 
111 
286 
3,299 
660 
56 
10,545 
5,800 
16,345 
Transfers (1)
(33)
(110)
(130)
70 
(60)
Transfers to
  performing book
(133)
(8)
(624)
(75)
(840)
(1,035)
(1,875)
Repayments
(1,222)
(3,265)
(50)
(90)
(1,102)
(83)
(80)
(5,892)
(4,860)
(10,752)
Amounts written-off
(599)
(514)
(15)
(445)
(72)
(391)
(109)
(2,145)
(2,121)
(4,266)
                     
At 31 December 2012
4,569 
5,452 
248 
422 
7,533 
1,146 
396 
19,766 
21,374 
41,140 


 
Non-Core (by donating divisions)
 
UK 
Corporate 
International 
Banking 
Ulster 
Bank 
US Retail & Commercial 
Other 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
At 1 January 2012
3,685 
8,051 
11,675 
486 
110 
24,007 
Currency translation and other adjustments
(57)
(104)
(231)
(20)
(75)
(487)
Additions
1,542 
2,210 
1,713 
323 
12 
5,800 
Transfers (1)
11 
59 
70 
Transfers to performing book
(171)
(863)
(1)
(1,035)
Repayments
(1,798)
(1,379)
(1,618)
(62)
(3)
(4,860)
Amounts written-off
(590)
(1,067)
(140)
(309)
(15)
(2,121)
             
At 31 December 2012
2,622 
6,907 
11,399 
418 
28 
21,374 


 
Note:
(1)
Represents transfers to/from REIL from/to potential problem loans.




 
210

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: REIL, provisions and impairments (continued)

Impairment provisions flow statement
The movement in loan impairment provisions by division is shown in the table below.

 
UK 
Retail 
UK 
Corporate 
Wealth 
International 
Banking 
Ulster 
Bank 
US 
R&C (1)
 
Total 
R&C (1)
Markets 
Central 
Items 
 
Total 
Core 
Non-Core 
RFS MI 
Group 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                               
At 1 January 2012
2,679 
2,061 
81 
851 
2,749 
455 
 
8,876 
311 
 
9,187 
11,487 
20,674 
Currency translation
  and other adjustments
12 
87 
(131)
(54)
53 
 
(33)
77 
 
44 
(369)
(325)
Disposal of subsidiaries
 
 
(1)
(4)
(5)
Amounts written-off
(599)
(514)
(15)
(445)
(72)
(391)
 
(2,036)
(109)
 
(2,145)
(2,121)
(4,266)
Recoveries of amounts
  previously written-off
96 
18 
85 
 
210 
 
211 
130 
341 
Charged to income statement
                             
  - continuing operations
529 
836 
46 
111 
1,364 
83 
 
2,969 
25 
 
2,995 
2,320 
5,315 
  - discontinued operations
 
 
Unwind of discount (2)
(88)
(56)
(3)
(4)
(79)
 
(230)
 
(230)
(246)
(476)
                               
At 31 December 2012
2,629 
2,432 
109 
391 
3,910 
285 
 
9,756 
305 
 
10,062 
11,200 
21,262 
                               
Individually assessed
                             
  - banks
 
107 
 
113 
114 
  - customers
1,024 
96 
270 
1,213 
46 
 
2,649 
189 
 
2,839 
9,805 
12,644 
Collectively assessed
2,439 
1,111 
2,110 
125 
 
5,785 
 
5,785 
757 
6,542 
Latent
190 
297 
13 
115 
587 
114 
 
1,316 
 
1,325 
637 
1,962 
                               
 
2,629 
2,432 
109 
391 
3,910 
285 
 
9,756 
305 
 
10,062 
11,200 
21,262 

Notes:
(1)
Retail & Commercial.
(2)
Recognised in interest income.



 
211

 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: REIL, provisions and impairments (continued)

Impairment provisions flow statement (continued)
 
Non-Core (by donating division)
 
UK 
Corporate 
International 
Banking 
Ulster 
Bank 
US 
R&C 
Other 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
At 1 January 2012
1,633 
3,027 
6,363 
416 
48 
11,487 
Currency translation and other adjustments
(100)
(58)
(107)
(89)
(15)
(369)
Disposal of subsidiaries
-  
(1)
(1)
Amounts written-off
(590)
(1,067)
(140)
(309)
(15)
(2,121)
Recoveries of amounts previously written-off
21 
38 
63 
130 
Charged to income statement
           
  - continuing operations
241 
913 
983 
177 
2,230 
Unwind of discount
(38)
(38)
(170)
(246)
             
At 31 December 2012
1,167 
2,815 
6,933 
257 
28 
11,200 
             
Individually assessed
           
  - banks
  - customers
688 
2,604 
6,481 
24 
9,805 
Collectively assessed
422 
225 
92 
18 
757 
Latent
57 
210 
227 
141 
637 
             
 
1,167 
2,815 
6,933 
257 
28 
11,200 

Key points
Within Core, increase in collectively assessed provisions related primarily to Ulster Bank’s mortgage and corporate portfolio reflecting a continuation of difficult conditions in Ireland.
   
Non-Core individually assessed provisions decreased by £0.2 billion reflecting write-offs in Markets and UK Corporate.


 
212

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: REIL, provisions and impairments (continued)

Impairment charge analysis

31 December 2012
UK 
Retail 
UK 
Corporate 
Wealth 
International 
Banking 
Ulster 
Bank 
US 
R&C (1)
 
Total 
R&C (1)
Markets 
Central 
Items 
 
Total 
Core 
Non-Core 
Group 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                             
Individually assessed
554 
42 
137 
457 
15 
 
1,205 
28 
 
1,234 
1,935 
3,169 
Collectively assessed
544 
317 
(1)
787 
237 
 
1,884 
 
1,884 
312 
2,196 
Latent loss
(15)
(35)
(48)
120 
(169)
 
(143)
(3)
 
(146)
73 
(73)
                             
Loans to customers
529 
836 
46 
88 
1,364 
83 
 
2,946 
25 
 
2,972 
2,320 
5,292 
Loans to banks
23 
 
23 
 
23 
23 
Securities
                           
  - other
 
10 
12 
39 
 
61 
(97)
(36)
                             
Charge to income statement
529 
838 
46 
111 
1,364 
91 
 
2,979 
37 
40 
 
3,056 
2,223 
5,279 

31 December 2011
                           
                             
Individually assessed
612 
24 
233 
637 
64 
 
1,570 
10 
 
1,580 
3,615 
5,195 
Collectively assessed
798 
392 
655 
230 
 
2,075 
 
2,075 
516 
2,591 
Latent loss
(10)
(213)
(65)
92 
(46)
 
(241)
(11)
 
(252)
(293)
(545)
                             
Loans to customers
788 
791 
25 
168 
1,384 
248 
 
3,404 
(1)
 
3,403 
3,838 
7,241 
Securities
                           
  - sovereign debt (2)
 
1,268 
 
1,268 
1,268 
  - other
78 
 
80 
39 
(2)
 
117 
81 
198 
                             
Charge to income statement
788 
793 
25 
168 
1,384 
326 
 
3,484 
38 
1,266 
 
4,788 
3,919 
8,707 
Notes:
(1)
Retail & Commercial.
(2)
Includes related interest rate hedge instruments.


 
213

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Problem debt management: REIL, provisions and impairments (continued)

Impairment charge analysis (continued)

31 December 2012
Non-Core (by donating division)
 
UK 
Corporate 
International 
Banking 
Ulster 
Bank 
US 
R&C 
Other 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
Individually assessed
206 
913 
842 
(25)
(1)
1,935 
Collectively assessed
71 
25 
208 
312 
Latent loss
(37)
116 
(6)
(1)
73 
             
Loans to customers
240 
914 
983 
177 
2,320 
Securities
(97)
(97)
             
Charge to income statement
240 
817 
983 
177 
2,223 

31 December 2011
           
             
Individually assessed
512 
679 
2,426 
(3)
3,615 
Collectively assessed
129 
29 
372 
(14)
516 
Latent loss
(113)
(106)
(66)
(8)
(293)
             
Loans to customers
528 
679 
2,349 
303 
(21)
3,838 
Securities
78 
-
-
81 
             
Charge to income statement
528 
757 
2,349 
303 
(18)
3,919 
 
214

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk (continued)

Key credit portfolios

Commercial real estate
The commercial real estate lending portfolio totalled £63.0 billion at 31 December 2012, an £11.8 billion or 16% decrease from £74.8 billion at 31 December 2011. The commercial real estate sector comprises exposures to entities involved in the development of, or investment in, commercial and residential properties (including housebuilders). The analysis of lending utilisations below excludes rate risk management and contingent obligations.

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Investment 
Development 
Total 
 
Investment 
Development 
Total 
By division (1)
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
               
Core
             
UK Corporate
22,504 
4,091 
26,595 
 
25,101 
5,023 
30,124 
Ulster Bank
3,575 
729 
4,304 
 
3,882 
881 
4,763 
US Retail & Commercial
3,857 
3,860 
 
4,235 
70 
4,305 
International Banking
849 
315 
1,164 
 
872 
299 
1,171 
Markets
630 
57 
687 
 
141 
61 
202 
               
 
31,415 
5,195 
36,610 
 
34,231 
6,334 
40,565 
               
Non-Core
             
UK Corporate
2,651 
983 
3,634 
 
3,957 
2,020 
5,977 
Ulster Bank
3,383 
7,607 
10,990 
 
3,860 
8,490 
12,350 
US Retail & Commercial
392 
392 
 
901 
28 
929 
International Banking
11,260 
154 
11,414 
 
14,689 
336 
15,025 
               
 
17,686 
8,744 
26,430 
 
23,407 
10,874 
34,281 
               
Total
49,101 
13,939 
63,040 
 
57,638 
17,208 
74,846 


 
Investment
 
Development
 
 
Commercial 
Residential 
 
Commercial 
Residential 
Total 
By geography (1)
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
31 December 2012
           
UK (excluding NI) (2)
25,864 
5,567 
 
839 
4,777 
37,047 
Ireland (ROI and NI) (2)
4,651 
989 
 
2,234 
5,712 
13,586 
Western Europe (other)
5,995 
370 
 
22 
33 
6,420 
US
4,230 
981 
 
15 
5,226 
RoW
454 
 
65 
242 
761 
             
 
41,194 
7,907 
 
3,160 
10,779 
63,040 
             
31 December 2011
           
             
UK (excluding NI) (2)
28,653 
6,359 
 
1,198 
6,511 
42,721 
Ireland (ROI and NI) (2)
5,146 
1,132 
 
2,591 
6,317 
15,186 
Western Europe (other)
7,649 
1,048 
 
52 
8,758 
US
5,552 
1,279 
 
59 
46 
6,936 
RoW
785 
35 
 
141 
284 
1,245 
             
 
47,785 
9,853 
 
3,998 
13,210 
74,846 

For the notes to these tables refer to the following page.

 
215

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Key credit portfolios: Commercial real estate (continued)

 
Investment
 
Development
 
 
Core 
Non-Core 
 
Core 
Non-Core 
Total 
By geography (1)
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
31 December 2012
           
UK (excluding NI) (2)
23,312 
8,119 
 
4,184 
1,432 
37,047 
Ireland (ROI and NI) (2)
2,877 
2,763 
 
665 
7,281 
13,586 
Western Europe (other)
403 
5,962 
 
24 
31 
6,420 
US
4,629 
582 
 
15 
5,226 
RoW
194 
260 
 
307 
761 
             
 
31,415 
17,686 
 
5,195 
8,744 
63,040 
             
31 December 2011
           
             
UK (excluding NI) (2)
25,904 
9,108 
 
5,118 
2,591 
42,721 
Ireland (ROI and NI) (2)
3,157 
3,121 
 
793 
8,115 
15,186 
Western Europe (other)
422 
8,275 
 
20 
41 
8,758 
US
4,521 
2,310 
 
71 
34 
6,936 
RoW
227 
593 
 
332 
93 
1,245 
             
 
34,231 
23,407 
 
6,334 
10,874 
74,846 

By sub-sector (1)
UK 
(excl NI) (2)
£m 
Ireland 
(ROI and 
 NI) (2)
£m 
Western 
Europe 
£m 
US 
£m 
RoW 
£m 
Total 
£m 
             
31 December 2012
           
Residential
10,344 
6,701 
403 
996 
242 
18,686 
Office
6,112 
1,132 
1,851 
99 
176 
9,370 
Retail
7,529 
1,492 
1,450 
117 
129 
10,717 
Industrial
3,550 
476 
143 
39 
4,212 
Mixed/other
9,512 
3,785 
2,573 
4,010 
175 
20,055 
             
 
37,047 
13,586 
6,420 
5,226 
761 
63,040 
             
31 December 2011
 
             
Residential
12,870 
7,449 
1,100 
1,325 
319 
23,063 
Office
7,155 
1,354 
2,246 
404 
352 
11,511 
Retail
8,709 
1,641 
1,891 
285 
275 
12,801 
Industrial
4,317 
507 
520 
24 
105 
5,473 
Mixed/other
9,670 
4,235 
3,001 
4,898 
194 
21,998 
             
 
42,721 
15,186 
8,758 
6,936 
1,245 
74,846 

Notes:
(1)
Excludes commercial real estate lending in Wealth as these loans are generally supported by personal guarantees in addition to collateral. This portfolio, which totalled £1.4 billion at 31 December 2012 (31 December 2011 - £1.3 billion), continues to perform in line with expectations and requires minimal provisions.
(2)
ROI: Republic of Ireland; NI: Northern Ireland.

 
216

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Key credit portfolios: Commercial real estate (continued)

Key points
·
In line with the Group’s strategy, the overall exposure to commercial real estate fell during 2012 across all geographies. The overall mix in terms of geography, sub-sector and investment versus development remained broadly unchanged.
   
·
Most of the decrease was in Non-Core and was due to repayments, asset sales, and write-offs. The Non-Core portfolio totalled £26.4 billion (42% of the portfolio) at 31 December 2012 (31 December 2011 - £34.3 billion or 46% of the portfolio).
   
·
The growth in Markets was caused by an increase in the inventory of US commercial real estate loans earmarked for securitisation as commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS). CMBS warehouse activity is tightly controlled with limits on maximum portfolio size and holding period, and marked-to-market on a daily basis.
   
·
With the exception of exposure in Spain and Ireland, the Group had minimal commercial real estate exposure in the peripheral eurozone countries. Exposure in Spain was predominantly in the Non-Core portfolio and totalled £1.6 billion (31 December 2011 - £2.3 billion), of which 31% (31 December 2011 - 55%) was in default. The majority of the portfolio is managed by GRG. The Spanish portfolio has already been subject to material provisions, which are regularly assessed by reference to re-appraised asset values. Asset values vary significantly by type and geographic location. Refer to the Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) section on page 226 for details on the exposure in Ireland.
   
·
The UK portfolio is focused on London and the South East at approximately 43% (31 December 2011 - 44%) with the remainder spread across other UK Regions.
   
·
Speculative lending, defined by the Group as short-term lending to property developers without sufficient pre-let revenue at origination to support investment financing after practical completion, represented less than 1% of the portfolio at 31 December 2012. The Group’s appetite for originating speculative commercial real estate lending is very limited and any such business requires senior management approval.
   
·
The commercial real estate sector is expected to remain challenging in key markets and new business will be accommodated from run-off of existing Core exposure. Over £5.5 billion of loans in UK Corporate (Core and Non-Core) have been repaid over the last 12 months whilst the risk profile of the remaining performing book has remained relatively unchanged.

 
217

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Credit risk: Key credit portfolios: Commercial real estate (continued)

Maturity profile of portfolio
UK 
Corporate 
Ulster Bank 
US Retail & 
 Commercial 
International 
Banking 
Markets 
Total 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
             
31 December 2012
           
Core
           
< 1 year (1)
8,639 
3,000 
797 
216 
59 
12,711 
1-2 years 
3,999 
284 
801 
283 
130 
5,497 
2-3 years
3,817 
215 
667 
505 
5,204 
> 3 years
9,597 
805 
1,595 
160 
498 
12,655 
Not classified (2)
543 
543 
             
Total
26,595 
4,304 
3,860 
1,164 
687 
36,610 
             
Non-Core
           
< 1 year (1)
2,071 
9,498 
138 
4,628 
16,335 
1-2 years
192 
1,240 
79 
3,714 
5,225 
2-3 years
99 
38 
43 
1,137 
1,317 
> 3 years
1,058 
214 
132 
1,935 
3,339 
Not classified (2)
214 
214 
             
Total
3,634 
10,990
392 
11,414 
26,430 

31 December 2011
           
             
Core
           
< 1 year (1)
8,268 
3,030 
1,056 
142 
12,496 
1-2 years
5,187 
391 
638 
218 
60 
6,494 
2-3 years
3,587 
117 
765 
230 
133 
4,832 
> 3 years
10,871 
1,225 
1,846 
581 
14,532 
Not classified (2)
2,211 
2,211 
             
Total
30,124 
4,763 
4,305 
1,171 
202 
40,565 
             
Non-Core
           
< 1 year (1)
3,224 
11,089 
293 
7,093 
21,699 
1-2 years
508 
692 
163 
3,064 
4,427 
2-3 years
312 
177 
152 
1,738 
2,379 
> 3 years
1,636 
392 
321 
3,126 
5,475 
Not classified (2)
297 
301 
             
Total
5,977 
12,350 
929 
15,025 
34,281 


Notes:
(1)
Includes on demand and past due assets.
(2)
Predominantly comprises overdrafts and multi-option facilities for which there is no single maturity date.

Key points
·
The overall maturity profile has remained relatively unchanged over the last 12 months.
   
·
Non-Core exposure maturing in under one year has reduced from £21.7 billion in 2011 to £16.3 billion in 2012.
   
·
The majority of Ulster Bank’s commercial real estate portfolio was categorised as under 1 year, owing to the high level of non-performing assets in the portfolio as Ulster Bank includes most renegotiated facilities as on demand.
   
·
Refinancing risk remains a focus of management attention and is assessed throughout the credit risk management life cycle.

 
218

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Key credit portfolios: Commercial real estate (continued)

Portfolio by AQ band
AQ1-AQ2 
£m 
AQ3-AQ4 
£m 
AQ5-AQ6 
£m 
AQ7-AQ8 
£m 
AQ9 
£m 
AQ10 
£m 
Total 
£m 
               
31 December 2012
             
Core
767 
6,011 
16,592 
6,575 
1,283 
5,382 
36,610 
Non-Core
177 
578 
3,680 
3,200 
1,029 
17,766 
26,430 
               
 
944 
6,589 
20,272 
9,775 
2,312 
23,148 
63,040 
               
31 December 2011
             
               
Core
1,094 
6,714 
19,054 
6,254 
3,111 
4,338 
40,565 
Non-Core
680 
1,287 
5,951 
3,893 
2,385 
20,085 
34,281 
               
 
1,774 
8,001 
25,005 
10,147 
5,496 
24,423 
74,846 

Key points
·
There has been an overall decrease in AQ10 during the year with reductions in Non-Core partially offset by increases in Ulster Bank and UK Corporate. The increase in defaulted exposure in UK Corporate is a result of a small number of significant individual cases. The high proportion of the portfolio in the AQ10 band was driven by exposures in Non-Core (Ulster Bank and International Banking) and Core (Ulster Bank). The AQ1-AQ9 profile remained relatively unchanged.
   
·
Of the total portfolio of £63.0 billion at 31 December 2012, £28.1 billion (31 December 2011 - £34.7 billion) was managed within the Group’s standard credit processes and £5.1 billion (31 December 2011 - £5.9 billion) was receiving varying degrees of heightened credit management under the Group’s Watchlist process. A further £29.8 billion (31 December 2011 - £34.3 billion) was managed within GRG and included Watchlist and non-performing exposures. The decrease in the portfolio managed by GRG was driven by Non-Core reductions.

 
219

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Key credit portfolios: Commercial real estate (continued)
 
The table below analyses commercial real estate (Core and Non-Core) lending by loan-to-value (LTV) which represents loan value before provisions. Due to market conditions in Ireland and to a lesser extent in the UK, there is a shortage of market-based data. In the absence of external valuations, the Group deploys a range of alternative approaches to assess property values, including internal expert judgement and indexation.

 
Ulster Bank
 
Rest of the Group
 
Group
Loan-to-value
Performing 
£m 
Non- 
performing 
 £m 
Total 
£m 
 
Performing 
£m 
Non- 
performing 
 £m 
Total 
£m 
 
Performing 
£m 
Non- 
performing 
 £m 
Total 
£m 
                       
31 December 2012
                     
<= 50%
183 
24 
207 
 
7,210 
281 
7,491 
 
7,393 
305 
7,698 
> 50% and <= 70%
326 
102 
428 
 
12,161 
996 
13,157 
 
12,487 
1,098 
13,585 
> 70% and <= 90%
462 
250 
712 
 
6,438 
1,042 
7,480 
 
6,900 
1,292 
8,192 
> 90% and <= 100%
466 
141 
607 
 
1,542 
2,145 
3,687 
 
2,008 
2,286 
4,294 
> 100% and <= 110%
103 
596 
699 
 
1,019 
1,449 
2,468 
 
1,122 
2,045 
3,167 
> 110% and <= 130%
326 
630 
956 
 
901 
1,069 
1,970 
 
1,227 
1,699 
2,926 
> 130% and <= 150%
274 
878 
1,152 
 
322 
913 
1,235 
 
596 
1,791 
2,387 
> 150%
963 
7,290 
8,253 
 
595 
1,962 
2,557 
 
1,558 
9,252 
10,810 
                       
Total with LTVs
3,103 
9,911 
13,014 
 
30,188 
9,857 
40,045 
 
33,291 
19,768 
53,059 
Minimal security (1)
1,461 
1,468 
 
13 
16 
 
10 
1,474 
1,484 
Other (2)
97 
715 
812 
 
6,494 
1,191 
7,685 
 
6,591 
1,906 
8,497 
                       
Total
3,207 
12,087 
15,294 
 
36,685 
11,061 
47,746 
 
39,892 
23,148 
63,040 
                       
Total portfolio
  average LTV (3)
131% 
286% 
249% 
 
65% 
125% 
80% 
 
71% 
206% 
122% 

31 December 2011
                     
                       
<= 50%
272 
32 
304 
 
7,091 
332 
7,423 
 
7,363 
364 
7,727 
> 50% and <= 70%
479 
127 
606 
 
14,105 
984 
15,089 
 
14,584 
1,111 
15,695 
> 70% and <= 90%
808 
332 
1,140 
 
10,042 
1,191 
11,233 
 
10,850 
1,523 
12,373 
> 90% and <= 100%
438 
201 
639 
 
2,616 
1,679 
4,295 
 
3,054 
1,880 
4,934 
> 100% and <= 110%
474 
390 
864 
 
1,524 
1,928 
3,452 
 
1,998 
2,318 
4,316 
> 110% and <= 130%
527 
1,101 
1,628 
 
698 
1,039 
1,737 
 
1,225 
2,140 
3,365 
> 130% and <= 150%
506 
1,066 
1,572 
 
239 
912 
1,151 
 
745 
1,978 
2,723 
> 150%
912 
7,472 
8,384 
 
433 
2,082 
2,515 
 
1,345 
9,554 
10,899 
                       
Total with LTVs
4,416 
10,721 
15,137 
 
36,748 
10,147 
46,895 
 
41,164 
20,868 
62,032 
Minimal security (1)
72 
1,086 
1,158 
 
 
72 
1,086 
1,158 
Other (2)
193 
625 
818 
 
8,994 
1,844 
10,838 
 
9,187 
2,469 
11,656 
                       
Total
4,681 
12,432 
17,113 
 
45,742 
11,991 
57,733 
 
50,423 
24,423 
74,846 
                       
Total portfolio
  average LTV (3)
120% 
264% 
222% 
 
69% 
129% 
82% 
 
75% 
203% 
116% 

Notes:
(1)
In 2012, the Group reclassified loans with limited or non-physical security (defined as LTV>1,000%) as minimal security, for which a majority are commercial real estate development loans in Ulster Bank. Total portfolio average LTV is quoted net of loans with minimal security given that the anticipated recovery rate is less than 10%. Provisions are marked against these loans where required to reflect asset quality and recovery profile. 2011 presentation has been revised.
(2)
Other performing loans of £6.6 billion (2011 - £9.2 billion) include general corporate lending, typically unsecured, to commercial real estate companies, and major UK homebuilders. The credit quality of these exposures is consistent with that of the performing portfolio overall. Other non-performing loans of £1.9 billion (2011 - £2.5 billion) are subject to the Group’s standard provisioning policies.
(3)
Weighted average by exposure.

 
220

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Key credit portfolios: Commercial real estate (continued)

Key points
·
81% of the commercial real estate portfolio categorised as LTV > 100% was in Ulster Bank Group (Core - 15%; Non-Core - 43%) and International Banking (Non-Core - 23%). A majority of the portfolios are managed within GRG and are subject to review at least quarterly.  Significant levels of provisions have been taken against these portfolios. Provisions as a percentage of REIL for the Ulster Bank Group commercial real estate portfolio were 58% at 31 December 2012 (31 December 2011 - 53%).
   
·
The average interest coverage ratios for UK Corporate (Core and Non-Core) and International Banking (Non-Core) were 2.96x and 1.30x respectively, at 31 December 2012 (31 December 2011 - 2.71x and 1.25x, respectively). The US Retail & Commercial portfolio is managed on the basis of debt service coverage, which includes scheduled principal amortisation. The average debt service coverage for this portfolio was 1.34x at 31 December 2012 (31 December 2011 - 1.24x). As a number of different approaches are used within the Group and across geographies to calculate interest coverage ratios, they may not be comparable for different portfolio types and organisations.

Residential mortgages
The majority of the Group’s secured lending exposures are in the UK, Ireland and the US. The analysis below includes both Core and Non-Core.

 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
     
UK Retail
99,062 
96,388 
Ulster Bank
19,162 
20,020 
RBS Citizens (1)
21,538 
24,153 
     
 
139,762 
140,561 

Note:
(1)
2011 has been revised to include legacy serviced by others portfolio.

 
221

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Key credit portfolios: Residential mortgages (continued)
The table below shows LTVs for the Group’s residential mortgage portfolio split between performing (AQ1-AQ9) and non-performing (AQ10), with the average calculated on a weighted value basis. Loan balances are as at the end of the year whereas property values are calculated using property index movements since the last formal valuation.


 
UK Retail
 
Ulster Bank
 
RBS Citizens (1)
Loan-to-value
Performing 
£m 
Non- 
performing 
 £m 
Total 
£m 
 
Performing 
£m 
Non- 
performing 
 £m 
Total 
£m 
 
Performing 
£m 
Non- 
performing 
 £m 
Total 
£m 
                       
31 December 2012
                     
<= 50%
22,306 
327 
22,633 
 
2,182 
274 
2,456 
 
4,167 
51 
4,218 
> 50% and <= 70%
27,408 
457 
27,865 
 
1,635 
197 
1,832 
 
4,806 
76 
4,882 
> 70% and <= 90%
34,002 
767 
34,769 
 
2,019 
294 
2,313 
 
6,461 
114 
6,575 
> 90% and <= 100%
7,073 
366 
7,439 
 
1,119 
156 
1,275 
 
2,011 
57 
2,068 
> 100% and <= 110%
3,301 
290 
3,591 
 
1,239 
174 
1,413 
 
1,280 
43 
1,323 
> 110% and <= 130%
1,919 
239 
2,158 
 
2,412 
397 
2,809 
 
1,263 
42 
1,305 
> 130% and <= 150%
83 
26 
109 
 
2,144 
474 
2,618 
 
463 
14 
477 
> 150%
 
3,156 
1,290 
4,446 
 
365 
14 
379 
                       
Total with LTVs
96,092 
2,472 
98,564 
 
15,906 
3,256 
19,162 
 
20,816 
411 
21,227 
Other (2)
486 
12 
498 
 
-  
 
292 
19 
311 
                       
Total
96,578 
2,484 
99,062 
 
15,906 
3,256 
19,162 
 
21,108 
430 
21,538 
                       
Total portfolio
  average LTV (3)
66% 
80% 
67% 
 
108% 
132% 
112% 
 
75% 
86% 
75% 
                       
Average LTV on new
  originations during
  the year
65%
 
74%
 
64%

31 December 2011
                     
                       
<= 50%
21,537 
285 
21,822 
 
2,568 
222 
2,790 
 
4,745 
49 
4,794 
> 50% and <= 70%
25,598 
390 
25,988 
 
1,877 
157 
2,034 
 
4,713 
78 
4,791 
> 70% and <= 90%
33,738 
671 
34,409 
 
2,280 
223 
2,503 
 
6,893 
125 
7,018 
> 90% and <= 100%
7,365 
343 
7,708 
 
1,377 
128 
1,505 
 
2,352 
66 
2,418 
> 100% and <= 110%
3,817 
276 
4,093 
 
1,462 
130 
1,592 
 
1,517 
53 
1,570 
> 110% and <= 130%
1,514 
199 
1,713 
 
2,752 
322 
3,074 
 
1,536 
53 
1,589 
> 130% and <= 150%
60 
15 
75 
 
2,607 
369 
2,976 
 
626 
28 
654 
> 150%
 
2,798 
748 
3,546 
 
588 
27 
615 
                       
Total with LTVs
93,629 
2,179 
95,808 
 
17,721 
2,299 
20,020 
 
22,970 
479 
23,449 
Other (2)
567 
13 
580 
 
 
681 
23 
704 
                       
Total
94,196 
2,192 
96,388 
 
17,721 
2,299 
20,020 
 
23,651 
502 
24,153 
                       
Total portfolio
  average LTV (3)
67% 
80% 
67% 
 
104% 
125% 
106% 
 
76% 
91% 
77% 
                       
Average LTV on new
  originations during
  the year
63%
 
74%
 
63%

 

Notes:
(1)
Includes residential mortgages and home equity loans and lines (refer to page 225 for a breakdown of balances).
(2)
Where no indexed LTV is held.
(3)
Average LTV weighted by value is arrived at by calculating the LTV on each individual mortgage and applying a weighting based on the value of each mortgage.
(4)
Excludes mortgage lending in Wealth. This portfolio totalled £8.8 billion (31 December 2011 - £8.3 billion) and continues to perform in line with expectations with minimal provision of £248 million.

 
222

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Key credit portfolios: Residential mortgages (continued)

Key points

UK Retail
·
The UK Retail mortgage portfolio totalled approximately £99.1 billion at 31 December 2012, an increase of 2.8% from 31 December 2011.
   
·
The assets are prime mortgages and include £7.9 billion, 8% (2011 - £6.9 billion) of residential buy-to-let lending. There is a small legacy portfolio of self-certified mortgages (0.2% of the total mortgage portfolio). Self-certified mortgages were withdrawn in 2004. The interest rate product mix is approximately one third fixed rate with the remainder on variable rate products including those on managed rates.
   
·
UK Retail’s mortgage business is subject to prudent underwriting standards. These include an affordability test using a stressed interest rate, credit scoring with different pass marks depending on the loan to value ratio (LTV) as well as a range of specific criteria, for example, LTV thresholds. Changes over the last few years include: a reduction in maximum LTV for prime residential mortgage lending from 100% to 95% in the first quarter of 2008 and from 95% to 90% in the third quarter of 2008 and a tightening of credit scoring pass marks: credit score thresholds were increased in the third quarter of 2009 and again in the third quarter of 2010. In the first quarter of 2011, new scorecards were introduced alongside a further tightening of thresholds, these were tightened still further in the second quarter of 2012.
   
·
Gross new mortgage lending remained strong at £14 billion. The average of individual LTV on new originations was 65.2% weighted by value of lending (31 December 2011 - 63.0%) and 61.3% by volume (31 December 2011 - 58.4%). The ratio of total lending to total property valuations was 56.3% (31 December 2011 - 52.9%). Average LTV by volume is arrived at by calculating the LTV on each individual mortgage with no weighting applied in the calculation of the average. The ratio approach is the sum of all lending divided by the value of all properties held as security against the lending.
   
·
The maximum LTV available to new customers remains at 90%, except for those buying properties under the government-sponsored, and indemnity backed, new build schemes that were launched during the year, where the maximum LTV is 95%. These schemes aim to support the mortgage market, particularly first time buyers, and completions under the scheme totalled £35 million during the year.
   
·
Based on the Halifax Price Index at September 2012, the portfolio average indexed LTV by weighted value of debt outstanding was 66.8% (31 December 2011 - 67.2%) and 58.1% by volume (31 December 2011 - 57.8%). The ratio of total outstanding balances to total indexed property valuations is 48.5% (31 December 2011 - 48.4%).
   
·
The arrears rate (more than three payments in arrears, excluding repossessions and shortfalls post property sale) improved marginally to 1.5% at 31 December 2012 from 1.6% at 31 December 2011. The number of properties repossessed in 2012 was 1,426 compared with 1,671 in 2011. Arrears rates remain sensitive to economic developments and are currently benefiting from low interest rate environment.
   
·
The mortgage impairment charge was £92 million for 2012 compared with £182 million in 2011 primarily due to lower loss rate adjustments on the non-performing back book, and a stable underlying rate of defaults.

 
223

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Key credit portfolios: Residential mortgages (continued)

Key points

UK Retail (continued)
·
25.6% of the residential owner occupied UK Retail mortgage book is on interest only terms down from 27.3% in 2011. A further 9.1% are on mixed repayments split between a combination of interest only and capital repayments (31 December 2011 - 9.6%). UK Retail withdrew interest only repayment products from sale to residential owner occupied customers with effect from 1 December 2012. Interest only repayment remains an option on buy-to-let mortgages. At 1.6%, the percentage of accounts more than 3 payments in arrears was similar to the 1.4% observed on capital repayment mortgages.

Ulster Bank
·
Ulster Bank’s residential mortgage portfolio totalled £19.2 billion at 31 December 2012, with 88% in the Republic of Ireland and 12% in Northern Ireland. At constant exchange rates, the portfolio decreased 2% from 31 December 2011 as a result of natural amortisation and limited growth due to low market demand.
   
·
The assets include £2.3 billion of exposure (12%) of residential buy-to-let loans. The interest rate product mix is approximately 91% on a variable rate product (including tracker products) and 9% on a fixed rate.
   
·
16% of the total portfolio is on interest only which reflects legacy policy and is no longer available to residential mortgage customers on a permanent basis. Interest only is permitted on a temporary basis under the suite of forbearance treatments available within Ulster Bank refer to page 201 for further information. Interest only repayment remains an option for private customers within Northern Ireland on an exception basis.
   
·
Average LTVs increased from 31 December 2011 to 31 December 2012, on a value basis, as a result of decreases in the Central Statistics Office house price index (4%) impacting the Ulster Bank portfolio. The average individual LTV on new originations was stable in 2012 at 74% (weighted by value of lending) and 69.4% by volume (2011 - 67.3%). The volume of business remains very low. The maximum LTV available to Ulster Bank customers is 90% with the exception of a specific Northern Ireland scheme which permits LTVs of up to 95%, in which Ulster Bank’s exposure is capped at 85% LTV.
   
·
Refer to the Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) section on page 226 for commentary on mortgage REIL and repossessions.


 
224

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Key credit portfolios: Residential mortgages (continued)

Key points (continued)

RBS Citizens
·
RBS Citizens mortgage portfolio totalled £21.5 billion at 31 December 2012, a reduction of 11% from 2011 (£24.2 billion). The Core business comprises 89% of the portfolio.
   
·
The portfolio comprises £6.2 billion (Core - £5.8 billion; Non-Core - £0.4 billion) of residential mortgages, of which 1% are in second lien position. There is also £15.3 billion (Core - £13.3 billion; Non-Core - £2.0 billion) of home equity loans and lines. Home equity Core consists of 47% in first lien position while Non-Core consists of 95% in second lien position.
   
·
RBS Citizens lending originates predominantly in the ‘footprint states’ of New England, Mid Atlantic and Mid West regions. At 31 December 2012, £17.9 billion (83% of the total portfolio) was within footprint.
   
·
The Non-Core portfolio comprises 11% of the mortgage portfolio with the serviced by others (SBO) portfolio being the largest component (75%). The SBO portfolio consists of purchased pools of home equity loans and lines. The full year charge-off rate was 7.4% for 2012 (excluding one-time events, the charge-off rate was 6.8%), which represents a year-on-year improvement (2011 - 8.6%). It is characterised by out-of-footprint geographies, high (95%) second lien concentration, and high LTV exposure (111% weighted average LTV at 31 December 2012).  The SBO book has been closed to new purchases since the third quarter of 2007 and is in run-off, with exposure down from £2.3 billion at 31 December 2011 to £1.8 billion at 31 December 2012. The arrears rate of the SBO portfolio has decreased from 2.3% at 31 December 2011 to 1.9% at 31 December 2012 due primarily to portfolio liquidation (highest risk borrowers have been charged-off), as well as more effective account servicing and collections.
   
·
The current weighted average LTV of the mortgage portfolio decreased from 77% at 31 December 2011 to 75% at 31 December 2012, driven by increases in the Case-Shiller home price index from the third quarter of 2011 to the third quarter of 2012. The current weighted average LTV of the mortgage portfolio, excluding SBO, is 71%.


 
225

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Key credit portfolios (continued)

Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core)

Overview
At 31 December 2012, Ulster Bank Group accounted for 10% of the Group’s total gross loans to customers (31 December 2011 - 10%) and 8% of the Group’s Core gross loans to customers (31 December 2011 - 8%). Ulster Bank’s financial performance continues to be overshadowed by the challenging economic climate in Ireland, with impairments remaining elevated as high unemployment, coupled with higher taxation and limited liquidity in the economy, continues to depress the property market and domestic spending.

The impairment charge of £2,340 million for 2012 (31 December 2011 - £3,717 million) was driven by a combination of new defaulting customers and higher provisions on existing defaulted cases due primarily to deteriorating security values. Provisions as a percentage of risk elements in lending increased from 53% in 2011, to 57% in 2012, predominantly as a result of the deterioration in the value of the Non-Core commercial real estate development portfolio. Ulster Bank impairment provisions take into account recovery strategies for its commercial real estate portfolio, as currently there is very limited liquidity in Irish commercial and development property.

Core
The impairment charge for the year of £1,364 million (31 December 2011 - £1,384 million) reflects the difficult economic climate in Ireland, with elevated default levels across both mortgage and other corporate portfolios. The mortgage sector accounted for £646 million (47%) of the total 2012 impairment charge.

Non-Core
The impairment charge for the year was £976 million, a decrease of £1,357 million (31 December 2011 - £2,333 million), with the commercial real estate sector accounting for £899 million (92%) of the total 2012 impairment charge.

 
226

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Key credit portfolios: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)

       
Credit metrics
 
 
Gross 
loans 
REIL 
Provisions 
REIL as a 
% of gross 
loans 
Provisions 
as a % of 
REIL 
Provisions 
as a % of 
gross loans 
Impairment 
charge 
Amounts 
written-off 
Sector analysis
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                 
31 December 2012
               
Core
               
Mortgages
19,162 
3,147 
1,525 
16.4 
48 
8.0 
646 
22 
Commercial real estate
               
  - investment
3,575 
1,551 
593 
43.4 
38 
16.6 
221 
  - development
729 
369 
197 
50.6 
53 
27.0 
55 
Other corporate
7,772 
2,259 
1,394 
29.1 
62 
17.9 
389 
15 
Other lending
1,414 
207 
201 
14.6 
97 
14.2 
53 
33 
                 
 
32,652 
7,533 
3,910 
23.1 
52 
12.0 
1,364 
72 
                 
Non-Core
               
Commercial real estate
               
  - investment
3,383 
2,800 
1,433 
82.8 
51 
42.4 
288 
15 
  - development 
7,607 
7,286 
4,720 
95.8 
65 
62.0 
611 
103 
Other corporate
1,570 
1,230 
711 
78.3 
58 
45.3 
77 
23 
                 
 
12,560 
11,316 
6,864 
90.1 
61 
54.6 
976 
141 
                 
Ulster Bank Group
               
Mortgages
19,162 
3,147 
1,525 
16.4 
48 
8.0 
646 
22 
Commercial real estate
               
  - investment
6,958 
4,351 
2,026 
62.5 
47 
29.1 
509 
15 
  - development
8,336 
7,655 
4,917 
91.8 
64 
59.0 
666 
105 
Other corporate
9,342 
3,489 
2,105 
37.3 
60 
22.5 
466 
38 
Other lending
1,414 
207 
201 
14.6 
97 
14.2 
53 
33 
                 
 
45,212 
18,849 
10,774 
41.7 
57 
23.8 
2,340 
213 


 
227

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Key credit portfolios: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)

       
Credit metrics
 
 
Gross 
loans 
REIL 
Provisions 
REIL as a 
% of gross 
loans 
Provisions 
as a % of 
REIL 
Provisions 
as a % of 
gross loans 
Impairment 
charge 
Amounts 
written-off 
Sector analysis
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                 
31 December 2011
               
Core
               
Mortgages
20,020 
2,184 
945 
10.9 
43 
4.7 
570 
11 
Commercial real estate
               
  - investment
3,882 
1,014 
413 
26.1 
41 
10.6 
225 
  - development
881 
290 
145 
32.9 
50 
16.5 
99 
16 
Other corporate
7,736 
1,834 
1,062 
23.7 
58 
13.7 
434 
72 
Other lending
1,533 
201 
184 
13.1 
92 
12.0 
56 
25 
                 
 
34,052 
5,523 
2,749 
16.2 
50 
8.1 
1,384 
124 
                 
Non-Core
               
Commercial real estate
               
  - investment
3,860 
2,916 
1,364 
75.5 
47 
35.3 
609 
  - development
8,490 
7,536 
4,295 
88.8 
57 
50.6 
1,551 
32 
Other corporate
1,630 
1,159 
642 
71.1 
55 
39.4 
173 
16 
                 
 
13,980 
11,611 
6,301 
83.1 
54 
45.1 
2,333 
49 
                 
Ulster Bank Group
               
Mortgages
20,020 
2,184 
945 
10.9 
43 
4.7 
570 
11 
Commercial real estate
               
  - investment
7,742 
3,930 
1,777 
50.8 
45 
23.0 
834 
  - development
9,371 
7,826 
4,440 
83.5 
57 
47.4 
1,650 
48 
Other corporate
9,366 
2,993 
1,704 
32.0 
57 
18.2 
607 
88 
Other lending
1,533 
201 
184 
13.1 
92 
12.0 
56 
25 
                 
 
48,032 
17,134 
9,050 
35.7 
53 
18.8 
3,717 
173 

Key points
·
Core REIL increased by £2.0 billion during the year, which reflects continued difficult conditions in both the commercial and residential property sectors in Ireland.
   
·
Core mortgage REIL accounted for £1.0 billion of the overall increase, the trend reflecting continued deterioration of macroeconomic factors. However, the number of properties repossessed in 2012 was 127 (81 on a voluntary basis) compared with 161 (123 on a voluntary basis) in 2011.
   
·
Core corporate REIL accounted for £1.0 billion of the overall increase, the movement driven by a small number of renegotiated arrangements for higher value real estate customers.
   
·
Core coverage increased from 50% to 52% as a result of additional impairment charges on the non-performing book due to further deterioration in collateral values. Core coverage is diluted due to the increased REIL relating to corporate renegotiations with lower provision requirements; adjusting for these cases Core coverage would be 56%.
   
·
Non-Core REIL decreased by £0.3 billion reflecting lower defaults as well as recoveries, write-offs of £0.2 billion.
   
·
At 31 December 2012, 60% of REIL was in Non-Core (31 December 2011 - 68%). The majority of Non-Core commercial real estate development portfolio is non-performing with provision coverage of 65%.


 
228

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Credit risk: Key credit portfolios: Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) (continued)

Geographical analysis: Commercial real estate
The commercial real estate lending portfolio for Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) totalled £15.3 billion at 31 December 2012, of which £11.0 billion or 72% was in Non-Core. The geographic split of the total Ulster Bank Group commercial real estate portfolio, based on the location of the underlying security, remained similar to 31 December 2011, with 63% in the Republic of Ireland, 26% in Northern Ireland, 11% in the UK (excluding Northern Ireland).

 
Investment
 
Development
   
 
Commercial 
Residential 
 
Commercial 
Residential 
 
Total 
Exposure by geography
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
               
31 December 2012
             
ROI
3,546 
779 
 
1,603 
3,653 
 
9,581 
NI
1,083 
210 
 
631 
2,059 
 
3,983 
UK (excluding NI)
1,239 
86 
 
82 
290 
 
1,697 
RoW
14 
 
10 
 
33 
               
 
5,882 
1,076 
 
2,324 
6,012 
 
15,294 
               
31 December 2011
             
               
ROI
3,775 
853 
 
1,911 
4,095 
 
10,634 
NI
1,322 
279 
 
680 
2,222 
 
4,503 
UK (excluding NI)
1,371 
111 
 
95 
336 
 
1,913 
RoW
27 
 
32 
 
63 
               
 
6,495 
1,247 
 
2,686 
6,685 
 
17,113 

Key points
·
Commercial real estate continues to be the primary sector driving the Ulster Bank Group non-performing loan book. A reduction over the year of £1.8 billion primarily reflects Ulster Bank’s continuing strategy to reduce concentration risk to this sector.
   
·
The outlook for the property sector remains challenging. While there may be some signs of stabilisation in main urban centres, the outlook continues to be negative for secondary property locations on the island of Ireland.
   
·
During the year, Ulster Bank experienced further migration of commercial real estate exposures to its problem management framework, where various measures may be agreed to assist customers whose loans are performing but who are experiencing temporary financial  difficulties. For further details on Wholesale renegotiations refer to page 197.

Residential mortgages
The mortgage lending portfolio analysis by country of location of the underlying security is set out below.
 
31 December 
 2012 
31 December 
 2011 
 
£m 
£m 
     
ROI
16,873 
17,767 
NI
2,289 
2,253 
     
 
19,162 
20,020 


 
229

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Market risk
Introduction
231
Trading revenues
231
Trading book
232
VaR non-trading portfolios
233
  VaR
233
  Structured credit portfolio
235
Market risk capital
236
  Minimum capital requirements
236
  IRC by rating and product category
237
  Securitisation positions in the trading book
237

 
230

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Market risk
Introduction
Market risk arises from fluctuations in interest rates, foreign currency, credit spreads, equity prices, commodity prices and risk related factors such as market volatilities. The Group manages market risk within its trading and non-trading portfolios through a comprehensive market risk management framework. This control framework includes qualitative and quantitative guidance in the form of comprehensive policy statements, dealing authorities, limits based on, but not limited to, value-at-risk (VaR), stressed VaR (SVaR), stress testing and sensitivity analyses.

Trading revenues
The graph below shows the daily distribution of trading and related revenues for Markets for the years ended 31 December 2012 and 31 December 2011.
 
Note:
(1)
The effect of any month end adjustments, not attributable to a specific daily market move, is spread evenly over the trading days in that specific month.

Key points
·
Both 2011 and 2012 benefited from market rallies, albeit weaker but more sustained during 2012 than 2011, primarily due to the supportive actions of the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank in Q3 2012. By way of contrast, in Q3 2011, heightened uncertainty in the Eurozone saw a sudden deterioration in credit markets. Hence a wider range of results in 2011 than 2012.
   
·
The average daily revenue earned by Markets’ trading activities in 2012 was £16 million, compared with £18 million in 2011. The standard deviation of the daily revenues decreased from £20 million to £15 million. The number of days with negative revenue decreased to 34 from 45. The most frequent daily revenue was between £5 million and £10 million, which occurred 36 times. In 2011, the most frequent daily revenue was between £25 million and £30 million, which occurred 31 times.

 
231

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Market risk (continued)

Trading book
The table below analyses the VaR for the Group’s trading portfolios, segregated by type of market risk exposure, and between Core, Non-Core, counterparty exposure management (CEM) and the Group’s total trading VaR excluding CEM.

CEM manages the over-the-counter derivative counterparty credit and funding risk on behalf of Markets and Non-Core, by actively controlling risk concentrations and reducing unwanted risk exposures. The hedging transactions CEM enters into are booked in the trading book and therefore contribute to the market risk VaR exposure of the Group. The counterparty exposures themselves are not captured in VaR for regulatory capital. In the interest of transparency and to more properly represent the exposure, CEM trading book exposure and total trading VaR excluding CEM are disclosed separately.

 
Year ended
 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Average 
Period end 
Maximum 
Minimum 
 
Average 
Period end 
Maximum 
Minimum 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                   
Interest rate
62.6 
75.6 
95.7 
40.8 
 
53.4 
68.1 
79.2 
27.5 
Credit spread
69.2 
74.1 
94.9 
44.9 
 
82.7 
74.3 
151.1 
47.4 
Currency
10.3 
7.6 
21.3 
2.6 
 
10.3 
16.2 
19.2 
5.2 
Equity
6.0 
3.9 
12.5 
1.7 
 
9.4 
8.0 
17.3 
4.6 
Commodity
2.0 
1.5 
6.0 
0.9 
 
1.4 
2.3 
7.0 
Diversification (1)
 
(55.4)
       
(52.3)
   
                   
Total
97.3 
107.3 
137.0 
66.5 
 
105.5 
116.6 
181.3 
59.7 
                   
Core
74.6 
88.1 
118.0 
47.4 
 
75.8 
89.1 
133.9 
41.7 
Non-Core
30.1 
22.8 
41.9 
22.0 
 
64.4 
34.6 
128.6 
30.0 
                   
CEM
78.5 
84.9 
86.0 
71.7 
 
50.1 
75.8 
78.8 
30.3 
                   
Total (excluding CEM)
47.1 
57.6 
76.4 
32.2 
 
75.5 
49.9 
150.0 
41.6 

 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 2012
 
30 September 2012
 
Average 
Period end 
Maximum 
Minimum 
 
Average 
Period end 
Maximum 
Minimum 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                   
Interest rate
59.1 
75.6 
82.1 
40.8 
 
58.6 
44.8 
75.4 
44.8 
Credit spread
68.7 
74.1 
76.9 
57.2 
 
56.8 
67.2 
67.2 
46.6 
Currency
7.1 
7.6 
11.6 
2.6 
 
9.1 
8.9 
15.3 
5.3 
Equity
5.3 
3.9 
9.2 
1.7 
 
6.2 
8.2 
11.7 
4.5 
Commodity
2.2 
1.5 
3.5 
1.3 
 
2.0 
2.7 
4.1 
1.2 
Diversification (1)
 
(55.4)
       
(40.8)
   
                   
Total
92.4 
107.3 
113.4 
72.3 
 
90.1 
91.0 
104.6 
78.4 
                   
Core
75.8 
88.1 
94.6 
58.4 
 
71.9 
69.4 
86.1 
60.0 
Non-Core
23.4 
22.8 
25.7 
22.0 
 
25.5 
26.5 
26.5 
24.1 
                   
CEM
80.8 
84.9 
86.0 
71.7 
 
76.8 
74.3 
80.2 
73.9 
                   
Total (excluding CEM)
49.3 
57.6 
61.1 
33.2 
 
38.3 
46.6 
54.0 
32.2 

Note:
(1)
The Group benefits from diversification, which reflects the risk reduction achieved by allocating investments across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time.

 
232

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Market risk: Trading book (continued)

Key points
·
The Group’s average and maximum credit spread VaR for 2012 was lower than for 2011. This reflected the credit spread volatility experienced during the financial crisis dropping out of the time series window, combined with a reduction in the asset-backed securities trading inventory in Core and the sale of unencumbered asset-backed securities assets following the prior restructuring of some monoline hedges in the Non-Core banking book.
   
·
The average and period end interest rate VaR for 2012 were higher than for 2011 due to pre-hedging and positioning activity ahead of government bond auctions and syndications, combined with an increase in exposure to “safe haven” assets in December 2012, as the US “Fiscal Cliff” negotiations continued without resolution.
   
·
The Non-Core VaR was significantly lower in 2012, as Non-Core continued its de-risking strategy through the disposal of assets and unwinding of trades.
   
·
Since late 2011, CEM started to centrally manage the funding risk on over-the-counter derivatives contracts, causing the VaR to be considerably higher in 2012 than 2011.

VaR non-trading portfolios
VaR
The table below details VaR for the Group’s non-trading portfolios, excluding the structured credit portfolio and loans and receivables.
 
 
Year ended
 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Average 
Period end 
Maximum 
Minimum 
 
Average 
Period end 
Maximum 
Minimum 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                   
Interest rate
6.9 
4.5 
10.7 
4.1 
 
8.8 
9.9 
11.1 
5.7 
Credit spread
10.5 
8.8 
15.4 
7.3 
 
18.2 
13.6 
39.3 
12.1 
Currency
3.0 
1.3 
4.5 
1.3 
 
2.1 
4.0 
5.9 
0.1 
Equity
1.7 
0.3 
1.9 
0.3 
 
2.1 
1.9 
3.1 
1.6 
Diversification (1)
 
(5.4)
       
(13.6)
   
                   
Total
11.8 
9.5 
18.3 
8.5 
 
19.7 
15.8 
41.6 
13.4 
                   
Core
11.3 
7.5 
19.0 
7.1 
 
19.3 
15.1 
38.9 
13.5 
Non-Core
2.5 
3.4 
3.6 
1.6 
 
3.4 
2.5 
4.3 
2.2 
                   
CEM
1.0 
1.0 
1.1 
0.9 
 
0.4 
0.9 
0.9 
0.3 
                   
Total (excluding CEM)
11.5 
9.4 
17.8 
8.2 
 
19.7 
15.5 
41.4 
13.7 

 
233

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Market risk: VaR non-trading portfolios (continued)

 
Quarter ended
 
31 December 2012
 
30 September 2012
 
Average 
Period end 
Maximum 
Minimum 
 
Average 
Period end 
Maximum 
Minimum 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                   
Interest rate
4.8 
4.5 
6.1 
4.1 
 
6.0 
5.5 
6.7 
5.3 
Credit spread
8.8 
8.8 
9.3 
7.5 
 
8.1 
8.6 
9.1 
7.3 
Currency
1.8 
1.3 
2.7 
1.3 
 
3.0 
1.5 
3.8 
1.3 
Equity
1.6 
0.3 
1.8 
0.3 
 
1.6 
1.7 
1.7 
1.6 
Diversification (1)
 
(5.4)
       
(8.0)
   
                   
Total
9.4 
9.5 
10.0 
8.5 
 
9.2 
9.3 
9.7 
8.6 
                   
Core
8.2 
7.5 
9.2 
7.1 
 
9.0 
9.2 
10.2 
8.3 
Non-Core
3.5 
3.4 
3.6 
2.8 
 
2.0 
3.6 
3.6 
1.6 
                   
CEM
1.0 
1.0 
1.0 
1.0 
 
1.0 
1.0 
1.1 
1.0 
                   
Total (excluding CEM)
9.1 
9.4 
9.8 
8.6 
 
8.9 
9.3 
9.7 
8.2 

Note:
(1)
The Group benefits from diversification, which reflects the risk reduction achieved by allocating investments across various financial instrument types, currencies and markets. The extent of diversification benefit depends on the correlation between the assets and risk factors in the portfolio at a particular time.

Key points
·
The average and period end total and credit spread VaR were lower in 2012, due to reduced volatility in the market data time series, position reductions and a decrease in the size of the collateral portfolio. The reduction in collateral was driven by the restructuring of certain Dutch residential mortgage-backed securities during H1 2012, enabling their eligibility as European Central Bank collateral. This allowed the disposal of additional collateral purchased during the corresponding period in 2011.
   
·
The average and period end interest rate VaR were lower in 2012, due to the implementation of an enhanced rates re-scaling methodology.
   
·
The Non-Core period end VaR was higher in 2012 than in 2011, due to improvements in the time series mapping on certain Australian bonds and the purchase of additional hedges.

 
234

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Market risk: VaR non-trading portfolios (continued)

Structured credit portfolio
The structured credit portfolio is within Non-Core. The risk in this portfolio is not disclosed using VaR, as the Group believes this is not an appropriate tool for the banking book portfolio, which comprises illiquid debt securities. These assets are reported on a drawn notional and fair value basis, and managed on a third party asset and risk-weighted assets basis. The table below shows the open market risk in the structured credit portfolio.

 
Drawn notional
 
Fair value
 
CDOs (1)
CLOs (2)
MBS (3)
Other 
ABS (4)
Total 
 
CDOs (1)
CLOs (2)
MBS (3)
Other 
ABS (4)
Total 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                       
1-2 years
80 
80 
 
74 
74 
3-4 years
27 
82 
109 
 
24 
76 
100 
4-5 years
95 
95 
 
86 
86 
5-10 years
310 
92 
402 
 
295 
44 
339 
>10 years
289 
279 
380 
398 
1,346 
 
116 
256 
253 
254 
879 
                       
 
289 
589 
594 
560 
2,032 
 
116 
551 
407 
404 
1,478 
                       
30 September 2012
                     
                       
1-2 years
128 
128 
 
120 
120 
2-3 years
28 
34 
 
27 
32 
3-4 years
45 
45 
 
43 
43 
4-5 years
161 
218 
379 
 
136 
198 
334 
5-10 years
298 
110 
408 
 
278 
53 
331 
>10 years
317 
313 
436 
553 
1,619 
 
127 
285 
267 
314 
993 
                       
 
317 
611 
713 
972 
2,613 
 
127 
563 
461 
702 
1,853 
                       
31 December 2011
                     
                       
1-2 years
27 
27 
 
22 
22 
2-3 years
10 
196 
206 
 
182 
191 
4-5 years
37 
37 
95 
169 
 
34 
30 
88 
152 
5-10 years
32 
503 
270 
268 
1,073 
 
30 
455 
184 
229 
898 
>10 years
2,180 
442 
464 
593 
3,679 
 
766 
371 
291 
347 
1,775 
                       
 
2,212 
982 
781 
1,179 
5,154 
 
796 
860 
514 
868 
3,038 

Notes:
(1)
Collateralised debt obligations.
(2)
Collateralised loan obligations.
(3)
Mortgage-backed securities.
(4)
Asset-backed securities.

Key point
·
The structured credit portfolio drawn notional and fair values declined across all asset classes from 31 December 2011 to 31 December 2012. Key drivers were: (i) during H1 2012, the liquidation of legacy trust preferred securities and commercial real estate CDOs and subsequent sale of the underlying assets; and (ii) during H2 2012, the sale of underlying assets from CDO collateral pools and legacy conduits.

 
235

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Market risk (continued)

Market risk capital
Minimum capital requirements
The following table analyses the market risk minimum capital requirement, calculated in accordance with Basel 2.5.
 
31 December 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
 
£m 
£m 
     
Interest rate position risk requirement
254 
1,107 
Equity position risk requirement
Option position risk requirement
26 
26 
Commodity position risk requirement
Foreign currency position risk requirement
12 
10 
Specific interest rate risk of securitisation positions
156 
250 
     
Total (standard method)
451 
1,398 
Pillar 1 model based position risk requirement
2,959 
3,725 
     
Total position risk requirement
3,410 
5,123 

The principal contributors to the Pillar 1 model based position risk requirement (PRR) are:

 
31 December 2012
31 December 
2011 
 
Average (1)
Maximum (1)
Minimum (1)
Period end 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
           
Value-at-risk (VaR) (1)
939 
1,190 
757 
825 
887 
Stressed VaR (SVaR)
1,523 
1,793 
1,160 
1,226 
1,682 
Incremental risk charge (IRC)
521 
659 
372 
467 
469 
All price risk (APR)
149 
290 
12 
12 
297 

Note:
(1)
The average, maximum and minimum are based on the monthly Pillar 1 model based capital requirements.

Key points
·
The FSA approved the inclusion of the Group’s US trading subsidiary RBS Securities Inc. in the regulatory models in March 2012. This resulted in the model-based charges for VaR, SVaR and IRC increasing at that time and the standardised interest rate PRR decreasing significantly.
   
·
Stressed VaR decreased during the remainder of 2012, due to the disposal of assets in Non-Core and general de-risking in sovereign and agency positions in Markets.
   
·
The APR decreased significantly due to the disposal of assets and unwinding of trades.

 
236

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Market risk: Market risk capital (continued)

IRC by rating and product category
The following table analyses the IRC by rating and product.

 
Internal ratings
 
AAA 
AA 
BBB 
BB 
CCC 
Total (1)
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                 
Product categories
               
Cash - ABS
59.2 
(0.1)
(0.9)
58.2 
Cash - regular
39.5 
146.9 
9.8 
59.9 
8.6 
16.9 
12.7 
294.3 
Derivatives - credit
(0.3)
(14.0)
4.0 
30.4 
28.4 
5.6 
(2.7)
51.4 
Derivatives - interest rate
(1.0)
1.5 
0.1 
(2.1)
(0.3)
(1.8)
Other
13.8 
13.8 
                 
Total
111.2 
132.9 
15.3 
90.3 
34.0 
22.2 
10.0 
415.9 

Note:
(1)
The figures presented are based on the spot IRC charge at 31 December 2012 and will therefore not agree with the IRC position risk requirement, as this is based on the 60 day average. The figures presented above are in capital terms.

Securitisation positions in the trading book
The following table analyses the trading book securitised exposures, by rating, subject to a market risk capital requirement.
 
 
Ratings (1)
Total 
 (1,2)
 
STD 
PRR (3)
Capital 
deductions 
 
AAA 
AA 
BBB 
BB 
Below 
 BB 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                   
Trading book securitisation charge
15.5 
7.4 
15.2 
35.3 
75.8 
6.2 
155.4 
36.6 
1,369.6 

Notes:
(1)
Based on S&P ratings.
(2)
Excludes the capital deductions.
(3)
Percentage of total standardised position risk requirement.

 
237

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

 
Country risk
Introduction
239
Governance, monitoring and management
241
Country risk exposure
243
  Definitions
243
  Summary
245
  Total eurozone
249
  Eurozone periphery - total
251
  Eurozone periphery - by country
253
  Eurozone non-periphery - total
269
  Eurozone non-periphery - by country
271
 
 
 
238

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk

Introduction
Country risk is the risk of material losses arising from significant country-specific events such as sovereign events (default or restructuring); economic events (contagion of sovereign default to other parts of the economy, cyclical economic shock); political events (transfer or convertibility restrictions, expropriation or nationalisation); and conflict. Such events have the potential to affect elements of the Group’s credit portfolio that are directly or indirectly linked to the country in question and can also give rise to market, liquidity, operational and franchise risk-related losses.

External environment
Country risk, notably in the eurozone, remained elevated in 2012, particularly in the first half of the year. Economic growth projections were lowered, predominantly for Europe, but also for a number of major emerging markets. However, important first steps towards achieving longer-term stabilisation in the eurozone led to some notable easing of crisis risks. Growth data from major non-European economies, such as China, were more encouraging towards the end of the year. The ability of policymakers to tackle fiscal challenges and restore confidence and growth in both the US and Europe will be a key factor in determining the pace of recovery.

Eurozone risks
Eurozone risks continued to dominate, as concerns about the impact of banking sector problems on government balance sheets led to further capital flight from periphery countries and a rise in sovereign bond yields until August, particularly for Spain. To break the feedback loop between banks and their sovereigns, eurozone leaders agreed at their June summit that the European Stability Mechanism (ESM), the eurozone’s permanent crisis fund, could lend to banks directly once a single eurozone-wide banking regulator had been established. They also approved the provision by the ESM of significant financial support to Spain to recapitalise its banks.

In the second half of the year, the ESM became fully operational and the European Central Bank (ECB) announced a major new facility, Outright Monetary Transactions. This facility allows secondary market purchases by the ECB of bonds issued by eurozone sovereigns that are subject to a European Union (EU)/International Monetary Fund (IMF) support programme. Following these steps, sovereign bond yields fell markedly.

Meanwhile, in Greece, private sector claims on the government were restructured in early 2012, but political risks remained acute as two successive parliamentary elections eventually resulted in a narrow victory for the pro-bailout New Democracy party. As the electoral process delayed policy implementation and the recession, contrary to earlier expectations, deepened further, additional reforms became necessary and the European Commission, the IMF and the ECB (known collectively as the Troika) further eased Greece’s targets.
 
 
239

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Introduction (continued)
Elsewhere, Ireland continued to make progress towards targets set out in its Troika programme, notably allowing the government to resume a degree of market financing. Talks with the European authorities on ways to relieve the government of some of the costs of past banking sector support continued, resulting in a favourable restructuring of the Anglo Irish promissory note in early 2013, reducing related fiscal costs somewhat. Notwithstanding these developments, Irish growth remained very weak and reliant on external demand. Portugal also made progress in a number of areas, though had greater structural constraints to address to boost longer-term growth prospects. Towards the end of the year, Cyprus also entered negotiations with the EU and IMF on a support programme. The eurozone as a whole entered recession in the second half of the year, although divergence within the currency union continued, with the core considerably stronger than the periphery.

Emerging markets
Emerging markets performed better on the whole. In developing Asia, the economies of China and India both continued to slow from a strong base, but risks remained held in check by healthy external balance sheets.

Emerging countries in Europe started to be affected by very weak growth in the eurozone, with the most export-focused economies being worst hit. However, countries that took significant action in the wake of the financial crisis to stabilise their banking sectors, saw an easing of risk. Turkey was upgraded by one rating agency to investment grade.

General political instability seen in the Middle East and North Africa in 2011 moderated in 2012 in most countries except Syria, although transition to democratic rule was only partial in some cases. Excluding Bahrain, Gulf Cooperation Council countries were generally more stable, underpinned by high oil prices.

Latin America continued to be characterised by greater stability, due to generally healthier sovereign balance sheets. However, growth prospects deteriorated because of weaker external demand, notably in the region’s largest economy, Brazil.

Outlook
Overall, the outlook for 2013 remains challenging with risks likely to remain elevated but divergent. Much will depend on the success of EU efforts to contain contagion from the sovereign crisis (where downside risks are high) and on whether growth headwinds in larger advanced economies, particularly the US and Japan, persist. Emerging market balance sheet risks remain lower, despite structural and political constraints, but it is expected that these economies will continue to be affected by events elsewhere through financial markets and trade channels.
 
 
240

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk (continued)

Governance, monitoring and management
The Group’s country risk framework is set by the Executive Risk Forum (ERF), which has delegated authority to the Group Country Risk Committee (GCRC) to manage exposures within the framework and deal with any limit breaches, with escalation where needed to ERF. Under this framework, exposures to all countries are monitored. Countries with material exposures are included in the Group’s country risk Watchlist process to identify emerging issues and facilitate the development of mitigation strategies. Detailed portfolio reviews are undertaken on a regular basis to ensure that country portfolio compositions remain aligned to the Group’s country risk appetite in light of evolving economic and political developments.

Limits on total exposure are set for individual countries based on a risk assessment taking into account the country’s economic and political situation and outlook, as well as the Group’s portfolio composition in that country. Sub-limits are set on medium-term (greater than one year) exposure since this exposure can, by nature, not be reduced as rapidly as short-term exposure in the event of deterioration of a country’s creditworthiness.

During 2012, in addition to all emerging markets and the vulnerable eurozone countries, the Group brought nearly all advanced countries under country limits. The exceptions are the UK (and related European special territories of Guernsey, Jersey, the Isle of Man and Gibraltar) and the US, given their home country status.

Also in 2012, an enhanced country risk appetite framework was introduced. The Group’s risk appetite for a particular country is now guided by global risk appetite, the country’s internal rating and strategic importance to the Group, the portfolio composition by tenors and clients, an assessment of the potential for losses arising from a number of possible key country risk events, and other country-specific considerations such as funding profile, risk/return analysis, business opportunities and reputational risk. The actual country limits continue to be set by GCRC (or the ERF above certain benchmark levels).

Further enhancements included improved divisional country risk operating models and the implementation of a new sovereign rating model.

Eurozone crisis preparedness
A Group executive steering group is driving eurozone crisis preparedness. Its agenda in 2012 included operational preparations for possible sovereign defaults and/or eurozone exits. The steering group also considered initiatives to determine and reduce redenomination risk. Further actions to mitigate risks and strengthen control in the eurozone typically included taking guarantees or insurance, updating collateral agreements, and tightening certain credit pre-approval processes.
 
 
241

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Governance, monitoring and management (continued)
Redenomination risk
The overall impact of redenomination risk on the Group is difficult to determine with certainty, but would be shaped by; the scope and reach of any new legislation introduced by an exiting country; its applicability to the facility documentation; and whether there are any appropriate offsets to the exposures. For the purposes of estimating funding mismatches at risk of redenomination (detailed below), the Group takes, as its starting point balance sheet exposure as defined on page 244 and excludes exposures at low risk of redenomination. The latter are identified through consideration of the relevant documentation, particularly the currency of exposure, governing law, court of jurisdiction, precise definition of the contract currency (for euro facilities), and location of payment. The Group also deducts offsets for provisions taken and liabilities that would be expected to redenominate at the same time.

A redenomination event would also be accompanied by increased credit risk, for two reasons. First, capital controls would likely be introduced in the affected country, resulting in any non-redenominated assets, including non-euro assets, potentially becoming harder to service. Second, a sharp devaluation could imply payment difficulties for counterparties with large debts denominated in foreign currency and counterparties that are heavily dependent on imports.

The Group's focus continues to be on reducing its asset exposures and funding mismatches in the eurozone periphery countries. During 2012, total asset exposures to these countries decreased by 13% to £59.1 billion. The estimated funding mismatch at risk of redenomination was £9.0 billion for Ireland, £4.5 billion for Spain, and £1.0 billion for Italy at 31 December 2012. These mismatches can fluctuate due to volatility in trading book positions and changes in bond prices. The net positions for Greece, Portugal and Cyprus were all minimal.

Refer to pages 245 to 284 for discussion on the Group’s exposure to banks, financial institutions and other sectors in a number of eurozone countries.

Credit default swaps
The Group uses credit default swap (CDS) contracts to service customer activity as well as to manage counterparty and country exposure. The latter is done to hedge portfolios or specific exposures. This may give rise to maturity mismatches between the underlying exposure and the CDS contract, as well as between bought and sold CDS contracts on the same reference entity. CDS positions are monitored on a daily basis as part of regular market risk management.

The terms of the Group’s CDS contracts are covered by standard International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA) documentation, which determines if a contract is triggered due to a credit event. Such events may include bankruptcy or restructuring of the reference entity or a failure of the reference entity to repay its debt or interest. Under the terms of a CDS contract, one of the regional Credit Derivatives Determinations Committees of the ISDA is empowered to decide whether or not a credit event has occurred.
 
 
242

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Governance, monitoring and management (continued)
The Group transacts CDS contracts primarily on a collateralised basis with investment-grade global financial institutions who are active participants in the CDS market. These transactions are subject to regular margining, which usually takes the form of cash collateral. For European peripheral sovereigns, credit protection has been purchased from a number of major European banks, predominantly outside the country of the reference entity. In a few cases where protection was bought from banks in the country of the reference entity, giving rise to wrong-way risk, this risk is mitigated through specific collateralisation and monitored on a weekly basis.

Country risk exposure
The tables that follow show the Group’s exposure by country of incorporation of the counterparty at 31 December 2012. Countries shown are those where the Group’s balance sheet exposure (as defined in this section) to counterparties incorporated in the country exceeded £1 billion and the country had an external rating of A+ or below from Standard and Poor’s, Moody’s or Fitch at 31 December 2012, as well as selected eurozone countries. The exposures are stated before taking into account mitigants, such as collateral (with the exception of reverse repos), insurance or guarantees, which may have been taken to reduce or eliminate exposure to country risk events. Exposures relating to ocean-going vessels are not included due to their multinational nature.

Definitions

Lending - Comprises gross loans and advances to: central and local government (Govt); central banks, including cash balances; other banks and financial institutions (FI), incorporating overdraft and other short-term facilities; corporates, in large part loans and leases; and individuals, comprising mortgages, personal loans and credit card balances. Lending includes risk elements in lending.

Risk elements in lending (REIL) - Comprises impaired loans and accruing past due 90 days or more as to principal or interest. Impaired loans are all loans (including renegotiated) for which an impairment provision has been established. Accruing past due 90 days or more comprise loans past due 90 days where no impairment loss is expected and those awaiting individual assessment. A latent provision is established for the latter.

Debt securities - Comprise securities classified as available-for-sale (AFS), loans and receivables (LAR), held-for-trading (HFT) and designated as at fair value through profit or loss (DFV). All debt securities other than LAR securities are carried at fair value. LAR debt securities are carried at amortised cost less impairment. HFT debt securities are presented as gross long positions (including DFV securities) and short positions per country. Impairment losses and exchange differences relating to AFS debt securities, together with interest, are recognised in the income statement. Other changes in the fair value of AFS securities are reported within AFS reserves, which are presented gross of tax.

Derivatives (net) - Comprise the mark-to-market (mtm) value of such contracts after the effect of legally enforceable netting agreements but before the effect of collateral. Figures shown include the effect of counterparty netting used within the regulatory capital model.
 
 
243

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Definitions (continued)

Repos (net) - Comprises the mtm value of repo and reverse repo contracts after the effect of legally enforceable netting agreements and collateral. Counterparty netting is applied within the regulatory capital model used.

In addition and as a memorandum item, the mtm value of derivatives and repos gross of netting referred to above are disclosed.

Balance sheet - Comprises lending, debt securities, derivatives (net) and repo (net) exposures, as defined above.

Off-balance sheet - Comprises letters of credit, guarantees, other contingent obligations and committed undrawn facilities.

Credit default swaps (CDSs) - Under a CDS contract, the credit risk on the reference entity is transferred from the buyer to the seller. The fair value, or mtm value, represents the balance sheet carrying value. The mtm value of CDSs is included within derivatives against the counterparty of the trade, as opposed to the reference entity. The notional is the par value of the credit protection bought or sold and is included against the reference entity of the CDS contract.

The column CDS notional less fair value represents the instantaneous increase in exposure arising from sold positions netted against the decrease arising from bought positions should the CDS contracts be triggered by a credit event and assuming there is a zero recovery rate on the reference exposure. For a sold position, the change in exposure equals the notional less fair value amount and represents the amount the Group would owe to its CDS counterparties. Positive recovery rates would tend to reduce the gross components (increases and decreases) of those numbers.

Due to their bespoke nature, exposures relating to credit derivative product companies and related hedges have not been included, as they cannot be meaningfully attributed to a particular country or a reference entity. Nth-to-default basket swaps have also been excluded as they cannot be meaningfully attributed to a particular reference entity.

Government - Comprises central, regional and local government.

Eurozone periphery - Comprises Ireland, Spain, Italy, Portugal, Greece and Cyprus.

Other eurozone - Comprises Austria, Estonia, Finland, Malta, Slovakia and Slovenia.

Refer to page 193 for country analysis of equity shares.
 
 
244

 


Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Country risk: Country risk exposure: Summary
 
31 December 2012
 
Lending
 
Debt 
securities 
     
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off- 
balance 
sheet 
 
Total 
 
CDS 
notional 
less fair 
value 
     
Govt 
Central 
banks 
Other 
banks 
Other 
FI 
Corporate 
Personal 
Total 
Lending 
 
Of which 
Non-Core 
Net
Gross
Derivatives 
Repos
Derivatives 
Repos 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m
 
£m 
£m 
                                                   
Eurozone
                                                 
Ireland
42 
73 
98 
532 
17,921 
17,893 
36,559 
 
9,506 
 
787 
 
1,692 
579 
 
39,617 
 
2,958 
 
42,575 
 
(137)
 
17,066 
7,994 
Spain
59 
4,260 
340 
4,666 
 
2,759 
 
5,374 
 
1,754 
 
11,794 
 
1,624 
 
13,418 
 
(375)
 
5,694 
610 
Italy
21 
200 
218 
1,392 
23 
1,863 
 
900 
 
1,607 
 
2,297 
 
5,767 
 
2,616 
 
8,383 
 
(492)
 
9,597 
Portugal
336 
343 
 
251 
 
215 
 
514 
 
1,072 
 
258 
 
1,330 
 
(94)
 
618 
26 
Greece
179 
14 
201 
 
68 
 
 
360 
 
562 
 
27 
 
589 
 
(4)
 
623 
Cyprus
274 
15 
291 
 
121 
 
 
35 
 
330 
 
47 
 
377 
 
 
54 
15 
                                                   
Eurozone
  periphery
51 
107 
299 
812 
24,362 
18,292 
43,923 
 
13,605 
 
7,988 
 
6,652 
579 
 
59,142 
 
7,530 
 
66,672 
 
(1,102)
 
33,652 
8,648 
                                                   
Germany
20,018 
660 
460 
3,756 
83 
24,977 
 
2,817 
 
12,763 
 
9,476 
323 
 
47,539 
 
7,294 
 
54,833 
 
(1,333)
 
57,202 
8,407 
Netherlands
1,822 
496 
1,785 
3,720 
26 
7,856 
 
2,002 
 
8,447 
 
9,089 
354 
 
25,746 
 
11,473 
 
37,219 
 
(1,470)
 
23,957 
10,057 
France
494 
2,498 
124 
2,426 
71 
5,622 
 
1,621 
 
5,823 
 
7,422 
450 
 
19,317 
 
9,460 
 
28,777 
 
(2,197)
 
44,920 
14,324 
Belgium
186 
249 
414 
22 
871 
 
368 
 
1,408 
 
3,140 
50 
 
5,469 
 
1,308 
 
6,777 
 
(233)
 
4,961 
1,256 
Luxembourg
13 
99 
717 
1,817 
2,650 
 
973 
 
251 
 
1,462 
145 
 
4,508 
 
2,190 
 
6,698 
 
(306)
 
3,157 
5,166 
Other
126 
19 
90 
856 
14 
1,105 
 
88 
 
1,242 
 
1,737 
11 
 
4,095 
 
1,269 
 
5,364 
 
(194)
 
6,029 
2,325 
                                                   
Total
  eurozone
678 
21,969 
4,257 
4,237 
37,351 
18,512 
87,004 
 
21,474 
 
37,922 
 
38,978 
1,912 
 
165,816 
 
40,524 
 
206,340 
 
(6,835)
 
173,878 
50,183 
                                                   
Other
                                                 
Japan
832 
315 
193 
319 
15 
1,674 
 
123 
 
6,438 
 
2,883 
199 
 
11,194 
 
622 
 
11,816 
 
(70)
 
13,269 
16,350 
India
100 
1,021 
48 
2,628 
106 
3,903 
 
170 
 
1,074 
 
64 
 
5,041 
 
914 
 
5,955 
 
(43)
 
167 
108 
China
183 
829 
48 
585 
29 
1,676 
 
33 
 
262 
 
903 
94 
 
2,935 
 
739 
 
3,674 
 
50 
 
903 
3,833 
Russia
53 
848 
14 
494 
55 
1,464 
 
56 
 
409 
 
23 
 
1,896 
 
391 
 
2,287 
 
(254)
 
23 
Brazil
950 
125 
1,078 
 
60 
 
596 
 
73 
 
1,747 
 
189 
 
1,936 
 
393 
 
85 
South Korea
22 
771 
71 
289 
1,155 
 
 
307 
 
221 
30 
 
1,713 
 
704 
 
2,417 
 
(60)
 
616 
449 
Turkey
115 
163 
82 
94 
928 
12 
1,394 
 
258 
 
181 
 
93 
 
1,668 
 
481 
 
2,149 
 
(36)
 
114 
449 
Romania
20 
65 
347 
331 
774 
 
773 
 
315 
 
 
1,092 
 
80 
 
1,172 
 
(12)
 
Poland
164 
16 
536 
722 
 
26 
 
289 
 
36 
 
1,047 
 
802 
 
1,849 
 
(84)
 
54 
29
 
 
245

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Summary (continued)
 
31 December 2011
 
Lending
 
Debt 
Securities 
   
  
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off- 
balance 
sheet 
 
Total 
 
CDS 
notional 
less fair 
value 
   
Govt 
Central 
Banks 
Other 
Banks 
Other 
FI 
Corporate 
Personal 
Total 
Lending 
 
Of which 
Non-Core 
Net
Gross
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m  
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                                   
Eurozone
                                                 
Ireland
45 
1,467 
136 
333 
18,994 
18,858 
39,833 
 
10,156 
 
886 
 
2,273 
551 
 
43,543 
 
2,928 
 
46,471 
 
53 
 
21,462 
7,409 
Spain
130 
154 
5,775 
362 
6,433 
 
3,735 
 
6,155 
 
2,391 
 
14,981 
 
2,630 
 
17,611 
 
(1,013)
 
6,775 
589 
Italy
73 
233 
299 
2,444 
23 
3,072 
 
1,155 
 
1,258 
 
2,314 
 
6,644 
 
3,150 
 
9,794 
 
(452)
 
10,947 
305 
Portugal
10 
495 
510 
 
341 
 
113 
 
519 
 
1,142 
 
268 
 
1,410 
 
55 
 
633 
220 
Greece
31 
427 
14 
485 
 
94 
 
409 
 
355 
 
1,249 
 
52 
 
1,301 
 
 
541 
Cyprus
38 
250 
14 
302 
 
133 
 
 
56 
 
360 
 
68 
 
428 
 
 
57 
200 
                                                   
Eurozone
  periphery
61 
1,549 
509 
855 
28,385 
19,276 
50,635 
 
15,614 
 
8,823 
 
7,908 
553 
 
67,919 
 
9,096 
 
77,015 
 
(1,356)
 
40,415 
8,723
                                                   
Germany
18,068 
653 
305 
6,608 
155 
25,789 
 
5,402 
 
15,767 
 
10,169 
166 
 
51,891 
 
7,527 
 
59,418 
 
(2,401)
 
68,650 
6,142 
Netherlands
7,654 
623 
1,557 
4,827 
20 
14,689 
 
2,498 
 
9,893 
 
10,010 
275 
 
34,867 
 
13,561 
 
48,428 
 
(1,295)
 
25,858 
23,926 
France
481 
1,273 
282 
3,761 
79 
5,879 
 
2,317 
 
7,794 
 
8,701 
345 
 
22,719 
 
10,217 
 
32,936 
 
(2,846)
 
46,205 
22,230 
Belgium
287 
354 
588 
20 
1,257 
 
480 
 
652 
 
2,959 
51 
 
4,919 
 
1,359 
 
6,278 
 
(99)
 
8,998 
1,949 
Luxembourg
101 
925 
2,228 
3,256 
 
1,497 
 
130 
 
2,884 
805 
 
7,075 
 
2,007 
 
9,082 
 
(404)
 
4,535 
3,976 
Other
121 
28 
77 
1,125 
12 
1,363 
 
191 
 
708 
 
1,894 
 
3,965 
 
1,297 
 
5,262 
 
(25)
 
10,407 
1,254 
                                                   
Total
  eurozone
671 
27,282 
3,474 
4,355 
47,522 
19,564 
102,868 
 
27,999 
 
43,767 
 
44,525 
2,195 
 
193,355 
 
45,064 
 
238,419 
 
(8,426)
 
205,068 
68,200 
                                                   
Other
                                                 
Japan
2,085 
688 
96 
433 
26 
3,328 
 
338 
 
12,456 
 
2,443 
191 
 
18,418 
 
452 
 
18,870 
 
(365)
 
15,421 
12,678 
India
275 
610 
35 
2,949 
127 
3,996 
 
350 
 
1,530 
 
218 
 
5,744 
 
1,280 
 
7,024 
 
(105)
 
555 
72 
China
178 
1,237 
16 
654 
30 
2,124 
 
50 
 
597 
 
410 
 
3,134 
 
1,559 
 
4,693 
 
(62)
 
414 
6,187 
Russia
36 
970 
659 
62 
1,735 
 
76 
 
186 
 
47 
 
1,968 
 
356 
 
2,324 
 
(343)
 
47 
703 
Brazil
936 
227 
1,167 
 
70 
 
790 
 
24 
 
1,981 
 
319 
 
2,300 
 
164 
 
62 
South Korea
812 
576 
1,396 
 
 
845 
 
251 
153 
 
2,645 
 
627 
 
3,272 
 
(22)
 
775 
552 
Turkey
215 
193 
252 
66 
1,072 
16 
1,814 
 
423 
 
361 
 
94 
 
2,269 
 
437 
 
2,706 
 
10 
 
111 
139 
Romania
66 
145 
30 
413 
392 
1,054 
 
1,054 
 
220 
 
 
1,280 
 
160 
 
1,440 
 
 
Poland
35 
208 
624 
885 
 
45 
 
116 
 
56 
 
1,057 
 
701
 
1,758 
 
(99)
 
73 

 
246

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Summary (continued)
Reported exposures are affected by currency movements. Over 2012, sterling appreciated 4.4% against the US dollar and 2.6% against the euro, resulting in exposures denominated in these currencies (and in other currencies linked to the same) decreasing in sterling terms.

Key points
·
Balance sheet and off-balance sheet exposures to nearly all countries shown in the table declined during 2012, as the Group maintained a cautious stance and many clients reduced debt levels. The reductions were seen in all broad product categories and in all client groups. Non-Core lending exposure declined as the strategy for disposal progressed, particularly in Germany, Spain and Ireland. Most of the Group’s country risk exposure was in International Banking (primarily lending and off-balance sheet exposure to corporates), Markets (mostly derivatives and repos with financial institutions), Ulster Bank (mostly lending exposure to corporates and consumers in Ireland) and Group Treasury (largely AFS debt securities and liquidity with central banks).
   
·
Total eurozone - Balance sheet exposure declined by £27.5 billion or 14% during 2012 to £165.8 billion, with reductions seen primarily in periphery countries but also in the Netherlands, Germany, France and Luxembourg. This reflected exchange rate movements, sales of Greek, Spanish and Portuguese AFS bonds, write-offs, active exposure management and debt reduction efforts by bank clients.
   
·
Eurozone periphery - Balance sheet exposure decreased across all countries to a combined £59.1 billion, a reduction of £8.8 billion or 13%, caused in part by reductions in AFS bonds in Spain, Italy and Greece. Most of the Group’s exposure arises from the activities of Markets, International Banking, Group Treasury and Ulster Bank (with respect to Ireland). Group Treasury has a portfolio of Spanish bank and financial institution securities. International Banking provides trade finance facilities to clients across Europe, including the eurozone periphery. Balance sheet exposure to Cyprus amounted to £0.3 billion at 31 December 2012, comprising mainly lending exposure to special purpose vehicles incorporated in Cyprus, but with assets and cash flows largely elsewhere.
   
·
Japan - Exposure decreased during 2012, principally in the first half of the year, reflecting a reduction in International Banking’s cash management business and a change in Japanese yen clearing status from direct (self-clearing) membership to agency. The Group no longer needs to hold positions resulting in a £2.2 billion reduction in AFS Japanese government bonds.
   
·
China - Lending exposure and off-balance sheet exposure to banks decreased by £0.4 billion and £0.8 billion respectively, as a result of a slowdown in economic growth, changes in local regulations and risk/return considerations. Derivatives exposure to public sector entities increased by £0.7 billion, reflecting fluctuations in short-term hedging by bank clients.

 
247

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Summary: Key points (continued)

CDS protection bought and sold
·
The Group uses CDS contracts to service customer activity as well as manage counterparty and country exposure. During 2012, eurozone gross notional CDS contracts, bought and sold, decreased significantly. This was caused by maturing contracts and by efforts to reduce counterparty credit exposures and risk-weighted assets mainly through derivative compression trades. The fair value of bought and sold CDS contracts also decreased due to the reduction in gross notional CDS positions and a narrowing of CDS spreads over the year for a number of eurozone countries, including Portugal and Ireland. All in all, net bought CDS protection referencing entities in eurozone countries taken by the Group, in terms of CDS notional less fair value, decreased to £6.8 billion, from £8.4 billion at 31 December 2011.
   
·
Greek sovereign CDS positions were fully closed out in April 2012, as the use of the collective action clause in the Greek debt swap resulted in a credit event occurring, which triggered Greek sovereign CDS contracts.
   
·
Outside the eurozone, the Group also has net bought CDS protection on most countries shown in the table. A £0.4 billion net sold CDS position on Brazil was primarily hedging bought nth-to-default CDS contracts with Brazilian reference entities (these latter contracts are not included in the reported numbers by country - refer to the Definitions on page 243).
   
·
During 2012 the credit quality of CDS bought protection counterparties shown in the individual country tables, deteriorated primarily reflecting rating model changes in the fourth quarter resulting in more conservative internal ratings. There was also an actual downgrading of some of these counterparties during the year.

For more specific analysis and commentary on the Group’s exposure to Ireland, Spain, Italy, Portugal and Greece, refer to pages 253 to 267. For commentary on the Group’s exposure to eurozone non-periphery countries, refer to page 283.

 
248

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Total eurozone

 
Lending 
REIL 
Provisions 
 
AFS and 
LAR debt 
securities 
AFS 
reserves 
 
HFT
debt securities
 
Total 
debt 
securities 
 
Net
 
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off-balance
 sheet 
 
Total 
 
Gross
Long 
Short 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m
                                               
Government
678 
 
11,487 
267 
 
17,430 
8,469 
 
20,448 
 
1,797 
 
22,923 
 
783 
 
23,706 
 
5,307 
Central bank
21,969 
 
 
 
 
35 
 
22,004 
 
 
22,004 
 
36 
4,648 
Other banks
4,257 
 
5,588 
(509)
 
1,021 
611 
 
5,998 
 
25,956 
1,161 
 
37,372 
 
4,400 
 
41,772 
 
148,534 
28,679 
Other FI
4,237 
 
9,367 
(1,081)
 
1,261 
142 
 
10,486 
 
7,595 
727 
 
23,045 
 
5,537 
 
28,582 
 
15,055 
16,124 
Corporate
37,351 
14,253 
7,451 
 
794 
33 
 
311 
115 
 
990 
 
3,594 
24 
 
41,959 
 
29,061 
 
71,020 
 
4,945 
732 
Personal
18,512 
3,351 
1,733 
 
 
 
 
 
18,513 
 
743 
 
19,256 
 
                                               
 
87,004 
17,604 
9,184 
 
27,236 
(1,290)
 
20,023 
9,337 
 
37,922 
 
38,978 
1,912 
 
165,816 
 
40,524 
 
206,340 
 
173,878 
50,183
                                               
31 December 2011
                                             
                                               
Government
671 
 
18,406 
81 
 
19,597 
15,049 
 
22,954 
 
1,924 
 
25,549 
 
1,056 
 
26,605 
 
4,979 
791 
Central bank
27,282 
 
20 
 
 
26 
 
35 
 
27,343 
 
 
27,343 
 
38 
15,103 
Other banks
3,474 
 
8,423 
(752)
 
1,272 
1,502 
 
8,193 
 
28,595 
1,090 
 
41,352 
 
4,493 
 
45,845 
 
175,187 
31,157 
Other FI
4,355 
 
10,494 
(1,129)
 
1,138 
471 
 
11,161 
 
9,854 
1,102 
 
26,472 
 
8,199 
 
34,671 
 
18,204 
20,436 
Corporate
47,522 
14,152 
7,267 
 
964 
24 
 
528 
59 
 
1,433 
 
4,116 
 
53,074 
 
30,551 
 
83,625 
 
6,659 
713 
Personal
19,564 
2,280 
1,069 
 
 
 
 
 
19,565 
 
765 
 
20,330 
 
                                               
 
102,868 
16,432 
8,336 
 
38,307 
(1,776)
 
22,541 
17,081 
 
43,767 
 
44,525 
2,195 
 
193,355 
 
45,064 
 
238,419 
 
205,068 
68,200

 
249

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Total eurozone (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
CDS by reference entity
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                       
Government
40,154 
38,580 
 
1,407 
(1,405)
 
37,080 
36,759 
 
6,488 
(6,376)
Other banks
13,249 
13,014 
 
266 
(217)
 
19,736 
19,232 
 
2,303 
(2,225)
Other FI
11,015 
9,704 
 
104 
(92)
 
17,949 
16,608 
 
693 
(620)
Corporate
39,639 
35,851 
 
(455)
465 
 
76,966 
70,119 
 
2,241 
(1,917)
                       
 
104,057 
97,149 
 
1,322 
(1,249)
 
151,731 
142,718 
 
11,725 
(11,138)

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 
AQ1
 
AQ2-AQ3
 
AQ4-AQ9
 
AQ10
 
Total
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                             
Banks
8,828 
126 
 
34,862 
597 
 
8,056 
204 
 
 
51,746 
927 
Other FI
23,912 
88 
 
23,356 
319 
 
4,111 
(17)
 
932 
 
52,311 
395 
                             
 
32,740 
214 
 
58,218 
916 
 
12,167 
187 
 
932 
 
104,057 
1,322 
                             
31 December 2011
                           
                             
Banks
67,624 
5,585 
 
1,085 
131 
 
198 
23 
 
 
68,907 
5,739 
Other FI
79,824 
5,605 
 
759 
89 
 
2,094 
278 
 
147 
14 
 
82,824 
5,986 
                             
 
147,448 
11,190 
 
1,844 
220 
 
2,292 
301 
 
147 
14 
 
151,731 
11,725 

 
250

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Eurozone periphery

 
Lending 
REIL 
Provisions 
 
AFS and 
LAR debt 
securities 
AFS 
reserves 
 
HFT
debt securities
 
Total debt 
securities 
 
Net
 
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off-balance 
 sheet 
 
Total 
 
Gross
Long 
Short 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Government
51 
 
644 
(132)
 
3,686 
2,698 
 
1,632 
 
134 
 
1,817 
 
16 
 
1,833 
 
361 
Central bank
107 
 
 
 
 
 
107 
 
 
107 
 
Other banks
299 
 
3,551 
(660)
 
165 
131 
 
3,585 
 
4,093 
476 
 
8,453 
 
75 
 
8,528 
 
29,706 
4,186 
Other FI
812 
 
2,065 
(541)
 
466 
40 
 
2,491 
 
746 
103 
 
4,152 
 
1,414 
 
5,566 
 
1,557 
4,136 
Corporate
24,362 
12,146 
6,757 
 
192 
 
128 
40 
 
280 
 
1,678 
 
26,320 
 
5,414 
 
31,734 
 
2,027 
326 
Personal
18,292 
3,347 
1,713 
 
 
 
 
 
18,293 
 
611 
 
18,904 
 
                                               
 
43,923 
15,493 
8,470 
 
6,452 
(1,331)
 
4,445 
2,909 
 
7,988 
 
6,652 
579 
 
59,142 
 
7,530 
 
66,672 
 
33,652 
8,648 
                                               
31 December 2011
                                             
                                               
Government
61 
 
1,207 
(339)
 
4,854 
5,652 
 
409 
 
236 
 
706 
 
118 
 
824 
 
380 
Central bank
1,549 
 
 
 
 
 
1,549 
 
 
1,549 
 
Other banks
509 
 
5,279 
(956)
 
436 
318 
 
5,397 
 
4,350 
480 
 
10,736 
 
67 
 
10,803 
 
34,296 
4,085 
Other FI
855 
 
2,331 
(654)
 
228 
56 
 
2,503 
 
1,783 
73 
 
5,214 
 
1,862 
 
7,076 
 
3,635 
4,638 
Corporate
28,385 
12,272 
6,567 
 
274 
 
240 
 
514 
 
1,538 
 
30,437 
 
6,412 
 
36,849 
 
2,103 
Personal
19,276 
2,258 
1,048 
 
 
 
 
 
19,277 
 
637 
 
19,914 
 
                                               
 
50,635 
14,530 
7,615 
 
9,091 
(1,945)
 
5,758 
6,026 
 
8,823 
 
7,908 
553 
 
67,919 
 
9,096 
 
77,015 
 
40,415 
8,723 

 
 
251

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Eurozone periphery (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
CDS by reference entity
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                       
Government
24,785 
24,600 
 
1,452 
(1,459)
 
25,883 
26,174 
 
5,979 
(5,926)
Other banks
6,023 
5,996 
 
230 
(202)
 
9,372 
9,159 
 
1,657 
(1,623)
Other FI
2,592 
2,350 
 
76 
(67)
 
3,854 
3,635 
 
290 
(262)
Corporate
5,824 
5,141 
 
52 
(47)
 
10,798 
9,329 
 
999 
(860)
                       
 
39,224 
38,087 
 
1,810 
(1,775)
 
49,907 
48,297 
 
8,925 
(8,671)

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 
AQ1
 
AQ2-AQ3
 
AQ4-AQ9
 
AQ10
 
Total
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                             
Banks
3,517 
153 
 
14,725 
780 
 
5,153 
214 
 
 
23,395 
1,147 
Other FI
5,647 
240 
 
9,021 
401 
 
896 
22 
 
265 
 
15,829 
663 
                             
 
9,164 
393 
 
23,746 
1,181 
 
6,049 
236 
 
265 
 
39,224 
1,810
                             
31 December 2011
                           
                             
Banks
26,008 
4,606 
 
604 
112 
 
93 
14 
 
 
26,705 
4,732 
Other FI
22,082 
3,980 
 
394 
51 
 
726 
162 
 
 
23,202 
4,193 
                             
 
48,090 
8,586 
 
998 
163 
 
819 
176 
 
 
49,907 
8,925
 
 
 
252

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Ireland

 
Lending 
REIL 
Provisions 
 
AFS and 
LAR debt 
securities 
AFS 
reserves 
 
HFT debt securities
 
Total debt 
securities 
 
Net
 
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off-balance 
 sheet 
 
Total 
 
Gross
Long 
Short 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Government
42 
 
127 
(23)
 
79 
56 
 
150 
 
 
194 
 
 
196 
 
Central bank
73 
 
 
 
 
 
73 
 
 
73 
 
Other banks
98 
 
191 
(6)
 
18 
 
208 
 
695 
476 
 
1,477 
 
 
1,477 
 
15,258 
3,547 
Other FI
532 
 
46 
 
325 
 
369 
 
583 
103 
 
1,587 
 
601 
 
2,188 
 
1,365 
4,121 
Corporate
17,921 
11,058 
6,226 
 
60 
 
 
60 
 
411 
 
18,392 
 
1,840 
 
20,232 
 
436 
326 
Personal
17,893 
3,286 
1,686 
 
 
 
 
 
17,894 
 
515 
 
18,409 
 
                                               
 
36,559 
14,344 
7,912 
 
424 
(29)
 
422 
59 
 
787 
 
1,692 
579 
 
39,617 
 
2,958 
 
42,575 
 
17,066 
7,994 
                                               
31 December 2011
                                             
                                               
Government
45 
 
102 
(46)
 
20 
19 
 
103 
 
92 
 
240 
 
 
242 
 
102 
Central bank
1,467 
 
 
 
 
 
1,467 
 
 
1,467 
 
Other banks
136 
 
177 
(39)
 
195 
14 
 
358 
 
981 
478 
 
1,953 
 
 
1,953 
 
19,090 
3,441 
Other FI
333 
 
61 
 
116 
35 
 
142 
 
782 
73 
 
1,330 
 
546 
 
1,876 
 
1,831 
3,968 
Corporate
18,994 
10,269 
5,689 
 
148 
 
135 
 
283 
 
417 
 
19,694 
 
1,841 
 
21,535 
 
438 
Personal
18,858 
2,258 
1,048 
 
 
 
 
 
18,859 
 
539 
 
19,398 
 
                                               
 
39,833 
12,527 
6,737 
 
488 
(82)
 
466 
68 
 
886 
 
2,273 
551 
 
43,543 
 
2,928 
 
46,471 
 
21,462 
7,409 

 
253

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Ireland (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
CDS by reference entity
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                       
Government
2,486 
2,525 
 
72 
(71)
 
2,145 
2,223 
 
466 
(481)
Other banks
43 
32 
 
(2)
 
110 
107 
 
21 
(21)
Other FI
759 
677 
 
21 
(33)
 
523 
630 
 
64 
(74)
Corporate
236 
165 
 
(17)
17 
 
425 
322 
 
(11)
10 
                       
 
3,524 
3,399 
 
77 
(89)
 
3,203 
3,282 
 
540 
(566)

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 
AQ1
 
AQ2-AQ3
 
AQ4-AQ9
 
AQ10
 
Total
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                             
Banks
214 
 
1,461 
41 
 
32 
(1)
 
 
1,707 
46 
Other FI
528 
16 
 
970 
 
319 
 
 
1,817 
31 
                             
 
742 
22 
 
2,431 
48 
 
351 
 
 
3,524 
77 
                             
31 December 2011
                           
                             
Banks
1,586 
300 
 
 
 
 
1,588 
300 
Other FI
1,325 
232 
 
161 
 
129 
 
 
1,615 
240 
                             
 
2,911 
532 
 
163 
 
129 
 
 
3,203 
540 
 
 
254

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Ireland (continued)

Key points
 
·
Ulster Bank Group’s (UBG) Irish exposure comprises personal lending (largely mortgages) and corporate lending and commitments, plus some lending to financial institutions (refer to the Ulster Bank Group (Core and Non-Core) section on page 226 for further details). In addition, International Banking has lending exposure and commitments, and Markets has derivative and repo exposure to financial institutions and large international clients with funding subsidiaries based in Ireland.
   
·
Group exposure decreased further during 2012, principally lending, which fell £3.3 billion as a result of de-risking of the portfolio and currency movements.

·
Government and central bank
   
 
Exposure to the central bank fluctuates, driven by regulatory requirements and deposits of excess liquidity. It was reduced as part of asset and liability management.

·
Financial institutions
   
 
Markets, International Banking and UBG account for the large majority of the Group’s exposure to financial institutions, the main categories being derivatives and repos, where exposure is affected predominantly by market movements and much of it is collateralised.

·
Corporate
   
 
Lending exposure fell by £1.1 billion during 2012, driven by exchange rate movements and write-offs. Commercial real estate lending amounted to £10.4 billion at 31 December 2012, down £0.5 billion from 31 December 2011 amid continuing adverse market conditions. The commercial real estate lending was nearly all in UBG (£7.7 billion of this in Non-Core) and included REIL of £8.0 billion which were 55% covered by provisions.

·
Personal
   
 
Overall lending exposure fell by £1.0 billion as a result of exchange rate movements, amortisation, maturities, a small amount of write-offs, low new business volumes and active risk management. Residential mortgage loans amounted to £16.9 billion at 31 December 2012, including REIL of £3.0 billion and loan provisions of £1.5 billion. The housing market continues to suffer from weak domestic demand, with house prices that stabilised in the course of 2012 at approximately 50% below their 2007 peak.

·
Non-Core (included above)
   
 
Non-Core lending exposure was £9.5 billion at 31 December 2012, down £0.7 billion since 31 December 2011. The lending portfolio largely consisted of exposures to commercial real estate (82%), retail (4%) and leisure (4%).
 
 
255

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Spain

 
Lending 
REIL 
Provisions 
 
AFS and 
LAR debt 
securities 
AFS 
reserves 
 
HFT
debt securities
 
Total debt 
securities 
 
Net
 
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off-balance 
 sheet 
 
Total 
 
Gross
Long 
Short 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Government
 
37 
(10)
 
786 
403 
 
420 
 
18 
 
438 
 
14 
 
452 
 
56 
Central bank
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other banks
 
3,169 
(634)
 
100 
76 
 
3,193 
 
1,254 
 
4,448 
 
42 
 
4,490 
 
5,116 
610 
Other FI
59 
 
1,661 
(540)
 
96 
18 
 
1,739 
 
26 
 
1,824 
 
139 
 
1,963 
 
50 
Corporate
4,260 
601 
246 
 
 
36 
18 
 
22 
 
456 
 
4,738 
 
1,373 
 
6,111 
 
472 
Personal
340 
61 
27 
 
 
 
 
 
340 
 
56 
 
396 
 
                                               
 
4,666 
662 
273 
 
4,871 
(1,184)
 
1,018 
515 
 
5,374 
 
1,754 
 
11,794 
 
1,624 
 
13,418 
 
5,694 
610 
                                               
31 December 2011
                                             
                                               
Government
 
33 
(15)
 
360 
751 
 
(358)
 
35 
 
(314)
 
116 
 
(198)
 
40 
Central bank
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other banks
130 
 
4,892 
(867)
 
162 
214 
 
4,840 
 
1,620 
 
6,592 
 
41 
 
6,633 
 
5,180 
122 
Other FI
154 
 
1,580 
(639)
 
65 
 
1,637 
 
282 
 
2,073 
 
169 
 
2,242 
 
1,084 
467 
Corporate
5,775 
1,190 
442 
 
 
27 
 
36 
 
454 
 
6,265 
 
2,247 
 
8,512 
 
471 
Personal
362 
 
 
 
 
 
362 
 
57 
 
419 
 
                                               
 
6,433 
1,190 
442 
 
6,514 
(1,521)
 
614 
973 
 
6,155 
 
2,391 
 
14,981 
 
2,630 
 
17,611 
 
6,775 
589 

 
256

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Spain (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
CDS by reference entity
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                       
Government
5,934 
5,905 
 
361 
(359)
 
5,151 
5,155 
 
538 
(522)
Other banks
1,583 
1,609 
 
34 
(30)
 
1,965 
1,937 
 
154 
(152)
Other FI
1,209 
1,061 
 
47 
(28)
 
2,417 
2,204 
 
157 
(128)
Corporate
2,263 
2,011 
 
(4)
 
4,831 
3,959 
 
448 
(399)
                       
 
10,989 
10,586 
 
449 
(421)
 
14,364 
13,255 
 
1,297 
(1,201)

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 
AQ1
 
AQ2-AQ3
 
AQ4-AQ9
 
AQ10
 
Total
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                             
Banks
646 
27 
 
3,648 
168 
 
1,409 
65 
 
 
5,703 
260 
Other FI
2,335 
72 
 
2,539 
109 
 
324 
 
88 
 
5,286 
189 
                             
 
2,981 
99 
 
6,187 
277 
 
1,733 
73 
 
88 
 
10,989 
449 
                             
31 December 2011
                           
                             
Banks
6,595 
499 
 
68 
 
32 
 
 
6,695 
508 
Other FI
7,238 
736 
 
162 
 
269 
50 
 
 
7,669 
789 
                             
 
13,833 
1,235 
 
230 
 
301 
54 
 
 
14,364 
1,297 

 
257

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Spain (continued)

Key points
·
The Group maintains good relationships with multinational banks, other financial institutions and large corporate clients.
   
·
Exposure to Spain is driven by corporate lending and a sizeable mortgage-backed securities covered bond portfolio. Exposure fell further in most categories during 2012, driven by the sale of part of the covered bond portfolio and a decline in corporate lending, as a result of steps taken to de-risk the portfolio.

·
Government
   
 
The Group has an active portfolio of Spanish government debt and CDS exposures that can result in fluctuations between long and short positions for HFT debt securities.

·
Financial institutions
   
 
The Group’s largest exposure was AFS debt securities (mainly the covered bond portfolio) of £4.8 billion at 31 December 2012, which decreased by £1.6 billion during 2012, largely as a result of sales in the first half of the year. The portfolio continued to perform satisfactorily. However, the Group is monitoring the situation closely, including undertaking stress analyses.
   
 
Derivative exposure, mostly to Spanish international banks and a few of the large regional banks, declined to £1.3 billion at 31 December 2012 from £1.9 billion at 31 December 2011. The majority of this exposure was collateralised.
   
 
Lending to financial institutions decreased to less than £0.1 billion at 31 December 2012 from £0.3 billion at 31 December 2011.

·
Corporate
   
 
Lending decreased by £1.5 billion and off-balance sheet exposure by £0.9 billion, due to reductions primarily in the commercial real estate and electricity sectors. Commercial real estate lending amounted to £1.6 billion at 31 December 2012, predominantly in Non-Core. The majority of REIL and loan provisions relates to commercial real estate lending and further decreased during 2012, reflecting disposals and restructurings.

·
Non-Core (included above)
   
 
At 31 December 2012, Non-Core had lending exposure to Spain of £2.8 billion, a reduction of £1.0 billion or 26% since 31 December 2011. Commercial real estate (63%), construction (14%) and electricity (9%) sectors accounted for the majority of the lending exposure.
 
 
258

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Italy

 
Lending 
REIL 
Provisions 
 
AFS and 
LAR debt 
securities 
AFS 
reserves 
 
HFT
debt securities
 
Total debt 
securities 
 
Net
 
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off-balance 
 sheet 
 
Total 
 
Gross
Long 
Short 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Government
 
408 
(81)
 
2,781 
2,224 
 
965 
 
80 
 
1,054 
 
 
1,054 
 
131 
Central bank
21 
 
 
 
 
 
21 
 
 
21 
 
Other banks
200 
 
125 
(8)
 
42 
54 
 
113 
 
1,454 
 
1,767 
 
33 
 
1,800 
 
8,428 
Other FI
218 
 
357 
(1)
 
23 
 
379 
 
99 
 
696 
 
671 
 
1,367 
 
100 
Corporate
1,392 
34 
 
87 
 
85 
22 
 
150 
 
664 
 
2,206 
 
1,900 
 
4,106 
 
938 
Personal
23 
 
 
 
 
 
23 
 
12 
 
35 
 
                                               
 
1,863 
34 
 
977 
(88)
 
2,931 
2,301 
 
1,607 
 
2,297 
 
5,767 
 
2,616 
 
8,383 
 
9,597 
                                               
31 December 2011
                                             
                                               
Government
 
704 
(220)
 
4,336 
4,725 
 
315 
 
90 
 
405 
 
 
405 
 
142 
Central bank
73 
 
 
 
 
 
73 
 
 
73 
 
Other banks
233 
 
119 
(14)
 
67 
88 
 
98 
 
1,064 
 
1,395 
 
23 
 
1,418 
 
9,117 
305 
Other FI
299 
 
685 
(15)
 
40 
13 
 
712 
 
686 
 
1,697 
 
1,146 
 
2,843 
 
687 
Corporate
2,444 
361 
113 
 
75 
 
58 
 
133 
 
474 
 
3,051 
 
1,968 
 
5,019 
 
1,001 
Personal
23 
 
 
 
 
 
23 
 
13 
 
36 
 
                                               
 
3,072 
361 
113 
 
1,583 
(249)
 
4,501 
4,826 
 
1,258 
 
2,314 
 
6,644 
 
3,150 
 
9,794 
 
10,947 
305 

 
 
259

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Italy (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
CDS by reference entity
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                       
Government
13,181 
13,034 
 
717 
(754)
 
12,125 
12,218 
 
1,750 
(1,708)
Other banks
3,537 
3,488 
 
163 
(139)
 
6,078 
5,938 
 
1,215 
(1,187)
Other FI
616 
607 
 
(5)
 
872 
762 
 
60 
(51)
Corporate
2,580 
2,295 
 
28 
(20)
 
4,742 
4,299 
 
350 
(281)
                       
 
19,914 
19,424 
 
916 
(918)
 
23,817 
23,217 
 
3,375 
(3,227)

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 
AQ1
 
AQ2-AQ3
 
AQ4-AQ9
 
AQ10
 
Total
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                             
Banks
2,113 
81 
 
7,755 
432 
 
3,252 
105 
 
 
13,120 
618 
Other FI
2,120 
96 
 
4,344 
194 
 
218 
 
112 
 
6,794 
298 
                             
 
4,233 
177 
 
12,099 
626 
 
3,470 
113 
 
112 
 
19,914 
916 
                             
31 December 2011
                           
                             
Banks
12,904 
1,676 
 
487 
94 
 
61 
10 
 
 
13,452 
1,780 
Other FI
10,138 
1,550 
 
 
219 
43 
 
 
10,365 
1,595 
                             
 
23,042 
3,226 
 
495 
96 
 
280 
53 
 
 
23,817 
3,375 

 
260

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Italy (continued)

Key points
·
The Group maintains good relationships with Italian government entities, banks, other financial institutions and large corporate clients. Since the start of 2011, the Group has taken steps to reduce and mitigate its risk through strategic exits where appropriate and through increased collateral requirements, in line with its evolving appetite for Italian risk. Lending exposure to Italian counterparties was reduced by a further £1.2 billion during 2012, to £1.9 billion.

·
Government and central bank
   
 
The Group is an active market-maker in Italian government bonds and has an active CDS portfolio, resulting in large and fluctuating gross long and short positions in HFT debt securities.

·
Financial institutions
   
 
The majority of the Group’s exposure relates to the top five banks. The Group’s product offering consists largely of collateralised trading products and to a lesser extent, short-term uncommitted lending lines for liquidity purposes. During 2012, derivative exposure decreased by £0.2 billion due to market movements. Risk is mitigated since most facilities are fully collateralised. Lending declined by £0.1 billion to £0.4 billion.
   
 
The AFS bond exposure was reduced by £0.3 billion due to sales.

·
Corporate
   
 
Lending declined by £1.1 billion, particularly to industrials.

·
Non-Core (included above)
   
 
Non-Core lending exposure was £0.9 billion at 31 December 2012, a £0.3 billion or 22% reduction since 31 December 2011, primarily due to a fall in exposure to investment funds and industrials. The remaining lending exposure was mainly to the commercial real estate (29%), leisure (25%) and electricity (16%) sectors.

 
261

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Portugal
 
Lending 
REIL 
Provisions 
 
AFS and 
LAR debt 
securities 
AFS 
reserves 
 
HFT
debt securities
 
Total debt 
securities 
 
Net
 
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off-balance 
 sheet 
 
Total 
 
Gross
Long 
Short 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Government
 
72 
(18)
 
28 
15 
 
85 
 
17 
 
102 
 
 
102 
 
17 
Other banks
 
66 
(12)
 
 
71 
 
380 
 
451 
 
 
451 
 
481 
26 
Other FI
 
 
21 
11 
 
11 
 
38 
 
49 
 
 
52 
 
38 
Corporate
336 
253 
188 
 
41 
 
 
48 
 
79 
 
463 
 
247 
 
710 
 
82 
Personal
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
15 
 
                                               
 
343 
253 
188 
 
180 
(30)
 
61 
26 
 
215 
 
514 
 
1,072 
 
258 
 
1,330 
 
618 
26 
                                               
31 December 2011
                                             
                                               
Government
 
56 
(58)
 
36 
152 
 
(60)
 
19 
 
(41)
 
 
(41)
 
25 
Other banks
10 
 
91 
(36)
 
12 
 
101 
 
389 
 
500 
 
 
502 
 
497 
217 
Other FI
 
 
 
12 
 
30 
 
42 
 
 
42 
 
30 
Corporate
495 
27 
27 
 
42 
 
18 
 
60 
 
81 
 
636 
 
258 
 
894 
 
81 
Personal
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
13 
 
                                               
 
510 
27 
27 
 
194 
(93)
 
73 
154 
 
113 
 
519 
 
1,142 
 
268 
 
1,410 
 
633 
220 

 
262

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Portugal (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
CDS by reference entity
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                       
Government
3,182 
3,134 
 
302 
(275)
 
3,304 
3,413 
 
997 
(985)
Other banks
856 
863 
 
31 
(30)
 
1,197 
1,155 
 
264 
(260)
Other FI
 
(1)
 
 
(1)
Corporate
426 
353 
 
(7)
 
366 
321 
 
68 
(48)
                       
 
4,472 
4,355 
 
336 
(313)
 
4,875 
4,894 
 
1,330 
(1,294)

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 
AQ1
 
AQ2-AQ3
 
AQ4-AQ9
 
AQ10
 
Total
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                             
Banks
480 
34 
 
1,805 
133 
 
460 
45 
 
 
2,745 
212
Other FI
534 
38 
 
1,126 
88 
 
35 
(2)
 
32 
 
1,727 
124
                             
 
1,014 
72 
 
2,931 
221 
 
495 
43 
 
32 
 
4,472 
336
                             
31 December 2011
                           
                             
Banks
2,922 
786 
 
46 
12 
 
 
 
2,968 
798 
Other FI
1,874 
517 
 
 
33 
15 
 
 
1,907 
532 
                             
 
4,796 
1,303 
 
46 
12 
 
33 
15 
 
 
4,875 
1,330 

 
263

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Portugal (continued)

Key points
·
The Portuguese portfolio, which is managed out of Spain, mainly consists of corporate lending and derivative trading with the largest local banks. Medium-term activity has ceased with the exception of collateralised business.
   
·
Exposure declined further during 2012, with continued reductions in lending and off-balance sheet exposure, and sales of Group Treasury’s AFS bonds.

·
Government and central bank
   
 
The Group’s exposure to the Portuguese government at 31 December 2012 was £102 million, comprising a very small derivative exposure and a small net long debt securities position, an increase from the net short debt securities position at 31 December 2011.

·
Financial institutions
   
 
The remaining exposure is largely focused on the top four systemically important banks. Exposures generally consist of collateralised trading products.

·
Corporate
   
 
The largest exposure is to the land transport and logistics, electricity and telecommunications sectors, concentrated on a few large, highly creditworthy clients.

·
Non-Core (included above)
   
 
Non-Core lending exposure to Portugal decreased by £0.1 billion during 2012, to £0.3 billion. The portfolio largely comprised lending exposure to the land transport and logistics (40%), electricity (37%) and commercial real estate (18%) sectors.

 
264

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Greece

 
Lending 
REIL 
Provisions 
 
AFS and 
LAR debt 
securities 
AFS 
reserves 
 
HFT
debt securities
 
Total debt 
securities 
 
Net
 
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off-balance 
 sheet 
 
Total 
 
Gross
Long 
Short 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Government
 
 
 
 
17 
 
26 
 
 
26 
 
151 
Central bank
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other banks
 
 
 
 
299 
 
299 
 
 
299 
 
411 
Other FI
 
 
 
(8)
 
 
(7)
 
 
(7)
 
Corporate
179 
38 
38 
 
 
 
 
44 
 
223 
 
18 
 
241 
 
61 
Personal
14 
 
 
 
 
 
14 
 
 
23 
 
                                               
 
201 
38 
38 
 
 
 
 
360 
 
562 
 
27 
 
589 
 
623 
                                               
31 December 2011
                                             
                                               
Government
 
312 
 
102 
 
409 
 
 
416 
 
 
416 
 
71 
Central bank
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other banks
 
 
 
 
290 
 
290 
 
 
290 
 
405 
Other FI
31 
 
 
 
 
 
33 
 
 
33 
 
Corporate
427 
256 
256 
 
 
 
 
63 
 
490 
 
42 
 
532 
 
63 
 - 
Personal
14 
 
 
 
 
 
14 
 
10 
 
24 
 
                                               
 
485 
256 
256 
 
312 
 
102 
 
409 
 
355 
 
1,249 
 
52 
 
1,301 
 
541 

 
265

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Greece (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
CDS by reference entity
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                       
Government
 
 
3,158 
3,165 
 
2,228 
(2,230)
Other banks
 
(1)
 
22 
22 
 
(3)
Other FI
 
 
34 
34 
 
(8)
Corporate
319 
317 
 
31 
(33)
 
434 
428 
 
144 
(142)
                       
 
323 
321 
 
32 
(34)
 
3,648 
3,649 
 
2,383 
(2,383)

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 
AQ1
 
AQ2-AQ3
 
AQ4-AQ9
 
AQ10
 
Total
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                             
Banks
64 
 
54 
 
 
 
118 
11
Other FI
130 
18 
 
42 
 
 
33 
 
205 
21
                             
 
194 
23 
 
96 
 
 
33 
 
323 
32
                             
31 December 2011
                           
                             
Banks
2,001 
1,345 
 
 
 
 
2,002 
1,346 
Other FI
1,507 
945 
 
63 
45 
 
76 
47 
 
 
1,646 
1,037 
                             
 
3,508 
2,290 
 
64 
46 
 
76 
47 
 
 
3,648 
2,383 

 
266

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Greece (continued)

Key points
·
The Group’s exposure to Greece decreased further in 2012, largely as a result of the restructuring and sale of Greek government debt and a corporate write-off. The remainder of the exposure is actively managed, in line with the Group’s de-risking strategy that has been in place since early 2010. Much of the remaining exposure is collateralised or guaranteed. The remaining Greek exposure at 31 December 2012 was £0.6 billion. The majority of this was derivative exposure to banks (itself in part collateralised). The rest was mostly corporate lending, including exposure to local subsidiaries of international companies.

·
Government and central bank
   
 
The Group participated in the restructuring of Greek government debt in March 2012, which resulted in the issuance of new bonds that were sold in March and April, and £0.3 billion of AFS bonds issued by the European Financial Stability Facility incorporated in Luxembourg. The Group no longer holds any AFS bonds issued by the Greek government. A small HFT position, resulting from the sovereign debt restructuring in March, has been retained to enable the Group to quote prices and stay relevant to key clients.

·
Financial institutions
   
 
Activity with Greek financial institutions is largely collateralised derivative and repo exposure, and remains under close scrutiny.

·
Corporate
   
 
Lending exposure fell by £0.2 billion to £0.2 billion, largely due to a single name write-off in the first half of 2012.
   
 
The Group’s focus is on short-term trade facilities to the domestic subsidiaries of international clients, increasingly supported by parental guarantees.
 
·
Non-Core (included above)
   
 
Non-Core lending exposure to Greece was £0.1 billion at 31 December 2012, a slight reduction from 31 December 2011. The remaining lending portfolio primarily consisted of the following sectors: commercial real estate (44%), construction (26%) and other services (12%).
 
 
267

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Cyprus

 
Lending 
REIL 
Provisions 
 
AFS and 
LAR debt 
securities 
AFS 
reserves 
 
HFT
debt securities
 
Total debt 
securities 
 
Net
 
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off-balance 
 sheet 
 
Total 
 
Gross
Long 
Short 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Government
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other banks
 
 
 
 
11 
 
11 
 
 
11 
 
12 
Other FI
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
15 
Corporate
274 
162 
54 
 
 
 
 
24 
 
298 
 
36 
 
334 
 
38 
Personal
15 
 
 
 
 
 
15 
 
11 
 
26 
 
                                               
 
291 
162 
54 
 
 
 
 
35 
 
330 
 
47 
 
377 
 
54 
15 
                                               
31 December 2011
                                             
                                               
Other banks
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other FI
38 
 
 
 
 
 
39 
 
 
40 
 
200 
Corporate
250 
169 
40 
 
 
 
 
49 
 
301 
 
56 
 
357 
 
49 
Personal
14 
 
 
 
 
 
14 
 
10 
 
24 
 
                                               
 
302 
169 
40 
 
 
 
 
56 
 
360 
 
68 
 
428 
 
57 
200 


 
268

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Eurozone non-periphery

 
Lending 
REIL 
Provisions 
 
AFS and 
LAR debt 
securities 
AFS 
reserves 
 
HFT
debt securities
 
Total debt 
securities 
 
Net
 
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off-balance 
 sheet 
 
Total 
 
Gross
Long 
Short 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Government
627 
 
10,843 
399 
 
13,744 
5,771 
 
18,816 
 
1,663 
 
21,106 
 
767 
 
21,873 
 
4,946 
Central bank
21,862 
 
 
 
 
35 
 
21,897 
 
 
21,897 
 
36 
4,648 
Other banks
3,958 
 
2,037 
151 
 
856 
480 
 
2,413 
 
21,863 
685 
 
28,919 
 
4,325 
 
33,244 
 
118,828 
24,493 
Other FI
3,425 
 
7,302 
(540)
 
795 
102 
 
7,995 
 
6,849 
624 
 
18,893 
 
4,123 
 
23,016 
 
13,498 
11,988 
Corporate
12,989 
2,107 
694 
 
602 
31 
 
183 
75 
 
710 
 
1,916 
24 
 
15,639 
 
23,647 
 
39,286 
 
2,918 
406 
Personal
220 
20 
 
 
 
 
 
220 
 
132 
 
352 
 
                                               
 
43,081 
2,111 
714 
 
20,784 
41 
 
15,578 
6,428 
 
29,934  
 
32,326 
1,333 
 
106,674 
 
32,994 
 
139,668 
 
140,226 
41,535 
                                               
31 December 2011
                                             
                                               
Government
610 
 
17,199 
420 
 
14,743 
9,397 
 
22,545 
 
1,688 
 
24,843 
 
938 
 
25,781 
 
4,599 
791 
Central bank
25,733 
 
20 
 
 
26 
 
35 
 
25,794 
 
 
25,794 
 
38 
15,103 
Other banks
2,965 
 
3,144 
204 
 
836 
1,184 
 
2,796 
 
24,245 
610 
 
30,616 
 
4,426 
 
35,042 
 
140,891 
27,072 
Other FI
3,500 
 
8,163 
(475)
 
910 
415 
 
8,658 
 
8,071 
1,029 
 
21,258 
 
6,337 
 
27,595 
 
14,569 
15,798 
Corporate
19,137 
1,880 
700 
 
690 
20 
 
288 
59 
 
919 
 
2,578 
 
22,637 
 
24,139 
 
46,776 
 
4,556 
713 
Personal
288 
22 
21 
 
 
 
 
 
288 
 
128 
 
416 
 
                                               
 
52,233 
1,902 
721 
 
29,216 
169 
 
16,783 
11,055 
 
34,944 
 
36,617 
1,642 
 
125,436 
 
35,968 
 
161,404 
 
164,653 
59,477 

 
269

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Eurozone non-periphery (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
CDS by reference entity
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                       
Government
15,369 
13,980 
 
(45)
54 
 
11,197 
10,585 
 
509 
(450)
Other banks
7,226 
7,018 
 
36 
(15)
 
10,364 
10,073 
 
646 
(602)
Other FI
8,423 
7,354 
 
28 
(25)
 
14,095 
12,973 
 
403 
(358)
Corporate
33,815 
30,710 
 
(507)
512 
 
66,168 
60,790 
 
1,242 
(1,057)
                       
 
64,833 
59,062 
 
(488)
526 
 
101,824 
94,421 
 
2,800 
(2,467)

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 
AQ1
 
AQ2-AQ3
 
AQ4-AQ9
 
AQ10
 
Total
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                             
Banks
5,311 
(27)
 
20,137 
(183)
 
2,903 
(10)
 
 
28,351 
(200)
Other FI
18,265 
(152)
 
14,335 
(82)
 
3,215 
(39)
 
667 
 
36,482 
(268)
                             
 
23,576 
(179)
 
34,472 
(265)
 
6,118 
(49)
 
667 
 
64,833 
(488)
                             
31 December 2011
                           
                             
Banks
41,616 
979 
 
481 
19 
 
105 
 
 
42,202 
1,007 
Other FI
57,742 
1,625 
 
365 
38 
 
1,368 
116 
 
147 
14 
 
59,622 
1,793 
                             
 
99,358 
2,604 
 
846 
57 
 
1,473 
125 
 
147 
14 
 
101,824 
2,800 

 
270

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Germany

 
Lending 
REIL 
Provisions 
 
AFS and 
LAR debt 
securities 
AFS 
reserves 
 
HFT
debt securities
 
Total debt 
securities 
 
Net
 
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off-balance 
 sheet 
 
Total 
 
Gross
Long 
Short 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Government
 
8,103 
453 
 
5,070 
1,592 
 
11,581 
 
533 
 
12,114 
 
735 
 
12,849 
 
1,656 
Central bank
20,018 
 
 
 
 
 
20,018 
 
 
20,018 
 
Other banks
660 
 
668 
10 
 
280 
332 
 
616 
 
5,558 
183 
 
7,017 
 
139 
 
7,156 
 
50,998 
4,935 
Other FI
460 
 
285 
(23)
 
95 
30 
 
350 
 
3,046 
116 
 
3,972 
 
933 
 
4,905 
 
3,911 
3,066 
Corporate
3,756 
460 
152 
 
207 
14 
 
11 
 
216 
 
339 
24 
 
4,335 
 
5,462 
 
9,797 
 
637 
406 
Personal
83 
 
 
 
 
 
83 
 
25 
 
108 
 
                                               
 
24,977 
461 
152 
 
9,263 
454 
 
5,456 
1,956 
 
12,763 
 
9,476 
323 
 
47,539 
 
7,294 
 
54,833 
 
57,202 
8,407 
                                               
31 December 2011
                                             
                                               
Government
 
12,035 
523 
 
4,136 
2,084 
 
14,087 
 
423 
 
14,510 
 
 
14,512 
 
1,284 
164 
Central bank
18,068 
 
 
 
 
 
18,070 
 
 
18,070 
 
Other banks
653 
 
1,376 
 
294 
761 
 
909 
 
5,886 
117 
 
7,565 
 
284 
 
7,849 
 
62,744 
4,277 
Other FI
305 
 
563 
(33)
 
187 
95 
 
655 
 
3,272 
49 
 
4,281 
 
1,116 
 
5,397 
 
3,657 
1,659 
Corporate
6,608 
191 
80 
 
109 
 
14 
 
116 
 
586 
 
7,310 
 
6,103 
 
13,413 
 
963 
42 
Personal
155 
19 
19 
 
 
 
 
 
155 
 
22 
 
177 
 
                                               
 
25,789 
210 
99 
 
14,083 
504 
 
4,631 
2,947 
 
15,767 
 
10,169 
166 
 
51,891 
 
7,527 
 
59,418 
 
68,650 
6,142 


 
271

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Germany (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
CDS by reference entity
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                       
Government
4,288 
4,191 
 
 
2,631 
2,640 
 
76 
(67)
Other banks
2,849 
2,696 
 
13 
(11)
 
4,765 
4,694 
 
307 
(310)
Other FI
2,385 
2,172 
 
(16)
18 
 
3,653 
3,403 
 
(2)
Corporate
10,526 
9,644 
 
(257)
261 
 
20,433 
18,311 
 
148 
(126)
                       
 
20,048 
18,703 
 
(256)
268 
 
31,482 
29,048 
 
538 
(505)

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 
AQ1
 
AQ2-AQ3
 
AQ4-AQ9
 
AQ10
 
Total
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                             
Banks
1,968 
(22)
 
6,263 
(87)
 
940 
(7)
 
 
9,171 
(116)
Other FI
5,047 
(70)
 
5,103 
(55)
 
727 
(15)
 
 
10,877 
(140)
                             
 
7,015 
(92)
 
11,366 
(142)
 
1,667 
(22)
 
 
20,048 
(256)
                             
31 December 2011
                           
                             
Banks
14,644 
171 
 
163 
 
 
 
14,815 
175 
Other FI
16,315 
357 
 
18 
 
334 
 
 
16,667 
363 
                             
 
30,959 
528 
 
181 
 
342 
 
 
31,482 
538 


 
272

 
 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)

Country risk: Country risk exposure: Netherlands

 
Lending 
REIL 
Provisions 
 
AFS and 
LAR debt 
securities 
AFS 
reserves 
 
HFT
debt securities
 
Total debt 
securities 
 
Net
 
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off-balance 
 sheet 
 
Total 
 
Gross
Long 
Short 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Government
 
1,052 
57 
 
1,248 
993 
 
1,307 
 
36 
 
1,350 
 
29 
 
1,379 
 
1,662 
Central bank
1,822 
 
 
 
 
 
1,824 
 
 
1,824 
 
4,648 
Other banks
496 
 
575 
136 
 
252 
86 
 
741 
 
6,667 
309 
 
8,213 
 
3,471 
 
11,684 
 
16,558 
3,074 
Other FI
1,785 
 
6,107 
(508)
 
242 
17 
 
6,332 
 
1,908 
45 
 
10,070 
 
1,311 
 
11,381 
 
5,087 
2,335 
Corporate
3,720 
508 
156 
 
66 
 
29 
28 
 
67 
 
476 
 
4,263 
 
6,650 
 
10,913 
 
648 
Personal
26 
 
 
 
 
 
26 
 
12 
 
38 
 
                                               
 
7,856 
508 
156 
 
7,800 
(313)
 
1,771 
1,124 
 
8,447 
 
9,089 
354 
 
25,746 
 
11,473 
 
37,219 
 
23,957 
10,057 
                                               
31 December 2011
                                             
                                               
Government
 
1,447 
74 
 
849 
591 
 
1,705 
 
40 
 
1,753 
 
 
1,753 
 
1,521 
Central bank
7,654 
 
 
 
 
 
7,667 
 
 
7,667 
 
10 
15,103 
Other banks
623 
 
802 
217 
 
365 
278 
 
889 
 
7,410 
164 
 
9,086 
 
3,566 
 
12,652 
 
17,425 
2,615 
Other FI
1,557 
 
6,804 
(386)
 
290 
108 
 
6,986 
 
1,806 
108 
 
10,457 
 
3,388 
 
13,845 
 
5,082 
5,792 
Corporate
4,827 
621 
209 
 
199 
 
113 
 
307 
 
747 
 
5,884 
 
6,596 
 
12,480 
 
1,820 
416 
Personal
20 
 
 
 
 
 
20 
 
11 
 
31 
 
                                               
 
14,689 
624 
211 
 
9,252 
(89)
 
1,623 
982 
 
9,893 
 
10,010 
275 
 
34,867 
 
13,561 
 
48,428 
 
25,858 
23,926 

 
 
273

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Netherlands (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
CDS by reference entity
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                       
Government
1,352 
1,227 
 
(12)
11 
 
1,206 
1,189 
 
31 
(31)
Other banks
659 
695 
 
(1)
 
965 
995 
 
41 
(42)
Other FI
3,080 
2,799 
 
20 
(23)
 
5,772 
5,541 
 
142 
(131)
Corporate
7,943 
6,852 
 
(93)
87 
 
15,416 
14,238 
 
257 
(166)
                       
 
13,034 
11,573 
 
(86)
77 
 
23,359 
21,963 
 
471 
(370)

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 
AQ1
 
AQ2-AQ3
 
AQ4-AQ9
 
AQ10
 
Total
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                             
Banks
763 
(17)
 
3,112 
(32)
 
539 
(3)
 
 
4,414 
(52)
Other FI
4,990 
(33)
 
2,046 
 
917 
(13)
 
667 
5
 
8,620 
(34)
                             
 
5,753 
(50)
 
5,158 
(25)
 
1,456 
(16)
 
667 
5
 
13,034 
(86)
                             
31 December 2011
                           
                             
Banks
7,605 
107 
 
88 
 
 
 
7,699 
108 
Other FI
14,529 
231 
 
308 
37 
 
676 
81 
 
147 
14 
 
15,660 
363 
                             
 
22,134 
338 
 
396 
38 
 
682 
81 
 
147 
14 
 
23,359 
471 

 
274

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: France

 
Lending 
REIL 
Provisions 
 
AFS and 
LAR debt 
securities 
AFS 
reserves 
 
HFT
debt securities
 
Total debt 
securities 
 
Net
 
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off-balance 
 sheet 
 
Total 
 
Gross
Long 
Short 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Government
494 
 
537 
(41)
 
5,186 
2,064 
 
3,659 
 
257 
 
4,410 
 
 
4,413 
 
270 
Central bank
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other banks
2,498 
 
730 
 
184 
27 
 
887 
 
5,608 
58 
 
9,051 
 
591 
 
9,642 
 
41,782 
11,581 
Other FI
124 
 
757 
(4)
 
252 
51 
 
958 
 
833 
392 
 
2,307 
 
1,106 
 
3,413 
 
1,721 
2,743 
Corporate
2,426 
116 
71 
 
218 
16 
 
116 
15 
 
319 
 
724 
 
3,469 
 
7,685 
 
11,154 
 
1,147 
Personal
71 
 
 
 
 
 
71 
 
75 
 
146 
 
                                               
 
5,622 
116 
71 
 
2,242 
(24)
 
5,738 
2,157 
 
5,823 
 
7,422 
450 
 
19,317 
 
9,460 
 
28,777 
 
44,920 
14,324 
                                               
31 December 2011
                                             
                                               
Government
481 
 
2,648 
(14)
 
8,705 
5,669 
 
5,684 
 
357 
 
6,522 
 
911 
 
7,433 
 
372 
Central bank
 
20 
 
 
20 
 
 
23 
 
 
23 
 
Other banks
1,273 
 
889 
(17)
 
157 
75 
 
971 
 
7,009 
262 
 
9,515 
 
474 
 
9,989 
 
42,922 
17,689 
Other FI
282 
 
642 
(40)
 
325 
126 
 
841 
 
592 
83 
 
1,798 
 
928 
 
2,726 
 
1,763 
4,541 
Corporate
3,761 
128 
74 
 
240 
 
72 
34 
 
278 
 
743 
 
4,782 
 
7,829 
 
12,611 
 
1,148 
Personal
79 
 
 
 
 
 
79 
 
75 
 
154 
 
                                               
 
5,879 
128 
74 
 
4,439 
(62)
 
9,259 
5,904 
 
7,794 
 
8,701 
345 
 
22,719 
 
10,217 
 
32,936 
 
46,205 
22,230 


 
275

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: France (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
CDS by reference entity
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                       
Government
4,989 
4,095 
 
76 
(66)
 
3,467 
2,901 
 
228 
(195)
Other banks
3,443 
3,337 
 
23 
(5)
 
4,232 
3,995 
 
282 
(236)
Other FI
1,789 
1,374 
 
(8)
 
2,590 
2,053 
 
136 
(117)
Corporate
11,435 
10,618 
 
(106)
112 
 
23,224 
21,589 
 
609 
(578)
                       
 
21,656 
19,424 
 
(15)
50 
 
33,513 
30,538 
 
1,255 
(1,126)

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 
AQ1
 
AQ2-AQ3
 
AQ4-AQ9
 
AQ10
 
Total
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                             
Banks
1,779 
14 
 
7,102 
(15)
 
921 
 
 
9,802 
Other FI
5,995 
(12)
 
4,798 
(5)
 
1,061 
(3)
 
 
11,854 
(20)
                             
 
7,774 
 
11,900 
(20)
 
1,982 
 
 
21,656 
(15)
                             
31 December 2011
                           
                             
Banks
13,353 
453 
 
162 
13 
 
79 
 
 
13,594 
474 
Other FI
19,641 
758 
 
24 
 
254 
22 
 
 
19,919 
781 
                             
 
32,994 
1,211 
 
186 
14 
 
333 
30 
 
 
33,513 
1,255 

 
276

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Belgium

 
Lending 
REIL 
Provisions 
 
AFS and 
LAR debt 
securities 
AFS 
reserves 
 
HFT
debt securities
 
Total debt 
securities 
 
Net
 
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off-balance 
 sheet 
 
Total 
 
Gross
Long 
Short 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Government
 
828 
(44)
 
1,269 
711 
 
1,386 
 
103 
 
1,489 
 
 
1,489 
 
404 
Other banks
186 
 
 
 
 
2,618 
50 
 
2,856 
 
 
2,863 
 
4,035 
1,256 
Other FI
249 
 
 
 
 
239 
 
488 
 
30 
 
518 
 
252 
Corporate
414 
50 
15 
 
14 
 
 
20 
 
180 
 
614 
 
1,263 
 
1,877 
 
270 
Personal
22 
20 
 
 
 
 
 
22 
 
 
30 
 
                                               
 
871 
53 
35 
 
844 
(44)
 
1,277 
713 
 
1,408 
 
3,140 
50 
 
5,469 
 
1,308 
 
6,777 
 
4,961 
1,256 
                                               
31 December 2011
                                             
                                               
Government
 
742 
(116)
 
608 
722 
 
628 
 
89 
 
717 
 
 
717 
 
492 
Central bank
 
 
 
 
 
11 
 
 
11 
 
Other banks
287 
 
 
 
 
2,399 
51 
 
2,741 
 
 
2,749 
 
7,868 
1,694 
Other FI
354 
 
 
 
(3)
 
191 
 
542 
 
64 
 
606 
 
260 
Corporate
588 
31 
21 
 
 
20 
 
23 
 
277 
 
888 
 
1,279 
 
2,167 
 
375 
255 
Personal
20 
 
 
 
 
 
20 
 
 
28 
 
                                               
 
1,257 
31 
21 
 
749 
(116)
 
629 
726 
 
652 
 
2,959 
51 
 
4,919 
 
1,359 
 
6,278 
 
8,998 
1,949 

 
 
277

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Belgium (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
CDS by reference entity
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                       
Government
1,890 
1,674 
 
(31)
29 
 
1,612 
1,505 
 
120 
(110)
Other banks
212 
222 
 
(1)
 
312 
302 
 
14 
(13)
Corporate
301 
276 
 
(1)
 
563 
570 
 
12 
(12)
                       
 
2,403 
2,172 
 
(31)
29 
 
2,487 
2,377 
 
146 
(135)

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 
AQ1
 
AQ2-AQ3
 
AQ4-AQ9
 
AQ10
 
Total
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                             
Banks
244 
(2)
 
1,156 
(17)
 
281 
(3)
 
 
1,681 
(22)
Other FI
178 
 
505 
(9)
 
39 
 
 
722 
(9)
                             
 
422 
(2)
 
1,661 
(26)
 
320 
(3)
 
 
2,403 
(31)
                             
31 December 2011
                           
                             
Banks
1,602 
97 
 
 
12 
 
 
1,616 
98 
Other FI
866 
48 
 
 
 
 
871 
48 
                             
 
2,468 
145 
 
 
16 
 
 
2,487 
146 

 
278

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Luxembourg

 
Lending 
REIL 
Provisions 
 
AFS and 
LAR debt 
securities 
AFS 
reserves 
 
HFT
debt securities
 
Total debt 
securities 
 
Net
 
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off-balance 
 sheet 
 
Total 
 
Gross
Long 
Short 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Government
13 
 
 
 
 
 
13 
 
 
13 
 
Other banks
99 
 
 
 
10 
 
485 
77 
 
671 
 
 
671 
 
650 
2,215 
Other FI
717 
 
51 
(1)
 
198 
 
245 
 
821 
68 
 
1,851 
 
719 
 
2,570 
 
2,343 
2,951 
Corporate
1,817 
940 
287 
 
 
19 
23 
 
(4)
 
156 
 
1,969 
 
1,469 
 
3,438 
 
164 
Personal
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
                                               
 
2,650 
940 
287 
 
59 
(1)
 
225 
33 
 
251 
 
1,462 
145 
 
4,508 
 
2,190 
 
6,698 
 
3,157 
5,166 
                                               
31 December 2011
                                             
                                               
Other banks
101 
 
10 
 
 
17 
 
530 
16 
 
664 
 
 
664 
 
664 
447 
Other FI
925 
 
54 
(7)
 
82 
80 
 
56 
 
2,174 
789 
 
3,944 
 
711 
 
4,655 
 
3,676 
3,529 
Corporate
2,228 
897 
301 
 
 
58 
 
57 
 
180 
 
2,465 
 
1,294 
 
3,759 
 
195 
Personal
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
                                               
 
3,256 
897 
301 
 
69 
(7)
 
147 
86 
 
130 
 
2,884 
805 
 
7,075 
 
2,007 
 
9,082 
 
4,535 
3,976 
 
 
279

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Luxembourg (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
CDS by reference entity
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                       
Other FI
1,169 
1,009 
 
32 
(29)
 
2,080 
1,976 
 
118 
(108)
Corporate
1,388 
1,238 
 
(9)
10 
 
2,478 
2,138 
 
146 
(116)
                       
 
2,557 
2,247 
 
23 
(19)
 
4,558 
4,114 
 
264 
(224)

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 
AQ1
 
AQ2-AQ3
 
AQ4-AQ9
 
AQ10
 
Total
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                             
Banks
96 
 
611 
23 
 
63 
(1)
 
 
770 
26 
Other FI
1,111 
(12)
 
361 
12 
 
315 
(3)
 
 
1,787 
(3)
                             
 
1,207 
(8)
 
972 
35 
 
378 
(4)
 
 
2,557 
23 
                             
31 December 2011
                           
                             
Banks
1,535 
93 
 
16 
 
 
 
1,551 
93 
Other FI
2,927 
164 
 
10 
 
70 
 
 
3,007 
171 
                             
 
4,462 
257 
 
26 
 
70 
 
 
4,558 
264 
 
 
280

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Other eurozone(1)

 
Lending 
REIL 
Provisions 
 
AFS and 
LAR debt 
securities 
AFS 
reserves 
 
HFT
debt securities
 
Total debt 
securities 
 
Net
 
Balance 
sheet 
 
Off-balance 
 sheet 
 
Total 
 
Gross
Long 
Short 
Derivatives 
Repos 
Derivatives 
Repos 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                                               
Government
126 
 
323 
(26)
 
971 
411 
 
883 
 
734 
 
1,743 
 
 
1,743 
 
954 
Central bank
 
 
 
 
33 
 
33 
 
 
33 
 
34 
Other banks
19 
 
54 
 
130 
27 
 
157 
 
927 
 
1,111 
 
117 
 
1,228 
 
4,805 
1,432 
Other FI
90 
 
102 
(4)
 
 
110 
 
 
205 
 
24 
 
229 
 
184 
893 
Corporate
856 
33 
13 
 
97 
(1)
 
 
92 
 
41 
 
989 
 
1,118 
 
2,107 
 
52 
Personal
14 
 
 
 
 
 
14 
 
10 
 
24 
 
                                               
 
1,105 
33 
13 
 
576 
(31)
 
1,111 
445 
 
1,242 
 
1,737 
11 
 
4,095 
 
1,269 
 
5,364 
 
6,029 
2,325 
                                               
31 December 2011
                                             
                                               
Government
121 
 
327 
(47)
 
445 
331 
 
441 
 
779 
 
1,341 
 
25 
 
1,366 
 
930 
627 
Central bank
 
 
 
 
23 
 
23 
 
 
23 
 
23 
Other banks
28 
 
63 
(1)
 
13 
70 
 
 
1,011 
 
1,045 
 
94 
 
1,139 
 
9,268 
350 
Other FI
77 
 
100 
(9)
 
25 
 
123 
 
36 
 
236 
 
130 
 
366 
 
131 
277 
Corporate
1,125 
12 
15 
 
134 
(4)
 
11 
 
138 
 
45 
 
1,308 
 
1,038 
 
2,346 
 
55 
Personal
12 
 
 
 
 
 
12 
 
10 
 
22 
 
                                               
 
1,363 
12 
15 
 
624 
(61)
 
494 
410 
 
708 
 
1,894 
 
3,965 
 
1,297 
 
5,262 
 
10,407 
1,254 

For the note to this table refer to the following page.
 
 
281

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Other eurozone(1) (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Notional
 
Fair value
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
 
Bought 
Sold 
CDS by reference entity
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                       
Government
2,850 
2,793 
 
(82)
80 
 
2,281 
2,350 
 
54 
(47)
Other banks
63 
68 
 
 
90 
87 
 
(1)
Other FI
 
 - 
 
 
Corporate
2,222 
2,082 
 
(41)
41 
 
4,054 
3,944 
 
70 
(59)
                       
 
5,135 
4,943 
 
(123)
121 
 
6,425 
6,381 
 
126 
(107)

CDS bought protection: counterparty analysis by internal asset quality band

 
AQ1
 
AQ2-AQ3
 
AQ4-AQ9
 
AQ10
 
Total
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
 
Notional 
Fair value 
31 December 2012
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
                             
Banks
461 
(4)
 
1,893 
(55)
 
159 
(2)
 
 
2,513 
(61)
Other FI
944 
(25)
 
1,522 
(32)
 
156 
(5)
 
 
2,622 
(62)
                             
 
1,405 
(29)
 
3,415 
(87)
 
315 
(7)
 
 
5,135 
(123)
                             
31 December 2011
                           
                             
Banks
2,877 
58 
 
50 
 
 
 
2,927 
59 
Other FI
3,464 
67 
 
 
30 
 
 
3,498 
67 
                             
 
6,341 
125 
 
54 
 
30 
 
 
6,425 
126 

Note:
(1)
Comprises Austria, Estonia, Finland, Malta, Slovakia and Slovenia.

 
282

 

Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Eurozone non-periphery

Key points
·
The Group holds a major and diversified portfolio in eurozone non-periphery countries with significant exposures to financial institutions and corporates, notably in Germany, the Netherlands and France, and a sizeable liquidity portfolio with the German central bank.
   
·
Exposure decreased in most product categories and to most client groups during 2012, particularly in lending to corporates, contingent liabilities and commitments, as a result of currency movements and de-risking of the portfolio.

·
Government and central bank
   
 
The Group holds significant short-term surplus liquidity with central banks for liquidity, credit risk and capital considerations as well as due to limited alternative investment opportunities. This exposure also fluctuates as part of the Group’s asset and liability management. In Q3 2012 the Group transferred part of its euro payment activity from the RBS N.V. account with the Dutch central bank to the RBS plc account with the German central bank, as part of strategic plans to migrate most of the RBS N.V. balance sheet, activities and exposures to RBS plc.
   
 
Germany - Net long HFT positions in German bonds in Markets increased during 2012, driven by market opportunities. Concurrently, German AFS bond positions in Group Treasury were reduced in the first half of the year, in line with internal liquidity management strategies.
   
 
France - The Group reduced its long and short HFT positions in Markets throughout 2012 while reducing its net long HFT position in the first half of the year and increasing it again in the second half of the year, in anticipation of changes in credit spreads. AFS bond positions in Group Treasury were gradually reduced as part of general risk management and in line with internal liquidity management strategies.
   
 
Belgium - Net HFT government debt exposure increased by £0.7 billion on balance over 2012, as part of regular fluctuations in the Markets business. AFS debt securities exposures increased by £0.1 billion and the negative AFS reserve declined by the same amount as a result of recovery in bond prices.

·
Financial institutions
   
 
France - Lending exposure to banks increased as a result of a transfer of bank account services for Group Treasury secured funding transactions from in-house to an external bank, for £1.7 billion. Derivatives exposure to banks decreased by £1.4 billion, spread over a number of banks.

·
Corporate
   
 
Germany - Lending to corporate clients fell by £2.9 billion, largely as a result of reductions in Non-Core exposure to the transport, commercial real estate, electricity and media sectors.
   
 
The Netherlands - Lending to corporate clients decreased by £1.1 billion due to reductions in the commercial real estate and telecommunications sectors, with half of this reduction in the Non-Core portfolio.
   
 
France - Lending to corporate clients decreased by £1.3 billion due to reductions in the telecommunications, commercial real estate and construction sectors, half of this reduction is in the Non-Core portfolio.
 
 
283

 

 
Risk and balance sheet management (continued)


Country risk: Country risk exposure: Eurozone non-periphery: Key points (continued)
·
Non-Core (included above)
   
 
Germany - Non-Core lending exposure was £2.8 billion at 31 December 2012, down £2.6 billion since 31 December 2011. Most of the lending was in the commercial real estate (64%) and natural resources (12%) sectors.
   
 
The Netherlands - Non-Core lending exposure was £2.0 billion at 31 December 2012, down £0.5 billion since 31 December 2011. Most of the lending was in the commercial real estate (56%) and securitisations (21%) sectors.
   
 
France - Non-Core lending exposure was £1.6 billion at 31 December 2012, a decline of £0.7 billion since 31 December 2011. The lending portfolio mainly comprised public sector (30%), commercial real estate (23%) and construction (13%) exposures.
 

 
 
284

 

Risk factors


Set out below is a summary of certain risks which could adversely affect the Group; it should be read in conjunction with the Risk and Balance Sheet Management section (pages 135 to 284). This summary should not be regarded as a complete and comprehensive statement of all potential risks and uncertainties. A fuller description of these and other risk factors will be included in the 2012 Form 20-F.

The Group’s businesses, earnings and financial condition have been and will continue to be negatively affected by global economic conditions, the instability in the global financial markets and increased competition and political risks including proposed referenda on Scottish independence and UK membership of the EU. Together with a perceived increased risk of default on the sovereign debt of certain European countries and unprecedented stresses on the financial system within the Eurozone, these factors have resulted in significant changes in market conditions including interest rates, foreign exchange rates, credit spreads, and other market factors and consequent changes in asset valuations.
   
The actual or perceived failure or worsening credit of the Group’s counterparties or borrowers and depressed asset valuations resulting from poor market conditions have adversely affected and could continue to adversely affect the Group.
   
The Group’s ability to meet its obligations’ including its funding commitments depends on the Group’s ability to access sources of liquidity and funding. The inability to access liquidity and funding due to market conditions or otherwise could adversely affect the Group’s financial condition. Furthermore, the Group’s borrowing costs and its access to the debt capital markets and other sources of liquidity depend significantly on its and the UK Government’s credit ratings.
   
The Group is subject to a number of regulatory initiatives which may adversely affect its business, including the UK Government’s implementation of the final recommendations of the Independent Commission on Banking’s final report on competition and possible structural reforms in the UK banking industry the US Federal Reserve’s proposal for applying US capital, liquidity and enhanced prudential standards to certain of the Group’s US operations.
   
The Group’s business performance, financial condition and capital and liquidity ratios could be adversely affected if its capital is not managed effectively or as a result of changes to capital adequacy and liquidity requirements, including those arising out of Basel III implementation (globally or by European or UK authorities), or if the Group is unable to issue Contingent B Shares to HM Treasury under certain circumstances.
   
As a result of the UK Government’s majority shareholding in the Group it can, and in the future may decide to, exercise a significant degree of influence over the Group including on dividend policy, modifying or cancelling contracts or limiting the Group’s operations. The offer or sale by the UK Government of all or a portion of its shareholding in the company could affect the market price of the equity shares and other securities and acquisitions of ordinary shares by the UK Government (including through conversions of other securities or further purchases of shares) may result in the delisting of the Group from the Official List.
   
The Group or any of its UK bank subsidiaries may face the risk of full nationalisation or other resolution procedures and various actions could be taken by or on behalf of the UK Government, including actions in relation to any securities issued, new or existing contractual arrangements and transfers of part or all of the Group’s businesses.
 
 
285

 

Risk factors (continued)


The Group is subject to substantial regulation and oversight, and any significant regulatory or legal developments could have an adverse effect on how the Group conducts its business and on its results of operations and financial condition. In addition, the Group is, and may be, subject to litigation and regulatory investigations that may impact its business, results of operations and financial condition.
   
The Group’s ability to implement its Strategic Plan depends on the success of its efforts to refocus on its core strengths and its balance sheet reduction programme. As part of the Group’s Strategic Plan and implementation of the State Aid restructuring plan agreed with the European Commission and HM Treasury, the Group is undertaking an extensive restructuring which may adversely affect the Group’s business, results of operations and financial condition and give rise to increased operational risk.
   
The Group could fail to attract or retain senior management, which may include members of the Group Board, or other key employees, and it may suffer if it does not maintain good employee relations.
   
Operational and reputational risks are inherent in the Group’s businesses.
   
The value of certain financial instruments recorded at fair value is determined using financial models incorporating assumptions, judgements and estimates that may change over time or may ultimately not turn out to be accurate.
   
The Group’s insurance businesses are subject to inherent risks involving claims on insured events.
   
Any significant developments in regulatory or tax legislation could have an effect on how the Group conducts its business and on its results of operations and financial condition, and the recoverability of certain deferred tax assets recognised by the Group is subject to uncertainty.
   
The Group may be required to make contributions to its pension schemes and government compensation schemes, either of which may have an adverse impact on the Group’s results of operations, cash flow and financial condition.
 
 
286

 
 
Additional information


Share information
 
31 December 
2012 
30 September 
2012 
31 December 
2011 
       
Ordinary share price*
324.5p 
257.0p 
201.8p 
       
Number of ordinary shares in issue*
6,071m 
6,070m 
5,923m 

* data for 31 December 2011 have been adjusted for the sub-division and one-for-ten share consolidation of ordinary shares, which took effect in June 2012.


Capitalisation of the Group
The following table shows the Group’s issued and fully paid share capital, owners’ equity and indebtedness on a consolidated basis in accordance with IFRS as at 31 December 2012.
 
 
As at 
31 December 
 2012 
 
£m 
   
Share capital - allotted, called up and fully paid
 
Ordinary shares of £1
6,071 
B shares of £0.01
510 
Dividend access share of £0.01
Non-cumulative preference shares of US$0.01
Non-cumulative preference shares of €0.01
Non-cumulative preference shares of £1.00
   
 
6,582 
Retained income and other reserves
61,548 
   
Owners’ equity
68,130 
   
Group indebtedness
 
Subordinated liabilities
26,773 
Debt securities in issue
94,592 
   
Total indebtedness
121,365 
   
Total capitalisation and indebtedness
189,495 

Under IFRS, certain preference shares are classified as debt and are included in subordinated liabilities in the table above.

Since 31 December 2012 buybacks of debt securities net of issuances totalled £2,902 million.

Other than as disclosed above, the information contained in the tables above has not changed materially since 31 December 2012.

 
287

 

Additional information (continued)


Ratio of earnings to fixed charges
    Year ended 31 December
 
2012(3) 
2011(3) 
2010 
2009(3)
2008(3)
           
Ratio of earnings to combined fixed charges
  and preference share dividends (1,2)
         
  - including interest on deposits
0.29
0.87
0.97
­0.73 
0.02 
  - excluding interest on deposits
   
0.67
­
 
Ratio of earnings to fixed charges only (1,2)
         
  - including interest on deposits
0.30
0.87
0.98
­0.78 
0.02 
  - excluding interest on deposits
   
0.78
­
 

Notes:
(1)
For this purpose, earnings consist of income before tax and non-controlling interests, plus fixed charges less the unremitted income of associated undertakings (share of profits less dividends received). Fixed charges consist of total interest expense, including or excluding interest on deposits and debt securities in issue, as appropriate, and the proportion of rental expense deemed representative of the interest factor (one third of total rental expenses).
(2)
The earnings for the year ended 31 December 2012 and for the years ended 31 December 2011, 2010, 2009 and 2008, were inadequate to cover total fixed charges and preference share dividends. The coverage deficiency for total fixed charges and preference share dividends for the year ended 31 December 2012 was £5,453 million and for the years ended 31 December 2011, 2010, 2009 and 2008 were £1,190 million, £278 million, £3,951 million and £27,051 million, respectively. The coverage deficiency for fixed charges only for the year ended 31 December 2012 was £5,165 million and for the years ended 31 December 2011, 2010, 2009 and 2008 were £1,190 million, £154 million, £3,016 million and £26,455 million, respectively.
(3)
Negative ratios have been excluded.

 
 
288

 
 

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorised.




The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc
Registrant








/s/ Rajan Kapoor                                                                  
Rajan Kapoor
Group Chief Accountant
11 March 2013
 
 
 

 

 
 
 
 

 
 






Appendix 1

Analysis of balance sheet
pre and post disposal groups

 
 

 

Appendix 1  Analysis of balance sheet pre and post disposal groups

In accordance with IFRS 5 assets and liabilities of disposal groups are presented as a single line on the face of the balance sheet. As allowed by IFRS, disposal groups are included within risk measures.

 
31 December 2012
 
30 September 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Balance 
sheet 
Disposal 
groups (1)
Gross of 
disposal 
groups 
 
Balance 
sheet 
Disposal 
groups (2)
Gross of 
disposal 
groups 
 
Balance 
sheet 
Disposal 
groups (3)
Gross of 
disposal 
groups 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                       
Assets
                     
Cash and balances at central banks
79,290 
18 
79,308 
 
80,122 
49 
80,171 
 
79,269 
127 
79,396 
Net loans and advances to banks
29,168 
2,112 
31,280 
 
38,347 
83 
38,430 
 
43,870 
87 
43,957 
Reverse repurchase agreements and stock borrowing
34,783 
34,783 
 
34,026 
34,026 
 
39,440 
39,440 
Loans and advances to banks
63,951 
2,112 
66,063 
 
72,373 
83 
72,456 
 
83,310 
87 
83,397 
Net loans and advances to customers
430,088 
1,863 
431,951 
 
423,155 
19,409 
442,564 
 
454,112 
19,405 
473,517 
Reverse repurchase agreements and stock borrowing
70,047 
70,047 
 
63,909 
63,909 
 
61,494 
61,494 
Loans and advances to customers
500,135 
1,863 
501,998 
 
487,064 
19,409 
506,473 
 
515,606 
19,405 
535,011 
Debt securities
157,438 
7,186 
164,624 
 
177,722 
31 
177,753 
 
209,080 
209,080 
Equity shares
15,232 
15,237 
 
15,527 
15,532 
 
15,183 
15,188 
Settlement balances
5,741 
5,741 
 
15,055 
15,055 
 
7,771 
14 
7,785 
Derivatives
441,903 
15 
441,918 
 
468,171 
366 
468,537 
 
529,618 
439 
530,057 
Intangible assets
13,545 
750 
14,295 
 
14,798 
14,798 
 
14,858 
15 
14,873 
Property, plant and equipment
9,784 
223 
10,007 
 
11,220 
116 
11,336 
 
11,868 
4,749 
16,617 
Deferred tax
3,443 
3,443 
 
3,480 
3,480 
 
3,878 
3,878 
Other financial assets
924 
924 
 
891 
891 
 
1,309 
1,309 
Prepayments, accrued income and other assets
7,820 
742 
8,562 
 
9,804 
444 
10,248 
 
9,667 
456 
10,123 
Assets of disposal groups
14,013 
(13,838)
175 
 
20,667 
(20,503)
164 
 
25,450 
(25,297)
153 
                       
Total assets
1,312,295 
1,312,295 
 
1,376,894 
1,376,894 
 
1,506,867 
1,506,867 

For the notes to this page refer to page 3.
 
 
1

 

Appendix 1 Analysis of balance sheet pre and post disposal groups (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
30 September 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Balance 
sheet 
Disposal 
groups (1)
Gross of 
disposal 
groups 
 
Balance 
sheet 
Disposal 
groups (2)
Gross of 
disposal 
groups 
 
Balance 
sheet 
Disposal 
groups (3)
Gross of 
disposal 
groups 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                       
Liabilities
                     
Bank deposits
57,073 
57,074 
 
58,127 
58,128 
 
69,113 
69,114 
Repurchase agreements and stock lending
44,332 
44,332 
 
49,222 
49,222 
 
39,691 
39,691 
Deposits by banks
101,405 
101,406 
 
107,349 
107,350 
 
108,804 
108,805 
Customer deposits
433,239 
753 
433,992 
 
412,712 
22,168 
434,880 
 
414,143 
22,610 
436,753 
Repurchase agreements and stock lending
88,040 
88,040 
 
93,343 
93,343 
 
88,812 
88,812 
Customer accounts
521,279 
753 
522,032 
 
506,055 
22,168 
528,223 
 
502,955 
22,610 
525,565 
Debt securities in issue
94,592 
94,592 
 
104,157 
104,157 
 
162,621 
162,621 
Settlement balances
5,878 
5,878 
 
14,427 
14,427 
 
7,477 
7,485 
Short positions
27,591 
27,591 
 
32,562 
32,562 
 
41,039 
41,039 
Derivatives
434,333 
434,340 
 
462,300 
42 
462,342 
 
523,983 
126 
524,109 
Accruals, deferred income and other liabilities
14,801 
2,679 
17,480 
 
18,458 
449 
18,907 
 
23,125 
1,233 
24,358 
Retirement benefit liabilities
3,884 
3,884 
 
1,779 
1,779 
 
2,239 
2,239 
Deferred tax
1,141 
1,141 
 
1,686 
1,686 
 
1,945 
1,945 
Insurance liabilities
6,193 
6,193 
 
6,249 
6,249 
 
6,312 
6,312 
Subordinated liabilities
26,773 
529 
27,302 
 
25,309 
25,309 
 
26,319 
26,319 
Liabilities of disposal groups
10,170 
(10,162)
 
22,670 
(22,660)
10 
 
23,995 
(23,978)
17 
                       
Total liabilities
1,241,847 
1,241,847 
 
1,303,001 
1,303,001 
 
1,430,814 
1,430,814 

For the notes to this page refer to page 3.
 
 
2

 

Appendix 1 Analysis of balance sheet pre and post disposal groups (continued)

 
31 December 2012
 
30 September 2012
 
31 December 2011
 
Balance 
sheet 
Disposal 
groups (1)
Gross of 
disposal 
groups 
 
Balance 
sheet 
Disposal 
groups (2)
Gross of 
disposal 
groups 
 
Balance 
sheet 
Disposal 
groups (3)
Gross of 
disposal 
groups 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
 
£m 
£m 
£m 
                       
Selected financial data
                     
Gross loans and advances to customers
451,224 
1,875 
453,099 
 
443,356 
20,188 
463,544 
 
473,872 
20,196 
494,068 
Customer loan impairment provisions
(21,136)
(12)
(21,148)
 
(20,201)
(779)
(20,980)
 
(19,760)
(791)
(20,551)
Net loans and advances to customers
430,088 
1,863 
431,951 
 
423,155 
19,409 
422,564 
 
454,112 
19,405 
473,517 
                       
Gross loans and advances to banks
29,282 
2,112 
31,394 
 
38,464 
83 
38,547 
 
43,993 
87 
44,080 
Bank loan impairment provisions
(114)
(114)
 
(117)
(117)
 
(123)
(123)
Net loans and advances to banks
29,168 
2,112 
31,280 
 
38,347 
83 
38,430 
 
43,870 
87 
43,957 
                       
Total loan impairment provisions
(21,250)
(12)
(21,262)
 
(20,318)
(779)
(21,097)
 
(19,883)
(791)
(20,674)
                       
Customer REIL
40,993 
13 
41,006 
 
39,913 
1,402 
41,315 
 
40,708 
1,549 
42,257 
Bank REIL
134 
134 
 
187 
187 
 
137 
137 
Total REIL
41,127 
13 
41,140 
 
40,100 
1,402 
41,502 
 
40,845 
1,549 
42,394 
                       
Gross unrealised gains on debt securities
3,946 
230 
4,176 
 
4,517 
4,517 
 
4,978 
4,978 
Gross unrealised losses on debt securities
(1,832)
(15)
(1,847)
 
(2,052)
(2,052)
 
(3,408)
(3,408)

Notes:
(1)
Primarily Direct Line Group.
(2)
Primarily UK branch-based businesses.
(3)
Primarily UK branch-based businesses, RBS Aviation Capital, sold in 2012, and remainder of RBS Sempra Commodities JV.
 
3